1
1Q07 results and commentsINVESTOR & ANALYST UPDATE
24th May 2007
2
DISCLAIMER
The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. Any forward looking information in this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by Banpu plc. Nothing in this release should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction.
3
1. Introduction
2. Focus: ITM listing
3. Operational review
4. Commercial review
5. Financial review
4
1. Introduction
Virach MakaranithirojHead of Investor Relations
5
Highlights of 1Q07 – the figures
Coal sales
4.3 MT
Down 2.2 MT -34% Q-Q
Coal
Bt 5,783 m
Bt 799 m
Bt 113 m
Power
Bt 917 m
Bt 1,522 m
Bt 1,081 m
Revenue
EBIT
Net income
Total
Bt 6,700 m
Bt 2,321 m
Bt 1,194 m
Q-Q
-34%
0%
+4% *
* +21% before non-recurring items
6
2. Focus: ITM listing
Somruedee SomphongChief Financial Officer
7
Introduction
Banpu planning listing/IPO of Indonesian coal interests on Jakarta Stock Exchange (‘JSX’)
Intention is to list assets through PT Indo Tambangraya Megah(‘ITM’) by Q4 2007
Main reasons for listing:
Facilitate further growth in Indonesia
Raise capital at asset level
Increase accountability
Enhance value transparency JORONG
TRUBAINDO
INDOMINCO10.5mtpa
5mtpa
KALIMANTAN
3.5mtpa
Bontang coal terminal
0 200 km
BHARINTO
Project:firstoutput 2009
Location of Banpu’sIndonesian coal assets
KITADIN-EMBALUT
Suspended operation
8
ITM structure
Centralink
BMS
95%
ITM
100%
Indominco Trubaindo Kitadin Barasentosa Bharinto Jorong
PT Indominco Mandiri
(CCOW Gen.I)
PT Truba Indo Coal Mining
(CCOW Gen II)
PT Kitadin
(KP)
PT Barasentosa
(Non active)
PT BharintoEkaama
(CCOW Gen II)
PT Jorong BarntamaGreston
(CCOW Gen II)
The “Indocoal” assets
BMC
100%
PT CentralinkWisesaInternational
PT Indo TambangrayaMegah
Banpu Minerals Singapore
Acquired Bharintoin 2004
100% 90% 100% 100% 99% 95%
82 Mt
287 MtResources
KALIMANTAN
Output 07f: 10.5 Mt
61 Mt
300 MtResources
KALIMANTAN
Output 07f: 5 Mt
17 Mt
151 MtResources
KALIMANTAN
Reserves
Output 07f: 0 Mt?
33 Mt
39 MtResources
SUMATRA
Reserves29 Mt
218 MtResources
KALIMANTAN
Reserves
First output 2009
15 Mt
44 MtResources
KALIMANTAN
Output 07f: 3.5 Mt
Banpu Minerals Company (Banpu PLC 100%)
Jorong was acquired in 1997 and will be merged into ITM in 2007 prior to the IPO
Output 19 Mt
Reserves 204 Mt
At the time of the IPO, ITM will consist of three operating mines (Indominco, Trubaindoand Jorong) and one important growth project (Bharinto).
ITM will also have one suspended operation (Kitadin).
Figures as at 31st Mar 2007DIVESTED MAY 2007
Resources 1,000 Mt
Reserves Reserves Reserves
9
ITM profile
ITM 19 Mt
Bumi 53 Mt
Adaro 34 Mt
Kideco 18 Mt
Berau 11 Mt
PTBA 10 Mt
Indonesian coal producers: 2006 output
20 Mt
15 Mt
10 Mt
5 Mt
01 02 03 04 05 062
3
1
2
5
2
3
5
3
3
8
2
3
8
2
2
3
10
2
4
6.5
9.0
11.513.0
14.0
19.0
Jorong
Indominco
Kitadin
Trubaindo
2001-06 cagr 25%
ITM historical output
Source: AWR Lloyd
Source: Banpu
Leading coal producer: third largest in Indonesia based on 2006 production (see graph)
Strong markets:
Strong demand from East Asian coal importing countries
Competitive supply to new Asian markets (China, India…)
Indonesian government policy 10GW coal-fired power by 2010
Own coal terminal: by 2008 shipments up to 18Mtpa
Strong growth track-record: output growth 25% pa 2001-06.
Potential for growth through acquisitions
10
ITM corporate governance
RATIONALE: ACCOUNTABILITY
Provides ‘window’ to fair value of Indonesian coal assets
Imposes professional discipline on ITM management to report on performance in transparent manner
ITM management will be directly accountable to the market: strategy and allocation of capital must be justified (focus on NPV returns)
Enhances local corporate citizenship
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE STANDARDS
• Board of Commissioners (appointed/ dismissed by shareholders)
• Board of Directors (at least one non-exec) and corporate secretary
• Separate audit, risk management and nomination committees
• HR and organisation policy
• Finance, accounting and budgeting policy
• Information systems, reporting structure
JSX requirements
Banpu’s own reporting standards
(e.g. JORC reserves standards, best
practice investor relations, corporate
governance…)
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3. Operational review
Rawi CorsiriChief Operating Officer
12
Estimated 2007 production 21m tonnes (excl. China)
Indominco-Bontang10.5 mt
Jorong3.5 mt
Thailand2 mt
Daning3.2 mt
(Banpu 12.5%)
Trubaindo5 mt
100% basis
Hebi1.4 mt(Banpu 40%)
Kitadin
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Indo and Thai coal production review and outlook
Indominco-BontangCV 6250 - 6500 kcal/kg
2.9
3Q06
10.5:1SR 10.3:1
2Q 3Q
SR 6.9
0.5
4Q062Q
0.6
3Q
SR 4.7
Kitadin-EmbalutCV 5800 kcal/kg
JorongCV 5300 kcal/kg
LP-2 / CMMCCV 4000 - 5000 kcal/kg
2.5
4Q06
0.8
4Q06
TrubaindoCV 6550 – 7200 kcal/kg
10.3:1
6.9
4.7
0.6
1Q07
2Q
1.2
3Q
2Q06
0.4
2Q 3Q 4Q06
0.8
4Q06
0.80.6
SR 4.2 4.2
SR 5.4
1.5
2.6
1Q07
0.8
2Q07F
0.4
2Q07F
0.8
2Q07F
10.5:1
4.8
4.2
4.4
5.4
2.6
0.8
1.0
5.4
4.3
Maintain high stripping ratio due to favorable
market price
Seasonal fluctuation is anticipated
Output will gradually rise in later periods
Under mine closure stage in this year
1Q07
0.2
0.7
1Q07
0.6
4.4
5.4
Production discontinued after mine suspension
2Q07F
2.5
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China coal operations
HZTM(Hebi Zhong Tai Mining)
Henan Province, PRCCV 5300 – 6800 kcal/kg(Banpu 40%)
DaningShanxi Province, PRCCV 6800 – 7300 kcal/kg(Banpu 12.5%)
Progress:New washing plant has raised PCI outputSafety system (ventilation, gas testing methods) has been upgradedUndergoing expansion to 2 mtpa
Challenges:Strict management of seam gas compliance
Progress:2nd longwall has passed regulatory testing and government inspectionVentilation and degas systems have been installedRail spur under construction
Challenges:Tighter safety regulations imposed in Shanxi
1
2
1. Flotation (washing) plant at HZTM 2. Rail spur construction at Daning
15
Power Thailand: BLCP
50% Banpu-owned 1,434MW coal-fired IPP project in Map Ta Put Industrial Estate is now in full operation
Unit 1 COD : 1st October 2006
Unit 2 COD : 1st February 2007
Equity income to Banpu :
1Q07 Bt 1,277 m
4Q06 Bt 664 m
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Power China
* Unaudited figures
** Including transportation
*** Including Expansion
Sales* (USD m)
EBITDA (USD m)
Utilization (Hours)
Power tariff (RMB/kwh)
Coal price**(RMB/t)
100% basis
4Q06
4Q06
4Q06
9.6 3.6 1,803 0.42 412
7.0 2.6 2,339 0.34 336
8.9 2.3 0.32 4411,846
LuannanHebei Province, PRCPower 100MW; Steam 128tph(Banpu 100% )
ZoupingShandong Province, PRCPower 100MW***;Steam 490tph(70%)
ZhengdingHebei Province, PRCPower 48MW;Steam 180tph(100%)
EBITDA margin recovered after
completing maintenance of heat pipeline
First phase upgrade project (hot water) completed;
Second phase underway
Second phase expansion completed; third phase
(25MW) underway
1Q07
1Q07
1Q07
9.1 4.0 1,669 0.42 419
6.5 2.2 2,110 0.34 376
8.1 1.7 1,681 0.32 478
8.2 3.6 1,508 0.42 4131Q06
4.5 0.8 1,148 0.34 3701Q06
7.6 1.8 1,852 0.31 4751Q06
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4. Commercial review
Rawi CorsiriChief Operating Officer
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10
20
30
40
50
60
1Q02
2Q02
3Q02
4Q02
1Q03
2Q03
3Q03
4Q03
1Q04
2Q04
3Q04
4Q04
1Q05
2Q05
3Q05
4Q05
1Q06
2Q06
3Q06
4Q06
1Q07
2Q07e
BJI
Weighted avg
Indominco
Average Selling Prices (ASP)
ASP 1q07 : $36.17 / tonne
ASP 2007e : c.$38 / tonne
US$/Tonne
BJI*
May 17, 2007 :
$53.85
Note: *Barlow Jonker Index (BJI) based on CV 6,700 kcal/kg GAD from Australia to JapanSource: Barlow Jonker
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Geographic distribution of customers
Coal sales by value: Bt 5,750m in 1Q07
Philippines6%Japan
28%
China15%
Korea5%
Taiwan18%
Indonesia3%
Europe4%
Thai17%
India7%Other
4%
Focus on quality of sales
North & East Asia increasingly core with Chinese growth direct to end users
Keeping Thai customers replacing Thai production by Indonesian
Impact of LT sales to IPPs in Indonesia, China and Philippines lessens downsides
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Coal sales by source and destination
Coal sales volume:
4.32 MT in 1Q07
-
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
Thai mines
Jorong
Kitadin
Indominco-Bontang
Trubaindo
Kor
ea
Thai
land
Indi
a
Indo
nesi
a
Eur
ope
Oth
ers
Mt
24%
16%
13%
6%
10%
3%
5%
Chi
na
3%
Phi
lippi
nes
Japa
n
Taiw
an
16%
4%
Focus on quality of sales
Thai market share maintained through replacement of domestic with imported Indonesian coal
Jorong remains supplier to nearby markets with increased Thailand, Indonesia and Philippines share with less to India
Indominco-Bontang becoming attractive to new customers who previously bought lower grade coals (e.g. China)
Trubaindo is positioned in premium markets and as an upgrading blend additive
21
9%
4%
87%
Indicative 2007 coal sales
Approx. 21 MT
Contracted & Priced
Contracted & Unpriced
Uncontracted Fully sold on Thai and most Indonesian low CV grades
No rush to commit remaining high CV grades, more positive market expected
Chinese import demand is expected to continue strong from end last year
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5. Financial review
Somruedee SomphongChief Financial Officer
23
Sales revenues : coal and power
Note : Revenues from other businesses (e.g. industrial minerals) are not included
(658)
Units: Bt. million
1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 Indominco Kitadin Jorong Trubaindo Coal Thai4Q06
(1,551)
(284)(968)
(1)
1Q07
7,512 7,1708,418
6,667
BPIC
(15)
Sales volume lowered by 0.5mt
10,141-34%Q on Q
-11%Y on Y
Sales volumedeclined 0.9mtdue to a 10-day suspension at Bontang Port
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4,225
1,439
679
319
591
4,904
2,529
921
668
188189
10
637
1,561
3,353
Thai mines
Kitadin-Embalut
Jorong
Trubaindo
Indominco
Bt. million GPM Sales revenue
Thai mines
Jorong
Trubaindo
Kitadin-Embalut
Indominco40%39%40%
35%
36%12%
16%
13%46%
39%
34%
35%
1Q07
4Q06
1Q06
Avg. gross margin 1Q07 at 38%
42%33%
25
Consolidated EBITDA
Units: Bt. million
+76%Y on Y
(1,358)+499
+527 +4
SG&A declined with sales
Royalty decreased with revenues
Gross
profitSG&A Equity Other
incomesD&A4Q06 1Q07
(1)3,187
1,818
3,195
1Q06
Sales volume declined 34% QoQ
+337
Royaltyincomes
COD of BLCP Unit 2 in February
26
Net profit variance
+5 +4+46
(174)
Units: Bt. million
EBIT4Q06
1,194
1Q06 1Q07
+8
FXFinancial charges
Tax Non-recurring
746
1,143
Others
+162
+60%Y on Y
+4%Q on Q
FX loss due to strengthening of
Thai Baht
27
Medium term (2007-08) CAPEX plans: $469million
Units: USD million
9345
120 Power Thailand & neighbor
Coal ChinaCoal Indonesia
45
235
Committed Pre-feasibility ConceptualStatusCoal projects
Power projects
Bontang Port 66
BLCP 93China Power 30
Bharinto 45 Indonesia 50China 120
China 60Hongsa 5
The capital expenditure figures shown above are indicative only and do not include estimates for maintenance or sustaining capital expenditure. The figures shown in the ‘Conceptual’ column should be treated with extra caution and are likely to change as new projects are conceived, some are cancelled and as pre-feasibility analyses generate modified estimates of capital expenditure requirements.
Power China30
189
50
60
5
66
28
0.730.66
0.690.62
0.52
0.34
2005 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07
91
Balance sheet
Debt structureNet D/E (Times)
Net gearing (%)
As end of March 2007
20%25%
34%
41%38%
42%
Floating 44% Fixed 56%
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Question & Answer
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APPENDICES
31
Operating profit
Units: Bt. million
Sales revenues – Power (BPIC) 917Cost of sales (4,220)Gross profit 2,480 -35% -11%
GPM 37%
1Q07 QoQ % YoY %
6,700 -34% -12%
Note: * Including other business
Sales revenues – Coal
Total sales revenues*
5,786 -37% -21%
Gross profit - Coal 2,220 -38% -18%Gross profit – Power (BPIC) 260
GPM – Power (BPIC) 28%GPM - Coal 38%
-2% 254%- -
-5% 357%
931(6,324)3,838
38%
4Q06
10,1629,231
3,563275
29%39%
259(4,809)2,773
37%
1Q06
7,5827,323
2,71657
22%37%
32
Operating profit
Units: Bt. million
Gross profit 2,480 2,773 -35% -11%GPM 37% 37%SG&A (826) (989)Royalty (671) (781)
Dividend income – Coal & Power - -Other income 31 66EBIT 2,321 1,124 0% 106%
EBITDA 3,195 1,818 0% 76%
1Q07 1Q06 QoQ % YoY %
EBIT - Coal 799 1,080 -44% -26%EBIT - Power 1,522 44
Income from associates 1,306 55
70%
3,83838%
(1,326)(1,008)
-32
2,316
3,187
4Q06
1,419897
779
3,359%
33
Units: Bt. million
EBITInterest expenses (273)Financial expenses (46)Income tax (core business) (263)Minorities (22)Net profit before extra items 1,716Non-recurring items* (149)Income tax (non-core business) (237)Net profit before FX 1,330 97%FX translations (137)Net profit 1,194 60%EPS (Bt/share) 4.39
Note: * Income from non-core assets and other non-operating expenses
YoY %1Q07
Net profit
238%
(230)(53)
(300)(33)508169
-
67770
7462.74
1Q06
20%
4%
QoQ %
21%
2,321 1,124 0% 106%
(266)(57)
(546)(30)
1,417(311)
-1,106
371,1434.21
4Q06
2,316