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IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002...

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IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory CIRA, Colorado State University Steven E. Koch NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory J.-W. Bao NOAA Research - Environmental Technology Laboratory
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Page 1: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004

MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002

Mariusz PagowskiMariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory

CIRA, Colorado State University

Steven E. Koch

NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory

J.-W. Bao

NOAA Research - Environmental Technology Laboratory

Page 2: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

Outline

Mesoscale Model Simulations

Comparison with Observations

Analysis

° Bore Origin

° Bore and the PBL

Conclusions

Page 3: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

Model Setup

Nested MM5 model (18, 6, 2, 0.666 km) initialized at 00Z 4 June 02 Initial / boundary conditions from hourly RUC-20 km analyses 44 vertical levels (22 below 1500 m) Ensemble based convective parameterization (Grell and Devenyi 2002) in two lower resolution domains Different Mellor-Yamada based 1.5-order closures (Burk-Thompson 1989, Eta Janjic 1994, QL with prognostic mixing length Mellor and Yamada 1982) Reisner microphysics and Smirnova land-surface model

Page 4: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

NWS Surface Reports and Model Results (6km)

0500 UTC

1000 UTC

Page 5: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

S-POL Radar Reflectivity and Model Results (6km)

0500 UTC 0730 UTC

Page 6: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

S-POL Radar Reflectivity and Model Results (2km)

Convergence / Divergence pattern

Page 7: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

S-POL Radar Reflectivity and Model Results (2km)

Convergence / Divergence pattern

Page 8: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

FM-CW, MAPR and Model Results (.6km)

Vertical velocity

Potential temperatureStructure function

Vertical velocity

Page 9: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

Bore Origin

Divergence / convergence movie

Front-relative velocity / relative humidity movie

Page 10: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

Bore Origin cont’d

Front-relative velocity

Relative humidity

Page 11: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

Bore Origin cont’d

2 2

2 2

1N uS

u c zu c

Wave trapping when Scorer parameter decreases with height (lee waves, Holton 1992, Crook 1988)

Wave dispersion (Mahapatra et al. 1991)

Wave generation by pressure disturbances (Simpson 1987, Baines 1995)

Page 12: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

Bore Origin cont’d

Vertical velocity / Scorer parameter movie

Page 13: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

Bore and the PBL

TKE/Shear production movie

Page 14: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

Bore and the PBL cont’d AERI Sounding and Model Results (.6km)

Potential temperature Mixing ratio

Page 15: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

Bore and the PBL cont’d

Surface temperature Surface relative humidity / mixing ratio

Page 16: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

Bore and the PBL cont’d

W-advection Turbulence

V-advectionU-advection

Page 17: IHOP Workshop, Toulouse, June 14-18, 2004 MODELING OF A BORE OBSERVED ON JUNE 04 DURING IHOP 2002 Mariusz Pagowski NOAA Research - Forecast Systems Laboratory.

Conclusions

MM5 simulations show some realism in reproducing a second bore observed on June 4, 2002 during IHOP. Simulations show sensitivity to initial conditions and small sensitivity to TKE based PBL parameterizations.

Bore in the model is generated when wind/pressure perturbations induced by precipitation reach a surface front. This result cannot be verified since there are no observations.

The bore developed into a wave-train. Modeled wave amplitude and length is close to the observed. Origin of the wave-train is related to the nonhydrostatic (dynamic) pressure disturbances on the frontal head but cannot be verified.

Cooling and moistening of the mixed in the bore’s wake is reproduced by the model and can be easily explained. Surface warming and drying also occurs in the model due to advection. The warming is smaller than observed.


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