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lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Life Science Insights Telebriefing Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That Could Redefine That Could Redefine Drug Discovery and Development Drug Discovery and Development February 24, 2005 Patricia L. Reilly, M.S., Research Manager Alan Susser, Senior Consultant
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Page 1: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

lifescience-insights.com© IDC, 2005

Life Science Insights TelebriefingLife Science Insights Telebriefing

Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That Could Redefine Search for Powerful Tools That Could Redefine Drug Discovery and DevelopmentDrug Discovery and Development

February 24, 2005

Patricia L. Reilly, M.S., Research Manager

Alan Susser, Senior Consultant

Page 2: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

lifescience-insights.com© IDC, 2005

AgendaAgenda

LSI Overview Situation Overview

Biomarkers Defined Types of Biomarkers Being Used Current Biomarker Areas of Focus

Pharma Challenges in Drug Discovery and Development ROI Benefits for Utilizing Biomarkers Use of Biomarkers in Development Use of Multiple Biomarkers Forecasted Investment in Biomarkers for 2004 - 2007 FDA Critical Path Initiative Risks of Reporting Toxicogenomics Data Conclusions

Page 3: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

lifescience-insights.com© IDC, 2005

Life Science Insights, an IDC CompanyLife Science Insights, an IDC Company

Basic Research &

Drug Discovery

Academic Research

Drug Developmt

Clinical Trials

Manufacture QA/QC

Sales Marketing

Distribution

Screening Diagnostics

TreatmentPoint of Care Administratn Payment

Universities & Research Institutes

Bio-Pharmaceutical Business

Medicine & Healthcare Management

Insurance Business or Public Funding

Healthcare Vertical

Global market research and advisory firm in the life sciences,subsidiary company of IDC

Work closely with IDG and its life sciences publication, Bio-IT World Staff comprised of life science specialized analysts, researchers & consultants Provide market research and strategic advice on the convergence of IT and

the biopharmaceutical value chain Offer consulting services to solve your unique business challenges

© IDC, 2005

Page 4: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

lifescience-insights.com© IDC, 2005

Molecular Biomarkers Research AnalysisMolecular Biomarkers Research Analysis

Initial study sponsored by Applera and Abbott as part of “Targeted Medicine” Scientific American Conference in NYC last November Phone interviews with opinion leaders and researchers in

the field

LSI research focuses on biomarkers as part of our clinical trial research agenda Contact with industry leaders Following FDA Critical Path Initiative

Page 5: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Molecular BiomarkersMolecular Biomarkers

FDA Definition:

A biomarker is a characteristic that can be objectively measured as an indicator of normal biologic processes, pathogenic processes or pharmacological responses to therapeutic intervention.

Types of biomarkers currently used:

•Proteins: Applicable throughout the drug discovery and development process; longest history as biomarkers

•RNA Expression Profiling: Gene arrays used in discovery phase and clinical trials

•SNPs (Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms): Large patient populations required has hindered use but should increase in the future

•Small Molecules: Used the least; may increase with the successful application of metabonomics

Page 6: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Current Biomarker Areas of Focus Current Biomarker Areas of Focus

n=17Source: Life Science Insights/ Applera/ Abbott Biomarker Survey Nov 2004

•Efficacy: Reflects beneficial result of treatment

•Mechanism: Reports the downstream effect of drug

•Disease: Relates clinical outcome or measure of disease

•Toxicity: Reports toxicological effect of drug on in vitro and in vivo systems

•Staging: Distinguishes between different stages of disease

Disease (22%)

Efficacy (28%)Staging

(8%)

Toxicity (20%)

Mechanism (22%)

Page 7: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Pharma Challenges in Drug Discovery & DevelopmentPharma Challenges in Drug Discovery & Development

Escalating Cost of Bringing Drugs to Market Estimates range from $800M to $1.7B

Emergence of New and Expensive Technologies and Screening Platforms Risk/Benefit decisions needed, e.g.which discoveries will most likely

succeed

Estimated Drought Within Company Pipelines for New Drugs Drug development has not kept pace with new discoveries FDA has seen a dramatic decrease in the number of NDAs filed Increased Need to Partner/Acquire or In-License

Competitive Positioning

New Initiatives in a Post-Vioxx World New FDA Drug Safety Oversight Board to monitor safety of marketed drugs Public perception of prescription costs, safety issues

Page 8: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

lifescience-insights.com© IDC, 2005

ROI Benefits for Utilizing BiomarkersROI Benefits for Utilizing Biomarkers

Throughout drug discovery and development value chain, molecular biomarkers can play a key role in decision making, most important is the ability to kill drugs earlier. Early Drug Discovery

Elucidation of disease mechanism, target validation Determination of efficacy and toxicity in in vitro testing

Preclinical Development Determination of efficacy and toxicity in in vivo testing Finding key relevant biomarkers to move into clinical testing phases

Clinical Development Determination of efficacy and toxicity in man

Potential for prospectively testing patients for entry into trials, reducing trial size and drop out rates

Monitoring outcomes of disease Providing better, safer therapies for patients

Page 9: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

lifescience-insights.com© IDC, 2005

Use of Biomarkers During Stages of DevelopmentUse of Biomarkers During Stages of Development

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

ClinicalDevelopment

Pre-ClinicalDevelopment

Early-StageDiscovery

(%)

Source: Life Science Insights/ Applera/ Abbott Biomarker Survey Nov 2004Multiple answers accepted, total >100% n=22

Page 10: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

lifescience-insights.com© IDC, 2005

Use of Multiple vs. Single Biomarkers Use of Multiple vs. Single Biomarkers

Multiple (62%)

Single (38%)

Multiple markers and panels (e.g., metabolites, genes, and proteins) are considered of greater relevance to drug development than single markers. Of those who stated that they are currently using single markers, most shared the opinion that the future will focus on multiple markers.

n=17 Source: Life Science Insights, Applera, and Abbott's Biomarker Survey, November 2004

Page 11: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Multiple vs. Single BiomarkersMultiple vs. Single Biomarkers

The Future Is Panels of Markers Looking at single variants to assemble into panels as

they are characterized Using combinations of analytes -- e.g., combining 6

metabolites, 3 genes and 4 proteins into panel Development of core sets of markers

Use of toxicogenomics, metabonomics and proteomics will increase

62% use panels now; others are moving in this direction As drugs move toward clinic, fewer “key” markers

desirable

Page 12: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Forecasted Investment in Biomarkers for Forecasted Investment in Biomarkers for 2004 -20072004 -2007

No change

(23%)

Increase (77%)

Decline (0%)

n=22 Source: Life Science Insights/ Applera/ Abbott Biomarker Survey Nov 2004

Key Drivers for Increased Spending:

• Competitive industry trends

• Need to implement past investments

• Growing awareness that toxicity markers may be a regulatory requirement for future filings

Same Spending:

• Have already heavily invested

• Need to examine where investments had produced results

• Examine what the path forward should look like

Page 13: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Declining NDAs FiledDeclining NDAs Filed

Innovation or Stagnation? Challenge and Opportunity on the Critical Path to New Medical Products [online], <http://www.fda.gov/oc/initiatives/criticalpath/whitepaper.html> (2004)

Page 14: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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FDA Critical Path InitiativeFDA Critical Path InitiativeConcern:

•One half of all drugs moving to Phase III fail to emerge as new therapeutics •Drop in number of NDAs being filed

Goal: •Move drugs more quickly and safely through clinical trials•Increase the predictability of drug success

Potential for Biomarkers in Clinical Trials:•Change the risk/benefit ratio for patients•Reduce number of patients enrolled•Enrich the population of patients who will benefit •Reduce the likelihood of adverse events

FDA is establishing an Interdisciplinary Pharmacogenomics Review Group and a pharmacogenomics advisory subcommittee to assess data and correlations between biomarkers and clinical outcomes

FDA is encouraging submission of unvalidated biomarkers with filings

Page 15: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Submission of Unvalidated Biomarker Data to FDASubmission of Unvalidated Biomarker Data to FDA

n=21Source: Life Science Insights/ Applera/ Abbott Biomarker Survey Nov 2004

Key Points:

•Still considerable resistance until regulatory issues are defined. •Pharma and biotechs are aligned in their approach to voluntary submission. •Some want to be seen as leaders; some identify themselves as conservative.

Yes (56%)No (29%)

Possibly (5%)

Unsure (10%)

Page 16: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Toxicogenomics: New Technology Still EvolvingToxicogenomics: New Technology Still Evolving

We run the risk of bad comparisons

(14%)

We would face new liabilities

(16%)

The FDA will require us to do

more work (18%)

The FDA would reach a different

interpretation (34%)

The risks are minor (18%)

n = 35

Risks of Reporting Toxicogenomics Data to the FDA

Very few respondents felt comfortable submitting data Source: Toxicogenomics: Current Industry Sentiment and Future Trends, Life Science Insights,

Page 17: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Prerequisites for Toxicogenomics Data Submission to the FDAPrerequisites for Toxicogenomics Data Submission to the FDA

N=35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

We would never submit unless required

Validated biomarkers

Better FDA training

Safe Harbor Agreement

Improved industry standards

Better biology

(% of respondents)

Q. What advances would be necessary for your organization to submit toxicogenomics data to the FDA?

Source: Toxicogenomics: Current Industry Sentiment and Future Trends, Life Science Insights

Page 18: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Factors Preventing Wider Adoption of BiomarkersFactors Preventing Wider Adoption of Biomarkers

Factors preventing the wider adoption of biomarkers focused on two areas -- internal and external problems:

Internal: The lack of a defined strategy to date The need for organizational communication and coordination across departments The difficulty in identifying biomarkers The difficulty in finding the right balance of effort between the new approaches and

the more traditional approaches and then driving those changes throughout the organization

External: Regulatory climate and uncertainties of future FDA requirements The consequent impact on internal conflicts about whether companies want to

have information that they cannot explain No payback for the effort (due to the state of regulation and the state of the

industry)

Page 19: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Key Market Trends and DriversKey Market Trends and Drivers

Drug companies will continue to increase biomarker investments primarily focused at early discovery stage through Phase I/IIa

Key drivers for increased biomarker investment include: Increased need in data integration and data mining tools for real-time use of

information during trial Ability to make earlier go/no go decisions Accelerated time to market Bringing safer and more efficacious products to patients

In addition, companies are starting to voluntarily submit data to the FDA, but some want more clarity on requirements

Key trends include: Toxicology biomarkers will be regulated and required Single markers are seen as clinical ideal; however, companies will continue

to pursue panels of multiple markers. Firms will aggressively plan a strategy for companion diagnostics that may

include partnerships

Page 20: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Key TakeawaysKey Takeaways

Investment in biomarker research has dramatically grown and will continue to grow as companies realize the potential for savings at all phases of drug development.

Systems biology and new technologies, including new nanotechnology platforms, will continue to evolve, driving additional spending as novel approaches move into the predictive and preventive medicine arena.

Companies are alert that their competition is actively involved in the same activities, and there is a recognized need for identification of validated biomarkers.

Investment payoff will be earlier go/no go decisions and quicker downstream returns.

Biomarkers will enable segmentation of patient populations during clinical trials; hence, the clinical trials of the future will be smaller and safer.

Page 21: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Related ResearchRelated Research Toxicogenomics: Current Industry Sentiment and Future Trends

(IDC # 32687 , December 2004)

Worldwide Therapeutic RNAi 2004–2014 Forecast and Analysis (IDC # 31941 , October 2004)

Proteomics: Protein Array Market and Technology Overview (IDC # 31405 , June 2004)

Biodefense: Novel DNA Analysis Technologies for Next-Generation Early Warning Biodetection Systems and Their IT Implications (IDC # 31332 , May 2004)

The $1,000 Human Genome — Implications for Life Science, Healthcare, and IT (IDC # 30968 , March 2004)

Whole-Genome Sequencing Has Gone to the Dogs

(IDC # 30343 , November 2003)

Page 22: Lifescience-insights.com © IDC, 2005 Life Science Insights Telebriefing Molecular Biomarkers: The Elusive and Expensive Search for Powerful Tools That.

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Patty ReillyResearch Manager [email protected]

Alan SusserSenior Consultant212.696.8088 [email protected]

Questions?Questions?


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