January 14 Top 10 Tech Trends 2014 Dmitchellsmith

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Gartner at a Glance

950Analysts

13,000Client

Organizations

200,000+Client

Interactions

VerticalCoverage

in NineIndustries

5,500

Benchmarks

10,200Media

Inquiries

World'sLargest

Communityof CIOs

70+

Conferences

75% ofGlobal 500

2,100Consulting

Engagements

Clients in85 Countries

72% ofFortune 1000

500Consultants


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2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rightsreserved.

#GartnerSYM

David Mitchell Smith

Top 10 StrategicTechnologyTrends for 2014


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2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rightsreserved.

#GartnerSYM

Key Issues

What technology trends will have the biggestpotential for significant enterprise impact over thenext three years?

Which technologies or trends will drive significantchange or disruption?

Are there changes or tipping points occurringnow or over the next three years that make thetechnology newly strategic or applicable to awider market?


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2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rightsreserved.#GartnerSYM

FutureDisruption

DerivativeImpact

ConvergingForces

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2014

Mobile Device Diversity &Management

Mobile Apps & Applications

The Internet of Everything

Hybrid Cloud & IT as Service Broker

Cloud/Client Architecture

The Era of Personal Cloud

Software Defined Anything

Web Scale IT

Smart Machines

3-D Printing


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Mobile Devices - No Single Vendor orPlatform Will Dominate

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Greater China

Emerging APAC

Mature APAC

North America

Western Europe

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Greater China

Emerging APAC

Mature APAC

North America

Western Europe

Gartner, Forecast for Device Shipments by Operating System, Worldwide, 2Q13

Handsets

Tablets


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Mobile Device Diversity Many form factors, screen sizes, interaction styles, platforms,

architectures Innovative BYO knowledge workers will use 3 to 5 devices by

2016 > 100 mobile application development tools, > 60 MDM tools Management and security challenges driven by BYOD &

BYOA Tactics are the new strategy

Pocketable Portable Shared AreasDesk

Touch, Voice, ...

Keyboard, Mouse

Gesture

Grab &Go

Wearable Convertible


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Device vendors like Apple and Google will not be

the most strategic mobile platform in the workplace

Managing Mobile DiversityThe Rise of Enterprise Mobile Platforms

Enterprise mobile platforms are key strategic solutions encompassingmobile applications, integration, management, and security

Enterprise Mobile Platform

Cloud-delivered

Social-enabled

Multichannel

Device-aware

Device-agnostic

Removes complexity from mobiledecisions

Protects enterprise from mobiledevice wars

Drives reuse and faster mobileadoption


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Enterprise Mobile Platforms

Broad solution portfolios put thesediscrete markets at risk: Mobile Device Management (MDM)

Legacy Mobile Enterprise Application

Platforms (MEAP) Security Containers

Enterprise File Sync & Share

Cloud Mobile Back-end Services

Emerging leaders

with more joiningsoon

Invest tactically in best-of-breed solutions with


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Mobile Apps and Applications

Richer UI models

Voice, Video & more

Microsoft, Google and Applewill battle for leadership

Modern UI & Apps vs. Applications

Contextual, connected, multi-device

Multichannel applications

Store, Sync and Share

Cross-Platform Applications

Development challenges

New design skills

Responsive Design

Native apps vs. HTML5More Inputs

More Places

MoreActions

Microsoft

Apple

Google
http://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.solidmobiles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/HTC-DROID-INCREDIBLE-Android-Phone.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.solidmobiles.com/verizon-wireless-2/droid-verizon-wireless-series-list-free-amazon.html&usg=__wm9TSER8fTTFVLcyPztwdfHQhSQ=&h=280&w=280&sz=13&hl=en&start=3&zoom=1&tbnid=a2EfhSJrpFPz3M:&tbnh=114&tbnw=114&ei=t9uWTuCBNYTe0QHsr_DUBA&prev=/search?q=android+phone+droid+2011&hl=en&sa=X&tbm=isch&prmd=ivnsur&itbs=1


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if it makes sense commercially, socially, andpersonally

Internet of People

1.11B people on Facebook, Mar 2013

Internet of

Things25B things by 2020

Internet of Information30T web pages in Google index, 2013

Internet of Places3B Foursquare check ins, Jan 2013


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Focus on the Usage Models to UncoverValue

Optimize utilizationManage

Pay-per-useMonetize

Remote operationOperate

Provide digital services &content

Extend


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The Information of Things Unlocks Value

Thing

Thing Place

PeopleSystem

Big DataAnalysis

Thing

Thing

Asset Network of Assets

Everything

Thing


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Architecture Matters

Application logic, data, and analytics can be placed anywhere

Cloud EnterpriseLocal/Edge Gateway

AnalyticsDataApplication


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Hybrid CloudCombining Services

DeploymentComposition

StaticComposition

DynamicComposition

EventComposition

Composed each timethe service is

provisioned/used

Designed so that

services are alwaysused together in thesame manner

Recomposeddynamically duringruntime

Recomposed based ona planned or one-timeevent

Complementary capabilities/data. Most common current approach

Based on policies, capacity availability,current pricing.

Viable with strict parameters and planning

Based on policy and dynamically-changingcapacity or capability needs, pricing

Bleeding edge approach but evolving

Based on expected capacity or capabilityneeds(e.g., disaster recovery)

Emerging approach


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Hybrid ITIT As Advisor, Broker andProvider

IT

Cloud Services Broker

Enterprise App Store

PrivateCloud

Services

PublicCloud

Services

TraditionalServices

PublicCloud

Services

& MobileApps

Hybrid IT

The Enterprise

Advisor User Facing Facilitate business decisions Front end mobile app stores and cloud

markets Deliver enterprise mobile apps and cloud

services Future of internal portals and service

catalogs Social Elements

Broker Service Facing Emphasize IT role as broker and

integrator CMP and/or CSB models

Provider IaaS & PaaS

Abstraction App, Dev, Mgt &

Sec. SW

Provider Data Centers Vertically

Integrated


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Cloud/Client ArchitectureThe DeveloperPerspective

The cloud is the control point and

system of record Applications span multiple client

devices

The Application is in the cloud Apps expose capabilities on theclient.

The experience flows to where youare and what you are doing incontext

Applications will use multiple clientendpoints simultaneously

Mobile containers drive a newsecurity approach

Data

Logic

UI Model

Data

Logic

UI Model


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The Human PerspectiveThe Rise of thePersonal Cloud

Center of each users personaldigital ecosystem

Unique collection of servicesfor each user

Assembled and evolved byeach user

Glue connecting the devicesand services they choose touse daily

Shift in the balance of power

Vendors and IT organizations mus t

align to this next stage of

consumer izat ion

Google

Gmail

iTunes XboxLive

Instagram

MicrosoftSkydrive

AmazonNetflix

Twitter

Facebook

AppleiCloud Rdio

CorpSharepoi

nt Pro


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The Journey to Programmable Everything

Software Defined

Networking

Software DefinedStorage

Software Defined

DataCenter

IaaS

Real Time

Infrastructure

Fabric BasedComputing

Open Compute

Project

OpenStack

VirtualData

Centers

Integrated

Systems

SoftwareDefined

Anything


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The API Economy

New SystemProduction

New APIProduction

APIeconomygrowth

throughefficiency

Future

Your Consumption ofAPIsIs Growing FAST!

Did You Know You Already Live in an APIEconomy?

You Tweet?

You Register?

You Check-in?

You Deposit?

You Pay?

You Post?

You "Candy Crush"?Past


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Web-Scale IT: A Result of the Cloud ProviderSingularity

20

Web-scale IT is a pattern of global class computing that delivers

the capabilities of large cloud services providers to theenterprise.

You Too can run with thebig dogs


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Web-scale IT Implementation:Need to Re-think the Entire IT Value Chain

Whats in: Open source,DIY, Resiliency,Services, DevOps,Sharing, Learning, ScaleOut, New-Age Vendors

Whats out: Proprietary, Turn-key, Complexity, GUIs, ITIL,Heroes, Rules, Scale up, Old-

School Vendors

Web-scale

IT

powers

the NexusAPI-based

Management

Web-orientedArchitecture

CollaborativeAligned

Organization

Velocity-focused

Processes

IndustrialDesigned

Infrastructures

RiskEmbracing

Culture

Web-ScaleIT

Open

Source


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The Rise of Smart Machines

Movers

- Autonomous vehicles

Doers

- Machine-focused helpers

- Robots, Networks ofIndustrial Machines

Sages

- Linguistically smartInformation-based helpers

- personal assistants, smartadvisors


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Smart Machines Impact People

Replace

Drivers, Soldiers

Assist

Context smart

Advise

Deepcontent knowledge

Extend

Enable people to dothe impossible; largescale smart machines,

IoT, smart cities

Observe &

HelpHandicapped

Empower PeopleEfficiency

Oversimplification: Efficiency versus Empowerment

BYO-SM

Predictive


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Why Enterprises Care

Rapid, iterative prototypes andmodels; short-run manufacturing;new product opportunities

Why Technology Providers Care

82% CAGR to $5.7b in 2017

A growing new ecosystem

Inhibitors

Overhyped use cases

Need to adapt business models

Technologies, materials, actualbuild cost

Intellectual property rights,copyrights

3D Printing Opportunities & Inhibitors

Stratasys / Solidscapeexample

3D SystemsZprinterexample

Cross-section of bioprinted human liver tissue

2013 Cool Vendor Organovo
http://www.rhinojewel.com/en/rapid.phphttp://www.rhinojewel.com/en/rapid.php


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The Nexus of forces continues to drive change and create new

opportunities Mobile-centric trends and technologies increasingly define the client

environment and the core end-user app and experience.

Cloudis becoming a mainstream computing style and delivery optionwith hybrid cloud, cloud brokerage and new delivery, managementand security options accelerating adoption.

Cloud and Mobile combine to drive new application architecturesand a new user experience called personal cloud

Information & Social elements are deeply embedded into all of the

strategic trends.

The Nexusforces create demand for advanced programmableinfrastructure and services that can execute at web-scale and supportnew client/cloud app models and the personal cloud

The Bottom Line


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Recommended Research

BYOD Doesn't Have to Be All or Nothing: Match Smartphone, Tablet and PC

Rollouts to Organizational Readiness and Employee Demand

Leslie Fiering (G00247169)

The Mobile Imperative: Mobile Application Strategies and Architectures

David Mitchell Smith (G00251010)

The Information of Things: Why Big Data Will Drive the Value in the Internet of

ThingsHung LeHong (G00249066)

Decision Point for Selecting a Mobile Application ArchitectureKirk Knoernschild and others (G00234823)

Cool Vendors in 3D Printing, 2013 Pete Basiliere, et al (G00250450)

The Disruptive Era of Smart Machines Is Upon Us (G00257743)


Mark Raskino and Hung LeHong (G00234337)

Emerging Technology Analysis: OpenFlow and Software-Defined Networking

for CSPs

Akshay K. Sharma (G00233227)
http://www.gartner.com/document/2437815?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00247169http://www.gartner.com/document/2437815?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00247169http://www.gartner.com/document/2450415?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=The%20Mobile%20Imperative:%20Mobile%20Application%20Strategies%20and%20Architectureshttp://www.gartner.com/document/2436015?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00249066http://www.gartner.com/document/2436015?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00249066http://www.gartner.com/document/2119219?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00234823http://www.gartner.com/document/2471215http://www.gartner.com/document/2557916http://www.gartner.com/document/1981015?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00234337http://www.gartner.com/document/1970215?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00233227http://www.gartner.com/document/1970215?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00233227http://www.gartner.com/document/1970215?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00233227http://www.gartner.com/document/1970215?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00233227http://www.gartner.com/document/1970215?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00233227http://www.gartner.com/document/1970215?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00233227http://www.gartner.com/document/1970215?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00233227http://www.gartner.com/document/1970215?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00233227http://www.gartner.com/document/1970215?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00233227http://www.gartner.com/document/1981015?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00234337http://www.gartner.com/document/2557916http://www.gartner.com/document/2471215http://www.gartner.com/document/2119219?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00234823http://www.gartner.com/document/2436015?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00249066http://www.gartner.com/document/2436015?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00249066http://www.gartner.com/document/2450415?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=The%20Mobile%20Imperative:%20Mobile%20Application%20Strategies%20and%20Architectureshttp://www.gartner.com/document/2437815?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00247169http://www.gartner.com/document/2437815?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=G00247169


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Recommended Gartner Research

Gartner's Top Predictions for IT Organizations and Users, 2013 and Beyond:

Balancing Economics, Risk, Opportunity and Innovation Daryl C. Plummer and

others (G00238808) Digitalizing the Business Mark P. McDonald and Andy Rowsell-Jones (G00233511)

Maverick* Research: Judgment Day, or Why We Should Let Machines Automate

Decision Making

Nigel Rayner (G00219673)

Hype Cycle for Human-Computer Interaction, 2013 Adib Carl Ghubril and StevePrentice (G00252515)

Technology Overview: Quantified Self Mike Gotta (G00254148)

The Disruptive Era of Smart Machines Is Upon Us (G00257743)

Hype Cycle for Data and Collaboration Security, 2013 Jay Heiser (G00239713)

Hype Cycle for the Internet of Things, 2013 Hung Lehong (G00252763)

Overcome the Four Inhibitors of Data-Driven Marketing Andrew Frank (G00239753)

Cool Vendors in 3D Printing, 2013 Pete Basiliere, et al (G00250450)

Emerging Technology Analysis: 3D PrintingPete Basiliere (G00237313)

For more information, stop by Experience Gartner Research Zone.
http://www.gartner.com/document/2206716http://www.gartner.com/document/2206716http://www.gartner.com/document/1993715http://www.gartner.com/document/1818018http://www.gartner.com/document/1818018http://www.gartner.com/document/2557916http://www.gartner.com/document/2591327http://www.gartner.com/document/2557916http://www.gartner.com/document/2559516http://www.gartner.com/document/2571716http://www.gartner.com/document/2237116http://www.gartner.com/document/2471215http://www.gartner.com/document/2272015http://www.gartner.com/document/2272015http://www.gartner.com/document/2272015http://www.gartner.com/document/2272015http://www.gartner.com/document/2272015http://www.gartner.com/document/2471215http://www.gartner.com/document/2237116http://www.gartner.com/document/2237116http://www.gartner.com/document/2237116http://www.gartner.com/document/2571716http://www.gartner.com/document/2559516http://www.gartner.com/document/2557916http://www.gartner.com/document/2591327http://www.gartner.com/document/2557916http://www.gartner.com/document/2557916http://www.gartner.com/document/2557916http://www.gartner.com/document/1818018http://www.gartner.com/document/1818018http://www.gartner.com/document/1993715http://www.gartner.com/document/2206716http://www.gartner.com/document/2206716


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January 14 Top 10 Tech Trends 2014 Dmitchellsmith

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