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MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum,...

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MAHINDRA CIE 27 TH AUG’18 COMPANY OVERVIEW Mahindra CIE Automotive Limited is an auto components supplier with presence in many Technologies, which include forgings, stampings, Castings, composites and magnetic products. MCIE is auto-ancillary company, which supplies components to tier-1 and OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturers). MCIE is subsidiary of CIE Automotive. MCIE has total 29 plants 20 in India and 9 in Europe. It operates in India, Italy, Spain, Lithuania, Germany and UK. The company is focused on the automotive market, including cars, utility vehicles, commercial vehicles and tractors. CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A CIE Automotive is parental company of Mahindra CIE. CIE automotive currently holds 56.32% It designs and manufactures components and sub-assemblies globally, in 98 production sites distributed in 90 locations. It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining, forging) tube welding present in 9 countries (b) Biofuels (plants operating in Spain, Italy, presence in Brazil and Guatemala) (c) Dominion, Technological Solutions and services (plants in Spain, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina and Chile) INVESTMENT RATIONALE (a) Mahindra CIE had came up with Phase-1 and Phase-2 strategy, as period of phase-1 has ended. So, if company is able to reduce its debt, follow CIE Standard and diversify its technology (achieve phase-2 target) it will be an added advantage for growth of its business with increase in customers and global reach. (b) MCIE majority revenue comes from Forgings so it has huge opportunity to develop and expand in other technology by providing diversified products in each technology and keeping balance between customer’s requirement and its manufacturing. (c) Slowly and steady MCIE is making organic growth in India, majority revenue comes from Europe but in last 4 years revenue growth in India is faster as compare to Europe. So, MCIE has lot of opportunities to expand and grow in India automotive market with low cost benefit and excellent performance of Bill Forge (one of subsidiary in India). Parameters (In Million) Sales Rs62546 EBITDA Rs8420 EBIT Rs5612 PAT Rs3584 DEBT Rs10173 FCF -Rs317 OPERATING PROFIT Rs108.75 ROE 10.293% ROCE 11.73% 56.32% 13.51% 13.32% 16.85% SHAREHOLDING PATTERN CIE M&M INSTITUTIONS OTHERS
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Page 1: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 COMPANY OVERVIEW Mahindra CIE Automotive Limited is an autocomponentssupplierwithpresenceinmanyTechnologies,whichincludeforgings,stampings,Castings, compositesandmagneticproducts.MCIE isauto-ancillary company, which supplies componentsto tier-1 and OEM (Original EquipmentManufacturers).MCIEissubsidiaryofCIEAutomotive.MCIEhastotal29plants20inIndiaand9inEurope.It operates in India, Italy, Spain, Lithuania, Germanyand UK. The company is focused on the automotivemarket,includingcars,utilityvehicles,commercialvehiclesandtractors.CIEAUTOMOTIVES.A

• CIEAutomotiveisparentalcompanyofMahindraCIE.

• CIEautomotivecurrentlyholds56.32%• Itdesignsandmanufacturescomponentsand

sub-assembliesglobally,in98productionsitesdistributedin90locations.• Itisin3strategicareas

(a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining, forging) tubeweldingpresentin9countries(b)Biofuels(plantsoperatinginSpain,Italy,presenceinBrazilandGuatemala)(c)Dominion,TechnologicalSolutionsandservices(plantsinSpain,Mexico,Brazil,ArgentinaandChile)INVESTMENT RATIONALE

(a) MahindraCIEhadcameupwithPhase-1andPhase-2strategy,asperiodofphase-1hasended.So,ifcompanyisabletoreduceitsdebt,followCIEStandardanddiversifyitstechnology(achievephase-2target)itwillbeanaddedadvantageforgrowthofitsbusinesswithincreaseincustomersandglobalreach.

(b) MCIE majority revenue comes from Forgings so it has huge opportunity to develop andexpand in other technology by providing diversified products in each technology andkeepingbalancebetweencustomer’srequirementanditsmanufacturing.

(c) SlowlyandsteadyMCIE ismakingorganicgrowth in India,majority revenuecomes fromEuropebutinlast4yearsrevenuegrowthinIndiaisfasterascomparetoEurope.So,MCIEhas lot of opportunities to expand and grow in India automotive market with low costbenefitandexcellentperformanceofBillForge(oneofsubsidiaryinIndia).

Parameters(InMillion)SalesRs62546EBITDARs8420EBITRs5612PATRs3584DEBTRs10173FCF-Rs317OPERATINGPROFITRs108.75ROE10.293%ROCE11.73%

56.32%

13.51%

13.32%

16.85%

SHAREHOLDINGPATTERNCIE

M&M

INSTITUTIONS

OTHERS

Page 2: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

MERGER

The Mahindra group (India) and CIE Automotive S.A(Spain) signed global alliance agreementbetween Mahindra’s automotive component business(held under Systech sector) and CIEAutomotive(involvingalso itssubsidiaryAutometal)on June15,2013.Aspartof the transaction,CIE automotive – through one of its subsidiaries will acquire from Mahindra group a stake incompanies belonging to Systech automotive component business and CIE automotive willcontribute its forgingsbusinesses in Spain andLithuania and together consolidate all companiesunderMFLwhichwillberenamedasMahindraCIE.BENEFITS:CIE AUTOMOTIVE

• IthelpedCIEtoenterintonewlinebusinesslikegears,castingsetc.• Opportunitytoenterandexpanditsbusinessinemergingmarkets.

MAHINDRA GROUP

• Mahindra became 2nd largest shareholder of CIE Automotive (Spain)withminimum cashoutflow.

• StrengthenitspositioninIndiaandEurope.MAHINDRA CIE

• Beforealliance,thecompanyfacedlotofcompetitioninEuropemarket,soalliancehelpedindiversifyingindifferentautomobilecategories.

• MCIEhasaddedadvantageofgoodrelationshipofCIEwithUSandEuropeanclients(Ford,Renault,VWandGeneralMotorsCompany)accordingtorequirementsinIndia

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RISK FACTORS

• Highly dependent on the growth and performance of Automotive manufacturers MCIEcomesundertier-1.5whichsuppliestoOEMandtier-1companies,demandforauto-componentsdependsongrowth,profitabilityandconsistentimprovementofOEMs.If1-2company(OEM)couldnotsurviveinmarketormovetootherauto-componentsupplierthenitwilldirectlyaffectrevenueofMCIE.

• High customer concentration, MCIE is highly dependent on few large customers from where majority of the revenue comes. M&M,TATAMotorsandMarutiSuzukicontributes50%ofMCIEsRevenueinIndiabusiness.MFEAGs2/3revenuecomesfromtop5largestcommercialvehiclemanufacturers.M&Mcontributes16%,Daimler12%,Renault5%shareintotalturnover.

• Hybrid and Electric Vehicles MCIEhasopportunitytoexpanditsbusinessinelectricandhybridvehicles,currentlytopcustomers(BMW,Daimler,Audi,VW)movingtowardshybridvehicles(requireselectricmotorandICE),currentlylessthan25%ofMCIE’sbusinesshassomethingtodowithICE.ButEuropehasshown38.7%growthinpassengerelectricvehicles(allelectriccars,electricutilityvansandplug-inhybrids)butMCIEisgoingtotake10yearswithtechnologyupgrade,ithasstarteditsresearchanddiscussingwithitscustomersondevelopment.Indiahavetargetofsalesof6-7millionsofhybridandelectricvehiclesby2020,soontechnologyisgoingtochangeinbotheconomybringingMCIEintomoreriskyposition.

Page 4: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

BUSINESS OF THE COMPANY PROCESS OF SUPPLYING AUTO-COMPONENTS

TIER-3 TIER-2 TIER-1 OEM

• Suppliersofraworclosetorawmaterials.

• Tier-3suppliestoalllevelsincludingtier-1andOEM.

• Companiessupplypartsthatwindupincars,oftenexpertsintheirspecificdomain.

• Theysupplytolotofnon-automotivecustomers.

• MCIEcomesunderTier-1.5becauseitdirectlysellstoOEMaswellasasTier-1.

• Itsuppliesintheformofautomotivegradesystem.

• Automotivegradesystemincludesanti-locksystem,airbagsystem,4-wheelersteeringsystem.

• OriginalEquipmentManufacturers(OEM)isindesigning,marketingcarsandorderingpartsfromsuppliersandassemblingfinalproduct.

Page 5: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

FORGINGSSTAMPINGS

GEARSCASTING MAGNETIC PRODUCTS COMPOSITES

Page 6: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

TECHNOLOGY

PROCEESS CAPACITY

(INDIA)KEYPRODUCTS KEY

CUSTOMERSFORGINGS Forgingsis

manufacturingprocessinvolvingshapingofmetalusinglocalizedcompressiveforces.

135000tonsannually

Crankshaft,wheelhubs,steeringshafts,CVjoints

RenalutNissan,Marutisuzuki,Ford,Mahindra,TATA,nexteer,Hero,Honda,Fiat,KXN

STAMPINGS Stampingsisaprocessofplacingflatsheetmetalineitherblankorcoilformintostampingpresswhereatoolanddiesurfaceformsthemetalintonetshape.

185000tonsannually

SkinPanels,Chassis&structuralparts,SuspensionArms,FrontPanels

Mahindra,TATA,AshokLeyland,ScootersIndiaLimited

GERAS Agearorcogwheelisarotatingmachineparthavingcutliketeeth,orcogs,whichmeshwithanothertoothedparttotransmittorque.

8milliongearsandshaftsannually

Gears,shafts,helicalgears,shafts,weldedcomponents

Mahindra,Caterpillar,Eaton,CNHIndustrial

CASTINGS Castingisamanufacturingprocessinwhichaliquidmaterialisusuallypouredintoamold,whichcontainshollowcavityofdesiredshape,andthenallowedtosolidify.

55000tonsannually

Crankshaft,TurbineHousing,DifferentialHousing

Hyundai,DANA,Ford,Mahindra,Honewell,JCB,CNHIndustrial

MAGNETICPRODUCTS

6oootonsannually

SoftandHardMagnets

Denso,MITSUBA,Varroc,Comstar,Sumida,InTica

COMPOSITES It’samaterialmadefrom2ormoreconstituentmaterialswithsignificantly

10000tonsSMC4000tonsDMC

Mahindra,Volvo,Scania,TVS

FrontLID,Crashshields-fueltanks,Electricboxtoptray,Front

Page 7: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

differentphysicalorchemicalpropertiesthatwhencombined,produceamaterialwithcharacteristicsdifferentfromtheindividualcomponents.

Bumper

APPLICATION OF TECHNOLOGY AND ITS COMPONENTS CARSAND

UTILITYVEHICLES

MEDIUMANDHEAVYCOMMERCIALVEHICLES

AGRICULTUREANDOFF-ROAD

TWO-WHEELERS

FORGINGS Crankshaft,knuckles/stubaxles

ForgedCamshafts,stubaxles,springsaddles

ForgedConnectingRod,stubaxles,frontaxlesupport,links,trunionbracket,liftarm,rockerarm,topplingcrank,crankshaft

STAMPINGS BodyinWhite-stampings

StampedCabinComponents

CastHubs,Differentialandtransmissiongears,planetarycarrier,hood,fenders,bonnet,footplates,frontgrill

GEARS Enginegears,gears,shafts

EngineGears Transmissiongearandshafts

CASTINGS TurbineHousing,ExhaustManifold,synchrohubs,differentialhousing,brakecalipers

Hubs,DifferentialHousing,CarrierHousing,TurboHousing

CastExhaustManifolds,Differentialhousing,crankshaft

MAGNETICPRODUCTS

PassiveEntryAntennaComponents,FerriteMagnetsforPMDC&BLDCMotors

Alternator&startermotorferritemagnets

COMPOSITES Oilsumps ForgedCrankshaft,NVHCovers

Page 8: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

PHASE-1 AND PHASE-2 STRATEGY TARGET IMPLEMENTATIONPhase-1(2014-2017)

• Optimize operations inIndia

• TurnaroundEurope• Control Capex & reduce

debt• Initiate new products

and customers (inprocess)

• Teamworking1weekpermonthinIndiafromSpaintosupportthelocalteamtogivetraining,preparingengineeringtoolstobeused,itwasdoneinpast6-7months.

• AcquisitionofBillForgeOctober’16.

• NewcustomersincludeTBK(India)forgearsandAshokLeylandforstampings

• Ason31stDec’2017CAPEXwasofRs3054Mn

• DebtincreasedfromRs3157.55millionin2014toRs10173million

Phase-2(2017-2020)

• M&A• Capexforexpansion• Expand in India and

southeastAsia• Entry into technologies

where CIE has a globalpresence but MCIE isnotpresent

• Redefine productportfolio at MCIE’sGerman & Italianoperations

• SomeproductsinportfolioarelossmakingsoeitherincreasingpricesorexitingfromproductsduetoinefficiencyinMFEEurope.

• Reduceddebtby10%,attheendofyeartargetistobringdebtto800Crs.

Page 9: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

REVENUE CONTRIBUTION

Page 10: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

2015 2016 2017GEARS 8.75 9.41 8.65COMPOSITES 1.35 1.76 1.42MAGNETICPRODUCTS 2.17 2.68 2.02CASTINGS 7.38 12.68 6.54STAMPINGS 11.94 12.69 12.55FORGINGS 68.39 66.15 68.81

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%

GEARS

COMPOSITES

MAGNETICPRODUCTSCASTINGS

STAMPINGS

FORGINGS

Page 11: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

REVENUE CONTRIBUTION FROM INDIA AND OVERSEAS

• In2014,overseasrevenuecontributionwas85.08%whichcamedownto57.073%in2017whereasIndiarevenuecontributionwas14.91%in2014increasedto42.927%in2017,sowecansayOperationsinIndiaareimprovingduetoPhase-1&2strategytoworkonefficiencyandtraining.

• Managementwantstoreversethenumbersitwants60%revenuefromIndiaand40%fromOverseas.

386.54

1769.922090.98

2871.8

2204.24

3799.983433.6

3818.1

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2014 2015 2016 2017

INDIA

OVERSEAS

Page 12: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

CUSTOMERS

• M&M,TataMotorsandMaruticonstitutemorethan50%ofMCIEIndiaBusiness.(a) M&MincludesPV+UV+LCV+Tractors(excluding2-3wheelers)(b) TataMotorsPV+UV+LCV(excludesMHCV)(c) MarutiincludesPV+LCV

• M&M,Daimlercontributes12-15%andRenaultcontributes5-6%ofcompany’stotalturnover.

CUSTOMERS IN EACH TECHNOLOGY

TECHNOLOGY KEYCUSTOMERS(IndiaBusiness)FORGINGS RenaultNissan,MarutiSuzuki,Ford,Mahindra,

TATA,nexteer,Hero,Honda,Fiat,KXNSTAMPINGS Mahindra,TATA,AshokLeyland,ScootersIndia

LimitedGEARS Mahindra,Caterpillar,Eaton,CNHIndustrialCASTING Hyundai,DANA,Ford,Mahindra,Honeywell,JCB,

CNHIndustrialMAGNETICPRODUCTS Denso,Mitsuba,Varroc,Comstar,Sumida,In

TicasystemsCOMPOSITES Mahindra,Volvo,Scania,TVS

Page 13: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

SUBSIDIARIES

(1) Mahindra Forgings Europe AG

• Productionofdropforgepartsfromallusualsteelgrades,companyisunderforgingtechnology.

• SubsidiariesofMFEAG:(a)GesenkschmiedeSchneider(b)Schoneweiss&co.(c)FalkenrothUmformtechnik(d)JecoJellinghaus(closedinDec’15)

• AlloperationsareinGermany• Focusareaistrucks.• Its2/3revenuescomesfromtop5largestcustomers(commercialvehiclemanufacturers)• Outof3operatingsubsidiariesFalkenrothisgoinginlossrest2isshowingprofit.

2017 2018(upto2quarters)In2016MFEAGwasthemainconcernbecauseJecoplantwasnotproperlyclosed(Dec’15)whichleadto

• Additionaltransportationcost• Unexpecteddeliveryandquality

constraints• AffectedprofitsandefficiencyofMFE

AG• Itsoperationshasbeenshiftedto

othersimilarbusinessOrganicrevenuegrowthinGermanyMFEis8%(eurodenominated)

• TruckbusinessisboominginEuropeCustomersarescania,DAF,MAN,Daimler.

• MFEAGislessprofitablebusiness,belowCIE’sstandard.CompanyisnotplanningtoinvestincompanyonlymaintenanceCAPEX,ideaistofulfillcapacityandmaximizeresource

• LetterofawarenessfromCIEgrouptoMFEAGforfinancialgoingconcernvaliduptoMarch2020

• Factorsaffectingperformance(a)IndustrialVehiclesbusinessisusuallylowvolumebusiness.(b)InGermany,high-costmanpowerthatmeansmarginsinthosecomponentsarelowerthaninpassengermarket(c)Ithasmoremanualprocessthanamortizedduetolowvolumes

Page 14: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

(2) CIE GALFOR S.A

• Productionofparts/componentsusingforgingstechnologyforautomotiveindustry.• SubsidiaryofCIEGalfor:CIELegapzi(Spain)

UABCIELTForge(Lithuania)Metalcastello(Italy,Gears)

• FocusareaisCars• 80%salestoWesternEurope• Allsubsidiariesareearningprofits.

Upto2017 2018GrowthinEuropeiscomingfrom

• CaterpillarprojectatMetalcastello(orderof20milleuros)

• CrankshaftprojectinCIE,LithuaniaReverseMergerbetweenMetalcastello(absorbingcompany)andMahindragearsglobalLtd(absorbedcompany)on29thMay’2017InvestedinLithuaniaincoupleofpresses.NewordersinpassengervehiclesdivisiontheforgesinLithuania,thisorderforcustomerinPolandandsomeneworderforgalfor.InvestmentinEurope

• LTForgenewcrankshaftline(Rs460mill)

• MetalcastelloCATproject(Rs380Mill)

GrowthinMetalcastellois35%(excludingexchangerate)Lithuaniawillbeatfullratebymid2019.GrowthinEuropeiscomingfromMetalcastelloandLithuaniafromnewprojects.

Page 15: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

(3) BILL FORGE

• Itmanufacturesretainers,steeringraces,hubs,pinions,gearblanks,shaftsfor2-4wheelers.• SubsidiariesofBillForgeare:(a)BFPrecisionPvtLtd(India)

(b)MexicoSdeRLCV(Mexico)• BillForgewasacquiredbyMCIEinOctober’16.

2017 2018InvestmentinBFMexicoofRs330MillBillForgeMexico

• 50%ofproductisgoingtoCanadaandGermanynotjustnorthAmericasonoworryfromtrumpmakingdemandofMexicoproductimpossible

• Peakrevenuewillbe$20MillMarutiisanimportantcustomerofBillForgethroughTier-1.BillForgesuppliestotier-1customer(GKN,Nexteeretc)whichsupplytoMaruti.BenefitstoMCIEfromacquiringBillForge

• BFisaggressiveincommercialterms• Exportingcloseto20%ofitsrevenue

toUSandEurope• BFhashighermarginsthanMCIE

India.

Billforgeisgrowingat25%(excludingMexico)MexicoRamp-up

• Reached50%injourneyoframp-up• Problemsregardingtrainingnew

people,runnewmachineandnewtechnologywhichisgoingtotaketime.

• Produces50%ofexpectedvolumeshaveprojecttoproduce4.5millpartscurrentlysupplying2millforcompleter.

• Lowmarginsduetointernalscrap,lowproductivitycomingfromlearningcurve

• Endof2020theywillbeinpeakoframp-up.

(4) Stokes Group Limited

• ManufacturessteelforgingsonvarietyofforgingspressesattheUKsiteinWestMidlandsandDudley.

• Supplyingqualitypartsintoautomotivesectorwhetherinrawforgedstateorfullymachinedpart.

• SubsidiariesofStokesgroupare:(A)StokesForgingsDudleyLtd(B)StokesForgingsLimited

• 92%saleswithinEU,otherexportstoUSandChina• Boththesubsidiariesaredormantcompanies,nooperations• StokesGroupisgoingintolossduetohighadministrativeexpense.

Page 16: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

INDUSTRY INDIAN AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY

• DomesticAutomobileproductionincreasedat7.08%CAGRbetweenFY13-18with29.07millionvehiclesmanufacturedinthecountryinIndia,yearonyearincreasesof17.95%.

• Indiabecame4thLargestautomarketin2017withsalesincreasing9.5%yearonyearbasisto4.02millionunitsin2017.Overalldomesticautomobilesalesincreasedat7.01%CAGRbetweenFY13-18.

GROWTHDRIVERS

• Turnoverofmanufacturersisincreasingat7.01%CAGRfromFY14-FY17.• Risingincomeandlargeyoungpopulation• Highdemandofcommercialvehicles• Initiativeslikein‘MakeinIndia’,Automobilemissionplan2026andNEMMP2020togive

hugeboosttothesector.(a)NEMMP-NationalElectricMobilityMissionPlanaimstoachievenationalfuelsecuritybypromotinghybridandelectricvehiclesyearonyearfrom2020onwards.

20.65 21.5 23.8 24.02 25.33 29.07

0

10

20

30

40

FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

NUMBEROFAUTOMOBILESPRODUCEDININDIA(inMillions)

17.79 18.42 19.72 20.47 21.8624.97

0

10

20

30

FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

NUMBEROFAUTOMOBILESSOLDININDIA(inMillions)

55 59 64 68

0

20

40

60

80

2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

GROSSTURNOVEROFAUTOMOBILEMANUFACTURERSININDIA(in

US$Billion)

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INDIAN AUTO-COMPONENTS INDUSTRY

• Productionoftwowheelersis23.25Mill,passengervehiclesare4.01Mill,commercialvehiclesare0.89Milland3-wheelersis1.02Millin2017-18.

• Passengervehicleshashighestshareoftotalauto-componentssuppliestoOEMin2016-17,followedby2wheelersandMHCV.

• RevenuehaverisenfromUS$26.5BillioninFY08toUS$43.5BillioninFY17ataCAGRof5.7%duringFY08-17.

• Marketsizeforauto-componentsectorincreasedby11.5%.• Theindustryisexpectedtoposta13-15%growthrateinFY18,onthebackofrobust

growthindomesticpassengervehicle,tractorand2-wheelersegments.• Auto-componentsproductionin2018-19isexpectedtoincrease12-14%inFY19.

EUROPE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY

• Turnovergeneratedbytheautomotivesectorrepresents6.8%ofEUGDP.• Auto-industryislargestprivateinvestorinR&DinEurope,withalmost54Billioneuros

investedannually.• Marginsformanycompanieshasreducedinlastcoupleofyearsdueto• Increaseinmaterialandlabourcost.• Risingcompetitionhencepressureonsellingprice• Dieselemissionscandalandallegationofcollusionamonglargecarmakershaveincreased

insecurityinindustry.

79.61%

13.79%

3.08% 3.51%

DOMESTICMARKETSHAREBYSEGMENT(FY18)(No.ofUnits)

TWO-WHEELERS

PASSENGERVEHICLESCOMMERCIALVEHICLESTHREEWHEELERS

49%

22%

11%

8%6% 2%

AUTOCOMPONENTSSUPPLYTOOEM(FY17)

PASSENGERVEHCILESTWOWHEELERS

MHCV

LIGHTCV

TRACTORS

THREEWHEELERS

26.44 24.0929.23

41.31 42.68 39.6935 38.41 39.05

43.5549

0102030405060

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E

AGGREGATETURNOVER(US$Billion)

Page 18: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

PEER COMPARISON FORGINGS

NETSALES PBIDT PAT ROCE ROEBHARATFORGE

5372.95 1655.47 707.3 22.5% 15.99%

RAMKRISHNAFORGINGS

1453.33 288.43 94.66 7.37% 3.96%

MMFORGINGS

620.62 136.56 68.51 14.7% 20.04%

KALYANIFORGE

265.36 28.47 6.56 9.26% 6.29%

MAHINDRACIE

6520 841.4 358.4 11.73% 10.29%

GEARS EPS P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/SALESBHARATGEARS

7.93 13.47 1.77 6.0021 0.52

SHANTIGEARS 3.92 33.79 3.32 20.89 4.8

MAHINDRACIE

9.47 140.74 2.64 12.94 1.67

(inCrs) NETSALES PBIDT PAT ROCE ROEBHARATGEARS

508.96 44.37 6.30 13.37% 8.74%

SHANTIGEARS 214.12 48.73 28.58 10.44% 9.16%MAHINDRACIE

6520 841.4 358.4 11.73% 10.29%

EPS P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/SALESBHARATFORGE 16.38 39.48 6.47 17.72 3.96

RAMKRISHNAFORGINGS

29.13 21.12 4.07 9.85 1.91

MMFORGINGS 25.10 24.46 3.77 11.98 2.67KALYANIFORGE 20.52 16.91 1.17 5.88 0.68

MAHINDRACIE 9.47 140.74 2.64 12.94 1.67

Page 19: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

FINANCIALS (inCrs)

2590.77

5569.9 5319.96520

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

2014 2015 2016 2017

NETSALES

2014 2015 2016 2017EBIT -6.79 21.03 321 561.2

-200

0

200

400

600

EBIT

108.75

441.71531.1

814.5

0

200

400

600

800

1000

2014 2015 2016 2017

OPERATINGPROFIT

121.52

484.63 562.5

841.4

02004006008001000

2014 2015 2016 2017

EBITDA

2014 2015 2016 2017PAT -81.49 -78.16 169 358.4

-200-100

0100200300400

PAT

315.76

1422.92

934.1 1018.2

0

500

1000

1500

2014 2015 2016 2017

DEBT

Page 20: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

QUARTERLY UPDATE QUARTER-1JAN-MAR2018(inMillion)

• DeclineinEBITDA%(13.8%ascomparetopreviousquarter14.3%)duetoonetime

VRS.• Improvementinmargindueto

VolumeincreasesinalldivisionsMostperformingtechnology(castings,gearsandforgings)Castingsandforgingsproductionusetobe3000tonnesnowits4000pm.

• CAPEXtobe5-6%ofsales(maintenance+growth)

INDIABUSINESS EUROPEBUSINESS

• Significantsalesgrowthinalldivisions• ExcellenttrendinoperativeEBITDA• 24%growthinIndia(3-4%riseinsteel

prices,expectedtoriseinfuture)• Expectedtoinvestin400Crs(PY300Crs)

inIndia• Indiaexports15%(alldivisionand

segments)• M&M,MarutiandTataMotorscombined

constitutemorethan50%ofMCIEIndiaBusiness,M&MincludesPV+UV+LCV+Tractors(excludes2&3-wheelers)TataMotorsincludesPV+UV+LCV(excludesMHCV)MarutiincludesPV+LCV

• GrowthinEuropeHighergrowthfromMetalcastello

NewordercomingfromCaterpillar(20Milleuros)

• TruckbusinessisboominginEurope.

• Salesgrowthis26%Currency-10%Commodity-2%Volumegrowth-14%

• Europeexport2-4%

Page 21: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

QUARTER-2APR-JUN2018

INDIABUSINESS EUROPEBUSINESS

• DriversofgrowthinIndia(growthaboveIndianmarketgrowth)MarketevolutioninUV,tractorsand2-wheelersGrowthincustomers

• Salesgrowthis26%Weightedaverageofallsegments-15%Impactofrawmaterials-5-6%Customers-5-6%

• Organic+inorganicgrowth

• GrowthDriversinEuropeRamp-upinLithuania(installednewpresses)Metacastellogrowthis40%MFEGermanyGrowthis5-6%

• InefficienciesinMFELowproductivityinproduction,lossmakingproducts

• OnlyOrganicgrowthinEurope

Page 22: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

CONSOLIDATED PROFIT AND LOSS A/C 31/3/14 31/3/15 31/12/2016 31/12/2017REVENUEFROMOPERATIONS

2636.21 5745.59 5524.6 6663

OTHERINCOME 12.77 42.91 31.4 26.9TOTALREVENUE 2648.98 5788.5 5556 6689.9 COSTOFMATERIALSCONSUMED

1080.2 2541.83 2152.7 2933.3

DEPRECIATIONANDAMORTISATIONEXPENSES

119.99 237.5 232.5 273.4

OTHEREXPENSES 1447.35 2763.51 2840.8 2915.2PROFITBEFOREINTERESTANDTAX

1.44 245.67 330 568

FINANCECOST 62.82 119.65 59.4 54.5EXCEPTIONALITEMS

8.32 226.1 9 6.8

TAX 11.79 (21.93) 92.6 148.3 PROFITFORTHEYEAR

81.49 78.15 169 358.4

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET 31/3/14 31/3/15 31/12/16 31/12/17ASSETS Non-CurrentAssets 1317.496 3603.24 5256.1 5171.8

CurrentAssets 699.12 1380.67 1675.6 2119.7Total 2016.62 4983.91 6931.7 7591.5 LIABILITY Equity 656.04 1902.03 3266.3 3715.6Non-CurrentLiability 510.28 1697.78 1427.4 1527.5

CurrentLiability 850.30 1384.1 2238 2348.4Total 2016.62 4983.91 6931.7 7591.5

Page 23: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

CONSOLIDATES CASH FLOW STATEMENT 31/3/14 31/3/15 31/12/16 31/12/17CASHFLOWFROMOPERATINGACTIVITY

211.01 322.26 304 512.2

CASHFLOWFROMINVESTINGACTIVITY

(87.6) (183.99) (830.8) (308.3)

CASHFLOWFROMFINANCINGACTIVITY

(116.36) (293.66) 574.8 (235.6)

FREECASHFLOW 7.05 (155.39) 48 (31.7)

Page 24: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

VALUATION A. RELATIVE BASED FORGINGS COMPANY MARKETCAP/SALESBHARATFORGE 3.6RAMKRISHNAFORGINGS 1.33MMFORGINGS 2.32KALYANI 0.42AVERAGE 1.93MarketCapforForgings=SalesfromforgingsofMCIE*AverageMarketCap/sales=4626Crs*1.93=8928.18Crs___________(A)GEARS MARKETCAP/SALESBHARATGEARS 0.26SHANTHIGEARS 4.81AVERAGE 2.54MarketCapforGears=SalesfromGearsofMCIE*AverageMarketCap/sales=581.5Crs*2.54=1477.01_______________(B)STAMPINGS MARKETCAP/SALESAUTOMOTIVESTAMPING 0.23ALCOACORPORATION 0.63MARTINREASINTERNATIONALLTD

0.31

SHILOHINDUSTRIES 0.2AVERAGE 0.34MarketCapforStampings=SalesfromStampingofMCIE*AverageMarketCap/sales=843.7Crs*0.34=288.86_____________(C)

Page 25: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

OTHER TECHNOLOGY(CASTINGS+COMPOSITES+MAGNETICPRODUCTS) SCENARIO-1 SCENARIO-2MARKETCAP/SALES 1 0.5(MARKETCAP/SALES)*SALES 671.2______(D1) 335.6_____(D2) Assumingscenario-1 Assumingscenario-2

TotalMarketCap (A)+(B)+(C)+(D1)

11365.25Crs

(A)+(B)+(C)+(D2)11029.65Crs

NoofEquityshares 37.84Crs 37.84CrsPriceperShare Rs300.35 Rs291.48STEPS FOR VALUATION

• Firstly,weneedsalesfromeachtechnologyormajorcontributorslikeForgings,gears,stampingsandothers.

• WeneedtofindMarketCap/Salesofallpeersineachtechnology. • FindingaverageofMarketCap/SalesineachtechnologyexcludingMCIE. • MultiplyingAverageMarketCap/saleswithSalesofMCIEtechnologyrespectively. • WegetMarketCapofeachtechnology;weaddthemtogettotalMarketCapofMCIE. • DividingMarketCapbyNoofequityshareswegetshareprice.

B. EARNING BASED H1CY18 H2CY17 H2CY18 CY18 CY19GrossSales 3883.7 3617 4159.55 8043.25 9249.74NPMargin 5% 5%NP 402.16 462.49NP*(P/E) 10858.32 12487.23PriceperShare

Rs286.95 Rs330

STEPS FOR VALUATION

• Wealreadyhave6monthssales(H1CY18)soweexpectthatgrosssaleswillgrowby15%in2ndhalfof2018(H2CY18)frompreviousyear(H2CY17).

• So,wegetRs4159.55Crsexpectgrosssalesinsecondhalfof2018,ifweaddfirstandsecondhalfof2018grosssaleswegettotalsalesthatisRs8043.25Crs. WeusegrosssalesofCY18,expect15%growthinCY19andwegetRs9249.74Crs.

Page 26: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

• NetProfitMarginis5.38%,weexpectittobe5%,soexpectedNetprofitforCY18is

Rs402.16CrsandforCY19isRs462Crs. • MultiplyingNetprofitwithP/E(assumingP/Etobe27)isequaltoMarketCap,hencewe

findPriceofshareasRs286.96for2018andRs329.99in2019. (inRsCrs) VALUEOFSTAKE5%Stake 480100% 9600TotalMarketCap 9600NoofEquityShares 37.84Pricepershare 253.7STEPS OF VALUATION

• CIEAutomotiveacquiredanadditional5%inMahindraCIEAutomotiveLtdfromMahindraandMahindraon29thJune2018foranamountofapproximately60MillionEuros.

• Valueof5%stakeisRs480Crs,sototalvalueofcompanyisRs9600Crs,whichisthetotalMarketCapsowegetpricepershareofRs253.7.(1Euro=Rs80ason29thJune2018)

Page 27: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

CONCLUSION Mahindra CIE is growing in last 4 years after its global alliance between Mahindra and CIEAutomotive.MCIEsalesisincreasingatCAGRof36.02%,EBITDAatCAGRof90.06%andoperatingprofit at CAGR of 95.65%. PAT and EBITwere negative in 2014 butwithin 3 years it is able torecoverpositiveprofitnumbers.InspiteMCIEshowingstrongquantitativegrowthstillit’sariskycompanybecauseMFEAG(oneofitssubsidiary)hasbeenissuedLetterofAwarenessvalidtillMarch’2020thatisfinancialsupportfromCIEAutometal S.A. Europe growth is highest dependent onMetalcastello and India growthfromBill forge(acquired in2016).Europe isgrowingmarket forelectricandhybridvehiclesbutMCIE isgoingto taketimetoupgrade its technologysountil then itmight loosemarketshare inEurope. MCIE is not updated with changes in technology happening in industry. Out of 14subsidiary, 2 are dormant companies, majority of them have not achieved standard set by CIEAutometal(Spain),itsgoingtotaketimeforsomesubsidiarywherethereishugepreviousloss.MCIE is planning inorganic growth in India which will make business more into merger andacquisition rather thenworking on efficiency and technology. Firstly,MCIEhas to reach balancelevelofcontinuousefficiencyandgrowth,diversifiesitscustomersandfocusmoreonperformancethenexpansion.

Page 28: MAHINDRA CIE 27TH AUG’18 · • It is in 3 strategic areas (a) Automotive components (Aluminum, stamping, plastic, casting, machining ... , the company faced lot of competition

DISCLAIMER I am not a SEBI registered Research Analyst. No recommendations are given for the companydiscussed in the report.Anyvaluationdiscussed in the report is solely for informational reasonsandnot tobetakenasan investmentrecommendation. Idonotholdanysharesof thecompany,neitheramIabeneficiarytoanyofthesharesofthecompany.Authoredby:RIVAPATELResearchHead:TEJASJARIWALASources:AnnualReportsConferenceCallInvestorPresentationAceAnalyserandAceEquityIndiaBrandEquityFoundation(IBEF)


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