LTE werkt. En Wat kunnen we nog verder verwachten ?

Patrick Blankers Ericsson - Strategy 20 november 2014

Source: Cullen International, July 2014

= 1800 MHz only

= 1800 + 2.6 GHz

= 800 + 1800 + 2.6 GHz

= 800 + 1800 MHz

= 800 and 2.6 GHz

LTE uptake in EUrope

Million LTE-subs

Source: Ovum, World Cellular Information Service (WCIS) Informa, Nov 2014

World: 9.2 billion Mobile subscriptions end 2019

M2M subscriptions not included

› LTE to reach 380 million

subscriptions end 2014

(200 million end 2013)

› LTE to reach 2.6 billion

subscriptions by 2019

Mobile subscriptions by technology, 2010-2019

Source: Ericsson Mobility report, June 2014

2G

3G

4G

5.6 Billion smartphone Subscriptions end 2019

› 5.6 B smartphone subscriptions by the

end of 2019

› >80% of phones in NL is smartphone

› 50% of new smartphones in NL is LTE-

enabled

Source: Ericsson Mobility report, June 2014

Source: Telecompaper, GfK

10 times Mobile data Traffic by end of 2019

3.3 GB

1.4 GB

0.65 GB

Monthly consumption per device type

13 GB

6.3 GB

2.5 GB

2013 2019

Source: Ericsson Mobility report, June 2014

LTE: where do we go ?

More capacity

Better coverage

› Broader carriers

› Carrier aggregation (LTE-A)

› Refarming and new spectrum bands

› Indoor coverage

› Improved antenna techniques

› Coordinated multipoint

More services

› Voice over LTE (VoLTE)

› LTE Broadcast

› LTE for public safety

› M2M

NETWORKED SOCIETY

Today: Circuit Switched Fall-Back

Later: Voice over LTE (VoLTE)

LTE is PS-only, no CS. Voice over LTE is VoIP!

Voice in LTE

GSM

Packet

Switched

Core

LTE

WCDMA

Circuit

Switched

CORE

VoLTE

IMS

INTERNET

3G

LTE

HSPA

GSM

Today: Circuit Switched Fall-Back

Later: Voice over LTE (VoLTE)

LTE is PS-only, no CS. Voice over LTE is VoIP!

Voice in LTE

GSM

Packet

Switched

Core

LTE

WCDMA

Circuit

Switched

CORE

VoLTE

IMS

INTERNET

3G

LTE

HSPA

GSM

Today: Circuit Switched Fall-Back

Later: Voice over LTE (VoLTE)

LTE is PS-only, no CS. Voice over LTE is VoIP!

Voice in LTE

GSM

Packet

Switched

Core

LTE

WCDMA

Circuit

Switched

CORE

VoLTE

IMS

INTERNET

3G

LTE

HSPA

GSM

LTE Broadcast

One data channel per content

Limited data channels, “unlimited number” of users

Offer popular services over densed areas

One data channel per user

Unlimited channels, limited number of users

Any content any time any where

Broadcast Unicast

LTE broadcast

› Transmit data on two or more carriers simultaneously

› Many combinations: 10 MHz + 10 MHz

10 MHz + 20 MHz

20 MHz + 20 MHz, etc

› Within single spectrum band or between different spectrum bands

› Symmetric and asymmetric

› FDD+TDD

Carrier Aggregation

+ +

LTE-ADVANCED (LTE-A)

Refarming and carrier aggregation

GSM HSPA LTE

Sp

ectr

um

[M

Hz]

2600

2100

1800

900

800

Time

Multi Standard Radio

More spectrum S

pe

ctr

um

[M

Hz]

2600

2100

1800

900

800

And further: Licensed Shared Access

1400 40 MHz unpaired, for Supplementary Downlink

700 2x30 MHz paired, for improved coverage

3500 400 MHz, for higher capacity

Progress

1875 2000 1975

10

30

50 15 years

50 billion connected devices

25 years

5 billion connected people

100 years

1 billion connected places 20

40

Connection

s (

bill

ion)

2020

5G

1000x Mobile Data

Volumes

10x-100x Connected Devices 5x

Lower Latency

10x-100x End-user Data Rates

10x Battery Life for Low Power

Devices

Source: METIS

Evolution Towards 2020

4G 3G 2G

Summary

› LTE has just arrived and will quickly evolve

further: better coverage, higher speeds, new

services

› Everything that will benefit from a connection

will be connected.

› The Networked Society will create new

experiences, improve efficiency and develop

radically new ways to drive progress.

The Networked Society

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