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March 2019 On the web www.mclaughlinonline.com National Survey Results 2020 General Election Likely Voters Political Environment, Trends & Analysis
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Page 1: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

March 2019On the web

www.mclaughlinonline.com

National Survey Results2020 General Election Likely Voters

Political Environment, Trends & Analysis

Page 2: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

Direction: United StatesTime Series

39

55

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

11

/14

1/1

5

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5

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5

7/1

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5

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/15

11

/15

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6

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6

3/1

6

5/1

6

12

/16

1/1

7

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7

3/1

7

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7

5/1

7

8/1

7

10

/17

11

/17

12

/17

1/1

8

2/1

8

3/1

8

4/1

8

5/1

8

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8/1

8

9/1

8

10

/18

11

/18

12

/18

2/1

9

3/1

9

Right Direction Wrong Track

2National - M&A

March 2019

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39

55

6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Right Direction Wrong Track DK/Ref.

R W

East 45 50Midwest 38 56South 39 55West 36 57Cont. Obama Pols. 16 80Change Direction 64 31Approve – Trump 75 20Disapprove – Trump 4 90Favorable – Trump 77 19Unfavorable– Trump 6 89Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 10 87Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 71 25Vote Cong. 2020 – GOP 70 25Vote Cong. 2020 – DEM 9 87Vote Cong. 2020 – UND 25 63Republican 71 25Democrat 13 81Independent 35 57Liberal 20 78Moderate 33 57Conservative 61 33No College Degree 40 52College Graduate 39 58White 44 53African- American 17 71Hispanic 44 49Under 55 38 56Over 55 41 54Married 48 49Single 30 59Men 45 49

Women 34 60

Direction: United States

3National - M&A

March 2019

Page 4: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

Generally Speaking, would you like President Donald Trump and Congress to…? Continue the policies of President Obama

OR Change direction and move away from the polices of President Obama

Time Series

49

41

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70 Continue Change Direction

4National - M&A

March 2019

Page 5: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

4149

11

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Continue ObamaPolicies

Change Direction DK/Ref.

Cont. Change

East 48 45Midwest 39 47South 40 51West 38 50Cont. Obama Pols. 100 -Change Direction - 100Approve – Trump 13 83Disapprove – Trump 69 15Favorable – Trump 12 84Unfavorable– Trump 67 17Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 75 11Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 10 85Vote Cong. 2020 – GOP 11 85Vote Cong. 2020 – DEM 77 11Vote Cong. 2020 – UND 25 44Republican 11 85Democrat 76 13Independent 32 51Liberal 79 14Moderate 39 42Conservative 9 85No College Degree 36 51College Graduate 46 45White 34 57African- American 74 13Hispanic 44 43Under 55 45 44Over 55 35 54Married 34 57Single 51 37Men 40 51Women 41 47

Generally Speaking, would you like President Donald Trump and Congress to…?

Continue the policies of President ObamaOR

Change direction and move away from the policies of President Obama

5National - M&A

March 2019

Page 6: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

Job Rating: Donald TrumpTime Series

49

50

10

20

30

40

50

60

70Approve Disapprove

6National - M&A

March 2019

Page 7: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

49

2623

50

10

39

10

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

APP. Strongly Smwt DISAPP. Smwt Strongly DK/Ref.

App. Disapp.

East 51 49Midwest 47 52South 51 48West 47 51Cont. Obama Pols. 15 84Change Direction 84 16Approve – Trump 100 -Disapprove – Trump - 100Favorable – Trump 99 1Unfavorable– Trump 5 95Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 10 89Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 90 10Vote Cong. 2020 – GOP 87 12Vote Cong. 2020 – DEM 10 89Vote Cong. 2020 – UND 39 57Republican 87 13Democrat 16 84Independent 49 49Liberal 22 77Moderate 41 58Conservative 81 18No College Degree 52 48College Graduate 46 52White 56 43African- American 16 81Hispanic 50 48Under 55 47 52Over 55 52 47Married 60 40Single 38 60Men 53 46Women 46 53

7

Job Rating: Donald Trump

National - M&A

March 2019

Page 8: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

Opinion: Donald TrumpTime Series

47

51

10

20

30

40

50

60

70Favorable Unfavorable

8National - M&A

March 2019

Page 9: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

47

2522

51

11

40

20

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

FAV. Very Smwt UNFAV. Smwt Very NOOPIN.

Fav. Unfav

East 48 50Midwest 44 54South 49 50West 47 49Cont. Obama Pols. 14 84Change Direction 82 18Approve – Trump 94 5Disapprove – Trump 1 97Favorable – Trump 100 -Unfavorable– Trump - 100Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 8 91Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 90 10Vote Cong. 2020 – GOP 86 13Vote Cong. 2020 – DEM 7 91Vote Cong. 2020 – UND 37 58Republican 85 13Democrat 13 85Independent 46 52Liberal 20 80Moderate 39 58Conservative 79 20No College Degree 50 49College Graduate 44 54White 54 45African- American 15 78Hispanic 47 50Under 55 44 53Over 55 51 48Married 57 41Single 36 62Men 50 48Women 44 53

9

Opinion: Donald Trump

National - M&A

March 2019

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33

1419

54

16

38

10

30

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

FAV. Very Smwt UNFAV. Smwt Very NOOPIN.

NHO

Fav. Unfav.

East 44 44Midwest 29 56South 33 56West 29 56Cont. Obama Pols. 65 25Change Direction 9 83Approve – Trump 16 77Disapprove – Trump 50 32Favorable – Trump 16 77Unfavorable– Trump 50 34Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 61 23Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 12 82Vote Cong. 2020 – GOP 13 80Vote Cong. 2020 – DEM 59 25Vote Cong. 2020 – UND 13 56Republican 14 78Democrat 58 25Independent 25 63Liberal 60 27Moderate 32 52Conservative 12 79No College Degree 28 56College Graduate 40 52White 28 62African- American 60 19Hispanic 37 45Under 55 34 49Over 55 32 61Married 32 60Single 36 44Men 36 54Women 30 54

10

Opinion: Nancy Pelosi

National - M&A

March 2019

Page 11: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

Generic Ballot: U.S. CongressTime Series

43

47

10

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30

40

50

60

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4

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4

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4

10

/14

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6

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2/2

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10

/17

11

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12

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1/1

8

2/1

8

3/1

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4/1

8

5/1

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6/1

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7/1

8

8/1

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9/1

8

10

/18

11

/18

12

/18

2/1

9

3/1

9

Democrat Republican Undecided

11National - M&A

March 2019

Page 12: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

GOP DEM. UND.

East 44 45 11

Midwest 47 41 12

South 48 44 7

West 45 41 14

Cont. Obama Pols. 12 81 7

Change Direction 81 9 9

Approve – Trump 83 9 8

Disapprove – Trump 12 76 12

Favorable – Trump 85 7 8

Unfavorable– Trump 12 76 12

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 5 88 7

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 89 4 8

Vote Cong. 2020 – GOP 100 - -

Vote Cong. 2020 – DEM - 100 -

Vote Cong. 2020 – UND - - 100

Republican 94 3 3

Democrat 7 89 3

Independent 42 31 26

Liberal 18 77 5

Moderate 37 46 17

Conservative 82 11 8

No College Degree 47 40 14

College Graduate 47 47 6

White 54 37 10

African- American 13 74 13

Hispanic 46 40 14

Under 55 43 47 10

Over 55 51 37 11

Married 57 35 9

Single 35 56 10

Men 51 38 12

Women 43 47 10

47

28

127

43

28

115

10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

GOP Def. Prob. Lean DEM Def. Prob. Lean UND.

12

Generic Ballot: U.S. Congress

National - M&A

March 2019

Page 13: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

Total Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod ConsApp.

DJT

Disapp.

DJT

Under

55Over 55 Men

Wo-

men

Trump 44 88 6 41 16 34 78 81 9 39 51 45 43

Clinton 39 3 82 29 71 43 9 8 71 40 38 36 42

Johnson 4 2 1 9 2 7 2 3 4 5 3 5 3

Stein 2 - 2 4 3 3 1 1 3 3 1 3 1

McMullin 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1

Other 3 2 2 5 2 4 2 2 3 2 3 3 2

Vote/Not

President2 2 1 3 1 3 2 1 3 2 2 2 2

Not Vote 4 3 5 5 6 4 3 3 6 6 2 4 5

DK/Ref 1 - 1 3 - 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

13

In the 2016 November general election for President, for whom did you vote?

National - M&A

March 2019

Page 14: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

14

From the following list, which should be the top priority of President Trump and Congress?

8/18 9/18 10/18 12/18 2/19 3/19 Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod ConsApp.

DJT

Disapp

DJTMen

Wo-

Men

ECONOMIC 45 49 46 48 48 43 21 63 44 58 49 24 23 63 44 43

Creating Jobs 28 31 28 30 28 25 11 37 27 37 29 12 12 39 27 24

Reducing Taxes 17 18 18 18 20 18 10 26 17 22 20 12 10 25 17 19

SECURITY 38 35 37 37 39 41 63 22 41 22 36 63 64 20 43 40

Nat’L Sec./Terror 23 22 21 17 17 19 24 13 21 13 17 25 23 15 18 20

Building the Wall 9 7 8 13 16 16 29 5 16 3 12 32 32 1 18 15

Stop/Mid-East Refugees 3 5 6 6 4 4 8 2 3 3 5 4 6 3 4 4

Tear Up Iran Nuclear Deal 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 2 3 1 2 2

REPEAL/REPL. Obamacare 10 9 9 8 7 9 14 4 9 7 9 10 13 5 7 10

DK/REFUSED 7 8 9 7 5 7 3 11 7 13 6 2 1 12 6 7

National - M&A

March 2019

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15

Now, from the following list, which issue is personally most important to you?

5/17 8/17 10/17 11/17 12/17 1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 12/18 2/19 3/19 Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod ConsApp.

DJT

Disapp

DJTMen

Wo-

Men

ECONOMIC 38 37 40 36 37 38 37 36 34 36 35 35 35 34 33 36 31 29 30 34 28 34 31 33 29 35 28

Improving the

Economy13 14 13 11 14 12 12 14 12 12 11 13 13 12 12 11 10 10 10 10 9 12 8 11 8 10 9

Jobs/Unemployment 12 8 9 11 7 8 9 8 8 9 9 8 8 7 7 8 7 9 4 10 6 8 8 9 6 8 7

Wasteful Gov’t

Spending6 7 8 7 8 9 7 7 6 7 8 7 8 7 8 8 6 3 9 6 6 8 5 4 9 8 5

Reduce Budget/Deficit 5 6 6 5 6 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 5 4 6 5 4 5 7 5 5 5 5 5 6 4

Hold Line/Taxes 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 1 4 4 2 3 2

SOCIAL 25 29 27 29 29 28 27 30 29 27 30 27 28 30 28 27 30 21 40 29 42 32 19 20 41 27 33

Protect Medicare 11 13 14 16 12 13 12 13 15 11 16 11 12 14 13 12 12 9 16 12 15 14 8 8 16 11 13

Reform Healthcare 7 10 9 9 11 9 10 11 9 10 9 10 9 9 9 10 12 10 14 12 16 12 8 9 16 11 13

Improving Education 7 6 5 5 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 7 7 7 5 6 3 10 6 11 6 3 3 9 5 7

SECURITY 22 19 18 20 18 18 18 18 19 19 17 19 18 19 19 20 20 34 10 16 9 15 34 33 7 22 18

Fix Immigration 4 4 4 5 5 4 6 7 6 7 6 9 7 8 10 9 9 15 4 9 3 8 15 16 3 10 9

Nat’l Sec./Terror 11 9 8 10 9 9 10 9 9 9 8 7 9 7 6 8 9 16 4 7 5 5 17 15 3 10 8

Defeat/Destroy ISIS 8 5 6 6 4 5 2 2 5 4 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 0 1 2 2 2 1 2 1

HONESTY/

INTEGRITY/D.C.13 13 12 13 12 14 17 14 15 16 15 17 16 14 16 15 17 14 19 18 20 18 15 13 22 15 19

D.K./REFUSED 3 4 3 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 4 3 4 3 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2

National - M&A

March 2019

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11/17 12/17 1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18 2/19 3/19Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod ConsApp.

DJT

Disapp.

DJTMen Women

NOT

RECESSION62 64 64 64 65 62 66 67 66 65 65 64 70 67 68 70 79 62 69 63 67 79 77 65 76 64

Getting Better 38 41 43 42 40 36 40 42 38 41 44 40 47 38 39 40 65 19 38 26 31 62 65 16 48 34

Getting

Worse25 23 21 22 26 26 26 24 29 24 22 24 23 29 29 30 14 43 31 37 36 17 11 48 29 30

RECESSION 27 26 27 23 23 26 23 22 25 25 24 23 21 21 22 21 15 27 21 27 21 16 16 25 17 24

Getting Better 16 13 14 14 13 13 13 14 13 14 14 12 12 10 9 11 12 8 11 6 13 11 13 7 9 12

Getting

Worse11 13 13 10 10 13 10 9 11 11 10 12 9 11 13 11 2 19 9 21 8 4 3 18 8 13

D.K./REFUSED 11 10 9 13 11 12 11 11 9 10 11 12 9 12 10 9 6 11 10 10 12 6 8 10 6 12

GETTING

BETTER53 54 57 56 53 48 53 56 51 54 57 52 59 48 48 51 77 28 50 32 45 73 79 23 57 46

GETTING

WORSE36 36 34 32 36 40 36 33 40 36 32 36 33 40 42 40 17 62 40 58 44 21 14 67 37 43

D.K./REFUSED 11 10 9 13 11 12 11 11 9 10 11 12 9 12 10 9 6 11 10 10 12 6 8 10 6 12

Net Diff. 18 18 24 24 17 8 16 23 11 19 26 16 26 7 5 11 61 34 9 -27 1 52 65 44 20 3

16

Current Opinion of the U.S. EconomyTime Series

National - M&A

March 2019

Page 17: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

Would you say you most favor a smaller government with fewer services or a larger government with many services?

Time Series

51

30

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1/1

5

3/1

5

4/1

5

5/1

5

6/1

5

7/1

5

8/1

5

9/1

5

10

/15

11

/15

1/1

6

2/1

6

3/1

6

5/1

6

11

/16

12

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1/1

7

2/1

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3/1

7

4/1

7

5/1

7

8/1

7

10

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11

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12

/17

1/1

8

2/1

8

3/1

8

4/1

8

5/1

8

6/1

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7/1

8

8/1

8

9/1

8

10

/18

11

/18

12

/18

2/1

9

3/1

9

Smaller Larger

17National - M&A

March 2019

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51

30

19

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Smaller Gov't Larger Gov't DK/Ref.

Smaller Larger

East 47 35Midwest 53 27South 52 29West 51 32Cont. Obama Pols. 34 50Change Direction 71 15Approve – Trump 68 18Disapprove – Trump 35 42Favorable – Trump 69 17Unfavorable– Trump 36 42Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 29 49Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 71 15Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 70 16Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 31 50Vote Cong. 2018 – UND 48 12Republican 66 19Democrat 31 50Independent 58 19Liberal 30 53Moderate 47 27Conservative 73 13No College Degree 51 25College Graduate 51 36White 56 26African- American 32 39Hispanic 47 42Under 55 48 35Over 55 55 24Married 56 27Single 44 35Men 56 30Women 46 30

18

Job Rating: Donald Trump

Would you say you most favor a smaller government with fewer services or a larger

government with many services?

National - M&A

March 2019

Page 19: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

GOP DEM NTR

East 18 31 38

Midwest 17 30 20

South 39 28 13

West 32 25 19

Cont. Obama Pols. 11 62 16

Change Direction 46 6 25

Approve – Trump 52 4 20

Disapprove – Trump 6 51 21

Favorable – Trump 55 3 19

Unfavorable– Trump 6 50 22

Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 3 64 15

Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 57 4 19

Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 61 4 21

Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 2 76 15

Vote Cong. 2018 – UND 7 9 25

Republican - - -

Democrat - - -

Independent 28 28 20

Liberal 15 57 12

Moderate 25 30 18

Conservative 45 3 31

No College Degree 26 26 17

College Graduate 32 30 25

White 30 26 23

African- American 6 47 14

Hispanic 28 27 11

Under 55 27 31 18

Over 55 30 25 24

Married 29 28 23

Single 26 32 15

Men 28 27 22

Women 29 30 18

28 28

2023

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

GOP DEM Neither DK/Ref

19

Independents – Which party’s primary are you more likely to vote?

National - M&A

March 2019

Page 20: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

11/18 12/18 2/19 3/19 E MW S W Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod ConsApp.

DJT

Disapp

DJTMen

Wo-

menWhite AA HISP

Donald Trump

79 72 72 80 91 71 81 81 80 - 80 84 71 83 91 6 81 80 80 66 84

John Kasich 4 5 6 5 4 9 3 5 5 - 6 4 8 4 1 34 6 4 5 - 8

Mitt Romney 5 9 10 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Jeff Flake 1 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Bill Wled - - - 1 - - 1 2 1 - 1 2 - 1 0 1 2 - 0 8 -

Undecided 11 12 11 14 6 20 15 13 15 - 13 10 22 12 8 59 12 17 15 26 9

20

2020 Republican Primary for President

National - M&A

March 2019

Page 21: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

11/18 12/18 2/19 3/19 E MW S W Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod ConsApp.

DJT

Disapp.

DJTMen

Wo-

menWhite AA HISP

Joe Biden 19 17 25 28 35 30 26 24 - 27 35 24 35 23 13 31 33 25 30 33 14

Bernie Sanders 16 18 16 17 13 18 17 18 - 17 17 20 10 27 13 17 15 18 16 14 20

Kamala Harris 5 3 8 8 4 4 6 18 - 3 8 12 2 3 8 3 8 7 8 7 8

Hillary Clinton 8 9 7 8 9 10 8 4 - 9 3 5 10 14 16 7 7 9 7 11 8

Beto O’Rourke n/a 11 6 8 4 7 12 4 - 7 9 9 8 - 3 8 6 9 8 6 7

Elizabeth Warren

4 4 5 5 5 2 6 5 - 5 4 7 2 - 3 5 4 5 7 2 2

Oprah Winfrey 4 3 5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Cory Booker 3 2 3 3 2 4 4 3 - 3 5 2 6 - 4 3 6 2 3 6 2

Michael Bloomberg

2 2 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Amy Klobucher N/A 1 1 1 3 3 - - - 1 - 0 2 2 3 1 1 1 1 - 3

Sherrod Brown - - 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Julian Castro - - 1 0 1 - 1 - - 0 - 1 - - 1 0 0 0 0 - 1

21

2020 Democratic Primary for President

National - M&A

March 2019

Page 22: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

11/18 12/18 2/19 3/19 E MW S W Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod ConsApp.

DJT

Disapp.

DJTMen

Wo-

menWhite AA HISP

Andrew Cuomo 1 -- 1 0 1 - - - - 0 - 0 - - 1 - - 0 0 - -

Kirsten Gillibrand

1 1 1 1 1 1 2 - - 1 1 2 1 - 2 1 2 1 1 1 2

Deval Patrick 1 1 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Mark Zuckerberg

1 0 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

John Hicken Looper

1 1 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tulsi Gabbard - - .4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Eric Holder 1 1 .2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

John Delaney - - .2 1 1 - 1 - - 1 - 1 1 - 3 0 1 - 1 - 2

Bill De Blasio 0.3 0 .2 0.3 - - 0 1 - 0 1 1 - - 2 - 0 0 - - 3

Jay Inslee - - .2 0.2 - - 0 1 - 0 - - - 2 - 0 1 - - - -

Pete Buttigieg - - .1 3 5 6 0 1 - 3 2 4 1 2 5 2 3 3 3 2 4

Andrew Yang - - .1 0 - 1 - - - - 1 0 - - - 0 - 0 - - 1

22

2020 Democratic Primary for President Cont.

National - M&A

March 2019

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11/18 12/18 2/19 3/19 E MW S W Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod ConsApp.

DJT

Disapp.

DJTMen

Wo-

menWhite AA HISP

Terry McAuliffe - - .1 .3 - - 0 1 - 0 - 1 - - 2 - 1 - - 1 2

Tim Kaine 1 0 0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Howard Schultz 0.1 0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Michael Avenatti

0.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Michelle Obama

17 16 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Undecided 16 11 15 16 17 15 14 17 - 15 18 9 23 27 24 13 11 19 14 16 20

23

2020 Democratic Primary for President Cont.

National - M&A

March 2019

Page 24: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

Do you follow Donald Trump on Twitter, Instagram and/or have you like his page on Facebook, meaning his posts show up on your newsfeed?

- Time Series-

24

14

13

8

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

4/17 5/17 8/17 10/17 11/17 12/17 1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18 2/19 3/19

TOTAL Follow/Twitter Like/Facebook Follow/Instagram

24National - M&A

March 2019

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24

14 138

76

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

FOLLOW Facebook Twitter Instagram NONE

Follow None

East 30 70Midwest 23 77South 25 75West 17 83Cont. Obama Pols. 19 81Change Direction 31 69Approve – Trump 39 61Disapprove – Trump 8 92Favorable – Trump 40 60Unfavorable– Trump 9 91Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 15 85Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 36 64Vote Cong. 2020 – GOP 38 62Vote Cong. 2020 – DEM 12 88Vote Cong. 2020 – UND 6 94

Republican 39 61Democrat 16 84Independent 15 85Liberal 24 76Moderate 15 85Conservative 32 68No College Degree 23 77College Graduate 24 76White 24 77African- American 21 79Hispanic 27 73Under 55 28 72Over 55 17 83Married 26 74Single 23 77Men 27 73Women 21 79

25

Do you follow Donald Trump on Twitter, Instagram and/or have you like his page on Facebook, meaning

his posts show up on your newsfeed?

National - M&A

March 2019

Page 26: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

Total Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod ConsApp.

DJT

Disapp.

DJT

Under

55Over 55 Men

Wo-

men

Facebook 78 81 79 75 79 79 76 80 77 82 73 70 85

Instagram 38 35 44 35 50 39 28 35 41 54 17 31 44

Pinterest 36 37 35 35 35 38 35 36 37 42 27 18 52

Twitter 33 32 35 32 44 31 25 33 33 44 18 32 33

Linked-In 25 22 25 29 27 26 23 24 26 29 20 27 24

Snapchat 19 18 21 19 26 19 15 18 21 31 4 14 24

WhatsApp 11 10 12 11 17 9 8 12 10 16 5 11 11

Reddit 9 4 10 11 13 9 5 6 11 13 2 11 7

Tumblr 8 5 11 6 15 5 4 7 9 12 2 8 7

Periscope 2 1 2 1 3 1 1 2 1 2 0 2 1

Other 4 2 5 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 3

None 11 11 9 12 8 10 14 10 11 5 18 16 6

26

From the following list, which social media networks do you use?

National - M&A

March 2019

Page 27: National Survey Results - McLaughlin & Associatesmclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/... · Approve –Trump 100 - Disapprove –Trump - 100 Favorable –Trump 99 1

Party Total Age Total Race TotalRepublican 33 18-29 15 White 71

Democrat 36 30-40 17 African American 12

Independent 31 41-55 25 Hispanic 11

Ideology 56-65 23 Asian 4

Liberal 30 Over 65 20 Gender

Moderate 35 Marital Status Male 47

Conservative 35Single, never

married23 Female 53

Voting BehaviorSingle – significant other

9 Employment Situation

Definitely 77 Married 50 Private Sector Job 35

Very likely 17 Separated 3 Government Job 4

Somewhat Likely 7 Divorced 13 Self-Employed 13

Area Widowed 4 Homemaker 7

Urban 25 Student 4

Suburban 50 Retired 27

Rural 25 Not Employed 9

27

2020 Likely General Election Voter Profile

National - M&A

March 2019

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New York Office566 South Route 303Blauvelt, NY 10913

845-365-2000

D.C./Virginia Office919 Prince Street

Alexandria, VA 22314703-518-4445

www.mclaughlinonline.com

28


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