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IT Infrastructure Services Sectoral Risk Outlook October, 2012. Dun & Bradstreet Information Services India Private Limited. ISIEmergingMarketsPDF in-ambit00 from 123.63.46.5 on 2014-05-21 11:17:47 EDT. DownloadPDF. Downloaded by in-ambit00 from 123.63.46.5 at 2014-05-21 11:17:47 EDT. ISI Emerging Markets. Unauthorized Distribution Prohibited.
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  • IT Infrastructure Services

    Sectoral Risk Outlook

    October, 2012.

    Dun & Bradstreet Information Services India Private Limited.

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook

    2012 Dun & Bradstreet All rights reserved.

    D&B and D-U-N-S are registered trademarks of Dun & Bradstreet.

    All other product names and brand names are trade names, service marks, trademarks, or

    registered trademarks of their respective owners.

    Disclaimer

    D&B has compiled this report using information from various sources. Although every effort has been

    made in checking the information given in this report, the accuracy and completeness of the same cannot

    be guaranteed. D&B shall not be responsible for the continued relevance of the information or for any

    errors, negligence or otherwise or for any consequence arising from the use of the report. This report and

    the information contained therein are for the subscriber alone and no part of this document may be

    reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means or discussed with

    any third-party without the prior written consent of D&B.

    Dun & Bradstreet Information Services India Private Limited ICC Chambers, Saki-Vihar Road, Powai

    Mumbai 400 072.

    www.dnb.co.in

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook

    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    EXPLANATION OF RISK SCORE ............................................ 3

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................... 4

    PRODUCT PROFILE ...................................................... 5

    MACRO ECONOMIC ANALYSIS .............................................. 7

    Macro Economic Growth ...................................................................................................... 7

    Quarterly Performance .......................................................................................................... 9

    Interest Rate Risk ................................................................................................................ 11

    Foreign Exchange Fluctuations ......................................................................................... 13

    GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS .............................................. 14

    Government Initiatives ........................................................................................................ 14

    DEMAND SUPPLY DYNAMICS .............................................. 15

    Market Size ........................................................................................................................... 15

    Exports ................................................................................................................................. 16

    Demand Drivers ................................................................................................................... 19

    Projections ........................................................................................................................... 21

    COMPETITIVE SCENARIO ................................................ 22

    Nature of Industry ................................................................................................................ 22

    Recent IS Outsourcing Contract ........................................................................................ 25

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 3

    EXPLANATION OF RISK SCORE

    Industry Risk Score reflects the effect that the various factors have on

    the business prospects and operating environment of the industry over

    the next 12 months. The risk score arrived at is an aggregate of the

    individual scores assigned to the relevant industry parameters

    identified.

    The selected parameters are government regulations, demand supply

    dynamics, competitive scenario, macro-economic variables, resource

    risk and profitability and cost structure. The scores given to individual

    parameters reflect the extent of positive/ negative impact on the

    business operating environment.

    The industry risk scores have been graded on an 8 point scale with 1

    indicating low risk and 8 indicating high risk.

    Industry Risk Score 3

    Favorable Factors (+) Unfavorable Factors (-)

    Government of Indias focus on e-

    governance plans augurs well for

    the IT infrastructure industry.

    Emergence of other low cost

    destinations may affect Indian off-

    shoring concept.

    Several IS Outsourcing contract

    bagged by industry players are

    expected to push the sales growth

    of the leading IT players and

    contribute towards the overall

    revenue growth of IT industry.

    Global majors have also made

    India as their base of operations.

    With access to low cost operations,

    these companies try to minimize

    major competitive advantage of

    Indian competitors.

    In the wake of rapid changing

    technology, rising cost of

    ownership, increasing work

    related complexities, government

    as wells as corporate are

    increasing adopting for managed

    IT services.

    D&Bs assessment of the industry risk score is based on assessment of the

    sector specific risk factors and a sectors relative standing amongst other

    sectors within D&Bs portfolio of industries.

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 4

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    IT Infrastructure Management Service (also referred as IS outsourcing)

    cover the entire spectrum of IT Infrastructure and the complete life cycle

    of IT Services. IT Infrastructure Services caters to the organisations

    computer hardware, network and system security related needs.

    Rapid changing technology is creating robust scope for the growth of

    Infrastructure-as-a-Service (IAAS). Revenues from the IT Infrastructure

    Services have grown from ~INR 182 Bn in FY 2008 to ~INR 410 Bn in

    FY 2012, registering a CAGR of 23%.

    Export revenues from IT Infrastructure Services grew at CAGR of 29 %

    over the same period. Their share to total export earnings of the IT

    Services industry increased from 13.5% to 18.4% over the period FY

    2008-12.

    Growing preference towards offshoring of IT Infrastructure Services,

    increasing IT spending by Indian companies for internal needs along

    with IT support for infrastructure development companies as well as

    increasing Indian Government spend are leading to growth of IT

    Infrastructure Services.

    Major companies in this service offering include Wipro, HCL, TCS,

    Infosys, Tulip Telecom among others, with Wipro being a major player.

    Apart from these companies there are some foreign companies which

    also offer IT services bundled with their product offerings. Increasing

    demand has also led to emergence of specially focused companies

    such as Allied Digital and Glodyne Technoserve.

    Cloud Computing especially storage facilities offered on cloud are

    expected to provide new growth avenues for IT Infrastructure Services

    providers.

    Revenue from IT Infrastructure Services is expected continue growing

    at a healthy double digit CAGR of 23% to increase to ~INR 775.8 Bn by

    FY 2015.

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 5

    IT Infrastructure Services

    Managed Hosting

    and Co-Location

    Services

    Desktop Support

    Remote Monitoring

    and Management

    Device and

    Performance Mgmt

    Safety and Fault

    Management

    Storage

    Management

    Vulnerability

    Assessment

    Content Protection

    IT Service

    Desk

    Data Centre Services

    Network (LAN,

    WAN) Services

    Enterprise

    Security

    Services

    PRODUCT PROFILE

    IT Infrastructure Services cater to the organisations computer

    hardware, network, system security and disaster recovery related

    needs.

    The service providers are entrusted with managing and maintaining

    desktop, laptop and mainframe computers, handheld devices, printers,

    operating systems. They are also responsible for e-mail management,

    data communications, telecommunications network, firewalls as well as

    storage management.

    Following exhibit depicts gamut of IT Infrastructure Services:

    Exhibit 1 : Range of IT Infrastructure Services

    Source: D&B Research

    Growing operational complexities, globally spread operations,

    requirement to handle huge data and hence, necessity to utilize huge

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 6

    number of IT products has led to burgeoning demand for IT

    Infrastructure Services.

    Global spend on IT Infrastructure Services increased by 1.5% in CY

    2011. The share of global spending on various IT infrastructure services

    is estimated to account for about 78% of the total IT Outsourcing

    services spending in 2011.

    Exhibit 2 : Global Spending on IT Infrastructure Services (2011e)

    Source: Nasscom, D&B Research

    Key Benefits of IS outsourcing

    Optimal use of resources

    Process Automation

    Reduce technology complexities

    Compliance Management helps in Managing risk

    Cost optimization

    Global Spending on IT

    Infrastructure Services: USD

    187.8 Bn

    Infrastructure Outsourcing: USD 114.1Bn

    Network and Desktop

    Outsourcing: USD 44.3 Bn

    Hosting Infrastructure Services: USD

    29.4 Bn

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 7

    MACRO ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

    Macro Economic Growth

    Indias GDP has grown at a CAGR of ~7.86% over the period FY 2007-

    12 while Index of Industrial Production (IIP) grew at a CAGR of ~6.5%

    during the same period.

    Source:CSO; RBI D&B Estimates

    Interest rate hike, high inflation, higher fiscal deficit and the influence of

    external macro factors resulted in sharp decline in GDP to 6.48% in FY

    2012 from the level of 8% plus GDP growth witnessed in previous two

    fiscal.

    The countrys IIP growth figure also reflected a steep fall of over 5

    percentage point to 3.2 % in FY 2012 as compared 8.23% registered

    during the previous fiscal.

    In the midst of current economic slowdown, RBI has cut down Indias

    GDP growth forecast to 5.8% for FY 2013 in October 2012 from the

    earlier projection of 6.5%.

    As seen in below chart, the services sector has registered the maximum

    growth over the period FY 2007-12 followed by the industrial sector,

    while growth in the agriculture lags far behind.

    9.5% 9.3%

    6.7%

    8.4% 8.4%

    6.5%5.8%12.9%

    15.5%

    2.5%

    5.28%

    8.23%

    3.2%

    5%

    FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013E

    Macro Economic Indicator

    GDP Growth Rate IIP Growth Rate

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 8

    Source: Business Beacon

    In FY 2012, services sectors contribution towards GDP stood at 59%,

    followed by industry (27%) and agriculture (14%). Also, the share of

    services in the GDP of our country is observed to be increasing, while

    that of agriculture is seen declining over the period FY 2007-12.

    Source: Business Beacon; D&B Research

    The annual growth rate of services sector, industry and agriculture

    sector declined to 8.91%, 3.38% and 2.76% in FY 2012 as compared

    9.35%, 7.16% and 7.03% respectively, registered in previous fiscal.

    6,192

    6,551 6,557 6,625

    7,0917,287

    FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012

    Agriculture (INR Bn)

    10,21211,200 11,697

    12,67913,587 14,047

    FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012

    Industry (INR Bn)

    19,24021,216

    23,33325,772

    28,18130,692

    FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012

    Services (INR Bn)

    3.31%

    6.58%

    9.79%

    Agriculture Industry Services

    CAGR (FY 2007-12)

    GDP (Factor Cost, Constant 2004-05 Prices) by Economic Activity

    17

    .4%

    28.7

    %

    54.0

    %

    16

    .8%

    28

    .7%

    54.4

    %

    15

    .8%

    28.1

    %

    56

    .1%

    14.7

    %

    28

    .1%

    57

    .2%

    14

    .5%

    27

    .8%

    57.7

    %

    14.0

    %

    27

    .0%

    59.0

    %

    Agriculture Industry Services

    Contribution towards GDP by Key Economic Activity

    FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 9

    Quarterly Performance

    As seen in below graphs, the overall economic activity witnessed a

    declining trend in all 4 quarters of FY2012 when compared with

    quarterly growth of FY 2011. Only exception to this trend was the 4%

    growth registered in agriculture sector in Q1 FY 2012 as against 3%

    growth registered in Q1 FY 2011.

    Sources: Business Beacon

    Sources: Business Beacon

    In Q1 FY 2013, Indias Quarterly GDP growth grew by just 5.5% as

    compared to 8% GDP growth in the same quarter in previous fiscal.

    However, the GDP growth was marginally higher against the 5.3% in

    preceding quarter (Q4 FY 2012). Growth in the entire segment declined

    in Q1 FY 2013 from the year ago level.

    0.0%

    2.0%

    4.0%

    6.0%

    8.0%

    10.0%

    12.0%

    Q1:FY

    2011Q2:FY

    2011Q3:FY

    2011Q4:FY

    2011 Q1:FY

    2012Q2:FY

    2012Q3:FY

    2012Q4:FY

    2012Q1: FY

    2013

    Yearly Q-o-Q change in Sectoral GDP Compositon (%)

    GDP Growth Agricuture Industry Service Services

    8.5%

    7.6%8.2%

    9.2%

    8.0%

    6.7%6.1%

    5.3% 5.5%9.6%

    6.8%

    8.6%7.9%

    7.0%

    3.2% 1.2%0.4% -0.2%

    -2.0%

    0.0%

    2.0%

    4.0%

    6.0%

    8.0%

    10.0%

    12.0%

    Q1: FY 2011

    Q2: FY 2011

    Q3: FY 2011

    Q4: FY 2011

    Q1: FY 2012

    Q2: FY 2012

    Q3: FY 2012

    Q4: FY 2012

    Q1: FY 2013

    Yearly Q-o-Q Growth Trend (%)

    GDP Growth IIP Growth

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 10

    In Q1 FY 2013, the GDP growth of agriculture, industry and services

    slowed down from 3.7%, 5.6% and 10% to 2.9%, 3.6% and 7%,

    respectively. In sequential preceding quarter, the GDP of agriculture,

    industry and services grew by 1.7%, 1.9% and 8%. Thus, growth in

    services sector slowed to 7% in Q1 FY 2013 from 8% in Q4 FY 2012

    whereas GDP of agriculture and industry reported a higher growth in Q1

    FY 2013 on sequential q-o-q basis.

    In Q1 FY2013, the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) reported a

    negative growth of 0.2% on y-o-y basis and of 6.7% decline as

    compared to preceding quarter i.e Q4 FY 2012

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 11

    Interest Rate Risk

    Source: RBI, US Treasury, D&B India Research

    Domestic interest rates have started firming up in 2010 amid prospects of

    economic revival after facing sharp decline in the previous one and half

    years.3M MIBOR has reflected an increasing trend since November 2009.

    During FY 2012, 3M MIBOR remained in the range of 9.06%-11.06% which

    reflects expensive credit availbility to corporate which have either delayed or

    stalled the capacity expansion activities and have pull down the overall

    economic growth.

    In the midst of bleak economic outlook on domestic economy, investor have

    become risk averse. This is well captured by the increasing yield on 10Yrs

    G-Sec since April 2009. During FY 2012, it remained in the range of 8.10-

    8.88%.

    The prevailing uncertainty in the global economic environment like crises in

    the euro zone, sustained weakness of the US economy, elevated

    commodity prices etc. have adversely impacted consumer confidence

    across the globe and have potential to substantially lower the consumption

    demand, resulting in a slowdown.

    As a result, the industry players have been demanding the interest rate cut

    to revive the domestic economy which have been witnessing a decline in

    GDP growth in last four consecutive quarters of FY 2012 on y-o-y basis.

    To curb burgeoning inflation, RBI adopted the monetary policy tightening

    since February 2010. RBI kept on increasing the repo and reverse repo rate

    which saw last hike of 25 basis points each on 25th

    October 2011 to reach

    8.5% and 7.5%, respectively. On April 17th 2012, RBI slashed the repo rate

    (rate at which RBI lend money to commercial banks) and reverse repo by 50

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    0.00%

    0.20%

    0.40%

    0.60%

    0.80%

    1.00%

    1.20%

    Ap

    r-09

    Jun

    -09

    Au

    g-0

    9O

    ct-0

    9D

    ec-

    09

    Feb

    -10

    Ap

    r-10

    Jun

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    Au

    g-1

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    10

    Feb

    -11

    Ap

    r-11

    Jun

    -11

    Au

    g-1

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    ct-1

    1D

    ec-

    11

    Feb

    -12

    Ap

    r-12

    Jun

    -12

    Au

    g-1

    2

    International Interest Rate Movement

    3M-LIBOR(LHS) 10-Yr US T-Bond (RHS)

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    0%

    3%

    6%

    9%

    12%

    15%

    Ap

    r-09

    Jun

    -09

    Au

    g-0

    9O

    ct-0

    9D

    ec-

    09

    Feb

    -10

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    Feb

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    r-11

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    1D

    ec-

    11

    Feb

    -12

    Ap

    r-12

    Jun

    -12

    Au

    g-1

    2

    Domestic Interest Rate Movement

    3M-MIBOR(LHS) 10-Yr GOI Security Yield (RHS)

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 12

    basis point for the first time in three years even though the inflation rate

    remain elevated in order to boost sluggish economic growth.

    Source: Office of the Economic Advisor; RBI

    Also, the CRR which kept increasing in phases from 5% to 6%, during

    February to April 2010 and remained at same level thereafter was slashed

    by 50 basis point to 5.5% on Jan 24, 2012. Since March 2012, CRR has

    been reduced thrice (each time by 25 basis point) inorder to infuse the

    primary liquidity in banking system and supports the GDP growth. Wiith

    recent cut of 25 basis point in 30th October 2012, the CRR currently stands

    at 4.25%.

    Because of the sustained high inflation, RBI in its Monetary Policy Review in

    September 2012, kept the key policy rate unchanged against expectation of

    the industry experts who were expecting a rate cut as a measure to prevent

    the decelerating economic growth.

    4.0%4.5%5.0%5.5%6.0%6.5%7.0%7.5%8.0%8.5%9.0%9.5%10.0%

    120.0

    125.0

    130.0

    135.0

    140.0

    145.0

    150.0

    155.0

    160.0

    165.0

    170.0

    Ap

    r-0

    9

    Jul-

    09

    Oct

    -09

    Jan

    -10

    Ap

    r-1

    0

    Jul-

    10

    Oct

    -10

    Jan

    -11

    Ap

    r-1

    1

    Jul-

    11

    Oct

    -11

    Jan

    -12

    Ap

    r-1

    2

    Jul-

    12

    Oct

    -12

    Movement: Inflation, CRR & Repo Rate

    WPI (LHS) CRR (RHS) Repo Rate

    30th October2012; CRR rate cut to 4.25%

    17th April 2012;Repo Rate cut by 50 Basis point

    Index (2004-05) = 100

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 13

    Foreign Exchange Fluctuations

    IT infrastructures services is largely an export oriented industry. Indias

    IS outsourcing generated exports worth ~INR 335.09 Bn in FY 2012

    registering Y-o-Y growth of ~30%.

    As most of the exports are billed in US dollars terms, the exchange rate

    of USD in ~INR has a significant impact on the industry.

    Indian Rupee depreciated from ~INR 45.6/USD (average for the year) in

    FY 2011 to ~INR 47.86/USD in FY 2012. In FY 2012, this depreciation

    however muted favorable implication on the export realizations as many

    of the top players abide by foreign exchange contracts due to which

    they enjoyed benefit only to the extent of currency hedging done by

    them.

    Rupee has been losing ground against USD in YTD of FY 2013 amid

    some fluctuation which is expected to bolster the export earnings for the

    industry.

    Source: Ministry of Finance, Government of India

    ~INR Touched Lowest against USD at 57.26

    on 29th June, 2012

    43.5

    45.5

    47.5

    49.5

    51.5

    53.5

    55.5

    57.5

    01

    /Ap

    r/1

    0

    01

    /Ju

    n/1

    0

    01

    /Au

    g/1

    0

    01

    /Oct

    /10

    01

    /De

    c/1

    0

    01

    /Feb

    /11

    01

    /Ap

    r/1

    1

    01

    /Ju

    n/1

    1

    01

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    g/1

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    01

    /Oct

    /11

    01

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    1

    01

    /Feb

    /12

    01

    /Ap

    r/1

    2

    01

    /Ju

    n/1

    2

    01

    /Au

    g/1

    2

    01

    /Oct

    /12

    Exchange Rate (INR per USD)Inverse Scale

    FY'11INR Appreciating

    FY'12INR Depreciating

    YTD

    FY'1

    3

    INR

    De

    pre

    ciating

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 14

    GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS

    Government Initiatives

    The IT industry, which offers IT Infrastructure Services, is gaining

    importance in the Indian economy as its contribution to national GDP

    has grown from 6.4% in FY 2008 to ~7.5% in FY 2012. Further,

    willingness of the Indian government to boost the services sector

    enabled the industry to make rapid strides within short time.

    In the Union Budget 2012-13, the Central plan outlay to Department of

    Information Technology (DIT) was increased to ~INR 53.63 Bn against

    ~INR 36.19 Bn in previous budget.

    ~INR 17.29 Bn was allocated for e-Government which includes

    investment towards Electronic Governance (~INR 9.75 Bn) and towards

    NIC to the tune of ~INR 7.54 Bn.

    ~INR 5.34 Bn towards e-Learning initiative, which includes investment

    towards National Knowledge Network ~INR 3.6 Bn and Manpower

    Development including Skill Development in IT ~INR 1.28 Bn.

    With this increase allocation the government aim to expand the e-

    Development of the country by creating e-Infrastructure, expedite the e-

    governance process, accelerating R&D activities, building knowledge

    network and securing India's cyber space.

    An increase in the weighted tax deduction allowed on in-house R&D

    expense from 150% to 200% was extended for five year period up till

    2017 in Union Budget 2012-13. This is likely to promote new technology

    innovations in the computer hardware segment.

    Service tax rate increased from 10% to 12% which will have negligible

    impact on the profitability of IT players as they will be able to pass on

    this increased cost to the client. Existing surcharge of 5% on domestic

    companies and 2% on other than domestic company will continued to

    be levied.

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 15

    DEMAND SUPPLY DYNAMICS

    Market Size

    Source: Nasscom, D&B Research

    Revenue generated by the Indian IT Services industry has increased

    increased at a CAGR of 19% (in rupee terms) over the period FY 2008-

    12. In rupee terms, the industry increased from ~INR 1,212 Bn in FY

    2008 to ~INR 2,413 Bn in FY 2012 while in dollar terms, the industry

    increased from ~USD 30.08 Bn to ~USD 52.30 Bn over the same

    period, registering a CAGR of 14.8% over the same period.

    Economic growth, increasing computerization by Indian industries as

    well as e-governance projects has also fuelled demand for IT

    Infrastructure Services in the domestic market.

    Indian IT industry has been aggressively pursuing opportunities in the IT

    Infrastructure Outsourcing market. This is evident from the stunning

    CAGR growth of 23% over the period FY 2008-12. Revenues from the

    IT Infrastructure Services grew from ~INR 182 Bn to ~INR 410 Bn over

    the same period.

    The contribution of IT Infrastructure Services to total IT services

    revenue has increased from 15% in FY 2008 to 17% in FY 2012.

    1,2

    12

    1,5

    62

    1,7

    24

    2,0

    25

    2,4

    13

    182

    223

    273

    335

    410

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012

    Revenue Trend (INR Bn)

    IT Services (LHS) IT Infrastructure Management Services (RHS)

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 16

    Exports

    IT services is the largest segment of IT-BPO industry and accounted for

    about 58% in total export earning in FY 2012. India is rapidly emerging

    as a preferred destination for outsourcing of IT Infrastructure Services

    on account of low cost base as well as increasing technical capabilities

    of the Indian IT companies. This has led to increase in share of IS

    outsourcing in the total IT Services export earnings.

    Source: D&B Research

    Export earnings from IS Outsourcing registered an impressive CAGR

    growth of 29% (in rupee terms) over the period FY 2008-12, wherein

    those from IT services grew at a modest rate of 20% over the same

    period. In dollar terms, the revenue increased from USD 3 Bn in FY

    2008 to USD 7 Bn by FY 2012, registering a CAGR of 24%.

    Source: D&B Research, Nasscom

    13.5%14.4%

    16.8% 16.9%

    18.4%

    5.0%

    7.0%

    9.0%

    11.0%

    13.0%

    15.0%

    17.0%

    19.0%

    FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012

    Revenue Contribution of IS Outsourcing in IT Services Exports

    89

    4.5

    11

    84

    .7

    12

    96

    .5

    15

    26

    .9

    18

    24

    .4

    120.9

    170.3

    217.7

    258.3

    335.1

    0.0

    50.0

    100.0

    150.0

    200.0

    250.0

    300.0

    350.0

    400.0

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2,000

    FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012

    Export Revenue (~INR Bn)

    IT Services (LHS) IS Outsourcing Services (RHS)

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 17

    Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) vertical forms the

    largest share of exports followed by Telecom forms the third largest

    share of exports for IT Services industry.

    Source: D&B Research

    All these industries are highly consumer oriented and require constant

    consumer interaction which results in high usage of IT Services. Indian

    companies are also increasingly catering to the pharmaceutical,

    healthcare, utilities and transportation industries.

    The following chart represents Indias major IT Services export

    destinations in FY 2011.

    Source: D&B Research, Nasscom STR 2011

    BFSI, 41.2%

    Telecom, 19.0%

    Others (, 39.8%

    IT Services: Sector wise Exports (FY 2012)

    US, 61.5%UK, 17%

    Continental Europe , 11.60%

    APAC, 7.50%Rest of the World

    , 2%

    IT Services : Exports Destination (INR Bn),FY 2011

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 18

    The US is a major export destination for the Indian IT Services exports,

    followed by the Europe.

    Both these regions are highly technology dependent and also face high

    labor costs, which led them to outsource some of their technology part

    to low cost destinations, such as India.

    However, India is now trying to lower dependence on these regions and

    is increasingly targeting the unexplored territories such as Latin

    America, Middle East, Africa and Asia-Pacific.

    Indian IT companies have established their presence across these

    verticals and geographies with offerings such as Application

    Development and Maintenance, Packaged Software Implementation,

    BPO etc. With established client base, it is becoming easier for these

    companies to offer IT Infrastructure Services as a part of the extended

    value chain.

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 19

    Demand Drivers

    The robust growth of IT Infrastructure services has been attributed to

    the convergence of Information, Communication & Entertainment.

    Increasing usage of technological products has led IT Infrastructure to

    become backbone for the global companies. Worldwide, the companies

    are preferring computerization as well as automation to streamline their

    costs. Hence, many of them are spending huge amounts on IT. This

    further created opportunity for the export-oriented Indian IT industry.

    Sources: Nasscom

    Indias huge talent pool with around 0.5 million engineering graduates

    per annum also assures high quality of work to the global clients. The

    Indian IT-ITES has grown rapidly on account of its huge talent pool

    available at lower costs. An average wage rate for Indian computer

    programmer is ~15% of his counterpart in the US. This wage

    differentiation can help the companies in developed world to save ~20%

    by outsourcing their work to low cost destinations such as India.

    Domestic demand also augurs well for the IT Infrastructure Services

    providers. Significant IT adoption in sectors like Telecom, BFSI,

    Manufacturing verticals, ITeS, Education, Small Office / Home Office

    (SOHO), Small & Medium Enterprises, (SMEs), and e-Governance

    have been augmenting the need of managed IT Infrastructure services.

    Increasing demand for hardware and networking products from the

    companies also provides new growth avenues to players in IT

    infrastructure services.

    1.40

    1.54

    1.61

    1.70

    1

    1.1

    1.2

    1.3

    1.4

    1.5

    1.6

    1.7

    1.8

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    Worldwide IT Spending (~USD Trillion)

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 20

    Cloud Computing is expected to be a future demand driver for the IT

    Infrastructure industry. As the customer pays only rent to access IT

    services over internet and does not require investing in the physical

    infrastructure, it is creating low cost alternative for huge base of small

    sized companies across the globe. Storage facilities on the cloud are

    especially gaining importance and have resulted in increasing demand

    for data centres.

    Government led National eGovernance programme (NeGP) include

    implementation of required IT infrastructure to support it mission of

    transforming traditional service delivery mechanisms on electronic

    platform. Within NeGP, the implementation of required IT infrastructure

    includes four broad platform i.e State Wide Area Network (SWAN),

    State Data Centre (SDC), National e-Governance Service Delivery

    Gateway (NSDG) and State Service Delivery Gateway (SSDG).

    Also, the ambitious Unique Identification (UID) project worth ~INR 32 Bn

    for Phase-I and Phase-II over the five year period FY 2010-14 creates

    vast opportunities for IT Infrastructure Services providers.

    countrys infrastructure backbone especially telecom and its increased

    reliability, availability of low-cost, high speed bandwidth

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 21

    Projections

    Source: D&B Research

    Increasing global demand for Remote Infrastructure Management (RIM)

    or offshoring of IT Infrastructure Services on the back of increasing

    ownership cost is expected to fuel growth of the Indian IT industry.

    The increasing government and private sector spending on technology

    is expected to drive the domestic IT Infrastructure revenues to grow at a

    CAGR of 23% over the period FY 2012-15.

    Going forward, industry sources also suggest that revenue from RIM

    services will account for about 1/3 share of the total IT services

    segment revenue by 2020.

    410.3

    500.5

    620.7

    775.8

    FY 2012 FY 2013P FY 2014P FY 2015P

    Projection: IT Infrastructure Services (~INR BN)

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 22

    COMPETITIVE SCENARIO

    Nature of Industry

    The growing requirement of managed IT infrastructure services has

    resulted into many IT players expanding their services offering to

    include various infrastructure services.

    With increased maturity, key IT companies like TCS, HCL, Wipro,

    Infosys now offers end-to-end infrastructure services.

    Indian IT-ITeS industry is dominated by Tata Consultancy Services

    which corners 8.4 % of the market share. Wipro ranks at the second

    place with a share of 6.8% closely followed by Infosys with a market

    share of 6.7%.

    Source: D&B Research. *Note: Based On Net Sales

    The annual growth in top line and bottom line financial of the key

    players are as follow:

    Companies Net Sales * (~INR Bn) PAT* (~INR Bn)

    FY 2011 FY 2012 % Y-o-Y FY 2011 FY 2012 % Y-o-Y

    TCS Ltd. 292.34 388.00 32.7% 75.70 109.76 45.0%

    Wipro Ltd. 262.63 316.19 20.4% 48.44 46.85 -3.3%

    Infosys Ltd. 253.37 312.03 23.2% 64.43 84.70 31.5%

    *Notes Standalone financial are considered Source: CMIE,

    Despite the challenging macroeconomic environment, the top three

    players reported a healthy growth in net sales in FY 2012 as compared

    TCS Ltd., 8.4% Wipro Ltd., 6.8%

    Infosys Ltd., 6.7%

    Others , 78.1%

    Market Share: Indian IT -ITeS Industry (FY 2012)

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 23

    to FY 2011. Both TCS Ltd. and Infosys Ltd reported a robust growth in

    net profit whereas Wipro Ltd. reported a negative growth in net profit.

    TCS Ltd., Indias largest IT Company posted an increase 32.7% in net

    sales in FY 2012 as compared to 27% increase in previous fiscal.

    Various factors such as double digit growth across diversified verticals

    and geography, balanced business portfolio, product innovation,

    customer centric approach, timely execution of projects, focus on

    pricing, helped in achieving a robust growth in net sales and maintaining

    the margins in FY 2012.

    Wipro though report a healthy growth in net sales however it net profit

    declined marginally because of the losses to the tune of ~INR 2.787 Mn

    in FY 2012 as against gain of ~INR 326 Mn in FY 2011 due to the

    changes in the fair value of forward exchange contract.

    Major international companies having presence in the IT Infrastructure

    Services arena include HP, Fujitsu, IBM, Cognizant, Accenture,

    Capgemeni, CISCO, CSC etc.

    Key Trend

    Domestic IT companies have grown on account of low cost base which

    helped them to win big outsourcing deals. However, as major foreign

    players have made India as base, they also enjoy the advantage of low

    costs. Hence, the major advantage of domestic companies to offshore

    work to India is expected to diminish in future.

    Indian companies are also expected to face competition from emerging

    outsourcing destinations such as Philippines, Poland, Hungary,

    Romania etc.

    All these factors are leading Indian companies to focus on the

    increasing domestic demand. Most of these companies intend to

    increase their domestic revenue share. However, even in domestic

    market, competition is intense as global industry majors have already

    forayed into it.

    Indian companies are increasingly looking for global delivery model.

    They are setting up development centers in Latin America, South East

    Asia and Eastern European countries to take advantage of low cost and

    also cater the local market.

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 24

    Globally, distinction between pure play software and hardware players

    is also reducing. This phenomenon is leading many Indian companies

    to venture into IT Infrastructure Services in order to increase their

    overall appeal.

    Application Development and Maintenance services which used to

    provide major chunk of revenues to the domestic IT players, are getting

    affected due to the falling billing rates. Hence, the companies are now

    venturing into new high value services such as IT Consulting,

    Infrastructure Management, Product Development, and end-to-end

    turnkey solutions.

    Large IT players are increasingly adopting inorganic growth route like

    strategic acquisition, mergers, joint venture etc. to expand their

    business portfolio. For eg, TCS recently acquired CRL which is a

    pioneering startup company in High Performance Computing (HPC)

    solutions. This will strengthen TCS capabilities in the arena of

    Infrastructure Management, Engineering and Industrial Services. This

    will also enable TCS capability to establish cloud based industry

    platform.

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 25

    Recent IS Outsourcing Contract

    Indian companies are also bagging major outsourcing deals which will

    help them to increase revenues from IT Infrastructure Services. Some

    of the recent contracts signed by the Indian players are as:

    Month Company Client Brief Details

    October 2012 IBM Kwality Dairy India

    Cloud Service Contract

    IBM SmartCloud SAP Express Dairy Solution, in one of the first such deployments in the Indian dairy industry

    October 2012 Netmagic Solutions

    Ratnakar Bank

    5 year contract for IT infrastructure hosting, managed services, and security services

    September 2019

    HCL Freescale Semiconductor to

    5 year IT Infrastructure contract worth $60-80Mn deal as per industry sources

    September 2012

    Infosys Ltd Ministry Of Corporate Affair (MCA)

    To execute second phase of the ministrys e-governance programme- MCA21-

    To start in Jan 2013-July 2021,

    Deal worth ~INR 3.59 Bn

    Feburary 2012

    Mahindra Satyam

    FuelQuest

    To provide implementation and support services to Fuel Quest. Fuel Quest is a technology solution provider to energy sector and is expanding its operation in BRIC region.

    June 2011 IBM India Info Line 10 year deal worth ~INR 2.98 Bn for managed IT services.

    Source: D&B Research

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  • Sectoral Risk Outlook Page 26

    Registered Office

    ICC Chambers,

    Saki Vihar Road, Powai,

    Mumbai - 400 072

    Tel: +91-22 2857 4190/92/94, 6676 5555

    Fax: +91-22-2857 2060

    Email: [email protected]

    URL: www.dnb.com

    New Delhi Office

    FB-01,NSIC STP Centre, NSIC Bhawan,

    Okhla Industrial Estate,

    New Delhi 110 020 Tel: +91-11-4149 7900/01/

    Fax: +91-11-4149 7902

    Email: [email protected]

    Chennai

    2 D, 2nd Floor, Tass Mahal, No.10, Monitieth Road,

    Egmore,

    Chennai 600 008 Tel: +91-44 2851 6648/79

    Fax: +91-44 2851 6698

    Email: [email protected]

    Ahmedabad

    001, Samruddhi, Opp.Old High Court,

    Income Tax, Ashram Road,

    Ahmedabad 380 014 Tel: +91-079-27540558 / 27540559

    Fax: +91-079-27540560

    Email: [email protected]

    Bangalore

    # 7/2 Gajanana Towers ,

    1st Floor , Annaswamy Mudaliar Street,

    Opposite Ulsoor Lake,

    Bangalore 560042

    Tel: 080-40731100

    Fax: 080- 40731110

    Email: [email protected]

    Kolkata

    166 B, S.P. Mukherjee Road,

    Merlin Links,Unit 3E, 3rd Floor,

    Kolkata 700 026 Tel: +91-33-24650204

    Fax: +91-33-2465 0205

    Email: [email protected]

    Hyderabad

    #103, Saeed Plaza,

    6 1 73, Above HDFC Bank, Lakdi-Ka-Pul,

    Hyderabad 500 004 Tel: +91-40-6662 4102 / 6651 4102 / 6661 9357

    Fax: +91-40-6661 9358

    Email: [email protected]

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