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Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a dynamic, stochastic, mechanistic model A. Cadéro, A. Aubry, L. Brossard, Jean-Yves Dourmad, Y. Salaün, F. Garcia-Launay IFIP – The French pig research institute, Le Rheu (France) UMR PEGASE, INRA-Agrocampus Ouest, Saint-Gilles (France) 67th Annual Meeting of EAAP, Belfast , 2016
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Page 1: Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a ... · Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a dynamic, stochastic, mechanistic model A. Cadéro, A. Aubry, L. Brossard,

Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a dynamic, stochastic, mechanistic model

A. Cadéro, A. Aubry, L. Brossard, Jean-Yves Dourmad, Y. Salaün, F. Garcia-Launay

IFIP – The French pig research institute, Le Rheu (France) UMR PEGASE, INRA-Agrocampus Ouest, Saint-Gilles (France)

67th Annual Meeting of EAAP, Belfast , 2016

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.02 A. Cadéro et al. / Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a dynamic, stochastic, mechanistic model

European pig production faces economic and environmental challenges

Fattening unit major part of the total emissions and pig production costs

€/kg

Evolution of French pork price

Introduction:

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Objective: To develop a pig fattening unit model

To simulate individual performance of pigs (variability) in interaction with the farmer’s practices

To evaluate their effects on the technico-economic and environmental performance

A. Cadéro et al. / Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a dynamic, stochastic, mechanistic model

Introduction:

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Mechanistic

Stochastic: animal characteristics individual-based model (Brossard et al., 2014)

Dynamic: daily time-step

Model characteristics:

Lipids Proteins

Animal

Room Farmer

Animal level

Growth function

Technical performance

Production unit level

Unit

Effluents Inputs System level

Economic and environmental impacts

A. Cadéro et al. / Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a dynamic, stochastic, mechanistic model

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Model description:

l

A. Cadéro et al. / Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a dynamic, stochastic, mechanistic model

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Typical pig fattening unit:

Batch interval (21 days)

Feeding strategy (ad libitum up to 2.5kg/day + Two-phase)

~6400 pigs produced per year

Model application:

A. Cadéro et al. / Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a dynamic, stochastic, mechanistic model

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Example of mean growth curve of pigs from a same batch and 95% population interval

Variability among pigs intra-batch

A. Cadéro et al. / Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a dynamic, stochastic, mechanistic model

DEP: pigs delivery to slaughterhouse

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.08 A. Cadéro et al. / Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a dynamic, stochastic, mechanistic model

Lighter pigs (<105kg)

Parameter (unit)

mean (±sd)

between pigs

Slaughter weight (kg)

119.8 (± 3.7)

Pigs in range of slaughter weight (%)

99%

Slaughter age (day) 176 (±11)

Variability among pigs performance

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.09 A. Cadéro et al. / Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a dynamic, stochastic, mechanistic model

Variability among pigs climate change impact

Impact per kg of weight gain

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Variability pigs potential, mortality

Variability between- and within-batch Parameter (unit) Average and variability mean (±sd)

Between pigs (within batch)

Between batches

Average daily gain (kg) 0.86 (±0.1) 0.86 (±0.02)

Feed conversion ratio (kg/kg) 2.72 (±0.30) 2.73 (±0.06) Slaughter age (day) 176 (±11) 176 (±1.9) Slaughter weight (kg) 119.8 (± 3.7) 119.6 (±0.8)

A. Cadéro et al. / Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a dynamic, stochastic, mechanistic model

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A fattening unit model evaluation of effects of practices on technico-economic and environmental performance

In progress : a virtual experiment study and a sensitivity analysis

Coupling with a farrowing unit model

Conclusion and perspectives:

A. Cadéro et al. / Modelling fattening pig production systems: use of a dynamic, stochastic, mechanistic model

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Thank you for your attention !

[email protected]


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