+ All Categories
Home > Documents > National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  ·...

National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  ·...

Date post: 03-Apr-2018
Category:
Upload: lephuc
View: 214 times
Download: 1 times
Share this document with a friend
28
National Likely General Election Voter Survey November 14 th , 2017 On the web www.mclaughlinonline.com
Transcript
Page 1: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

National Likely General Election Voter Survey

November 14th, 2017 On the web

www.mclaughlinonline.com

Page 2: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

This survey of 1,000 likely general election voters nationwide was conducted on Nov. 9th to 13th, 2017.

All interviews were conducted online; survey invitations were

distributed randomly within predetermined geographic units. These units were structured to correlate with actual voter turnout in a

nationwide general election.

This poll of 1,000 likely general election voters has an accuracy of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. The error margin increases for

cross-tabulations.

Methodology

National - M&A

November 2017

Page 3: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

2729

303129 2829322828 2826292726262828

3541383936383734

646263 61646464626564666966666667

62 6255

485252

56565659

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2/20/17 3/20/17 4/24/17 5/31/17 8/28/17 10/13/17 11/14/17

Right Direction Wrong Track

Direction: United States - Time Series-

National - M&A

November 2017

Page 4: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Direction: United States

34

59

8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Right Direction Wrong Track DK/Ref.

National - M&A

November 2017

RD WT

East 35 58

Midwest 32 61

South 34 56

West 32 61

Cont. Obama Pols. 12 84

Change Direction 59 33

Approve – Trump 69 24

Disapprove – Trump 6 89

Approve – GOP Majority 69 25

Disapprove – GOP Majority 17 78

Favorable – Trump 70 23

Unfavorable– Trump 7 88

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 9 87

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 65 27

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 65 28

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 10 86

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 23 57

Republican 63 29

Democrat 13 83

Independent 26 62

Liberal 18 78

Moderate 24 67

Conservative 55 36

No College Degree 35 55

College Graduate 32 63

White 39 53

African- American 10 83

Hispanic 32 60

Under 55 32 60

Over 55 37 57

Married 37 57

Single 29 62

Men 37 58

Women 31 59

Page 5: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

3431

3331

33 3439 41 39

40 42 4144 44 45 44

57 58 58 58 5756

5248 49 51

48 48 47 48 47 46

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

9/15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2/20/17 3/20/17 4/24/17 5/31/17 8/28/17 10/13/17 11/14/2017

Continue Obama Policies Change Direction

Generally Speaking, would you like President Donald Trump and Congress to…? Continue the policies of President Obama, OR Change direction and move away from the

polices of President Obama

- Time Series-

National - M&A

November 2017

Page 6: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Generally Speaking, would you like President Donald Trump and Congress to…?

Continue the policies of President Obama, OR Change direction and move away from the policies of

President Obama

4446

9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Continue Obama

Policies

Change Direction DK/Ref.

National - M&A

November 2017

Cont. Change

East 45 41

Midwest 45 47

South 42 50

West 49 43

Cont. Obama Pols. 100 0

Change Direction 0 100

Approve – Trump 12 85

Disapprove – Trump 73 15

Approve – GOP Majority 22 74

Disapprove – GOP Majority 57 32

Favorable – Trump 11 87

Unfavorable– Trump 72 16

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 82 9

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 9 86

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 12 86

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 79 11

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 23 48

Republican 15 79

Democrat 80 14

Independent 35 48

Liberal 78 16

Moderate 49 37

Conservative 15 78

No College Degree 41 47

College Graduate 49 44

White 36 55

African- American 76 14

Hispanic 59 33

Under 55 49 42

Over 55 37 53

Married 42 51

Single 51 39

Men 43 49

Women 46 43

Page 7: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

4845

48 5149 49

47 48 4744

41

4748

44

4846

51 50 5153

30

40

50

60

70

12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2/20/17 3/20/17 4/24/17 5/31/17 8/28/17 10/13/17 11/14/17

Approve Disapprove

Job Rating: Donald Trump - Time Series-

National - M&A

November 2017

Page 8: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Job Rating: Donald Trump

National - M&A

November 2017

App. Disapp.

East 40 58

Midwest 44 54

South 46 50

West 44 54

Cont. Obama Pols. 12 88

Change Direction 82 17

Approve – Trump 100 0

Disapprove – Trump 0 100

Approve – GOP Majority 84 16

Disapprove – GOP Majority 25 74

Favorable – Trump 97 3

Unfavorable– Trump 5 94

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 6 93

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 91 8

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 85 14

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 11 89

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 42 49

Republican 83 16

Democrat 12 86

Independent 42 55

Liberal 20 79

Moderate 34 64

Conservative 75 23

No College Degree 46 51

College Graduate 43 56

White 53 46

African- American 9 88

Hispanic 36 60

Under 55 41 57

Over 55 52 47

Married 50 48

Single 36 61

Men 48 51

Women 41 56

44

22 23

53

13

40

2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

APP. Strongly Smwt DISAPP. Smwt Strongly DK/Ref.

Page 9: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

3533

3745 44 46

5046

4846 46 44 42

62 6560

49 49 5046

50 4852 51 52 54

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2/20/17 3/20/17 4/24/17 5/31/17 8/28/17 10/13/17 11/14/17

Favorable Unfavorable

Opinion: Donald Trump - Time Series-

National - M&A

November 2017

Page 10: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Opinion: Donald Trump

National - M&A

November 2017

Fav. Unfav.

East 38 58

Midwest 42 54

South 44 52

West 41 57

Cont. Obama Pols. 10 88

Change Direction 79 18

Approve – Trump 92 6

Disapprove – Trump 2 96

Approve – GOP Majority 80 18

Disapprove – GOP Majority 23 74

Favorable – Trump 100 0

Unfavorable– Trump 0 100

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 5 92

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 87 11

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 83 15

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 9 89

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 37 51

Republican 81 17

Democrat 11 86

Independent 37 58

Liberal 19 79

Moderate 31 64

Conservative 71 25

No College Degree 43 53

College Graduate 41 56

White 50 47

African- American 8 82

Hispanic 33 65

Under 55 38 58

Over 55 49 49

Married 48 50

Single 34 61

Men 47 50

Women 37 58

42

2220

54

13

41

4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

FAV. Very Smwt UNFAV. Smwt Very NO

OPIN.

Page 11: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Job Rating: GOP Majority in Congress

32

7

25

62

25

37

6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

APP. Strongly Smwt DISAPP. Smwt Strongly DK/Ref.

National - M&A

November 2017

App. Disapp.

East 31 64

Midwest 32 63

South 35 60

West 29 65

Cont. Obama Pols. 16 79

Change Direction 52 44

Approve – Trump 61 35

Disapprove – Trump 9 86

Approve – GOP Majority 100 0

Disapprove – GOP Majority 0 100

Favorable – Trump 61 35

Unfavorable– Trump 11 85

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 9 86

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 59 37

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 63 33

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 9 87

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 20 66

Republican 61 33

Democrat 11 84

Independent 26 68

Liberal 23 74

Moderate 26 67

Conservative 45 48

No College Degree 35 58

College Graduate 28 68

White 37 58

African- American 11 80

Hispanic 32 64

Under 55 35 59

Over 55 28 69

Married 34 61

Single 30 61

Men 33 64

Women 32 61

Page 12: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

41

48

404142 424444424443434143

4442 46424142444343434441

46

42

51

43424144424243

43434344

45444542454344444543444444

40

17 17181714141415

13131414131213131316

1413131413121514

10

20

30

40

50

60

10/14 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2/20/17 3/20/17 4/24/17 5/31/17 8/28/17 10/13/17 11/14/17

Democratic Republican Undecided

Generic Ballot for Congress - Time Series-

National - M&A

November 2017

Page 13: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Generic Ballot: U.S. Congress

40

22

118

46

30

107

14

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

GOP Def. Prob. Lean DEM Def. Prob. Lean UND.

GOP DEM. UND.

East 37 50 13

Midwest 40 47 13

South 43 42 15

West 37 50 13

Cont. Obama Pols. 10 83 7

Change Direction 74 11 14

Approve – Trump 76 11 13

Disapprove – Trump 10 77 13

Approve – GOP Majority 78 14 9

Disapprove – GOP Majority 21 64 15

Favorable – Trump 79 10 12

Unfavorable– Trump 11 76 13

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 5 87 8

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 78 8 14

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 100 0 0

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 0 100 0

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 0 0 100

Republican 88 5 7

Democrat 4 92 4

Independent 30 37 33

Liberal 18 76 6

Moderate 25 54 21

Conservative 72 17 11

No College Degree 39 44 16

College Graduate 40 49 11

White 48 37 15

African- American 8 84 8

Hispanic 34 56 10

Under 55 40 49 12

Over 55 41 42 17

Married 46 40 14

Single 33 55 12

Men 42 47 11

Women 38 46 16 National - M&A

November 2017

Page 14: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

12/16 1/17 2/6/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 8/17 10/17 11/17 Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod Cons App.

DJT

Disapp.

DJT Men

Wo-

men

ECONOMIC 47 45 45 54 46 47 42 45 48 36 60 47 60 50 37 35 60 50 46

Creating Jobs 35 33 32 37 32 32 28 28 31 19 42 31 42 34 19 19 40 31 30

Reducing Taxes 12 12 13 17 15 15 14 18 17 17 19 17 18 16 18 15 20 19 16

SECURITY 34 33 38 30 37 37 38 39 36 46 29 33 28 36 43 47 27 36 37

Nat’l Sec./Terror 20 23 19 18 24 24 24 27 25 29 23 22 20 28 27 28 23 24 27

Stop/Mideast

Refugees 7 5 14 6 6 6 7 6 6 10 2 10 5 5 9 11 2 7 6

Tear up Iran Nuke

Deal. 3 3 2 3 3 4 4 3 3 5 1 1 1 2 5 6 0 4 2

Building

Wall/Mexico 4 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 0 2 2 3 3 2 2 2

REPEAL/REPLACE

OBAMACARE 13 16 11 11 10 10 15 11 12 17 5 15 6 11 18 18 7 10 13

D.K./REFUSED 6 6 6 5 7 6 5 5 4 1 6 5 7 3 3 0 6 3 4

Top Priority of President Trump and the new Congress

14 National - M&A

November 2017

Page 15: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 8/17 10/17 11/17 Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod Cons App.

DJT

Disapp.

DJT Men Women

ECONOMIC 38 40 38 38 37 40 36 32 39 36 36 37 34 34 37 37 34

Improving the Economy 14 14 13 13 14 13 11 9 14 11 12 13 10 11 12 11 12

Jobs/Unemployment 11 12 11 12 8 9 11 7 15 10 14 13 7 8 13 11 11

Wasteful Gov’t

Spending 8 8 6 6 7 8 7 8 6 7 6 7 7 7 6 7 6

Reduce Budget/Deficit 4 5 5 5 6 6 5 6 2 7 2 3 9 6 4 6 4

Hold Line/Taxes 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

SOCIAL 24 29 24 25 29 27 29 23 35 30 40 27 23 23 35 27 31

Protect Medicare 11 14 12 11 13 14 16 9 20 17 22 15 12 11 20 16 16

Reform Healthcare 7 7 6 7 10 9 9 11 8 7 9 8 9 10 7 7 10

Improving Education 6 8 6 7 6 5 5 3 6 5 10 4 2 2 8 5 5

SECURITY 23 17 24 22 19 18 20 31 11 19 13 19 27 30 12 21 20

Nat’l Sec./Terror 10 9 11 11 9 8 10 15 6 9 6 10 13 14 6 10 9

Defeat/Destroy ISIS 7 5 8 8 5 6 6 9 4 5 5 6 6 8 4 7 5

Fix Immigration 6 3 6 4 4 4 5 8 2 5 2 3 8 8 2 4 5

HONESTY/

INTEGRITY/D.C. 13 11 10 13 13 12 13 13 14 13 11 15 14 12 15 15 12

D.K./REFUSED 2 3 4 3 4 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 3

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE

15 National - M&A

November 2017

Page 16: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 8/17 10/17 11/17 Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod Cons App.

DJT

Disapp.

DJT Men Women

NOT RECESSION 51 54 54 54 61 58 62 71 57 59 63 59 65 67 60 70 56

Getting Better 31 34 31 30 34 34 38 58 22 34 30 29 53 57 23 45 31

Getting Worse 20 19 23 24 26 24 25 13 35 25 33 31 12 10 37 25 24

RECESSION 37 35 33 34 29 30 27 23 31 26 28 27 25 25 28 22 31

Getting Better 24 22 22 19 17 17 16 18 13 16 14 15 18 21 12 14 18

Getting Worse 13 13 11 14 11 14 11 5 17 10 14 12 7 4 17 8 13

D.K./REFUSED 12 11 13 12 11 12 11 6 12 14 9 13 10 8 12 8 14

GETTING BETTER 54 57 53 50 51 50 53 76 36 50 44 44 71 78 34 59 49

GETTING WORSE 33 32 32 38 38 38 36 18 52 36 47 42 19 14 54 34 38

D.K./REFUSED 12 11 14 12 11 12 11 6 12 14 9 13 10 8 12 8 14

Net Diff. 21 25 21 12 13 13 18 58 -17 14 -4 2 51 64 -20 25 11

Current Opinion of the U.S. Economy

16 National - M&A

November 2017

Page 17: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

60

54

5756 54

5056

52 50

33

41 38 3940 43

3942

46

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

12/16 1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 8/17 10/17 11/17

Approve Disapprove

Do you approve or disapprove of repealing and replacing the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, also known as “ObamaCare?”

-Time Series-

National - M&A

November 2017

Page 18: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Approve/Disapprove: Repealing/ Replacing Obamacare

App. Disapp.

East 44 50

Midwest 49 48

South 55 39

West 45 52

Cont. Obama Pols. 16 81

Change Direction 86 11

Approve – Trump 86 12

Disapprove – Trump 21 75

Approve – GOP Majority 79 17

Disapprove – GOP Majority 35 62

Favorable – Trump 87 10

Unfavorable– Trump 22 74

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 15 82

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 85 11

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 85 12

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 18 79

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 57 31

Republican 83 14

Democrat 20 77

Independent 49 43

Liberal 25 73

Moderate 44 51

Conservative 75 20

No College Degree 52 42

College Graduate 47 50

White 57 39

African- American 17 78

Hispanic 45 49

Under 55 49 46

Over 55 52 44

Married 55 40

Single 43 53

Men 52 45

Women 48 47

National - M&A

November 2017

50

33

17

46

15

30

5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

APP. Strongly Smwt DISAPP. Smwt Strongly DK/Ref.

Page 19: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

50 5252 5555 56 5454

4953

51 52 53 55 53 55 53 52 5055

51 53 53 51 50

323131 3032

31 3229

34 32 32 31 30 2932 3131 31

34 32 34 32 32 31 32

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 11/16 12/16 1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 8/17 10/17 11/17

Smaller Larger

Would you say you most favor a smaller government with fewer services, or a larger government with many services?-

Time Series-

National - M&A

November 2017

Page 20: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Would you say you most favor a smaller government with fewer services, or a larger

government with many services?

Smaller Larger

East 43 34

Midwest 51 33

South 51 33

West 54 30

Cont. Obama Pols. 33 49

Change Direction 67 19

Approve – Trump 65 22

Disapprove – Trump 38 42

Approve – GOP Majority 55 33

Disapprove – GOP Majority 49 33

Favorable – Trump 66 21

Unfavorable– Trump 38 42

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 31 48

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 69 20

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 68 23

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 35 46

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 52 15

Republican 64 25

Democrat 32 49

Independent 56 21

Liberal 30 56

Moderate 46 31

Conservative 69 16

No College Degree 49 32

College Graduate 52 34

White 55 29

African- American 37 42

Hispanic 42 39

Under 55 45 37

Over 55 59 25

Married 57 29

Single 44 38

Men 56 32

Women 45 33

National - M&A

November 2017

50

33

17

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Smaller Gov't Larger Gov't DK/Ref.

Page 21: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Do you approve or disapprove of President Trump’s plan to cut taxes?

56

28 28

35

14

21

9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

APP. Strongly Smwt DISAPP. Smwt Strongly DK/Ref.

App. Disapp.

East 52 37

Midwest 54 33

South 60 34

West 54 39

Cont. Obama Pols. 31 60

Change Direction 86 9

Approve – Trump 90 6

Disapprove – Trump 28 61

Approve – GOP Majority 90 6

Disapprove – GOP Majority 39 52

Favorable – Trump 91 5

Unfavorable– Trump 30 59

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 27 64

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 90 6

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 91 5

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 28 63

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 48 28

Republican 89 6

Democrat 31 59

Independent 49 38

Liberal 35 57

Moderate 49 40

Conservative 80 13

No College Degree 58 32

College Graduate 53 39

White 62 30

African- American 39 54

Hispanic 49 40

Under 55 56 34

Over 55 56 37

Married 59 33

Single 54 35

Men 58 36

Women 54 35

National - M&A

November 2017

10/14/17 11/14/17

Approve 57 56

Disapprove 28 35

Page 22: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Is it personally more important to you that Congress pass a bill to reform taxes or to cut

taxes?

50

36

14

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Reform Taxes Cut Taxes DK/Ref.

National - M&A

November 2017

Reform Cut

East 43 41

Midwest 54 30

South 49 38

West 51 36

Cont. Obama Pols. 56 31

Change Direction 46 44

Approve – Trump 46 45

Disapprove – Trump 55 30

Approve – GOP Majority 48 42

Disapprove – GOP Majority 54 33

Favorable – Trump 46 45

Unfavorable– Trump 55 30

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 55 29

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 46 44

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 46 45

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 58 29

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 36 37

Republican 44 45

Democrat 53 31

Independent 52 33

Liberal 63 25

Moderate 45 37

Conservative 45 44

No College Degree 47 38

College Graduate 54 35

White 51 35

African- American 34 51

Hispanic 49 37

Under 55 47 38

Over 55 54 34

Married 52 34

Single 46 39

Men 55 38

Women 45 35

Page 23: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Which do you think is the most important goal for President Trump's tax cut plan:

Grow the economy to create millions of jobs Simplify the tax code

Provide tax relief to middle income families

31

17

43

8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Grow Economy Simplify Tax

Code

Middle Income

Tax Relief

Don't Know

Econ. Code Relief

East 32 15 42

Midwest 30 16 46

South 30 18 44

West 35 20 39

Cont. Obama Pols. 26 14 49

Change Direction 39 21 37

Approve – Trump 43 19 35

Disapprove – Trump 22 17 50

Approve – GOP Majority 44 18 36

Disapprove – GOP Majority 25 19 47

Favorable – Trump 43 20 34

Unfavorable– Trump 23 16 50

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 24 15 49

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 42 19 36

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 44 19 34

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 22 16 51

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 26 16 43

Republican 40 18 38

Democrat 25 16 47

Independent 30 19 43

Liberal 28 18 41

Moderate 30 15 46

Conservative 36 19 40

No College Degree 32 17 43

College Graduate 31 18 43

White 31 19 43

African- American 29 15 46

Hispanic 34 14 40

Under 55 34 17 38

Over 55 27 18 51

Married 30 18 45

Single 33 19 37

Men 36 21 37

Women 27 15 48

National - M&A

November 2017

10/14/17 11/14/17

Grow Economy 30 31

Simplify Code 20 17

Tax Relief 39 43

Page 24: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Do you support or oppose lowering the corporate tax rate for large and small businesses in the United

States from 35% to 20%?

50

20

30

37

2017

12

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

SUPPORT Strongly Smwt OPPOSE Smwt Strongly DK/Ref.

Support Oppose

East 46 42

Midwest 44 44

South 56 31

West 52 38

Cont. Obama Pols. 34 55

Change Direction 70 19

Approve – Trump 73 17

Disapprove – Trump 32 56

Approve – GOP Majority 72 17

Disapprove – GOP Majority 41 49

Favorable – Trump 75 16

Unfavorable– Trump 33 55

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 30 58

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 74 17

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 75 15

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 31 58

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 45 31

Republican 73 17

Democrat 34 53

Independent 45 41

Liberal 33 57

Moderate 43 42

Conservative 72 18

No College Degree 52 34

College Graduate 49 41

White 53 36

African- American 36 47

Hispanic 55 33

Under 55 50 37

Over 55 52 39

Married 52 37

Single 48 39

Men 55 36

Women 46 38

National - M&A

November 2017

10/14/17 11/14/17

Support 51 50

Oppose 34 37

Page 25: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Which do you think is the better way to pay for the tax cuts proposed by President Trump:

Grow the economy to provide more jobs, higher wages and more tax revenue. Eliminating tax deductions and raising taxes on upper income taxpayers and

businesses.

57

35

8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Grow the Economy Raise Taxes Unsure

Growth Taxes

East 60 32

Midwest 52 38

South 58 33

West 58 35

Cont. Obama Pols. 48 45

Change Direction 69 25

Approve – Trump 72 22

Disapprove – Trump 45 46

Approve – GOP Majority 70 23

Disapprove – GOP Majority 51 42

Favorable – Trump 71 23

Unfavorable– Trump 46 45

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 46 46

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 73 22

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 73 21

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 43 50

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 58 23

Republican 70 23

Democrat 46 45

Independent 56 35

Liberal 47 49

Moderate 53 36

Conservative 68 22

No College Degree 58 31

College Graduate 56 39

White 58 33

African- American 53 36

Hispanic 56 38

Under 55 57 36

Over 55 57 33

Married 59 33

Single 54 39

Men 60 35

Women 54 34

National - M&A

November 2017

10/14/17 11/14/17

Grow the Economy 57 57

Raise Taxes 35 35

Page 26: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Do you approve or disapprove of eliminating all federal income tax deductions for state and local taxes

that taxpayers pay on property and income taxes?

36

16

20

45

23 2219

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

APP. Strongly Smwt DISAPP. Smwt Strongly DK/Ref.

App. Disapp.

East 36 46

Midwest 30 50

South 42 39

West 33 49

Cont. Obama Pols. 28 56

Change Direction 47 33

Approve – Trump 50 33

Disapprove – Trump 26 57

Approve – GOP Majority 57 25

Disapprove – GOP Majority 26 57

Favorable – Trump 51 32

Unfavorable– Trump 26 56

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 23 58

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 50 33

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 50 32

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 24 58

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 37 38

Republican 51 33

Democrat 26 54

Independent 32 47

Liberal 30 57

Moderate 35 42

Conservative 42 39

No College Degree 37 40

College Graduate 35 50

White 37 45

African- American 31 49

Hispanic 44 33

Under 55 42 37

Over 55 26 59

Married 36 47

Single 40 37

Men 39 49

Women 34 41

National - M&A

November 2017

10/14/17 11/14/17

Approve 39 36

Disapprove 37 45

Page 27: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Do you approve or disapprove of KEEPING the federal income tax deductions for state and local taxes for property and income taxes for households who earn less than $400,000 a year, BUT ELIMINATING the deduction for those

who have ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOMES ABOVE $400,000?

59

29 3026

1214

33

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

APP. Strongly Smwt DISAPP. Smwt Strongly DK/Ref.

App. Disapp.

East 58 28

Midwest 63 22

South 52 30

West 66 20

Cont. Obama Pols. 56 31

Change Direction 64 21

Approve – Trump 65 21

Disapprove – Trump 56 30

Approve – GOP Majority 63 22

Disapprove – GOP Majority 58 28

Favorable – Trump 65 20

Unfavorable– Trump 56 30

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 54 32

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 65 21

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 64 22

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 57 30

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 51 22

Republican 61 23

Democrat 52 34

Independent 65 19

Liberal 61 30

Moderate 55 28

Conservative 62 21

No College Degree 55 26

College Graduate 63 26

White 62 23

African- American 39 38

Hispanic 56 27

Under 55 55 29

Over 55 66 20

Married 62 25

Single 54 26

Men 65 24

Women 54 27

National - M&A

November 2017

10/14/17 11/14/17

Approve 40 59

Disapprove 27 26

Page 28: National - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/... ·  · 2017-11-17- Time Series- National - M&A November 2017 . ... Nat’l Sec./Terror

Party Total Age Total Race Total

Republican 33% 18-29 19% White 71%

Democrat 36% 30-40 19% African American 12%

Independent 31% 41-55 27% Hispanic 11%

Ideology % 56-65 20% Asian 4%

Liberal 26% Over 65 16% Gender %

Moderate 39% Male 47%

Conservative 35% Female 53%

Voter Profile


Recommended