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Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

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CHAPTER 7: NORMAL DISTRIBUTION Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University
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Page 1: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

CHAPTER 7: NORMAL

DISTRIBUTION

Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S.

Mathematics Department

De La Salle University

Page 2: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Normal Distribution A normal distribution is a probability

distribution that plots all of its values in a symmetrical fashion and most of the results are situated around the probability's mean.

Values are equally likely to plot either above or below the mean. Grouping takes place at values that are close to the mean and then tails off symmetrically away from the mean.

Page 3: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Normal Distribution

The normal distribution is represented by a bell-shaped curve called the normal curve and the area under the curve represents the probability of the normal random variable X.

Page 4: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Situation: Normal DistributionLet X be the height of a student from DLSU and X is a normal random variable. Suppose that the mean height of all DLSU students is with standard deviation .

143 183123 203103 223

Page 5: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Situation: Normal Distribution

Page 6: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Properties of the Normal Curve

It is a bell-shaped curve. The mode, which is the point on the

horizontal axis where the curve is a maximum, occurs at x = μ. This means that the mean is equal to the mode.

The curve is symmetric about a vertical axis through the mean μ. The mean divides the set of data into two equal parts. This means that the mean is equal to the median.

Page 7: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Properties of the Normal Curve

The normal curve approaches the horizontal axis asymptotically as we proceed in either direction away from the mean. (The graph approaches the x-axis but the graph will never intersect the x-axis).

The total area under the curve and above the horizontal axis is equal to 1.

Page 8: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Formula: Normal DistributionThe formula for the normal distribution is given by

Page 9: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Comparing Normal CurvesConsider the figure below.

Page 10: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Comparing Normal Curves

Observe that the blue, red and yellow normal curves have the same mean because they are centered at but with different heights because of different frequencies. However, the green normal curve has mean .

Page 11: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Comparing normal curvesMoreover, all the normal curves shown have different variances which measures the dispersion or spread of the values in the data set. This is illustrated by the width of the curve. It can be seen from the figure, that the yellow normal curve has the largest width and with variance .

Page 12: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Comparing Normal Curves To avoid having normal distributions with

different means and standard deviations, we convert the normal random variable X into the standard normal random variable Z.

The standard normal random variable Z has mean equal to zero () and standard deviation equal to one ().

Page 13: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Standard Normal Distribution

To convert the values of the normal random variable X to the standard normal random variable Z, we use the formula given by .

Page 14: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example: From X to Z

Suppose that X is the normal random variable with mean and standard deviation . What is the probability that X is greater than 600?

In symbols, we have . Using the formula , substitute , and .

Page 15: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 1: Normal Distribution

Hupper Corporation produces many types of softdrinks, including Orange Cola. The filling machines are adjusted to pour 12 ounces of soda into each 12-ounce can of Orange cola. However, the actual amount of soda poured into each can is not exactly 12 ounces; it varies from can to can. It has been observed that the net amount of soda in such a can has a normal distribution with a mean of 12 ounces and a standard deviation of 0.015 ounce.

Page 16: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 1: Normal Distribution

A. What is the probability that a randomly selected can of Orange Cola contains 11.97 to 11.99 ounces of soda?

Probability for a Range

From X Value 11.97

To X Value 11.99

Z Value for 11.97 -2

Z Value for 11.99-

0.666667

P(X<=11.97) 0.0228

P(X<=11.99) 0.2525P(11.97<=X<=11.9

9) 0.2297

Page 17: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 1: Normal Distribution

The probability that a can of Orange Cola will have between 11.97 to 11.99 ounces is 0.2297.

If there are 1000 cans of Orange Cola, how many of the 1000 cans will have between 11.97 to 11.99 ounces?

The number of cans is or approximately 230 cans.

Page 18: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 1: Normal Distribution

Suppose we delete the last row of the PhStat output. How do we get

?

Probability for a Range

From X Value 11.97

To X Value 11.99

Z Value for 11.97 -2

Z Value for 11.99-

0.666667

P(X<=11.97) 0.0228

P(X<=11.99) 0.2525

Page 19: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 1: Normal Distribution

To determine the probability, we have

Page 20: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 1: Normal Distribution

B. What percentage of the cola contains at least 12.025 ounces of soda?

Probability for X <=

X Value 12.025

Z Value1.666666

7P(X<=12.025)

0.9522096

Probability for X >

X Value 12.025

Z Value1.666666

7P(X>12.025) 0.0478

Page 21: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 1: Normal Distribution

Suppose that the output below is the only given output.

Probability for X <=

X Value 12.025

Z Value1.666666

7P(X<=12.025)

0.9522096

Page 22: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 1: Normal Distribution

The probability that the cola will have at least 12.025 ounces of soda is 0.0478.

Page 23: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 2: Normal Distribution

The price of diesel oil over the past 24 months is normally distributed with a mean of 41 pesos per liter and standard deviation of 5 pesos per liter.

Page 24: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 2: Normal Distribution

A. What is the probability that the price of diesel is at most 34 pesos per liter?

Probability for X <=X Value 34Z Value -1.4P(X<=34) 0.0808

Page 25: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 2: Normal Distribution

B. For which amount can we find the highest 10% of the diesel prices?

Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.

Cumulative Percentage 10.00%

Z Value -1.2816

X Value  34.592

Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.

Cumulative Percentage 90.00%

Z Value 1.2816

X Value 47.408

Page 26: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 2: Normal Distribution

Since the highest 10% of the diesel prices occurs at the rightmost part of the normal curve, we get the area at the left which is 90%.

Thus, we use the table with cumulative percentage equal to 90%.

Page 27: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 2: Normal Distribution

Getting the X value, we have 47.408. This means that that the probability that

diesel prices is more than 47.408 pesos per liter is 10% or 0.10.

Page 28: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 2: Normal Distribution

Suppose that we delete the last row of the table of cumulative percentage. How do we find the value of X?

Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.

Cumulative Percentage 90.00%

Z Value 1.2816

X Value 47.408

Page 29: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Example 2: Normal Distribution

Using the formula , we derive X. Then .

Page 30: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Exercises: Normal Distribution

1. The TV ratings of the show The Big Bang Theory are approximately normally distributed with mean 22.7 and standard deviation 7.4.

Probability for X <=X Value 27.6Z Value 0.7027027P(X<=27.6) 0.7588795

Probability for X >X Value 26.1Z Value 0.5P(X>26.1) 0.3085

Page 31: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Exercises: Normal Distribution

A. What is the probability that for a given day the show The Big Bang Theory will obtain a rating of at least 27.6?

B. Given 15 episodes of the show The Big Bang Theory, how many episodes would get a rating of less than 26.1?

Page 32: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Exercises: Normal Distribution

2. In the November 1990 issue of Chemical Engineering Progress, a study discussed the percent purity of oxygen from a certain supplier. Assume that the mean was 99.61 with a standard deviation of 0.08. Assume that the distribution of percent purity was approximately normal.

Page 33: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Exercises: Normal Distribution

A. What percentage of the purity values would you expect to be between 99.5 and 99.7?

Probability for X <=

X Value 99.5

Z Value -1.375

P(X<=99.5) 0.0845657

Probability for X >

X Value 99.7

Z Value 1.125

P(X>99.7) 0.1303

Probability for a Range

From X Value 99.5

To X Value 99.7

Z Value for 99.5 -1.375

Z Value for 99.7 1.125

P(X<=99.5) 0.0846

P(X<=99.7) 0.8697

Page 34: Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.

Exercises: Normal Distribution

B. What purity value would you expect to exceed exactly 5% of the population?

Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.

Cumulative Percentage 5.00%

Z Value -1.644854

Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.

Cumulative Percentage 95.00%

Z Value 1.644854


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