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Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia)...

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Company update December 2014
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Page 1: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

Company update

December 2014

Page 2: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

1 1

Contents

• Introduction – Group Overview

• Strategy update

• Industry & market developments

• Strategic business units (SBUs)

• Appendix

Page 3: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

Complex refining asset base and leading domestic market share; Group

positioned to benefit from Greek market recovery and refining industry upturn

2

• Complex refineries (Nelson index 9.6)

• Balanced sales channel mix with exports at

50% of total sales

• Leading domestic market position with c.60-

65% of wholesale and c.30% of retail

• Regional footprint with international

subsidiaries

• Completed extensive restructuring plan with

>€300m of recurring cash benefits realised to

date and c.€70-100m of further upside

• 30% of capital employed in non-refining

margin driven returns (Marketing, Petchems,

Power and NatGas)

Nelson/Solomon complexity benchmark margins

Group operational footprint

ROMANIA

TURKEY

BULGARIA

SERBIA

CYPRUS

FYROM

GREECE

ALBANIA

BOSNIA

MONTENEGRO

Refining

Marketing

Power & Gas

9.711.3

6.98.8

13.9

5.0

Aspropygros Elefsina Thessaloniki

NCI Solomon

5* -3* 4*

*$/bbl, average 2010-13

Page 4: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

Shareholding & Governance Controlling shareholders’ agreement supported long-term strategy and successful transition

from state to private sector, divestment of remaining 35% held by the Greek State announced

as part of the privatisation

3

Shareholding structure

35%

9%

7% 6%

8%

36%

Greek State

Retail

7% Int’l institutionals

GR institutionals

POIH 43%

Corporate Governance

Board of Directors:

• Consists of 13 members (3 executive and

10 non executive) appointed as per

Articles of Association

• Board Committees (Finance / Audit / HR)

Executive Committee:

• Key management executives with

responsibility for strategy and operations

Management structure:

• SBU structure ensures focus on key

business issues

• Regional portfolio controlled centrally

Page 5: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

Assets overview Core business around downstream assets with activities across the energy value chain

DESCRIPTION METRICS

• Exploration assets in Greece, Egypt, Montenegro

• Recently upgraded refining asset base:

– Aspropyrgos (FCC, 148kbpd)

– Elefsina (HDC, 100kbpd)

– Thessaloniki (HS, 93kbpd)

• Pipeline fed refinery/terminal in FYROM

• Capacity: 16MT

• NCI: 9.6

• Market share: 65%

• Tankage: 7m M3

• Leading position in all market channels (Retail,

Commercial, Aviation, Bunkering) through EKO and

HF (BP branded network)

• c.1,800 petrol stations

• 30% market share

• Sales volumes: 3MT

• Strong positions in Cyprus, Montenegro, Serbia,

Bulgaria

• Advantage on supply chain/vertical integration

• c.280 petrol stations

• Sales volumes: 1MT

• Basel technology PP production (integrated with

refining) and trading

• > 50% exports in Iberia, Italy & Turkey

• Capacity (PP): 220 kt

• ELPEDISON: Second largest IPP in Greece (JV

with Edison/EdF)

• Capacity: 810 MW

(CCGT)

• DEPA GROUP: 35% in Greece’s incumbent

NatGas supply company (under privatisation)

• Volumes (2013):

3.8bcm

4

Refining, Supply & Trading

Exploration & Production

Domestic Marketing

International Marketing

Petrochemicals

Power & Gas

Page 6: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

Our Group in numbers – key financials

5

€ million, IFRS 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 9M14

Income Statement

Sales Volume (MT) - Refining 15,885 14,502 12,528 12,796 12,696 9,557

Net Sales 7,424 8,477 9,308 10,469 9,674 7,056

Segmental EBITDA

- Refining, Supply & Trading 269 338 259 345 57 120

- Marketing 92 114 66 53 68 75

- Petrochemicals 20 50 44 47 57 56

- Other (incl. E&P) -19 -28 -6 0 -5 -5

Adjusted EBITDA * 362 474 363 444 178 246

Adjusted associates’ share of profit 18 30 67 69 57 23

Adjusted Net Income * 150 205 137 232 -117 -48

Balance Sheet / Cash Flow

Capital Employed 3,927 4,191 4,217 4,350 3,905 3,849

Net Debt 1,419 1,659 1,687 1,855 1,689 1,780

Capital Expenditure (incl. refinery upgrades) 614 709 675 521 112 85

Free Cash flow -561 17 165 25 404 68

(*) Calculated as Reported less the Inventory effects and other non-operating items

Page 7: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

6 6

Contents

• Introduction – Group Overview

• Strategy update

• Industry & market developments

• Strategic business units (SBUs)

• Appendix

Page 8: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

7

2013-2017 Strategy Update Refocuses on operational excellence; maximise cash flows to deleverage

1

2

5

Consolidate market position

leveraging on new asset base

Develop our people and continue to

build culture of excellence

3 Enhance competitiveness

improvement momentum

4 Leverage business portfolio

Realise full benefit of the new

investment 1

2 Deleverage Group

3 Diversify funding mix

4 Reduce funding costs

Improve profitability

BUSINESS TARGETS FINANCIAL TARGETS

* Assuming mid cycle margins

Page 9: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

Elefsina performance, operational improvements and restructuring drive profitability

rebase; further upside from Greek economy and margin recovery

178

400-700

50-60

70-10020-30

40-60

2013 Elefsina

optimisation

Performance

Improvement

Greek market 2014 runrate Performance Margins and

FX*

Medium Term

Adjusted EBITDA projected evolution (€ mil)

400 (700)

(300)

EBITDA Capex Pre Tax Free Cash

Flow

Investment phase

400-700

(100)-(150) 250-550

EBITDA Capex Pre Tax Free Cash

Flow

Post-upgrade

Cash Flow profile pre and post-investment plan (€ mil)

8 (*) $1/bbl sensitivity in margins results to €80m, assuming planned utilisation of refineries and €/$ at 1.25

2013 margin

($2.4/ bbl) 300-350

Medium term

performance

driven by refining

margins

Does not include

Contribution from

Associates

Page 10: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

9

Elefsina Refinery Upgrade Full residue conversion, with c.75% middle distillates yield, positioning Elefsina as a top

net cash margin refinery in the Med basin

47%

24%

11%11%

17%25%

64%

Pre upgrade Current

Other

Jet

Diesel/Gas oil

Fuel oil

Product slate

European Med refineries Net Cash margins*

*Wood Mackenzie 2018 Net cash margin projection, Med basin refineries

Elefsina

Refinery utilisation (%)

80

95

8376

2H14 TD 1H13 Q412 1H14 2H13

> 100%

Page 11: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

10

-24%

9m14 9m13 9m12 9m11 9m10

Fixed Opex (€m) - Domestic Marketing

COMPETITIVENESS IMPROVEMENTS €65m incremental benefits in 2014; positive impact evident in a number of KPIs during

last few years improving Group’s competitive position

Group Headcount

-35%

9m14 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008

-39%

9m14 9m13 9m12 9m11 9m10

Unit Fixed Opex* (€/MTpa) - Refining Aspropyrgos – Energy Cost** ($/EDC bbl)

+32%

9m14 9m13

ELPE system

Gross operations margin*** ($/bbl)

2014 2013 2012

-23%

(*) over operable capacity

(**) Adjusted for Platt’s prices change

(***) Adjusted for benchmark margins change

COMO network sales share (%)

- Domestic Marketing

YTD 14

4 x

2013 2012 2011 2010

Page 12: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

CAPITAL STRUCTURE UPDATE Stronger balance sheet post recent DCM issues and Term loan renegotiation; cost of funding

reduced but still impacted in 9M14 by Greek environment; strategy on cash utilisation re-

evaluated taking into account market conditions post Greek banks stress tests

Average and Marginal cost of funding evolution (%)

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

2012 2011

Marginal

Average

2014 2013

3Q14 Gross debt by source

12%

37%

EIB

DCM

Banks (uncommitted)

31%

Banks (committed)

20%

Total:

€3.1bn

3Q14 Maturity Profile

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2020+ 2019 2017 2018 2015 2016 2014

2014-16: c. €450m

Page 13: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

12 12

Contents

• Introduction – Group Overview

• Strategy update

• Industry & market developments

• Strategic business units (SBUs)

• Appendix

Page 14: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

Recent Industry developments Recent improvement in European refining environment driven by regional crude supply

and demand recovery

13

• 2013-1H14 the worse refining macro backdrop in the Med region for at least a decade

• European refining margins benefited from improved Atlantic basin crude supply conditions (production

growth in US, as well as Libya and Iraq)

• Higher gasoline demand in US and emerging markets; diesel outlook positive (IMO)

• Challenges from regional overcapacity and additional product flows from Middle East/FSU remain

• Weak crude prices and stronger USD positive for refiners, despite one-off inventory impact

Med complex margins - $/bbl (2012- 2014)

* updated as of 13 November 2014

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 QTD*

FCC

Hydrocracking

Med FCC margins:

$1.5/bbl

$/bbl

$4.7/bbl

Page 15: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

14 14

Regional market – Diesel shortage in the Med ELPE middle distillates yield match expected increasing shortage in the region

-178

-103

-65 -28

-40

-40

-10 -11

-20

-6

-5

-18

-195

-34

-55

-16

-13

-87

+4

+8

+9

PORTUGAL

GIBRALTAR

MOROCCO

SPAIN

MED FRANCE

ALGERIA

TUNISIA MALTA

ITALY

CROATIA

SLOVENIA

SERBIA

BOSNIA

FYROM

ALBANIA

GREECE

MONTENEGRO

TURKEY

LIBYA

EGYPT ISRAEL

LEBANON

SYRIA

CYPRUS

Diesel/Gasoil surplus (2020)

Diesel/Gasoil deficit (2020)

Key DIESEL/GASOIL balances in the Med region , kb/d (2020)

-59

Source: Wood Mackenzie

Page 16: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

(*) Does not include PPC and armed forces

Source: Ministry of Energy, Environment and Climate Change

DOMESTIC MARKET ENVIRONMENT Stabilisation in domestic market demand following significant contraction during the last few

years

15

Domestic oil products demand 2009-2014 (MT ‘000)

7,208

6,5345,924

5,365

5,342

6,599

-70% Heating Gasoil

& others

Transport Fuels

2013

1,257

2012

7,727

2,362

2011

9,268

3,344

2010

10,125

3,591

2009

11,413

4,205

1,941

4,025

9M13 9M14

4,012

703

4,715 4,735

715

4,020

9M12

5,966

2009 vs 2013 -42%

Auto fuels -26%

Page 17: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

16 16

Contents

• Introduction - Group overview

• Strategy update

• Industry & market developments

• Strategic Business Units (SBUs)

• Appendix

Page 18: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

Aviation &

Bunkering

C&I (Construction,

wholesale)

Retail

17

Greek petroleum market overview and route to market Leading domestic market position through vertical integration and competitive logistics

assets; well positioned to capture Greek recovery

3rd party

Imports

60-65% 25-30%

0-10%

Greek Refining capacity: 25MT

Domestic market: 11.5MT

ELPE Group

subsidiaries: 3MT

(30%)

MOH Group

subsidiaries: 2MT

(20%)

Independent

marketing

companies: 5MT

(40%)

ELPE exports: 6-8MT

3rd party exports:

5MT

16MT

ELPE Group

subsidiaries: 1-2MT

8%

22%

8%

Greek market product breakdown

Specialty markets

(PPC, public sector):

1.5MT (10%)

Gasoline

Diesel

Gasoil Jet

Bunkers

Other

23%

23%

23%

Page 19: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

18

Greek Refining, Supply & Trading economics Trading activity in domestic and international markets complements refining returns;

export sales accounting for 50% of total

Markets

(sales premia varying

across channels)

Refining

(Med benchmark returns

& operations performance)

Refined Products

(14.0m MT)

Imported Products

(0.5-1.5m MT)

Aviation & Bunkering

(Med competitive pricing)

Exports, Intra-Group

(Platts Med FOB based + premia)

Domestic market

5 MT

3 MT

Exports, 3rd parties

(Platts Med FOB based)

2 MT

5 MT

Aspropyrgos

NCI 9.7

148kbpd

FCC

Thessaloniki

NCI 6.9

95kbpd

Hydroskimming

Elefsina

NCI 11.3

100kbpd

HDC

16 MT

0.5-1.5 MT

$ / €

Total ELPE capacity

11%

89%

High sulphur

Low sulphur

12%

55%

25%

8%

Fuel oil Middle Distillates

Gasoline Other

Page 20: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

1,175 1,078 1,041 982 942

1,170 1,108

981 949

874

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

EKO HF

19

Marketing Leading position in the Greek market with EKO and BP brands; subsidiaries in

neighboring markets increase downstream integration

Auto-fuels domestic market share

evolution (%)

Domestic Retail network evolution (# PS)

1,931

International Marketing: Regional footprint

30

15

2012 (post BP

acquisition)

2008 (EKO only)

International Marketing: Sales volumes evolution

(MT)

194 220 222 336 367

126 152 150117 115

256243 237

215 211

379 404

2012

1,072

2011

1,041

438

1,072

2013

433

2010

1,051

436

2009

1,014

SER JPK CY BU

1,816

2,345 2,186

2,022

Page 21: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

20 20

Petrochemicals Operations centred on vertical integration for higher value product; trading geared to

exports markets

Polypropylene value chain

Propylene (refinery grade)

Propylene splitter

90%

Thessaloniki PP plant

(220 kt)

PP

Imports

10%

Propylene (polymer grade)

10%

90%

Domestic and international

market

BOPP film plant (26kt)

Position:

• Competitive advantage in polypropylene - vertical

integration exceeding 85% of total production

• Exports account for 50-60% of total sales; strong

export markets in Turkey, Italy and Iberia

• Domestic market share in petchems exceeds 50% in

all products, produced or traded

Targets:

• Increase propylene production capturing propane

conversion value

• Exploit niche markets:

– Increase PP resin grade portfolio and BOPP film

types with tangible cash benefits

– Add new plastics

• Leverage regional positioning and in-market

presence to increase trading

Page 22: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

21 21

Power: second largest IPP in Greece; development of a renewable energy

portfolio

Thisvi 420MW CCGT power plant

Consolidated as Associate

• Elpedison BV, is a 50/50 JV between Hellenic

Petroleum and Edison, Italy’s 2nd largest electricity

producer and gas distributor (EdF Group)

– Owns 75% of 810MW of installed CCGT

capacity: a 390MW plant in Thessaloniki and a

420MW in Thisvi

– Increasing power trading & marketing, within

predefined credit metrics

• Energy market in Greece under restructuring;

current model targets system stability during a

transitional phase

• Renewables portfolio target > 100MW (wind, PV,

biomass) subject to fiscal environment and market

developments

Page 23: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

22 22

Gas: 35% participation in DEPA, Greece’s incumbent gas company (in sale

process)

DEPA

– Long-term contracts on pipe gas (Russian & Azeri) and

capacity rights on two in-bound interconnecting pipelines

– Long-term contracts with power generators, eligible

industrial customers and existing EPAs

– Owns 51% of the local supply companies (EPAs), with rights

until 2036

DESFA (RAB)

– Greece’s gas grid and LNG import terminal owner and

operator

– International pipelines: Participation in Greece-Bulgaria

Interconnector

• SPA for sale of 66% of DESFA to SOCAR for €400m signed

on 21 Dec 2013; regulatory approvals in process for

completion of transaction

DEPA snapshot financials (€m)

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2013

EBITDA 240 166 211 288 287 209

Net Income 120 61 91 191 197 170

* Adjusted for settlement with PPC

Natural gas transmission network

DEPA Volumes 2007-13 (bcm)

Consolidated as Associate

3.8 4.0 3.6

3.3

4.3 4.2 3.8

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Page 24: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

23

Contents

• Introduction - Group overview

• Strategy update

• Industry & market developments

• Strategic business units (SBUs)

• Appendix

Page 25: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

24 24

Key Milestones Transforming stand-alone government controlled Greek companies to a leading private

sector regional energy player

PETROLA ( Elefsina

Refinery)

DEP &

DEPEKY (Greek E&P)

ELDA ( Aspropyrgos

Refinery)

ESSO -

PAPPAS ( Thessaloniki

Refinery)

PETROLA

(Elefsina

Refinery)

DEP &

DEPEKY (Greek E&P)

ELDA ( Aspropyrgos

Refinery)

ESSO -

PAPPAS ( Thessaloniki

Refinery)

1998 1960 –

1998 2003 2007 2008 2009 2014

Elpedison: 50/50 JV

with Italy’s Edison,

in Power

Libyan upstream

concessions sold to

GDF Suez for $170m

2010

Thessaloniki Refinery

upgrade completed

Sale of 70% stake in

W. Obayed upstream

concession in Egypt

Acquisition of BP’s

Ground Fuels business

in Greece

Merger with

Petrola

Hellas

Elpedison’s 2nd CCGT

Plant (420MW) in

commercial operation

Shareholding events

Listing of

new Group in

ASE/LSE

Greek Government

announces its

intention to divest

its shareholding in

ELPE

2011

Agreement to

DESFA sale for

€212m

Elefsina

upgraded refinery

start up

POIH becomes

strategic investor

with 25% stake

Float 21%

Greek State

36%

POIH 43%

2012 2013

Issue of €500m

Eurobond

Acceleration of

transformation

programs targeting

c.80m of benefits

Issue of €325m and

$400m Eurobond

Page 26: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

25

Group Key financials: 2004 - 2013 Strong track record of consistent delivery and balance sheet resilience

(*) Calculated as Reported less the Inventory effects and other one-off non-operating items and special income taxes

€ million, IFRS (Published) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Income Statement Figures

Sales Volume (MT)- Refining 15,807 16,525 16,952 17,130 16,997 15,885 14,557 12,528 12,796 12,696

Sales Volume (MT)- Marketing 4,793 4,727 4,790 5,236 4,910 4,787 5,735 5,126 4,434 4,043

Net Sales 4,907 6,653 8,122 8,538 10,131 6,757 8,477 9,308 10,469 9,674

EBITDA 372 671 502 617 249 390 501 335 298 29

Adjusted EBITDA* 400 466 526 458 513 362 474 363 444 178

Net Income 128 334 260 351 24 175 180 114 86 -269

Adjusted Net Income* 149 191 277 232 216 150 205 137 232 -117

Balance Sheet / cash Flow Items

Capital Employed 2,335 2,956 3,442 3,557 3,153 3,927 4,191 4,217 4,350 3,905

Net Debt 386 699 1,044 977 679 1,419 1,629 1,687 1,855 1,689

Capital Expenditure 295 185 145 195 338 614 709 675 521 112

Dividend (€/share) 0.26 0.43 0.43 0.50 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.15 n/a

Key drivers

Brent crude ($/bbl) 38.0 55.2 68.1 72.9 98.3 62.6 80.3 111.0 111.7 108.7

FCC cracking Med margins ($/bbl) 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.1 6.8 3.7 4.4 2.9 4.7 2.4

€/$ 1.24 1.24 1.26 1.37 1.47 1.39 1.33 1.39 1.29 1.33

Page 27: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

FY € million, IFRS 3Q 9M

2013 2013 2014 Δ% 2013 2014 Δ%

Income Statement

12,696 Sales Volume (MT) - Refining 3,397 3,581 5% 9,782 9,557 -2%

4,043 Sales Volume (MT) - Marketing 1,183 1,278 8% 3,077 3,057 -1%

9,674 Net Sales 2,650 2,634 -1% 7,447 7,096 -5%

Segmental EBITDA

57 - Refining, Supply & Trading 22 86 - 32 120 -

68 - Marketing 35 41 16% 57 75 31%

57 - Petrochemicals 17 19 14% 46 56 22%

-5 - Other -2 -1 57% -2 -5 -

178 Adjusted EBITDA * 74 146 97% 133 246 84%

11 Adjusted EBIT * (including Associates) 46 91 - 24 119 -

-209 Finance costs - net -55 -59 -9% -157 -166 -6%

-117 Adjusted Net Income * 1 24 - -82 -48 42%

29 IFRS Reported EBITDA 75 45 -40% 40 123 -

-269 IFRS Reported Net Income 2 -51 - -171 -139 19%

Balance Sheet / Cash Flow

3,905 Capital Employed 4,604 3,849 -16%

1,689 Net Debt 2,293 1,780 -22%

112 Capital Expenditure 19 24 25% 56 85 51%

3Q14 GROUP KEY FINANCIALS

(*) Calculated as Reported less the Inventory effects and other non-operating items 26

45

75 -40%

3Q14 3Q13

Reported EBITDA (€m)

146

74

+97%

3Q14 3Q13

Adj. EBITDA (€m)

1,780

2,293-22%

9m14 9m13

Net Debt (€m)

Page 28: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

3Q14 HIGHLIGHTS Strong Group results driven by positive refining margins, domestic market uplift and improved

operations across all business units; crude oil price drop affected reported results

Industry and Market: Moving to more positive grounds

• Stronger Med benchmark refining margins q-o-q and y-o-y, further supported by USD trend

• Brent declined to an average $102/bbl in 3Q14; crude supply conditions improved light/sweet

differentials

• First quarter reporting domestic demand growth (+3%) since 2009 crisis; improved auto fuels market

shares

Financials: Strong Clean results and operating cashflow

• 3Q14 Adjusted EBITDA at €146m (€74m LY); improved contribution across all businesses and

Elefsina record performance; Adj. Net Income at €24m (€1m LY)

• Lower 9M fixed cost by 12% (y-o-y), performance improvement projects added €24m in 3Q14

• Reported results affected by the $25/bbl (June – Oct) drop in crude oil prices

• Net Debt at €1.8bn, with gearing at 46%

Financing & Strategy update: Benefits of refinancing and progress on key projects

• Recent DCM issuance allowed early prepayment and renegotiation of more expensive bank debt;

strategy on cash and bank facilities under evaluation, post successful Greek banks stress-test results

• DESFA transaction approved by DG Energy and RAE; DG Comp still in progress

• EGM scheduled ahead of year-end in line with L. 4172/13 reserves taxation and distribution

27

Page 29: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

$/bbl

1.15

1.20

1.25

1.30

1.35

1.40

1.45

$/€

01/07/2014

110.5

INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT Improved regional crude markets and stronger USD q-o-q

• Increased supply especially for

light/sweet grades led market prices

to a 2-year low

ICE Brent ($/bbl)

EURUSD Exchange Rate ($/€)

• Stronger USD q-o-q, with benefits for

refining

• 2 years low for € at 1.26 resulting in

FX MtM losses

28

30/09/2014

94.8

2013 2014

9m 1.32 1.36

3Q 1.33 1.33

01/07/2014

1.37

30/09/2014

1.26

2013 2014

9m 108.4 106.6

3Q 110.3 101.9

Page 30: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

-1.00

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT Sweet-sour differentials affected by crude availability in the region

Source: 1312_Section 1 Paws_Cracks_Margins_Market Data Data

received from GDO Brent – Urals spread ($/bbl)

• Regional crude availability and

refinery maintenance kept Urals

discount to Brent at $1/bbl area

• Lower Urals participation at 36% in

ELPE crude slate during 3Q14

29

Brent – WTI spread ($/bbl)

2013 2014

9m 10.32 7.41

3Q 3.84 6.15

2013 2014

9m 0.38 1.08

3Q (0.33) 0.99

• Brent – WTI spread tighter q-o-q; still

US refineries ran at record rates

Page 31: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

Hydrocracking

INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT Improved product cracks and crude supply conditions led benchmark margins to 20-month

highs

30

Med benchmark margins ($/bbl)

MOGAS

HSFO

ULSD 4.6

2.3

1.7

2.4

1.01.0

3.5

4.1

4.7

3Q14 2Q14 1Q14 2013 4Q13 3Q13 2Q13 1Q13 2012

5.1

3.2

4.13.7

4.7

2.92.4

4.7

5.4

3Q13

+74%

3Q14 2Q14 1Q14 2013 4Q13 2Q13 1Q13 2012

(*) Brent based

Naphtha

Product Cracks* ($/bbl)

FCC

-40.0

-30.0

-20.0

-10.0

2013 2014

-15.0

-12.0

-9.0

-6.0

-3.0

0.0

2013 2014

Page 32: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

DOMESTIC MARKET ENVIRONMENT First positive sign on local fuel demand since 2009 in 3Q14; auto fuels demand supported by

strong tourism season

31

10%

-7%

-12%

601 614

186 203

-1%

2Q14

1,502

634

51

2Q13

1,512

675

50

Domestic Market demand (MT ‘000*)

457 494

426361

150168

-3%

1Q14

1,588

565

1Q13

1,645

612

HGO

ADO

MOGAS

LPG & Others

9%

8%

-5%

(*) Does not include PPC and armed forces

Source: Ministry of Energy, Environment and Climate Change

620 672

220 242

1,625

+3%

3Q14

711

1,580

3Q13

740

10%

8%

-4%

Page 33: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

3Q 2014 FINANCIAL RESULTS GROUP PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT

(*) Includes derecognition of Elefsina project hedges (non-recurring)

(**) Includes 35% share of operating profit of DEPA Group 32

FY IFRS FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 3Q 9M

2013 € MILLION 2013 2014 Δ % 2013 2014 Δ %

9,674 Sales 2,650 2,633 (1%) 7,447 7,096 (5%)

(9,369) Cost of sales (2,506) (2,533) (1%) (7,243) (6,804) 6%

305 Gross profit 144 100 (30%) 204 291 42%

(448) Selling, distribution and administrative expenses (109) (111) (1%) (322) (319) 1%

(3) Exploration expenses (0) (1) - (2) (2) (9%)

(50) Other operating (expenses) / income - net* 2 3 68% (1) 3 -

(195) Operating profit (loss) 36 (8) - (121) (27) 78%

(209) Finance costs - net (55) (59) (9%) (157) (166) (6%)

9 Currency exchange gains /(losses) 1 (9) - 10 (10) -

57 Share of operating profit of associates** 12 (1) - 51 23 (55%)

(338) Profit before income tax (5) (78) - (216) (180) 17%

66 Income tax expense / (credit) 9 29 - 42 39 (7%)

(272) Profit for the period 4 (49) - (174) (141) 19%

3 Minority Interest (2) (1) 47% 3 2 (32%)

(269) Net Income (Loss) 2 (50) - (171) (139) 19%

(0.88) Basic and diluted EPS (in €) 0.01 (0.17) - (0.56) (0.45) 19%

29 Reported EBITDA 75 45 (40%) 40 123 -

Page 34: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

33

3Q 2014 FINANCIAL RESULTS GROUP BALANCE SHEET

(*) 35% share of DEPA Group book value (consolidated as an associate)

IFRS FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FY 9M

€ MILLION 2013 2014

Non-current assets

Tangible and Intangible assets 3,607 3,538

Investments in affiliated companies* 692 676

Other non-current assets 172 205

4,470 4,419Current assets

Inventories 1,005 1,056

Trade and other receivables 743 712

Cash and cash equivalents 960 1,279

2,707 3,047

Total assets 7,177 7,466

Shareholders equity 2,099 1,956

Minority interest 116 112

Total equity 2,214 2,068

Non- current liabilities

Borrowings 1,312 1,826

Other non-current liabilities 164 154

1,475 1,980Current liabilities

Trade and other payables 2,125 2,170

Borrowings 1,338 1,235

Other current liabilities 24 14

3,488 3,419

Total liabilities 4,963 5,399

Total equity and liabilities 7,177 7,466

Page 35: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

3Q 2014 FINANCIAL RESULTS GROUP CASH FLOW

34

FY IFRS FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 9M 9M

2013 € MILLION 2013 2014

Cash flows from operating activities

502 Cash generated from operations (218) 130

(9) Income and other taxes paid (6) (21)

493 Net cash (used in) / generated from operating activities (224) 109

Cash flows from investing activities

(105) Purchase of property, plant and equipment & intangible assets (56) (85)

(7) Acquisition of subsidiary - -

4 Sale of property, plant and equipment & intangible assets 4 1

8 Interest received 5 5

(3) Investments in associates (3) -

13 Dividends received 13 38

(90) Net cash used in investing activities (37) (41)

Cash flows from financing activities

(184) Interest paid (127) (142)

(46) Dividends paid (46) (2)

1,276 Proceeds from borrowings 1,276 1,096

(1,384) Repayment of borrowings (1,245) (724)

(338) Net cash generated from / (used in ) financing activities (142) 228

65 Net increase/(decrease) in cash & cash equivalents (403) 296

901 Cash & cash equivalents at the beginning of the period 901 960

(6) Exchange gains/(losses) on cash & cash equivalents (2) 23

65 Net increase/(decrease) in cash & cash equivalents (403) 296

960 Cash & cash equivalents at end of the period 496 1,279

Page 36: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

(*) Calculated as Reported less the Inventory effects and other non-operating items

3Q 2014 FINANCIAL RESULTS SEGMENTAL ANALYSIS – I

35

FY 3Q 9M

2013 € million, IFRS 2013 2014 Δ% 2013 2014 Δ%

Reported EBITDA

-80 Refining, Supply & Trading 25 -14 - -63 -1 98%

63 Marketing 35 41 15% 61 73 18%

53 Petrochemicals 17 19 14% 44 56 27%

36 Core Business 77 47 -40% 43 128 -

-8 Other (incl. E&P) -2 -1 40% -3 -5 -62%

29 Total 75 45 -40% 40 123 -

102 Associates (Power & Gas) share attributable to Group 24 2 -91% 75 55 -27%

Adjusted EBITDA (*)

57 Refining, Supply & Trading 23 86 - 33 120 -

68 Marketing 35 41 16% 57 75 31%

57 Petrochemicals 17 19 14% 46 56 22%

183 Core Business 76 147 93% 136 251 84%

-5 Other (incl. E&P) -2 -1 40% -3 -5 -62%

178 Total 74 146 98% 133 246 85%

102 Associates (Power & Gas) share attributable to Group 24 2 -91% 75 55 -27%

Adjusted EBIT (*)

-97 Refining, Supply & Trading 1 50 - -74 21 -

13 Marketing 23 27 21% 16 35 -

45 Petrochemicals 13 17 33% 34 47 37%

-39 Core Business 36 95 - -23 103 -

-7 Other (incl. E&P) -2 -2 8% -4 -6 -79%

-46 Total 34 93 - -27 96 -

57 Associates (Power & Gas) share attributable to Group 12 0 - 51 23 -55%

Page 37: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

3Q 2014 FINANCIAL RESULTS SEGMENTAL ANALYSIS – II

36

FY 3Q 9M

2013 € million, IFRS 2013 2014 Δ% 2013 2014 Δ%

Volumes (M/T'000)

12,696 Refining, Supply & Trading 3,397 3,581 5% 9,782 9,557 -2%

4,043 Marketing 1,183 1,278 8% 3,077 3,057 -1%

295 Petrochemicals 79 58 -27% 222 172 -23%

17,035 Total - Core Business 4,659 4,917 6% 13,081 12,786 -2%

Sales

9,078 Refining, Supply & Trading 2,488 2,451 -1% 7,017 6,602 -6%

3,345 Marketing 991 1,021 3% 2,564 2,479 -3%

327 Petrochemicals 84 81 -3% 243 238 -2%

12,750 Core Business 3,563 3,554 0% 9,824 9,319 -5%

-3,076 Intersegment & other -914 -920 16% -2,378 -2,224 6%

9,674 Total 2,650 2,634 -1% 7,447 7,096 -5%

Capital Employed

2,248 Refining, Supply & Trading 2,753 2,224 -19%

775 Marketing 959 711 -26%

129 Petrochemicals 141 153 9%

3,152 Core Business 3,852 3,088 -20%

692 Associates (Power & Gas) 685 676 -1%

62 Other (incl. E&P) 67 86 29%

3,905 Total 4,604 3,849 -16%

Page 38: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

37

Glossary of Key Terms

Adjusted EBITDA Reported EBITDA adjusted by inventory effect (impact of the fluctuation of crude prices on BS inventories

and on the value of products sold during the related period) and other one-off non recurring items

CCGT Combined Cycle Gas Turbine

FCC Fluid Catalytic Cracking

HDC Hydrocracking

HS Hydroskimming

HSFO High Sulfur Fuel Oil

IPP Independent Power Producer

Leverage ratio Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA (including associates share of net income)

LNG Liquefied Natural Gas

NatGas Natural Gas

Nelson Complexity Index (NCI) An index assessing the refinery conversion capacity by relating each processing unit capacity against the

crude distillation capacity and applying weighting factor.

Pro forma leverage ratio Net Debt (excluding debt equal to investment in associates ) / Adjusted EBITDA

Pro forma leverage on mid cycle

historical EBITDA (2010-2012 avg)

Net Debt (excluding investment in associates ) / Adjusted EBITDA(2010-2012 avg)

POIH Paneuropean Oil and Industrial Holdings (POIH)

PP Polypropylene

Solomon Comlexity Index Compares the relative refining configuration apart from throughput capacity. It is the total of EDC

(Equivalent Distillation Capacity) divided by the sum of the crude unit stream-day capacities.

ULSD Ultra-low-sulphur diesel (ULSD)

Page 39: Hellenic Petroleum – A Leading Energy Group in SE Europe...(Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market 5 MT 3 MT Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based) 2 MT 5 MT Aspropyrgos

38

Disclaimer

Forward looking statements

Hellenic Petroleum do not in general publish forecasts regarding their future financial

results. The financial forecasts contained in this document are based on a series of

assumptions, which are subject to the occurrence of events that can neither be

reasonably foreseen by Hellenic Petroleum, nor are within Hellenic Petroleum's control.

The said forecasts represent management's estimates, and should be treated as mere

estimates. There is no certainty that the actual financial results of Hellenic Petroleum

will be in line with the forecasted ones.

In particular, the actual results may differ (even materially) from the forecasted ones

due to, among other reasons, changes in the financial conditions within Greece,

fluctuations in the prices of crude oil and oil products in general, as well as fluctuations

in foreign currencies rates, international petrochemicals prices, changes in supply and

demand and changes of weather conditions. Consequently, it should be stressed that

Hellenic Petroleum do not, and could not reasonably be expected to, provide any

representation or guarantee, with respect to the creditworthiness of the forecasts.

This presentation also contains certain financial information and key performance

indicators which are primarily focused at providing a “business” perspective and as a

consequence may not be presented in accordance with International Financial

Reporting Standards (IFRS).


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