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KBC Group
Company presentationWinter 2005Web site: www.kbc.com
Ticker codes: KBC BB (Bloomberg) KBKBT BR (Reuters)
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Contact information
Investor Relations Office
Luc CoolNele KindtMarina Kanamori
Surf to www.kbc.com for the latest update.
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This presentation is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security
KBC believes that this presentation is reliable, although some information may be condensed or incomplete
This presentation contains forward-looking statements with respect to our earnings development involving assumptions and uncertainties. The risk exists that these statements may not be fulfilled and that future results differ materially.
By receiving this presentation, each investor is deemed to represent that it possesses sufficient expertise to understand the risks involved
Important information
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Table of contents
1. Company profile
2. Strategy and earnings drivers
3. Financial highlights
4. Closing remarks on the equity valuation
Company profile
Foto gebouw
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Market cap ranking in Euroland
1 BSCH (66 bn)2 BNP Paribas (59 bn)
3 BBVA (50 bn)
4 Deutsche Bank (45 bn)
5 Société Générale (44 bn)
6 Crédit Agricole (39 bn)7 ABN AMRO (39 bn)
8 Unicredit (32 bn)9 Fortis (32 bn)
10 KBC (27 bn)
11 Intesa BCI (243 bn)
12 Dexia (20bn)
13 HVB (20 bn)
14 San Paolo IMI (19 bn)
15 Allied Irish Banks (15 bn)16 Bank Austria (15 bn)
17 Commerzbank (14 bn)
18 Bco Popular (13 bn)
19 Mediobanca (12 bn)
20 Bank of Ireland (12 bn)
Data as at 14 Nov. 2005
DJ Euro Stoxx Banksconstituents
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2005
Historic milestones
2004200320022001 2000 19991998
Creation of KBC (domestic merger in Belgium)
Start of CEE expansion
Restructuring of Belgian business Leading presence
in CEE-5
Improving profitability in CEE: -cross-selling- cost efficiency- cross-border synergies
Merger with parent company to simplify shareholder structure
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Shareholder structure
CERA/Almancora27.1%
(own shares: 2.3%, including ESOP hedge)
Other committed shareholders 11.7%
MRBB11.6%
Free float47.3%
Staff6%
Institutional, Belgium
14%
Retail, Belgium
22%
Institutional, UK
23%
Institutional, Cont. Europe
14%
Institutional, N. America
20% Institutional, R/o world
1%
Free float
KBC is majority-owned by a group of committed shareholders, thereby providing continuity for the pursuit of long-term strategic goals
Core shareholders include the Cera/Almancora Group (co-operative investment company), a Belgian farmers’ association (MRBB) and a syndicate of industrialist families
Shareholder identification as at 31 Dec. 2004(before merger with Almanij)
Situation as at 30 Sept. 2005
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Business portfolio
KBC is a top bancassurer and asset manager in Belgium and has successfully expanded its operations in CEE-5, its 2nd home market.
Recently, Private Banking (76 bn AUM) has become more of a key focus. The PB business was expanded to include a Western European network.
KBC is also active – be it rather selective – in commercial banking (mostly in W. Europe) and capital markets.
55%24%
21%
Revenue -geographical breakdown(9M 2005)
Belgium:- retail bancassurance- asset management- private banking- SME/corporate
CEE:- retail bancassurance- asset management- private banking- SME/corporate
Selected other markets (mostly in W. Europe):- private banking- SME/corporate- capital markets
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2005 9M
23%
KBC’s presence in CEE
CEE profit contribution to KBC Group
Retail 57%
Other22%
SME/Corp 21%
Share of business segments in gross income, CEE Banking
Profit contribution, CZ + SK
2004 9M 2005
162 m 279 m
Czech Republic
Total assets, bank: 18 bn EURMarket share, bank: 21% (No. 2)Market share, life: 8% (No.4)Market share, non-life: 4% (No. 6)
Profit contribution, Poland
2004 9M 2005
25 m 61 m
Total assets, bank: 5 bn EURMarket share, bank: 5% (No. 8)Market share, life: 3% (No. 7)Market share, non-life: 11% (No. 2)
Profit contribution, Hungary
2004 9M 2005
31 m 23 m
Total assets, bank: 7 bn EURMarket share, bank: 11% (No. 2)Market share, life: 4% (No. 7)Market share, non-life: 4% (No. 6)
Slovakia
Total assets, bank: 2 bn EURMarket share, bank: 6% (No. 4)Market share, life: 4% (No. 9)Market share, non-life: 4% (No. 4)
Profit contribution, Slovenia
2004 9M 2005
26 m 18 m
Minority stake (34%)Market share, bank: 41% (No. 1)Market share, life: 6% (No. 5)
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Total banking assets in CEE
0 10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 60 000
Banca Intesa
Société Générale
HVB / Bank Austria CA
Raiffeissen Zentralbank
UniCredito Italiano
Erste Bank
KBC Group
UniCredito / HVB (Newco)
Source: S&P – figures as at 31 Dec. 2004
In million euros
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KBC’s European banking network
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Situation as of 30-Sep
Private banking(Assets under Management)
Belgium 27 bn
CEE 3 bn
Western Europe 46 bn
TOTAL 76 bn
Commercial banking(credit exposure)
Belgium 74 bn
CEE 27 bn
Western Europe 51 bn
Rest of the world 16 bn
TOTAL 168 bn
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Spain
Italy
Luxembourg
France
Germany Poland
Switserland
U.K.
Belgium
IrelandNetherlands
Hungary
Czech Rep.Slovakia
Monaco
Slovenia
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12% 14%19%
FY03 FY04 9M05
66% 65%
58%
FY03 FY04 9M05
Cost/income, banking
Solid financial track record
96%
95% 95%
FY03 FY04 9M05
Combined ratio, non-life
In m EUR
Return on equity
1 305 1 615 1 796
FY03 FY04 9M05
Net profit growth
In m EUR
Pro forma figures, KBC Group (2003 figures are based on B-GAAP)
Strategy and earnings drivers
Foto gebouw
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We build a solid future
Strategy headlines include: Retail- and wealth-management-oriented, with focus on Belgium and CEE-5 and selected
Western European markets Further enhancement of efficiency (with emphasis on - but not exclusively in - CEE and European
private banking) Standalone basis (opportunistic operational alliances in certain areas to generate economies of
scale, if needed) Steady dividend growth and solid level of financial strength/solvency
“Execution is key”: Primarily organic growth agenda in core markets Committment to further enhance efficiency Conservative risk culture
Continuing to deliver a consistent financial performance: ROE 16% Double-digit EPS growth
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We build a solid future
The solid ‘growth and value’ outlook is reflected in ambitious financial targets, valid until 2008:
Efficiency: Cost/income, banking
Combined ratio, non-life
max. 58%
max. 95%
Financial strength: Tier-1, banking
Solvency margin, insurance
min. 8%
min. 200%
Value creation: Adjusted ROE
EPS growth (CAGR)
min. 16%
min. 10%
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Do not underestimate market potential: KBC Group is well positioned:
Savings ratio amongst highest in the world (every year, ca. 15% of GDP flows into fin. assets)
Market highly receptive to cross-selling of AM & insurance, fueling strong growth trend in AM and life insurance business
Strong mortgage growth trend (ca. 10% per year) expected to continue, as residential property price levels are still below other European markets
After a temporary surge in price competition (late 2004/early 2005), price rationality is tending to be restored, epecially for interest-bearing products.
Fee rates for retail banking services only 50% of European average (gradual increase expected)
Credit quality has proven to be solid over the cycle
Top-3 market position, esp. strong in Northern region (one of the wealthiest regions in the EU)
Leading position in retail AM through innovative product offering (steadily increasing market share over the past 10 yrs.)
Still high cross-selling potential for insurance products and well-performing bancassurance distribution model
Well-diversified revenue structure (50% fee income) and further increase in fee income targeted (e.g., in SME segment)
Of the top players, level of customer satisfaction is high(est)
Further cost efficiency improvement potential, among other things, via co-sourcing of back offices with other banks
Value drivers in Belgium: overview
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Mid-term financial outlook, Belgium
Gross income C/I, banking LLR Net profit
Retail * 5% CAGR Low 60s < 0.25% >10% CAGR
Business customers * >2% on RWA < 43% < 0.35% >10% CAGR
* Related to parent-company operations only; excl. subsidiaries
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Strong market-growth momentum: KBC Group is well positioned:
Value drivers in CEE - overview
Nom. GDP growth in 2005-07 at 6.5% yearly, outgrowing EMU by 3-3.5%
Ongoing catch-up in product penetration – retail volumes growing at double-digit pace:
Mortgages: up 28% ytd (9M05)
AUM: up 33% ytd (9M05)
Written premiums, life: up 23% ytd (9M05)
Financial sector could grow five-fold if financial assets to GDP were to reach current levels of S. Europe
Solid market position in retail and corporate businesses with nationwide branch networks
Strong competitive position for enhancing cross-selling of asset management and insurance products and well positioned in HNWI and private-banking sectors through epb know-how
C/I still on the high side in several countries, inducing further improvement, e.g., by setting up cross-border platforms
Adequately provisioned balance sheets Availability of capital within the Group for:
buy-out of third-party interests or selective bolt-on M&A
more aggressive organic growth in Poland since immediate M&A opportunies are not expected
Potential entry into new markets (e.g., Romania, Croatia)
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Value drivers in CEE: bancassurance
KBCCross-sell
rates2004
CZ HU PL SK BE
Consumer loan
XLife
83% 50% 100% 94% 67%
Mortgage loan
XLife
45% 50% 100% 75% 67%
Mortgage loan
XProperty
insurance
54% 71% 42% 30% 50%
Now the model is in place:
A unified management responsibility was put into place (joint management committee of bank and insurance company)
KBC’s bancassurance distribution model has been implemented and sales incentives and adequate sales approach for cross-selling set up
Know-how has been transferred and business processes and IT systems are being adequately streamlined
= distinguishing factor vis-à-vis other CEE players
Cross-selling results are encouraging:
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Value drivers in CEE: asset management
KBC is well positioned:
Strong appetite for ‘risk-free’ investments in the market, fully in line with KBC’s core competencies and successful track record in Belgium for capital-guaranteed funds
Cost/AUM below average (around 15 bps vs. 20 bps for Europe)
Results are encouraging:
In 9M05, AUM grew by 43% annualized. Continued high growth expected in coming years
Via the funds business, new customers are being recruited. Existing customers who use deposits to buy funds replenish their deposit accounts after one year
Market share
2003 2004 1H05 Trend
CZ 19% 22% 26% +++
HU 8% 9% 11% ++
SK 6% 7% 8% +
SLO - 8% 10% ++
PL 3% 4% 4% +
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Mid-term financial outlook, CEE
RWA CAGR
Net profit CAGR
Loan-loss ratio
Cost/Incomeratio
Banking 10% – 15% 10% – 15% < 0.50% < 60%
Premium income CAGR
Net profit CAGR
Combined ratio
Insurance 15% – 25% 25% - 35% 95%
AUM growth, mutual funds
AUM growth, pension producs
AM 15% – 20% 10% - 20%
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Value drivers in private banking
Dual brand strategy: ‘network-led’ vs. ‘independent boutique’
Growth drivers: network trade-up, extension of product offering and hiring of private bankers
Business model: integrated private banking business in selected European markets focusing on clients with >€1m of investable assets. The network has been built over the past few years via separate acquisitions. Operations will now be further integrated. Total assets currently amount to 76 bn (Sep-05)
Integrated network of local pure-play private banking brands (boutique style with strong status/heritage, esp. in Germany, Spain, Netherlands, UK)
Priority of reducing costs by creating synergies within a central ‘hub’
Growth drivers: increased share of wallets, hiring of PB managers and opportunistic M&A
Low-growth market, focus on profitability (leveraging the hub)
If possible, steer repatriated assets to KBC onshore
Small today, but strong market growth expected (>15% p.a.)
Strengthening a network-led model, leveraging Belgian experience
Belgium W. Europe onshore W. Europe offshore CEE
AUM expected to grow at 9% CAGR on an organic basis
Opportunistic acquisitions may imply investments of 150-250 m per year
AUM 28 bn
AUM 27 bn
AUM 18 bn
AUM 3 bn
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Mid-term financial outlook, private banking
AUM growth Net profit Cost/Income
Private Banking 9% CAGR * 10% CAGR < 55%
*14% Belgium, 15% CEE, 0% offshore and 10% W. Eur. onshore
9M 2005Financial highlights
Foto gebouw
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Foto gebouw
Financial highlights
- At a glance
- Group financial performance
- Headlines per segment
FY 2005 profit outlook
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376434
365440
717
536 543
1Q 04 2Q 04 3Q 04 4Q 04 1Q 05 2Q 05 3Q 05 4Q 05
Profit trend, 3rd quarter 2005
Net profit m EUR
All major business units delivered excellent results in Q305, even though past Q3s have nearly always been weaker than other quarters (–30% q/q on avg.)
Profit in CEE was down somewhat q/q, despite higher banking income/lower costs, as credit losses returned to more ‘normalized low’ levels (these were almost zero in Q2)
Main drivers were: Strong volume growth momentum, e.g.:
Mortgages +6% q/q Life insurance reserves: +8% q/q (esp. unit-linked) Assets under management: +6% q/q
Net positive impact of developments in interest rate and equity markets Very low credit-risk provisioning
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Profit trend, 9 months 2005
9M 2004pro forma
9M 2005
9M/9M 9M/9Mexcl.
one-offs
Gross income, net of technical insurance charges
5 652 6 154 +9% +6%
Operating expenses -3 520 -3 490 -1% -1%
Operating result 2 132 2 664 +25% +17%
Impairments -286 -54 -81% -81%
Net profit(after tax and minorities)
1 175 1 796 +53% +32%
Cost/income ratio, bankingLoan-loss ratio, bankingCombined ratio, non-lifeReturn on equity
62%0.20%
94%14%
58%0.04%
95%19%
Notes:1) One-offs include the disinvestment loss at Agfa Gevaert (net bottom-line impact of –80 m) in Q2 2004, the income related to the
settlement of a ‘historic’ loan (+68 m net) and the ‘non-recurring’ value gains on shares of Irish insurer FBD (+68 m net) in Q1 2005 .
2) All 2004 figures exclude impact of IAS 32/39 and IFRS 4
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1. Net profit at 1.8 bn, up 53% y/y, generating a return on equity of 19%
2. Underlying profit (excl. main one-offs) growing at 32%
3. Strong business volume growth across our activities and geographies, generating strong commission income (+22%) and highly offsetting impact of flattened yield curve on net interest income
4. Profit from mark-to-market of financial instruments and capital gains realized on investments signifcantly lower than 2004 (though partly due to IFRS valuation rules)
5. Downtrend in expenses (-1 % y/y) - cost/income ratio (banking) at 58%
6. Sustained low combined ratio, non-life (95%)
7. Very low credit-risk provisioning (loan-loss ratio at 0.04%)
8. Reminder: comparison of individual P/L lines with pro forma 2004 figures distorted by application of IFRS 32/39 and IFRS 4 as of 2005
9. Business outlook for 2005 remains positive
Highlights, 9 months 2005
Foto gebouw
Financial highlights
- At a glance
- Group financial performance
- Financial headlines per segment
FY 2005 profit outlook
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Solid underlying revenue trend
Gross income (in m), year-to-date
8 87012 333
8 359
9M04 12M04 9M05 12M05
Gross income (in m), per quarter
3 175 3 1782 517
3 4622 756 2 904 2 699
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
IFRS reclassifications distort y/y comparison (among other things, non-recognition of unit-linked premiums)
H1’s solid trend in F&C income continued in Q3 (452m, up 10% q/q and 40% y/y)
Banking NIM: up q/q from 1.63% to 1.69%, benefiting from, among other things, 25 bps deposit rate cut in Belgium (however, other one-off impacts, as well)
Record level of life insurance premium income (1.3 bn - mostly unit-linked, driven by low interest rates and good stock market performance)
Down 511m y/y, due to non-recognition of 2.1 bn new unit-linked premium volume under IFRS 2005
Apart from one-offs (173m in Q1), solid revenue ‘quality’: NII: volume growth and refinancing fees offsetting
negative impact on NIM of flattened yield curve. NIM down -9 bps y/y to 1.65%.
High level of life insurance premium income (3.3 bn) Strong F&C income (+29%)
* Sales of unit-linked life insurance, recognized differently under IFRS 2005
2.1 bn*
1.0 bn*0.6 bn*0.5 bn*
IFRS 2005IFRS 2004
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Business volumes, growth trend
Growth, 3Q 05 (q/q) +1% +6% +1% +8% +6%
Belgium -1% +4% -3% +8% +6%
CEE - CZ/Slovakia - Hungary - Poland
+5%+7%+8%-6%
+10%+11%+10%+9%
+5%+6%+2%+6%
+7%+4%+5%
+28%
+11%+7%
+17%+6%
Rest of the world +2% +9% +4% - +6%
Note: growth trend excl. (reverse) repo and interbank activity
Outstanding (in bn) 113 32 158 16 171
Total loans Of which mortgages
Customer deposits
Life reserves
AUM
Growth, 9M 05 (ytd) +8% +17% +8% +19% +19%
Belgium +8% +12% +2% +19% +22%
CEE - CZ/Slovakia - Hungary - Poland
+7%+13%+12%-10%
+28%+27%+34%+16%
+22%+29%+12%+3%
+23%+17%+54%+39%
+33%+31%+97%+14%
Rest of the world +10% +25% +12% - +14%
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NIM / IR sensitivity
NIM trend
Group, total* +0.01% -0.02% +0.06% -0.09%
whereof Belgium +0.00% -0.10% +0.06% -0.01%
whereof CEE -0.10% -0.06% -0.13% -0.34%
Q1 05 (q/q trend)
Q2 05(q/q trend)
Q3 05(q/q trend)
9M 05(y/y trend)
In Q3, NIM went up 6 bps, benefiting from, among other things, a deposit rate cut in Belgium. YtD NIM is down 9 bps, impacted by margin erosion in CEE (offset by volume growth, F&C income and lower cost of risk)
The P/L impact of a 50-bps parallel upwards shift of the yield curve would have a positive impact of appx. 10 m euros (assuming deposit rate in Belgium remains stable) vs. the base scenario for 2006 with a 2% ECB rate and 3.75% 10-y Govi yield
* For comparison purposes vis-a-vis 2004, impact of IFRS 32/39 has been been neutralised
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Sustained favourable y/y cost trend
Operating expenses (in m), year-to-date
3 5204 944
3 490
9M04 12M04 9M05 12M05
Operating expenses (in m), per quarter
1 269 1 105 1 1471 424
1 104 1 209 1 177
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
Ytd expenses down 30m (-1%), mainly due to cost-cutting efforts in the Belgian banking business in 2004
Cost/income ratio, banking, down from 62% to 58%
As expected, cost level - down 32m q/q since Q2 - was negatively impacted by one-off merger-related costs (20 m) and catch-up on underusage of expense budgets in Q1 (20m)
3Q includes update of provisions for legal risks
Y/y trend: +3% since staff profit-sharing bonuses were very low in Q3 04 (very poor performance at KBC Financial Products)
-1%
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Historic low impairment levelImpairment charges (in m), year-to-date
286
10054
9M04 12M04 9M05 12M05
Impairment charges (in m), per quarter
152
90
4479
1542 -3
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
Impairments down 232 m (-81%) on the back of limited credit risk and solid equity markets
Loan-loss ratio down from 0.20% in FY 04 to 0.04%
-81%
Q3 impairments remain at historic low levels (net write-back of 3m)
LLR FY 03 FY 04 9M 05
Belgium 0.24% 0.09% 0.00%
CR/Slovakia 0.34% 0.26% 0.21%Hungary 0.32% 0.64% 0.72%
Poland 8.68% 0.69% 0.00%International 0.48% 0.26% 0.00%
Total 0.71% 0.20% 0.04%
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Excellent underwriting result, non-life
Combined ratio
105%96% 95% 95%
2002 2003 2004 9M05
Combined ratio, year-to-date
97% 93% 94% 95% 92% 94% 95%
3M04 6M04 9M04 12M04 3M05 6M05 9M05
Combined ratio at 95% on the back of Sound risk management (claims ratio at 64%) Good cost control (expense ratio at 31%)
Favourable claims environment in all markets
Q3 sligthly higher q/q, mainly due to seasonal pattern in expense ratio
C/R FY03 FY04 9M05
Belgium 93% 92% 94%
Czech Rep. 102% 99% 92%Slovakia 146% 138% 120%
Hungary 103% 98% 95%
Poland - 95% 99%
R/I 100% 98% 90%
Total 96% 95% 95%
Foto gebouw
Financial highlights
- At a glance
- Group financial performance
- Financial headlines per segment
FY 2005 profit outlook
38
Segment structure
KBC Group NV
KBCInsurance
KBCAM KBL epb GevaertKBC
Bank
Primary segmentation by business segment
39
5830
89122 124 120
-55
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
332 367
246318
470
314363
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
Banking: Q3 05 profit contribution at 363 m:
Good top-line mix, commissions particularly strong, not boosted by gains and trading income, NII up (however, significant one-off positive impact)
Costs flat q/q (incl. 40m provision related to legal files) Once again, very limited loan-loss charges (3m)
9M05 earnings at record level of 1.1 bn, driven by: Strong commission income (+22%) Strict cost control: -3% y/y (C/I at 58% incl. AM) Limited credit cost (4 bps) One-off income related to settlement of historic loan
dispute in Slovakia in Q1 (68 m net)Insurance: Strong Q3 05 results, in line with Q1/Q2 (without significant
capital gains and dividend income as in the 2 previuos quarters), due to:
Record level of sales of life products (1.3 bn), mostly unit-linked (recognized as F&C income)
Limited M2M gain (9m) & write-back of impairments (8m) 9M05 earnings increasing to 366m on the back of:
High sales of life insurance (3.3 bn euro), boosting life reserves by 19%
Excellent underwriting performance (CR, non-life, 95%) Higher investment income, partly due to the gain on the
disposal of the participation of FBD (net non-recurring impact: 68 m)
Low impairment charges on portfolios (extremely high in 1Q 04)
Key points, business segments
BANKING
INSURANCE
Net profit (in m)
Net profit (in m)
4 Qs moving average
4 Qs moving average
40
43
2338
-30
5341 39
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
Net profit (in m)
Key points, business segments
Asset management: AUM in 3Q05 up 6% (o/w 40% new money inflows), boosting
net profit contribution to 74m 9M05 earnings at 200m, +38m y/y (+23%) driven by
increased AUM: AUM in 9M05 up 22% to 102 bn (60% due to new
inflows) C/I at 14% Net margin on AUM at 2.9%
Note: total AUM within the Group: 186 bn Asset management segment: 87 bn (3rd party) + 15 bn
(group assets) Banking segment: 24 bn (mostly private and HNWI
assets in Belgium and CEE) European private banking segment: 60 bn (o/w 52 bn of
private banking customers)European private banking: 3Q05 profit contribution (39 m) in line with previous quarter:
M2M of trading instruments was compensated by better NII of trading instruments, the reversal of impaiments on AFS assets and a positive tax impact
AUM increased by 9% (partly due to expansion of consolidation scope )
9M05 earnings at 133m, up 29 m (+28%): Sustained growth trend of F&C income out of private
banking and custody operations Even higher cost level (C/I at 72%, but negatively
impacted by 20 m in restructuring charges)
EUROPEAN PRIVATE BANKING
4 Qs moving average
5158 53
6658
68 74
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
Net profit (in m)
ASSET MANAGEMENT
4 Qs moving average
41
-27
-18
-41
-12 -14-13-7
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
Key points, business segments
Net profit (in m)
Net profit (in m)
HOLDING COMPANY
GEVAERT Gevaert: Downsizing of non-core activities is progressing according
to plan: Gevaert to disappear as seperate ‘business line’ 3Q05 negative profit contribution related to:
The ‘unwinding process’ (8 m impairment loss and 10 m taxes on intragroup dividend upstreaming )
Earnings loss at Agfa Gevaert (-38 m impact) mainly due to rise in restructuring provisions (Agfa Photo)
9M05 profit contribution of 59 m largely driven by gains on disposals
Holding company: 3Q05 net holding company results (-14 m) at ‘normalized’
level 9M05 net charge at –73 m, quite high due to:
One-off costs in Q2, related to Almanij-KBC merger: expenses for redemption of stock option plan at KBL that was delisted (15 m) and external advisory services (5 m)
Costs of debt related to minority buy-out of KBL (already partly reduced in Q3)
Elimination of dividends received on own shares (IFRS 2005) (9 m in Q2)
17
-65
1225 32 31
-4
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
4 Qs moving average
4 Qs moving average
42
Segment structure – cont’d.
KBC Group NV
KBCInsurance
KBCAM KBL epb GevaertKBC
Bank
CEE
Markets
European private banking
Gevaert
Retail
Business customers
1
2
1 . Primary segmentation by business segment2. Additional breakdown by area of activity
43
Retail Belgium and CEE
Retail Belgium: Strong profitability trend continues in Q3. Profit contribution up
15 m q/q supported by deposit rate cut, among other things. 9M05 earnings at 799 m, up 440 m (x2.2), generating ROAC of
29% (15% in 9M04): sound revenue growth (esp. related to investment
products and mortgages) sustained cost discipline (-3% y/y), C/I 57%(67% in 9M04) Solid P&C underwriting performance: C/R stable at 94% absence of credit provisioning (LLR 0%) and
normalization of value impairments on the investment portfolio (184 m impairments in 9M04)
‘Private banking’ sub-segment contributes 49 m in 9M05 (vs 32 m in 9M04)
CEE: Q305 profit contribution at 105 m. Compared with Q2: higher
banking income, lower costs (C/I 60%) but somewhat higher non-life claims (C/R 98%) and loan losses (LLR 26 bps)
9M05 earnings at 416m, up 175m (+73%) generating a ROAC of 48% (32% in 9M04):
In CR/Slovakia: 9M05 earnings at 289 m (incl. one-off of 68 m in Q1), driven by steady loan growth, increased F&C income and strong C/I ratio (48%)
Poland: 9M05 profit contribution of 82 m (incl. deferred taxes of 18 m) due to sound cost trend, growing insurance business and absence of loan losses
Hungary: further positive trend of operating performance, but update of legal legacy provision and higher loan-loss provisions (LLR 0.72%, still lower then major peer). 9M05 profit at 27 m
87132
97
260295
244 260
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
Net profit (in m)
RETAIL (BELGIUM)
4 Qs moving average
6698
7446
191
105121
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
Net profit (in m)
CEE
4 Qs moving average
44
SME and wholesale activities
SME/corporate customers: 3Q05 profit contribution (182 m) boosted by strong income
from corporate finance / private equity business (including IPO of ‘Telenet’) and writeback of loan losses
9M05 earnings at 408 m, up 107 m (+36%), generating ROAC of 25% (18% in 9M04):
Succesful income growth, including in corporate finance. Gross margin (on RWA): 3.2% (2.9% in 9M04)
Low credit provisions: LLR at 0.01% (0.16% in 9M04) High cost efficiency: C/I at 33% (36% in 9M04) Solid underwriting result of outbound R/I activities: C/R
90% (94% in 9M04)
Capital markets: 3Q05 profit contribution (58 m), slightly higher then level
registered in previous quarters and driven by enhanced trading activity in convertibles/equity derivatives
9M05 earnings at 164m, up 7 m (+4%): Interest-rate and FX activities, equity brokerage and
equity derivatives trading brought about a result improvement
Income from convertibles trading, structured credit business and AIM weaker then last year
9M05 key ratios: Gross margin (on RWA): 6.9% (7.5% in 9M04) C/I at 58% (61% in 9M04) ROAC at 29% (31% in 9M04)
108 11891 94
125101
182
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
Net profit (in m)
SME / CORPORATE
4 Qs moving average
68 70
17
92
53 53 58
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
Net profit (in m)
CAPITAL MARKETS
4 Qs moving average
Foto gebouw
Financial highlights
- At a glance
- Group financial performance
- Financial headlines per segment
FY 2005 profit outlook
46
FY 2005 profit outlook
KBC continues to be positive on business development in Q4, with a strong sales result, a better interest rate climate and favourable equity markets trend
On the other hand, the cost level is expected to be higher in Q4 on the back of one-off expenses (including some 100 m euros (before tax), among other things, for the redesigning of staff pension schemes). However, for the full-year, the guidance for a decline in costs and historic low loan-loss ratio remains valid
Based on the prevailing view vis-à-vis the relevant economic and financial parameters, KBC’s 2005 net profit is expected to be approx. 2.2 bn euros
Foto gebouw
Financial highlights
- At a glance
- Group financial performance
- Financial headlines per segment
FY 2005 profit outlook
Additional information
48
Group earnings, by quarter
(IFRS, in m euros) 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05
Net interest incomeGross earned premium, insuranceDividend incomeNet gains from FI at FV Net realised gains from AFS assetsNet fee and commission incomeOther income
9951 275
25224193357106
9661 404
12119160
324113
91090139
12393
323128
9631 577
46187157399132
1 04872934
133168429215
1 0749781359297
410118
1 12981025
12349
452112
Gross income 3 175 3 178 2 517 3 462 2 756 2 904 2 699
Operating expensesImpairments - of which on loans and receivables - of which on AFS assetsGross technical charges, insuranceCeded reinsurance resultShare in results, associated companies
-1 269-152-33
-119- 1 169
-520
- 1 105-90-74 -12
-1 240-22-60
-1 147-44-15-18
-771-1234
-1 424-79-76-2
-1 454-2928
-1 104-15
3-16
-612-1721
-1 209-42-38
0-852-1713
-1 1773
-513
-696-1019
Profit before taxes 602 662 577 504 1 030 797 800
Income tax expense
Minority interests
-170-55
-177-51
-155-57
-35-29
-256-57
-212-48
-208-48
Net profit 376 434 365 440 717 536 543
Of which banking insurance asset management european private banking gevaert holding company
332-55514317
-12
367585823
-65-7
24630533812
-13
3188966
-3025
-27
470122585332
-18
314124684131
-41
3631207439
-38-14
49
3Q 2005 earnings, by business segment
(in m euros) Banking Insurance AM Epb Gevaert Holding Group
Net interest incomeGross earned premium, insuranceDividend incomeNet gains from FI at FV Net realized gains from AFS assetsNet fee and commission incomeOther income
9320
19116
13293
80
141810
109
29-6518
70
-770
1061
6503
-257
1147
300
12006
-1300300
105
1 129810
25123
49452112
Gross income 1 454 953 114 170 21 95 2 699
Operating expensesImpairments - o/w on loans and receivables - o/w on AFS assetsGross technical charges, insuranceCeded reinsurance resultShare in results, associated comp.
-878-8-3-3009
-125808
-696-10
0
-15000000
-14611-18001
-12-8-1000
-29
-109000000
1 1773
-513
- 696-10-19
Profit before taxes 577 129 99 36 -29 -13 800Income tax expense
Minority interests
-148-66
-2819
-250
4-1
-100
-10
-208-48
Net profit 363 120 74 39 -38 -14 543
50
3Q 2005 earnings, by area of activity
(in m euros) Retail CEE SME/Corp.
Markets Epb Gevaert Total
Banking and AM (incl. KBL)
Gross incomeOperating expensesImparimentsIncome tax expenseMinority interestsNet profit – group share
620-355
3-83
0185
439-265
-34-26-16100
313-8631
-6417
176
183-110
0-15
058
169-144
114
-139
21-12
-8-10
0-38
1 757-1 049
12-197
-67438
Insurance
Gross income - tecbn. ch.Operating expensesImpairmentsIncome tax expenseMinority interestsNet profit – group share
147-76
6-191775
53-43
0-3-25
18-72
-606
245-125
8-2819
120
Holding Co
Net profit – group share - - - - - - -14
Group total
Net profit – Group share 260 105 182 58 39 -38 543
Excl. non-allocated results
51
9M 05 earnings, by business segment
(in m euros) Banking Insurance AM Epb Gevaert Holding Group
Net interest incomeGross earned premium, insuranceDividend incomeNet gains from FI at FV Net realized gains from AFS assetsNet fee and commission incomeOther income
2 7400
86237
75898303
4072 516
9613
173-213
47
500
151
2893
1440
105728
32040
103
2637
055
-430000
-2335
3 2512 516
194348314
1 290444
Gross income 4 340 3 041 313 598 122 290 8 359
Operating expensesImpairments - o/w on loans and receivables - o/w on AFS assetsGross technical charges, insuranceCeded reinsurance resultShare in results, associated companies
-2 563-41-37
-200
26
-379-12
0-10
-2 161-44
0
-45000000
-4336
-29003
-54-70100
-15
-361000000
-3 490-54-39
-3-2 161
-4414
Profit before taxes 1 762 445 268 174 46 -71 2 626
Income tax expense
Minority interests
-454-162
-9415
-680
-35-5
-220
-30
-677-153
Net profit 1 146 366 200 133 24 -73 1 796
Excl. intrasegment eliminations
52
9M 05 earnings, by area of activity
(in m euros) Retail CEE SME/Corp.
Markets Epb Gevaert Total
Banking and AM
Gross incomeOperating expensesImpairmentsIncome tax expenseMinority interestsNet profit – group share
1 908-1 089
10-261
0568
1 364-790
-41-96-57382
821-269
-2-148
17384
593-345
-2-82
0164
598-433
6-35
-5133
122-54
-7-22
024
5 3733 095
-42-579-167
1 503
Insurance
Gross income (- techn. ch.)Operating expensesImpairmentsIncome tax expenseMinority interestsNet profit – group share
520-232
-9-6516
230
182-125
-1-13
-934
65-22
-2-16
-124
836-379
-12-9415
366
Holding Co
Net profit – group share - - - - - - -73
Group total
Net profit – Group shareShare in group resultROAC
79944%29%
41623%48%
40823%25%
1649%
29%
1337%
15%
241%3%
1 796100%
19%
Excl. non-allocated results
53
Financial performance, analysis breakdown
ROE
13% 14% 14% 14%
24%20% 19%
Q1 HY 9M FY Q1 HY 9M
Equity (in bn)
11.1 11.6 11.9 12.3 13.314.4 15.2
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep
Net profit (in m)
376434
365440
717
536 543
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
+ Gross income * (in m)
2 001 1 9161 734
1 9792 127 2 035 1 993
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
- Operating expenses (in m)
1 2691 105 1 147
1 424
1 1041 209 1 177
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
- Impairment charges (in m)
152
90
44
79
1542
-3Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
- Taxes (in m)
170 177155
35
256
212 208
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Cost/income ratio, banking
63% 61% 62% 65%
51%57% 58%
Q1 HY 9M FY Q1 HY 9M
Loan-loss ratio
0.11%
0.21%
0.16%
0.20%
0.00%
0.06%0.04%
Q1 HY 9M FY Q1 HY 9M
Effective tax rate
28% 27% 27%23%
25% 26% 25%
Q1 HY 9M FY Q1 HY 9M
2004 2005
2004 2005
2004 2005
* Gross income minus technical charges, insurance
Return on adjusted equity
54
Financial performance, analysis breakdown (2)
Risk-weighted assets (in bn)
105.1
107.6
105.3 105.8107.6
111.7
114.0
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep
+ Yield income (in m)
1 020 1 087949 1 009 1 082
1 209 1 154
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
+ Fee & Commisssion income (in m)
463 437 451531
644
528 564
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
+ Premium sales * (in m)
1 2751 404
901
1 577
1 186
1 5911 759
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
+ FV income + gains on AFS assets
417
251216
344301
189 172
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Gross income * (m)
2 001 1 9161 734
1 9792 127 2 035 1 993
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Gross margin * (on avg RWA)
7.60%7.39%
7.12%7.21%
7.98%
7.68%7.48%
Q1 HY 9M FY Q1 HY 9M
Combined ratio, non-life
97%
94% 94%95%
92%
94%95%
Q1 HY 9M FY Q1 HY 9M
Net interest margin, banking
1.69%
1.63%
1.58%1.56%
1.65% 1.64% 1.65%
Q1 HY 9M FY Q1 HY 9M
Share of FV/AFS gains in gross income *
21%
17% 16% 16%14%
12%8%
Q1 HY 9M FY Q1 HY 9M
Share of F&C in gross income *
23% 23% 24% 25%
30%28% 28%
Q1 HY 9M FY Q1 HY 9M
*Gross income minus technical charges, insurance
* in 2005, only partly recognized as ‘income’
2004 2005
2004 2005
2004 2005
*Gross income minus technical chgs, insurance
*Gross income minus technical chgs, insurance
55
Banking performance in CR/Slovakia
Income statement, CSOB Bank (CR/Slovakia)(in m euros) 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
Statutoryaccounts
Net interest income Dividend income Net gains from financial instruments at fair value Net realized gains from available for sale assets Net fee and commission income Other incomeGross income, total
123165
5017
202
120-1238
5114
216
1111
29
-0538
201
1244
194
58114323
1282
262
579
224
129-3267
6041
259
Operating expenses -114 -120 -122 -122 -143 -120Subtotal 88 96 79 200 81 140
ImpairmentsShare in result of associated companiesTaxes
-40
-28
-60
-20
-140
-19
50
-54
20
- 7
-230
- 31
Net statutory profit 56 69 46 151 76 86
Profit contribution to Group
Net statutory profitConsolidation adjustmentsMinority interests
56-1-8
69-1-4
46-1-4
15119
-17
76-0-7
86-1-7
Subtotal 48 65 41 154 69 78
Transfer of income on excess capital to ‘Group item’ -6 -6 -5 -6 -6 -9
Profit contribution, Group share 42 59 35 148 63 68
Return Return on allocated capital, YtdReturn on investment, Ytd
44%12%
49%14%
42%13%
120%34%
83%26%
73%24%
56
Banking performance in Hungary
Income statement, K&H Bank(in m euros) 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
Statutoryaccounts
Net interest income Dividend income Net gains from financial instruments at fair value Net realized gains from available for sale assets Net fee and commission income Other incomeGross income, total
510
201
164
91
540
18-0181
90
630
170
233
106
540
25-0253
106
540
250
184
101
610
230
223
109Operating expenses -63 -66 -70 -68 -74 -84Subtotal 28 24 37 38 28 25
ImpairmentsShare in result of associated companiesTaxes
91
-7
-111
-1
-101
-5
-101
-8
-161
- 3
-51
-5
Net statutory profit 31 13 23 21 10 16
Profit contribution to Group
Net statutory profitConsolidation adjustmentsMinority interests
31-0-8
13-0-5
23-0-7
21-0-5
10-0-5
16-0-6
Subtotal 23 8 16 15 5 10
Transfer of income on excess capital to ‘Group item’ -11 -1 -7 -8 3 -1
Profit contribution, Group share 12 7 10 7 7 9
Return Return on allocated capital, YtdReturn on investment, Ytd
29%23%
22%16%
23%
16%17%15%
18%11%
18%11%
57
Banking performance in Poland
Income statement, Kredyt Bank(in m euros) 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
Statutoryaccounts
Net interest income Dividend income Net gains from financial instruments at fair value Net realized gains from available for sale assets Net fee and commission income Other incomeGross income, total
54033
104
74
5306
-0134
76
44099
118
81
500
121
163
83
5106
-365
66
52072
133
78Operating expenses -60 -60 -51 -59 -54 -59Subtotal 15 17 29 24 12 19
ImpairmentsShare in result of associated companiesTaxes
-22
-1
-71
-1
-124
-1
01
-1
12-010
-609
Net statutory profit 14 9 20 23 34 23
Profit contribution to Group
Net statutory profitConsolidation adjustmentsMinority interests
14-0-3
9-0-2
20-0-4
23-1-3
34-0-5
23-0-3
Subtotal 11 7 15 19 29 20
Transfer of income on excess capital to ‘Group item’ -0 0 -1 -2 -1 -4
Profit contribution, Group share 10 7 14 17 28 16
Return Return on allocated capital, YtdReturn on investment, Ytd
25%6%
23%5%
25%
6%32%11%
32%11%
40%13%
58
6.76.5
6.97.4
5.9
5.3
3.53.93.3 3.3
0
2
4
6
8
2005 (F) 2006 (F)
Czech Hungary Poland Belgium EMU
Source : KBC Outlook, November 2005
Positive growth gap in CEE
GDP, nominal growth % (incl. inflation)
59
No. of shares outstanding
In millions 31/12/04 31/03/05 30/06/05 30/09/05
No of ordinary shares outstanding 366.4 366.4 366.4 366.4
Avg. no. of shares for basic EPS:- ordinary shares- mandatory convertibles (+)- treasury shares (-)- total, end of period- total, average most recent quarter- total, average year-to-date
366.42.6
-9.6359.5259.5359.4
366.42.6
-12.6356.5358.0358.0
366.42.6
-9.1360.0358.3358.1
366.42.6
-8.9360.2360.1358.8
Avg. no. of shares for dilutive EPS:- basic no of shares- stock options (+)- other convertible bonds (+)- total, end of period- total, average most recent quarter- total, average year-to-date
359.55.05.2
369.7370.1370.5
356.55.05.2
366.7368.2368.2
360.04.05.2
369.3368.0368.1
360.23.85.2
369.2369.3368.5
The no. of ordinary shares outstanding is 366.4 million
As in previous years, a limited share issue for staff members is planned before year-end(for your information, in the last 3 years, 0.2 m new shares per year were issued via similar plans)
On 10 Dec. 2005, a 1998-2005 convertible bond comes to maturity – convertible into max. 5.2 million ordinary shares (but conversion price at 80 euro/share !)
Closing remarks on equity valuation
Foto gebouw
4
61
Valuation of the KBC share
weighted P/E 2006
unweighted P/E 2006
CEE banks 2 14.4 14.3
CEE-exposed banks 3 12.3 13.4
Euro-zone banks 4 11.3 11.9
KBC 1 11.2 11.2
BEL banks 5 10.3 10.3
Key figures: Share price: 73.2 euros Net asset value: 42.4 euros 9M 2005 EPS: 5.10 euros
Analyst estimates: 1
2005 EPS consensus: 6.14 (+36% y/y) 2006 EPS consensus: 6.52 (+6% y/y) 2006 P/E: 11.2
Recommendations: Positive: 64 % Neutral: 27% Negative: 9 %
Valuation relative to peer group:
Weighted and unweighted averages of IBES data :2 OTP, Komercni, Pekao, BPH PBK, BRE3 BA-CA, Erste, Unicredit, Soc. Gen., Intesa BCI, RZB Int.4 Top-20 DJ Euro Stoxx Banks 5 Fortis, Dexia
Situation as at 14 November 2005
1 Smart consensus collected by KBC (22 estimates)