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Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

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Presentation for panel "The Changing Commercial Real Estate Landscape: Office, Retail, Manufacturing, and Healthcare" that I moderated at the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) Annual meeting
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NABE Annual Meeting June 7, 2013
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Page 1: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

NABE Annual Meeting

June 7, 2013

Page 2: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

Greenbuild 2010

Panel: The Changing Commercial

Real Estate Landscape: Office,

Retail, Manufacturing, and Healthcare

Moderator: Bernard M. Markstein

Reed U.S. Chief Economist

Page 3: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

The Changing Commercial Real Estate Landscape

3

Greenbuild 2010

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14

Residential Nonresidential Building Heavy Construction

$ Billions

History Forecast

Source: History – U.S. Census Bureau; Forecast – Reed Construction Data

Construction Spending and

its Components

Page 4: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

The Changing Commercial Real Estate Landscape

4

Greenbuild 2010

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

375

400

425

450

475

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Billion $, SAAR

Construction Spending:

Nonresidential Construction

Source: History – U.S. Census Bureau; Forecast – Reed Construction Data

Page 5: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

The Changing Commercial Real Estate Landscape

5

Greenbuild 2010

-40

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

353-Month Moving Average, Year-over-Year % Change

Reed Nonresidential Starts (3-Mo MA YoY)

Source: Reed Construction Data

Page 6: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

The Changing Commercial Real Estate Landscape

6

Greenbuild 2010

Office and Retail Construction Spending

Source: History – U.S. Census Bureau; Forecast – Reed Construction Data

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Office Retail

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

2012 2013 2014

$ Billions

Page 7: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

The Changing Commercial Real Estate Landscape

7

Greenbuild 2010

Office Construction Starts

Source: Reed Construction Data

Shaded area represents recession

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

903-Month Moving Average, Year-over-Year % Change

Page 8: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

The Changing Commercial Real Estate Landscape

8

Greenbuild 2010

Retail Construction Starts

Source: Reed Construction Data

Shaded area represents recession

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

903-Month Moving Average, Year-over-Year % Change

Page 9: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

The Changing Commercial Real Estate Landscape

9

Greenbuild 2010

Manufacturing and Health Care Construction Spending

Source: History – U.S. Census Bureau; Forecast – Reed Construction Data

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Manufacturing Health Care

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

2012 2013 2014

$ Billions

Page 10: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

The Changing Commercial Real Estate Landscape

10

Greenbuild 2010

Manufacturing Construction Starts

Source: Reed Construction Data

Shaded area represents recession

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2203-Month Moving Average, Year-over-Year % Change

Page 11: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

The Changing Commercial Real Estate Landscape

11

Greenbuild 2010

Health Care Construction Starts

Source: Reed Construction Data

Shaded area represents recession

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

603-Month Moving Average, Year-over-Year % Change

Page 12: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

The Changing Commercial Real Estate Landscape

Greenbuild 2010

About Reed Construction Data

Reed Construction Data is a leading construction

information provider.

We deliver targeted and timely project leads, market intelligence,

marketing solutions and RSMeans cost data to construction

professionals throughout the US and Canada.

Maximize Productivity

Increase Profits

Drive Growth

Our products and services simplify decision-making and help

organizations:

Page 13: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

The Changing Commercial Real Estate Landscape

Greenbuild 2010

Reed Construction Data

Plan

Execute Analyze

Predict

Market Intelligence

cūbus

Reed Construction Forecast

Construction Starts Database

Reed Market Fundamentals

Expansion Index

RSMeans

RSMeans Online™

RSMeans Cost Data

Green Models

Project Leads

Connect™

SmartSpecs™

DataLink™

Marketing Solutions

specEdge™

SmartBuilding Index™

Page 14: Nabe real estate round table sep 8, 2013 markstein

The Changing Commercial Real Estate Landscape

Greenbuild 2010

Plan

Execute Analyze

Predict

Market Intelligence and Forecasts

With Reed you can:

Set strategy based on current market trends

Identify new development opportunities

Discover high-growth markets

Align resources to meet demand

Reduce Uncertainty

Reed Construction Data delivers timely forecasts

and industry analysis to keep your business

profitable–even in this tough economic climate.


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