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Copyright by Shell International 1 LNG Projects Development of the Future Gastech, 7 th of April 2017 Hilary Mercer VP Integrated Gas Projects and Executive Director Prelude Copyright by Shell International BV
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Page 1: LNG Projects Development of the Future - gastechevent.com Mercer_Shell.pdf · presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the ... liquefaction process C3 ... Ficticious

Copyright by Shell International 1

LNG Projects Developmentof the Future

Gastech, 7th of April 2017

Hilary MercerVP Integrated Gas Projects and Executive Director Prelude

Copyright by Shell International BV

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Copyright by Shell International BV

Definitions & cautionary note

The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate legal entities. In this presentation “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where

references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used

where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this presentation refer to companies over which Royal Dutch Shell plc

either directly or indirectly has control. Entities and unincorporated arrangements over which Shell has joint control are generally referred to as “joint ventures” and “joint operations” respectively. Entities over which Shell has

significant influence but neither control nor joint control are referred to as “associates”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership

or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest.

This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be,

forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could

cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal

Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as

‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘risks’’, “schedule”, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘should’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘will’’ and similar terms and phrases.

There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this presentation, including

(without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry

competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing

business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market

conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in

the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. No assurance is provided that future dividend payments will match or exceed previous dividend payments. All forward-looking statements contained in this

presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional risk factors that may affect

future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2016 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov). These risk factors also expressly qualify all forward-looking statements

contained in this presentation and should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, April 7, 2017. Neither Royal Dutch Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries undertake

any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred

from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.

We may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this presentation that United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider

closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.

March 10, 2017 2

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The energy challenge

3

There is more demand for energy globally as the world’s population and living standards increase

Growing population

Global population is expected to

increase from around 7 billion

today to nearly 10 billion by

2050, with 67% living in cities.

Rising demand

Global energy demand will likely

be almost 60% higher in 2060

than today, with 2 billion vehicles

on the road (800 million today).

Ongoing supply

Renewable energy could triple by

2050, but we will still need large

amounts of oil and gas to provide

the full range of energy products

that the world needs.

Mitigating climate change

Net-zero emissions is

a potentially achievable

societal ambition.

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More than a decade of industry changes

4

Industry Construction Productivity Normalised capital cost per barrel

Indexed labour productivity

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics

Automobile Manufacturing

Oil & Gas Extraction

Rest of economy Construction

100

150

1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009

125+ 41%

- 22%

Pro

duct

ivity In

dex

1

99

1 =

10

0

Source: McKinsey

20041.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

1.50

2.50

3.50

2006 2008 2010 2012 20142005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Adjusted for size, region, forex and inflation

Source: A Definitive 30-year History on Price and Cost in E&P Industry, IPA, April 2015

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Shell pioneering and innovation in LNG business

5

20101960 1970 1990 2000

Involved in the delivery of the 1st commercial LNG liquefaction plant and the first commercial cargo

First LNG Plant 1964

World’s 1st FPSO“Castellon”, Spain

World 1st FPSO 1977

Air cooling replaced water cooling for the first time in North West Shelf LNG project

Air Cooling 1989

Shell and BG combine to form the world’s largest independent producer of LNG.

BG combination 2016

Shell’s double mixed refrigerant technology deployed in Sakhalin LNG, Russia

DMR 2009

At Malaysia LNG, large industrial gas turbines were introduced to drive the refrigerant compressors

Large GTs 1995

For Brunei LNG, Shell and APCI developed the now industry standard C3/MR liquefaction process

C3/MR 1972

FLNG combines production, processing, liquefaction, storage and export all in one integrated floating facility

Floating LNG 2011

1980

Shell was chosen by NakilatShipping Ltd to operate 25 of the world’s largest and most advanced LNG carriers

LNG carriers 2006

2016

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LNG facilities of the past and of the future

6

2009 2017

Source: IHS DatabaseNote: Project with multiple trains was denoted by one single square

Existing Under Construction

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Copyright by Shell International BV

Shell Improvement Programme

7

CONVENTIONAL OIL AND GAS

OIL PRODUCTSINTEGRATED GAS OIL SANDS MINING DEEP WATER CHEMICALS SHALES NEW ENERGIES

Breakthrough, Affordable TechnologyGoal Zero Capital Efficiency

Technology and InnovationEfficient ExecutionCompetitive Scope

Supply Chain Transformation

TRANSFORMATION THEMES

Efficient & Effective Delivery Organisation

WAYS OF WORKING

STRATEGIC THEMES

Asset Support

Collaboration & Integration Selectivity & Focus Simplicity Transparency

P&T OBJECTIVES

Shell powers progress together by providing more and cleaner energy solutions

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Copyright by Shell International BV

0

20

40

60

80

100

Cost

s %

Shell cost reduction journey

8

Selective Technology Deployment Carbon copy replication strategy

Ficticious brownfield LNG train costs build up Ficticious brownfield LNG train costs reduction example

Increase Decrease Total

Scope costs

EPC costs

Contingency

Owners costs

Inflation/forex

Market escalation

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Shell efficient execution

9

SUPPLY CHAIN TRANSFORMATION

EMBEDDED HSSE CULTURE

PERSONNEL QUALITY

HIGH QUALITY CONTROL

SUPPLIERS PERFORMANCES

CONSTRUCTION AND FABRICATION YARDS INTEGRATION WITH ENGINEERING

CONSTRUCTION AND FABRICATION YARDS LABOUR CAPACITY

COOPERATION WITH EPC CONTRACTORS

THIRD PARTY SAVINGS, SUSTAINABLE COST REDUCTION

PROJECT STANDARDS RESET EMPOWERING PROJECTS, ENABLING POTENTIAL

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LNG Projects development of the future

10

Understand what is your scope

How efficient are you in executing the scope

Collaboration across the supply chain

Talented people with:

Leadership behaviours

Commercial astutiness

Willingness to change

Embracing new ways of working

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