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uFact 2011 Imperial College Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st , 2011
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Page 1: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

NuFact 2011

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics

Dave WarkImperial/RAL

NuFact 2011Geneva

August 1st, 2011

Page 2: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

NuFact 2011

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Where are we in n physics?• Experiments have demonstrated neutrino mass

and mixing – or at least do a damned fine imitation of it.

• However very few of the fundamental parameters of the sector are well measured, some aren’t measured at all, and almost none are overconstrained as the CKM elements are.

• We do not know the absolute mass scale.• We don’t even know the ordering of the masses.• We do not know if CP is violated in the n sector.• We don’t even know if a n is the same as a .n• We have a lot of work to do.....

Page 3: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

NuFact 2011

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

What to talk about in 30 minutes?• Absolute mass scale, measurements and

prospects.• “Known” neutrino oscillations:

– q12 driven oscillations – solar and reactor.– q23 driven oscillations – atmos. and long baseline.– q13 driven oscillations – long baseline and the rest.

• Experiments that will determine our sensitivities – Hadron production.– n cross sections.

• “Unknown” neutrino oscillations:– p decay and short baseline.

• Surprises.....

Page 4: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Nufact 2011

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Measuring absolute mn• Supernovae – Prodigious producers of neutrinos,

and measuring time shifts can in principle measure neutrino masses, mn < ~30 eV.

• Kinematic limits: If you believe the oscillation results, all m2 1 eV, therefore only ≪ ne measurements have useful sensitivity → current best is Tritium Beta Decay, mn < 2.2 eV.

• If neutrinos have Marjorana masses, then zero-neutrino double-beta decay is allowed → observation of 0nbb decay would be direct evidence for neutrino mass, <mn> < ~1.3 eV.

• Neutrinos are the second most numerous particle in the Universe → even a tiny neutrino mass could have astrophysical implications, Smn < 0.28 eV(?)

Page 5: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

KIT - The cooperation of Forschungszentrum

Karlsruhe GmbH and Universität Karlsruhe (TH)

Florian FränkleEPS HEP 2009Krakow

5

Tritium b-decay

tritium as b emitter:

• high specific activity (half-life: 12.3 years)

• low endpoint energy E0

(18.57 keV)

• super-allowed

observable:

Fermi theory of b-decay:

Page 6: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

KIT - The cooperation of Forschungszentrum

Karlsruhe GmbH and Universität Karlsruhe (TH)

Florian FränkleEPS HEP 2009Krakow

6

KATRIN experiment

70 m

tritium decayelectron transport energy analysistritium retention

(KArlsruhe TRItium Neutrino experiment, location: Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe)

b-decay rate: 1011 Hz

T2 pressure: 10-6 mbar

background rate: 10-2 Hz

T2 pressure: 10-20 mbar

adiabatic guiding of electrons on meV level

about 14 orders of magnitude

CMS at same scale

Page 7: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

Page 8: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

bb decay and neutrino mass

35 isotopes in nature

Page 9: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

Sum energy spectrum of both electrons

0: Peak at Q-value of nuclear transition

Page 10: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

ijijijij

τττ

μμμ

eee

li

θsand,θcwhere

e

e

cs

sc

ciδes

iδesc

cs

sc

UUU

UUU

UUU

U

sincos

100

00

00

100

0

0

0

010

0

0

0

001

2

2

1212

1212

1313

1313

2323

2323

321

321

321

2

1

Three neutrino mixing.

)E

LΔm.(θ)νP(ν eμ

222 271sin2sin

Page 11: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

Each is ±1 if CP conserved, but there can still be cancellations

Page 12: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

ne nm nt

Log m2

m1

m3

m2

What is the pattern of neutrino masses?

Dm223 ~ 2.5 x 10-3 eV2

Dm212 ~ 7 x 10-

5 eV2

It “probably” looks something like this

Page 13: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

ne nm nt

Log m2

m1

m3

m2

But it could look like this

m3

m2m1

What is the pattern of neutrino masses?

Page 14: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

ne nm nt

Log m2

m1

m3

m2

This makes a factor of two difference in the cosmological contribution, but a factor of two

on what?

m3

m2m1

Page 15: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

ne nm nt

Log m

Even more significant is the absolute scale.

10-2 eV

10-1 eV

1 eV

m1

m3

m2

This? m1

m3m2

Or this?

Page 16: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

Does this look natural?

Page 17: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

Page 18: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

Page 19: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011From Stephen Shoenert’s talk at EPS

Page 20: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

KKDC Claim(best fit 0.32 eV)

Final Cuoricino limitarXiv:1012.3266v1 [nucl-ex]

Need new ideas to reach < 10 meV, but kiloton scale low background experiments are not impossible!

CUORE Target

GERDA Target

With SuperNEMO, SNO+, MAJORANA, many others should reach here in ~ 7-10

yrs.

Page 21: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Nufact 2011

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Measuring absolute mn• Supernovae – Prodigious producers of neutrinos,

and measuring time shifts can in principle measure neutrino masses, mn < ~30 eV.

• Kinematic limits: If you believe the oscillation results, all m2 1 eV, therefore only ≪ ne measurements have useful sensitivity → current best is Tritium Beta Decay, mn < 2.2 eV.

• If neutrinos have Marjorana masses, then zero-neutrino double-beta decay is allowed → observation of 0nbb decay would be direct evidence for neutrino mass, <mn> < ~1.3 eV.

• Neutrinos are the second most numerous particle in the Universe → even a tiny neutrino mass could have astrophysical implications, Smn < 0.28 eV(?)

Covariances? Systematics? Model too simple? More soon from

Planck.

In any case, using cosmologyto measure mn is like using

LEP as a tide gauge.

Page 22: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

)E

LΔm.(θ)νP(ν eμ

222 271sin2sin

ELmmm

Pe

4/and/ where

sin2sincos

2sincos2sin2sincoscos2sin

sin2sin2sincossin2sin

sin2sin2sin

231

231

221

212

223

22

23121313

323121313

223

213

2

~0.03 ~p/4

Three neutrino mixing.

Remember degeneracies And covariances!

Page 23: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011G

onza

lez-

Gar

cia,

Mal

toni

, Sal

vado

How well do we know q12?

From Ranucci’sBOREXINO

talk at EPS 2011

Page 24: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011OPERA t appearance event....

.... has no friends yet. Expect 1.65±0.16

MINOS n vs n in mild tension –

new result soon.

_

Dusini at EPS

Gigantiat EPS

Holin at EPS1st T2K nm

disappearance

How well do we know q23? G

onza

lez-

Gar

cia,

Mal

toni

, Sal

vado

Page 25: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

What about q13?

Page 26: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

Page 27: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011ne Appearance Data Reduction

All cuts optimized for low statisticsand fixed before data taken.

Page 28: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

Page 29: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

Page 30: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

MINOS (1.7s)ne appearance, q13 > 0?

T2K (2.5s)

Are we moving into the q13 “large”

regime?

What about q13?

Page 31: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

T2K central value

Fogli global best fit[1]

T2K 90% Lower

→500 kW (2yr)→ >1 MW (>5yr)

sin22q13 = 0.1, NH

Even some 90% CP violation sensitivity...

Page 32: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

Page 33: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

Semi-Double-Chooz now taking data withthe far detector, 1st results within the year. Daya

Bay and RENO to start this summer. If q13 near top of indicated range they

should have early sensitivity.

Page 34: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

OK, then what?

• Three “conventional” beam proposals:– An upgrade of T2K based on reaching 1.6 MW

beam power and a new far detector.– LBNE – a plan to build a new neutrino beam at

Fermilab aimed at Homestake, where either a large water Cerenkov detector or a LAr tracking calorimeter would be built.

– LAGUNA-LBNO – three different options for new long baseline in Europe.

Simon van der Meer, 1925 - 2011

Page 35: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

Page 36: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

Mine at Ps

Page 37: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

NuFact 2011

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

All thinking has to be refined for large q13.For large q13 we will quicklybe systematics dominated!

Page 38: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011In the systematics dominated erasupport measurements are even more

important

Page 39: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011

What then for n oscillations?• Prove q13 > 0.• Measure all parameters with greater precision

(because you need it for the rest of the list, but is there any particular necessary accuracy indicated by theory?).

• Make the most sensitive possible test of the deviation of q23 from 45º.

• Determine the mass hierarchy by observing matter effects → higher energy, longer baseline.

• Measure the angle d!• Are there any surprises?

Page 40: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Nufact 2011LSND Starts it all...

MiniBooNE says....

No!

Yes!?

Short baselines(L/E ~ 1)

and sterile n.

Maltoni

Page 41: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

NuFact 2011

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Page 42: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

NuFact 2011

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Page 43: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Nufact 2011

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Conclusions (I)• Neutrino oscillations are the first confirmed physics beyond the SM,

and their continued study is essential to extend our knowledge of fundamental interactions.

• Just or way beyond?• Current indications are that sin22q13 ≥ ~0.01, which would make

further long baseline experiments the most attractive option for first searches for CP violation in the neutrino sector.

• Do not assume we know everything that is going on – redundancy is essential!

• Continued operation of “existing” experiments (T2K, MINOS, NOvA, Double Chooz) is the highest priority.

• There are three proposed next-generation projects. We can probably justify two, but not three, so we need to some international coordination.

• The mine at Pyhäsalmi is potentially an extremely valuable resource for European neutrino physics due to its distance from CERN, but we should move fast if we are going to retain the option of using it in the future. Can we build a 5 kT LAr prototype?

Page 44: NuFact 2011 Imperial College/RAL Dave Wark Experimental Status of Neutrino Physics Dave Wark Imperial/RAL NuFact 2011 Geneva August 1 st, 2011.

Nufact 2011

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Imperial College/RALDave Wark

Conclusions (II)• There will be many other opportunities for smaller-scale

involvement in cross-section, hadron production, and other critical technological development projects such as the MICE experiment.

• Oscillations depend on L/E, not E or L, so other possibilities should be considered – DAEdALUS?

• Beyond those facilities we will almost certainly wish to have an even more capable facility, either a Beta Beam or a Neutrino Factory – more work is needed to optimize the sensitivity if q13 is large.

• A PS neutrino beam project to look for sterile neutrinos has been suggested for CERN. Here are my very personal views:– We don’t need another 2-3 sigma effect. Any proposed

experiment should have clear 5 sigma sensitivity over the entire indicated range.

– It could be an interesting part of a broad suite of European neutrino experiments, but I wouldn’t want to see it be CERN’s only neutrino experiment.

• Neutrino oscillations offers a very wide range of experiments, which must happen, no matter what we do at the energy frontier!


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