23
Path to a world without hunger ... www.sfu.ca/global- nutrition … 2 perspectives
Path to a world without hunger ...
www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition
… 2 perspectives
“Kids will see hunger only in museums”
Trade barriers, tilted playing field
Their population growth outstrips the food supply
anyway we give more than anyone else
Trillions of $ wasted! - no change 1 b still starving
MDGs won’t be achievedOur $ Swiss bank accounts of corrupt dictators
Corrupt multinationals
2008 recession
We never promised 0.7% and
“Trade not aid”
“Things will get worse
no matter what we do”
Aid does more harm than good
There’s progress. What about the broken promises?
We need to do more – there’s plenty of food
Wor
ld G
DP
$PPP
per
ca
p (e
st) 1
500-
2100
3
1500 2000$0
$5,000
$10,000
India to 1500
China & Indiato 1850
WesternEuropeto 1945
USA & WestEurope
since 1945
http://ers.usda.gov/Data/Macroeconomics/
Economic dominance China &India 2040?
[]
[]
30%
2000
Increas
ing pove
rty83%
Frac
tion
in e
xtre
me
pove
rty
1970
A nation in the poverty trap
13 nations in the poverty trapIn 5 of them hunger is increasing
5www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/06/21/2010_failed_states_index_interactive_map_and_rankingshttp://www.ifpri.org/datasets
Number of malnourished world-wide
61970 1980 1990 2000 2010
500
600
700
800
900
1000M
illio
ns u
nder
-nou
rishe
d(W
HO
gro
wth
cha
rts)
FAO field measurements
water-fetcher
See also: WHO, UN, WB, USDA, CIA, OECDFAO data
World% undernourished
71970 1980 1990 2000 201015
33%
17%
FAO field measurements
22%
14%
Num
ber o
f peo
ple
(bill
ions
) ad
equa
tely
nou
rishe
d (F
AO
dat
a)
81970 1980 1990 2000 2010200
300
400
500
600
f(x) = 8.21121293077501 x − 15930.2774664487
[ ]2010 UN 86% 587b ?
Number fed & malnourished worldwide
9
1970 2010 2015 target
2030 FAO est
0
2000
4000
6000
8000 FedMalnourished
Millions
FAO data
14%
Prediction
6%11%
Target
33%
10
30%
2000Decreasing poverty
80%Fr
actio
n in
pov
erty
Ethiopia: on the development ladder
11
43%
32%
Decreasing poverty
Frac
tion
in p
over
ty
12
"Feeling good paying for total strangers to eat”
“Not us” }
GD
P ga
p:
% g
row
th in
poo
r co
untr
ies
exce
eds
deve
lope
d
year2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
% G
DP/
cap
pa fo
r poo
r nat
ions
vs
% fo
r ric
h
2008 GDP/capita:Developing countries 3.93%Developed countries -0.03Advantage = 3.96%
MD
Gs:
Wor
ld p
rogr
ess
140 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
2005
2006
% < $1.25 /day
% undernourished
% deaths < 5y
H2O
gree
n ba
r is
targ
et fo
r 201
5
2006
red bar is 1990; yellow is 2008
school
pregnt
“Phantom aid” doesn't work
• Aid that isn’t given – broken promises• $ flow mostly benefits the rich nation• Aid with strings attached, contingent
on UN votes, WB loans, unfair trade• Dumped food surplus local economy• Famine aid isn’t intended for development• Multinational $ → dictators for concessions• $ → to rich nation lobbyists to benefit MNCorpns
15
UK banks complicit in Nigerian corruption
Paul Collier: The bottom billion
Corrupt heads of state - Rich
16
Series1
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
poor politi
c
dictato
r
politicia
ns
multinati
onals10
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
10000000
Accept “bribes” to give trade concessions that impoverish their people
Accept personal/campaign “inducements” to allow “bribery” of decision makers at home & abroad
$1000s
& Poor
Aid that does work
• Transparent , open bids & accountable • Partnerships not paternalism• SMART objectives: 8 MDGs; @@ objectives,
@@ markers, • Strategies revised annually - both partners• Externally monitored• Not self-serving• Firm long commitments: MV, Grameen
17
• Grameen Family of social enterprises
• Billionnaire philanthropists & foundations
• The Millennium Village project
• Passionate & influential voices for change
• Scientists & students bring their energy
• The MDGs and beyond
• Innovations: agric & ... dissemminate instantly
Agents of change
19
Passionate renegades
The End
20
% In
fant
mor
talit
y <
5 ye
ars
211920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 20100
10
20
30
40
http
://w
ww
.chi
ldin
fo.o
rg/m
orta
lity_
infa
ntm
orta
lity.
php
also
ww
w.g
apm
min
der.o
rg
Still poverty trapped
India
USA
Singapore
Porkbarrelling & Swiss bank a/c’s
multi-nationals
dictators
numbered bank a/c’s
Rich nationpoliticians government
taxpayers in poor countries
commod
ities
taxpayers in rich (Nato?) countries
“military-industrialcomplex”
Tanks & rockets for right wing regimes, invasions for “freedom & democracy”, & depose “socialists” Treaties force unfair tariffs & trade.
Share-holders
$
$
$
$$$
$
election funds,inducements
concessions
$$
