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Measuring volcanic plume and ash properties from space R. G. GRAINGER 1 *, D. M. PETERS 1 , G. E. THOMAS 1 , A. J. A. SMITH 1 , R. SIDDANS 2 , E. CARBONI 1 & A. DUDHIA 1 1 Sub-Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, University of Oxford, Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3PU, UK 2 Science and Technology Facilities Council Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Science and Innovation Campus, Didcot OX11 0QX, UK *Corresponding author (e-mail: [email protected]) Abstract: The remote sensing of volcanic ash plumes from space can provide a warning of an aviation hazard and knowledge on eruption processes and radiative effects. In this paper new algor- ithms are presented to provide volcanic plume properties from measurements by the Michelson Interferometer for Passive Atmospheric Sounding (MIPAS), the Advanced Along Track Scanning Radiometer (AATSR) and the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI). A chal- lenge of remote sensing is to provide near-real-time methods to identify, and so warn of, the pres- ence of volcanic ash. To achieve this, a singular vector decomposition method has been developed for the MIPAS instrument on board the Environmental Satellite. This method was applied to obser- vations of the ash clouds from the eruptions of Nabro and the Puyehue – Cordo ´ n Caulle in 2011 and led to a sensitive volcanic signal flag which was capable of tracking changes in the volcanic signal spectra as the plume evolved. A second challenge for remote sensing is to identify the ash plume height. This is a critical parameter for the initialization of algorithms that numerically model the evolution and transport of a volcanic plume. As MIPAS is a limb sounder, the identification of ash also provides an estimate of height provided the plume is above about 6 km. This is comple- mented by a new algorithm, Stereo Ash Plume Height Retrieval Algorithm, that identifies plume height using the parallax between images provided by Along Track Scanning Radiometer-type instruments. The algorithm was tested on an image taken at 14:01 GMT on 6 June 2011 of the Puyehue–Cordo ´n Caulle eruption plume and gave a height of 11.9 + 1.4 km, which agreed with the value derived from the location of the plume shadow (12.7 + 1.8 km). This plume height was similar to the height observed by MIPAS (12 + 1.5 km) at 02:56 GMT on 6 June. The quantitative use of satellite imagery and the full exploitation of high-resolution spectral measurements of ash depends upon knowing the optical properties of the observed ash. Laboratory measurements of ash from the 1993 eruption of Mt Aso, Japan have been used to determine the refractive indices from 1 to 20 mm. These preliminary measurements have spectral features similar to ash values that have been used to date, albeit with slightly different positions and strengths of the absorption bands. The refractive indices have been used to retrieve ash properties (plume height, optical depth and ash effective radius) from AATSR and SEVIRI instruments using two versions of Oxford-RAL Retrieval of Aerosol and Cloud (ORAC) algorithm. For AATSR a new ash cloud type was used in ORAC for the analysis of the plume from the 2011 Eyjafjallajo ¨kull eruption. For the first c. 500 km of the plume ORAC gave values for plume height of 2.5 – 6.5 km, optical depth 1 – 2.5 and effective radius 3 – 7 mm, which are in agreement with other observations. A weakness of the algorithm occurs when underlying cloud invalidates the assumption of a single cloud layer. This is rectified in a modified version of ORAC applied to SEVIRI measurements. In this case an extra model of a cloud underlying the ash plume was included in the range of applied models. In cases where the plume overlay cloud, this new model worked well, showing good agree- ment with correlative Cloud– Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization observations. Volcanic plumes formed by explosive eruptions are mixtures of gas, quenched and fragmented silicate material (tephra) and other aerosol particles derived from both the magmatic emissions and background air (e.g. Mather et al. 2003; Durant et al. 2010; Ilyinskaya et al. 2010; Oppenheimer et al. 2010). The particles created during a volcanic event are classified according to size with the smaller solid particles (radii ,2 mm) referred to as volcanic ash (Schmid 1981). The effects of air- borne ash include: Aviation: volcanic ash is a hazard to aviation (Casadevall 1994). Before March 2010 the Civil Aviation Authority did not permit civil air- craft to fly in the presence of volcanic ash. From:Pyle, D. M., Mather, T. A. & Biggs, J. (eds) Remote Sensing of Volcanoes and Volcanic Processes: Integrating Observation and Modelling. Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 380, http://dx.doi.org/10.1144/SP380.7 # The Geological Society of London 2013. Publishing disclaimer: www.geolsoc.org.uk/pub_ethics at Oxford University on July 9, 2013 http://sp.lyellcollection.org/ Downloaded from
Transcript
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Measuring volcanic plume and ash properties from space

R. G. GRAINGER1*, D. M. PETERS1, G. E. THOMAS1,

A. J. A. SMITH1, R. SIDDANS2, E. CARBONI1 & A. DUDHIA1

1Sub-Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics,

University of Oxford, Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3PU, UK2Science and Technology Facilities Council Rutherford Appleton Laboratory,

Harwell Science and Innovation Campus, Didcot OX11 0QX, UK

*Corresponding author (e-mail: [email protected])

Abstract: The remote sensing of volcanic ash plumes from space can provide a warning of anaviation hazard and knowledge on eruption processes and radiative effects. In this paper new algor-ithms are presented to provide volcanic plume properties from measurements by the MichelsonInterferometer for Passive Atmospheric Sounding (MIPAS), the Advanced Along Track ScanningRadiometer (AATSR) and the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI). A chal-lenge of remote sensing is to provide near-real-time methods to identify, and so warn of, the pres-ence of volcanic ash. To achieve this, a singular vector decomposition method has been developedfor the MIPAS instrument on board the Environmental Satellite. This method was applied to obser-vations of the ash clouds from the eruptions of Nabro and the Puyehue–Cordon Caulle in 2011 andled to a sensitive volcanic signal flag which was capable of tracking changes in the volcanic signalspectra as the plume evolved. A second challenge for remote sensing is to identify the ash plumeheight. This is a critical parameter for the initialization of algorithms that numerically model theevolution and transport of a volcanic plume. As MIPAS is a limb sounder, the identification ofash also provides an estimate of height provided the plume is above about 6 km. This is comple-mented by a new algorithm, Stereo Ash Plume Height Retrieval Algorithm, that identifies plumeheight using the parallax between images provided by Along Track Scanning Radiometer-typeinstruments. The algorithm was tested on an image taken at 14:01 GMT on 6 June 2011 of thePuyehue–Cordon Caulle eruption plume and gave a height of 11.9 + 1.4 km, which agreedwith the value derived from the location of the plume shadow (12.7 + 1.8 km). This plumeheight was similar to the height observed by MIPAS (12 + 1.5 km) at 02:56 GMT on 6 June.The quantitative use of satellite imagery and the full exploitation of high-resolution spectralmeasurements of ash depends upon knowing the optical properties of the observed ash. Laboratorymeasurements of ash from the 1993 eruption of Mt Aso, Japan have been used to determine therefractive indices from 1 to 20 mm. These preliminary measurements have spectral featuressimilar to ash values that have been used to date, albeit with slightly different positions andstrengths of the absorption bands. The refractive indices have been used to retrieve ash properties(plume height, optical depth and ash effective radius) from AATSR and SEVIRI instruments usingtwo versions of Oxford-RAL Retrieval of Aerosol and Cloud (ORAC) algorithm. For AATSR anew ash cloud type was used in ORAC for the analysis of the plume from the 2011 Eyjafjallajokulleruption. For the first c. 500 km of the plume ORAC gave values for plume height of 2.5–6.5 km,optical depth 1–2.5 and effective radius 3–7 mm, which are in agreement with other observations.A weakness of the algorithm occurs when underlying cloud invalidates the assumption of a singlecloud layer. This is rectified in a modified version of ORAC applied to SEVIRI measurements. Inthis case an extra model of a cloud underlying the ash plume was included in the range of appliedmodels. In cases where the plume overlay cloud, this new model worked well, showing good agree-ment with correlative Cloud–Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization observations.

Volcanic plumes formed by explosive eruptions aremixtures of gas, quenched and fragmented silicatematerial (tephra) and other aerosol particlesderived from both the magmatic emissions andbackground air (e.g. Mather et al. 2003; Durantet al. 2010; Ilyinskaya et al. 2010; Oppenheimeret al. 2010). The particles created during a volcanicevent are classified according to size with the

smaller solid particles (radii ,2 mm) referred toas volcanic ash (Schmid 1981). The effects of air-borne ash include:

† Aviation: volcanic ash is a hazard to aviation(Casadevall 1994). Before March 2010 theCivil Aviation Authority did not permit civil air-craft to fly in the presence of volcanic ash.

From: Pyle, D. M., Mather, T. A. & Biggs, J. (eds) Remote Sensing of Volcanoes and Volcanic Processes:Integrating Observation and Modelling. Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 380,http://dx.doi.org/10.1144/SP380.7 # The Geological Society of London 2013. Publishing disclaimer:www.geolsoc.org.uk/pub_ethics

at Oxford University on July 9, 2013http://sp.lyellcollection.org/Downloaded from

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Following the 2010 Eyjafjallajokull eruption thiszero-tolerance approach was changed to permitflights within ash concentrations less than2 × 1023 g cm23 (CAA 2010).

† Climate: injection of volcanic ash into the strato-sphere and troposphere influences the Earth’sradiation balance by interacting with both solarand thermal radiation as a function of the ash’soptical properties (Solomon et al. 2007). In thetroposphere, volcanic aerosols indirectly modifyclimate by acting as cloud condensation nuclei.This happens over the range of volcanic activ-ity from quiescent degassing (Yuan et al. 2011)to large volcanic eruption plumes.

† Human health: high levels of respirable ash (par-ticle radius ,5 mm) in the air are not yet knownto result in serious injury or disease from inhala-tion (Horwell & Baxter 2006). However, acuterespiratory symptoms are commonly reportedby people during and after ash falls (Blong1984).

Heavy ash fall may result in the collapse of roofsunder the weight of ash and this can be deadly forpeople within buildings. The deposition of volcanicash can increase trace metal (iron) concentrationsin the local environment, especially followingexplosive eruptions (Martin et al. 2009). If depo-sition occurs in the ocean, this can increase the pro-ductivity of phytoplankton in areas with limitednutrients (Jones & Gislason 2008; Gabrielli et al.2008).

Changes in style of activity are common dur-ing eruptions, with explosive eruptions being par-ticularly favoured by high (magmatic) gas contentand high melt viscosity (andesitic to rhyolitic mag-mas), or by the presence of external water (e.g.Sheridan & Wohletz 1983; Scandone et al. 2007).Component and morphological analyses of theerupted ash and comparison of these data withthose from other monitoring techniques demon-strate a clear relationship between ash features andstyles of explosive activity (e.g. Heiken & Wohletz1985; Martin et al. 2008; Rust & Cashman 2011;Taddeucci et al. 2004).

Remotely sensed ash properties could potentiallybe used

† to warn of an aviation hazard;† to act as the basis of a quantitative estimate of

– ash fall out,– volcanic perturbation of the radiative field, and– climate perturbations;

† to investigate the interactions between ashand the biosphere (e.g. cloud seeding, oceanfertilization);

† to quantify volcanic process involved with ashgeneration and plume evolution.

Volcanic cloud properties

The characterization of a volcanic cloud can bebroken into two scales:

† plume macrophysical properties, principallyplume morphology, which is usually simplydescribed by plume altitude and thickness;

† plume microphysical properties, which charac-terize the ash properties through quantities suchas ash shape, size and composition.

Plume height

For Plinian eruptions plume height is determinedby the rate and intensity of the magma discharge,the density of erupted material and the temperaturedifference of the plume with the surrounding air(Sparks 1986). The eruption column typically over-shoots the height of neutral buoyancy and relaxesback to form a layer of material whose thicknessis typically a few kilometres for a troposphericeruption. Sparks et al. (1986) observed that cloudthickness is driven by the size of this overshoot;the ratio of umbrella cloud thickness to the maxi-mum height of momentum driven ascent is typically0.25–0.3. While atmospheric diffusion and sedi-mentation will tend to thicken the plume over time,the variation of wind with height can shear theplume into thin layers. For example lidar observa-tions of plumes from the 2010 Eyjafjallajokull erup-tion gave layer thicknesses less than 1 km (Sicardet al. 2011). Although models can calculate the dis-persion of ash (Witham et al. 2007), their accuracydepends critically on source parameters, in parti-cular the eruption column height (Stohl et al. 2011).

Ash particle size and shape

Figure 1 shows an SEM image of volcanic ash col-lected from the 1993 eruption of Mt Aso, Japan. Theash particles cover a wide ranges of sizes anddisplay shapes from the near-spherical to highlycomplex angular shapes. In general, volcanic ashparticle size distributions tend to be multimodalwith the size, shape and composition being a func-tion of the processes of formation. The majority ofparticles range from nanometres to millimetres insize (Heiken & Wohletz 1985). The volcanic ashparticles within a plume can include:

† volcanic glass formed from fragments of themolten part of magma that cooled and solidifiedduring eruption;

† minerals or crystals that grow within the magmawhile it is below the Earth’s surface;

† rock fragments from the walls of the magmaconduit;

† particles formed from the condensation ofvolcanic gases.

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Hence the composition, grain-size and mor-phology of volcanic ash particles contain importantinformation about the processes of magma ascentand fragmentation in volcanic eruptions (e.g.Heiken & Wohletz 1985; Rust & Cashman 2011).Further process alter the particle properties such as

† adsorption of species into the particle surface;† fragmentation by the explosive expansion of

volcanic gases;† coagulation of particles;† condensation of gases (e.g. water or sulphuric

acid) to coat the particle; and† sedimentation.

The size and shape of ash particles are also criticalin influencing the transport of ash through the atmo-sphere. In the absence of coagulation and verticalwinds, the process that determines the maximumlife-time of a particle is sedimentation. Figure 2shows the calculated fallout time for spherical par-ticles as a function of particle size and initialheight. It is suggested that the non-sphericity ofash particles further slows their fallout (Rileyet al. 2003). Given this caveat it is apparent thatparticles whose radii are greater than about 15 mmare removed from the plume within the first dayfollowing the eruption. Very fine ash (radii less thanc. 1 mm) is predicted to exist in the atmosphere forover a year, but this is contradicted by observationsthat suggest very fine ash falls out faster than fluiddynamics predicts (Rose & Durant 2009). Furtherwork is required to understand this anomaly.

Preliminary measurements of

ash optical properties

An irony of remote sensing is that often propertiesof the target need to be known to make full use ofthe remote measurement. In the case of gaseousspecies this is the molecular spectroscopy of thetarget gas. For aerosol or cloud, a priori informationis needed on the complex refractive index, and to alesser extent on the size and shape of the particles.For volcanic ash, a difficulty is that these assumedproperties are likely to change during an eruption.The fewer a priori assumptions that are madeabout the target, the lower is the chance of makingspurious deductions caused by variations in a quan-tity assumed constant.

Existing measurements of volcanic ash refrac-tive indices, as listed in Table 1, are extremely lim-ited. There are a few more published refractiveindices of volcanic material (e.g. basalt, Pollacket al. 1973; Egan et al. 1975; andesite, Pollack et al.1973; Egan et al. 1975; pumice, Volz 1973; obsid-ian, Pollack et al. 1973; granite, Toon et al. 1977);these should in principle show similar spectralsignatures to the ash. In order to exploit new instru-ments such as high-resolution spectrometers, refer-ence refractive indices are needed for a range ofashes and their mineral and rock components.

Transmission measurements

Reported here are preliminary refractive indicesderived from transmission spectra of resuspendedvolcanic ash. Figure 3 outlines the basic configura-tion of the experiments undertaken. A sample ofash from the 1993 eruption of Mt Aso was col-lected from a bomb shelter, where 1–2 m of ashhad accumulated. Data on the composition of theash will be addressed in future studies. For con-text, the composition of the 1989 Aso eruptionscoria is reported by Ono et al. (1995) as SiO2 ¼54.71 wt%, Na2O ¼ 3.01 wt%, K2O ¼ 2.00 wt%.The ash sample was sieved to ,22.5 mm and thisfraction was resuspended and introduced into anaerosol test cell. The aerosol cell has optical win-dows fitted, allowing the aerosol transmission tobe measured via a Fourier transform spectrometer(FTS). The aerosol size distribution was determinedusing techniques insensitive to particle refractiveindex and the aerosol vented into a fume cupboard.

All of the measurements were undertaken at theMolecular Spectroscopy Facility at the RutherfordAppleton Laboratory. The aerosol cell used had anoptical path-length of 26 cm. Spectral intensitymeasurements were made using a Bruker IFS-66FTS. Measurements of the detected spectrum wereobtained with and without the aerosol to calculatethe transmission spectrum, T(l). A correction was

Fig. 1. SEM micrograph of sieved (radius ,22.5 mm)ash from the 1993 eruptions of Mt Aso, Japan. Thissample was collected from a bomb-shelter where 1–2 mof ash had accumulated.

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made to the transmission spectrum to remove waterand carbon-dioxide gas absorption lines; this wasachieved via a separate retrieval of these gasspecies’ concentrations.

Data analysis and results

The refractive indices were determined from thetransmission spectrum. Aerosol cell transmissionrelates to the physical properties of the aerosol viaBouguer’s Law:

T(l) = e−bext(l)x, (1)

where T(l) is the transmission, bext the volumeextinction coefficient at wavelength l, and x thepath-length though the test cell. Assuming a parti-cle scattering model (Mie theory or T-matrix todeal with non-spherical particles) and knowingthe particle size distribution allows the extinction

coefficient to be calculated from

bext =∫1

0

Qext(r,m(l), l)pr2n(r) dr, (2)

where Qext is the extinction efficiency, r is theparticle radius, m the complex refractive indexand n(r) dr is the number of particles with radiibetween r and r + dr.

The complex refractive index wavelengthdependence m(l) is represented by a damped har-monic oscillator model to reduce the number ofmodel parameters to less than the number ofmeasured spectral points. Optimal estimation isthen used to derive the band model parameters(and hence refractive index) and aerosol size distri-bution. The method has been described in detail byThomas et al. (2005).

The derived refractive index of Aso ash is shownin Figure 4. The refractive index is dominated by

0.1 1.0 10.0 100.0Particle radius (μm)

0

10

20

30

Alti

tude

(km

)

1 ho

ur

1 da

y

1 da

y1

wee

k

1 wee

k

1 ye

ar

1 ye

ar

Fig. 2. Fallout time calculated for spherical particles (density of 2.4 g cm23) as a function of particle radius andinjection height based on the US Standard Atmosphere 1976 (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administrationet al. 1976).

Table 1. Existing measurements of volcanic ash spectral complex refractive indices (m ¼ n + ik)

Ash sample Refractive indexcomponent

Spectralrange (mm)

Reference

Mt Spur n and k 0.34, 0.36, 0.38 Krotkov et al. (1999)Mt St Helens k only 0.3–0.7 Patterson (1981)Mayon k only 1–16 Patterson (1994)El Chichon k only 0.3–0.7 Patterson et al. (1983)

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a broad absorption band situated at about 9.5 mmwhich can be associated with the stretching vibra-tion of Si–O. The much weaker and narrowerband at about 3 mm is probably from O–H stretch.These are preliminary results; data at wavelengthsshorter than 1 m (not plotted) are a forward modelextrapolation and should be used with caution.

Identifying volcanic ash

A volcanic plume perturbs the Earth’s radiation fieldby scattering and absorbing radiation and by emit-ting radiation in the infrared. In the shortwave theparticle size and refractive index mean that a volca-nic plume resembles a cloud from which it may onlybe distinguishable by the cloud’s morphology.The infrared (IR) transmission or emission spectraof volcanic plumes show a rapid variation with

wavelength owing to absorption lines from atmos-pheric and volcanic gases, as well as broad-scalefeatures principally owing to particulate absorptionor emission. While the gas lines have providedimportant insights into volcanic processes (Burtonet al. 2001, 2003; Oppenheimer et al. 2006;Edmonds et al. 2003; Sawyer et al. 2008), the ashfeatures have not been analysed to the sameextent. In the infrared, ash is detectable by its dis-tinctive emission spectra. This is shown inFigure 5, where the similar amounts of material ofthe same size are shown to have distinct emissionspectra. The spectra are presented in terms ofoptical depth t defined for a plume of thickness L as

t =∫L

0

bext dz, (3)

Fig. 3. Simplified diagram of experimental configuration.

2 4 6 8 10 12 14Wavelength (μm)

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Rea

l par

t

BasaltAndesiteObsidianVolcanic pumiceAso ash

2 4 6 8 10 12 14Wavelength (μm)

0.001

0.010

0.100

1.000

10.000

Imag

inar

y pa

rt

Fig. 4. Real and imaginary refractive index components determined from an Aso ash sample. The refractive indicesof basalt, andesite, obsidian (Pollack et al. 1973) and volcanic pumice (Volz 1973) are also shown.

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while the ash size distribution is characterized by theeffective radius re defined by

re =

∫1

0

r3 n(r) dr

∫1

0

r2 n(r) dr

. (4)

Volcanic aerosol is assumed to conform to alog–normal distribution described by

n(r) = N0����2p

√ 1

ln(S)1

rexp −(ln r − ln rm)2

2 ln2(S)

[ ], (5)

where N0 is the total particle number density, rm isthe median of the size distribution and S is a par-ameter than controls the spread of the size distri-bution. For a log–normal distribution rm and re

are related by

re = rm exp5

2ln2 S

( ).

Figure 5 shows that, between about 10 and12 mm, the optical thickness of ash and sulphuricacid decreases whereas water or ice increases. Mea-surement channels centred near 11 and 12 mm arecommon on meteorological imaging instruments andhave been widely exploited to study volcanic ashclouds. Examples are listed in Table 2. These instru-ments generally report brightness temperatures T11,

T12 at these two wavelengths rather than a radiance.The magnitude of the brightness temperature differ-ence has been shown to be a function of the ash size(Prata 1989a; Wen & Rose 1994).

While a powerful and useful tool, there are caseswhere the technique is not robust (Prata et al. 2001).They include:

(1) strong temperature inversions near the sur-face, which can result in a negative T11–T12

in clear sky conditions;(2) dry soil, for example deserts or wind blown

dust, which is also often characterized by anegative T11–T12, for the same reasons as vol-canic ash;

(3) cloud tops that overshoot the tropopause,which can also show a negative T11–T12

owing to the inversion of the temperature gra-dient in the stratosphere;

(4) very thick volcanic ash, ash mixed with ice(quite a common occurrence, since volca-noes generally emit large quantities of watervapour), or ash which lies below an airmasswith a high water vapour content;

(5) instrument noise or collocation errors betweenthe 11 and 12 mm channels.

Use of a 3.7 mm channel and information fromshortwave channels can alleviate this problem(Ellrod et al. 2003) as their dependence on the

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4O

ptic

al d

epth

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Wavelength (μm)

30000 3000Wavenumber (cm−1)

1400 1200 1000 800 600

10 15 20

AATSRSEVIRIMIPAS

−− Aso ash

−− Sulphuric acid

−− Water ice

−− Water

Fig. 5. Simulated optical thickness for a 100 m-thick plume consistingof a log–normal distribution (N0 ¼ 2 × 102 cm23,rm ¼ 1 mm, S ¼ 1.7) of spherical particles. The plume is assumed to consist of Aso ash (using the preliminaryrefractive indices), sulphuric acid (refractive indices from Luo et al. 1996), water ice (refractive indices from Warren &Brandt 2008) and water (refractive indices from Hale & Querry 1973). The black lines at the top of the plot indicate theAATSR and SEVIRI channels and the MIPAS spectral range.

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properties of volcanic ash differs from the 8–12 mmregion.

The ash signature depends on the compositionand size distribution of ash particles. Figure 6shows an example of different optical depths com-puted using the same size-distribution (with aneffective radius of 2 mm) and different refractiveindices. The published infrared spectral refractiveindices of volcano-related ash and rock show alarge variability, presumably because of changes

in the ash composition. This is reflected in the var-iability of infrared spectra measured from satellitesfor different volcanoes and eruptions (Clarisse et al.2010; Gangale et al. 2010).

Other volcanic products

In addition to ash volcanic eruption can releaselarge quantities of gas, the principle ones beingH2O, CO2, CO, SO2, H2S and HCl. Of these SO2

Table 2. Eruption quantified using the brightness temperature difference

Instrument Eruption re (mm) Reference

ATSR-2 Mt Ruapehu, 1996 3–5.1* Prata & Grant (2001)AVHRR Mt Galunggung, July 1982 Prata (1989a, b)AVHRR El Chichon, 1982 4–8 Rose et al. (2000)AVHRR Cerro Hudson, 1991 6–9 Rose et al. (2000)AVHRR Mt Spurr, August 1992 2.4–3.15 Wen & Rose (1994)AVHRR Mt Spurr, August 1992 0.5–6 Yu et al. (2002)AVHRR Mt Spurr, August 1992 Krotkov et al. (1999)AVHRR Mt Etna, November 2006 Spinetti et al. (2007)AVHRR Mt Etna, October 2002 Filizzola et al. (2007)GOES Montserrat, December 1997 0.6–6 Yu et al. (2002)MODIS Mt Etna, November 2006 1.6–3.3 Spinetti et al. (2007);

Corradini et al. (2008)

*Particle radii estimated from the reported mean radii by multiplying by 1.5; this is based on assuming alog–normal distribution with a spread of 1.5.

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

Opt

ical

dep

th

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Wavelength (μm)

30000 3000Wavenumber (cm−1)

1400 1200 1000 800 600

10 15 20

AATSRSEVIRIMIPAS

−− Basalt

−− Andesite

−− Obsidian

−− Volcanic pumice

−− Aso ash

Fig. 6. Optical depth as a function of wavenumber for a 100 m-thick ash plume consisting of a log–normal distribution(N0 ¼ 2 × 102 cm23, rm ¼ 1 mm, S ¼1.7) of spherical particles of different composition. The chosen size distributionand plume thickness gives a column loading of 3.7 g m22. Refractive index data is from Pollack et al. (1973) forbasaltic glass, andesite and obsidian, and from Volz (1973) for pumice. The Aso values used the refractive indices givenearlier. The black lines at the top of the plot indicate the AATSR and SEVIRI channels and the MIPAS spectral range.

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has been observed from space (e.g. Read et al. 1993;Walker et al. 2012) and its evolution tracked remo-tely. While there are several observations of ash andSO2 being collocated, this is not always true, themost famous example being the El Chichon 1982eruption when the ash and SO2 cloud were observedto be spatially separated (Seftor et al. 1997). Otherexamples include the Hekla 2000 eruption (Roseet al. 2003) and the Eyjafjallajokull eruption of2010 (Thomas & Prata 2011). The reason for thisis that the SO2 and ash had different altitudes ofneutral buoyancy within the eruption column andas a result were separated by wind shear. Hence,while SO2 may indicate the presence of ash, itshould not be used as a proxy for ash.

Remote sensing of volcanic plume

and ash properties

There are three distinct time regimes for remotesensing of volcanic ash:

† the identification of volcanic ash for hazardavoidance – in this case a fast (real time) algo-rithm is needed that recognizes ash with a low(less than once per year) false detection rate;

† the characterization of volcanic plume properties(e.g. altitude, erupted mass) in near real time for– plume model initialization and validation,– and to help quantify the immediate impact of

ash on the biosphere;

† a full and detailed characterization of volcanicash properties to help understand volcanic pro-cesses (both in the plume and potentiallywithin the volcano itself).

More than 20 different satellite instruments havebeen used to measure volcanogenic gases and/or particles. Earlier work is well summarized inOppenheimer (1998) and Francis & Rothery (2000)while Thomas & Watson (2010) provide infor-mation on more recent missions. Here we concen-trate on three instruments that have been relativelyunderexploited for volcanological studies.

MIPAS

The Michelson Interferometer for Passive Atmos-pheric Sounding (MIPAS) is a limb viewing Four-ier transform spectrometer measuring from 685to 2410 cm21 at a spectral resolution of 0.025cm21. MIPAS was launched in March 2002 on theEuropean Space Agency’s Environmental Satel-lite (ENVISAT). The ENVISAT spacecraft is in an800 km Sun-synchronous polar orbit with a nomi-nal repeat period of 35 days. In March 2004,MIPAS began experiencing irregular motion of thescanning mirrors. To rectify this problem, the

path-length over which the mirrors moved wasdecreased, reducing the resolution of the spectra to0.0625 cm21. The reduced resolution nominal scanpattern consists of 27 observations of the Earth’slimb with 1.5 km spacing in the lower atmosphere.A complete scanning profile, then, takes about65 s, resulting in over 1000 scans taken daily.There is nominally 330 km horizontally betweenthe first (highest) and last (lowest) sweeps in ascan with along-track horizontal spacing betweenscans of 410 km. The field-of-view is about 3 kmvertically and 30 km horizontally.

Although MIPAS has been used extensively todetermine atmospheric trace gas properties (e.g.Burgess et al. 2006; Payne et al. 2007) and toobserve clouds (e.g. Spang et al. 2005; Hurleyet al. 2011), to date there have been no reports ofMIPAS observations of volcanic ash.

Recognition of volcanic ash using singular

vector decomposition of MIPAS spectra

The Oxford MIPAS retrieval of clouds (Hurleyet al. 2011) uses the continuum radiance from anarrow band of wavenumber ranges between 930and 965 cm21 to retrieve a cloud effective fractiondefined as the fraction of the field-of-view that iscovered by optically thick cloud. This is used tofind the highest MIPAS scan altitude at whichcloud is present. The cloud top height, cloud extinc-tion and cloud top temperature are retrieved usingthe cloud effective fraction and the continuumradiances from the scan above, at and below thefield-of-view at which the cloud top is found.However this approach does not determine cloudtype. Extinction, cloud height and cloud top tem-perature are retrieved, but any significant particulateplume can also show up in the retrievals, since theprocess identifies cases where the field-of-view isnot clear. The retrieval of volcanic plumes is not aproblem per se. These do have legitimate height,extinction and temperature, but it is useful toknow when the cloud is composed of volcanic ash,as opposed to water or ice.

Plumes can be flagged roughly by inspectingthe ratio of radiances from different areas of theMIPAS continuum. For ash it was found that anappropriate flag was:

R(800−830 cm−1)R(935−960 cm−1)

, 1.3, (6)

where R is the mean continuum radiance betweenthe lower and upper bounds of the wavenumbersindicated in the subscripts. The flag correctly ident-ified many areas where the volcanic output fromPuyehue and Nabro was observable in MIPASmeasurements. This flag is particularly good at

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picking out strong signals, but in areas with lessclear ash loadings, the method will not work.

Using singular vector decomposition (SVD), it ispossible to identify plumes more definitely, pickingup weaker signals, and signals which also includeregular clouds. A similar approach to that used byHurley et al. (2009) is adopted (although in thatcase, singular vectors were obtained for a set ofcalculated radiances, not measured atmosphericspectra). First, before a volcano has erupted, sev-eral days of MIPAS data at the volcano’s latitudeand a range of nominal altitudes are taken as a‘clean atmosphere training set’ for atmosphere notcontaining a volcanic plume. Singular vectors, vi,are fitted using the method given by Press et al.(1992). These vectors represent the orthogonalcomponents of the given spectra, so that any of thetraining set spectral measurements, R, can be exac-tly reproduced by a weighted sum of the singularvectors, obtained through a least squares fit:

R =∑

i

livi, (7)

where li is the weight of the ith singular vector.Since the training set is expected to contain clearsky and cloudy sky data, it can be used to fitmeasurements after the eruption where volcanicsignals are not present. There are as many singularvectors as original measurements used in the train-ing set, but the principal modes of variation are foundonly in the first few terms. It is therefore appropriateto truncate the sum given in Equation 7 after a fewterms. In this case, the first nine singular vectorswere found to contain 90% of the variability bet-ween different measured spectra in the training set.

For post-volcanic measurements, the flag definedby Equation 6 is used to provide cases where thereis a strong volcanic signal. The original singularvectors are fitted to these new measurements, andthe residual is that part of the spectrum that cannotbe explained by our prior vectors for clean sky(and is therefore assumed to contain a volcanic sig-nature). From several days of data, these residualsare collected, and used to obtain a new set of singu-lar vectors that contain the principal orthogonalsignals for volcanic plumes. The volcanic singularvector is specific to the fitted ensemble as it containsinformation about aerosol composition that mayvary during an eruption and between differentvolcanic events.

Figure 7 shows an example of fitting the calcu-lated singular vectors to real data. The values of li

for the first two ‘clean’ singular vectors and thefirst volcanic singular vector are shown. Note themuch greater magnitude of the first two panels,which capture the strongest modes of variabilityfor the clean signal, the diurnal cycle and the pres-ence of cloud. The first volcanic singular vector,

shown in the bottom panel, has almost no concen-tration before the eruption, but sporadically showsup post-eruption. Arrows show where the originalvolcanic flag has been triggered. The new methodidentifies more scans that include ash than foundusing the continuum flag.

AATSR

The Advanced Along Track Scanning Radiometer(AATSR) is the current operational instrument ina series of nadir viewing radiometers (ATSR-1,ATSR-2 and AATSR, commonly referenced asATSR). AATSR, like MIPAS, is part of the pay-load on ENVISAT. A feature of the ATSR instru-ments is that they provide two views of the samescene within c. 90 s of each other, the first centredon a viewing zenith angle of 558, the second atnadir. The parallax between the two views allowsfor the determination of the altitude of featuresby purely geometric means. For AATSR eachview is made in seven spectral channels centred at0.56, 0.66, 0.86, 1.6, 3.7, 11 and 12 mm and reportedas Sun-normalized reflectances in the shortwave(i.e. R0.56, R0.66, R0.86, R1.6) and brightness tempera-tures in the infrared (i.e. T3.7, T11, T12). As a polarorbiting instrument, it provides a single day-timeand single night-time overpass at approximately10:30 a.m./p.m. local time. The instrument swathwidth of 512 km (with a 1 km pixel size) meansthat it takes the instrument three days to providenear-global coverage. Thus, for a given eruption,AATSR will only be able to provide a measure-ment of the proximal plume once every three days.

Previous volcanological work using the ATSRseries has included the thermal monitoring of vol-canic hotspots (e.g. Wooster & Rothery 1997). Prata& Grant (2001) determined ash properties from the11 and 12 mm brightness temperatures in addi-tion to plume height determined from the paral-lax formed between the ATSR forward and nadirviews. Here, the AATSR instrument is used to pro-duce volcanic cloud products from two independentmethods:

(1) The stereo matching approach is used toproduce an estimate of geometric ash cloudtop height.

(2) The brightness temperatures, in conjunctionwith knowledge of the vertical temperaturestructure of the atmosphere, are used to deter-mine ash cloud height using the shortwavechannels to constrain the optical depth andmicrophysical properties of the cloud.

Identifying ash in AATSR imagery

The identification of ash in imager data has tra-ditionally relied upon the brightness temperature

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difference between 11 and 12 mm channels. In day-light scenes, the shortwave channels can alsoprovide additional constraints – ash will typicallyhave a low albedo compared with cloud and isalso more absorbing in the green than the red.These features have been combined to produce anAATSR volcanic ash flag, which uses thresholdson the following quantities:

† T11–T12;† T11–T3.7;† R0.67;† The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index

(NDVI), defined as

NDVI = R0.55 − R0.67

R0.55 + R0.67

. (8)

Lean (2009) provides a test specifically for AATSRin daylight conditions whereby a pixel which meetsall four of the following conditions:

T11 − T12 , −0.1

T11 − T3.7 , −20

R0.67 , 0.1

NDVI , 0.1

(9)

is deemed to be ash. For night-time scenes, the solarreflectance proportion of the 3.7 mm signal drops tozero, as do the shortwave channels, and the testbecomes:

T11 − T12 , −0.1

T11 − T3.7 , 0(10)

SVDclear #0Pre-volcano measurements Post-volcano measurements

SVDclear #0

0 1000 2000 3000 4000Measurement #

-2×104

0

2×104

4×104

6×104

Sin

gula

r ve

ctor

fit c

oeffi

cien

t (λ)

SVDclear #1SVDclear #1

0 1000 2000 3000 4000Measurement #

0

2×104

4×104

6×104

Sin

gula

r ve

ctor

fit c

oeffi

cien

t (λ)

SVDvolc #0SVDvolc #0

0 1000 2000 3000 4000Measurement #

0

2000

4000

6000

Sin

gula

r ve

ctor

fit c

oeffi

cien

t (λ)

Fig. 7. Fit coefficients, li, for the first two clear singular vectors, and the first volcanic singular vector for the Nabroeruption at MIPAS tangent measurement heights of 15 + 1.5 km. The x-axis gives an arbitrary measurement number(which is increasing in time). Data taken after the eruption are shown in orange. The diurnal cycle can be clearlyseen in the top two vectors (which capture 70% of variability). Arrows mark points where the volcanic plume was seen,using the test given in Equation 6. While the arrows mark the strongest signals, the SVD method is able to distinguishweaker volcanic signatures.

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Using these tests, AATSR data can be rapidlychecked for evidence of volcanic ash. As thesethresholds are instrument- and calibration-depen-dent, further research would be needed for theiruse on other ATSR instruments.

Stereo Ash Plume Height Retrieval

Algorithm

The Stereo Ash Plume Height Retrieval Algorithm(SAPHRA) consists of two stages:

(1) the detection of possible volcanic ash plumes,based on the test specified in Equation 9during the day and Equation 10 at night;

(2) the estimation of the height of detectedplumes using stereo-matching of the forwardand nadir brightness temperature differenceimages.

Stereo matching is a well-established tool for thedetermination of cloud and plume heights, fromboth ATSR instruments (Muller et al. 2007; Prata& Grant 2001) and NASA’s Multi-angle ImagingSpectro-Radiometer on board the Terra satellite(Moroney et al. 2002). The method employed hereis the simplest approach to the problem of matchingfeatures in the two views:

(1) T11–T12 is calculated for the entire scene inwhich ash has been detected, in both views.

(2) The correlation between the two brightnesstemperature difference images is calculatedusing a sliding window of n × n pixels,where n is c. 3.

(3) The images are offset by one pixel in thealong-track direction, and step 2 is repeated.

(4) Step 3 is repeated 20 times, creating corre-lation images of the two brightness tempera-ture difference fields for offsets of 0–20pixels.

(5) The offset for maximum correlation is deter-mined for each pixel, and converted to ageometric altitude.

The use of T11–T12 ensures that the ash plume has astrong contrast to the rest of the image, and gives alarge change in correlation as the two views arealigned. Under the naive assumption that the uncer-tainty in the retrieved height is entirely due to thealignment, a one-pixel error implies an altitudeuncertainty of approximately 1.4 km. Other geo-metric cloud/plume height retrievals often usemore complex pattern matching algorithms toproduce a height map, such as the Multi-pointMatchers M2, M3 (Muller et al. 2002) and M4(Muller et al. 2007), which could be investigatedfor use here. However, as we are interested solely

in a clearly defined plume, the correlation methodis sufficient for evaluating our approach.

SEVIRI

The Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager(SEVIRI) is a scanning radiometer on-board theoperational Meteosat Second Generation weathersatellite, which is in a geostationary orbit nominallylocated on the Greenwich meridian. SEVIRI pro-vides image data of the Earth in 11 narrow-bandchannels centred at 0.635, 0.81, 1.64, 3.92, 6.25,7.35, 8.70, 9.66, 10.8, 12.0 and 13.4 mm. A keyfeature of this instrument is its continuous imagingwith a baseline repeat cycle of 15 min. Theimaging sampling distance is 3 km at the sub-satellite point. SEVIRI has been used to identifyvolcanic hotspots (Wooster et al. 2000) as wells asto study lava flows at erupting volcanoes (Hirnet al. 2009). Ash and SO2 have also been measuredusing the five channels centred at 6.25, 7.35, 8.70,10.8 and 12.0 (Prata & Kerkmann 2007). Morerecently Stohl et al. (2011) used SEVIRI estimatesof ash mass loading to infer the ash emission fromthe Eyjafjallajokull 2010 eruption as a function oftime and altitude.

ORAC retrieval of ash plume height

and physical properties

The Oxford-RAL Retrieval of Aerosol and Cloud(ORAC) algorithm is an optimal estimation retrie-val scheme designed to provide estimates of aero-sol optical depth and effective radius, cloud toppressure, height and temperature, cloud particleeffective radius, cloud optical depth and cloud type(generally liquid water or ice) from multi-spectralimagery. The scheme has been used to produce acloud product from the full ATSR-2 and AATSRrecord up to 2010 (Poulsen et al. 2011; Sayeret al. 2011). The ORAC cloud scheme has beenmodified to determine ash cloud properties byusing a radiative forward model based on ashparticles described by a log–normal distribution(the log–normal spread is fixed at 1.77 but theeffective radius is allowed to vary in the range0.01–10 mm) and the Aso refractive indicesdescribed in the section ‘Ash particle size andshape’. This principally involves creating lookuptables describing the reflectance and transmissionof the ash plume for a range of solar and satellitegeometries.

Assuming the plume is homogeneous, the inte-gral in Equation 3 can be completed, so the plumethickness, L, and optical depth t are related by

t = bextL (11)

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The ash loading m (usually in g m23) can be cal-culated from

m = r

∫1

0

4

3pr3n(r) dr︸︷︷︸

mass per unit volume

× t

bext︸︷︷︸L

=4prert

∫1

0

r3n(r) dr

3bext , (12)

where r is the density of the ash (Wen & Rose1994). If the particle size-distribution is assumedto be log–normal the column loading becomes

m = 4

3

rt

�s extpr3

e exp (2 ln2 S), (13)

where �s ext is the average extinction cross-sectionper particle given by

�sext = bext

N0

. (14)

CAA restrictions on aircraft flights are in termsof the density of ash rather than the columnamount. There are three approaches to estimatethis quantity from the mass loading:

(1) Use a correlative measurement of the plumethickness, L, for example from lidar, then esti-mate the mass density through

r = m

L. (15)

(2) Assume a typical volume extinction coeffi-cient to convert a plume’s optical depth intophysical depth.

(3) Assume that the plume thickness is the sameas its altitude. This then provides a minimumpossible mass density under the assumptionthat the plume is homogeneous.

It is worth noting that the simultaneous retrieval ofall state parameters provided by the optimal esti-mation method ensures that a physically consistentand numerically optimal estimate of the state is pro-duced. It is clear that, although thermal IR channelsmostly provide information on the cloud top pres-sure, height and temperature, the transmission andemission values of the cloud will depend on theoptical depth and effective radius, which are mostlydetermined from the shortwave channels. Conver-sely, the above- and below-cloud transmissions inthe shortwave will be weakly (if we assume thechannels used are atmospheric window channels)dependent on the cloud height. Owing to the largedifferences in the optical properties of ash, waterdroplets and ice crystals, ORAC has been proved toprovide an effective way of detecting ash in satellite

imagery; ash clouds cannot be well fitted usingeither water or ice cloud properties and vice versa.

Here we will demonstrate an ability to deter-mine ash properties when a plume is located abovea cloud. This is particularly useful as there weremany instances of ash overlying cloud duringthe Eyjafjallajokull, 2010 and Grimsvotn, 2011eruptions.

In summary, quantifying a volcanic cloudrequires knowledge of ash loading, composition,morphology and size, as well as the physical dimen-sions and location of the ash plume. In addition,tephra from explosive volcanic eruptions holdsinformation about magma dynamics in the criticalzone where fragmentation occurs and eruptionstyle is decided. In this work new algorithms arepresented that determine plume and ash propertiesbased on preliminary laboratory measurements ofash optical properties.

Case study I: the 2011 Puyehue–Cordon

Caulle eruption

The Puyehue–Cordon Caulle volcanic complex(Singer et al. 2008) forms part of the Andes and islocated in Puyehue National Park, Chile. The erup-tion began in June and continued through theremaining months of 2011. A summary of the firsttwo months of activity is given below.

From 27 April, seismic activity was detected.The frequency of earthquakes increased on 2 Juneand was followed, on 4 June, by an explosionfrom Puyehue–Cordon Caulle that produced aplume of ash and gas, rising to an altitude of12.2 km above sea-level (a.s.l.) as noted by Obser-vatorio Volcanologico de los Andes del Sur(OVDAS) (Chile) (2011) and Servicio Nacional deGeologia y Mineria scientists (Servicio Nacionalde Geologia y Mineria 2011a, b, c, d ). Initially,plumes drifted south at 5 km a.s.l. and drifted westand east at an altitude of about 10 km.

From 4 June and on the following days theash plumes were generally transported in the SE toNE sector. The Buenos Aires VAAC reported thaton 4 June ash plumes rose to altitudes of 10.7–13.7 km and drifted 870 km ESE (Global Volcan-ism Program 2011a). On 5 June, the ash plumewas estimated to be between 10.7 and 12.2 kmlocated 1700 km ESE of the volcano over the Atlan-tic Ocean. On 6 June, a new part of the plume waslocated 170 km ENE of the mountain, while theprevious part of the plume continued to be trans-ported ESE over the ocean. On the 7 June the ashplume was reported at heights of 5.5–9.8 km (Glo-bal Volcanism Program 2011a). Volcanic activ-ity continued over the following days, leading tothe cancellation of several flights in Argentina,

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Uruguay and Brazil. By 12 June, the ash plume hadreached Australia and New Zealand. On 13 June, aMODIS image showed a large volcanic ash plumeover Argentina, which was reported to lie between4 and 8 km (NASA Earth Observatory 2011).From 22 June to 5 July, the eruption continuedwith less activity and lower plume heights in therange 2–4 km (Global Volcanism Program 2011a).

On 7–8 July an increase in the plume heightled to the cancellation of flights in Argentina andUruguay (France-Presse 2011). During the follow-ing few days the plume altitude decreased and wasreported to be 3 km (9 July), 1–2 km (17 July)and 5 km (18 July) above the crater.

Between 25 July and 1 August, the eruption con-tinued with plumes rising 2–5 km above the crater.Eruptive processes continued through the remainingmonths of 2011 (Global Volcanism Program 2011a).

Using AATSR to Identify the 2011 Puyehue–

Cordon Caulle ash cloud height

SAPHRA has been used to identify the height of theash plume from the 2011 Puyehue–Cordon Caulle

eruption as viewed by AATSR on the 6 of June.Figure 8 shows an image generated from red,green and blue channels of the MEdium ResolutionImaging Spectrometer (MERIS), which is on boardthe Envisat platform with AATSR. Superimposedon the MERIS image is a visible – near-infraredfalse colour image from AATSR. The primary ashplume is very clear, and its altitude can be estimatedfrom the shadow it casts on the surface as12.7 + 1.8 km (the solar elevation at the time thesatellite over-passed the plume was about 208). Aless distinct, lower-altitude ash cloud can also bemade out to the south of the main plume, particu-larly in the AATSR image.

Figure 9a shows the results of applying theash flag to both views of the AATSR instrument.The ash plume is successfully detected in bothviews of the instrument. The greater sensitivityof the forward view, owing to its greater atmos-pheric path-length, results in a larger number ofash pixels, including some possible false detectionsalong the southern edge of the image, but the twoviews generally produce very consistent results.The parallax between the two views is also very

Fig. 8. A combined AATSR-MERIS false colour image of the Puyehue–Cordon Caulle eruption plume taken at 14:01GMT on 6 June 2011. The central section of the image shows the AATSR nadir view, with the MERIS imageproviding context. The volcano itself is located in the left-hand section of the MERIS image, and the coast of Argentinais visible on the right. North is approximately towards the top of the image.

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clear in this image, particularly along the northernedge of the main plume.

The results of the stereo matching technique,using a 3 × 3 pixel sliding window, are given inFigure 9b. Heights retrieved in the main plume aretypically around 12 km, while the lower ash cloudto the south has produced a height of approximately5 km. There is also evidence that there is somedecrease in the main plume height from the westto the east of the image.

Figure 10 shows a histogram of the heights fromFigure 9b, as well as two Gaussians, which havebeen fitted to the two peaks apparent in the figure.Under the assumption that the heights of both dis-tinct plumes in the scene are constant throughoutthe image, the plume heights can be characterizedas 11.9 + 1.4 km for the main plume and 5.3 +2.5 km for the cloud to the south.

The variability in the retrieved height of thelower ash plume is greater than might be expectedfrom alignment error alone. The stereo matchingmethod has several limitations related both to themeasurements provided by the instrument and tothe assumption that the two images of the plumewill match when the parallax is removed. Theseuncertainties can be summarized as follows:

† As the two views of ATSR are obtained at verydifferent viewing geometries, they will seedifferent parts of the plume and any surroundingclouds, as well as shadows cast by both theplume and clouds.

† The native pixel size in the forward view ofATSR is approximately twice the size of thatin the nadir view. Although Level 1b data fromthe instrument has both views interpolated ontoa common grid, this resolution difference pro-duces noticeable differences in the clarity offeatures in the two views.

† There may be some evolution in the scene overthe 90 s gap between the forward and nadirscans of the instrument; however, for mostscenes this will be insignificant on the 1 kmspatial scale of an instrument pixel.

† Stereo matching will be most successful forimages with strong features that lie perpendicu-lar to the satellite track, as they will provideclear markers of parallax. Thus, for the greaterpart of an ATSR orbit, plumes which extend inan east–west direction will be better retrieved.

† ATSR has a collocation error of typically onepixel (although often more) between the for-ward and nadir views. Thus, features at sea-level

Fig. 9. (a) The pixels determined to be ash from the AATSR image shown in Figure 8. Red denotes pixels detectedin the nadir view only, green in the forward view only and yellow in both. The parallax between the two views isclear in the main northern plume, but, as one would expect, it is much less evident in the southern (much lower) plume.(b) The stereo-retrieved ash height from the ash plume shown in Figure 8.

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will often not coincide in the two images. Thiserror is probably the most serious of thoselisted here, as it can result in a consistent biasin the retrieved height of up to a few kilometres.However, it is possible to correct for: in theresults presented here, surface features havebeen used to align the two views by eye beforeapplying the height retrieval algorithm. Thereis also an on-going effort to produce a global cor-rection for the entire ATSR-2 and AATSR timeseries, which should solve this problem.

All of these limitations can contribute to an uncer-tainty which is significantly greater than the c.+1.4 km error that results from the 1 km resolutionof AATSR, especially for diffuse ash clouds.However, for a well-defined, favourably alignedplume, such as the main plume in this case study,the variability in the retrieved plume height showsvery good agreement with the expected error.

Using MIPAS to identify the 2011 Puyehue–

Cordon Caulle ash cloud

Figure 11 shows the first volcanic singular vectorcalculated using flagged spectra that were thoughtto contain the plume from the Puyehue eruption,viewed at an altitude of 12 km. The positive slopethrough the centre of the A-band is a well-knownfeature to be expected, since it agrees with theempirical flag that was used to mark volcanic pro-files. The SVD can be re-calculated at later timesafter the eruption in order to see the evolution ofthe plume’s optical properties.

The geographical coverage of the plume can beinferred by looking for areas where the leastsquares fit of the singular vectors to a MIPAS spec-trum requires a significant contribution from thefirst volcanic singular vector, that is, lvolc,1. Inthese areas, the ‘clean’ singular vectors could notsatisfactorily represent the scene. Care must beused in interpreting these areas as no effort hasbeen made to account for unobserved portions ofthe plume. These occur through MIPAS’s limitedspatial sampling, by the plume being obscuredby water or ice cloud, or by the plume occurringbelow MIPAS’s minimum sampling altitude.

Plotting the area of plume coverage over the nextfew months, it is seen that, starting from a smalllocalized area around the site of the volcano, theplume spreads out, reaching a peak in coveragearound 30 days after the eruption, before rapidlydropping off. Figure 12a shows the SouthernHemisphere the day after the eruption has begun.A signal can be seen at the emission location ofthe volcano (marked with a triangle), as well as afurther plume to the east, which is from a later over-pass of the satellite. Figure 12b shows the muchincreased coverage, but weaker signal strength ofthe volcanic signature a month later.

Over the course of the next two months, similarplots (not shown) show the coverage of the plumesincreasing while travelling around the globe fromwest to east. Figure 13 shows fractional coveragebetween 608S and 208S for this time. Singularvectors calculated at the start of the eruption werejust as effective at observing the plume vectors cal-culated a month later, suggesting that the plume

0 5 10 15 20Retrieved height (km)

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

Num

ber

of r

etri

eval

s

Fig. 10. Histogram of the retrieved plume height shown in Figure 9b. Gaussians representing the mean height anduncertainty of both plumes are plotted.

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did not significantly change in composition over thecourse of its lifetime. The reported altitudes of theash plumes during June 2011 are generally in agree-ment with the MIPAS flagged locations of theplume. For example the peak plume altitude on 6June was the 12 + 1.5 km range, which is in agree-ment with both the reported observations and theAATSR stereo height retrieval. Plumes from later

periods of the eruption were not observed as theydid not reach high enough altitudes.

Case study II: the 2011 Nabro eruption

Nabro is a stratovolcano 2218 m high, located in theAfar depression in Eritrea, close to the border with

Band A Band AB Band B

SVDvolc #0 (Puyehue, 12.0km)

750 800 850 900 950 1100 1150 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500Wavenumber, cm-1

-0.02

0.00

0.02

0.04

Sing

ular

vec

tor

Fig. 11. The principle volcanic singular vector for the Puyehue eruption, calculated using data from the week afterthe eruptions, when the empirical flag defined in Equation 6 is positive. The three shortest MIPAS wavenumber bands,A, AB and B, were fitted, but excluding the ozone region of AB band (1020–1070 cm21), and the beginning of theA band (685–765 cm21), where carbon dioxide and ozone absorption is extremely strong. Calculations were restrictedto the latitude range 20–608S.

Fig. 12. The spatial variation of the 1st volcanic singular vector’s influence following the Puyehue eruption. Plots arefrom 6 June 2011 (upper) and 13 July 2011 (lower) between 608S and 208S at 12 km. The location of the volcano ismarked with a triangle. Data have been gridded and averaged to account for irregular sampling of the satellite. Thisirregular sampling is also responsible for the discontinuities in the plume in the upper figure where bands of clear sky areprobably due to overpasses before the plume had extended across the South Atlantic Ocean. As time evolved the plumewas seen to spread out spatially, become weaker in signal strength, and move from west to east, circling the worldseveral times.

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Ethiopia (Wiart & Oppenheimer 2005). There areno ground measurements for this volcano and it isan example of the importance of volcanic monitor-ing using satellite remote sensing. The seismicactivity started in the evening of the 12 June 2011with a magnitude 5.1 earthquake and continued forseveral hours (USGS Earthquake Hazards Program2011). The first satellite image with a discerniblevolcanic plume is the SEVIRI false colour imageof 21:00 UTC of 12 June (EUMETSAT 2011). Insubsequent imagery the plume drifts to the NW sothat by the evening of 13 June the plume is overEgypt. On 14 June an ash cloud was reported oversouthern Israel (The Jerusalem Post 2011), whichis consistent with satellite observations of SO2. Vol-canic plumes were reported at altitudes of 9.1–13.7 km on 13 June, 6.1–10.7 km on 14 June and6.1–7.9 km during 15–20 June (Global VolcanismProgram 2011b).

On 15–16 June satellite measurements of SO2 bythe Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer(IASI) show a plume located over central Asia.The IASI measurements show two distinct filamentsof SO2 over Asia (one at 10 km altitude and one at15 km). The SO2 plume reached the east coast ofChina on 18 June. During 22–26 June largeamounts of sulphur dioxide continued to be detectedby satellite sensors. The Toulouse VAAC reportedthat during 26–27 June plumes rose to altitudes upto 6.1 km. The satellite images show that the SO2

signal gradually decreased until 28 June. The lastash plumes from this eruption were reported on 16

July (at an altitude less than 5.5 km) and on 17July (Global Volcanism Program 2011b).

Using MIPAS to identify the 2011 Nabro

ash cloud

Since different eruptions produce varied particles,the singular vector signatures have large differ-ences. Within the AB and B bands, Figure 14shows that the Nabro signature appears to containthe SO2 n1 and n2 absorption bands, which arecentred at 1152 and 1362 cm21 respectively (thisis not clearly visible in the Puyehue vector). Thisresult can give us confidence that the technique isworking. Preliminary retrievals of IASI data showthat SO2 emissions from Nabro are around an orderof magnitude greater than those from Puyehue.

Figure 15 shows a change in the spatial distri-bution of the plume over the course of the next sixweeks. Starting from a localized zone, the areataken up fills much of the Northern Hemisphere,but, as one would expect, weakens in signalstrength.

Figure 16 shows the spatial coverage of theplume as a function of the volcanic singular vec-tor calculated on different dates. The singularvector found at the start of the eruption (but fittedthrough the entire time period) reaches a maxi-mum about 40 days after the start of the eruptionbefore decaying. The singular vector found at theend of the eruption (also fitted through the entire

12.0km Puyehue12.0km Puyehue

0 20 40 60 80Days after eruption

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

Frac

tion

of s

cene

s co

ntai

ning

vol

cani

c si

gnat

ure

Jun 6 - Jun 10Jun 21 - Jun 25Jul 6 - Jul 8Jul 21 - Jul 25Aug 5 - Aug 9

SVD calculated between following dates.

Fig. 13. The spatial coverage of the Puyehue volcanic plume at 12 km for the geographical region shown inFigure 12. Coverage is calculated as the ratio of flagged profiles (where lvolc,1 is significant) to all available profiles.The different coloured lines indicate volcanic singular vectors calculated during different measurement periods.

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time period) steadily increases with time. This isconsistent with the ash and SO2 (represented bythe initial singular vector) dispersing, the ash

precipitating and the SO2 converting into sulphateaerosol. The final singular vector is consistent withthe sulphate aerosol concentrations increasing

Band A Band AB Band B

SVDvolc #0 (Nabro, 15.0km)

750 800 850 900 950 1100 1150 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500Wavenumber, cm-1

-0.02

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

Sing

ular

vec

tor

Fig. 14. The principle singular volcanic singular vector for the Nabro eruption, calculated using data from the weekafter the eruptions, when the empirical flag defined in Equation 6 is positive. As with Figure 11, the three shortestMIPAS wavenumber bands, A, AB and B, were fitted, excluding the ozone region of AB band, and the beginning of theA band. Calculations were restricted to the latitude range 20–708N. The SO2 n1 and n2 absorption bands can be seen at1152 and 1362 cm21.

Fig. 15. As Figure 12, but for the Nabro eruption. Significant volcanic signals between 308N and 708N at 15 + 1.5 kmare shown. Nabro is located at 138N and is shown by the triangle. The upper figure, showing the day after the eruptionhas the plume emerging. A month later (lower), the volcanic signature can be seen all over the Northern Hemisphere,more evenly but more weakly distributed.

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following the oxidation of sulphur-containing vol-canic gases into sulphuric acid. Further work isneeded to turn this qualitative interpretation of theMIPAS observation into quantitative estimates ofaerosol concentration, composition and conversionrates.

Case study III: the April–May 2010

Eyjafjallajokull eruption

The Eyjafjallajokull is a stratovolcano, located closeto Iceland’s southern coast (Sigmundsson et al.2010). As reported by Global Volcanism Program(2011c), after an initial eruptive phase (from 20March 2010) of lava flow but no significant ashand SO2 emission, an explosive eruptive phase ofthe Eyjafjallajokull volcano began on the 14 April2010. This was anticipated by a series of earth-quakes in the night between 13 and 14 April. Fol-lowing Zehner (2012), the explosive part of thiseruption can be divided into three phases.

Phase I: 14–18 April

This was a phreatomagmatic eruption phase, and iceand water from the ice cup above the caldera weredirectly in contact with the fresh magma in thevent. This produced a faster cooling of the ejectedmagma and a large amount of ash injected into theatmosphere, as well as steams plumes. During thisperiod the injection altitude of the plume was esti-mated as between 2 and 10 km height (Marzano

et al. 2011; Stohl et al. 2011) and the wind con-ditions transported the ash plume in a SE direc-tion, towards Europe.

Phase II: 18 April to 4 May

From the evening of 18 April there was a magmaticeruption phase; water and ice from the glacier werenot inside the vent. The intensity of the eruption wasone order of magnitude lower than phase I, and therewas a reduction in the amount of ash injected intothe atmosphere. The altitude of the eruptioncolumn was between 2 and 5 km (Zehner 2012;Stohl et al. 2011).

Phase III: 5–24 May

Between 3 and 5 May an increase in seismic activitywas reported followed by a more intense explosivephase of the eruption. Ash production increasedand the eruption column altitude was reportedbetween 4 and 10 km (Stohl et al. 2011). In thisperiod ash plumes were transported over Europeand the Atlantic ocean.

The volcanic plumes from the eruption of Eyjaf-jallajokull starting in April 2010 resulted in thecancellation of 100 000 flights over Europe, affect-ing roughly 10 million passengers (European Com-mission 2010). The airline industry lost an estimated£153 million per day during the 15–21 April 2010period when European airspace was closed (Maz-zocchi et al. 2010).

15.0km Nabro15.0km Nabro

0 20 40 60Days after eruption

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Frac

tion

of s

cene

s co

ntai

ning

vol

cani

c si

gnat

ure Jun 14 - Jun 17

Jun 29 - Jul 2Jul 15 - Jul 18Jul 29 - Aug 2Aug 13 - Aug 16

SVD calculated between following dates.

Fig. 16. As Figure 13, but for a nominal altitude of 15 km and the Nabro geographical region shown in Figure 15.

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ORAC–AATSR retrieval of the 2010

Eyjafjallajokull ash plume

The Eyjafjallajokull eruption plume is highlightedin the AATSR-based false colour image shown inFigure 17a. The plume is clearly visible and canbe seen to extend over cloud-free land and ocean,as well as over low-lying cloud as it bends froman east–west alignment to a southerly direction.There are also several relatively small convectiveclouds that appear to coincide with the ash plumein this region. The ORAC retrieval scheme hasbeen applied to this image, using volcanic ashoptical properties in addition to the standard waterand ice cloud types. Figure 17b shows the bestfitting cloud type for each retrieved pixel in thisscene for which

† a priori surface reflectance data were available(the MODIS surface BRDF product was notavailable for much of Iceland, unfortunatelyincluding the region under the ash plume);

† the retrieval converged, producing an opticaldepth of greater than 0.2;

† the cloud top height was greater than zero.

No cloud mask was applied to the scene beforethe retrieval was run, so the latter two tests areneeded to remove clear-sky pixels.

The ash plume is readily apparent, but it is alsoclear that ash has produced the best fit in regionswhere we would not expect any ash to be present.This is a product of the under-constrained natureof the retrieval problem – in some cases where theforward model is not a good representation of thereal world (multi-layer cloud, cloud edges, mixedphase cloud), it is to be expected that ash mightprovide the best fit to the measurements by chancealone. With this proviso in mind, Figure 18 showsthe retrieved optical depth, cloud top height, the

effective radius and the retrieval cost, for thosepixels picked as ash. Retrieval cost is a measure ofthe quality of the data. High-quality retrievalshave a cost of about one. For the Eyjafjallajokulleruption, a major issue is the ubiquity of thinlayers of ash over a thick liquid water cloud (oftenunder a pronounced temperature inversion). Theselocations are identified by a high cost in the singlelayer retrieval.

The retrieved cloud top height for the ashplume in this scene ranges from approximately6.5 km close to the volcano, down to approximately2.5 km near the southern edge of the image. Theareas of the ash plume associated with the convec-tive clouds apparent in the false colour imageshow a much higher altitude than the surroundingplume and often have been selected as ice cloudrather than ash. This seems a reasonable result,but is an example of where the assumptions ofthe retrieval have broken down. Examination ofthe retrieval cost shows that the regions where thefalse colour image shows that both ash and watercloud are present have greatly elevated cost, indi-cating that the retrieval did not produce a good fitto the measurements and is probably inaccurate –in this case the retrieved height is probably anintermediate level between an ash layer and theheight of underlying water cloud. In these casesthe retrieved optical depth and effective radiusalso show artefacts associated with the presenceof cloud. Ignoring those retrievals whose cost isgreater than 2 suggests that, within the first c.500 km of the plume, its height was in the range2.5–6.5 km, the optical depth was 1–2.5 and theeffective radius was 3–7 mm. The retrieved effec-tive radius is typical of those reported for othereruptions given in Table 2.

An interesting feature of the plume, which isapparent in its east–west aligned portion, is the

Fig. 17. (a) A false colour image (designed to highlight volcanic ash as green-brown) of the Eyjafjallajokull eruptionplume constructed from images acquired by AATSR at 12.13 GMT on 6 May 2010. (b) Best fitting cloud type forthe scene.

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strong gradient in effective radius and cloud topheight along its southern edge, which is associatedwith a distinct change in the appearance of theplume in the false colour image. The retrieval oflarger particles at a lower altitude along this edgesuggests that there may have been a vertical windshear acting on the plume, as larger particleswould be expected to be found lower in the plumeowing to their higher settling velocity, resulting insubtly different trajectories for particles of differ-ent sizes. However, it is also possible that thisfeature is an artefact caused by the breakdown ofthe plane-parallel approximation near the edge ofthe plume, so no firm conclusion can be drawnfrom these results alone.

Figure 19 shows the ash mass density derivedfrom the ORAC estimates of optical depth andeffective radius using Equation 13. The greyvalues are obvious cloud contamination and havevalues in the range of about 50–80 g m2. The totalmass in the scene is 0.83 Tg if the cloud contami-nation is included and 0.24 Tg, if all the pixelswith an ash density of greater than 20 g m2 areignored. Given the plume covers about 12 h ofemissions, this represents an emission rate of1.8 × 107 g s21. This value is very similar to the 6May 2010 emission value of 2.0 × 107 g s21

reported by Stohl et al. (2011).

Extended ORAC–SEVIRI retrieval of the 2010

Eyjafjallajokull ash plume overlying clouds

By modifying the look-up tables the ORAC cloudscheme is also applicable to measurements byMSG SEVIRI. As with the AATSR work, ORACwas first applied in the standard manner, fitting theoptical depth, effective radius and altitude of asingle-layer cloud model, considered to be infinite-simally geometrically thin in the vertical. Thescheme was applied three times, assuming optical

Fig. 18. The retrieved (a) optical depth, (b) cloud-top height, (c) effective radius and (d) retrieval cost for those pixelsidentified as ash.

-18 -12

-18 -12

6366

6366

0.0

2.5

5.0

7.5

10.0

12.5

15.0

Ash

mas

s (g

/m2)

Fig. 19. Ash mass density for the 6 May 2010.

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properties of (a) liquid cloud, (b) ice cloud and (c)volcanic ash in turn. Measurements in all SEVIRIchannels were used except the 3.92 and 9.66 mmchannels. The cloud type present in each scenewas identified by selecting the retrieval with themost consistent match to observations in all chan-nels (as measured by the optimal estimation costfunction), again in a similar fashion to the AATSRretrievals.

While this approach was successful in simplescenes, as was noted in the AATSR analysis, theash plume often occurred over low-lying (opticallythick) liquid cloud and in these circumstances theretrieved height was significantly lower than thatobserved by the CALIOP (Cloud–Aerosol Lidarwith Orthogonal Polarization) lidar. This is anissue that also affects the standard cloud retrieval,when thin ice cloud is present over thicker liquidcloud: in these circumstances the scheme will fitan effective height that lies between the uppermostcloud top and the lowest cloud base, generally atan altitude which corresponds to approximatelyone optical depth from the top (Siddans et al.2010; Poulsen et al. 2011). Usually multi-layercloud (both ice over liquid and ash over liquid)can be recognized, and flagged as unreliable, by

examining the retrieval cost, since in most casesthe multi-layer scene cannot be well representedby any of the single-layer models fitted.

An alternative approach is to run a two-layerscheme when the retrieval cost exceeds some pre-determined level. The two-layer scheme includesan extended version of the ORAC forward model(Siddans et al. 2010), which represents a secondcloud layer, also in terms of its optical depth, effec-tive radius and height. The retrieval state vector isextended to include these three additional param-eters; however, it is not generally feasible toobtain reliable information on all three quantitiesfor both cloud layers. Here the problem is con-strained by assuming the lower layer of liquidcloud to be optically thick and have effectiveradius of 10 mm. Only the height of the lowerlayer cloud is retrieved, together with the height,radius and optical depth of the upper layer. Sensi-tivity to the actual optical depth and effectiveradius of the lower layer is avoided by only usingthermal infrared channels in the two-layer scheme(as demonstrated for water cloud in Watts et al.2011). This retrieval relies on the fact that SEVIRIhas thermal infrared channels that are selectivelysensitive to cloud at different altitudes because of

Fig. 20. Example ORAC results for a SEVIRI scene at 14:00 UT on 7 May 2010, compared with co-incidentCALIOP lidar observations. The top left-hand panel shows the CALIOP-measured lidar back-scatter with theORAC retrieved cloud-top height superimposed on top. As indicated in the legend, triangles show results from the singlelayer scheme and open squares show the height (of the upper layer) from the two-layer scheme. Error bars are shown inboth cases, although those from the single layer scheme are too small to be seen on this scale. Colours indicate theparticle type which best matches observations. The bottom left-hand panel shows the retrieved optical depth. In thebottom-right is a false colour image from SEVIRI based on the 8.7, 11 and 12 mm channels, in which ash appears asbright red/orange or pink. The CALIOP track is shown as a black line, with the section shown in the left-hand panelshighlighted in green.

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the varying levels of trace-gas absorption in eachchannel. In particular, water vapour absorption inthe 6.3 and 7.3 mm channels and CO2 absorptionat 13 mm give information on height complemen-tary to that from the window channels at 8.7, 11and 12 mm. Furthermore, the spectral dependenciesof cloud/ash optical properties provide distinctinformation on cloud optical depth and, to a lesserextent, particle size.

This scheme is applied twice: once assuming theupper layer to be ice and once assuming it to be ash.The result of these two retrievals that gives the bestfit (lowest cost) to the observations is selected asbeing the most appropriate model for the upperlayer.

This approach was trialled on SEVIRI imageof the Eyjafjallajokull plume observed at 14:00 on7 May 2010. Figure 20 shows the SEVIRI retrievedheight compared with CALIOP lidar backscatterprofile (at 0.532 mm). CALIOP shows an ashplume from about 6 to 9 km in altitude, mainlybetween 478 and 498N, although possibly extend-ing further north at a slightly lower altitude, withamounts close to the noise level. CALIOP alsoshows an optically thick layer of liquid cloud at analtitude of 1 km across the whole section. Thesingle layer scheme identifies the main part of thisash plume consistently, but estimates low altitudeand high optical depth. The two-layer scheme hasbeen run for scenes in which the retrieval cost func-tion is more than twice the expected value basedon the modelled instrument noise and estimatedforward model accuracy. For these scenes, the two-layer scheme returns a more correct estimate of theash plume height and also detects the presence ofash between 49.58 and 508N (although here theheight remains apparently underestimated). Whileit is not possible to directly validate the retrievedoptical depths, it is clear that the single layerscheme retrieves a value approximating the totaloptical depth of the ash (or ice) and underlyingliquid cloud, while the two-layer result gives amore plausible estimate for the thin ash layer.

Conclusions

In this paper new algorithms have been presentedthat provide volcanic plume properties from mea-surements by the MIPAS, AATSR and SEVIRI. Asingular vector decomposition method, developedfor the MIPAS, has been applied to observationsof ash clouds from the eruptions of Nabro andPuyehue–Cordon Caulle in mid 2011. The geo-graphical locations of the clouds based on MIPASwere in agreement with observations obtained byother methods. The SVD method provides a farmore powerful tool for flagging volcanic ash from

space than was previously available. Weaker sig-nals, and signals that have been partially maskedby other effects, are more easily observed. Perio-dic recalculation of the volcanic singular vectorsthrough the course of an event suggested a changein aerosol composition as the plume aged for thePuyehue–Cordon Caulle but not for the Nabroplume. This was consistent with the first eruptionbeing sulphur-rich, leading to a change in cloudcomposition from ash to sulphate.

The identification of ash plume height is criticalfor the initialization of algorithms that numericallymodel the evolution and transport of a volcanicplume. The MIPAS results suggest an altitude ofabout 15 km for the initial 2011 Puyehue–CordonCaulle plume, which was higher than the 12.7 kmheight estimated from the plume shadow. Thelatter value is in better agreement with a new algor-ithm, SAPHRA, that gives a main plume height11.9 + 1.4 km using the parallax between imagesprovided by AATSR.

The SAPHRA approach lends itself to near-real-time application, as it is inherently simple and doesnot rely on any information beyond the ATSRradiances themselves. It could be envisaged thatthe algorithm could form the basis for an opera-tional product which would detect and report theheight of volcanic ash plumes detected by AATSR(and later SLSTR) on a routine basis. Despite thelack of daily global coverage, this informationcould very valuable in helping to constrain the dis-persion models used by the VAAC centres to issuevolcanic hazard warnings.

The quantitative use of satellite imagery andthe full exploitation of high-resolution spectralmeasurements of ash depends upon knowing theoptical properties of the observed ash. Laboratorymeasurements of ash from the 1993 eruption of MtAso, Japan have been used to determine the refrac-tive indices from 1 to 20 mm. The refractive indiceshave been used to retrieve ash properties from theAATSR and SEVIRI instruments using two ver-sions of the ORAC algorithm.

For AATSR, a new cloud type in ORAC wasused in the analysis of the plume from the 2011Eyjafjallajokull eruption, giving retrieved valuesof plume height 2.5–6.5 km, optical depth 1–2.5and effective radius 3–7 mm, which were in agree-ment with other observations. A weakness of thealgorithm occurred when underlying cloud invali-dated the assumption of a single cloud layer. Inthese cases the retrieval errors are underestimatedbecause the approach neglects the inherent uncer-tainty caused by assuming the scene to be containonly a single cloud layer. This was rectified in amodified version of ORAC applied to SEVIRI. Inthis case an extra model of a cloud underlying theash plume was included in the range of applied

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models. Because the two-layer scheme explicitlytakes into account the multi-layer nature of thescene, it reports much larger errors, but these aremore consistent with the observed discrepancieswith CALIOP. In cases where the plume overlaycloud this new model worked well, showing goodagreement with correlative CALIOP observations.

It should be noted that the ORAC retrieval, asit currently stands, has several weaknesses whichlimit its applicability to volcanic ash detection andcharacterization, many of which it shares withother algorithms:

† ORAC assumes plane-parallel cloud in its for-ward model. Volcanic ash plumes are often notplane-parallel (as they are typically a narrowplume). This can result in significant biases inthe retrieved parameters, including height.

† As with all ash detection schemes, in cases whereash is mixing with large quantities of either iceor liquid water, there will come a point wherethe ash cloud becomes indistinguishable froma normal water or ice cloud. Furthermore, evenif the cloud is determined to be ash, the presenceof water will alter its radiative properties andproduce a bias in the retrieval.

† For optically thin ash, an accurate knowledge ofthe surface properties (particularly its reflec-tance) becomes important and the Lambertiansurface reflectance assumption can become pro-blematic. This can be improved through the use aforward model that includes a model of surfacebidirectional reflectance distribution function.Such a model is being introduced for ORACcloud retrievals, but the accuracy of the retrievalis still dependant on prior knowledge of thesurface reflectance.

† The retrieval of multi-layer cloud systems is stillexperimental and there remain obstacles to itswidespread application, not least the reliabledetection of multi-layer scenes.

† The need for knowledge of the atmospheric tem-perature profile and composition, surface reflec-tance and suitable ash optical properties, as wellas the computational cost of the scheme, meanthat ORAC is better suited to studying volcaniceruption plumes after the fact, rather than as anear-real-time ash detection mechanism.

Despite these provisos, ORAC applied to ATSRoffers a powerful tool for the characterization of vol-canic ash plumes, providing both an independentplume height estimate from the geometric methodand estimates of the optical depth and effectiveradius of the ash, which can in turn be used to esti-mate ash mass loading.

The authors acknowledge funding from the NERCNational Centre for Earth Observation. The authors wish

to thank A. Hurst for providing the Aso ash sample andgratefully acknowledge the NASA Langley AtmosphericScience Data Centre for CALIOP data. The authors alsothank F. Prata of NILU for identifying CALIOP orbitsthat sampled the 2010 Eyjafjallajokull plume.

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