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Inflation Calculation India

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    Inflation in India

    .

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    . Some economists assert that

    India's method of calculating

    inflation is wrong as there areserious flaws in themethodologies used by the

    government.

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    . A research paper arguing

    that the governmenturgently needs to shift themethod of calculating

    inflation.

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    . Saying that there are

    serious flaws in the presentmethod of calculatinginflation, the paper India

    should adopt methodologiesin developed economies.

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    . Most developed countries use

    the Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    to calculate inflation.

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    Wholesale Price Index (

    WPI

    WPI is the index that isused to measure the changein the average price level ofgoods traded in wholesale

    market.

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    . In India, a total of 435

    commodities data on price level

    is tracked through WPI which isan indicator of movement inprices of commodities in all

    trade and transactions.

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    . It is also the price index which is

    available on a weekly basis with the

    shortest possible time lag only twoweeks.

    The Indian government has takenWPI as an indicator of the rate of

    inflation in the economy.

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    Consumer Price Index (

    CPI)

    CPI is a statistical time-seriesmeasure of a weighted average

    of prices of a specified set ofgoods and services purchasedby consumers.

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    . It is a price index that tracks

    the prices of a specified basket

    of consumer goods andservices, providing a measureof inflation.

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    . Economists Shunmugam and

    Prasad say it is high time that

    India abandoned WPI andadopted CPI to calculateinflation.

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    . India is the only major country that

    uses a wholesale index to measure

    inflation. Most countries use the CPI as a

    measure of inflation, as this actuallymeasures the increase in price that a

    consumer will ultimately have to payfor.

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    . "CPI is the official barometer of

    inflation in many countries such

    as the United States, theUnited Kingdom, Japan,France, Canada, Singapore and

    China.

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    . The governments there review

    the commodity basket of CPI

    every 4-5 years to factor inchanges in consumptionpattern," says their research

    paper.

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    . It pointed out that WPI does not

    properly measure the exact price

    rise an end-consumer willexperience because, as the samesuggests, it is at the wholesalelevel.

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    . The paper says the main problem

    with WPI calculation is that more

    than 100 out of the 435commodities included in the Indexhave ceased to be importantfrom the consumption point ofview.

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    . India constituted the last WPI

    series of commodities in 1993-94;

    but has not updated it till now thateconomists argue the Index haslost relevance and can not be thebarometer to calculate inflation.

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    . Shunmugam says WPI is supposed to

    measure impact of prices on

    business. "But we use it to measurethe impact on consumers.

    Many commodities not consumed byconsumers get calculated in the

    index.

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    . And it does not factor in

    services which have assumed

    so much importance in theeconomy," he pointed out.

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    But why is India not switching over to the

    CPI method of calculating inflation?

    Finance ministry officials pointout that there are many

    intricate problems from shiftingfrom WPI to CPI model.

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    . First of all, they say, in India,

    there are four different types of

    CPI indices, and that makesswitching over to the Indexfrom WPI fairly 'risky and

    unwieldy.'

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    . The four CPI series are:

    CPI Industrial Workers;

    CPI Urban Non-Manual Employees;

    CPI Agricultural labourers;

    and CPI Rural labour.

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    . Secondly, officials say the CPI

    cannot be used in India

    because there is too much of alag in reporting CPI numbers.

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    . The WPI is published on a weekly

    basis and the CPI, on a monthly

    basis.

    And in India, inflation iscalculated on a weekly basis.


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