NAPE NL Budget Opinion 2013

7/30/2019 NAPE NL Budget Opinion 2013

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/nape-nl-budget-opinion-2013 1/34

Newfoundland and Labrador Association of Public and Private Employees (NAPE)

Newfoundland and Labrador Budget Opinion 2013



Methodology

©Harris/Decima 2

•This research was conducted over the telephone with a total of 503 randomly chosen

residents of Newfoundland and Labrador.

•CATI phone interviews were done between April 26th and May 5th, 2013.

•The results are considered accurate to within +/- 4.4% 19 times out of 20.

•The data was gathered using random sampling techniques and then weighted to match

the demographic characteristics of the general population. The table below summarizes

these demographic characteristics, and provides their proportions before and afterweighting:

Gender Unweighted (%) Weighted (%) Urban/Rural Unweighted (%) Weighted (%)

Male 50% 48% Rural Area 40% 41%

Female 50% 52% Urban core 60% 59%

Age Unweighted (%) Weighted (%) Region (Fed Riding) Unweighted (%) Weighted (%)

18 - 24 5% 6% Avalon 16% 15%

25 - 34 13% 17% Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor 17% 17%

35 - 44 18% 17% Humber--St. Barbe--Baie Verte 14% 14%

45 - 54 22% 21% Labrador 5% 6%

55 - 64 23% 22% Random--Burin--St. George's 14% 14%

65 or older 19% 17% St. John's East 17% 17%

St. John's South--Mount Pearl 17% 17%



Respondent Demographic Profile

©Harris/Decima 3

Gender Weighted (%) Income Weighted (%)

Male 48% Less than $20,000 11%

Female 52% $20,000 to less than $40,000 16%

Age Weighted (%) $40,000 to less than $60,000 15%

18 - 24 6% $60,000 to less than $80,000 13%

25 - 34 17% $80,000 to less than $100,000 9%

35 - 44 17% $100,000 or more 22%

45 - 54 21% Don't know/Refused 14%

55 - 64 22% Education Weighted (%)

65 or older 17% Less than high school 11%

Urban/Rural Weighted (%) Graduated high school 18%

Rural Area 41% Some post-secondary education 9%

Urban core 59% College/Technical school certificate or diploma 27%

Region (Fed Riding) Weighted (%) University certificate or diploma below a bachelor's degree 5%

Avalon 15% University degree (Bachelors) 16%

Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor 17% Post-Graduate or Professional Degree (Masters, PhD, Law School) 12%

Humber--St. Barbe--Baie Verte 14% Don't know/Refused 2%

Labrador 6%

Random--Burin--St. George's 14%

St. John's East 17%

St. John's South--Mount Pearl 17%



©Harris/Decima

Perceptions of the Provincial Budget



Knowledge of the Provincial Budget

17%

23%

18%

27%

15%

27%

18%

29%

13%

21%

63%

61%

61%

64%

66%

58%

65%

60%

61%

62%

19%

15%

20%

8%

18%

15%

16%

11%

27%

17%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

A lot A little Nothing at all

Would you say you know a lot, a little or nothing at all about the latest provincial budget?

Base: All Respondents (n=503)

©Harris/Decima 5



Support for the Provincial Budget

2%

2%

3%

1%

1%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

19%

22%

24%

14%

15%

26%

25%

17%

20%

21%

50%

52%

50%

53%

55%

47%

49%

53%

52%

51%

18%

21%

18%

24%

21%

19%

20%

23%

14%

20%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Strongly support Support Oppose Strongly oppose

Overall, do you strongly support, support, oppose or strongly oppose the provincial budget?

Base: Those who know a lot/a little about the latest Provincial budget (n=423)

©Harris/Decima 6



Support for the Provincial Budget

21%

23%

27%

15%

16%

29%

27%

19%

23%

23%

68%

73%

68%

77%

76%

66%

69%

76%

66%

71%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Strongly support/Support Strongly oppose/Oppose

Overall, do you strongly support, support, oppose or strongly oppose the provincial budget?


©Harris/Decima 7



Oversight on the Provincial Budget

8%

13%

13%

8%

10%

12%

13%

7%

18%

11%

88%

82%

81%

91%

83%

86%

81%

89%

81%

84%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Yes No

Do you think the Government conducted proper study and consultation prior to making the decisions

announced in the latest budget?

©Harris/Decima 8




Reviewing the Cuts in the Provincial Budget

85%

79%

79%

86%

86%

77%

80%

83%

82%

81%

18%

19%

18%

12%

13%

20%

19%

14%

15%

16%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Yes No

Do you feel that the Government should review all of the cuts announced in the latest budget?


©Harris/Decima 9



Awareness of Staff Cuts in the Provincial Budget

74%

83%

74%

92%

81%

77%

76%

87%

71%

79%

26%

17%

26%

8%

19%

22%

23%

13%

28%

20%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Yes No

Have you read, seen or heard anything about proposed staffing cuts announced in the recent budget?


©Harris/Decima 10



Support For Proposed Cuts in the Provincial Budget

5%

2%

3%

3%

2%

5%

3%

4%

2%

3%

12%

20%

21%

9%

13%

21%

24%

12%

14%

17%

38%

37%

39%

33%

42%

32%

36%

36%

41%

37%

44%

40%

35%

53%

42%

40%

36%

45%

43%

41%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Strongly support Support Oppose Strongly oppose

Based on what you have seen or read, how strongly do you support or oppose the proposed cuts?

Base: Those who have seen/heard about proposed staff cuts in the Provincial budget (n=401)

©Harris/Decima 11



Support For Proposed Cuts in the Provincial Budget

17%

22%

24%

12%

15%

26%

27%

16%

16%

20%

81%

76%

74%

86%

84%

72%

72%

71%

84%

78%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Strongly support/Support Strongly oppose/Oppose

Based on what you have seen or read, how strongly do you support or oppose the proposed cuts?

Base: Those who have seen/heard about proposed staff cuts in the Provincial budget (n=401)

©Harris/Decima 12



Impact of the Provincial Budget

34%

27%

27%

36%

34%

25%

28%

32%

30%

30%

38%

42%

38%

45%

41%

40%

35%

47%

38%

40%

25%

29%

32%

17%

22%

33%

34%

21%

28%

28%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Major impact Minor impact No impact

As you may or may not know, the 2013 Budget contained a reduction in net expenditures of more

than $300 million which will include cutting public sector jobs and public services.

Do you think these changes will have a major impact, a minor impact, or no real impact on you and

your family?


©Harris/Decima 13



Impact of the Provincial Budget

63%

50%

47%

73%

63%

47%

53%

61%

49%

55%

22%

33%

32%

21%

23%

35%

26%

29%

34%

29%

10%

11%

13%

5%

7%

13%

13%

7%

12%

10%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Major impact Minor impact No impact

If this decrease is implemented, do you think it will have a major impact, a minor impact, or no real

impact on the delivery of government services?


©Harris/Decima 14



Confidence in Provincial Forecasts

1%

4%

4%

1%

1%

4%

2%

3%

3%

3%

23%

25%

27%

16%

23%

25%

26%

18%

29%

24%

39%

34%

35%

39%

41%

31%

36%

38%

34%

36%

33%

34%

31%

40%

31%

37%

33%

38%

29%

34%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Very confident Somewhat confident Not that confident Not at all confident

How confident are you in the government’s economic forecasts?


©Harris/Decima 15



Confidence in Provincial Forecasts

24%

28%

31%

17%

24%

29%

28%

21%

32%

27%

72%

68%

66%

79%

72%

68%

69%

76%

63%

70%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Very/Somewhat Confident Not that/Not at all confident

How confident are you in the government’s economic forecasts?


©Harris/Decima 16



Specific Measures in Provincial Budget

10%

11%

18%

32%

40%

39%

35%

31%

24%

25%

27%

20%

23%

22%

15%

9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

The cuts included in the budget willhelp reduce the deficit.

The Provincial Government should beallowed to take the steps they feel are

necessary

The measures in the budget which willreduce government staff levels are not

necessary

The government’s budget was basedon inaccurate forecasts

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree

How much do you agree with the following statements?


©Harris/Decima 17



Specific Measures in Provincial Budget

50%

50%

53%

63%

47%

46%

42%

29%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

The cuts included in the budget willhelp reduce the deficit.

The Provincial Government should beallowed to take the steps they feel are

necessary

The measures in the budget which willreduce government staff levels are not

necessary

The government’s budget was basedon inaccurate forecasts

Somewhat/Strongly Agree Somewhat/Strongly Disagree

How much do you agree with the following statements?


©Harris/Decima 18



Measures Reducing Government Staff Levels

19%

17%

17%

19%

18%

17%

17%

21%

13%

18%

33%

37%

34%

38%

35%

36%

32%

36%

41%

35%

25%

28%

28%

23%

26%

28%

28%

24%

29%

27%

18%

13%

15%

16%

15%

15%

17%

15%

12%

15%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall


How much do you agree with the following statements? … The measures in the budget which will

reduce government staff levels are not necessary.


©Harris/Decima 19



Measures Reducing Government Staff Levels

52%

54%

51%

57%

53%

53%

49%

57%

54%

53%

43%

41%

43%

39%

43%

43%

45%

39%

41%

42%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall


How much do you agree with the following statements? … The measures in the budget which will

reduce government staff levels are not necessary.


©Harris/Decima 20



Government Budget Based on Inaccurate Forecasts

33%

31%

31%

35%

32%

32%

31%

39%

22%

32%

29%

32%

30%

30%

31%

30%

30%

28%

36%

31%

21%

20%

20%

21%

21%

20%

20%

15%

28%

20%

9%

9%

10%

7%

7%

11%

11%

9%

5%

9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall


How much do you agree with the following statements? … The government’s budget was based on

inaccurate forecasts.


©Harris/Decima 21



Government Budget Based on Inaccurate Forecasts

62%

63%

61%

65%

63%

62%

61%

67%

58%

63%

30%

29%

30%

28%

28%

31%

31%

24%

33%

29%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall


How much do you agree with the following statements? … The government’s budget was based on

inaccurate forecasts.


©Harris/Decima 22



Reducing the Deficit

11%

9%

11%

7%

7%

13%

10%

10%

10%

10%

35%

43%

40%

38%

38%

41%

36%

39%

45%

40%

28%

22%

22%

29%

28%

20%

24%

22%

28%

24%

22%

23%

23%

23%

21%

25%

26%

26%

12%

23%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall


How much do you agree with the following statements? … The cuts included in the budget will help

reduce the deficit.


©Harris/Decima 23



Reducing the Deficit

46%

52%

51%

45%

45%

54%

46%

49%

55%

50%

50%

45%

45%

52%

49%

45%

50%

48%

40%

47%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall


How much do you agree with the following statements? … The cuts included in the budget will help

reduce the deficit.


©Harris/Decima 24



Government Taking Necessary Steps

9%

12%

13%

7%

8%

14%

9%

13%

12%

11%

38%

39%

40%

36%

41%

36%

40%

35%

41%

39%

31%

20%

24%

26%

24%

25%

19%

25%

34%

25%

19%

23%

19%

28%

22%

21%

25%

25%

10%

22%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall


How much do you agree with the following statements? … The Provincial Government should be

allowed to take the steps they feel are necessary.


©Harris/Decima 25



Government Taking Necessary Steps

47%

51%

53%

43%

49%

50%

49%

48%

52%

50%

50%

43%

43%

54%

46%

46%

44%

50%

44%

46%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall


How much do you agree with the following statements? … The Provincial Government should be

allowed to take the steps they feel are necessary.


©Harris/Decima 26



Effect of Provincial Budget

67%

67%

62%

80%

70%

64%

55%

75%

75%

67%

31%

32%

37%

20%

29%

35%

43%

25%

24%

32%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Yes No

Would you say you know someone who has been negatively affected by the most recent budget?


©Harris/Decima 27



©Harris/Decima

Perceptions of the Economy



State of the Provincial Economy

4%

6%

5%

5%

3%

7%

5%

5%

6%

5%

37%

42%

41%

38%

35%

46%

40%

41%

39%

40%

40%

34%

35%

39%

38%

35%

37%

37%

35%

36%

14%

15%

15%

14%

20%

9%

15%

13%

16%

15%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

4%

1%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Excellent Good Fair Poor Very poor

Would you rate the current state of the following as excellent, good, fair, poor, or very poor right

now? How about... Newfoundland and Labrador’s economy


©Harris/Decima 29



State of Personal Finances

9%

10%

11%

7%

10%

9%

8%

8%

13%

9%

52%

54%

52%

57%

51%

55%

53%

56%

50%

53%

26%

25%

24%

28%

26%

24%

25%

24%

27%

25%

9%

8%

10%

5%

9%

8%

9%

8%

7%

8%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Excellent Good Fair Poor Very poor

Would you rate the current state of the following as excellent, good, fair, poor, or very poor right

now? How about... You and your family’s financial situation


©Harris/Decima 30



State of the Provincial Economy Compared to 5 Years

Ago

38%

41%

41%

39%

32%

49%

38%

43%

39%

40%

32%

33%

32%

32%

35%

30%

38%

28%

30%

32%

28%

24%

25%

27%

31%

20%

24%

28%

25%

26%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall

Better About the same Worse

Compared to 5 years ago, would you say the following are better, worse, or about the same? How

about… Newfoundland and Labrador’s economy


©Harris/Decima 31



State of Personal Finances Compared to 5 Years Ago

34%

40%

35%

43%

35%

40%

26%

41%

50%

37%

50%

43%

47%

42%

47%

44%

51%

47%

36%

46%

12%

16%

15%

12%

15%

13%

21%

10%

11%

14%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall


Compared to 5 years ago, would you say the following are better, worse, or about the same? How

about… You and your family’s financial situation


©Harris/Decima 32



State of the Provincial Economy One Year From Now

25%

27%

29%

19%

25%

27%

23%

27%

30%

26%

42%

45%

45%

41%

43%

45%

49%

39%

43%

44%

29%

23%

21%

36%

26%

25%

23%

29%

23%

25%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall


And, thinking about the future, do you think the following are going to be better, worse, or about the

same 12 months from now? How about… Newfoundland and Labrador’s economy


©Harris/Decima 33



State of Personal Finances One Year From Now

28%

32%

31%

28%

31%

29%

20%

34%

41%

30%

61%

56%

57%

60%

57%

58%

67%

55%

48%

58%

6%

9%

8%

8%

7%

9%

10%

7%

7%

8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

Non-union member

Union member

Female

Male

55+

35-54

18-34

Overall


And, thinking about the future, do you think the following are going to be better, worse, or about the

same 12 months from now? How about… Your personal financial situation


©H i /D i 34

Date post:	14-Apr-2018
Category:	Documents
Upload:	newfoundland-and-labrador-association-of-public-and-private-employees-nape
View:	214 times
Download:	0 times

NAPE NL Budget Opinion 2013

Documents