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Climate Change Millbrae General Plan Update Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-1 August 2016 9
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Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-1 August 2016

9

9-2 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-3 August 2016

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9-4 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

TABLE 9-1 STATEWIDE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS INVENTORY

California 1990-2013

Emissions Sector MMTCO2e Percent of

Total (2013)

Percent Change

(1990-2013) 19901 2000 2010 2013

Transportation 151 176 170 169 37 12

Electricity Generation2 111 105 90 90 20 -19

Industrial 103 98 92 93 20 -10

Commercial and

Residential Fuel Use

44 43 45 44 10 0

Agriculture 23 32 35 36 8 57

High GWP -3 7 15 19 4 n/a

Recycling and Waste -3 7 8 9 2 n/a

Total4 432 469 456 459

Notes: GWP = global warming potential; MMTCO2e = million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent 1California’s first 1990 GHG emissions inventory was prepared in 2007 by ARB using GWP values from the IPCC Second Assessment Report. All other inventory years shown use GWP values from the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. 2Includes both in-state electricity generation and out-of-state imported electricity. 3High GWP and Recycling and Waste sectors were included in the Industrial sector for the 1990 inventory only. 4Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding. Source: ARB 2007, ARB 2015; data compiled by Ascent Environmental, 2016.

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-5 August 2016

9

TABLE 9-2 GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS, BY SECTOR AND COUNTY (MMTCO2E)

San Francisco Bay Area 2011

Alameda Contra Costa

Marin Napa San

Fran-cisco

San Mateo

Santa Clara

Solano2 Sonoma2 Total SF Bay Area

Industrial/

Commercial 2.7 17.8 0.4 0.2 1.2 1.4 4.1 2.7 0.5 31.0

Residential Fuel 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.9 0.8 1.5 0.3 0.4 6.6

Electricity/Co-

Generation 0.9 7.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 2.2 0.4 0.2 12.0

Off-Road

Equipment 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.2

Transportation 7.9 5.0 1.3 0.9 3.0 5.0 7.6 1.6 2.0 34.3

Agriculture/

Farming 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.1

TOTAL

(All Sectors)1 13.2 31.4 2.4 1.5 5.7 7.7 16.0 5.1 3.5 86.5

Notes: MMTCO2e = million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent. 1Totals may not sum exactly, due to rounding of figures. 2Portion within San Francisco Bay Air Basin. Source: BAAQMD 2015; compiled by Ascent Environmental, 2016.

9-6 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

TABLE 9-3 GOVERNMENT OPERATIONS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS INVENTORIES (MTCO2E)

Millbrae 2005 and 2010

Sector 2004-2005

Percent of Total (2004-2005)

2010 Percent of Total

(2010)2

Buildings and Facilities 496 30 350 13

Vehicle Fleet 344 21 337 12

Employee Commute1 -- -- 411 15

Public Lighting 329 20 172 6

Water/Wastewater 389 24 12942 48

Government Generated Solid Waste 87 5 155 6

TOTAL 1,645 100 2,720 100 Notes: MTCO2e = metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent 1Employee commute emissions were not included in the 2004-2005 inventory. 2A direct and accurate comparison of changes in sector-based and total emissions between the 2004-2005 and 2010 inventories is not possible because the Local Government Operations Protocol (LGOP) was used for 2010, but not 2004-2005. The LGOP resulted in higher emissions in 2010 in this category because of the types of emissions included and how the wastewater emissions were calculated. Source: ICLEI 2008; City of Millbrae 2010; compiled by Ascent Environmental, 2016.

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-7 August 2016

9

TABLE 9-4 COMMUNITYWIDE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS, BY SECTOR (MTCO2E)

Millbrae 2005-2013

Sector Source 20051 2010 2011 2012 2013

Energy

Residential Energy Electricity

32,405 9,764 8,508 9,443 8,958

Natural Gas 22,555 22,845 22,091 22,001

Commercial/

Industrial Energy

Electricity 23,738

10,010 7,701 9,615 9,441

Natural Gas 15,413 15,444 13,838 14,584

Direct Access Electricity 3,895 2,207 2,725 3,045 2,917

Stationary Sources Multiple Fuels --2 34 35 41 32

Subtotal: Energy Sector 60,038 59,983 57,258 58,073 57,933

Transpor-

tation

Local Roads

Local Roads-

Gasoline 29,558 25,856 27,333 21,366 21,340

Local Roads-Diesel 2,265 2,458 1,951 1,979

State Highways

State Highways-

Gasoline 51,981

41,158 47,314 45,331 45,357

State Highways-

Diesel 3,606 4,255 4,140 4,205

Off-Road

Equipment

(Residential)

Off-Road

Equipment

(Residential) 5,645 6,037 6,051 6,164 6,278

Rail Caltrain 873 1,042 1,049 1,056 1,084

Freight Trains --2 137 137 137 137

Subtotal: Transportation Sector 88,057 80,101 88,597 80,145 80,380

Solid Waste

Solid Waste

Disposal

Landfilled Waste 2,461 2,118 2,202 2,202 2,015

ADC 25 66 91 42 40

Solid Waste

Landfills

Waste-in-Place at

Existing Landfills -3 -3 -3 -3 -3

Subtotal: Solid Waste Sector 2,486 2,184 2,293 2,244 2,055

Wastewater Wastewater Treatment 62 530 755 747 1,610

Water Water Use --2 311 203 229 243

Subtotal: Water and Wastewater Sectors 62 841 958 976 1,853

Total Annual GHG Emissions (all sectors) 150,643 143,108 149,105 141,439 142,222 Notes: ADC = alternative daily cover; MTCO2e = metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent. 12005 emissions shown in this table are consistent with the updated 2005 communitywide GHG emissions inventory completed by the City and C/CAG RICAPS in 2010. All emissions shown in 2010-2013 are consistent with C/CAG RICAPS data. 2Emissions associated with these specific activities in 2005 either were not included or were bundled in with other sectors in the updated 2005 inventory. 3There are no existing landfills within the city limits. Therefore, no waste-in-place emissions exist in the City’s inventories for 2005-2013. Source: City of Millbrae, 2010; C/CAG 2015; compiled by Ascent Environmental, 2016.

9-8 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-9 August 2016

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9-10 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-11 August 2016

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9-12 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-13 August 2016

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9-14 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

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o

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Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-15 August 2016

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9-16 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-17 August 2016

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9-18 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

‐ ‐

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-19 August 2016

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9-20 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-21 August 2016

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9-22 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-23 August 2016

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9-24 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-25 August 2016

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9-26 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

SKYLINE

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Figure 9-1: Sea Level Rise: Threatened Areas Map

Source: Knowles, Noah, USGS (2010).Map Date: 3/31/2016

Intermodal Transportation Station: BART/Caltrain/Future HSR

Millbrae City Limits

¹º Schools

Inundation Area

Current With 100-year Flood Event Exposure

Current + 0.5 m sea-level rise

Current + 1.0 m sea-level rise

Current + 1.4 m sea-level rise

G150100110 01 002

Note: These layers represent current coastal flooding projections,based on a 100-year flood event in and around the City of Millbrae,as well as projected vulnerable areas due to a 100-year flood eventand up to 1.4 m of sea-level rise. This “bathtub” model does notaccount for protective structure, such as levees; or hydrodynamicalprocesses such as wave run-up. More information on assumptionscan be found on Cal Adapt’s website: http://cal-adapt.org/sealevel/. Data was prepared by the USGS and can be found athttp://cascade.wr.usgs.gov.

9-28 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-29 August 2016

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9-30 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-31 August 2016

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9-32 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-33 August 2016

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9-34 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-35 August 2016

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9-36 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016

Climate Change

Millbrae General Plan Update

Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report 9-37 August 2016

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9-38 Public Review Draft Existing Conditions Report August 2016


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