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17-06-26 1 Linking Storage to Renewable Energy Production: State of the Art and Applications Catherine Rosenberg Dept. of Electrical and Computer Engineering ISS4E: MISSION To use information systems and science to - increase the efficiency - reduce the carbon footprint of energy systems ISS4E.ca
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Page 1: Linking Storage to Renewable Energy Production: State of ...€¦ · § Costa Rica actually ran on 100 percent renewable energy for 300 out of 365 days in 2015. Almost all of the

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Linking Storage to Renewable Energy Production: State of the Art and Applications

Catherine Rosenberg

Dept. of Electrical and Computer Engineering

ISS4E: MISSION

To use information systems and science to ­  increase the efficiency ­  reduce the carbon footprint

of energy systems

ISS4E.ca

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Contexts

Smart homes and buildings

Distribution networks

Distributed generation

New technologies

Solar and wind

Storage

Electric vehicles

LED lighting

Pervasive computation and communication

Approaches

Internet-inspired

Energy system design

Data-driven analysis

Optimization

LATEST STUDIES

4

§  State Estimation in Power Distribution Systems Based on Ensemble Kalman Filtering, S. 2017

§  Can Flexible Solar Panel Orientation Help the Electrical Grid? S.2017 §  Accurate Black-box Modelling of Lithium-Ion Batteries, S. 2017. §  PV-Storage System Profitability in Multiple Jurisdictions, S. 2017. §  On the Interaction between Personal Comfort Systems and Centralized

HVAC Systems in Office Buildings, S. 2017. §  An Analysis on the Energy Consumption of Circulating Pumps of

Residential Swimming Pools for Peak Load Management, P. 2017. §  Modelling Weather Effects for Impact Analysis of Pricing Policies:

Methodology and Case Study, P. 2017. §  Practical Strategies for Storage Operation in Energy Systems: Design

and Evaluation, P. 2016. §  Energy Storage and Regulation: An Analysis”, P. 2016. §  Joint Optimal Design and Operation of Hybrid Energy Storage

Systems, P. 2016.

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COLLABORATORS

5

Waterloo: S. Keshav L. Golab C. Canizares K. Battacharya

Canada: O. Ardakanian (U. of Alberta)

Europe: Y. Ghiassi-Farrokhfal (Erasmus U. Rotterdam) P. Jochem (KIT) K. Pettinger (Hochschule Landshut U.)

China: C. Song (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

India: R. Kalpana (IIT, Madras)

USA: S. Garg (NYU) A. Sangiovanni-Vincentelli (U.C. Berkeley) D. Callaway (U.C. Berkeley) D. Culler (U.C. Berkeley)

Many students!

TODAY’S ELECTRICAL GRID

6

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MOSTLY DIRTY…

7

capacity

OVERPROVISIONED BY DESIGN

8

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INEFFICIENT

5% better efficiency of US grid

= zero emission from 53 million cars

http://www.oe.energy.gov/ 9

OLD

Post-war distribution infrastructure is reaching EOL 10

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UNEVENLY DISTRIBUTED

11

Electricity Consumption

https://yearbook.enerdata.net/#world-electricity-production-map-graph-and-data.html

China’s population > 4 X USA’s population

POORLY MEASURED

12

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WITH LITTLE STORAGE

13

China leads the world in hydroelectric output followed by Canada, United States, Brazil, Russia and India. No European countries in the first 50 largest hydroelectric producers!

SMART GRID VISION

14

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Source: European Technology Platform Vision Document

15

Source: European Technology Platform Vision Document

16

Renewable generation to reduce carbon footprint

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Source: European Technology Platform Vision Document

17

Demand side management to reduce peak/average ratio

Source: European Technology Platform Vision Document

18

Storage to decouple supply and demand

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Source: European Technology Platform Vision Document

19

Pervasive sensing, communication, control

Source: European Technology Platform Vision Document

20

Self-contained ‘microgrids’

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Source: European Technology Platform Vision Document

21

Heavy investment for grid deployment/renewal

THE FUTURE IS (ALMOST) HERE!

§  Costa Rica actually ran on 100 percent renewable energy for 300 out of 365 days in 2015. Almost all of the country's infrastructure and utility energy is provided by hydroelectric and geothermal power (Iceland, Albania and Paraguay are also in the category of almost 100% renewable)

§  Portugal was 100% powered by renewables from May 7 to May 11, 2016!

§  Google to be powered 100% by renewable energy from 2017

22

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THE FUTURE IS (ALMOST) HERE!

Image: Pitt and Sherry Consultants, Australia 23

GETTING THERE

24

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PROGRESS  Renewable/distributed generation ­ (Wind) ­ Solar

 Storage ­ Batteries ­ (Electric vehicles)

 Communication, computation, sensing, control

 (Microgrids)

 (Demand-side management)

25

TECHNOLOGY INFLECTION POINTS

 Storage  Solar  Sensing and control

26

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PERVASIVE CONTROL IS A NECESSITY

27

WHY?

28

Generation Load

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CONVENTIONAL GRID

29

Generation Load

30

Generation Load

FUTURE GRID: DOUBLE NEED TO FORECAST

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31

Generation Load

FUTURE GRID

Barnhart et al, Proc. Energy and Environment, 6:2804, 2013 34

MATCHING DEMAND AND SUPPLY

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CONTROL OVER MANY TIME SCALES

Jeff Taft, Cisco 35

COMPLEX CONTROL ARCHITECTURE

Wid

e A

rea

Mon

itorin

g an

d C

ontro

l Sys

tem

(WA

MC

S) N

etw

orks

Conventional Wind Solar Storage

Internet

Distributed Energy Resources (DER)

(large scale)

Converged Voice, Data, and Video

Area ControlError (ACE)

Control

Virtual Power Plant (VPP)/Demand Response (DR)

Application

Reference Model

Trans-Regional Balancing Org.

Interchange Authority/Reliability Coordinator Grid Direct Current (DC) Inter-Ties Other Regions

Other Energy Traders

Utility EnergyTrading

UtilityNOC

• Customers• Suppliers• Retail Energy Providers (REP)• Third Parties

Third PartyStabilization

Services

Other TransmissionSystem Operators (TSO)/

Distribution System Operators (DSO) and Verticals

IndependentPower

Producers(IPP)

Other Region Phasor Measurement Unit

(PMU) Data

Other TSO PMU Data

Web Portals

Balancing Authority

VPP/DRApplication

ACEControl

Other Balancing Authorities

Trans-Regional Energy Markets

Wholesale Energy Markets

Trans-Regional/Trans-National TierTrans-Regional Networks

System Control TierInter-Substation Networks

Interchange TierInterchange Networks

Balancing TierControl Area Networks

Synchronous Grid Inter-Tie Control

WAMCS Network Operations Center (NOC)/

Data Center

Inter-Control Center NetworksEnterprise Networks Utility Tier

Intra-Control/Data Center Tier

AncillaryServices

VPP/DR Data/Signals

Control CenterNetwork

FieldDispatch

CallCenter

Control Center Control CenterControl CenterApplicationsand Users

EnterpriseApplicationsand Users

Control CenterNetwork

Data CenterData Center

Network

Transmission PMU Data

Substation Tier

D Level 1 Tier

D Level 2 Tier

Transmission Substation

Intra-Substation Networks

Sensor Networks

PhasorMeasurement

Unit (PMU)

Distribution Substation

Intra-Substation Networks

Sub-Transmission Substation

Intra-Substation Networks

Traction Substation

Intra-Substation Networks

Urban FANs Rural FANs

Sensor Networks

Electric Vehicle (EV)Sub-networks

Prosumer Tier

Third Party Aggregator of DR, Distributed

Generation (DG), etc.

FeederD-PMU

Nets

Sensors

Controls

Home Energy Controller

Controls

Displays

ChargerMeter

Inverter Control

Protection and Control

Inverter Control

Distribution PMU

Feeder

DistributeResourc

(large

Streetlight Systems

Line Sensor

Volt/ VAR Regulation

Fault Isolation and Service Restoration Nets

Sensor Subsystems

Inverter Control

DA Devices

DER Protection

Distribution Automation (DA) Sub-networks

Gateway

Transmission LevelStabilization

© 2011 Cisco and the Cisco Logo are trademarks of Cisco and/or its affiliates in the U.S. and other countries. A listing of Cisco’s trademarks can be found at www.cisco.com/go/trademarks. Third-party trademarks mentioned are the property of their respective owners. The use of the word partner does not imply a partnership relationship between Cisco and any other company. (1009R) C82-676734 6/11

Distribution LevelStabilization

(DSTATCOM)

Neighborhood Area Networks (NAN) (Residential, Commercial and Industrial)

Residential Networks Building Networks Private Microgrid Networks In-Vehicle Networks

In

D

Cisco 36

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SOLAR

40

3 CHARACTERISTICS OF SOLAR GENERATION

1.  Sunlight is free! §  Near-zero OPEX, all cost is CAPEX

2.  20-25 year nearly maintenance-free lifetime 3.  Amount of generation over lifetime depends on

geography

42

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SOLAR

43

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

450.0

500.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Cell phone penetration (ITU) 1990=1

Cumulative Solar (EPIA) 2000=1

Solar PV is growing faster than cell phones

http://stats.areppim.com/stats/stats_mobile.htm http://www.epia.org/fileadmin/user_upload/Publications/EPIA_Global_Market_Outlook_for_Photovoltaics_2014-2018_-_Medium_Res.pdf

(c) S. Keshav [email protected] http://iss4e.ca

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UNFORTUNATELY…

Problem 1: No sun at night…

SOLUTION: USE SOLAR BY DAY AND GRID BY NIGHT

46

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PROBLEM 2: EXCESS SOLAR GENERATION

47 8 May 2016, Germany (from Agora Energiewende)

SOLUTION: USE ‘FREE ENERGY’ FOR SOMETHING

48

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Barnhart et al, Proc. Energy and Environment, 6:2804, 2013

PROBLEM 3: VARIABILITY

SOLUTION: STORAGE

Storage decouples supply and demand

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STORAGE

51

 Global investment in energy storage technologies to reach $122 Billion by 2021

Source: Pike Research

A HOT AREA

52

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Nature Climate Change: 2014 Tesla/Panasonic and GM/LG Chem battery costs are already (in 2016) down to the lowest projections for 2020! 53

BATTERY COSTS: CURRENT AND PROJECTIONS

54

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STORAGE IS EXPENSIVE

­  Buying 1 KWh = 10c ­  Storing 1 KWh = ~$250!

56

MANY STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES

57 www.iec.ch/whitepaper/pdf/iecWP-energystorage-LR-en.pdf

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MANY STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES

58

In 2020: Build 500,000 EVs per year 35GWh/year of cell output From $600 to under$200 per KWh

TESLA GIGAFACTORY (IN NEVADA)

59

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Storage stores energy (like bits)

measured in Joules or Watt-hours

What is drawn from a storage is power

Energy is the product of power and time

Power is measured in Watts (like bits/sec)

1 Joule = 1 Watt * 1 second

1 kWh = 1000 W * 3600 s = 3.6 million Joules

BASICS

60

“Bytes”

“Bits/s”

TYPES

61

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Storage decouples supply and demand

Allows

 Reliability ­ for large scale renewable integration

 Flexibility ­ for energy management

10

WHY STORAGE?

APPLICATIONS

63

12

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64

C(t)

C(t) = curtailment (waste of power).

A STORAGE MODEL (BASED ON FIRST PRINCIPLE)

 The storage has some capacity B in Wh. At time t, it is charged with power c(t) or discharged with power d(t). Its content is b(t)

The ideal behavior is (Markovian behaviour):

0 ≤ b(t+∂) = b(t) + c(t) ∂ – d(t) ∂ ≤ B with c(t)d(t)=0, c(t), d(t) ≥ 0 and ∂ the time-slot duration

 It is important to consider imperfections, such as:

•  charging/discharging speed limits

•  energy conversion/inversion efficiency

•  capacity limits

•  self-discharge (leaking) 65

c(t) d(t) b(t)

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A STORAGE MODEL (2) § (Dis)charging limits:  To avoid damaging storage, the controller might prevent charging or discharging too quickly

  c(t) ≤ µc d(t) ≤ µd

§ (In) efficiency: losses in energy conversion

b(t+∂) = b(t) + ηcc(t) ∂ – ηdd(t) ∂

§  Capacity limits: Some storage (e.g., batteries) degrade quickly if they are nearly empty or nearly full for extended periods of time: a1B ≤ b(t) ≤ a2B

§  Self-discharge: Over time, storage naturally loses its energy

b(t+∂) = (1-γ1)b(t) + ηcc(t) ∂ – ηdd(t) ∂ - γ2B 66

HOW ACCURATE IS THIS MODEL?

§  Flywheels are not Markovian! §  Batteries? Let’s see

67

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Nissan Leaf chassis

68

LET’S TALK ABOUT BATTERIES

REVISITING THE STORAGE MODEL

69

Li-Titanate case (model 1 works better for LiFePO4)

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BEYOND FIRST-PRINCIPLES  Preceding slides have defined a basic storage model

 Precise modelling of a specific storage technology requires more (information? detail?)

 For electrochemical batteries, need to go beyond “power”

Power Injected

Power Drawn

Energy Content

Current(+)

Current(-)

Energy Content,Cell Voltage

ELECTROCHEMICAL BATTERY

 Key parameters: ­ Min and max Voltage ­ Nominal voltage ­ Charge capacity ­ Max charging and discharging current (C-rate) ­ Internal resistance (important for deducing the efficiency)

A

B

C

T

L

W

Technical DataNominal Capacity 30 Ah (measured at C/10 discharge rate, RT)

Nominal Voltage 2,3 V

Voltage range 1,7 V to 2,7 V

Impedance (1 kHz) < 2 mOhm

Dimensions Length (L) Width (W) Thickness (T)

287 mm ± 1 mm178,5 mm ± 1 mm (153 mm main body)12 mm +0,1/-0,5 mm

Weight 1100 g

Volume 475 ml

Housing Foil packaging

Tabs Length Distance Width Thickness

Aluminium (+ Pole), Ni-coated Copper (- Pole)33 mm ± 1 mm90 mm ± 0.25 mm50 mm ± 0,5 mm0,2 mm ± 0,02 mm

Expected lifetime Up to 15,000 cycles (at 1C charge/discharge full DoD and RT)

Expected calendar life 20 years (at RT)

ChargeCharging method CC/CV (constant Voltage with limited current)

Max. charge voltage 2,7 V (+0,05 V)

Recommended charge current 30 A (1C)

Max. charge current 120 A (4C)

End of charge U = 2,7 V and I < C/10

Max. temperature range -20°C to +55°C

DischargeRecommended discharge current 30 A (1C)

Max. discharge current 120 A (4C)

End of discharge Voltage 1,7 V

Max. temperature range -20°C to +55°C

Storage and transportMax. temperature range -20°C to +40°C (Capacity losses per year, at 50°C, 100% SOC: 0.9%)

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REVISITING THE STORAGE MODEL (2)

72

§  To derive a more accurate model, we need to understand the inner workings of the battery

§  Go beyond simplistic power view (i.e., introduce voltage and current)

§  I will only explain one effect that is battery-specific.

REVISITING THE STORAGE MODEL (3)

73

Based on Peukert’s law (1897) Challenges the notion of constant energy limits a1 and a2.

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VOLTAGE, CURRENT  Similar effect when charging  A function of the current (approximately linear)

Need to estimate the current..

u1

⇣ d(k)

Vnom

⌘+ v1 b(k) u2

⇣ c(k)

Vnom

⌘+ v2

Current ⇡ Power

Nominal Voltage

New constraint on energy limits:

The new model is still linear!

NOTION OF OPERATING RANGE

75

•  We have developed even better explicit (non linear) models.

•  We are evaluating what we gain by using them in different case studies.

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A SIMULATION MODEL BETTER THAN SOA

76

§  The state of the art is Tremblay model (implemented in Simulink). §  Our model does much better and does not require much more information than the Tremblay model (only information on the specification sheet). §  We provide a Matlab system block that is compatible with Simulink simulation software: Matlab File Exchange link: https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/fileexchange/63078-lithium-ionpi-model

Germany Trade and Invest 2014

IMPACT OF JURISDICTIONS ON PV/STORAGE PROFITABILITY

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78

IMPACT OF JURISDICTIONS ON PV/STORAGE PROFITABILITY

IMPACT OF ToU PRICING  ToU (time-of-use ) pricing started in Ontario on Nov. 2011. The price difference is meant to provide an incentive for residential customers to use less electricity during peak-demand times.

 Is ToU pricing effective? Compared to flat pricing, has there been any change in electricity consumption during high-demand periods?

 Many studies tried to answer these research questions in various contexts, but there was no consensus on the methodology and the results. We proposed a clear and objective study using a transparent, efficient and reproducible methodology.

 Data: we obtained access to (smart meter) energy consumption data from 20,000 households in southwestern Ontario. The dataset covers nine months before the introduction of TOU and nine months after.

79

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IMPACT OF ToU PRICING  Measuring the effects of pricing is difficult because there are many other factors that influence consumption such as weather. To address this issue, in our study, we developed a deep statistical methodology to isolate the impact of pricing from the impact of weather and the number of working days.

 Result: Our analysis shows that on-peak and mid-peak consumption has dropped by about 2.5 percent, while off-peak consumption has stayed about the same. Thus, it appears that electricity demand is not being shifted to off-peak periods, but is being conserved.

80

CONCLUSIONS

 We’re well on our way to the Smart Grid  But many challenges remain  An exciting and complex research area!

81


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