Prognosi e follow-up
della TVP
Milano FCSA, 21-10-2016
Paolo Prandoni Università di Padova
Teatro Anatomico Università di Padova
Presentation includes discussion of the following off-label use of a drug or medical device: N/A
Disclosures of: Paolo Prandoni
Employment No conflict of interest to disclose
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Consultancy Bayer, Pfizer, Sanofi-Aventis, Daiichi-Sankyo
Speakers bureau No conflict of interest to disclose
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Late events after DVT
• (Severe) PTS • Recurrent VTE
§ Arterial thrombotic events
§ Overt cancer
Kahn SR, Shrier I, Julian JA, et al
Determinants and time course of the postthrombotic syndrome after acute
deep-venous thrombosis
Ann Intern Med 2008;149:698-707
Cumulative risk of the PTS in the study cohort
Independent predictors of the PTS
Additional risk factors of PTS
l Superficial vein insufficiency
l D-dimer, CRP and other biomarkers of inflammation
l Inadequate oral anticoagulant therapy
l Persistent venous obstruction
The impact of residual thrombosis on the long-term outcome of patients
with deep venous thrombosis treated with conventional anticoagulation
Paolo Prandoni et al.
Semin Thromb Haemost 2015
Rate of RVT Ø Recruited patients 869
Ø RVT at 3 months after DVT 429 (49.4%)
Risk of Recurrent VTE
adjusted HR 2.03; 95% CI, 1.40 to 2.94
Risk of PTS
STRATEGIES FOR PREVENTION OF PTS
THOMBOLYTIC THERAPY
Cavent Study
Catheter-directed thrombolysis
(n=90)
n % (95%CI)
Standard treatment
(n=99)
n %(95%CI)
P
Veins recanalization after 6 months
58 65.9% (55.5-75.0)
45 47.4% (37.6-57.3)
0.012
PTS after 6 months 27 30.3% (21.8-40.5)
32 32.2% (23.9-42.1) 0.77
PTS after 24 months 37 41.1% (31.5-51.4)
55 55.6% (45.7-65.0) 0.047
Enden et al, Lancet 2011
Lancet Hematol 2016
Bleeding complications
CDT (no=90)
ST THERAPY (no=99)
MAJOR BLEEDING 3 0
CLINICALLY RELEVANT BLEEDING 5 0
MINOR BLEEDING 12 0
Enden et al, Lancet 2011
JAMA Intern Med 2014
Observational study of patients with a principal discharge diagnosis of proximal or caval DVT from 2005 to 2010 in the Nationwide Inpatients Sample (NIS) database in the U.S.A
Key baseline characteristics in propensity-matched groups
ATTRACT (NCT00790335)
Acute venous thrombosis: thrombus removal with adjunctive catheter-directed thrombolysis
(ATTRACT). Clintrials Gov 2010; NCT00790335.
Available at: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov
COMPRESSION STOCKINGS
Prandoni P, Frulla M, Marchiori A, et al
Below-knee compression elastic stockings for prevention of PTS in patients with proximal DVT
Ann Intern Med 2004
Cumulative Incidence of PTS
Months
72 66 60 54 48 42 36 30 24 18 12 6 0
Pro
porti
on o
f pat
ient
s w
ith P
TS
1,0
,9
,8
,7
,6
,5
,4
,3
,2
,1
0,0
Controls
Stockings
Prandoni et al, ISTH 2003
The Lancet 2013
The Lancet 2013
Ginsberg index
Villalta scale
Optimal duration of CES
Durata individualizzata dell’uso della calza elastica in base allo score Villalta: 6 mesi vs 2 anni dopo la TVP
AHA Consensus Statement Circulation 2014
The effectiveness of ECS to prevent PTS is
uncertain, but ECS may be reasonable to
consider after diagnosis of proximal DVT
to reduce swelling (Class IIb; Level of
Evidence A).
ADEQUACY OF ANTICOAGULANT THERAPY
Van Dongen CJJ, Prandoni P et al. “Relation between quality of anticoagulation treatment and the development of the PTS”, JTH
2005
PTS is more likely to occur (3-fold more frequent) in patients who spend more than 50% of time below the desirable intensity of anticoagulation (INR below 2.0) during the first three months after the qualifying DVT episode.
Post thrombotic syndrome in patients treated
with rivaroxaban or enoxaparin/vitamin K
antagonists for acute deep vein thrombosis
Cheung W, Middeldorp S, Prins MH, Pap AF,
Lensing AWA, ten Cate-Hoek AJ,
Villalta S, Prandoni P for the Einstein PTS
Investigators Group
PTS cumulative incidence
Rivaroxaban
Unadjusted HR 0.71 (95%CI 0.48-1.03), p=0.07
After adjustment
HR 0.76 (95%CI 0.51-1.13), p=0.18
Enoxaparin/VKA
PTS development
Rivaroxaban 45 (28%) Enoxaparin/VKA 66 (38%)
0 84 72 60 48 36 Months 24 12
Cum
ulat
ive
Eve
nt R
ate
Number of subjects
R 162 119 110 106 83 43 8 0
VKA 174 124 109 99 81 37 8 0
0
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.5
VKAs
Thrombolytic treatment
Compression elastic stockings
DOACs
Optimal prevention of recurrent DVT
Strategies for prevention of PTS
PREVENTION OF RECURRENT DVT
Prandoni P, Noventa F, Ghirarduzzi A, Pengo V, Bernardi E, Pesavento R, Iotti M, Tormene D, Simioni P, Pagnan A
The risk of recurrent VTE after discontinuing anticoagulation in patients with acute proximal
DVT or PE
Haematologica 2007; 91: 199-205
Adjusted HR = 2.30 (95% CI, 1.82 - 2.90)
The clinical course of 1626 patients with DVT and/or PE
Prandoni, Hematologica 2007
Finite durations of anticoagulation
Extending anticoagulation with VKA
Alternative scenarios?
1. DOAC
2. Aspirin or sulodexide
3. Post-baseline parameters (RVT/DD)
Amplify Extension
42
Kaplan–Meier: Non-fatal and fatal VTE
100
80
60
40
20
0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cum
ulat
ive
even
t rat
e (%
)
Months
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
Baseline 840 813 826
Month 3 836 807 796
Month 6 825 799 768
Month 9 818 791 743
Month 12 533 513 471
No. at risk Apixaban 2.5 mg Apixaban 5 mg Placebo
Placebo Apixaban 2.5 mg Apixaban 5 mg
Cum
ulat
ive
even
t rat
e (%
)
43
Kaplan–Meier: Major or Clinically relevant non major bleeding
100
80
60
40
20
0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cum
ulat
ive
even
t rat
e (%
)
Months
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
Baseline 840 811 823
Month 3 786 751 749
Month 6 759 716 687
Month 9 737 689 651
Month 12 354 331 298
No. at risk Apixaban 2.5 mg Apixaban 5 mg Placebo
Placebo Apixaban 2.5 mg Apixaban 5 mg
Cum
ulat
ive
even
t rat
e (%
)
Reduced-dosed rivaroxaban and standard-dosed rivaroxaban versus ASA in the long-term prevention of recurrent symptomatic venous thromboembolism in patients with symptomatic DVT and/or PE
Einstein Choice
Low-dose aspirin/sulodexide
Meta-analysis of the WARFASA and ASPIRE studies
Andreozzi et al, Circulation 2015
Combination of D-dimer and
residual vein thrombosis
Palareti G, Cosmi B, Legnani C, Antonucci E, Erba N, Ghirarduzzi A, Poli D, Testa S, Tosetto A, Pengo V,
Prandoni P
Blood 2014
D-dimer to guide the duration of anticoagulation
in patients with venous thromboembolism
A management study
Proximal DVT 3-12 months VKA
Popliteal/femoral CUS
RVT Recanalization
D-dimer
Continuing VKA up to
a maximum of 1 year
Negative Positive
Stop VKA
Serial DD repetition
Negative Positive
No VKA Resuming VKA Resuming VKA
Continuing VKA
Main Study Results Ø Proportion of subjects with persistently
negative D-Dimer among eligible patients 51.2%
Ø Annual incidence of recurrent VTE in this
patients’ group (mean f-up, 2 years) 3.0%
Residual vein thrombosis and serial D-dimer for the management of patients
with unprovoked DVT
The MORGAGNI study
Submitted
Proximal DVT 3-12 months VKA
Popliteal/femoral CUS
RVT Recanalization
D-dimer
Continuing VKA Negative Positive
Stop VKA
Repeat DD after 1 and 3 months Repeat CUS after 6-12-18-24 months
RVT Recanalization
Continuing VKA
Negative Positive
No VKA Resuming VKA
Features Patients (no = 620)
Age
- mean + SD 61.2 + 17.9
- median (range) 65 (19 - 93)
Male gender 345 (55.6)
Nature of DVT
- of unknown origine 493 (79.5)
- associated with weak risk factors 127 (20.5)
Simultaneous PE symptoms 144 (23.2)
Localization of DVT
- popliteal only 284 (45.8)
- common femoral only 120 (19.4)
- both sites 216 (34.8)
Family history of VTE 97 (15.6)
Anticoagulation period before recruitment (months)
- up to 6 380 (61.3)
- up to 12 240 (38.7)
Overall duration of follow-up (months)
- mean (+ SD) 35.4 + 13.1
- median (range) 36 (3 - 75)
Main Study Results Ø Proportion of subjects meeting the Morgagni criteria
among eligible patients 65.0%
Ø Proportion of patients in whom anticoagulation could
be discontinued 80.0%
Ø Annual incidence of recurrent VTE in this
patients’ group (mean f-up, 3 years) 3.6%
Possible scenario
Unprovoked proximal DVT
3-12 months VKA or NOA
High risk for recurrent VTE
YES NO
Indefinite anticoagulation Dulcis/Morgagni criteria
YES
Stopping anticoagulation
NO
Apixaban 2.5 mg x 2
Rivaroxaban 10 mg?
THE DISCOVERY OF HEPARIN