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International Risk

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    INTERNATIONAL

    BUSINESS RISK

    Presented To: PresentedBy:Dr Rajeev Gupta Sir Sumeet Rawat

    Arpita Nagar

    Shreya Jhawar

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    Introduction

    According to theOxford EnglishDictionary risk refers toThe possibility ofsomething badhappening or expose to

    danger or happening orloss

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    Risk in International business

    Risks in

    International

    Business

    Commercial Risk

    Financial

    [Currency]

    Risk

    Country Risk

    Cross

    Cultural Risk

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    Cross cultural Risk

    Corporate Culture Differences.

    Differences in National Cultures.

    Cross-Cultural Competencies of Key Players.

    Language difference impede effective

    communication.

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    Risk Factor1:Corporate Culture Differences

    What is the degree of "fit" between theclient's corporate culture and the vendor's?

    How close are their vision and values? Is one bureaucratic, the other

    entrepreneurial? Human risk

    Risk Factor 2: Differences in National Cultures

    The globalization revolution is in its infancy,while national cultures are longstanding.

    Cultural conditioning is deep. Despite surface similarities in the interconnected

    world, the underlying attitudes, thought patterns,assumptions and expectations of differentcultures vary widely.

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    Do people tend to be individually autonomousor group-oriented?

    Egalitarian or hierarchical?

    Risk Factor 3: Cross-Cultural Competenciesof Key Players

    In addition to the technical, managerial,leadership and interpersonal skills requiredfor their jobs

    The people need to have cross-cultural

    competence if they are to be successful andnot put their company at risk.

    This includes both knowledge about othercultures and the ability to adapt to cultural

    differences.

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    Financial Risk

    Financial risk isnormally any riskassociated with anyform of financing. Riskis probabilityof unfavorable

    condition in financialsector & probability ofactual return being

    less than expected

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    Currency risk

    It arises from the change in the price of one

    currency relative another (related to commodity

    i.e. grain, metal) will change

    Currencies appreciation or Depreciation. interest rate fluctuation, and other harmful

    economic condition create uncertainty of returns.

    When currencies fluctuate significantly, the value of the

    firms assets, liabilities and operating incomes may besubstantially reduced

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    Contd

    Financial Risk include also:

    Equity risk: or the risk that stock prices will changes.

    Tax Risk: You must comply with the tax laws of the local

    country.

    Credit risk :is the risk of loss due to a debtor's on-

    payment of a loan or other line of credit (either the

    principal or interest (coupon) or both

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    Contd..

    Commercial risk is the risk of loss due to counterpartyor markets.

    It is that risk in which a foreign debtor will beunable to pay its debts because of business events,such as : bankruptcy.

    This risk mainly arises due to :-

    1) Longer distances between you and yourcounterparty.

    2) Different cultural, political and economicalenvironment .

    3) Different national and international regulations.

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    Contd

    Strategic Risk:

    Strategic risk is the business risk of :-

    1) An immature strategy.

    2) An inactive review process.3) A dis-empowered management

    unable/ unwilling to take strategicdecisions.

    This risk is an exposure to loss resultingfrom a strategy that turns out to be

    defective or inappropriate.

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    Contd

    Operational Risk :-Operational risk is the risk of loss resulting from :-

    1) Inadequate or failed internal processes.

    2) People and systems

    orfrom external events in a business.

    Technological Risk

    Exposure to loss arising from activities such as design andengineering, manufacturing, technological processes and testprocedures.

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    Country risk

    Country risk refers tothe risk of investing ina country, dependent

    on changes in thebusiness environmentthat may adversely

    affect operating profitsor the value of assetsin a specific country.

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    Country Risk

    Source of country risk

    Political System

    Government

    Political parties Legislatives bodies

    Lobbying groups

    Trade unions

    other political institution

    Legal System

    laws regulation, and rules

    that aims to

    Ensure orders in

    commercial activities

    Resolves disputes

    Protect intellectual

    property

    Tax economic Output

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    Country [Political Risk]

    Political risk is generally viewed to be a biggerproblem in emerging markets.

    The political actions and instability may make it

    difficult for companies to operate efficiently in the

    countries.

    The culture or the instability of a country.

    Exposure to potential loss or adverse effect on

    company operation and profitability caused bydevelopment in a countrys political and legal

    environment.

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