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On Science Diplomacy – B(rev) Rodney W. Nichols [email protected] 6 March 2014 The Rockefeller University 3/6/2014 – B1
On Science Diplomacy – B(rev)
Rodney W. Nichols [email protected]
6 March 2014
The Rockefeller University
3/6/2014 – B1
• A Complex Scene• S&T – based Actions• Global Challenges• Context for Trip to Washington, DC
3/6/2014 – B2
Complex Interactions
Diplomacy
Science and Technology
National Institutions
Resources for Economic
Development
InternationalInstitutions
3/6/2014 – B3
How Nations May Think About Diplomacy and Development
• Understand Technological Assets: – i.e., strengths, weaknesses, and goals
• Stress Science-Rich Diplomatic Opportunities: – e.g., health trends, peacekeeping, natural emergencies
• View Science and Education as Global Investment: – e.g., incentives to minimize “free riders”
3/6/2014 – B4
Recognize the Consequences of R+D Trends:
Where and how to share benefits and spread risks of pioneering
3/6/2014 – B5
A Global Case: Particle Physics Frontier
• After the Higgs discovery, what to do?• Next generation of accelerators will be expensive• Fiscal constraints rise around most of the globe• China’s and India’s talent and ambition are needed• North America, Europe and Japan will be partners• Congressional Attitudes are skeptical see: Nigel Lockyer, Director of Fermi Lab, Nature, Vol. 504,
19/26 Dec. 2013
3/6/2014 – B6
Strengthen International Roles of S & T – Intensive Agencies:
e.g. for US: NSF, NIH, EPA, DOE, NASA, DA, Commerce, and OSTP roles. DOD and State fund (too?) much of
the “science diplomacy.”
e.g. Assuring competitiveness is both a threat and a goal, dependent upon each nation’s S+T agencies.
3/6/2014 – B7
Global Challenges
• Dual Use Technologies – e.g. Mol. Bio. For Drugs and Medical Technology vis-à-vis BW
• Internet & Social Media + Cyber Security– scenarios for collaboration, for Defense and for Attack
• Scientific Cooperation vs. Economic Competition– how to balance Confidence-Building vis-à-vis narrow success metrics
• The Urgent vis-à-vis The Important– e.g. nonproliferation of nuclear weapons, protection of human rights
of scientists and engineers
3/6/2014 – B8
MotivationsGoethe: On Science:
“To one man it is the highest thing, heavenly goddess; to another it is a
productive and proficient cow, who supplies them with butter.”
Einstein: On public responsibility:“Concern for man and his destiny must
be the chief concern of technological effort- never forget it among your diagrams and equations.”
Selected Executive Agencies and Congressional Committees with Interest at the Intersection of Science and Technology
with International Affairs (1992) House Senate
Agriculture Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry Appropriations Appropriations Armed Services Armed Services Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Budget Budget Energy and Commerce Commerce, Science, and Transportation Foreign Affairs Energy and Natural Resources Intelligence Environment and Public Works Science, Space and Technology Foreign Relations
Intelligence Labor and Human Resources
Agriculture Interior Commerce Justice Defense Labor Education NASA Energy National Science Foundation Environmental Protection Agency State Health and Human Services Transportation Housing and Urban Development Treasury
Congressional Committees
Executive Agencies
3/6/2014 – B10N.B. General Pattern still the case in 2014.
3/6/2014 – B11
U.S. Total Net Economic Engagement with Developing Countries, 2010
Source: The Center for Global Prosperity, Hudson Institute, 2011
U.S. Total Net Economic Engagement with Developing Countries, 2010 Billions of $ %
U.S. Offi cal Development Assistance $30.4 9U.S. Private Philanthropy $39.0 12
Foundations $4.6 12Corporations $7.6 19Private and Voluntary Organizations $14.0 36Volunteerism $3.7 9Universities and Colleges $1.9 5Religious Organizations $7.2 18
U.S. Remittances $95.8 29U.S. Private Capital Flows $161.2 49U.S. Total Economic Engagement $326.4 100
3/6/2014 – B12
$30.4
$326.4
Headline: US at top; China closing in fast
2014 Global R+D Funding Forecast
Total Funding (PPP) %Global Rate of Growth
US $504B 31slowing
China $284B 17 rising
*source: Battelle, Dec 20133/6/2014 – B13
3/6/2014 – B14
3/6/2014 – B15
Life Science Industry R&D Spending
*Source: Battelle, Dec. 2013
2014 Global R+D Funding Forecast
Technology daily outstrips the ability of our institutions to cope with its fruits
Henry KissingerUN 1973
Advances in science and technology are outdistancing the capacity of existing international organizations to deal with them
Cyrus VanceUN Association, 1975
3/6/2014 – B17
Is Washington Doing Better?
Science Diplomacy In Brief
• Compelling Opportunities in Research• Urgent Global Needs• Organizational Complexity• Initiatives for Cooperation
“Pathways to Freedom: Political and Economic Lessons from Democratic Transitions”, Coleman and Lawson-Renner,
CFR, 2013. Examines:
MexicoIndonesia
BrazilThailand
PolandUkraine
South AfricaNigeria
Paradise Beneath Her Feet: How Women Are Transforming the Middle East
Isobel Coleman
Random House, 2010, 2013 3/6/2014 – B18
