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Maximizing the 3G Market:Perspectives on Spectrum Administration and Evolution to 3G
William BoldQUALCOMM Incorporated
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> Main Points
1. Market for data will emerge, but When? How? Where?- Evolution of existing networks minimizes risk
2. Voice + High Data Rates = CDMA- CDMA 3G coming very soon with 1X MC
3. Policies should support evolution & 3G in multiple bands- Maximize competition & spectral efficiency
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QCOMDigital Media& Government
Wireless Systems
CDMA Technologies
TechnologyLicensing
New Product Development
QUALCOMM leverages its leadership position in CDMA technology in each of its businesses
> C D G - B A N G K O K > 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 > E N A B L E D B Y C D M A
Internet Access Device Migration
Source: IDC, Dataquest, Sonera, Qualcomm
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PCsOther Internet Capable Devices Internet Capable Mobile Subscribers
PCsOther Internet Capable Devices Internet Capable Mobile Subscribers
1998 2000
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Source: Dataquest, "Changing Traffic Patterns: Data vs. Voice" May 24, 1999
In 2000, wireline data traffic begins to exceed voice.
Is there a Data Market?
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Source: Prudential Volpe
CDMA Will Dominate Well Into the 21st Century
1999
2005
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1.8 Billion Subscribers
465 Million Subscribers
Digital StandardsMarket Share 1999-2005
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89 90 93 95 96 97 98 99
* According to CDG
CDMACellularConcept
OmniTRACS goes
international
San DiegoCDMA
demonstrationNov. 89
CDMA IS-95standardissued
Korea selectsCDMA
Commercial CDMA launched in
So. Korea
PCS PrimeCoturns up nation-
wide PCS servicein 14 cities
Commercial systems in
100 U.S. cities
Japan selectsCDMA
50 millionsubscribers
83 operators,35 nations*
More than 75companies
licensed to build and sell
IS-95products
U.S. PCS standard issued
First commercialCDMA system
in Hong Kong usingQUALCOMM phones
CDMA subscribers reach over 12.5
million in 30 countries on 5 continents*
CDMA: A Decade of Success
Sprint PCSselects CDMA for nationwide
network
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Source: CDMA Development Group
Over 50 million SubscribersAs of Dec. 1999
Note: prior to March 1998 the Caribbean and Mexico are included in North America; after March 1998 they are included in Caribbean & Latin America
> CDMA Subscriber Growth History: March 1998 through December 1999
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IMT-2000 Standards Compendium
1X 3X
FDDDirect Spread
FDDMulti-carrier
TDD Mode TDMA Single Carrier
TDMAMulti Carrier
CDMA 1.9 IS-136 1.9
GSM 1.8
Migration to IMT-2000 in Existing Spectrum
Stranded at 2 or 2.5G w/o CDMA overlay
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MSM Roadmap
MSM3000- Low power- ARM7 uP- 76 / 86 kbps fwd
MSM3100- Mixed Signal Chip- Int Tx I,Q DACs- Int Voice Codec- Int USB data
MSM2300- 186 uP
MSM2310- Int EVRC,RAM
MSM3300- Int Pos Loc- Int Bluetooth- MP3, MIDI
Ringer, MMC
Q3’97 Q1’98 Q3’98 Q3’99 Q1’00 Q4’00 Q2’01
Engineering Sample Dates
iMSM4100- SmartPhone Chip- Dual CPU- 3rd Party OS
….Core Product Line
….New Applications
….New Standards
iMSM4000- Integrated Memory
iMSM4000- Integrated Memory
iMSM4500- HDR Trial Chip
MSM5000- IMT-2000 1XMC- 153 kbps- Up to 2X Voice Cap.
IMT-2000Multi-mode
iMSM5500- HDR- IMT-2000 1xMC +IS-95A/B
CDMA/GSMMulti-mode
MSM5200- IMT-2000 DS
3rd Gen 4th Gen 5th Gen 6th Gen
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CSMRoadmap
Multi-chip solution- CSM Modulation- CSM Demod- Viterbi Decoder
1991 1994 1997 1998 Q1 ‘00 Engineering Sample Dates
CSM2000- 8 Channel- IS95A/B- CSM1.5 Compatible
CSM 1.0- IS95A/B- Integrated Solution- Adds 14.4 kbps- Improved Rcvr
CSM 1.5Size, Cost and- Power Reduction
CSM5000- IMT-2000 1xMC- 307.2 kbps- 30+ Users
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World’s first solution for 3G CDMA 1x Multi-Carrier products
MSM5000™ Data rates of 153.6 kbps on both the forward and reverse links
Increase in handset standby time of up to 50%
Doubling of overall capacity of voice users
Pin-compatible with MSM3000
Development near completion and now sampled to customers
CSM5000™Data rates of 307.2 kbps on both the forward and reverse links
Supports up to 32 simultaneous users on a single chip, a four-fold increase over the previous generation CSM
Doubling of overall capacity of voice users
3G: MSM5000 and CSM5000
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2000 2001 2002 2003 2004Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Wide Area Wireless Data - Peak Data Rates
IS-95Bcdma2000 1XRTT
GSM GPRS Technologies
EDGE - Classic
LimitedDeployment
GeneralDeployment
19.2 Rx/9.6 Tx
38.4 Rx/9.6 Tx
57.6 Kbps
EDGE - Compact
153 kbps(1X RTT)
307 kbps(1X RTT)
90 kbps 120 kbps
157 kbps 250 kbps
86 kbps(IS-95B)
WIRELESS DATA ROADMAP
Source: Seybold Group, Qualcomm
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IMT-2000 Spectrum Allocations - No “Global Band”
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150 2200
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150 2200
Europe
Japan
The Americas
IMT2000GSM 1800 DECT MSS
1880 MHz 1980 MHz
MSS
MSSIMT2000PHS
IMT-2000
MSS
MSSReserved
MSSIMT 2000
2160 MHz1893.5 MHz
1919.6 MHz
2170 MHz1920 MHz
IMT2000
Korea IMT-2000 IMT2000 IMT2000
Legend:
Supports IMT-2000
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Technology Decisions Still Pending @ IMT-2000
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150
Europe
Japan
The Americas
IMT2000GSM 1800 DECT MSS
1880 MHz 1980 MHz
MSS
MSSIMT2000PHS
IMT-2000
MSS
MSSReserved
MSSIMT 2000
2160 MHz
1893.5 MHz
1919.6 MHz
2170 MHz1920 MHz
IMT2000
Legacy spectrum; eventually re-
farmed per CEPTGSM, 1x/3x MC or
European DS-CDMA, EDGE????
1x/3x MC, EDGE? Japanese DS, 1x/3x MC
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ITU Explicitly Supports In-Band
Evolution from PCS to
IMT-2000
S5.388 The bands 1885-2025 MHz and 2110-2200 MHz are intended for use, on a worldwide basis, by administrations wishing to implement International Mobile Telecommunications-2000 (IMT2000). Such use does not preclude the use of these bands by other services to which they are allocated. The bands should be made available for IMT-2000 in accordance with Resolution 212 (Rev. WRC-97).
WARC 92 has earmarked the spectrum for IMT-2000
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Identification of Additional Spectrum for IMT-2000
Bands identified for terrestrial component of advanced communicationsapplications by region:
APTAPT CEPT CEPT CITEL CITEL United States United States 806-960 862-960* 1710-1885 698 - 960 1710-1885 1710-1885* 1710 - 1885 2520-2670 2520-2670 2520 - 2670
2700-2900**
* for longer-term ** for study for future identification
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3G From Different Paths
450 MHz NMT analog spectrum that is being digitizedAllocations less than 5 MHz - only 1X/3X MC can be used
800 MHz1X MC will be trialed and deployed (Bell Atlantic, Telstra, etc)
1800 MHz CDMA 1X MC overlays in existing GSM spectrum
1900 MHzCDMA networks migrate to 1X/3X (WorldCom, others)
2 GHz - ITU spectrumGreenfield spectrum Carriers will choose from: DS, 1X/3X MC, EDGE
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GSM 900 (~70 MHz) CDMA 800 (~70 MHz)
GSM 1800 (~150 MHz) CDMA 1900 (~120 MHz)
DS-CDMA 2 GHz (155 MHz)
DCS/UMTS PCS
Extension Bands (~160 MHz)
Extension Bands (~160 MHz)
Systems rolled out 2003-4
1.8 available in EU 2010?
~315 MHz ~350 MHz
Migration to 2.5G Only w/o CDMA overlay
Available for 3G in Near
Term!!
CDMA, PCS Maximize 3G Spectrum - Technology Matters
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GSM 900 (~70 MHz)
GSM 1800 (~150 MHz)
DS-CDMA 2 GHz (155 MHz)
Maximizing 3G Spectrum &
Competition in DCS/UMTS
MarketsExtension Bands (~160
MHz)
NMT 450 (~5 MHz) 1X MC 450
1X MC 900
1X MC 900
Different Allocations2x5 MHz
2x15 MHz2x10 MHz
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CDMA 450 Opportunity
>Existing analog-only (NMT 450) operators losing business to GSM
Approximately 1.8 million NMT subscribers active
CDMA 450 could turn presently underutilized and undervalued spectrum into cost-effective competition for GSM
CDMA provides a seamless path to 1x and 3x
Milestone Events:10/99 450 MOU adopts CDMA09/00 CDMA 450 demonstration planned
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AMPS
Overlay Strategy
Existing Cellular or PCS Spectrum - 10 MHz allocation
AMPS Network
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AMPS F1 F2 cdmaOne
Overlay Strategy
Clear Spectrum for cdmaOne
cdmaOne Overlay
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3G-CDMA1X
AMPS F1 F2cdmaOne
2001 UpgradeOverlay Strategy
Clear Spectrum for 3G-CDMA1X
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CDMA1X
AMPS F1 F2 F3 cdmaOne
CDMA 3XOverlay Strategy
Clear 3 cdmaOne channels to make room for 3X
2003 Upgrade
Note - handsets will support backward-compatible voice roaming using AMPS, cdmaOne channels
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CDMA
CDMA 1X
AMPS cdmaOne
CDMA 3X
Overlay Strategy Flexible Network Evolution
CDMA 1X
