Investing in Global Innovation
Tammi Smorynski Director, Intel Capital
May, 2011
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Agenda
Intel Capital Overview Traditional Venture Funding Current Venture Environment Pitfalls to Get to Commercialization
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FINANCIAL
Intel Capital Mission
Enhance Intel’s Strategic Objectives By Making and Managing Financially Attractive Investments
STRATEGIC
A Stage Agnostic and Long-Term Investor
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Intel Capital Invests In a World of Possibilities
Enterprise and Cloud
Mobility
Software and Services
Embedded & Communications
Tablets Smart Phones
Notebooks
Meego™ & AppUp Center™ Cloud Computing
Open Source Security / Big Data Visual Computing Mobile Internet
Servers, Networking & Storage Manageability & Virtualization Security & Data Management Data Centers & Cloud Services
Digital Signage Connected Car & IVI
Home Energy Management Communications Infrastructure
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Intel Capital Invests In a World of Possibilities
Digital Home
Consumer Internet
Manufacturing Memory
Cleantech Greentech
Smart TV Home Networking Silicon
Platform Software Connected Devices & Services
e-Commerce Social Media
Consumer Services Mobile Web
Tools & Infrastructure
Grid Infrastructure Home Energy Management
Smart Commercial Buildings Microgrids & Communities
Semiconductor Process Materials & Equipment
EDA Tools & IP Non-Volatile Memory
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Intel Capital Investments
2010
Historical
44% of Dollars Outside N. America
40 International Investments
12 IPOs
17 Acquisitions
36% of Dollars Outside N. America
48 Countries
189 IPOs
258 Acquisitions
119 Deals
US$327M
1,100+ Companies
US$9.8+Billion
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Intel Offices
Intel Capital Invested
26 Intel Capital Offices Investments in 48 Countries
Intel Capital Global Presence Invested $9.8+ Billion in 48 Countries
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2010 Intel Capital Exits Working to Help Companies Exit Successfully
ATIVI - Telecomnet, Inc.
USA
China
USA USA USA
China
USA USA Germany S. Korea
USA China India USA
China USA USA USA
India
USA Canada USA S. Korea
USA Japan Brazil
USA
USA
India
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Intel Capital Technology Days ● Customized engagements ● 10-20 portfolio companies per ITD ● 60 ITDs per year ● 90+% follow-up rate ● Win-win-win for portfolio companies, customers & Intel
Delivering Win-Win Introductions 325+ Technology Days Since 2005
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Intel Capital CEO Summit 2010
Paul Otellini CEO, Intel Corporation
Arvind Sodhani President, Intel Capital
Intel EVP
Brian J. Dunn CEO, Best Buy
Sir John Major Former Prime Minister, UK
Duncan L. Niederauer CEO, NYSE Euronext
Les Moonves CEO, CBS Corporation
Informative Speakers
CEO Elevator Pitches, Networking, Networking… Networking
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Intel Capital’s Unique Advantages
● Leading technology investment organization
● Invests at all stages in private and public companies
● Leads investment rounds, takes larger stakes, actively participates on boards
● Speed and agility to make quick decisions
● Global brand recognition
● Committed to portfolio company success
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Intel Capital Overview Traditional Venture Funding Current Venture Environment Pitfalls to Get to Commercialization
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Venture Capital Investing
LIMITED PARTNERS
Pension Funds
Foundations
Wealthy individuals
VENTURE FUNDS
Kleiner Perkins
Sequoia
….
START UPS
ALLOCATE: ~5%
FUND = Committed Cash
10 YEAR LIFE
CALL
funds
INVEST,
with new
Lead
EXITS:
IPO (BEST)
M&A (GOOD)
Shut down
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Limited Partners
$100M Intl Equity
$100M US Equity
$100M Hedge Funds
$100M Commodities
$100M Cash
$100M Money Market
$100M Intl Bonds
$100M Bonds
$100M Real Estate
$100M PE & VC
Pre 2009
$1 BILLION
10%
$30M Intl Equity
$50M US Equity
$10M Hedge Funds
$50M Commodities
$100M Cash
$90M Money Market
$30M Intl Bonds
$70M Bonds
$10M Real Estate
$70M PE/VC
2009
$510M
13.7%
Monthly $5M Contributions
Monthly $7M Payout
to retirees
Monthly $1M Contribution
s
Monthly $4M Payout
to retirees
Liquidation
Issues
r
r
r
r
r
r
r
r
r
r
r
r
r
r
r
r = return
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Limited Partners
● Told VCs to not ask for money (liquidity issues)
● Then reduced EXISTING commitments (allocation issues)
– Reduce amount you will send in future
– Reduce amount you already sent = require VC firms to sell shares in secondary market
● Not making NEW commitments (both liquidity & allocation)
NET-NET: Reduction in $ available for Venture Investing
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Venture Firms
● VCs unable to time when LPs will send funds in 2009, so focused on existing portfolio. Now looking for new deals.
● Since LPs reducing commitment levels…VC firms shrunk or wound down.
● For now, VCs have moved away from early stage, high capex deals in certain sectors (e.g. hardware)
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Venture Firms
● Impact from start ups:
– No liquidity events… so no cash coming back in to VC to help them w/ LPs or other start ups
– Revenues pushed out requiring once profitable and near breakeven companies to now need cash
– No IPO or debt markets available for funding, requiring higher VC cash requirements then planned
● Impact from other VCs:
– No new investors to price/invest large $ in companies
– Once strong VC syndicates unable to support companies
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Number of Venture-capital firms and Capital managed 2000-2008
Source: Wall Street Journal June 5, 2009 from National Venture Capital Association Note: Active venture-capital firms that have raised funds in the last eight years
# of firms declined
in ’09; not over yet
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Investor Pool: Information Technology Number of IT-focused VC Firms 1990-2008 YTD
171 149 145 164 203 241 306 377 384
616 778 771 735
647 526 484 482 441 367 94 97 116 101 104
119 139
184 214
303
560 479
376
315
280 295 271 235
163
117 107 105 102 96 127
156
195 246
424
755
496
323
312
332 314 283 263
152
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
=> 4 deals
2-3 deals
1 deal
Source: DowJones Venture Capital Industry Report, VentureSource Note: 2008 data through 10/2/08
# of firms declined
in ’09; not over yet
682
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Start Ups
● Turbulent economic environment slowing down revenue ramp, time to breakeven
● Delayed EXITS (IPOs, M&A)… requires more funding to get company to breakeven or liquidity event
● Lots of Insider rounds… slow painful process
● Cutting work force, pay cuts… shutting down
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Life Cycle of a Start UP
● Idea
● Business Plan/Investor Deck
● Angel Funding
● Series A – Series ?
● Liquidity Event = Investors able to get cash back
– IPO or M&A or shut down
● VCs have < 10 year time horizon due to Fund Rules
– So start ups get < 10 years to get to liquidity event
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Intel Capital Overview Traditional Venture Funding Current Venture Environment Pitfalls to Get to Commercialization
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Impact of Market Decline on Venture Investing
● Oct 2008 : Sequoia presentation
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2009 vs. Tech Bubble
● 2009 economic situation was worse… as impacts all sectors across everyone around the globe
● Sequoia’s 2008 presentation was a good wake up call to everyone… start ups moved faster than during tech bubble to cut costs
● Prices came down on VC deals given less VC competition
● Revenue opptys for start ups increased as competition went out of business
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2011 – Dichotomy
● Start ups
– Hot sectors: mostly in software… funding, high valuations
– Consumer internet or ‘fads’ e.g. gesture…
– Competitive, biz models/revenues still be to proven out
– Out-of-favor sectors: mostly in hardware… difficult funding environment, low valuations
– Must be frugal, look for alternative funding (SBIR, DARPA, etc.), often required to show working device for Series A (unheard of back in the ‘90s), expect operational experience on mgmt team
– Less competitive, able to make revenue progress
● VCs
– Thriving: good brands, able to raise $, manage portfolios
– Striving: not clear if can raise next fund; portfolios flaming out
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Intel Capital Overview Traditional Venture Funding Current Venture Environment Pitfalls to Get to Commercialization
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Novel technology is not itself sufficient to get something to commercialization and a successful
liquidity event.
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Research vs. Commercialization Research Commercialization
Team
Constraints
Cost
Volume
High Volume Manufacturing
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Research vs. Commercialization Research Commercialization
Durability, Power, Size
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Research vs. Commercialization Research Commercialization
Certifications, warranties
Competition
Channel
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In Conclusion
● Understand funding environment
● Novel useful innovation will get funded but may take time… prepare accordingly
Investing in Global Innovation