May 27, 2014 Webinar: Macro RAN, Small Cells, and Backhaul Trends

1Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink

2014

Webinar: Macro RAN, Small Cells and Backhaul Trends

May 27, 2014

Earl LumPrincipal AnalystEJL Wiireless Research

Caroline Gabriel, Research DirectorMaravedis-Rethink

May 2014

Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014.

Welcome and housekeeping ◦ Adlane Fellah, Maravedis-Rethink (MaRe)

Key findings from latest RAN research ◦ Caroline Gabriel, Research Director, MaRe

Backhaul and RAN Trends◦ Earl Lum, Principal, EJL Wireless Research

Q&A

Agenda

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Customer Engagement Miami

Video & WiFiLondon


CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL

Adlane Fellah

Caroline Gabriel

Research DirectorLondon

Peter White

Claus Hetting

Earl Lum

Alina Pruner

Market ingOttawa

Luis Reyes

© Maravedis Inc.CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL

About us

Claus Hetting

Earl Lum

Alina Pruner

Luis Reyes

WiFiCopenhagen

MarketingOttawa

Regulation Mexico

PrincipalEJL Wireless

www.maravedis-bwa.com Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014.

May 2014


Global Digital PTP Radio Market Analysis and Forecast, 2014-2018, April 2014

Global Microcell Base Station Market Analysis and Forecast, 2014-2018, April 2014

Pace of NFV uptake accelerates, despite many risks, March 2014 SON is now critical to make LTE economics work, February 2014 Backhaul Regulatory Database, Updated Weekly The Network is Software Now: Adapting to the new mobile

economics 2013-2018, December 2013 Wireless Watch ongoing weekly reports

Recent Reports


May 2014


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10% off all orders VALID UNTIL JUNE 10,

2014 USE:

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CLIENT CONFIDENTIALCopyright © Maravedis-

Rethink 2013


8

Drivers for network density

May 2014



• Massive increase in data traffic• Limited ability to cope with traditional models

• Spectral efficiency

• Higher bandwidth• Combined with cost pressures• Critical to reduce radiated power – battery life, not coverage, limits usage

Investment in capacity required, vs incremental revenue generatedSource: MaRe RAN Service report

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 20180

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Capacity investments Data revenues

$bn


Rethink 2013


9

Many tools are needed for density

May 2014

Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014


• Operators will use many tools to achieve capacity

• Dense in several layers

• Small cells• Massive MIMO• New DAS• Cloud-RAN

New technology % required capacity increase Y1

% required TCO decrease Y1

% required capacity increase Y4

% required TCO decrease Y4

LTE upgrade 17% 14% 4% 4%

Wi-Fi offload 16% 20% 9% 13%

Public access small cells

14% 18% 24% 23%

Deconstructed RAN (RRH and distributed antennas)

11% 17% 13% 17%

New or refarmed spectrum and carrier aggregation

17% 9% 16% 12%

SuperMacro/LTE-A eg MIMO, CoMP

14% 10% 18% 15%

Adaptive networking/SON

11% 12% 16% 16%


Rethink 2013


10

Complexity of multilayer HetNet

May 2014



• MIMO and small cells need each other• Distributed architectures• Virtualization

C-RANPhantom Cell

• SuperMacroMassive MIMO+ CA3D beamformingCoMP

• Small cell layereICIC, MSA

• Some operators are ‘macro-first’, but many advances look forward to multilayer

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 20180

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

C-RAN Distributed RAN TraditionalSuper Macro Small cells

unit

s

Deployments of different types of RAN equipmentSource: MaRe RAN Service report


Rethink 2013


11

Enablers and next steps

May 2014



• Next gen SON• True plug and play

• Next gen interference management• Flexible cells

Dynamic coordinationpCellCognitive radioAd hoc viral networksOpportunistic cells

• Multiflow• Indoor out, 4G homespots• WiFi and WiGig• Partners eg utilities

Premier network priority (% of carriers)Source: MaRe Cloud-Ran report

2014 2015 2016 2017 20180

10

20

30

40

50

60

Super MacroMetrocellsIntegrated WiFiVirtualized coreSimple' LTE

© 2014 EJL Wireless Research All Rights Reserved

A Leading Provider of ProprietaryValue Added Wireless Infrastructure

Research

Proprietary & Confidential© 2014 EJL Wireless Research

All Rights Reserved

Macro BTS 2013 Review/Trends

BTS Shipments grew 24% Huawei Technologies #1 supplier LTE > 50% of overall market LTE choppy through 2016 and then declining TD-LTE strong through 2015 and the declining 5G R&D test beds created in 2014 and ramping through 2018


All Rights Reserved

Small Cell Definitions

Femtocell - Subscriber Provisioned, Residential, <50mW, 4-6 users Enterprise Femtocell - Carrier Provisioned, 100-250mW, 16-32 users Picocell - Carrier Provisioned, 1-2W, 64-128 users Microcell - Carrier Provisioned, 5-10W, 256-512 users


All Rights Reserved

Indoor Coverage/Capacity Business Case Decision Tree

SingleOperator

MultiOperator

In-Building

EnterpriseFemtocell/

Picocell

DistributedAntennaSystem

Bldg Size<50k Sq.Ft.

Bldg Size>50k Sq. Ft.


All Rights Reserved

Small Cell Trends

Indoor Indoor battleground between Enterprise Femto/Picocells vs. DAS Continued small deployments of picocell solutions for indoor

Outdoor Initial microcell deployments Continued field trials for wireless backhaul technologies


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PTP Radio 2013 Review/Trends

#1 PTP Radio Supplier-Ericsson Market declined by 12% in shipment volumes from 2012 Mobile backhaul comprises 80% of total shipments 5Gb/10Gb radios to be introduced within next 3-5 years Small cells will have positive impact to PTP radio shipments Shipments to remain range bound over next 5 years

Don’t miss Avren’s forthcoming

Small Cells World SummitCo-located with the

Small Cells Backhaul Summit and NEW Carrier Wi-Fi World Summit

In Exclusive Partnership with the Small Cells Forum10-12 June 2014, ExCeL, London

Find out more at

www.smallcellsworldsummit.com

May 2014


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10% off all orders VALID UNTIL JUNE 10,

2014 USE:

WEBINARPROMO CODE AT CHECK OUT




2020

www.maravedis-bwa.com Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL

Contact Information

https://www.linkedin.com/company/maravedis

www.twitter.com/maravedis

MaravedisRethink

[email protected]

http://www.maravedis-bwa.com

(305) 865-1006

Adlane Fellah, Customer Engagement

http://www.slideshare.net/maravedis

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May 27, 2014 Webinar: Macro RAN, Small Cells, and Backhaul Trends

Technology