+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export...

Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export...

Date post: 08-Apr-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 0 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
25
INVESTOR SITE PRESENTATION DAVID HATHORN 27/28 NOVEMBER 2007
Transcript
Page 1: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

INVESTOR SITE PRESENTATION

DAVID HATHORN

27/28 NOVEMBER 2007

Page 2: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 1

AGENDA

Mondi

Organisation

Safety & Sustainable Development

Page 3: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 2

AGENDA

Mondi

Organisation

Safety & Sustainable Development

Page 4: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 3

MONDI STRATEGIC DRIVERS

Leading market position— Leading market positions — High exposure to:

– Attractive product segments– Attractive geographies

Strong asset base— Upstream production cost advantages

– 100% of kraftliner and 91% of universaloffice paper in lowest cost quartile

— Vertically integrated– Up to 51% self-sufficient low cost wood

Focus on performance— Comprehensive Business Excellence

Programmes— Continuous cost reduction and productivity

improvement

Growth— Organic and through acquisition

Mondi Group sales

60%

40%

Emerging markets Mature markets

Mondi Group operating assets

70%

30%

Emerging markets Mature markets

Mondi Group sales H1 2007

45%

55%

Emerging markets Mature markets

Group net operating assets June 2007

61%

39%

Emerging markets Mature markets

Indicative Position 2010

Page 5: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 4

UCWF and Corrugated demand growth per region

Demand growth in %.1Sources: EMGE Woodfree Forecast Report; October 2007 for Eastern and Western Europe. World Paper markets 2020, Pöyry 2005 Edition for CIS. CIS market growth from 2004 –2010.2Source: ICCA.

CISEEWE

9,8

1,3

6,6

UCWF 2006 - 2011 demand growth (in %)1 Corrugated 2005 - 2010 demand growth (in %)2

EE

8,2

WE

1,8

Page 6: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 527/11/2007 14:29MAGENTA\ROADSHOW PRESENTATION\12 Magenta Roadshow Presentation.ppt

25 25 2630 30

3337 39

4247

BrazilSouth A

frica

RussiaChile

Australia

Poland

Portugal

SwedenFinlan

dFrance

SUPERIOR ACCESS TO LOW-COST WOOD

Average Hardwood and Softwood Costs (€/m3, Q2 2007)

Source: Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting

Page 7: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 627/11/2007 14:29MAGENTA\ROADSHOW PRESENTATION\12 Magenta Roadshow Presentation.ppt

BENEFITING FROM INTEGRATED VALUE CHAIN

(1) Refers to Mondi’s demand and self-sufficiency of packaging paper (including MP and MPSA). Paper is the end product for non-packaging businesses.Notes: 2006 figures. Forestry figures are based on annual allowable cut (excluding firewood).Source: Mondi

Mondi’s own availability

Mondi’s own demand

Forestry Pulp Paper

Potential self sufficiency 51%

7.6mm3

14.8mm3

91%

3.5Mt

3.8Mt

154%(1)

5.8MtPackaging: 3.3Mt

2.1Mt(1)

Page 8: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 7

GROWTH

At 30th June 2006 61% of asset base was deployed in emerging markets.

Estimated emerging market share of asset base will grow to 70% by close of 2010

Major investments targeted at emerging markets:- Containerboard and box plant – Eastern Europe- Syktyvkar modernisation expansion – Russia- Tire Kutsan acquisition - Turkey

Page 9: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 8

INTERIM FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

ALL KEY INDICATORS UP

€ millions, except for percentages H1 2007 H1 2006 %Change

Group revenue 3,052 2,857 + 7EBITDA 1 421 343 + 23Underlying operating profit 2 243 166 + 46Underlying profit before tax 3 203 125 + 62Reported profit before tax 250 64 Underlying pro forma earnings per share (€ cents per share) 4 22.6 11.9 + 90Interim dividend per share (€ cents per share) 7.3 n/a n/aCash inflow from operations 356 229 + 55Group ROCE 5 10.0% 8.2% + 22

1 EBITDA is operating profit of subsidiaries and joint ventures before special items, depreciation and amortisation. 2 Underlying operating profit is operating profit of subsidiaries and joint ventures before special items. 3 Underlying profit before tax is reported profit before tax before special items. 4 Underlying earnings per share is before special items and based on shares issued on admission. 5 Group ROCE is an annualised measure based on underlying operating profit including share of associates' net earnings divided by average trading capital employed.

Page 10: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 9

INTERIM MANAGEMENT STATEMENT (14TH NOVEMBER)

GroupOverall positive trends and trading momentum of first half have continuedWeakness of US dollar is impacting trade flowsExternal fibre cost inflation has eased

Mondi PackagingBenefited from a favourable Packaging Paper trading environmentReturns in downstream converting still at unsatisfactory levels€25m restructuring programme announced to close/downsize 6 converting operations with loss of 350 jobs

Mondi Business PaperSecured further price increases of circa 3-4%Taken production downtime of circa 75,000 tonnes PM31 headbox successfully modified

SummaryMondi is benefiting from favourable product mix, emerging market exposure and competitivecost positionDespite booking €25m restructuring charge, expect earnings to be in line with managementexpectations

Page 11: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 10

INDUSTRY FUNDAMENTALS: EUROPEAN UNCOATED FINE PAPER

Circa 12 million tonne market, growing at 3% 1 pa— Western Europe 2% 2— Eastern Europe 7% 2European capacity closures in 2006/2007 of 720,000 tpaFollowing these closures, capacity utilisation anticipated to be attractiveFavourable demand supply balance forecast for foreseeable futureOnly confirmed major expansion in Europe is a new 500Ktpa machine at Portucel’s Setubal mill, planned for commissioning in Q3 2009

(1) Volume growth based on 2000 to 2006 demand estimates by Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting.

(2) 2005 - 2006(3) Demand estimates by Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting.(4) Q4 2001 – Q3 2007.

Sources: Mondi, Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting, CEPIFINE, RISI, PIX (FOEX Indexes Oy Ltd)

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

2001 2004 2007

€/to

nne

Page 12: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 11

INDUSTRY FUNDAMENTALS: EUROPEAN CONTAINERBOARD AND CORRUGATED PACKAGING

Circa 26 million tonne market growing at 2.7% 1 pa— Western Europe 1.4% 1

— Eastern Europe 11.0% 1

Good demand growth, particularly in Germany and Emerging EuropeCapacity closures in recycled grades of 2.4 mtpa in 2005/2006 Now operating at attractive capacity utilisation levelsAside from Modern Karton in Turkey (400 ktpa), no new paper machine capacity scheduled until mid to late 2009

(1) Growth on tonnage basis 2000 to 2006 based on 2006 forecasts. (2) Q4 2001 – Q3 2007.

Sources: ICCA, RISI, Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting and PIX (FOEX Indexes Oy Ltd)

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

2001 2004 2007

€/to

nne

Kraftliner 175 gTestliner 2White top Kraftliner

Page 13: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 12

The impact on Mondi should be limited for the following reasons:o UCWF:

– 8% of volume exposed to exports (about 4% for cut size)– Relative high entry barriers (distribution channels, Customer own labels,

environmental standing of overseas suppliers)o Corrugated:

– Overall limited exposure to exchange rates as corrugated is largely traded on a regional level

Coated and graphic grades (which Mondi not exposed to) see much higher trade flows – circa 20% export dependency.

While current USD makes Europe attractive for imports and pressures exports, overall threat limited

Page 14: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 13

Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited

Overview of Export dependence European Paper Business (Imports, Exports and Net Trade in % of Production)

Note: CEPI covers Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United KingdomSource: CEPI European Pulp and Paper Industry Trade Statistics and Annual Statistics 2006; Cepifime for Uncoated Woodfree, Eurokraft/ Mondi Estimates for Kraftpaper)

Newsprint

21,5

-0,4

21,2

Uncoated Mechanical

23,5

-0,6

22,9

Coated Mechanical

8,6

-4,1

4,4

Uncoated Fine

27,1

-3,2

23,8

Coated Fine

6,6

-2,6

4,0

Sanitary and Household

9,0

-4,4

4,6

Container-board

29,0

-7,2

21,7

CartonBoards

24,4

-2,8

21,6

14,1

34,4

-7,4

27,0

WrappingsKraftpaper

Imports in % of ProductionNet Exports in % of Production

-9,3

4,9

Exports in % of Production

Page 15: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 1427/11/2007 14:29MAGENTA\ROADSHOW PRESENTATION\12 Magenta Roadshow Presentation.ppt

Share Price Performance

35.0

45.0

55.0

65.0

75.0

85.0

95.0

105.0

115.03-

Jul

10-J

ul

17-J

ul

24-J

ul

31-J

ul

7-Au

g

14-A

ug

21-A

ug

28-A

ug

4-Se

p

11-S

ep

18-S

ep

25-S

ep

2-O

ct

9-O

ct

16-O

ct

23-O

ct

30-O

ct

6-N

ov

13-N

ov

20-N

ov

Mondi DS Smith IP M-Real Norske Skog Sappi SCA Smurfit Stora Enso UPM

Relative Share Prices of Principal Comparitor Group

3 Ju

ly 2

007

=10

0

Page 16: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 15

AGENDA

Mondi

Organisation

Safety & Sustainable Development

Page 17: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 16

ORGANISATIONAL CHANGE

The changes are designed to eliminate duplication, simplify process and align our business

model across the Group

In place of the current Mondi Packaging and Mondi Business Paper Business Units, there will be

a Europe & International Division and a South African Division

The new Europe and International Division will comprise the existing Mondi Packaging and

Mondi Business Paper units outside South Africa. This division is headed by Peter Oswald,

current CEO of Mondi Packaging

The new South Africa Division will be the existing Mondi Business Paper and South Africa

business. It will be headed by Ron Traill who has been running the Steti mill in the Czech

Republic

The reporting lines for Mondi Packaging South Africa, Mondi Shanduka Newsprint, Aylesford

Newsprint and Europapier will remain as present

Page 18: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 17

Mondi Group

South AfricaDivision

Mondi Packaging

South Africa

Mondi ShandukaNewsprint

Aylesford Newsprint Europapier Europe &

InternationalDivision

Page 19: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 18

AGENDA

Mondi

Organisation

Safety & Sustainable Development

Page 20: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 19

At Mondi, it is important that we

— Apply consistently good practice in the management of sustainability and that we are recognised as a leader in balancing ecological, social and economic values.

— Set the safety standard for the industry.— Subscribe to credible and recognised sustainable forest management

practices.— Reduce our environmental footprint.— Are a partner of choice for governments and communities.— Make public SD commitments and report performance progress openly

and transparently.

OUR SUSTAINABILITY AIMS

Page 21: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 20

SUSTAINABILITY ISSUES - SAFETY

Safety is a core value underpinned by clear operating standards.

One incident is one too many – Mondi is committed to the principles of zero harm and

safe workplaces.

LTIFR Trend 2001 to Q3 2007

1.2

0.67

0.52

0.41

0.27 0.270.18

0.310.3

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007

LTIFR

Performance:o Track record of reductions in Lost-Time

Injuries.

o Two contractor fatalities in South Africa

in 2007, which is unacceptable.

The LTIFR is calculated for employees and contractors per 200,000 hours worked

Page 22: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 21

SUSTAINABILITY ISSUES - FORESTRY

All South African plantations are managed to independently certified sustainable forest

management standards.

All areas in Russia are public land, managed through forest management agreements that

involve public stakeholder processes and regular independent auditing.

Mondi has implemented a fibre tracing system that ensures that the wood and pulp we

source comes from acceptable sources.

.

Page 23: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 22

SUSTAINABILITY ISSUES - EMISSIONS

Mondi is a large energy consumer – 6 million tonnes of CO2e emitted annually with 45% of

energy produced from biomass

Target of 15% reduction for energy and CO2 from 2004 to 2014

Mondi sent 234,000 tonnes of non-hazardous waste to landfill in 2006 – target to reduce total

non-hazardous waste to landfill by 20% from 2005 to 2010.

.

Page 24: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

PAGE 23

SUSTAINABILITY ISSUES - CSR

All Mondi’s significant sites have undertaken a socio-economic assessment of their operations with the focus on engaging with their communities and delivering on the commitments made to them.Corporate Social Investment programmes in place at our sitesHIV/Aids programmes and Black Economic Empowerment programmes in place in South Africa.

Page 25: Investor site presentation - David Hathorn€¦ · Nevertheless with the exception of the export heavy Kraft paper, the impact on Mondi’s grades is limited ... Sweden, Switzerland,

Q & A


Recommended