Investment in Education: A Strategic Imperative for Business April 18, 2013
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Meet the Speakers
2
Rebecca Winthrop Senior Fellow and Director Center for Universal Education The Brookings Institution
Washington, Dc, USA
Gib Bulloch Executive Director
Accenture Development Partnerships
Geneva, Switzerland
Pooja Bhatt South Asia Regional Portfolio Manager Accenture Development Partnerships
Mumbai, India
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Session Objectives In today’s session, we will:
• Discuss the strategic Importance of equitable access and quality education to the Private Sector
• Understand the “Return on Investment” for investing in Education
• Explore innovative funding models for Private Sector investment in Education to bridge the funding gap in Education
• Agree on next steps to move forward to develop funding mechanisms for Education
3
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Project Summary With a proposition that Education is a ‘strategic business issue’, not just a ‘CSR’ initiative, we have explore the following two questions:
1. What is the business case for Private Sector Investment in Education?
2. What type of innovative funding mechanisms can be created for Private Sector Investment in Education?
4
Our findings highlight that: Urgent action is needed to address issues in Education such as, low education
levels and dwindling funding support, in emerging economies where future talent exists given demographic shifts in working age population
Equitable access and quality education are strategic growth constraints for business to secure future talent with the right skills and manage talent related costs
Not only is there a strong ‘return on investment’, but there is also a potential to capture a huge ‘value gap’ by supporting Education
There are opportunities to create multi-stakeholder funding models where investment/equity is a function of tangible social outcomes
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Contents
5
The Importance of Education to the Private Sector A Strategic Imperative for Growth
Education and Human Development The need for Urgent Action
The Business Case for Private Sector Investment in Education The Value Chain of Talent
Innovative Investment Models to support Education Bridging the Funding Gap
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Education is a fundamental building block for human development and poverty reduction
“Education is a major driving force for human development” – United Nations Secretary-General BAN Ki-moon, Sept ‘12
0.37 percentage points increase in the avg. 40 year growth rate in GDP from each additional year of schooling – this equates to a boost of more that 10% considering that the world economic growth rate has been around 2-3% of GDP annually since WWII1
A country able to attain literacy scores 1% higher than the international average will achieve 2.5% rise in labor productivity and 1.5% rise GDP per capita than those of other countries2
It is estimated that every US$1 spent on a person’s education, yields US$10-15 in economic growth over that person’s working lifetime3
171 million people could be lifted out of poverty if all students in poor countries had basic reading skills3
6
Source: 1. Education and Economic Growth, Hanushek, E., et al.; Education Next, Spring 2008, Vol 8. No. 2 2. OECD, Education at a Glance, 2006, p. 155 3. UNESCO: Education for All Global Monitoring Report Youth and Skills: Putting Education to Work, 2012
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Yet… Access to quality education remains a gap… • 61 million primary-aged children are out of school
• 250 million children cannot read, write or count well
• 200 million young people leave school without the skills they need to thrive, contribute in society and find jobs
• About 71 million teenagers are not attending secondary school, missing out on vital skills for future employment.
7 Source: UNESCO: Education for All Global Monitoring Report Youth and Skills: Putting Education to Work, 2012
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Countries facing the greatest challenges…. Goal 2: Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike,
will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling
Source: World map, Global Monitoring Report 2012, Monitoring MDGs-Education .The World Bank. http://go.worldbank.org/B8CQ09GOZ Primary school enrollment chart: Millennium Development Goals Report, United Nations, 2012. http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/pdf/MDG%20Report%202012 0 8
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Nigeria Ethiopia Pakistan China Bangladesh India Afghanistan
School Enrollment Rates, 2010
Primary Ed Net Enrollment Rates
Secondary Gross Enrollment Rates
Tertiary Ed Gross Enrollment Rates
Education levels in many of the GBC-ED focus countries are lagging behind the rest of the developing world
Source: UNESCO Global Monitoring Report, 2010.
Developed country avg. primary enrollment: 97%
Developing country avg. primary enrollment: 88%
9
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Education in developing countries is relevant to businesses in developed countries due to migration trends
10
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
In ‘0
000
Net Outflow of Population
Source: World Bank Data for Year 2010
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Demographic Shifts in the Global Labor Force 2010-2060
11
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved. 12 Source: UN Department of Social and Economic Affairs, Annual Population 2011-2100 - Both Sexes, 2012. Dataset for medium growth scenario. .
USA Brazil Western Europe Nigeria S.Africa Ethiopia Afghanistan Pakistan
India China Bangladesh Indonesia Japan Australia
Size of the circles represent the direction and not magnitude of change in working age populations
Russia Poland
Working Age Population*, 2010
*Note: Working age population is defined by the OECD as ages 15-64
Working age population is largest in China followed by India and USA
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved. 13
India and Brazil will increase their working age population by 17% and 11% respectively between 2010 and 2020
USA Brazil Western Europe Nigeria S.Africa Ethiopia Afghanistan Pakistan
India China Bangladesh Indonesia Japan Australia
Russia Poland
Projected Working Age Population, 2020
Size of the circles represent the direction and not magnitude of change in working age populations
Source: UN Department of Social and Economic Affairs, Annual Population 2011-2100 - Both Sexes, 2012. Dataset for medium growth scenario. .
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved. 14
By 2030, India will have the largest working age population – children born today will join the workforce
USA Brazil Western Europe Nigeria S.Africa Ethiopia Afghanistan Pakistan
India China Bangladesh Indonesia Japan Australia
Russia Poland
Size of the circles represent the direction and not magnitude of change in working age populations
Source: UN Department of Social and Economic Affairs, Annual Population 2011-2100 - Both Sexes, 2012. Dataset for medium growth scenario. .
Projected Working Age Population, 2030
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By 2040, Chinese & Brazilian labor forces will shrink; Bangladesh & Indonesia will reach their highest level
USA Brazil Western Europe Nigeria S.Africa Ethiopia Afghanistan Pakistan
India China Bangladesh Indonesia Japan Australia
Russia Poland
Size of the circles represent the direction and not magnitude of change in working age populations
Source: UN Department of Social and Economic Affairs, Annual Population 2011-2100 - Both Sexes, 2012. Dataset for medium growth scenario. .
Projected Working Age Population, 2040
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Bangladesh, Pakistan & Nigeria will contribute about half the growth in the global labor force between 2010 to 2050
USA Brazil Western Europe Nigeria S.Africa Ethiopia Afghanistan Pakistan
India China Bangladesh Indonesia Japan Australia
Russia Poland
Source: UN Department of Social and Economic Affairs, Annual Population 2011-2100 - Both Sexes, 2012. Dataset for medium growth scenario. .
Size of the circles represent the direction and not magnitude of change in working age populations
Projected Working Age Population, 2050
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Compared to 2020, Nigeria’s working population will triple while Ethiopia’s will double
USA Brazil Western Europe Nigeria S.Africa Ethiopia Afghanistan Pakistan
India China Bangladesh Indonesia Japan Australia
Russia Poland
Source: UN Department of Social and Economic Affairs, Annual Population 2011-2100 - Both Sexes, 2012. Dataset for medium growth scenario. .
Size of the circles represent the direction and not magnitude of change in working age populations
Projected Working Age Population, 2060
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Furthermore, future trends regarding share of GDP show a shift from ‘Developed Economies’ to ‘Emerging Economies’
63% 62% 52% 43% 35%
37% 38% 48% 57% 65%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
1990 2000 2010 2020 (f) 2030 (f) Developed Economies Emerging Economies
Share of Global GDP (US $ Trillion at 2005 prices)
Source: New Waves of Growth for India -Unlocking Opportunities, Accenture Report 2011 & Oxford Economics
Private companies will need to focus more on emerging economies, going forward
18
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The footprint of multinational companies has increased to capitalize on the greater revenue opportunities in Emerging Economies
19 Source: Company Annual Reports, Dow Jones Factiva
37%
33%
41%
27%
22%
40%
2002 2012
76%
70%
24%
30%
2002 2012
44%
55%
27%
11%
29%
34%
2002 2012
70%
57%
18%
19%
12%
25%
2002 2012
41%
45%
39%
28%
20%
27%
2002 2012
Americas Europe Asia + Africa
Revenues by Geographic Regions for Five select MNCs
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The Education financing gap… There is a major financing gap even if governments invest in education
at expected levels
20
In 2011, the total aid decreased by 3% in real terms; official development assistance (ODA) to the education sector will be reduced as 2015 approaches, reflecting the 3% fall in
total development aid since 2010-2011
25 36
6
8 22
33
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Avergae Annual Resources needed to finance Basic education in low income countries
Avergae Annual Resources needed to finance Basic & Secondary education in low income countries
US
$bn
Funding Gap
Govt Expenditure
Annual Aid
Source: UNESCO Education for All Global Monitoring Report 2012
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The Private Sector has a stake in Education in ‘Emerging Economies’
There is a quality and capacity challenge - in terms of weak education systems
There are demographic shifts and movement of people
Traditional aid flows are reducing
Hence, due to the timing challenge – we need to act now
21
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Contents
22
The Importance of Education to the Private Sector A Strategic Imperative for Growth
Education and Human Development The need for Urgent Action
The Business Case for Private Sector Investment in Education The Value Chain of Talent
Innovative Investment Models to support Education Bridging the Funding Gap
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
The importance of equitable access and quality education to the private sector
23
Importance of Equitable Access
and Quality Education to the
Private Sector
Achieve Strategic Growth
Realize Indirect Benefits
Secure Talent to Maximize Revenue
Enable Social Outcomes
Foster Economic Growth
Enhance size and quality of talent pool needed for strategic growth
Mitigate talent supply/demand mismatch
Improve/accelerate economic growth (GDP, tax revenues, infrastructure, etc.)
Reduce poverty/shift poverty levels
Improved health outcomes (Infant/child mortality, morbidity, prevention, etc.)
Stable, society with less crime/ conflict
Manage Talent Management
Costs
Reduce talent acquisition and retention costs
Reduce learning and development costs
NON-EXHAUSTIVE
Not included in the ‘Business Case for Private Sector’
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Issue #1: Secure Talent to Maximize Revenue
Strategic growth and expansion may be limited by availability of talent with the right skills
24
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Business leaders are unable to pursue market opportunities & strategic initiatives due to ‘Talent Constraints’
25
24
29
31
24
24
21
43
41
33
26
29
39
37
39
30
52
42
30
33
42
67
42
23
35
23
23
30
58
10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Cancelled/ delayed key strategic initiative
Unable to pursue market opportunity
Not able to innovate effectively
Could not achieve growth overseas
Could not achieve growth at home
Quality standards fell
Talent related expenses rose
% of respondents saying Yes
How Talent Constrains impacted growth and profitability of a company – Survey of 1258 CEOs in 2012
Brazil ASEAN India Global Average
• 1 in 4 CEOs globally felt that they were unable to pursue a strategic initiative or market expansion opportunity due to talent shortage
• In emerging economies of India and ASEAN this percentage was higher than the global average
• CEOs across industries expressed greater difficulties in hiring employees
• CEOs are currently attempting to counter these challenges by moving experienced employees from mature to emerging markets
“Talent is the most strategic issue for a country like India. The country is tremendously short of talent. There is a gap between industry needs and what comes out of technical institutions.”
Baba Kalyani, CEO, Bharat Forge
Source: Web Reports, PwC CEO Survey 2012 Add’l info on slide 54
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In emerging economies, while talent demand may be met by supply, ‘Employability’ is a major challenge
26
Talent shortage & reduced demand
Greater Talent availability & demand
! – Medium employability challenge
!! – Strong employability challenge
Source: Oxford Economics Global Talent 2021 Study, WEF Talent Mobility Analysis 2011; McKinsey Global Institute Jobs Report
!
!
!!
!!
!!
!!
!
!!
Global Talent Demand/Supply Projection: 2011 to 2021
Add’l info on slide 55
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Without intervention, challenges in securing talent with ‘appropriate’ skills are projected until 2030
27
!
!
!!
!!
!!
!!
!
!!
Global Talent Demand/Supply Projection: 2021 to 2030
Talent shortage & reduced demand
Greater Talent availability & demand
! – Medium employability challenge
!! – Strong employability challenge
!!
Source: Oxford Economics Global Talent 2021 Study, WEF Talent Mobility Analysis 2011; McKinsey Global Institute Jobs Report
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Low secondary and tertiary school enrolment levels are indicative of a future talent supply without required ‘foundational’ and ‘transferable’ skills
28
105 107 102
127
102 99
111 118 116
83
102
131
107 96
101 94
89 81 77
63
44 38
63 53
73
16 15
64
8 15
10 4 2
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Australia Western Europe Average
United States Brazil South Africa Russia China Indonesia India Nigeria Ethiopia
Enro
lmen
t Rat
e %
Primary Education Enrolment Rate Secondary Education Enrolment Rate Tertiary Education Enrolment Rate
• In growing Asian economies, Secondary Education enrolment rates are much lower compared to developed nations reflecting the inability of education systems to absorb and retain students in these countries
• In African nations such as Nigeria and Ethiopia, that are beginning to realize their growth promise, almost half the students appear to be dropping out after completion of only primary education level
Source: World Bank, Nation Master
Enrolment Ratios by Education Levels for Select Countries
Add’l info on slide 56
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Issue # 2: Manage Talent Management Costs
Rising Talent Management costs will impact profitability
29
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Rising talent related expenses pose a critical constraint to growth and profitability
30 Source: ‘Delivering results through talent The HR challenge in a volatile world’, PwC, 2012
Note: In this survey, 1,258 CEOs in 60 countries participated. 440 interviews were conducted in Asia Pacific, 291 in Western Europe, 236 in North America, 150 in Latin America, 88 in Central and Eastern Europe and 53 in the Middle East and Africa. Question: Have talent constraints impacted your company’s growth and profitability over the past 12 months in the following ways?
24
29
31
24
24
21
43
41
33
26
29
39
37
39
30
52
42
30
33
42
67
42
23
35
23
23
30
58
10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Cancelled/ delayed key strategic initiative
Unable to pursue market opportunity
Not able to innovate effectively
Could not achieve growth overseas
Could not achieve growth at home
Quality standards fell
Talent related expenses rose
% of respondents saying Yes
How Talent Constrains impacted growth and profitability of a company – Survey of 1258 CEOs in 2012
Brazil ASEAN India Global Average
2
Survey Response from 1258 CEOs around the World (2012)
Add’l info on slide 57
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In fact, the wages in emerging markets such as India, Philippines and Indonesia have been rising
31 *Source: Analysis of ILO data from Global Wage Database, 2012.
Note: Rate of increase reflects change from previous year.
Annual Rate of Change in Wages (from previous year)
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
China
India
Philippines
Indonesia
UK
US
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Wage increases across industries, in India for example, have been as high as 15% in some industries
32
12%
16%
15%
12%
13%
12%
13% 13%
10%
13%
11%
12%
15%
12% 12%
10%
15%
14%
11%
12%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Informa2on Technology
Informa2on Technology
Enabled Services
Infrastructure & Real Estate
Pharmaceu2cals, Healthcare
& Life Sciences
Consumer Business & Retail
Financial Services Manufacturing Energy & Resources
Media & Adver2sing
Other(s)
Annual Increment, 2011-‐12 Annual Increment, 2012-‐13
Source: Deloitte Compensation Trends Survey, 2012-13. 142 organizations in India participated in this survey.
Annual wage increments in India for 2012-13 compared to 2011-12
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved. 33
Furthermore, high attrition rates, across industries in India creates a perpetual talent acquisition cycle; creating a significant burden for businesses
17%
34%
15%
22%
16%
22%
11% 10%
22% 20%
11%
17%
11%
25%
12% 13%
9% 8%
16% 14%
11% 12%
7%
23%
10% 8%
7%
11%
14% 13%
8%
1%
4%
18%
8% 8% 6%
4%
10% 9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Informa2on Technology
Informa2on Technology
Enabled Services
Infrastructure & Real Estate
Pharmaceu2cals, Healthcare
& Life Sciences
Consumer Business & Retail
Financial Services Manufacturing Energy & Resources
Media & Adver2sing
Other(s)
Junior Management Middle Management Senior Management Top Management
In India, junior management attrition rates were significantly high - as high as 34% in the Information Technology Enabled Services Sector
Source: Deloitte Compensation Trends Survey, 2012-13. 142 organizations in India participated in this survey.
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved. 34 Source: National Association of Software and Service Companies (NASSCOM, India ) Publications, News Articles and Other Secondary Sources.
$0.0 $0.2 $0.4 $0.6 $0.8 $1.0 $1.2 $1.4 $1.6 $1.8 $2.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Training Spend per FTE in 2011
1 IT-ITeS: Information Technology- Information Technology enabled Services, 2 Indian Pure Plays include companies such as TCS, Infosys and Wipro
Training and development spend is an additional cost that is rising , especially for new hires – as exemplified by IT-ITeS Industry data from India
Indian IT-ITeS Training Spend ($ Billion) $0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
Indian Pure Plays
Global Majors in India
Overall Industry Average
New Hires Experienced Hires
2
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Education needs to be a strategic imperative for the Private Sector
35
Growth will be inhibited due to a lack of qualified talent
Costs could rise dramatically through wage inflation caused by a talent crunch
Business performance will be negatively impacted
Hence, the private sector must backward integrate to secure its future strategic growth, especially in emerging economies
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Contents
36
The Importance of Education to the Private Sector A Strategic Imperative for Growth
Education and Human Development The need for Urgent Action
The Business Case for Private Sector Investment in Education The Value Chain of Talent
Innovative Investment Models to support Education Bridging the Funding Gap
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Opportunities are lost with each generation due to child mortality and inadequate education Each year, 27 million children are born in India.1
• 1.7 million will die before the age of 5.2
• Over 5 million will never attend school. • Over 1 million will start primary school but not finish. • Nearly 9 million will begin secondary education but not finish.3
More than two-thirds of the children born annually in India will not complete the secondary level of education.
37
Notes: Education figures based on a sample group of the 15-19 age population. Figures analyzed based on remaining surviving population.
Sources: 1. UNICEF, State of the World’s Children 2012. 2. UNICEF, Committing to Child Survival, Progress Report 2012. 3. EFA Global Monitoring Report 2012
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
$54,485
$7,784
$31,135
$11,420
$104,824
$- $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 $120,000
Children who drop out before completing secondary education
Children who leave school before completing primary education
Children who do not attend school
Child mortality from preventable diseases
TOTAL GAP
Millions of USD
38
The ‘opportunity cost’ for ‘lost talent’ has a significant impact on the economy
A combination of weak education systems and a lack of investment in education in emerging economies has created an annual “value gap” of
over $100 billion in the market for talent.
Notes: *Value gap calculated based on differential between India’s GDP per employed person and GDP per capita. Figures reported for 2011 at PPP in international dollars.1,2
**Figures adjusted to account for rate of anticipated unemployment across the population.3
Sources: 1. CIA World Factbook, 2011. 2. IMF World Economic Outlook Database, 2012, India GDP at PPP. 3. World Bank Development Economics Database, 2012, Total population figures.
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
The Value Chain of Talent The ‘Value Chain of Talent’ concept illustrates benefits to individuals,
business, governments, and society through investments in Education
39
Inve
stm
ents
B
enef
its
Age 0 - 5 Age 5 - 18 Age 18 - 22 Age 22 - 64
Housing & Food
Healthcare + Housing, Health, Food & Education costs
Public spend on education +
Salary and benefits received, higher standard of living
Greater productivity, national income and tax revenues Peaceful and stable social system with less conflict; better health parameters
Greater revenue and profitability
Lesser youth resentment; civic sense; peace & stability
Individual/ Family Society
Government
Businesses
Legend
Early Childhood Basic Education Higher
Education Employment
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Quantification of benefits to the Private Sector with a ‘Value Chain of Talent’ approach
40
Age of the Individual
0 5 18 22 65
Benefits
Costs
• Pre-natal healthcare * This is a non-exhaustive list of costs and benefits
Early investments in education yield greater benefits to the business throughout the individual’s career
Strategic Growth Drivers
Manage Talent Management Costs
Maximize Revenue by Securing ‘Skilled’ Talent
Indicates Benefits to business
Indicates Educational costs
Educational Costs Early Childhood Education Primary Education Secondary Education Tertiary Education
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Methodology: Analyzing potential returns to the Private Sector for investments in Education
41
Calculate costs during schooling
years
Calculate additional value created through
costs averted
Inputs Calculations
Costs to attend school in the public system over the educational career of the student, including: • Public spend on education per
pupil • Costs incurred by the student or
family (e.g., fees, supplies, uniforms, transport)
Contribution to the firm’s revenues for each year worked. Working ages assumed 22-64.
Estimate return
Note; This approach employs the “full discounting method” referred to by as opposed to the Mincerian earnings function commonly used by labor economists. “The Profitability Of Investment In Education: Concepts and Methods.” G. Psacharopoulos, World Bank, 1995.
Costs Educational Costs
Value to Business Created
Conduct Sensitivity
Analysis
Includes pre-primary level (age 3) through university (age 21).
• Decrease in employee acquisition, training and retention costs
• Net Present Value (NPV)
• Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
• Future Economic Value of Talent
Outputs
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Initial findings: Return on Investment across industries from investments in Education
Using a cross-industry group of nine Indian corporations, we have analyzed the return on investment in education to the business in the form
of value generated and costs averted.
42
Cross-industry average: 42%
Our initial findings show that investments in education return approximately 42% annually.
Sources: 1.FY12 company financial statements via Business Week 2. EFA Global Monitoring Report 2012 3. Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, 2008
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Consumer Goods
Fin Services
Information Technology
Capital Goods
Energy
Telecom
Power
Metals & Mining
Automotive
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Future Economic Value of Talent Using data from a typical Private Sector organization in India, our research
has shown that investments in education yield significant future benefits.
43
Costs and Revenues Generated Total (NPV)
NPV of total investment in education* (At start of education)
$10,543
NPV of total value returned to the business^ (20th year after start of education)
$530,999
Value generated to business in the 20th year, from $1 invested at start of education
$53
Every $1 invested at the start of education returns about USD 53 at start of employment
Notes: *NPV computed on investment in education from age 3 to 21 years of the person. NPV computed in age 3. ^NPV computed on value to business from age 22 to 64 of the person. NPV computed in age 22.
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Our analysis suggests that Education is, in fact, a significant untapped investment opportunity
44
Value gaps exist that can be readily addressed
There appears to be a substantial Return on Investment (ROI) for businesses who “backward integrate” into the development of talent
We propose that collaborative action by business will yield improvement in desired outcomes
The role of national governments and donors will be important in providing the right fiscal incentives for business to engage
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Open Discussion
What messages resonate with you?
Are there gaps in the analysis which need to be addressed?
How can the value proposition to business be strengthened?
What is stopping business from investing in education, at present?
45
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Contents
46
The Importance of Education to the Private Sector A Strategic Imperative for Growth
Education and Human Development The need for Urgent Action
The Business Case for Private Sector Investment in Education The Value Chain of Talent
Innovative Investment Models to support Education Bridging the Funding Gap
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Traditional funding model, aid/grants are typically giveaways with a commercial return of ~100%, that is, there are no commercial returns
linked to achievement of social outcomes
47
Poorer Outcom
es, More
Individuals Requiring
Crisis Interventions
Higher Level of Spending on Interventions
Traditional aid funding models lead to a vicious spending cycle
Source: Total Impact Advisors
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GAVI AMC model: Overcoming the cost barrier to provide vital products to poor communities
48
Traditional Research & Development driven Pricing Model
High upfront
R&D spend
Quantity/ Time
Pric
e
Price declines over time
GAVI Advance Market Commitment (AMC) Pricing Model
AMC pays for
R&D
Quantity/ Time
Pric
e
• Initial R&D spend subsidized by AMC funds from donors
• Lower prices for poor countries due to market commitment
Source: The Brookings Institution
Vs.
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Studienaktie: Financial support for tertiary education based on future income
49
Studienaktie’s Education Financing Model
Source: http://www.studienaktie.org/ & Discussions with Lars Stein, Founder
• Link investors & aspirants • Coach & guide aspirants
Aspirants • Select funding option
• Pay investor future income earned (typically 5%)
Investors (Individuals, Foundations, Corporations)
• Provide financial support • Act as mentor
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Emerging innovations……
New financial instruments could be developed to translate the future economic value of talent
into one of the most significant un-tapped investment opportunities for businesses and
impact investors TODAY
50
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Social Yield Option Notes (SIB + L3C): A cash flow tied to the achievement of social objectives
51
1. An implementer creates a limited liability company (L3C) to issue a Social Yield Option Note (SYON) based on its ability to achieve future savings or benefits by meeting social goals according to an agreement with government/donors.
2. Investors fund the most qualified solution providers by purchasing SYON’s from L3C’s they believe can accomplish the goal, injecting competition to the goal.
3. Outcomes of the intervention are measured by an Independent auditor and reported to Public Sector.
4. The Government (or donor) pays out returns based on level of contractual outcome achieved. Quicker the impact, higher the return.
5. Just like regular bonds, the instruments can be traded in a secondary market, bringing added liquidity to social services.
How it Works
Source: Total Impact Advisors
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New possibilities are emerging to develop innovative financing instruments for Education
52
Successful funding mechanisms created for other sectors could be applied to education
New proprietary models are being developed with ability to blend economic return with educational outcomes
More work needs to be done to evaluate viable alternatives
Is there an opportunity to develop a “Stern Report for Education”?
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Conclusions and Next Steps
General reactions and feedback are welcome
A more comprehensive report will be developed by Brookings and Accenture in the next two months
Would you support further work in advance of Education events at the annual UN Summit in September?
How should we proceed
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Additional Reference Information
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Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Talent gaps across geographies are hampering the ability of employers to fill critical operational jobs
55
71%
50%
49%
48%
34%
23%
11%
10%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Brazil
Australia
US
India
Global Average
China
UK
South Africa
% of employers having difficulty filling jobs
The key reasons for recruitment challenges around the world are ‘lack of availability’ and ‘lack of hard/soft skills’
33%
33%
24%
18%
13%
4%
4%
35%
29%
17%
28%
13%
6%
5%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Lack of available applicants
Lack of hard skills
Lack of experience
Lack of soft skills
Pay related issues
Location issues
Other issues
Reasons for difficulty in filling jobs
APAC Global
• Globally, employers are facing difficulty in recruiting Engineers, Sales Representatives, IT Staff, Accountants and Technicians
• In APAC, employers are facing difficulty in recruiting above roles as well as Research & Development and Marketing & Public Relations
Source: Manpower Talent Survey 2012 Back to slide 25
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Varying skill-level requirements between advanced and emerging economies will lead to different types of talent supply challenges
56
60 59
253 288
166 150
Demand Supply
Primary or Lower
Secondary
Tertiary
By 2020, advanced economies will have too few college educated workers
(workers in millions)
• Demand supply mismatch for college educated workers will be highest in the Western Europe zone of France and Germany will the gap reaching 10-11% of the workforce
• Gap to be less severe in countries such as the US where migration and a stable workforce will maintain it at 3%
172 192
509 514
140 117
Demand Supply
By 2020, demand for high skill labor will grow faster than supply in China
(workers in millions)
• Growth in services sector and upward movement of the manufacturing sector in the value chain shall drive the demand in China
• With slower population growth, the flow of students entering college shall decline, thus leading to demand supply imbalance
319 346
133 120
68 74
Demand Supply
By 2020, availability of medium-skilled labor will lag behind in India
(workers in millions)
• Low secondary school graduation rates and faster growth in higher education than in the industrial sector would drive demand supply imbalance
• Growing surplus of low skilled workers could result in adverse social outcomes and low overall productivity
Source: McKinsey Global Institute Job and Labor Report 2011 Back to slide 26
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Completion of Primary and Secondary education provides the ‘basic skills’ needed for employment
57
Technical & Vocational skills
Transferable Skills
Foundational Skills
No skills
Level of Education Nature of skill acquired Nature of work opportunities
Formal technical education, higher
education, vocational studies
Deep skills in a particular area for example
engineering, computers etc.
Well paying professional jobs as well as entrepreneurial opportunities
Secondary school education
Skills transferable across jobs – problem solving,
communication, ideation
Beginner level jobs that require basic capabilities
Primary and Lower secondary education
Literacy and numeracy skills;
Pre-requisites for further education
Jobs that meet daily needs
Uneducated and unschooled None
Subsistence level work; obtain wages that trap individuals in poverty
Skill Hierarchy
Source: UNESCO Youth and Skills Report 2012
It is thus imperative for education systems of a country to ensure a high enrolment of its population in the primary and secondary school levels to equip them with basic employment skills
‘Pathways to Skills’ Framework
Back to slide 28
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High salary/benefits expectations and lack of appropriate skills among candidates are key reasons for recruitment challenges In a study carried out by Economist Intelligence Unit, business leaders in Brazil and China cited the following factors as most likely to hinder their company’s ability to recruit talented employees over the next three years.
58 Source: ‘People for growth- The talent challenge in emerging markets’, EIU.
*% respondents, top 5 responses
Note: Results are based on EIU’s ‘Competing on Talent ‘survey conducted in 2008 in which a total of 944 executives participated .Of these, 357 respondents hailed from China, India, Russia and Brazil.
30
32
41
47
57
Brazil* Candidates lack appropriate skills/qualifications
Inability to meet salary expectations
Inability to meet benefits package expectations
Undesirable work-life balance (long hours, frequent business trips, etc)
Lack of career opportunities and development paths
30
32
38
41
51
China*
Inability to meet salary expectations
Candidates lack appropriate skills/qualifications
Inability to meet benefits package expectations
Undesirable work-life balance (long hours, frequent business trips, etc)
Lack of career opportunities and development paths
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Similar concerns are echoed by companies in India and Russia as well
Business leaders in India and Russia also cited the following factors as most likely to hinder their company’s ability to recruit talented employees
over the next three years.
59
28
32
40
46
61
India*
Inability to meet salary expectations
Candidates lack appropriate skills/qualifications
Inability to meet benefits package expectations
Lack of career opportunities and development paths
Undesirable work-life balance (long hours, frequent business trips, etc)
24
25
27
59
61
Russia*
Inability to meet salary expectations
Candidates lack appropriate skills/qualifications
Inability to meet benefits package expectations
Lack of career opportunities and development paths
Undesirable work-life balance (long hours, frequent business trips, etc)
Source: ‘People for growth- The talent challenge in emerging markets’, EIU.
*% respondents, top 5 responses Note: Results are based on EIU’s ‘Competing on Talent ‘survey conducted in 2008 in which a total of 944 executives participated .Of these, 357 respondents hailed from China, India, Russia and Brazil.
Back to slide 30
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Speaker Bios
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Copyright © 2013 Accenture All rights reserved.
Rebecca Winthrop Senior Fellow and Director, Center for Universal Education The Brookings Institution
Rebecca Winthrop, a Senior Fellow and Director at the Center of Universal Education at the Brookings Institution, is an international expert on global education, particularly in contexts of armed conflicts. Her work focuses on education quality and equity, humanitarian assistance, children’s well-being, forced migration and state fragility. Dr. Winthrop works to promote equitable learning issues for young people in developing countries. She advises governments, foundations and corporations on education and development issues, and provides guidance to a number education policy actors. Prior to joining Brookings in June 2009, Dr. Winthrop spent 15 years working in the field of education for displaced and migrant communities, most recently as the head of education at the International Rescue Committee. She has actively been involved in developing global policy for education in emergencies filed, the United National humanitarian reform process for education, and the evidence base for understanding education’s role in fomenting and mitigating conflict. She has served on the UN secretary-general’s Technical Advisory Committee for his global education initiative, Education First, on the Inter-Agency Network for Education in Emergencies Working Group on Education and Fragility, MasterCard Foundation’s Youth Learning Advisory Committee, and the UNHCR’s Safe Learning environment advisory group. She has field experience in a variety of contexts including Afghanistan, Costa Rica, Croatia, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Guinea, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Kosovo, Liberia, etc.
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Gib Bulloch Executive Director, Accenture Development Partnerships Managing Director, Accenture
Gib Bulloch is the Founder and Executive Director of Accenture Development Partnerships (ADP), a ring-fenced not-for-profit consulting group within Accenture, whose clients include many of the major international NGOs and development agencies. ADP’s main focus is bringing affordable business and technology expertise to the international development sector and promoting private sector engagement in sustainable development. Launched in 2003, ADP’s “self-sustaining” business model has been used as an example of corporate best practice in social innovation in a number of publications including WhatIf’s book “Everyday Legends” highlighting the stories of 20 leading social entrepreneurs and by John Elkington in “The Social Intrapreneur: A Field Guide for Corporate Changemakers”. In 2007, ADP was awarded the Management Consulting Association (MCA)’s Corporate Social Responsibility Award and in 2008, Gib was named as the Sunday Times sponsored Management Consultant of the Year in the Best Partner/Director category. With 15 years experience in the field of Corporate Responsibility, Gib travels and works extensively in developing countries and is a regular speaker on the role of business in development, cross-sectoral partnerships and social entrepreneurship in a corporate context. He is a Visiting Fellow at the Doughty Centre for Corporate Responsibility and serves on the US Board of the END Fund and the Board of DFID’s Business Innovation Facility.
62
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Pooja Bhatt Regional Portfolio Manager, Accenture Development Partnerships Principal, Accenture
Pooja Bhatt, based in Mumbai, India, is the South Asia Geographic Lead for Accenture Development Partnerships, a corporate social enterprise that channels Accenture’s business and IT consulting skills and capabilities to clients in the development sector. She is an experienced industrial organizational psychologist with a strong background in change management, training design and organizational development. She joined Accenture’s Talent and Organization Performance practice in Reston, Virginia in 2006 and moved to India in 2008. Through various engagements and interactions with clients in the development sector, Pooja has developed a deep understanding of the challenges and success factors in implementing social business initiatives. Her specialty is projects that integrate development goals with traditional business models, thus creating need based solutions with sustainable impact. Recently, she has served as a juror for the 2012 Nasscom Social Innovations Honors and a panelist for the WomenChangeMakers program in India.
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