Google Confidential and Proprietary
Set 11, 2013
Todd Pollak Industry Director, Insurance & Services
Investing to Win The Future of Auto Insurance
Speed…
Convenience
ONE percent…
$4B
"Name your price" "So many risks..." "You need education"
"15 mins saves $$" "You need assistance"
DIY Agent
Required
U.S. P&C marketing spend continues to increase
Source: A.M. Best
Marketing spend for P&C carriers
$USD billions
Marketing spend, 2011
$USD millions CAGR, 2002-2011
Percent
Geico
State Farm
Allstate
Farmers
Progressive
Liberty Mutual
Nationwide
American Family
Travelers
AIG
USAA
19
15
18
17
20
18
19
16
41
5
12
1.000
813
745
718
536
332
277
167
166
125
92
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
1,7 1,9
2,4
3,0
3,4
4,1 4,3 4,2
5,1
5,9
Agent Direct
Decline of insurance agents
P&C Agents
Source: A.M. Beat; 10K reports, AIVA survey; PhoCusWright; ARC; ASTA.org
P&C Agents
10%
decrease in
workforce
95.000
100.000
90.000
1995 2000 2011
5 & 17 - Year views of a personal auto share
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
60.1%
55.0%
52.1% 48.4%
13.4%
11.6% 13.4%
17.4%
7.7% 9.7% 10.3% 6.7%
Exclusive agency National IA Direct Response
The consumer is faster, smarter and more
informed than she has ever been.
Consumers choosing more channels in the
shopping journey
Source: 2012 McKinsey Auto Insurance Customer Insights Research
Top 5 multichannel shopping journeys
Percent of shoppers
28% Direct
7% Direct Agent Agent
8% Mix of agent and direct Mix of agent and direct Agent
13% Agent Agent Agent
16% Direct Direct Agent Top 3 most
common journeys
Direct Direct
Direct Direct
Direct
Geico expense Ratio vs Peers
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Geico
Industry Average
PGR Direct
Chance in
accounting
for expenses
Geico Industry Average PGR Direct
Geico expense Ratio vs Industry
Relative profit margins by product line For a typical agent (%)
Auto
Source: Agent Interviews
Homeowners Specialty/Others Commercial Life
Book Mix (by policies in force) 5%
10%
15%
35%
46%
Top 10 U.S. Personal Auto Insurance Market Share Based on 2012 direct written premium
Rank Company 2012 2011 2010
1 State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins. 18.39 18.61 18.65
2 Allstate Corp. 10.01 10.31 10.67
3 Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (Geico) 9.59 9.07 8.50
4 Progressive Corp. 8.27 7.93 7.70
5 Farmers Insurance Group of Cos 5.89 5.89 5.96
6 USAA Insurance Group 4.84 4.60 4.36
7 Liberty Mutual 4.73 4.54 4.49
8 Nationwide Mutual Group 4.09 4.13 4.29
9 Travelers Companies Inc. 1.94 2.08 2.10
10 American Family Mutual 1.89 1.96 2.10
Source: SNL, Nomura research
Market Share (%)
5 & 17 - Year views of a personal auto share
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
60.1%
55.0%
52.1% 48.4%
13.4%
11.6% 13.4%
17.4%
7.7% 9.7% 10.3% 6.7%
Exclusive agency National IA Direct Response Regional IA
5 & 17 - Year views of a personal auto share
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
60.1%
55.0%
52.1% 48.4%
13.4%
11.6% 13.4%
17.4%
7.7% 9.7% 10.3% 6.7%
Exclusive agency National IA Direct Response Regional IA
18.8%
23.8% 23.3% 26.3%
Google Confidential and Proprietary
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