LM2.8 km

PROGNTIEDTKE

CICLO DI ASSIMILAZIONE (durata: 12 ore )Ora di inizio run: 12 UTC del 30/10/03

CICLO DI SIMULAZIONE (durata:36 ore) Ora di inizio run: 00 UTC del 31/10/03

LM 7 kmPROGNTIEDTKE

ANALYSIS 31/10/03 00 UTC NESTING

NESTING

ECMWFglobal

model I.C. and B.C.

LM 7 kmPROGNTIEDTKE

NESTING

i.c e b.c

LM2.8 km

PROGNEXPL. CONV.

NESTING

ECMWFglobal

model B.C.

I.C.

LM2.8 km

PROGNTIEDTKE

CICLO DI ASSIMILAZIONE (durata: 12 ore )Ora di inizio run: 12 UTC del 30/10/03

CICLO DI SIMULAZIONE (durata:36 ore) Ora di inizio run: 00 UTC del 31/10/03

LM 7 kmPROGNTIEDTKE

ANALYSIS 31/10/03 00 UTC NESTING

NESTING

DWDglobal

model I.C. and B.C.

LM 7 kmPROGNTIEDTKE

NESTINGDWDglobal

model B.C.

I.C.

I.C. and B.C.

cumulated between 00 UTC OF of 31/10/2003 and 00 UTC of 01/11/2003

OBSERVED PRECIPTATION

7 KM - DWD GLOBAL MODEL OPERATIONAL MODEL

7 KM - DWD GLOBAL MODEL + PROGN

7 KM - ECMWF GLOBAL MODEL + PROGN

2.8 KM - DWD GLOBAL MODEL + PROGN

2.8 KM ECMWF GLOBAL MODEL + PROGN

2.8 KM - ECMWF GLOBAL MODEL + PROGN + EXPL

OBSERVED

COMPARISONS

7KM DWD ECMWF 7KM

DWD 2.8 KM ECMWF 2.8 KMECMWF 2.8 KM EXPL

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN OPE (7km DWD) and OBS

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN 7KM DWD PROGN and OBS

+24 TOTAL PRECIPITATION

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN 7KM DWD PROGN and OBS

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN 7KM ECMWF PROGN and OBS

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN 2.8 KM DWD PROGN and OBS

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN 2.8 KM ECMWF PROGN and OBS

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN 2.8 KM ECMWF PROGN and OBS

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN 2.8 KM ECMWF PROGN EXPL and OBS

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN 2.8 KM ECMWF EXPL and 2.8 KM ECMWF TIEDTKE

OROGRAPHY AND PRECIPITATION Latitudinal section at 44.21

7km DWD PROGN

7km DWD (OPE)

7km ECMWF PROGN

Different scales for precipitation!

2.8km ECMWF PROGN EXPL2.8km ECMWF PROGN

2.8km DWD PROGNOROGRAPHY AND PRECIPITATION Latitudinal section at 44.40

Different scales for precipitation!

OROGRAPHY LM 7 KM

upwind

downwind

OROGRAPHY LM 2.8 KM

upwind

downwind

Fine

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN ECMWF 7KM and DWD 7KM +00 +24 TOTAL PRECIPITATION

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN ECMWF 7KM and OPE +00 +24 TOTAL PRECIPITATION

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN DWD 7KM and OPE +00 +24 TOTAL PRECIPITATION

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN ECMWF 7KM and DWD 7KM +00 +24 TOTAL PRECIPITATION

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN DWD 2.8 KM and DWD 7 KM +00 +24 TOTAL PRECIPITATION

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN DWD 2.8 KM and OPE +00 +24 TOTAL PRECIPITATION

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN ECMWF 2.8 KM and ECMWF 7 KM +00 +24 TOTAL PRECIPITATION

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN ECMWF 2.8 KM and OPE +00 +24 TOTAL PRECIPITATION

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN DWD 2.8 KM and ECMWF 2.8 KM +00 +24 TOTAL PRECIPITATION

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN 2.8 KM ECMWF EXPL and OPE (7KM DWD)