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Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 [email protected]
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Page 1: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Hotel Pro Forma Development

Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC

(202) 640-8912 [email protected]

Page 2: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Disclaimer All slides in this presentation are the intellectual property of Stage Capital, LLC and Roger Staiger, FRICS. Use of these slides is only permitted when presented by Roger Staiger, FRICS or a designee of Stage Capital, LLC. Further distribution is strictly prohibited.

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 2 of 33

Page 3: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

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Structure 4-Part Sessions: 2-hours each Summary Page (1st half) [Complete] Development/Draw Page [Complete] Pro Forma [Complete] Pulling it all together Amortization Valuation Bottom half of Summary Page

Roger Staiger III [email protected]

Page 4: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

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Hotel Pro Forma Model 125 Key Hotel 75,000 SF; 10,000 Banquet SF

Full Service Development/Construction/Stabilize Focused on BASIC Modeling skills Result: completed scalable and

modular Hotel pro forma model Roger Staiger III [email protected]

Page 5: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Model Summary 125 Keys with Banquet space (Pretax

analysis) Occupancy Rate Average Daily Rate/Escalation Capital Sourcing Develop Costs (HC = $57.0m) Valuation

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 5 of 33

Page 6: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

6 of 33

Structure/Logic Flow

Roger Staiger III [email protected]

Summary Page

Pro Forma Page (s3)

Amortization Page (s4)

Inputs Section (s1)

Analysis (s4)

Development Page (s2)

Circular Reference

Page 7: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

7 of 33

Inputs Page (1 of 2)

Roger Staiger III [email protected]

$ $/Key Revenue Year 1 2 3 Escalation MetricSources 70,687,627                  565,501        Rooms

Equity 17,671,907                  141,375        Occupancy 68% 72% 75%Investor 1 17,671,907                   141,375         Average Daily Rate 280.00           290.00           300.00           3% PORInvestor 2

Debt 53,015,720                  424,126        Food & BeverageTranche 1 53,015,720                   424,126         Restaurant 50.00             65.00             70.00             3% PORTranche 2 Lounge 20.00             25.00             30.00             3% POR

Banquet 525.00           575.00           650.00           3% PBSFUses 70,687,627                  565,501        Other Food & Beverage

Land & Related 6,500,000                     52,000          General & Administrative 1,750,000                     14,000           Other DepartmentsDev Chrgs & Mun Costs 1,080,000                     8,640             Telephone/Internet 1.00               1.00               1.00               1% PORHard Cost Construction 56,475,000                   451,800         Garage 5.00               7.00               8.00               3% PORBuidling Operations 2,175,000                     17,400           Gift Shop 1.00               2.00               2.00               3% PORFinancing Expense 2,707,627                     21,661           Spa 1,000,000     1,200,000     1,500,000     5% Total $

Other Rents & Commissions 8.00               9.00               10.00             3% PORSurplus/(Deficit) 0                                    Other

PV Reversion 72,226,968                  85.33% CharacteristicsPV Operating 12,418,101                  14.67% Number of Rooms 125Total 84,645,069                  Total Area (sf) 75,000          CF0 (18,649,002)                Banquet Area (sf) 10,000          New Present Value 65,996,066                 IRR 25.05% DSCR Cash‐on‐Cash

Average 1.67               Average ‐98.81%Minimum 0.78               Minimum ‐193.00%

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Input Page (2 of 2)

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 8 of 33

Expense Year 1 2 3 Escalation Metric Finance I/PDepartment ConstructionRooms 32.0% 31.0% 30.0% % Rev LtV Const_LtV 75%Restaurant 85.0% 80.0% 80.0% % Rev PrincipalLounge 65.0% 60.0% 60.0% % Rev Term (Years)Banquet 80.0% 72.0% 70.0% % Rev Interest Rate 6.00%Other F&B % Rev Interest Only YTelephone/Internet 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % Rev Origination Fee 1.00%Garage 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% % RevGift Shop 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% % Rev PermanentSpa 85.0% 80.0% 75.0% % Rev LtV Perm_LtV 75%Other Rents & Commissions 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% % Rev Principal Perm_Princ 53,015,720   Other % Rev Month Take‐Out

Term (Years) 30Unallocated Departments Interest Rate 5%General & Administrative 30.00            31.00            32.00            3% PAR Interest Only YRepairs & Maintenance 22.40            22.40            22.40            3% PAR Origination Fee 0.50%Sales & Marketing 22.40            22.40            22.40            3% PARUtilities 0.50              0.50              0.50              3% PSF Valuation I/POther Capitalization Rate 8%

Sales Expense 10%Other Deductions Discount Rate 6%Management Fee 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% % Ttl RevFF&E Rep and Capital Reserves 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% % Ttl Rev Sales Period 10Property Taxes 600,000        625,000        650,000        3% Total $Insurance 100,000        100,000        100,000        4% Total $Permits & Licenses 20,000          20,000          20,000          2% Total $Equipment Rental 40,000          40,000          40,000          3% Total $Other

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9 of 33

Development Page (1 of 3)

Roger Staiger III [email protected]

Development Start 1‐Jan‐14Construction Months 24Opening Date 1‐Jan‐16

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Cost Item Jan‐14 Feb‐14 Mar‐14 Apr‐14 May‐14 Jun‐14 Jul‐14 Aug‐14 Sep‐14 Oct‐14 Nov‐14 Dec‐14

Land & Related Land_Rela 6,500,000 Land & Related 6,500,000 100.00%

General & Administrative G_A 1,750,000 Legal Fees 200,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Development Management Fees 600,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Insurance & Warranty 650,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Other G&A 300,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%

Dev Chrgs & Mun Costs Dev_Chrg_ 1,080,000 Development Charges 850,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Building Permits 200,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Municipal Costs 30,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%

Hard Cost Construction HC_Const 56,475,000 General Costs 3,500,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Site Work 1,100,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Concrete Work 7,200,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Masonry  400,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Metals 950,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Carpentry & Millwork 5,100,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Moisture Protection 440,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Windows & Doors 7,100,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Finishing 8,300,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Specialities 1,250,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Equipment 2,100,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Furnishings 7,500,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Special Construction 135,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Conveying System 1,300,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Mechanical 4,100,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Electrical 2,250,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Contingency 3,750,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%

Buidling Operations Building_O 2,175,000 Pre‐Opening Expenses 1,850,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%Working Capital Contribution 325,000 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17% 4.17%

Financing Expense Fnan_Exp 2,707,627 Construction Loan Interest 2,442,548 Financing Fee 265,079 100.00%

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Development Page (2 of 3)

Roger Staiger III [email protected]

Cost Item

Land & Related 6,500,000            ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐               Land & Related 6,500,000             ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐               

General & Administrative 72,917                 72,917           72,917           72,917           72,917           72,917         72,917         72,917         72,917         72,917         72,917         72,917        Legal Fees 8,333                    8,333              8,333              8,333              8,333              8,333            8,333            8,333            8,333            8,333            8,333            8,333           Development Management Fees 25,000                  25,000            25,000            25,000            25,000            25,000          25,000          25,000          25,000          25,000          25,000          25,000         Insurance & Warranty 27,083                  27,083            27,083            27,083            27,083            27,083          27,083          27,083          27,083          27,083          27,083          27,083         Other G&A 12,500                  12,500            12,500            12,500            12,500            12,500          12,500          12,500          12,500          12,500          12,500          12,500         

Dev Chrgs & Mun Costs 45,000                 45,000           45,000           45,000           45,000           45,000         45,000         45,000         45,000         45,000         45,000         45,000        Development Charges 35,417                  35,417            35,417            35,417            35,417            35,417          35,417          35,417          35,417          35,417          35,417          35,417         Building Permits 8,333                    8,333              8,333              8,333              8,333              8,333            8,333            8,333            8,333            8,333            8,333            8,333           Municipal Costs 1,250                    1,250              1,250              1,250              1,250              1,250            1,250            1,250            1,250            1,250            1,250            1,250           

Hard Cost Construction 2,353,125            2,353,125      2,353,125      2,353,125      2,353,125      2,353,125   2,353,125   2,353,125   2,353,125   2,353,125   2,353,125   2,353,125  General Costs 145,833                145,833          145,833          145,833          145,833          145,833        145,833        145,833        145,833        145,833        145,833        145,833       Site Work 45,833                  45,833            45,833            45,833            45,833            45,833          45,833          45,833          45,833          45,833          45,833          45,833         Concrete Work 300,000                300,000          300,000          300,000          300,000          300,000        300,000        300,000        300,000        300,000        300,000        300,000       Masonry  16,667                  16,667            16,667            16,667            16,667            16,667          16,667          16,667          16,667          16,667          16,667          16,667         Metals 39,583                  39,583            39,583            39,583            39,583            39,583          39,583          39,583          39,583          39,583          39,583          39,583         Carpentry & Millwork 212,500                212,500          212,500          212,500          212,500          212,500        212,500        212,500        212,500        212,500        212,500        212,500       Moisture Protection 18,333                  18,333            18,333            18,333            18,333            18,333          18,333          18,333          18,333          18,333          18,333          18,333         Windows & Doors 295,833                295,833          295,833          295,833          295,833          295,833        295,833        295,833        295,833        295,833        295,833        295,833       Finishing 345,833                345,833          345,833          345,833          345,833          345,833        345,833        345,833        345,833        345,833        345,833        345,833       Specialities 52,083                  52,083            52,083            52,083            52,083            52,083          52,083          52,083          52,083          52,083          52,083          52,083         Equipment 87,500                  87,500            87,500            87,500            87,500            87,500          87,500          87,500          87,500          87,500          87,500          87,500         Furnishings 312,500                312,500          312,500          312,500          312,500          312,500        312,500        312,500        312,500        312,500        312,500        312,500       Special Construction 5,625                    5,625              5,625              5,625              5,625              5,625            5,625            5,625            5,625            5,625            5,625            5,625           Conveying System 54,167                  54,167            54,167            54,167            54,167            54,167          54,167          54,167          54,167          54,167          54,167          54,167         Mechanical 170,833                170,833          170,833          170,833          170,833          170,833        170,833        170,833        170,833        170,833        170,833        170,833       Electrical 93,750                  93,750            93,750            93,750            93,750            93,750          93,750          93,750          93,750          93,750          93,750          93,750         Contingency 156,250                156,250          156,250          156,250          156,250          156,250        156,250        156,250        156,250        156,250        156,250        156,250       

Buidling Operations 90,625                 90,625           90,625           90,625           90,625           90,625         90,625         90,625         90,625         90,625         90,625         90,625        Pre‐Opening Expenses 77,083                  77,083            77,083            77,083            77,083            77,083          77,083          77,083          77,083          77,083          77,083          77,083         Working Capital Contribution 13,542                  13,542            13,542            13,542            13,542            13,542          13,542          13,542          13,542          13,542          13,542          13,542         

Financing Expense 265,079               ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐               Construction Loan InterestFinancing Fee 265,079                ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐                ‐               

Total Project Development Budget less Loan Interest 9,326,745            2,561,667      2,561,667      2,561,667      2,561,667      2,561,667   2,561,667   2,561,667   2,561,667   2,561,667   2,561,667   2,561,667  

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Development Page (3 of 3)

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 11 of 33

Development Cash Flow:Equity BoP 17,671,907          8,345,162       5,783,495       3,221,827       660,161          ‐                ‐               Equity Draw 9,326,745             2,561,667       2,561,667       2,561,667       660,161          ‐                ‐               Equity EoP 8,345,162             5,783,495       3,221,828       660,161          ‐                  ‐                ‐               Equity FV * Financial Close 18,649,002         10,262,745          2,807,051       2,795,403       2,783,804       714,430          ‐                ‐               

Construction Debt BoP ‐                        ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  1,901,505    4,472,679   Construction Debt Interest 2,442,548           ‐                        ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  9,508            22,363         Construction Debt Draw ‐                        ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  1,901,506       2,561,667    2,561,667   Construction Debt EoP ‐                        ‐                  ‐                  ‐                  1,901,506       4,472,679    7,056,709   

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Pro Forma Page (1 of 3)

Roger Staiger III [email protected]

Periods 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Days 31 29 31 30 31 30 31 31 30 31 30 31Month Jan‐16 Feb‐16 Mar‐16 Apr‐16 May‐16 Jun‐16 Jul‐16 Aug‐16 Sep‐16 Oct‐16 Nov‐16 Dec‐16

Operations Year 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Occupancy 68.00% 68.00% 68.00% 68.00% 68.00% 68.00% 68.00% 68.00% 68.00% 68.00% 68.00% 68.00%Average Daily Rate 280.00                280.00        280.00       280.00       280.00     280.00     280.00     280.00     280.00     280.00     280.00     280.00    RevPar 190.40                190.40        190.40       190.40       190.40     190.40     190.40     190.40     190.40     190.40     190.40     190.40    

Occupied Rooms 2,635                  2,465           2,635          2,550          2,635       2,550       2,635       2,635       2,550       2,635       2,550       2,635      Available Rooms 3,875                  3,625           3,875          3,750          3,875       3,750       3,875       3,875       3,750       3,875       3,750       3,875      

Department RevenueRooms 737,800              690,200      737,800     714,000     737,800   714,000   737,800   737,800   714,000   737,800   714,000   737,800  Restaurant 131,750              123,250      131,750     127,500     131,750   127,500   131,750   131,750   127,500   131,750   127,500   131,750  Lounge 52,700                49,300         52,700        51,000        52,700     51,000     52,700     52,700     51,000     52,700     51,000     52,700    Banquet 445,890              417,123      445,890     431,507     445,890   431,507   445,890   445,890   431,507   445,890   431,507   445,890  Other Food & Beverage

Total Food & Beverage 630,340             589,673      630,340     610,007     630,340  610,007  630,340  630,340  610,007  630,340  610,007  630,340 Telephone 2,635                  2,465           2,635          2,550          2,635       2,550       2,635       2,635       2,550       2,635       2,550       2,635      Garage 13,175                12,325         13,175        12,750        13,175     12,750     13,175     13,175     12,750     13,175     12,750     13,175    Gift Shop 2,635                  2,465           2,635          2,550          2,635       2,550       2,635       2,635       2,550       2,635       2,550       2,635      Spa 84,932                79,452         84,932        82,192        84,932     82,192     84,932     84,932     82,192     84,932     82,192     84,932    Other Rents & Commissions 21,080                19,720         21,080        20,400        21,080     20,400     21,080     21,080     20,400     21,080     20,400     21,080    Other

Total Revenue 1,492,597         1,396,300  ######## ######## ####### ####### ####### ####### ####### ####### ####### #######

Department ExpensesRooms 236,096              220,864      236,096     228,480     236,096   228,480   236,096   236,096   228,480   236,096   228,480   236,096  Restaurant 111,988              104,763      111,988     108,375     111,988   108,375   111,988   111,988   108,375   111,988   108,375   111,988  Lounge 34,255                32,045         34,255        33,150        34,255     33,150     34,255     34,255     33,150     34,255     33,150     34,255    Banquet 356,712              333,699      356,712     345,205     356,712   345,205   356,712   356,712   345,205   356,712   345,205   356,712  Other Food & Beverage ‐                      ‐               ‐              ‐              ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐          

Total Food & Beverage 502,955             470,506      502,955     486,730     502,955  486,730  502,955  502,955  486,730  502,955  486,730  502,955 Telephone 2,635                  2,465           2,635          2,550          2,635       2,550       2,635       2,635       2,550       2,635       2,550       2,635      Garage 6,588                  6,163           6,588          6,375          6,588       6,375       6,588       6,588       6,375       6,588       6,375       6,588      Gift Shop 2,372                  2,219           2,372          2,295          2,372       2,295       2,372       2,372       2,295       2,372       2,295       2,372      Spa 72,192                67,534         72,192        69,863        72,192     69,863     72,192     72,192     69,863     72,192     69,863     72,192    Other Rents & Commissions 1,054                  986              1,054          1,020          1,054       1,020       1,054       1,054       1,020       1,054       1,020       1,054      Other ‐                      ‐               ‐              ‐              ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐          

Total Department Expenses 823,891             770,736      823,891     797,313     823,891  797,313  823,891  823,891  797,313  823,891  797,313  823,891 

Gross Operating Profit 668,706             625,564      668,706     647,135     668,706  647,135  668,706  668,706  647,135  668,706  647,135  668,706 

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Pro Forma Page (2 of 3)

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 13 of 33

Unallocated DepartmentsGeneral & Administrative 0.07788439 116,250              108,750      116,250     112,500     116,250   112,500   116,250   116,250   112,500   116,250   112,500   116,250  Repairs & Maintenance 0.058153678 86,800                81,200         86,800        84,000        86,800     84,000     86,800     86,800     84,000     86,800     84,000     86,800    Sale & Marketing 0.058153678 86,800                81,200         86,800        84,000        86,800     84,000     86,800     86,800     84,000     86,800     84,000     86,800    Utilities 0.025123997 37,500                37,500         37,500        37,500        37,500     37,500     37,500     37,500     37,500     37,500     37,500     37,500    Other

Total Unallocated Departments 327,350             308,650      327,350     318,000     327,350  318,000  327,350  327,350  318,000  327,350  318,000  327,350 

Other DeductionsManagement Fee 44,778                41,889         44,778        43,333        44,778     43,333     44,778     44,778     43,333     44,778     43,333     44,778    FF&E Rep and Capital Rsvs 44,778                41,889         44,778        43,333        44,778     43,333     44,778     44,778     43,333     44,778     43,333     44,778    Property Taxes 50,959                47,671         50,959        49,315        50,959     49,315     50,959     50,959     49,315     50,959     49,315     50,959    Insurance 8,493                  7,945           8,493          8,219          8,493       8,219       8,493       8,493       8,219       8,493       8,219       8,493      Permits & Licenses 1,699                  1,589           1,699          1,644          1,699       1,644       1,699       1,699       1,644       1,699       1,644       1,699      Equipment Rental 3,397                  3,178           3,397          3,288          3,397       3,288       3,397       3,397       3,288       3,397       3,288       3,397      Other

Total Other Deductions 154,104             144,162      154,104     149,133     154,104  149,133  154,104  154,104  149,133  154,104  149,133  154,104 Furnitures, Fixtures and EquipmentNet Operating Income 187,253             172,752      187,253     180,002     187,253  180,002  187,253  187,253  180,002  187,253  180,002  187,253 

DebtTranche 1 220,899              220,899      220,899     220,899     220,899   220,899   220,899   220,899   220,899   220,899   220,899   220,899  Tranche 2

Total Debt 220,899             220,899      220,899     220,899     220,899  220,899  220,899  220,899  220,899  220,899  220,899  220,899 

Sales ProceedsSales Price ‐                      ‐              ‐             ‐             ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐          

Sales Expense ‐                      ‐              ‐             ‐             ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐          Principal Repay ‐ Tranche 1 ‐                      ‐              ‐             ‐             ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐          Principal Repay ‐ Tranche 2

Net Sales Proceeds ‐                      ‐              ‐             ‐             ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐          

Reversion FCF ‐                      ‐              ‐             ‐             ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐          Operating FCF (33,646)              (48,146)      (33,646)     (40,896)     (33,646)   (40,896)   (33,646)   (33,646)   (40,896)   (33,646)   (40,896)   (33,646)  

Total FCF (33,646)              (48,146)      (33,646)     (40,896)     (33,646)   (40,896)   (33,646)   (33,646)   (40,896)   (33,646)   (40,896)   (33,646)  

Page 14: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Pro Forma Page (3 of 3) (Valuation) (Today)

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 14 of 33

Valuation: Dec‐15 Jan‐16 Feb‐16 Mar‐16 Apr‐16 May‐16 Jun‐16 Jul‐16 Aug‐16 Sep‐16 Oct‐16 Nov‐16 Dec‐16Equity (18,649,002)      Reversion FCF ‐                      ‐              ‐             ‐             ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐           ‐          Operating FCF (33,646)              (48,146)      (33,646)     (40,896)     (33,646)   (40,896)   (33,646)   (33,646)   (40,896)   (33,646)   (40,896)   (33,646)  

(18,649,002)        (33,646)               (48,146)       (33,646)      (40,896)      (33,646)    (40,896)    (33,646)    (33,646)    (40,896)    (33,646)    (40,896)    (33,646)   

DSCR 0.85                    0.78            0.85           0.81           0.85         0.81         0.85         0.85         0.81         0.85         0.81         0.85        Average 1.67                   Minimum 0.78                   

*RevPar Index (Star Report)Cash‐on‐Cash ‐0.18% ‐0.26% ‐0.18% ‐0.22% ‐0.18% ‐0.22% ‐0.18% ‐0.18% ‐0.22% ‐0.18% ‐0.22% ‐0.18%

Average 0.79%Minimum ‐0.26%

PV Reversion 72,226,968        85.33%PV Operating 12,418,101        14.67%Total 84,645,069        100.00%CF0 (18,649,002)      New Present Value 65,996,066       IRR 25.05%

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Amortization Page (Today)

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 15 of 33

PermanentPrincipal 53,015,720   Interest 5.00%Term 30I/O Y

# BoP Principal Interest Payment EoP Annual1 53,015,720    ‐                   220,899      220,899   53,015,720   2 53,015,720    ‐                   220,899      220,899   53,015,720   3 53,015,720    ‐                   220,899      220,899   53,015,720   4 53,015,720    ‐                   220,899      220,899   53,015,720   5 53,015,720    ‐                   220,899      220,899   53,015,720   6 53,015,720    ‐                   220,899      220,899   53,015,720   7 53,015,720    ‐                   220,899      220,899   53,015,720   8 53,015,720    ‐                   220,899      220,899   53,015,720   9 53,015,720    ‐                   220,899      220,899   53,015,720   10 53,015,720    ‐                   220,899      220,899   53,015,720   11 53,015,720    ‐                   220,899      220,899   53,015,720   12 53,015,720    ‐                   220,899      220,899   53,015,720    2,650,786 

Page 16: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Annual Summary (1 of 2) (Today)

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Annual Summary: Year 1 2 3 4 5 6Revenue

Rooms 8,710,800          9,526,500     10,265,625   10,573,594   10,920,639   11,217,526  F&B Total 7,442,084          8,706,500     9,921,875     10,219,531   10,554,956   10,841,901  Telephone 31,110                32,850           34,219           34,561           35,002           35,256          Garage 155,550              229,950         273,750         281,963         291,217         299,134        Gift Shop 31,110                65,700           68,438           70,491           72,804           74,784          Spa 1,002,740          1,200,000     1,500,000     1,575,000     1,658,281     1,736,438    Other Rents & Commissions 248,880              295,650         342,188         352,453         364,021         373,918        Other ‐                      ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                

Total Revenue 17,622,273       20,057,150  22,406,094  23,107,592  23,896,921  24,578,954 

ExpenseDepartment

Rooms 2,787,456          2,953,215     3,079,688     3,172,078     3,276,192     3,365,258    F&B Total 5,938,112          6,340,950     7,082,188     7,294,653     7,534,078     7,738,898    Telephone 31,110                32,850           34,219           34,561           35,002           35,256          Garage 77,775                114,975         136,875         140,981         145,609         149,567        Gift Shop 27,999                59,130           61,594           63,442           65,524           67,305          Spa 852,329              960,000         1,125,000     1,181,250     1,243,711     1,302,328    Other Rents & Commissions 12,444                14,783           17,109           17,623           18,201           18,696          Other ‐                      ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                Total Department 9,727,225         10,475,903  11,536,672  11,904,588  12,318,316  12,677,307 

Gross Profit 7,895,049         9,581,248    10,869,422  11,203,005  11,578,605  11,901,648 

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Annual Summary (2 of 2) (Today)

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Unallocated DepartmentsGeneral & Administrative 1,372,500          1,414,375     1,460,000     1,503,800     1,553,158     1,595,381    Repairs & Maintenance 1,024,800          1,022,000     1,022,000     1,052,660     1,087,210     1,116,767    Sale & Marketing 1,024,800          1,022,000     1,022,000     1,052,660     1,087,210     1,116,767    Utilities 450,000              450,000         450,000         463,500         477,405         491,727        Other ‐                      ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                Total Unallocated Depts 3,872,100         3,908,375    3,954,000    4,072,620    4,204,983    4,320,643   

Other DeductionsManagement Fee 528,668              601,715         672,183         693,228         716,908         737,369        FF&E Rep and Capital Rsvs 528,668              802,286         1,120,305     1,155,380     1,194,846     1,228,948    Property Taxes 601,644              625,000         650,000         669,500         691,474         710,273        Insurance 100,274              100,000         100,000         104,000         108,456         112,486        Permits & Licenses 20,055                20,000           20,000           20,400           20,865           21,224          Equipment Rental 40,110                40,000           40,000           41,200           42,552           43,709          Other ‐                      ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                Total Other Deductions 1,819,419         2,189,001    2,602,488    2,683,707    2,775,102    2,854,009   

Net Operating Income 2,203,530         3,483,872    4,312,934    4,446,677    4,598,520    4,726,996   

DebtTranche 1 2,650,786         2,650,786    2,650,786    2,650,786    2,650,786    2,650,786   Tranche 2 ‐                      ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                

Total Debt 2,650,786         2,650,786    2,650,786    2,650,786    2,650,786    2,650,786   

Net Sales Proceeds ‐                      ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                

Reversion FCF ‐                      ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                 ‐                Operations FCF (447,256)           833,086        1,662,148    1,795,891    1,947,734    2,076,210   Total FCF (447,256)           833,086        1,662,148    1,795,891    1,947,734    2,076,210   

Page 18: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Inputs - Characteristics Number of Rooms Total Area (sf) Banquet Area (sf)

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Page 19: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Sources Sources Equity Investor 1 Investor 2

Debt Tranche 1 (source) Tranche 2 (source)

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 19 of 33

Page 20: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Uses Uses Land & Related General & Administrative Development Charges & Municipal Costs Hard Cost Construction Building Operations Finance Expense

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 20 of 33

Page 21: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Input - Revenue Rooms Occupancy Average Daily Rate

Food & Beverage Restaurant Lounge Banquet Other F&B

Other Departments Telephone/Internet Garage Gift Shop Spa Other Rents &

Commissions Other

Roger Staiger III [email protected] Page 21 of 33

Page 22: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Input - Expense Department Rooms Restaurant Lounge Banquet Other F&B Telephone/Internet Garage Spa Rents & Commissions

Unallocated Dept. G&A Repairs & Maint Sales & Marketing Utilities

Roger Staiger III [email protected] Page 22 of 33

Page 23: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Input – Expense (Cont’d) Other Deductions Management Fee FF&E Rep and Capital Reserves Property Taxes Insurance Permits & Licenses Equipment Rental

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 23 of 33

Page 24: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Inputs - Finance Tranche 1 Principal Term(years) Interest Rate Interest Only Origination Fee

Tranche 2 Principal Term(years) Interest Rate Interest Only Origination Fee

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 24 of 33

Page 25: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Inputs - Valuation Capitalization Rate Sales Expense Discount Rate Sale Period (timing)

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 25 of 33

Page 26: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Scalability

The benefit(s) of successful pro forma modeling

Page 27: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Scalability (Incorporating the Waterfall)

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 27 of 33

Separation of cash flows according to owners’ agreement Separation of cash flows by yield, NOT by

order Order: Bank vanilla example

“Pref” Rate: Preference Rate Generally provided to Investor Acts as a coupon rate, e.g. Preferred Equity

Page 28: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Waterfall Diagram

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Pari Passu

“Pref” Rate15% good proxy for “Pref”1st Tier

Non Pari Passu split

2nd Tier 2nd Tier rate

N # Tiers

Nth Tier rate

Final Tier

Nth Tier

Example – Final DistributionX % to Promote to Sponsor(1‐X%) distribution Pari Passu

Page 29: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Waterfall Logic

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 29 of 33

15% IRR

20% IRR

20% + IRR

Sponsor10%

Sponsor20%

PromoteSponsor40%

Investor90%

Investor80%

Investor90%

Sponsor10%

Page 30: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

30 of 33

Waterfall Addition (100% Scalable)

Roger Staiger III [email protected]

Summary Page

Pro Forma Page (s3)

Amortization Page (s4) Inputs Section

(s1)

Analysis (s4)

Development Page (s2)

Circular Reference

Waterfall Page (Investor) (s5)

Page 31: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

ULI – Staiger (Upcoming Seminars)

1) Four part 2-hour series: How to build a Hotel pro forma model (Current Pro Forma Webinar)

2) Four part 2-hour series: Advanced Pro Forma Webinar (Multifamily Focus)

3) Two part 2-hour series: How to develop a waterfall

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 31 of 33

Page 32: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Stage Capital List-Serve Daily Capital Markets Summary Daily e-mail New research distributed Updates for Stage Capital Webinars and

information sessions Interested? E-mail Roger @: [email protected]

Roger Staiger III [email protected] 32 of 33

Page 33: Hotel Pro Forma Development - Amazon S3 · Hotel Pro Forma Development Roger Staiger, FRICS Stage Capital, LLC (202) 640-8912 rstaiger@stagecapitalllc.comFile Size: 237KBPage Count:

Questions?

Let’s Begin (see memorandum for detailed steps of

process at conclusion)


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