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8/6/2019 Meeting Energy Demand in Lagos
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Meeting the Energy Needs ofLagos State
Angelo T. ReyesSecretary of Energy
Republic of the Philippines
4th Lagos Economic Summit
Lagos, Nigeria24 April 2008
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“Lagosians…have great expectation that the
state stands at the threshold of a new era of
peace, progress, prosperity and securitylargely through the radical modernization of
our infrastructure. The present administration
has adopted, as a major policy thrust, theinstrument of public private partnerships and
exploring its opportunities towards the
delivery of social goods and services to thepeople of Lagos State.”
- Governor Babatunde Fashola
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46.86 billionkWh
16.88 billionkWh (2005)
Electricityconsumption
53.67 billion
kWh
22.53 billion
kWh (2005)
Electricity
production
7.3%6.3%GDP growth(2007 est.)
22.518.7Median age
92,681,453138,283,240Population (2008proj.)
300,000 sq. km923,768 sq kmLand Area
PhilippinesNigeria
Comparative data from The World Factbook, compiled by the Central Intelligence Agency of the United States
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152 million bbl(31 Dec 2006 est.)
35.88 billion bbl(1 Jan 2006 est.)
OilOil – –provedprovedreservesreserves
353,700
bbl/day (2004)
167,900
bbl/day (2004)
Oil importsOil imports
34,900 bbl/day(2004)
2.141 millionbbl/day (2006)
Oil exportsOil exports
340,000bbl/day (2005 est.)
302,000bbl/day (2006 est.)
OilOil consumptionconsumption
24,310 bbl/day(2005 est.)
2.44 million
bbl/day (2006 est.)
Oil productionOil production
PhilippinesNigeria
Comparative data from The World Factbook, compiled by the Central Intelligence Agency of the United States
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107.5 billion cu
m(1 Jan 2006 est.)
5.015 trillion cu
m(1 Jan 2006 est.)
Natural gasNatural gas--
proved reservesproved reserves
011.55 billion cum (2005 est.)
Natural gasNatural gasexportsexports
2.781 billion cum (2005 est.)
9.936 billion cum (2005 est.)
Natural gasNatural gasconsumptionconsumption
2.781 billion cu
m (2005 est.)
21.48 billion cu
m (2005 est.)
Natural gasNatural gas
productionproduction
PhilippinesNigeria
Comparative data from The World Factbook, compiled by the Central Intelligence Agency of the United States
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FIVEFIVE--POINT REFORM PACKAGEPOINT REFORM PACKAGE
EDUCATION AND
YOUTH
OPPORTUNITY
SOCIAL JUSTICE
AND BASICNEEDS
ENERGY
INDEPENDENCE
ANTI-CORRUPTION
THROUGH GOOD
GOVERNMENT
ECONOMIC
GROWTH AND
JOB CREATION
ENERGY INDEPENDENCEAND SAVINGS
POWER MARKET REFORMS
ENERGY SECTORAGENDA
60% SELF-SUFFICIENCYLEVEL BY 2010
FAIR AND REASONABLEENERGY PRICES IN ACOMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT
ENERGY SECTORENERGY SECTORGOALSGOALS
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Moving Towards EnergyMoving Towards EnergyIndependenceIndependence
Accelerate the exploration and developmentof indigenous oil and gas resources
Aggressively develop renewable energypotentials
Increase the use of alternative fuels
Enhance energy efficiency and conservationprograms
Form strategic alliance with other countries
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Intensify search for geothermal, oil,
gas and coal resources through
continued public bid rounds and
improved service contracting
schemes
Promote and implement Philippine
Energy Contracting Rounds (PECRs)
and award service contracts
Accelerate exploration and development Accelerate exploration and development
of geothermal, oil, gas and coal resources of geothermal, oil, gas and coal resources
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Advocate immediate passage of
the Downstream Natural Gas BillPursue the development ofstrategic infrastructures
Expand the utilization of naturalgas in power, transport, industry,buildings and agriculture
Establish the Philippine NaturalGas Institute
Accelerate exploration and development Accelerate exploration and development
of geothermal, oil, gas and coal resources of geothermal, oil, gas and coal resources
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Aggressively develop Aggressively develop
renewable energy potentials renewable energy potentials
Pursue the immediate passage ofthe Renewable Energy BillPromote application of
environment-friendly energytechnologiesCreate a one-stop-shop forprocessing sustainable energy
projects
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Increase the use of Alternative Fuels Increase the use of Alternative Fuels
Accelerate implementation of the Bio-FuelsLaw and Natural Gas Vehicle Program forPublic Transport program
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Enhance energy efficiency Enhance energy efficiency
and conservation and conservation
Continue to implement the National Energy
Efficiency and Conservation Program (NEECP)Intensify campaign to switch from incandescent
lamps to CFLs
Develop Minimum Energy Performance Standards
to phase out the least efficient lamps in the
market by 2010
Expand coverage of electrical light or appliance
labeling in the Philippines
Advocate for the immediate passage of the
Energy Conservation Bill
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Form strategic alliance with Form strategic alliance with
other countries other countries
Complement strengths, share experiences,exchange technologies
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Wind resources – over 10,000 km² with
76,600 MW of potential installed capacity
Micro-hydro applications – potentialcapacity of at least 500 kW in Northern
Luzon & Mindanao.
Mini-hydro potential capacity of 1,784 MW
from 888 sites
Solar radiation nationwide – an annual
potential average of 5.0 - 5.1 kWh/m2/day
Ocean energy resource – potential
capacity of about 170,000 MW
Ricehull total potential of 277 MW
Bagasse total potential of 236 MW
RENEWABLE ENERGY RESOURCESRENEWABLE ENERGY RESOURCES
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Increase RE-based capacityby 100% within the next 10
years (100/10)
Increase non-power
contribution of RE to the
energy mix by 10 MMBFOEin the next ten years
RE Goals
Building a Sustainable Energy Future for the Philippines
Renewable Energy POLICY FRAMEWORK
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Through RE Program, theThrough RE Program, the
Philippines aims to:Philippines aims to:
Be the number one geothermal energy producer
in the world (no.2 in capacity and no. 1 in steam utilization)
Be the number one wind energy producer inSouth East Asia
Double hydro capacity by 2013 (additional
2,950 MW)Expand contribution of biomass, solar andocean energy by 131 MW
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3,699.7981.3521.25998.211,2274,698Total10.00000010Ocean
-3.16415.8415.84.15811Solar
51.7556.8856.8868.25120120Biomass
391.8024.006.0425.20105417Wind
1,095.4087.178.72104.601201,200Geothermal
2,154.0090.3526.98796.008812,950Hydro
2004-2007
2004-2013
2004-20072004-2007
2004-2013
REMAININGREMAININGBALANCEBALANCE
(MW)(MW)
%%ACCOMPLISHEDACCOMPLISHED
ACCOMPLISHMENTSACCOMPLISHMENTS
(MW)(MW)TARGETTARGET
(MW)(MW)RESOURCERESOURCE
Where are we now?Where are we now?
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16,324.2316,255.9815,672.3515,641.63Total
68.25000Biomass
4.1584.1584.130Solar Photovoltaic
25.225.224.950Wind
2,027.072,027.071,9321,927.95Geothermal
3,657.563,657.563,312.073,312.07Hydro
5,782.235,713.985,273.155,240.02RE Resources4,177.004,177.003,967.003,964.74Coal
2,763.002,763.002,763.002,767.54Natural Gas
3,602.003,602.003,669.203,669.33Oil
2007200620052004RESOURCE
INSTALLED CAPACITY MIX, MWINSTALLED CAPACITY MIX, MW
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INSTALLED GENERATING
CAPACITY (MW), 2007
Natural Gas2,763.00
17%
Oil3,602.00
22%RE
Resources
5,782.23
35%
Coal
4,177.00
INSTALLED CAPACITY MIX, 2007INSTALLED CAPACITY MIX, 2007
RE-INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW), 2007
Hydro
3,657.56
64%
Geothermal2,027.07
35%
Solar
Photovoltaic
4.158
0%
Biomass
68.25
1%
Wind25.2
0%
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POWER GENERATION MIXPOWER GENERATION MIX
* 2007 Generation Mix is based on preliminary data
Self Sufficiency Level
2006 = 65%
2007 = 66%
1 7 . 5 %
1 4 . 4 0
%
0 . 1 %
0 . 1 0 %
2 6 . 9 % 2 8
. 3 0 %
8 . 2 %
8 . 6 0
%
2 8 . 8 %
3 1 . 5 0
%
1 8 . 4 %
1 7 . 1 0
%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
H y d r o W i n d & S o l a r
C o a l O i l B a s e d
N a t u r a l G a s
G e o t h e r m a l
2006
2007
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PLANT TYPE Installed(MW)
% Share
Oil-based 3,616 23
Hydro 3,289 21Geothermal 1,958 12
Coal 4,213 26
Natural Gas 2,834 18
Wind 25 0.16
Solar 1 0.01Total 15,937 100
POWER GENERATIONPOWER GENERATION
Note:
Installed Capacity for NPC/NPC-IPP as per NPC PowerEconomics Dept. data. Dependable capacity of NPC/NPC-IPP
based on 2007 NPC Eligible Generating Capacity as of July 2007.Peak Demand as of October 2007 per TransCo S.O. (Luzon –May, Visayas – August, Mindanao – September) as of April 2008
STATUS OF EPIRASTATUS OF EPIRA
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Moving Toward a Competitive Power Market
Status of EPIRA Implementation
Inter-Grid Sept. 2002
Intra-Grid Oct. 2005Inter-Class Oct. 2005 Complied with.
Rates are
Structured andUnbundled.
Complied with.
UNBUNDLINGUNBUNDLING
CROSSCROSS--SUBSIDY REMOVALSUBSIDY REMOVAL
• Privatization level at 49% out of the 70% required
•
TransCo Concessionaire Awarded• By end-2008: To Offer 2,732.03 MW
• By end-2009: To Offer 2,215 MW
• By 1Q 2010: To Offer 235.2 MW
•
IPP Administrator tender by August 2008
• Luzon Commercial Operation in June 2006•
On-going assessment and preparation for WESMVisayas launch
On-going.
Complied with.
WESMWESM
PRIVATIZATIONPRIVATIZATION
OPEN ACCESS AND RETAIL COMPETITIONOPEN ACCESS AND RETAIL COMPETITION
STATUS OF EPIRASTATUS OF EPIRA
IMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONMOVING TOWARD A
COMPETITIVE POWERMARKET
MOVING TOWARD ACOMPETITIVE POWER
MARKET
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Power Plant Privatization:Power Plant Privatization:
On TargetOn Target
≈ 97% privatized4,3362009
100% privatized235.22010
70-75% privatized3,035-3,2522008
45-50% privatized1,951-2,1682007
LEVEL OFPRIVATIZATION
CAPACITY (MW)YEAR
Power Plant Coverage: Operating, Decommissioned, and NPC-IPPs
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Power Development Scenario Power Development Scenario
LUZON : 1,950 MW (2011-
2014)
VISAYAS : 820 MW
(2010-2014)
MINDANAO : 950 MW(2009-2014)
Total Additional Capacity Needed - 3,720 MWTotal Additional Capacity Needed - 3,720 MW
608.25 MW
566 MW
92.5 MW
Committed
735.5 MW
333 MW
3,188 MW
1,266.8 MW
Indicative
4,256.5 MW
AsNew
Entrant
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIESINVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
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Make electricity rate more affordable
Meet electricity demand anywhere
Maintain an environment conducive toprivate investments
Promote clean energy and energyefficiency
POWER SECTOR CHALLENGESPOWER SECTOR CHALLENGES
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Pursue full privatization of the remaining NPC
assets and contracted energy outputsAccelerate implementation of open access and
retail competition; to start in economic zones
Ensure better targeting and implementation of
subsidies for the poor and facilitating industry
competitivenessIntensify public sector involvement in reform
process
Make Electricity Rate AffordableMake Electricity Rate Affordable
and Competitiveand Competitive
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Aim for 100% village electrification by 2009
Intensify household electrification
Expand private sector participation in rural and
missionary areas
Meet Electricity Demand AnywhereMeet Electricity Demand Anywhere
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Maintain an environment conduciveMaintain an environment conducive
to private investmentsto private investments
Ensure sufficient, stable and accessible energy supply
meeting quality and safety standards
Provide a level-playing field in the conduct of business
Encourage investment in efficient and economic modesof energy marketing and distribution
Promote investment in strategic energy infrastructure
Encourage greater private sector investments and
participation through market-based incentives
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Promote private sector investment in green power
generation
Carry out demand side management program
Support climate change awareness campaign
Promote clean energy andPromote clean energy and
energy efficiencyenergy efficiency
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Extensively employ social mobilization tostrengthen stakeholders’ participation in planning,
implementing and monitoring, energy plans and
programsAdopt efficient use of energy as a way of life
Refine program monitoring systems
Sustaining best energy practicesSustaining best energy practices