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New York State Council of School Superintendents school finance survey

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  • 7/30/2019 New York State Council of School Superintendents school finance survey

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    Cant Get There From Here

    Budgeting challenges call for newdirections in state policy to helpschools raise student achievement

    2nd Annual Survey of New York State School

    Superintendents on Financial Matters

    November 2012

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    Cant Get There from Here: A survey on school fiscal matters November 2012

    1

    Table of Contents

    PageHighlights 2

    Introduction... 3

    Overall Fiscal Condition..... 7

    Budgeting Choices.... 13Personnel.... 14Instruction... 15Other direct student services..... 16Operations, maintenance and construction... 16Other actions.. 16

    Impact of 2012-13 Budget Decisions... 17

    Adapting to the Tax Levy Cap 21

    Assessing the impact....... 21Tax levy cap impact on collective bargaining..... 22

    Implementing Evaluation Reforms...... 24Anticipated cost impact.... 24Demands on administration........ 25

    Looking Ahead.. 28Anticipated cost pressures..... 28Tax cap or state aid which is the greater concern?...................... 29Priorities for mandate relief.... 30Priorities for new funding.... 33

    About the Survey:Between August 16 and September 3, 2012, the New York State Council of School Superintendents conducted anonline survey of its members who are superintendents on budgeting concerns for their districts. The survey wasconducted using the services of K12 Insight, a strategic partner of the Council.

    A total of 249 superintendents submitted complete responses, a response rate of 40.4%. Incomplete submissionsfrom 47 superintendents were also included in the results.

    Superintendents serving the Big 5 Cities (New York, Buffalo, Rochester, Yonkers, and Syracuse) and Boards ofCooperative Educational Services were not included in the survey because their systems budgets are not subject

    to voter approval and consequently do not report some of the financial data available for small city, rural and

    suburban districts.The Council conducted a similar survey in 2011, with a similar response rate. In some instances, we compareresults between the two years. However, the samples are different, since some of the superintendents respondedin one year and not the other.

    Finally, K12 Insights survey tools permit extensive cross-tabulations and we do report some findings broken downby region or district character (i.e., urban, suburban, or rural). Particularly when examining regional results, it ispossible that the districts whose superintendents responded are not fully representative of their region. We dofind some regional results to be more positive than anecdotal exchanges with district officials would have causedus to antici ate.

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    Cant Get There from Here: A survey on school fiscal matters November 2012

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    HIGHLIGHTS

    The survey: The Council of School Superintendents conducted an online survey of its members on school fiscalmatters; 249 superintendents (40.4%) submitted complete responses. Partial responses from 47 superintendentswere also counted. Because their school budgets are not subject to voter approval, superintendents serving theBig 5 Cities and BOCES were not included in the survey. The Council conducted a similar survey in 2011.

    Overall condition: 52% of superintendents say their districts financial condition is worse or significantly worsethan a year ago. In 2011, 75% of superintendents said their districts condition had worsened. The share of citysuperintendents reporting their districts financial condition is poor or very poor rose sharply, from 24% to 43%.

    Reliance on reserves: 83% of superintendents are concerned or very concerned by their districts reliance on one-time resources (reserves) to fund recurring costs. Without the use of fund balance this year, districts would haveneeded to raise taxes by 7 percent more than they actually did, or make cuts of corresponding magnitude.

    Financial insolvency: 9% of superintendents say that within two years, given current trends, their districts maybecome unable to ensure some financial obligations will ever be paid. This share would equate to roughly 60districts. Altogether 41% foresee reaching that condition within 4 years. North Country superintendents foreseethe most immediate threats.

    Educational insolvency: 18% of superintendents say that within two years, given current trends, their districts maybecome unable to fund all state and federal mandates for instruction and student services. 77% foresee reachingthat condition, either within 4 years or beyond. Again, concern is most immediate in the North Country.

    Job cuts: Districts reduced their workforce by an average of 3.9% this year, on top of 4.9% in 2011-12. Reductionswere generally steepest among city and rural districts and in non-teaching student support positions.

    Salary and benefit concessions: 35% of superintendents report a cost saving agreement with their teacher unionthis year, the highest percentage in 3 years. 45% percent report agreeing to freeze their own salary or makeanother cost saving adjustment as in 2011, this is a higher share than for any other employee category.

    Instructional cuts: 59% of districts increased class sizes this year, compared to 48% in 2011-12. 31% reducedsummer school. 31% reduced or deferred purchases of instructional technology at a time when technology isseen as a key to improving outcomes and reducing costs.

    2012-13 budget impact: More than 40% of superintendents said their districts budget this year had a negativeimpact on core elementary school instruction, extra help for students who need it, operations and maintenance,extracurricular activities, athletics, and administration

    Tax levy cap: 67% of superintendents said that the new property tax levy cap led their district to adopt a spendinglevel below what would have been done otherwise. 60% said the cap caused their adopted budget to have a morenegative impact on programs than would have otherwise occurred. 59% said the cap makes it more likely thatthey will be able to negotiate cost savings with their teacher union or that it had already had that impact.

    Teacher/Principal Evaluations: 70% of superintendents said new requirements for teacher and principalevaluations will require their districts to spend significantly more than under prior practices. Professionaldevelopment (training) needs are seen as the biggest cost-driver followed by new student assessment costs. 40%of superintendents say teacher evaluations will now consume more than 40% of a typical principals time, raisingconcerns about how to balance other responsibilities.

    Tax cap or state aid which is a greater concern?: Asked which is the greater financial concern for their districts the tax levy cap or possible future state aid levels 44% picked state aid (up from 23% in 2011), 13% chose the taxcap (down from 25%), and 43% said they are of equal concern. In poorer upstate regions away from the HudsonRiver, only 5% of superintendents now pick the tax levy cap as the greater concern.

    Priorities for mandate relief: Superintendents top mandate relief priority is to amend the Triborough lawsguarantee ofstep increases after a collective bargaining agreement has expired. Actions to reduce health carecosts and stop unfunded mandates were other leading priorities.

    Priorities for new spending: As in 2011, providing more extra help for students who need it emerged as the toppriority should new funding become available.

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    Cant Get There from Here: A survey on school fiscal matters November 2012

    3

    Introduction

    This is a report chiefly about the financing of

    education. But the real business of schools is

    learning, preparing young people to thrive in life

    beyond school.

    The surveys we summarize in this report explain

    the financial obstacles that school leaders foresee in

    their efforts to deliver that result for all the children

    and young people they serve.

    The challenge and the mission

    New York is a hugely diverse state, in ways that

    can inspire or discourage. Those disparities appear in

    schools, as well as other aspects of our state.

    We are home to some of the nations absolute best

    public schools. Perennially, we dominate the Intel

    Science Talent Search. We rank second among thestates in percentage of high school graduates earning

    a three or better on Advanced Placement exams.

    At the same time, by one measure, we rank 44th in

    high school completion rate for African-American

    students, and 45th for Hispanic students.

    We usually lead the nation in per pupil spending,

    along with our neighbors in the northeast. Yet we

    also have among the widest gaps in spending between

    high and low poverty school districts, exceeding all

    our neighbors.1

    Now the long quest to lift all students to high

    school completion by has been joined by a new goal

    not just in our state, but across all states: to

    guarantee every graduate finishes school prepared to

    succeed in college, a career, or both.

    That goal ought to be a common sense propo-

    sition: if a son or daughter meets the expectations

    schools and the State of New York have set for

    earning a high school diploma, that achievement

    should attest he or she is prepared to succeed in the

    next steps toward adult life.

    The goal also matches the promise of the state

    constitution a system of free common schools,

    wherein all the children of this state may be

    1 Education Law Center, Is School Funding Fair? ANational Report Card. June 2012.

    educated. Courts have interpreted the promise to

    mean schooling that prepares students for the adult

    responsibilities of competitive employment and civic

    participation, voting and jury service.

    High rates of remedial class-taking in college

    provide one piece of evidence that we have work to doto guarantee real readiness for adult challenges.2 It is

    true that if this shortfall could be fixed in an instant,

    colleges would strain to adapt. Also,Americas

    generosity with second chances is a national strength.

    But the demands that an aging population will pose

    on public resources in years to come require all our

    public enterprises to become more efficient.

    There is another practical imperative. Middle skill

    jobs have been disappearing, consigning workers to a

    choice of extremes and contributing to a widening in

    income inequality.3 More than ever, a future worthaspiring to demands educating for higher skills.

    Our surveys illustrate one set of obstacles in our

    path to that destination.

    Two surveys, a common theme: alarm for the future

    A year ago, the New York State Council of School

    Superintendents published results from our first-ever

    comprehensive survey of our members about their

    districts budgeting choices and financial prospects.

    Stressing that districts had already been through two

    difficult years before the survey, the report noted,Concern over the accumulating impact of past

    budget choices is compounded by what lies on the

    horizon for schools rising expectations combined

    with diminished revenues. The report found near

    universal alarm about future prospects.

    THE COUNCIL conducted a second finance survey

    just before the start of this school year. We conclude

    that the level of alarm over the future has not

    diminished, although the pace of deterioration in

    school finances may have slowed.

    2 For example, see Testimony of Drew Matonak,president of Hudson Valley Community College, New NYEducation Reform Commission, July 10, 2012.

    3 Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Regional EconomicPress Briefing on Job Polarization and Rising Inequality(May 30, 2012).

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    Cant Get There from Here: A survey on school fiscal matters November 2012

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    Last year vs. this year

    Comparing results on questions posed in both

    years, a reader might conclude that, since smaller

    percentages of superintendents gave negative

    responses this year, conditions are improving. A key

    point, however, is that negative impacts accumulate,

    making future budgeting challenges greater.

    For example, for 2011-12, superintendents

    reported eliminating an average of 4.9 percent of

    school positions. For 2012-13, that figure declined to

    3.9 percent. But the implication is that districts have

    eliminated an average of 9 percent of their positions

    over the past two years, and would face more painful

    personnel choices if future budgets demand more

    cuts.

    Insolvency

    New questions asked in the 2012 survey draw into

    focus the financial threats school leaders anticipate.

    In recent years, warnings that school districts and

    municipalities are threatened by insolvency have

    swelled. We asked superintendents, Do you foresee

    a point at which your district would be unable to

    ensure that some of its financial obligations will ever

    be paid?

    Statewide, 9 percent of superintendents anticipate

    their districts could reach that position within two

    years. That share would equate to roughly 60districts. Altogether, 41 percent of superintendents

    foresee facing that definition of insolvency within

    four years.

    Retaining the capacity to give all students a

    meaningful education is an even wider concern than

    just preserving financial solvency.

    Statewide, 18 percent of superintendents foresee

    their districts reaching a point within two years

    where funding all state and federal instructional and

    student service mandates will no longer be possible.Half of all superintendents anticipate their districts

    will fall into that state within four years.

    Insolvency fears are especially acute in the North

    Country, for example. Within two years, 25 percent

    of North Country superintendents see their districts

    facing financial insolvency, and 50 percent anticipate

    educational insolvency.

    Why?

    Why do school district leaders look to the future

    with such alarm? We see at least five reasons.

    First, schools have already been through a

    prolonged stretch of difficult budgeting. The low-

    hanging fruit easier budget balancing options have already been implemented.

    Most state aid was capped in 2009-10, then cut in

    both 2010-11 and 2011-12. Districts typically did not

    turn to local tax increases to offset the austerity in

    state aid to the extent they did in prior periods.

    Proposed tax increases during the recent span

    averaged 2.9 percent more than five points below

    the 8.2 percent average increases proposed in 2003,

    the last time aid was cut.

    Second, some large and hard to control costs

    have been surging.

    We estimated that pension and health insurance

    costs alone would have driven up total school

    spending an average of 2.5 percent in both 2010-11

    and 2011-12, even if all other costs could have been

    frozen. These are hard to control costs: schools

    cannot reduce pension obligations except by cutting

    jobs and, like all employers, they struggle with health

    care costs. Actual overall school spending increases

    proposed by districts averaged under 1.4 percent bothyears, indicating that districts cut other expenses to

    absorb those costs.

    Growth in pension costs slowed some for the

    current year, but last month the State Teachers

    Retirement System projected that employer

    contribution rates will need to increase from 11.84

    percent to between 15.5 and 16.5 percent in 2013-14.

    8.2%8.7%

    7.5%

    6.1%

    4.3%3.7%

    2.1%

    3.2% 3.4%

    2.2%

    4.8%

    6.9% 6.6% 6.3%6.1%

    5.3%

    2.3%

    1.4% 1.3%

    1.7%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    Percentchangeoverprioryear

    Schools were holding down taxes and spendingbefore the tax cap

    % Change in proposed tax levy % Change in p roposed school spending

    SOURCE: Council analysis ofNYSED Property Tax Report Card

    data ; Big 5 Cities not included

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    Cant Get There from Here: A survey on school fiscal matters November 2012

    5

    The contribution rate is applied against the payroll

    for employees in TRS, so the rate increase is equiva-

    lent to mandating districts to absorb a cost equal to

    giving all those employees 3.6 to 4.6 percent raises,

    on top of any actual raises. Had the size of this

    increase been known at the time of our survey,

    results might have been even more pessimistic.

    There are other costs to absorb. A rule of thumb is

    that step increases in collective bargaining agree-

    ments additional pay for an additional year of ser-

    vice are commonly around 2 percent. With payroll

    typically accounting for half of school spending, a 2

    percent increase in salaries alone would translate into

    a 1 percent increase in overall spending. The states

    Triborough law guarantees payment of these

    increases even after a collective bargaining agreement

    expires. Superintendents see Triborough as anobstacle to negotiating both restraint on salary

    growth and actions that could save on health

    insurance. In the survey, superintendents identify

    amending Triborough and prescribing minimum

    employee contributions for health insurance as their

    two top priorities for mandate relief.

    Third, at least from a district-level perspective,

    state governments appetite for mandates on schools

    has not been satisfied.

    The Board of Regents and State Legislature have

    approved limited changes in special education man-

    dates. District sharing opportunities through Boards

    of Cooperative Educational Services and joint pur-

    chasing have been expanded. But these are small

    steps. Governor Cuomos Tier VI pension reform

    proposal was enacted and will significantly shift the

    balance of costs from districts toward employees, but

    its near-term savings impact is limited.

    At the same time, THE COUNCILs surveys find

    schools straining under new mandates arising from

    the Regents Reform Agenda and the states commit-ments under its federal Race to the Top grant.

    In our 2011 survey, 77 percent of superintendents

    said the cost of implementing Race to the Top items

    would significantly exceed their funding from that

    grant. This year, 70 percent said that new teacher

    and principal evaluation requirements will require

    significantly greater expenditures than past practices.

    Beyond the monetary costs, the demands new

    mandates create for school administration are

    causing alarm too. Statewide, 73 percent of superin-

    tendents predict that conducting teacher evaluations

    will now require more than 30 percent of a typical

    principals work week, raising concerns about their

    availability to handle everyday student and family

    issues. At the same time, our surveys indicate that

    districts have cut their administrative staffs by an

    average of 12 percent over the past two years.

    Fourth, schools have been drawing from reserves

    to avert actions that would have had even greater

    negative impacts on students, local taxpayers, or

    both. Barring a reversal in other financial trends,

    that option will be exhausted.

    The State Education Department has reported

    that school district rainy day reserves shrank from$2.76 billion in 2009-10, to $1.21 billion in 2012-13.4

    Without use of appropriated fund balance in their

    budgets this year, districts would have needed to

    raise taxes by 7 percent more than they proposed (by

    9.2 percent, instead of 2.2 percent), or make cuts of

    corresponding scale. Among the poorest 10 percent

    of districts, tax increases averaging 21 percent would

    be needed to replace these temporary resources. In

    open-ended comments, several superintendents

    warned that their districts financial condition will

    deteriorate rapidly as reserves are eliminated.

    Fifth, approximately 92 percent of school district

    revenues local taxes and School Aid are now

    subject to state imposed growth limits.5

    The property tax levy cap makes it harder for

    school districts to gain voter approval for local tax

    increases, and imposes harsher consequences if voter

    approval is not obtained districts are foreclosed

    from any increase in tax levy.

    As the chart on page 4 showed, school leaders

    were holding down tax and spending increases evenbefore the cap became law. The cap has caused

    4New York State Education Department, 2012 RegentsSchool Finance Symposium: Improving StudentLearning in Fiscally Challenging Times, September 11,2012.

    5 New York State Education Department, ibid.

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    Cant Get There from Here: A survey on school fiscal matters November 2012

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    further restraint, however. Responding to our survey,

    67 percent of superintendents said the cap had led

    their districts to adopt a lower budgeted spending

    level than would have otherwise occurred.

    The test of a budget is not only whether it attains a

    numerical balance, but whether it advances largerpurposes as well. Statewide, 60 percent of

    superintendents believe the tax levy cap caused their

    districts to adopt budgets with a more negative

    impact on programs and services than would have

    happened without it.

    Supporters have characterized the tax levy cap as

    a blunt instrument that will ultimately force tighter

    budgeting at the local level and action on mandate

    relief at the state level. Fifty-nine percent of

    superintendents do foresee the cap providing

    leverage to negotiate savings agreements in collectivebargaining with their teacher unions.

    Less known is that the other major school revenue

    source state aid is also subject to a cap now. Tied

    to yearly changes in the total personal income of state

    taxpayers, the cap provided for a 4.1 percent ($805

    million) increase in School Aid this year and is

    expected to allow for a lesser increase in 2013-14.

    Below is a chart comparing the per pupil increases

    in general purpose state aid in the 2012-13 state

    budget and the Gap Elimination Adjustment cut tooverall aid in the 2011-12 state budget. Districts are

    sorted by property wealth per pupil. Three points

    are worth noting:

    The 2011-12 aid reductions were regressive,generally imposing larger per pupil cuts on poorer

    districts.

    The 2012-13 increases are more progressive. This years restorations are critical, but remain

    small in comparison to what districts lost. Despite

    the increase, 83 percent of districts are stillreceiving less state aid than they did in 2008-09.

    It should also be recalled that this years state aid

    increase was partly offset by the end of the federal

    Education Jobs Fund.

    Our survey a year ago revealed striking differences

    across regions over which revenue item was the

    greater concern. More affluent regions picked the tax

    levy cap, while poorer areas cited future state aid

    levels. Some districts, we said, were capped by

    circum-stances before they were capped by law so

    property poor that no plausible local tax increase

    could offset the combined impact of state aid cuts and

    employee benefit increases.

    Source: Council analysis of NYSED School Aid data

    Our 2012 survey shows roughly a 20 point shift in

    the direction of state aid as the greater revenue

    concern across nearly all regions. As we speculated a

    year ago, the tax levy cap raises the stakes over the

    distribution of state aid for all districts.

    Finally, the remaining 8 percent of schoolrevenues federal aid is not capped by state law.

    But it is more likely to shrink than grow as Congress

    and the President wrestle to construct long-term

    deficit reduction plans.

    Conclusion

    This report illustrates profound concerns super-

    intendents share over the finances of the school

    systems they lead. But they have larger challenges as

    well preparing new generations for the demands

    adult life will present them in the decades ahead.

    Whatever the prospects school leaders and voters

    might have for balancing district finances, meeting

    their greater goal at the same time will require help

    from state leaders changes in rules so that schools

    produce more learning for their students with the

    resources their taxpayers provide, and more consis-

    tent financial support from the state, especially for

    those serving the poorest children and communities.

    -$978

    -$1,472

    -$1,487

    -$1,298

    -$1,185

    -$812

    -$1,096

    -$1,070

    -$805

    -$536

    -$400

    -$944

    $318

    $342

    $292

    $250

    $186

    $195

    $147

    $160

    $113

    $54

    $21

    $189

    -$1,500 -$1,000 -$500 $0 $500

    (Poorest 10%) 1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    NYC

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    NYS

    Per pupil change in aid

    Per pupil change in major School Aid elementsDistricts grouped by property wealth per pupil

    2011-12 Gap Elimination Adjustment 2012-13 General purpose aid restorations

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    Overall Fiscal Condition

    THE COUNCILs survey asked superintendents

    several questions related to the overall fiscal

    condition of their district. Some questions were

    repeated from the 2011 survey, to allow analysis of

    year-to-year change.

    New questions posed this year add to the wave of

    warnings about insolvency threatening schools and

    municipalities. For example, more than 75 percent

    of superintendents can foresee a time when their

    districts could be unable to ensure that some of their

    financial obligations would ever be paid.

    Writing of our 2011 findings, we said, The survey

    reveals widespread alarm about the financial outlook

    for the states public schools. Questions repeated in

    the 2012 survey give continuing cause for alarm, withonly a few faint signs of improvement from last years

    survey.

    Insolvency

    About three years ago, school district leaders

    began warning of possible financial insolvency and

    asked whether it is possible for a district to declare

    bankruptcy.6 More recently, leaders have begun to

    speak of educational insolvency envisioning

    schools reaching a point where they would be unable

    to provide students an adequate education. This

    years survey explores both concerns.

    To learn about fears of financial insolvency, we

    asked,

    Given current revenue and expenditure trends,

    and current reserve levels for your district, do

    you foresee a point at which your district

    would be unable to ensure that some of its

    financial obligations will EVER be paid?

    Statewide, 9 percent of superintendents said they

    anticipate their districts could face insolvency under

    that definition within two years. That may appear to

    6 The short answer is no, there is no legal mechanismfor a school district in New York State to declarebankruptcy.

    be a low share, but the figure would translate into

    roughly 60 school districts.7

    Alarmingly, 41 percent of superintendents believe

    their districts may face financial insolvency within

    four years, and another 36 percent fear it could come

    at some point beyond four years. Only 15 percent of

    superintendents said they did not foresee theirdistricts threatened by insolvency.

    Superintendents of rural districts were most likely

    to anticipate possible financial insolvency for their

    school systems within the next two years.

    7 A recent report by the New York State Association ofSchool Business Officials (A Tale of Two Insolvencies,September 6, 2012) found that 215 lower wealthdistricts are on track to begin to exhaust all savings by2015. District leaders will attempt to avert or delayactual insolvency, however.

    1%

    2%

    6%

    32%

    36%

    15%

    9%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

    Yes, we are currently unabl e

    Yes, within 1 y ear

    Yes, between 1 and 2 year s

    Yes, between 2 a nd 4 ye ars

    Yes, beyond 4 year s

    No, I do not foresee that time

    Unsure

    Do you foresee a point at which your district would beunable to ensure that some of its financial obligations willEVER be paid?

    9%

    7%

    4%

    11%

    0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%

    Total

    City

    Suburb

    Rural

    % of districts foreseeing financialinsolvency within 2 years

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    Cant Get There from Here: A survey on school fiscal matters November 2012

    8

    By a wide margin, superintendents in the North

    Country region8 were most likely to foresee the

    possibility of financial insolvency in their districts

    nearer-term future.

    8 The regions used in this report are defined as follows:

    Long Island: Nassau and Suffolk Counties

    New York City

    Lower Hudson Valley: Putnam, Rockland, Westchester

    Mid-Hudson Valley: Dutchess, Orange, Sullivan, Ulster

    Capital Region: Albany, Columbia, Greene, Rensselaer,Saratoga, Schenectady, Warren, Washington

    Mohawk Valley: Fulton, Herkimer, Montgomery,Oneida, Schoharie

    Central New York: Cayuga, Cortland, Madison,Onondaga, Oswego, Tompkins

    North Country: Clinton, Essex, Franklin, Hamilton,Jefferson, Lewis, St. Lawrence

    Southern Tier: Broome, Chemung, Chenango,Delaware, Otsego, Schuyler, Steuben, Tioga

    Finger Lakes: Genesee, Livingston, Monroe, Ontario,Orleans, Seneca, Wayne, Wyoming, Yates

    Western New York: Allegany, Cattaraugus,Chautauqua, Erie, Niagara

    Educational Insolvency

    Inability to fund the components of a basic

    education is a more immediate threat for districts

    than financial insolvency.

    The survey defined educational insolvency in

    terms of ability to fund state and federalrequirements and asked,

    Given current revenue and expenditure trends

    and current reserve levels for your district, do

    you foresee a point at which your district

    would be unable to fund all the instructional

    and other student service requirements

    established by laws or regulations approved

    by the state and federal governments?

    Statewide, 5 percent of districts reported they are

    already unable to fund mandated instructional andother student services. A total of 19 percent of

    districts anticipate falling into this state of

    educational insolvency within two years, and 51

    percent of superintendents believe their districts

    could reach that state within four years.

    Consistent with other indicators of overall finan-

    cial outlook, concern about educational insolvency

    was greatest in the North Country. In that region, 50

    percent of superintendents said they foresee their

    districts becoming unable to meet state and federal

    student service requirements within two years, and

    18 percent say their districts are currently unable todo so.

    9%

    0%

    6%

    0%

    15%

    7%

    6%

    25%

    8%

    6%

    12%

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

    Total

    Long Island

    Lower Hudson Valley

    Mid-Hudson Valley

    Capital Region

    Mohawk Valley

    Central New York

    North Country

    Southern Tier

    Finger Lakes

    Western New York

    % of districts foreseeing financialinsolvency within 2 years

    5%

    5%9%

    32%

    33%

    12%

    4%

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

    Yes, we are currently una ble

    Yes, within 1 yearYes, between 1 and 2 years

    Yes, between 2 and 4 ye ars

    Yes, beyond 4 years

    No, I do not foresee that time

    Unsure

    Do you foresee a point at which your district would beunable to fund all the instructional and other studentservice requirements established by laws or regulationsapproved by the state and federal governments?

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    Superintendents of rural districts were most likely

    to predict educational insolvency within two years.

    Other measures of overall fiscal conditionOne of the most striking findings in the 2011

    survey was the near universal worry about reliance on

    reserves: 89 percent of superintendents said they

    were somewhat or very concernedby their districts

    use of reserves to pay recurring costs. For 2012, a

    similar share of superintendents expressed concern

    (83 percent), but the proportion saying they are very

    concerneddeclined from 66 percent to 43 percent.

    Statewide, 52 percent of superintendents describe

    their districts financial condition as somewhat or

    significantly worse than a year ago, down from lastyears 75 percent figure.

    Despite grave worries for the future, few superin-

    tendents were willing to characterize their districts

    currentfiscal condition as poor or very poor, either

    last year or this year.

    Comments volunteered in response to open-ended

    questions suggest superintendents focused on the

    immediate financial condition of their districts in

    their answers. For example, one downstate suburban

    superintendent wrote, Our current strong financial

    health is simply current - I will not be able to describe

    us as strong in a year or two.

    Comparing regions and types of communities

    As in 2011, there were variations across types of

    districts and across regions in the assessment of

    overall fiscal condition and trajectory.

    In both years, urban superintendents were more

    likely toview their districts financial condition as

    poor. The share of city superintendents assessing

    their districts financial condition as either poor or

    very poor jumped sharply from 24 percent to 43

    percent.

    19%

    11%

    17%

    14%

    22%

    14%

    12%

    50%

    8%

    15%

    21%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

    Total

    Long Island

    Lower Hudson

    Mid-Hudson Valley

    Capital Region

    Mohawk Valley

    Central New York

    North Country

    Southern Tier

    Finger Lakes

    Western New York

    % of districts foreseeing educationalinsolvency within 2 years

    19%

    14%

    18%

    21%

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

    Total

    City

    Suburb

    Rural

    % of districts foreseeing educationalinsolvency within 2 years

    66%

    23%

    6%

    5%

    49%

    34%

    11%

    6%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

    Very concerned

    Somewhat concerned

    Not concerned, our use of reserves islimited

    Our district is not drawing uponreserves to pay for recurring operating

    expenses

    To what extent, if at all, are you concerned that your district isdrawing upon reserves to pay for recurring operating costs?

    2011 2012

    1%

    6%

    41%

    42%

    10%

    1%

    2%

    23%

    53%

    22%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

    Significantly better

    Somewhat better

    About the same

    Somewhat worse

    Significantly worse

    Compared to one year ago, how has the financial conditionof your district changed, in terms of its ability to fund

    services meeting expectations of parents in the community?

    2011 2012

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    Superintendents leading urban districts were also

    more likely to say their districts financial conditionhad worsened from a year ago, and to express

    concern about reliance on reserves. Ninety-five

    percent of city superintendents said they were

    somewhat or very concerned by their districts use of

    reserves to fund continuing costs, compared to 83

    percent for suburban superintendents and 82 percent

    for rural superintendents.

    Looking across regions of the state, results are

    mixed. Generally, superintendents in the North

    Country and Southern Tier appear to have the

    greatest concerns about overall financial conditionand outlook.

    Digging into reserves

    The practice seems to have diminished, but for a

    time it was popular for elected officials and news

    sources to condemn schools for excessive reserves

    and call on them to drain those accounts to avert

    layoffs or property tax increases. There have always

    been at least three problems with this strategy.

    First, schools are more limited by law in the

    reserves they are allowed to maintain than other

    public entities in New York State.

    School districts are permitted to maintain an

    unrestricted fund balance equal to up to 4 percent of

    their budget. Municipalities have no percentage limit

    and the Government Finance Officers Association

    recommends maintaining an unreserved fund

    balance of between 5 and 15 percent of general fund

    revenues, or up to two months expenses. So what

    New York school districts are permitted to maintain

    as a maximum rainy day fund is less than what

    experts deem adequate as a minimum.

    Second, reserves run out. Eventually, a district

    must either permanently reduce expenditures to align

    them with its reliably recurring revenues, or raise

    taxes to match revenues with spending. The deeper

    the reliance on reserves, the more painful the day of

    reckoning when they run out.

    As noted in the introduction, the State EducationDepartment has reported that school district rainy

    day reserves shrank from $2.76 billion in 2009-10,

    to $1.21 billion in 2012-13.

    Third, year-in and year-out, schools already use

    reserves to manage turbulence in their financial

    operations, some of which arises from swings in the

    states fiscal posture.

    For example, in the Property Tax Report Cards

    filed for their May 2012 budget votes, school districts

    reported using assigned fund balances totaling over$1.2 billion. Without these funds appropriated out of

    existing reserves or current year operating surpluses,

    districts would have had to raise taxes or cut

    spending by an equivalent sum.

    To put that figure in perspective, to match what

    they used from fund balances in their 2012-13

    budgets, districts would have had to raise local taxes

    24%

    12%

    20%

    17%

    43%

    10%

    18%

    17%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

    City

    Suburb

    Rural

    Total

    % Responding Poor or Very Poor

    How would you describe the current f inancial condition ofyour school district, in terms of its ability to fund servicesmeeting the e xpectations of parents in your community?

    2011 2012

    Various measures of fiscal condition, by region

    Region

    Financial

    condition

    poor/very

    poor

    Financial

    condition

    worse than

    1 year ago

    Reserves

    less than

    adequately

    funded

    Concerned

    about

    reliance on

    reserves

    Total 17% 52% 31% 82%

    Long Island 2% 43% 21% 75%

    Lower Hudson Valley 13% 34% 32% 77%

    Mid-Hudson Valley 7% 53% 33% 73%

    Capital Region 27% 59% 42% 81%

    Mohawk Valley 18% 56% 30% 89%

    Central New York 20% 35% 25% 70%North Country 39% 54% 39% 94%

    Southern Tier 27% 65% 49% 87%

    Finger Lakes 6% 48% 13% 87%

    Western New York 17% 64% 29% 88%

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    by 6.8 percent more than they actually proposed (9

    percent, rather than 2.2 percent). Or they would have

    had to cut spending by an average of 4.1 percent from

    what they actually budgeted.

    By these measures, poor districts depended on

    reserves the most in putting together their 2012-13school budgets. Without what they appropriated

    from fund balance, the poorest 20 percent of districts

    (measured by property wealth per pupil) would have

    had to raise taxes byan additional 21 percent.

    The mandated low percentage limit on

    unrestricted reserves for school districts may have

    made sense when school revenues were more stable

    and predictable from year-to-year. But as state

    government became increasingly dependent on

    receipts from Wall Street-related activities, School

    Aid entered an era of boom and bust cycles,increasing financial uncertainties for all districts, and

    especially for poor, heavily aid dependent school

    systems.

    SOURCE: Council analysis of NYSED Property Tax Report Card data

    -14%

    -31%

    -23%

    -9%

    -18%

    -22%

    -10%

    -9%

    -12%

    -4%

    -7%

    7%

    21%

    17%

    11%

    10%

    11%

    8%

    6%

    5%

    3%

    3%

    -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25%

    Total State

    1 (Proorest 10%)

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    What happens when reserves run dry?Districts grouped by property wealth per pupil

    Change in unrestricted fund balance from 2011-12 to 2012-13

    Additional tax increase which would be needed without use of fund balance (i.e.,appropriated fund balance as % of tax levy)

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    In their own words: Overall Fiscal Condition

    We are at our breaking point. Classrooms are full, 27 -30 students in most 7-12 classrooms and 19-24

    students in elementary classrooms. We have cut all thelow hanging fruit, and climbed the tree for the rest. Ournext step is to start cutting off branches, which meanswe will be cutting off chunks of the learning we yield asan institution.~ Upstate rural superintendent

    No matter how much we have in reserves, TRS/ERS,health insurance, and Triborough along with meagerNYS aid, makes the financial model unsustainable.~ Upstate suburban superintendent

    Our district is not able to offer the level of interventionservices that our students need academically. We aregetting by through under-spending our budget, being

    lean administratively and unfortunately not offering thedepth of intervention serves our students need.~ Upstate city superintendent

    We have developed a plan to burn reserves over thenext three years and making significant cuts in each ofthose years to arrive at a point where we will stabilize.The reserves that we do have will provide us with thetime make those cuts until we stop burning our fundbalance. However, we will have to significantly reduceour ability to meet the educational needs of ourcommunity because of diminishing resources.~ Downstate city superintendent

    We are currently using a significant amount of reservesas recurring revenue. The reserves are soon to expire. Ihave no good plan as to how we will replace this lostrevenue stream. We have already eliminated 17% of our

    faculty and staff. People are complaining about classsize now. Class size will only increase in years to come.Programs will be eliminated and down-sized.~ Upstate suburban superintendent

    The fluctuating unknown costs of Special Educationmake it almost impossible to create a sound budget in a

    small, rural school district.~ Upstate rural superintendent

    We are not meeting the state and federal requirementsfor academic intervention services now, particularly atthe high school level. We are straining to provide thenecessary resources for our elementary and middle

    school children, because we know that in the long termchildren will not be successful without emphasis on

    early literacy. We have consciously chosen to forestallfiscal disaster by cutting everything possible and beingout of compliance with older children.~ Upstate rural superintendent

    We have cut about 15% of staff in the last four years.

    However, we are using 400% more fund balance andreserves than in 2008. It is not sustainable and I fearthat within two years we will be financially insolvent.~ Upstate rural superintendent

    We are in "ok" shape for now. No doubt many, manyothers are not. It's a slippery slope. Even if results show

    some districts like ours are "ok" - that will change beforewe know it. And what does that say for others who arealready decimated.~ Downstate suburban superintendent

    While we are solvent now, the tax cap will erode away atour fiscal stability. Uncontrollable expenses such asincreases in retirement contributions, health care costs,unfunded mandates, fuel, etc. are eating away at ourability to deliver program.~ Upstate rural superintendent

    We are a Special Act School District and are rate based.BUT, funding remains an issue as our rate has notincreased in 5 years and we are not allowed by law tocarry a fund balance.~ Upstate rural superintendent

    If the gap elimination adjustment remains unaltered, wewill not be able to accomplish our educational missionin the 2013-14 school year.~ Upstate rural superintendent

    The local community cannot support additionalcontributions to funding the educational programsoffered their children, yet each child in New York State

    should have opportunity and access to a soundeducational program. We have been operating by not

    filling positions due to attrition for the last 10 yearsOffering two languages was given up over 8 years ago.Three elementary buildings with a total of 600 students

    share 1 art teacher - that happened 5 years ago - wecan't meet the mandates for PE at the elementary level.The HS offers 3 AP classes - the list goes on, but when

    someone retires, the position wasn't filled. Right nowwe are waiting for a retirement in the guidance staff, orwe will have another reduction of a person.~ Upstate rural superintendent

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    Budgeting Choices

    The core ofTHE COUNCILs survey is an exploration

    of the budgeting choices schools have made over the

    past three years.

    General observations about school budgets

    As in last years report, we stress three points

    before presenting the surveys findings on the specific

    actions districts took in putting together budgets.

    First, You cant cut what you dont have. Poor

    districts are less likely to report that they eliminated

    advanced classes because they are less likely to have

    them in the first place. A district conducting all

    classes in a single building will not report that it

    closed a school, unless it takes the extreme step of

    tuitioning out all its students to a neighbor.

    Related, You cannot cut what you have already

    decimated. In last years survey, for every specific

    budget action we identified, the proportion of

    superintendents saying their district had used it

    increased every year. That is not true this year;

    smaller percentages of districts exercised some

    options this year than in the year before. This could

    happen if a districts financial condition has improve-

    ed. But another explanation could be that a district

    has already cut the function as much as prudent, or as

    much as permitted by law our next point.

    Second, some items cannot be cut because they

    are mandated by Albany or Washington. For

    example, the operation of special education services

    is heavily prescribed by state and federal mandates

    and over multiple years, special education is seen as

    less negatively affected by budget decisions than any

    other service. In the same vein, the demands of the

    states new teacher evaluation requirements have

    raised concerns about maintaining the administrative

    capacity necessary to comply.

    Third, understanding where schools can cutrequires recognizing where their spending goes to

    start.

    One way to break down school spending is by the

    commodities it buys; another is by the purposes it

    serves. Personnel salaries and benefits comprises

    about three quarters of school spending by

    commodity. Instruction consumes a comparable

    share by purpose.

    Source: Council analysis of NYSED School District Fiscal Profile data(2009-10); Big 5 Cities not included

    Source: Council analysis of US Census Bureau data (2009-10); Big 5Cities not included

    Personnel

    As noted, 70 to 80 percent of spending in a typical

    district is devoted to personnel. That means 70 to 80

    percent of any cuts needed to achieve a balanced

    budget are likely to come from personnel. Although

    the impulse of school leaders and voters may be to

    cut things before people, that becomes harder and

    harder after a series of lean years exhausts less

    painful options.

    There are two ways to reduce personnel costs:

    employ fewer people, or spend less per employee.Like it or not, districts have more latitude to exercise

    the former option than the latter salaries and many

    benefits are locked-in by contracts, and pension

    contributions are prescribed by state law and retire-

    ment system calculations. Nonetheless, THE

    COUNCILs survey found districts using both

    approaches.

    Instruction,

    74.1%

    Operations &maintenance,

    6.5%

    Debt service,

    6.6%

    Other, 5.4%

    Transportation

    , 5.1%Central

    Office, 2.3%

    Where school spending goes -- by purpose

    Salaries &wages, 54.5%

    Employeebenefits,

    20.2%

    Everythingelse, 25.2%

    Where school spending goes --by commodity

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    Teacher compensation is the largest single item in

    virtually every districts budget and reducing teaching

    positions was the most commonly reported personnel

    cost reduction. Statewide, 67 percent of superintend-

    dents said their districts reduced teaching positions

    this year, down from 72 percent in 2011-12.

    We estimate that districts reduced their teaching

    staffs by an average of 3.6 percent, this year, downfrom 4.3 percent in 2011-12.

    Fewer districts also report cutting administrative

    positions this year there are fewer to eliminate.9

    But districts continued to cut these positions more

    steeply than teaching jobs, eliminating an average of

    5.2 percent of their administrative positions.

    9 By law, districts are required to report compensationfor all administrative positions carrying the titlesuperintendent, or deputy/associate/assistantsuperintendent, or any other certified administrativeposition (e.g., principal) paying more than $123,000.For 2012-13, 301 districts 44 percent of the total report only one position meeting the criteria theirsuperintendent. Some may have other central officepositions bearing different titles and paying below thereporting threshold, but this measure does give someindication of how administratively lean many districtsare.

    Position reductions are down across all categories

    compared to 2011-12. But it is essential to recognize

    that the impact is cumulative this years 3.9 percent

    reduction in total positions comes on top of last years

    estimated 4.9 percent cut. Further, data compiled by

    the Gannett News Service Capitol Bureau10 shows

    that districts outside the Big 5 cities reduced total

    staffing by another 3.9 percent in the two preceding

    years (2009-10 and 2010-11). Compounding all these

    figures suggests that school districts have eliminated

    roughly 12 percent of their positions since 2008-09.

    As in 2011-12, job cuts tended to be deeper in city

    and rural districts than in suburbs. City districts

    reported cutting total positions by an average of 5.2

    percent, compared to 4.4 percent in rural districtsand 3.3 percent in suburbs.

    10School enrollment, staff continue to decline,Rochester Democrat and Chronicle, August 20, 2012.

    PERSONNEL 2012-13 2011-12 2010-11

    At least

    once in last

    3 years

    Salary freeze or other cost reduction

    in salary or benefits for

    superintendent 45% 59% 34% 79%

    Cost-reduction concession in salaries

    or benefits for other central office

    administrators 36% 50% 22% 69%

    Cost-reduction concession in salaries

    or benefits for building level

    administrators 35% 45% 20% 66%

    Cost-reduction concession in salaries

    or benefits agreed to by teacher

    union 35% 31% 15% 54%

    Cost-reduction concession in salaries

    or benefits agreed to by any other

    union 30% 28% 13% 48%

    Reduction in central office

    administration positions 22% 25% 22% 47%

    Reduction in building-level

    administration positions 18% 25% 20% 43%

    Reduction in teaching positions 67% 72% 62% 87%

    Reduction in other instructional

    support or student services positions 56% 60% 46% 76%

    Reduction in other positions 59% 60% 47% 79%

    Other reduction in personnel costs 38% 33% 27% 47%

    Layoffs Attrition

    Total

    Positions

    Eliminated

    Classroom teachers 2.2% 1.4% 3.6%

    Other instructional orstudent support

    personnel 3.9% 2.0% 5.9%

    Administrators 3.1% 2.1% 5.2%

    Other Employees 1.7% 1.0% 2.7%

    TOTAL 2.4% 1.5% 3.9%

    Percentage of positions eliminated by category,

    2012-13

    4.3%

    8.0%

    7.5%

    3.6%

    4.9%

    3.6%

    5.9%

    5.2%

    2.7%

    3.9%

    0% 2% 4% 6% 8%

    Teachers

    Other Student Support

    Administrators

    Other

    Total

    Percent reduction in positions by category,2011-12 and 2012-13

    201 1-12 201 2-1 3

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    INSTRUCTION 2012-13 2011-12 2010-11

    At least

    once in last

    3 years

    Increased class size 59% 48% 30% 67%

    Reduced non-mandated art classes 16% 18% 11% 31%Reduced non-mandated music

    classes 20% 19% 9% 33%

    Reduced advanced or honors classes 17% 13% 7% 24%

    Reduced summer school 31% 27% 20% 44%

    Reduced extra help for students

    during the regular school day or year 22% 23% 14% 32%

    Reduced student enrollment in career

    and technical programs 18% 12% 7% 23%

    Reduced/deferred purchase of

    instructional technology 31% 26% 20% 42%

    Reduced/deferred purchase of

    textbooks 18% 13% 8% 21%

    Reduced/deferred purchase of library

    materials 17% 13% 9% 22%

    Eliminated prekindergarten 1% 0% 1% 3%

    Reduced prekindergarten 5% 2% 1% 8%

    Eliminated kindergarten 0% 0% 0% 1%

    Moved from full-day to half-day

    kindergarten 0% 0% 0% 2%

    Other reduction in kindergarten 0% 1% 0% 3%

    Combined grade two leve ls in a single

    classroom 4% 2% 1% 7%

    Other reduction in instruction 34% 23% 14% 38%

    Superintendents led other categories of employees

    in accepting salary freezes or agreeing to other

    compensation changes to save money for their

    districts: 49 percent of superintendents report taking

    such steps in 2012-13, and 79 percent said they had

    done so at least once in the past three years.11

    Cost-saving concessions have been less common

    among unionized employees. Nonetheless, the per-

    centages have grown. For example, 35 percent of

    superintendents report a cost-reduction agreed to bytheir teacher union in 2012-13, up from 15 percent

    two years ago (2010-11). As discussed below, the

    property tax levy cap may have an impact on

    collective bargaining in some districts.

    Instruction

    While personnel is the largest area of school

    spending measured by commodity, instruction is the

    greatest expense area measured by purpose,

    accounting for 74.7 percent of total spending

    according to the State Education Departments

    School District Fiscal Profiles. Accordingly, when

    cuts are necessary, it is hard for schools to spare

    either of these large areas.

    By a wide margin, the most common cost reduc-

    tion in instruction this year has been to increase class

    sizes, reported by 59 percent of districts, up from 48

    percent in 2011-12. Next most common were reduc-

    ing summer school and reducing or deferring the

    purchase of instructional technology, each reported

    by 31 percent of superintendents. Then came reduc-

    11 According to administrative compensation datareported to the State Education Department, thestatewide average superintendent salary has beenroughly flat for the past three years $165,577 in 2010-11,$165,464 in 2011-12, and $165,953 in 2013-13. Inaddition, in each of the past two years, over half thestates districts report paying their superintendent the

    same or less compared to the prior year.

    ing extra help for students during the regular school

    day or year. As explained elsewhere in this report,

    assuring extra help for students emerges as a top

    concern for many superintendents.

    This years survey added questions asking

    specifically about actions affecting early childhoodeducation kindergarten and prekindergarten.

    Although there have been warnings that some

    districts are forced to consider cutting kindergarten,

    it appears few have done so yet.

    One superintendent reported that his or her

    district eliminated kindergarten in 2010-11. In each

    of the three years asked about, one superintendent

    reported a district scaling back from full-day, to half-

    day kindergarten. This suggests that over the past

    three years, a total of 2 percent of districts have made

    that reduction in kindergarten services.

    For the current year, 5 percent of superintendents

    reported reducing prekindergarten, and 1 percent

    reported eliminating the service altogether. Not all

    districts offer pre-K, however, so the prevalence of

    cuts would be higher if counted against districts

    which actually had a program to cut.

    Total positions eliminated, by category and type, 2012-13

    City Rural Suburb Total

    Teachers 4.8% 4.2% 3.1% 3.6%

    Other Student Support 7.7% 6.0% 5.4% 5.9%

    Administrators 4.0% 6.1% 5.0% 5.2%

    Other 3.5% 3.5% 2.1% 2.7%

    Total 5.2% 4.4% 3.3% 3.9%

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    Other direct student services

    THE COUNCIL survey finds that districts have

    continued to make cuts to other student services. The

    proportions of superintendents saying their districts

    reduced sports or other extracurricular activities

    declined from 2011-12, after sharp jumps in reported

    cuts to those areas last year. The share saying they

    had reduced special education rose. In all of these

    areas, over half of superintendents said their districts

    had made cuts at least once in the last three years.

    Operations, maintenance and construction

    Operations and maintenance costs comprise only

    6.5 percent of total school spending on average, but

    in striving to cut things rather than people, districts

    have continued to be aggressive in seeking savings

    from this area.

    Of all the budget actions across all areas,

    implementing some form of energy conservation (57

    percent) was the third most common, behind the

    connected actions of cutting teachers (67 percent)

    and increasing class sizes (59 percent). The share of

    superintendents reporting their districts have

    deferred maintenance is rising, from 26 percent in

    2010-11, to 40 percent this year.

    An apparently small proportion of districts

    anticipates deferring a capital project this year (16

    percent). But not all districts need to take on a

    capital project in any given year.

    Other actions

    Our survey also allowed superintendents to check-

    off an assortment of miscellaneous budget cutting

    strategies.

    At least 40 percent of superintendents reported

    reducing funding for staff travel and professional

    development, reducing participation in BOCES

    services, making other shared service arrangements

    outside of BOCES, and reducing reserves.

    Some of the districts which reported reducing use

    of BOCES services said they had also increased their

    use of these services. From past anecdotal

    information gathering efforts, we have found districts

    scaling back participation in BOCES special educa-

    tion programs, choosing to serve students with

    disabilities in-house instead. At the same time,districts also reported making more aggressive use of

    BOCES administrative services, including cooperative

    purchasing, shared business offices, and energy

    management, for example.

    The survey also shows steady growth in shared

    service arrangements outside of BOCES, reaching 40

    percent in 2012-13.

    Statewide, 14 percent of superintendents report

    that their districts closed a school building at least

    once in the past threeyears. As observed above, you

    cant cut what you dont have. Small districts

    operate fewer schools, so, not surprisingly, only 2

    percent of districts with fewer than 500 students

    closed a building. But 29 percent of those with over

    5,000 students report having done so.

    OTHER DIRECT STUDENT

    SERVICES 2012-13 2011-12 2010-11

    At least

    once in last

    3 years

    Reduced interscholastic sports 34% 41% 27% 57%

    Reduced other extracurricular

    activities (other t han interscholastic

    sports) 34% 39% 22% 55%

    Changes in special education which

    reduced costs 41% 37% 22% 52%

    Reduced other direct student services 27% 22% 12% 32%

    Reduced pupil transportation 28% 28% 12% 42%

    Other reduction in student services

    costs 21% 16% 11% 24%

    OPERATIONS,

    MAINTENANCE AND

    CONSTRUCTION 2012-13 2011-12 2010-11

    At least

    once in last

    3 years

    Deferred maintenance 40% 36% 26% 47%

    Any form of energy conservation 57% 48% 33% 66%

    Delayed a capital project 16% 14% 10% 24%

    Outsourced custodial/ maintenancework 2% 2% 2% 4%

    Reducing or deferring purchases of

    supplies, other than those related t o

    instruction 41% 36% 26% 48%

    Other reduction in operation,

    maintenance or construction costs 39% 32% 22% 45%

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    Impact of 2011-12 budget decisions

    Our survey also asked superintendents to assess

    the impact of their districts 2012-13 budget upon

    various functions. More than 40 percent of superin-

    tendents anticipated that the adopted budget would

    have a negative impact on these functions:

    operations and maintenance (50 percent), extracurricular activities (49 percent), extra help for students who need it (48 percent), administration (46 percent), athletics (45 percent), and core instruction in elementary grades (41 percent).

    Percentages of superintendents anticipating that

    their districts 2012-13 budget would have a negative

    impact were down modestly across all service

    categories. Few superintendents anticipate positive

    impacts, however.

    Extra help for students who need it drew the

    highest share of superintendents foreseeing a severe

    negative impact from the district budget, with 9

    percent.

    Budget impacts by district type

    Rural superintendents were more likely to

    anticipate negative effects on basic instruction from

    their districts adopted budgets than were their city

    and suburban counterparts.

    City superintendents exhibited widespread

    concern about extra help for students who need it, as

    well as operations and maintenance, administration,

    and extracurricular activities, with over 60 percent

    foreseeing negative effects in each area.

    Among rural superintendents, extracurricular

    activities (53 percent) and extra help (52 percent)

    were most commonly seen as negatively affected.

    Impact on administration was the most common

    concern among suburban superintendents (49percent), followed by operations and maintenance

    (46 percent).

    Conversely, between 10 and 15 percent of

    suburban superintendents anticipate their districts

    2012-13 budgets will have positive effects on core

    elementary, middle or secondary instruction.

    OTHER ACTIONS 2012-13 2011-12 2010-11

    At least

    once in last

    3 years

    Closed a school building 5% 7% 3% 14%

    Change in school schedule for the

    purpose of reducing costs (e.g.,

    discontinuing block scheduling) 14% 10% 4% 23%

    Reduced funding for staff trave l 52% 48% 35% 61%Reduced participation in professional

    development by administrators 44% 41% 28% 54%

    Reduced participation in professional

    development by teachers 42% 40% 26% 51%

    Reduced participation in professional

    development by other staff (other

    than teachers a nd administrators) 32% 30% 20% 38%

    Reduced participation in BOCES

    services 42% 36% 23% 51%

    Increased participation in BOCES

    services 25% 21% 9% 31%

    Increased participation in other

    shared services arrangements (not

    through BOCES) 40% 25% 13% 43%

    Reduced or eliminated undesignated

    reserves 52% 43% 26% 58%

    Reduced or eliminated designated

    reserves 47% 41% 22% 53%

    Changed purchasing practices 36% 28% 16% 42%

    Other 8% 7% 4% 11%

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    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

    2011 Instruction in English, mat hematics, science, and soc. studies

    2012 Core instruction in elementary grades

    2012 Middle level instruction in English, math, science, and soc. studies2012 High school instruction in English, math, science, and soc. studies

    2011 Extra help for students who need it

    2012 Extra help for students who need it

    2011 Advanced or enrichment classes

    2012 Advanced or enrichment classes

    2011 Instruction in art

    2012 Instruction in art

    2011 Instruction in music

    2012 Instruction in music

    2011 Special education

    2012 Special education

    2011 Athletics

    2012 Athletics

    2011 O ther extracurricular activities

    2012 Other extracurricular activities

    2011 Student transportation

    2012 Student transportation

    2011 Other student services

    2012 Other student services

    2011 O perations and maintenance

    2012 Operations and m aintenance

    2011 Administration

    2012 Administration

    2011 O ther district operations and services

    2012 Other district operations and services

    Impact of 2011-12 and 2012-13 budgets on selected school operationsSevere negative impact Some negative i mpact No change from prior year Positive impact

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    Budget impacts by region

    Long Island and the Lower Hudson Valley are the

    states most affluent regions, measured by property

    wealth or resident income per pupil. Superinten-

    dents in those regions were less likely to anticipate

    negative consequences from 2012-13 school budgets

    than their colleagues in other regions. Yet Central

    New York is one of the poorest regions and its

    superintendents were also more optimistic on

    average than colleagues elsewhere.

    Superintendents in the North Country, Western

    New York, and the Mohawk Valley were more likely

    to foresee negative impacts from their district

    budgets. Seventy-four percent of North Country

    superintendents believe extra help for students who

    need it will be negatively affected by their school

    budget, the highest negative share for any service inany region.

    Once again, you cant cut what you dont have

    or what you have only in minimal quantity. This may

    explain the low negative impact anticipated for

    advanced classes in the Southern Tier, or art and

    music in the North Country.

    Total City Rural Suburb

    Core instruction in elementary

    grades

    41% 33% 43% 39%

    Instruction in English, math,

    science, and social studies in the

    middle level grades

    33% 33% 36% 29%

    Instruction in English, math,

    science, and social studies in

    high school

    37% 40% 42% 28%

    Extra help for students who need

    it -- any level

    48% 73% 52% 37%

    Instruction in art -- any level 27% 23% 27% 26%

    Student transportation 33% 57% 34% 27%

    Advanced or enrichment classes 35% 50% 39% 28%

    Special education 20% 14% 23% 15%

    Athletics 44% 43% 47% 40%Other extracurricular activities 48% 62% 53% 39%

    Instruction in music -- any level 26% 23% 32% 19%

    Other student services 34% 15% 39% 31%

    Operations and maintenance 49% 80% 48% 46%

    Administration 46% 69% 40% 49%

    Other district operations and

    services

    43% 57% 43% 43%

    Percentage of superintendents anticipating some or

    severe negative impact from 2012-13 budget decisions on

    various school operations -- by district type:

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    In their own words: Budgeting Choices

    We were forced to take drastic budget measures in the2010-2011 school year. During that year, we reducedour staff (all areas) by 10%+. We continue to operate ata skeleton level of services for our students. As a rural

    school district, we already offer a many fewer program-matic opportunities than our wealthier colleagues. Any

    further reductions in programs and/or services wouldseverely limit the educational prospects of our students.~ Upstate rural superintendent

    We have been routinely reducing administration (25%over three years) and were forced to go deeper atcentral office this year to avoid further reductions in thebuildings. Set minimum class sizes at HS and allowedclass sized to be larger than previous years in acceler-ated and advanced courses. Reduced the heck out of Oand M [operations and maintenenance]. Outsourced

    leadership for O and M.~ Upstate suburban superintendent

    Because of the reduction in administration at the centraloffice level a few years ago, we are all doing more with

    fewer personnel, including sharing secretaries. We havenot had much impact on serving our AIS students be-cause the board has been adamant re no cuts. We also

    support kids via federal grants. Our class sizes in HSand MS are nearing 30 so we could have smaller class

    sizes in the elementary grades, i.e., 22-24/class. Wehave cut all the non-instructional we can. We reallydon't know where we can cut yet again, it will be the fifth

    year in a row.~ Downstate suburban superintendent

    We had little to cut since major cuts were undertakenbefore the 2010-11 school year.~ Upstate rural superintendent

    We are struggling with the reductions to this point butwill make it through the year. However, without support

    from the state even for low need schools we will beforced to continue to challenge the cap or eviscerateprogram components as operational components can

    no longer be cut and maintain the district operations.~ Upstate suburban superintendent

    The lack of cuts to administration is not because ofexcess administrators, it is because we have onePrincipal in the elementary school, a middle schoolPrincipal that is also the CSE (committee on specialeducation) chair and one HS Principal. There are noother central office administrators besides the

    superintendent, so there is no place to cut. With theincreased requirements under 3012-c (teacher/

    principal evaluations), it will be difficult at best tocomplete the new requirements.~ Upstate suburban superintendent

    Because of the massive layoffs required to pass the2011-12 budget, the board decided to exceed the taxlevy limit in our first budget vote. We did not pass. Wereduced to the tax levy limit, and passed on the secondvote. The entire process was contentious funding reduc-tions and somewhat divisive. We need some sort of"consideration" from our teachers unit, but have yet toreceive it. This is harming our ability to gain community

    support for our budget. As a superintendent, my salaryhas been frozen for the fourth year, I am paying more

    for my health insurance, I have a smaller administra-tive team with which to work, and I am having a hardtime keeping people motivated and positive partic-ularly given the rapid pace of change in regulations

    from NYSED. As a small rural district, we do not have thecapacity that other districts do, and our effectiveness is

    slowly being eroded as a result of funding reductions.~ Upstate rural superintendent

    In my opinion we are out of magic. We have eliminatedover 51 positions through attrition over the past three

    years. We have closed 2 schools. We have doubled ourappropriated fund balance and will be under the 4%allowable amount. We have squeezed all that can be

    squeezed. We do not spend anywhere what we need for

    technology. We are postponing capital projects. Wehave kept spending under 1% and the levy increaseunder 2% for each of the three past years. My salary hasbeen frozen twice and the administrators have made

    serious concessions. However, CSEA and NYSUTemployee costs ---and they are 90% of our work force---continue to increase well in excess of 2% per year.~ Upstate rural superintendent

    We are experiencing an increase in enrollment but areconstrained in the addition of teaching and student sup-

    port positions because of the tax cap and the currenteconomic situation. Our classes and our programs areat capacity and I am really concerned because myhonest assessment is that we are stretching people and

    programs too far.~ Upstate suburban superintendent

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    Adapting to the tax levy capDistricts developed and adopted their budgets

    under the states new property tax levy cap law for the

    first time this past spring.

    Actual proposed budget figures and our survey

    responses point to the same conclusion: the cap led

    districts to propose lower spending and tax increases

    than would have occurred under the old rules.

    In the first round of voting, districts proposed

    budgets with spending increases averaging 1.7

    percent and tax increases averaging 2.2 percent.

    Budget vote day brought the second highest known

    approval rate 96.5 percent12, including 99 percent

    of districts proposing increases within their levy limit.

    Almost two-thirds of the districts attempting to

    over-ride their levy limit were successful in obtainingthe 60 percent of voters needed for approval.

    Ultimately, only two districts were required to

    adopt a contingency budget, with no increase in tax

    levy over the prior year, as required by the new law.

    Assessing the impact

    For the state as a whole, 67 percent of

    superintendents said that the tax levy cap had led

    their districts to adopt budgets with spending levels

    below what would have been done without the cap.

    Included in that share were 17 percent ofsuperintendents who described their districts

    adopted spending level as significantly lower.

    Asked to appraise how the tax levy cap affected

    programs and services, 60 percent said it caused their

    adopted budget to have either a somewhat more

    negative impact (50 percent), or significantly more

    negative impact (10 percent) than would have

    occurred without the cap.

    Impact by region

    Looking at the perceived impact of the tax levy cap

    by region, it is hard to identify patterns. With some

    reflection, however, it becomes apparent that there

    are multiple considerations which might interact to

    affect how the cap would influence budget impact.

    12 The highest pass rate was 97.3 percent in 2009; theState Education Department has figures going back to1969.

    Poorer districts tend to be more heavily

    dependent on state aid for two reasons. First, state

    aid does have progressive elements which direct

    greater revenue per pupil to poorer districts. Second,

    they have less property wealth to tax with identical

    tax rates, a poor district will raise less local revenue

    than a wealthy district.

    So local taxes typically comprise a larger share of

    total revenues for wealthy districts, suggesting they

    would be more likely to ascribe budget impacts to the

    tax levy cap. But even with a tax increase within the

    levy limit, a wealthier district will raise more revenue

    than a poor district levying at the same rate.

    Further, rich or poor, local political considerations

    also affect judgments about how large a tax increase

    taxpayers might support. Last, while exemptions

    from the cap might allow districts a higher tax levylimit, many local leaders ruled out seeking increases

    greater than 2 percent, believing their voters would

    apply that widely cited number as a benchmark.

    Among regions, superintendents in the Lower

    Hudson Valley, with the greatest property wealth per

    pupil, ascribed the least impact on spending levels to

    the cap. Perhaps their ability to raise relatively

    larger sums at any given tax rate cushioned the

    impact of the tax levy cap.

    On the other hand, the North Country, with manylow wealth districts, had a high rate of perceived

    impact on spending. This may reflect the limited

    sums many of these districts can raise at any tax rate.

    There were similar results for these two regions on

    the questions about how the tax levy cap affected

    programs and services.

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Total

    Long Island

    Lower Hudson Valley

    Mid-Hudson Valley

    Capital Region

    Mohawk ValleyCentral New York

    North Country

    Southern Tier

    Finger Lakes

    Western New York

    Impact of tax cap on bu dgeted spending levels

    Somewhat lower Significantly lower

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    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Total

    Long Island

    Lower Hudson ValleyMid-Hudson Valley

    Capital RegionMohawk Valley

    Central New York

    North Country

    Southern Tier

    Finger LakesWestern New York

    Impact of tax cap on programs and services

    Somewhat negative Significantly negative

    Though often cited as a model, Massachusettss

    tax levy cap is more generous to local governments

    and schools than New Yorks version. Massachusetts

    communities may increase their tax levy by up to 2.5

    percent without seeking voter approval, and may

    over-ride that cap with a simple majority of voters.

    New Yorks lawforbids schools any increase in taxlevy without approval by at least a simple majority of

    voters, and requires 60 percent of voters to over-ride.

    Yet although Massachusettss law is more

    favorable to local governments, one study13 concluded

    it had more adversely affected poor communities

    they were less likely to attempt over-rides and less

    likely to succeed when they did try. THE COUNCILs

    analysis of past school district budget votes suggests

    similar risks high need small city and suburban

    districts seem likely to have the greatest difficulty

    winning over-ride votes. But with so few unsuc-

    cessful votes this year, it is not yet possible to draw

    reliable conclusions about future over-ride prospects.

    As a group, high need rural districts proposed the

    lowest tax increases, made the least use of exemp-

    tions, and were least likely to attempt over-rides.

    13 "Hidden consequences: Lessons from Massachusettsfor states considering a property tax cap." Center onBudget and Policy Priorities, 25 May 2010. Web. 27Sept. 2012.

    Tax levy cap impact on collective bargaining

    Some tax levy cap proponents described it as a

    blunt instrument which would force state officials

    to get serious about enacting mandate relief, and

    compel local leaders to manage more efficiently and

    negotiate more aggressively with employee unions.

    Our survey asked superintendents for their

    impression of how the tax levy cap might affect

    collective bargaining with their local teacher union.

    We singled out teacher unions and did not inquire

    about other employee categories in order to limit the

    overall length of the survey, and because teacher

    compensation is the largest expense in virtually every

    district budget.

    Statewide, 59 percent of superintendents said that

    they thought that the tax levy cap increased the

    likelihood that their district would be able to

    negotiate a cost saving concession with their teacher

    union, or that it had already contributed to achieving

    savings. Thirty-one percent thought the cap would

    not affect the prospects for negotiating cost savings,

    while 10 percent said doing so was not a priority. A

    superintendent might give the latter answer if the

    district had previously negotiated savings, or if it is

    believed that its teacher compensation is not

    competitive.

    In response to our invitation for open-ended

    comments, a couple superintendents said that the tax

    cap had had a negative impact on bargaining

    prospects.

    2012-13 Tax levy decisions by SED Need/Resource Category

    Need/Resource Capacity Category

    Proposed

    Tax Increase

    Proposed Tax

    Levy as % of

    Levy Limit

    % Attempting

    Tax Cap

    Over-Rides

    High Need Small Cities and Suburbs 2.2% 99.4% 6.5%

    High Need Rural 1.8% 97.9% 5.8%

    Average Need 2.1% 99.4% 8.6%

    Low Need 2.4% 99.7% 7.5%

    TOTAL STATE 2.2% 99.4% 7.6%

    SOURCE: Council analysis of NYSED Property Tax Report Card and budget vote data

    31%

    10%

    40%

    5%

    15%

    0% 1 0% 20% 30% 40% 50%

    No impact

    Negotiating savings nota priority now

    Somewhat more like ly

    Significantly more likely

    Alr eady contributed tonegotiating savings

    Perceived impact of tax cap onchances of negotiating cost-savingswith teacher union

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    In their own words: Contemplating the Tax CapWe may be able to go on for three more years onlywithout additional funding. A two percent increase

    yearly only nets us a little over 40 thousand dollars.~ Upstate rural superintendent

    The impact of the tax cap was softened this year by thesavings from a significant number of teacher retire-ments in response to an incentive. We expect to face anongoing imbalance in expenses vs. revenue after this

    year.~ Upstate suburban superintendent

    Significant fund balance and reserves were used to getto the 2% tax levy increase. We chose to stay at 2% eventhough our allowable increase was 3.8%. The feedbackwe were getting was that anything over 2% wouldn't

    pass due to the large amount of publicity of the 2% andmisunderstandings around this idea.~ Upstate city superintendent

    The tax cap has achieved its intended result - which wasto curtail the salaries and benefits to employees. Longterm consequences of this have yet to be determined.Class sizes are "creeping up" - while still manageable,may be a problem within two or three years ~ Downstate suburban superintendent

    Poor rural districts could never balance a budget ormake up for lost state aid through an increase of thelocal tax levy. We have been near or under 2% for years.

    ~ Upstate rural superintendent

    Community assumption - no more than 2% tax levyincrease. We feared a defeated budget if we raised it toour limit, about 8%.~ Upstate rural superintendent

    This year, the tax cap was near our traditional offeringto the public. At $33,000 per 1% of the levy, the tax caphas minimal impact with a passed budget under the caplevel. We do have concerns if a budget goes tocontingency...~ Upstate rural superintendent

    We are entering a second year without a teachers' andadministrators' contact and the tax cap is notrecognized at the table as a concern on their part.~ Downstate suburban superintendent

    Our teachers union does not want to hear anythingabout the tax levy limit- they believe that either we

    sho


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