John Waclawsky Ph. D. John Waclawsky Ph. D. Software Architect, Motorola Software GroupSoftware Architect, Motorola Software GroupMotorola, Inc.Motorola, Inc.

Technology Trends: P2P Technology Trends: P2P Leveraging the Edge of the Leveraging the Edge of the

Network Network

Bluetooth(R)

802.11a

802.11b/g

GSM/GPRS

CDMA

IR

RFID

GPS

UWB

WiMAX

UMTS

802.20

TV / Radio

Etc.

NFC

Individuals are increasingly connected

What does an end user see?

Some Future Trends and Directions

““The Current State of Technology and Future Trends in The Current State of Technology and Future Trends in Wireless Communications and Applications” authors predict, Wireless Communications and Applications” authors predict, “it will be common to have as many as “it will be common to have as many as 77 radios inside mobile radios inside mobile devices," and "many of these radios need to be capable of devices," and "many of these radios need to be capable of simultaneoussimultaneous operation." operation." Quad-Band GSM/EDGE - Tri-Band WCDMA – Bluetooth – WiFi – FM – GPS - UWB Quad-Band GSM/EDGE - Tri-Band WCDMA – Bluetooth – WiFi – FM – GPS - UWB 

http://www.mwjournal.com/Journal/article.asp?HH_ID=AR_1467 http://www.mwjournal.com/Journal/article.asp?HH_ID=AR_1467

Nokia sees Nokia sees 88 radios and radios and 1111 antennas in a cell phone as antennas in a cell phone as commonplace. commonplace. Software-defined radioSoftware-defined radio is expected to simplify is expected to simplify all the radios/antennas. The trick is a radio controlled by all the radios/antennas. The trick is a radio controlled by software that uses a broadband antenna to access a wide software that uses a broadband antenna to access a wide range of frequencies, instead of a single band. range of frequencies, instead of a single band. Carbon-Carbon-nanotubenanotube technology could create tunable radio frequency technology could create tunable radio frequency cavities capable of picking up multiple bands. This can lead to cavities capable of picking up multiple bands. This can lead to cognitive radiocognitive radio, where two devices dynamically create the , where two devices dynamically create the best wireless channel for transferring data at just the right best wireless channel for transferring data at just the right power level (to minimize interference).power level (to minimize interference).

http://www.technologyreview.com/printer_friendly_article.aspx?id=17734http://www.technologyreview.com/printer_friendly_article.aspx?id=17734

MS with “N” access connections

MS with “M” access connections

M = NM ≠ N

General Problem: Is P2P the Solution?

802.11

CDMAWiMAX

NFC

ETC.

802.11GSM

WiMAX

Blue Tooth

ETC.

• Where is all the relevant information about which network access for any MS to use? …how to control the flexibility?

• What should be in the core, if anything? …Solution Cost?

People LOVE Gadgets

In the Home On their person

…and there will be Lots and Lots and Lots and Lots of gadgets!

Forecast: US Household Technology Adoption, 2006-2011

“The State Of Consumers And Technology: Benchmark 2006”

July 2006 - 2011, Forecast

BroadbandBroadband

Moore’s Law

Gilder’s Law

Metcalfe’s Law

Three laws have defined an evolution that is changing fundamental Human behavior.

Status – Esteem

Love – BelongingSocial Needs

Safety – Security(Sustainability)

Physiological – Food, Shelter, Clothing(Survival)

Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs

Self Actualization Consumers

Enterprise

DifferentiatedDifferentiated ValueValue

Jobs/Jobs/IncomeIncome

Culture/Culture/AffiliationsAffiliations

RevenueRevenue

PersonalPersonalEntitlementEntitlement

Health/Health/EducationEducation

Peer to PeerApplicationsEmerging

How needs are fulfilled.

When needs are fulfilled.

Fundamental Human needs do not change…

What does change:

Where those needs are fulfilled.

Innovation means altering How, When Innovation means altering How, When and Where. Why remains the same.and Where. Why remains the same.

…new methods and tools.

…time shifting.

…location independent.

The world of short distances that is ignored by infrastructure providers today

Edge-to-edge connectivity continuum: P2P

By DistanceLocal Proximity Global Distributed

IndividualWearable Net

Room Net (Bluetooth(R))

House Net (802.11)

Neighborhood Net

Global Net: Skype/Google/etc.

An association of independent peer networks

Religious Group

MEMBERS*

ARTIFACTS

Social Groups

MEMBERS*

ARTIFACTS

Family Group

MEMBERS*

ARTIFACTS

School Groups

MEMBERS*

ARTIFACTS

Work Groups

MEMBERS*

ARTIFACTS

Individual and members may belong to more than one group

Self Worth ImageBelief in EntitlementsStrong Desire for Artifacts of Group Identity

Political Groups

MEMBERS*

ARTIFACTS

CollaboratingLearning

Entertaining

Socializing Creating

Social Domains: Family/Friends/Associates

Home Member

The Nomadic Life of the “Average” Consumer

A Day in the Life

Dad

Mom

Daughter

Son SchoolSchoolHomeHome MobileMobile HomeHomeMobileMobile

HomeHome MobileMobile Volunteer WorkVolunteer Work HomeHomeMobileMobile

HomeHome MobileMobile SchoolSchool MobileMobile WorkWork HomeHomeMobileMobile

Collaborating

Learning

Entertaining

Socializing

Creating

Self

Family

Friends

Co-Workers

Classmates

HomeHome MobileMobile WorkWork MobileMobile HomeHome

It’ is about economics: monetary or otherwise, such as barter, collective, gift, worker controlled, subsistence market economies …etc.

Infrastructure for P2P-based exchanges: •Open Money.org - Software and infrastructure to enable peer-based multiple local currencies. Any community, any association - indeed, any body - can have their own money.•Community life without money - http://www.cosmopool.net/ •Global Free Economy Project - http://www.mango-a-gogo.com/scot/free.htm•Project Venezia-Gondola - a Peer-to-Peer (P2P) online yardsale application and controller •GIFTegrity - mechanism for the exchange of human help http://futurepositive.synearth.net/stories/storyReader$261 - http://www.cosmopool.net/•Hospitality Exchange Networks - exchange and sharing, aimed at the travelling public : http://globalfreeloaders.com/, http://www.couchsurfing.com/, http://hcvolunteers.org/•Give Get Nation - creates a market for the world's unlimited surplus product, labor, intellect and spiritual capital, much like a free eBay, without the auction or requiring money. People can give, get and share, goods, actions, knowing and spirit, with unlimited categories or subcategories which may be created by users. There are no fees or middle men •Friend2Friend, WiPeer, Tribler Community Exchange System, Ripple, M-logically-valued Local Exchange Trading Systems (LETS) , The Vodes.net, P2P approaches to energy, Kiva: a peer-to-peer online microlending nonprofit organization, etc.

How can an operator become a P2P enabler?

Local Proximity Global Distributed

Individual

Dumb Core

Smart Edge

Smart Core

Dumb Edge

VS

Identity Mgmt

Administrative Services

Billing Services

$¢

X Increasingly Intelligent Devices

Maintenance Services

Storage Services

Opportunity – On the Edge!

An eComm 2008 presentation –

http://eCommMedia.com for more