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A Global Trading Summary of Grain, Oilseed and Livestock Markets
» Highlights
» Futures
» Options
October 2012
Monthly AgriculturalReview
How the world advances
AGRICULTURE
Monthly Agricultural Review
1
AGRICULTURAL TRADING HIGHLIGHTS October 2012
Average daily volume for October 2012 Grain and Oilseed futures was 675,518 contracts,
compared with 753,414 during October 2011, a decrease of 10.34 percent.
Average daily volume for October 2012 Grain and Oilseed options was 184,460 contracts, compared with 195,450 during October 2011, a decrease of 5.62 percent.
Average daily volume for October 2012 Oilseed complex futures was 388,196 contracts, compared with 405,033 during October 2011, a decrease of 4.16 percent.
Average daily volume for October 2012 Oilseed complex options was 84,073 contracts, compared with 70,521 during October 2011, an increase of 19.22 percent.
Electronic average daily volume for October 2012 Grain and Oilseed options was 80,295 contracts, compared with 49,427 during October 2011, an increase of 62.45 percent.
Average daily volume for October 2012 Live Cattle and Lean Hog futures and options was 95,447 contracts, compared with 105,149 during October 2011, a decrease of 9.23 percent.
Electronic average daily volume for October 2012 Live Cattle and Lean Hog futures was 67,263 contracts, compared with 69,483 during October 2011, a decrease of 3.2 percent.
Electronic average daily volume for October 2012 Live Cattle and Lean Hog options was 8,260 contracts, compared with 6,601 during October 2011, an increase of 25.13 percent.
Average daily volume for October 2012 cleared OTC Corn Calendar Swaps was 238 contracts, compared with 1,062 during October 2011, a decrease of 77.59 percent.
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2
October 2012
Contracts $ Notional
($ Millions) Contracts $ Notional
($ Millions)
Spot Month Close on
31-Oct-'12
Spot Month Close in US$/MT
31-Oct-'12
20-Day Historical Volatility
Corn Futures ZC C 204,416 $7,724 1,286,956 $48,631 755 3/4 $297.53 26.92%
Mini Futures XC YC 1,010 $8 8,167 $62
Total Futures 205,426 $7,732 1,295,123 $48,693
Options 85,559 1,944,905
Wheat Futures ZW W 77,236 $3,339 466,197 $20,151 864 1/2 $317.65 20.85%
Mini Futures XW YW 265 $2 2,955 $26
Total Futures 77,501 $3,341 469,152 $20,177
Options 17,047 463,504
Soybeans Futures ZS S 229,220 $17,750 633,974 $49,093 1548 3/4 $569.07 20.07%
Mini Futures XB YK 1,702 $26 9,149 $142
Total Futures 230,922 $17,777 643,123 $49,235
Options 69,460 695,700
Soybean Oil Futures ZL BO 104,022 $3,131 334,166 $10,057 50.16 $1,105.84 18.12%
Options 8,917 224,675
Soybean Meal Futures ZM SM 54,954 $2,650 224,187 $10,810 482.20 $531.53 20.97%
Options 6,059 200,058
Rough Rice Futures ZR RR 1,737 $53 13,893 $421 15.14 $333.78 15.72%
Options 68 1,226
Oats Futures ZO O 957 $19 12,845 $250 389 $225.68 16.58%
Options 52 4,654
Live Cattle Futures LE LC 42,486 $1,589 310,162 $11,597 125.93 7.81%
Options 9,400 247,261
Lean Hog Futures HE LH 37,790 $1,111 217,584 $6,395 78.28 13.00%
Options 5,772 156,312
Scorecard - Average Daily Volume and Open Interest Statistics
Average Daily Volume Open Interest
Ticker Symbols Electronic - Pit
Monthly Agricultural Review
3
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
Co
ntr
acts
Grain and Oilseed Combined Futures and Options - Average Daily Volume
Futures Options
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
Co
ntr
acts
Corn and Wheat Futures - Average Daily Volume
Corn Wheat
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0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
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Soybean Complex Futures - Average Daily Volume
Soybeans Soybean Meal Soybean Oil
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Co
ntr
acts
Oats and Rice Futures - Average Daily Volume
Oats Rough Rice
Monthly Agricultural Review
5
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Co
ntr
acts
Mini Grain and Oilseed Futures - Average Daily VolumeMini Soybeans Mini Corn Mini Wheat
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
Co
ntr
acts
Options - Average Daily VolumeCorn Soy Complex Wheat
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0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
Co
ntr
acts
Live Cattle and Lean Hog Futures - Average Daily Volume
Live Cattle Lean Hogs
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
Co
ntr
acts
Live Cattle and Lean Hog Options - Average Daily Volume
Live Cattle Lean Hogs
Monthly Agricultural Review
7
0%
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70%
80%
90%
100%
0
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200000
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300000
350000
400000
Co
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acts
Corn and Wheat Electronic Futures - Average Daily Volume
Corn Electronic ADV Wheat Electronic ADV
Corn % Electronic ADV Wheat % Electronic ADV
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
Co
ntr
acts
Soybean Complex Electronic Futures - Average Daily Volume
Soybeans Electronic ADV Soybean Oil Electronic ADV
Soybean Meal Electronic ADV Soybean Meal % Electronic ADV
Soybeans % Electronic ADV Soybean Oil % Electronic ADV
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
Co
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acts
Live Cattle and Lean Hog Electronic Futures - Average Daily Volume
Live Cattle Electronic ADV Lean Hog Electronic ADV
Lean Hog % Electronic ADV Live Cattle % Electronic ADV
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
Co
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acts
Corn and Wheat Electronic Options - Average Daily Volume Corn Electronic ADV Wheat Electronic ADV
Corn % Electronic ADV Wheat % Electronic ADV
Monthly Agricultural Review
9
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
Co
ntr
acts
Soybean Complex Electronic Options - Average Daily Volume
Soybean Electronic ADV Soybean Meal Electronic ADV
Soybean Oil Electronic ADV Soybean Meal % Electronic ADV
Soybean % Electronic ADV Soybean Oil % Electronic ADV
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
Co
ntr
acts
Live Cattle and Lean Hog Electronic Options - Average Daily Volume
Live Cattle Electronic ADV Lean Hog Electronic ADV
Lean Hog % Electronic ADV Live Cattle % Electronic ADV
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Corn and Wheat Monthly Historical Volatility - Spot MonthWheat Corn
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Soybeans Complex Monthly Historical Volatility - Spot Month
Soybeans Soybean Meal Soybean Oil
Monthly Agricultural Review
11
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Rough Rice and Oats Monthly Historical Volatility - Spot Month
Rough Rice Oats
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Live Cattle and Lean Hog Monthly Historical Volatility - Spot Month
Live Cattle Lean Hog
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0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
Co
ntr
acts
Chicago Time
Average Hourly Electronic Volumes - All Hours - October 2012
Lean Hog Futures
Live Cattle Futures
Soybean Oil Futures
Soybean Meal Futures
Soybean Futures
Wheat Futures
Corn Futures
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Co
ntr
acts
Chicago Time
Average Hourly Electronic Volumes - Extended Trading Hours - October 2012
Lean Hog Futures
Live Cattle Futures
Soybean Oil Futures
Soybean Meal Futures
Soybean Futures
Wheat Futures
Corn Futures
Monthly Agricultural Review
13
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
Op
en In
tere
st -
Co
ntr
acts
CFTC COT Report - Corn Futures Open Positions - Long
Swap Dealers Long Managed Money Long
% Swap Dealers Long % Managed Money Long
Source: CFTC
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
Op
en In
tere
st -
Co
ntr
acts
CFTC COT Report - Wheat Futures Open Positions - Long
Swap Dealers Long Managed Money Long
% Swap Dealers Long % Managed Money Long
Source: CFTC
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0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
Op
en In
tere
st -
Co
ntr
acts
CFTC COT Report - Soybean Futures Open Positions - Long
Swap Dealers Long Managed Money Long
% Swap Dealers Long % Managed Money Long
Source: CFTC
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
Op
en In
tere
st -
Co
ntr
acts
CFTC COT Report - Soybean Meal Futures Open Positions - Long
Swap Dealers Long Managed Money Long
% Swap Dealers Long % Managed Money Long
Source: CFTC
Monthly Agricultural Review
15
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
Op
en In
tere
st -
Co
ntr
acts
CFTC COT Report - Soybean Oil Futures Open Positions - Long
Swap Dealers Long Managed Money Long
% Swap Dealers Long % Managed Money Long
Source: CFTC
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Op
en In
tere
st -
Co
ntr
acts
CFTC COT Report - Live Cattle Futures Open Positions - Long
Swap Dealers Long Managed Money Long
% Swap Dealers Long % Managed Money Long
Source: CFTC
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0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
Op
en In
tere
st -
Co
ntr
act
s CFTC COT Report - Lean Hog Futures Open Positions - Long
Swap Dealers Long Managed Money Long
% Swap Dealers Long % Managed Money Long
Source: CFTC
Disclaimer Futures trading is not suitable for all investors, and involves the risk of loss. Futures are a leveraged investment, and because only a percentage of a contract’s value is required to trade, it is possible to lose more than the amount of money deposited for a futures position. Therefore, traders should only use funds that they can afford to lose without affecting their lifestyles. And only a portion of those funds should be devoted to any one trade because they cannot expect to profit on every trade. All references to options refer to options on futures. The Globe logo, CME® and CME Group™ are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Inc. CBOT® and Chicago Board of Trade® are trademarks of The Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc. NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange and ClearPort are trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. The information within this presentation has been compiled by CME Group for general purposes only. Although every attempt has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information within this presentation, CME Group assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. Additionally, all examples in this presentation are hypothetical situations, used for explanation purposes only, and should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience. All matters pertaining to rules and specifications herein are made subject to and are superseded by official CME, CBOT and CME Group rules. Current rules should be consulted in all cases concerning contract specifications.
AC395.9/0/0512
Futures trading is not suitable for all investors, and involves the risk of loss. Futures are a leveraged investment, and because only a percentage of a contract’s value is required to trade, it is possible to lose more than the amount of money deposited for a futures position. Therefore, traders should only use funds that they can afford to lose without affecting their lifestyles. And only a portion of those funds should be devoted to any one trade because they cannot expect to profi t on every trade.
All references to options refer to options on futures.
CME Group is a trademark of CME Group, Inc. The Globe Logo, CME, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, and Globex are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. CBOT and the Chicago Board of Trade are trademarks of the Board of Trade of the City of Chicago. New York Mercantile Exchange and NYMEX are registered trademarks of the New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. All other trademarks are the properties of their respective owners. The information within this brochure has been compiled by CME Group for general purposes only. CME Group assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. Additionally, all examples in this brochure are hypothetical situations, used for explanation purposes only, and should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience. All matters pertaining to rules and specifi cations herein are made subject to and are superseded by offi cial CME, CBOT, and NYMEX rules. Current rules should be consulted in all cases concerning contract specifi cations.
Copyright © 2012 CME Group. All rights reserved.
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