Planet Population synthesis

Folkert Nobels

Kapteyn Astronomical Institute

June 8, 2017

Outline

Introduction

Protoplanetary disk time independent

Protoplanetary disk time evolution

Planetesimals

Planetesimals evolution

Planet formation

Comparisons with observations

Conclusion

What is planet population synthesis

I Create planets from firstprinciples

I Predict propertiesI 2 models:

I IL modelI AMB model

I Focus on AMB model

I First principle model

[Mordasini et al., 2015]

How to approach

[Mordasini et al., 2015]

How to approach

[Benz et al., 2014]

Results

[Mordasini et al., 2015]

protoplanetary disk

[Blake and Bergin, 2015]

protoplanetary disk time evolution

[Mordasini et al., 2015]http://www.astro.rug.nl/ nobels/accretiondisk5.mp4

Planetesimals

[ESA, 2010]

Planetesimals Evolution

Planet Formation

[Planet Hunters, 2014]

Comparisons with observations

[Mordasini et al., 2015]http://www.mpia.de/homes/mordasini/animateCD731.mov

Comparisons with observations

[Mordasini et al., 2015]

Conclusion

I From first principles predict planets

I Evolution from planetary disk to planets

I Construct disk from first principles

I Include time evolution of disk

I Calculate planetesimal evolution

I Calculate planetesimals to planets including accretion ofplanetesimals and gas

References I

Bell, K. R. and Lin, D. N. C. (1994).

Using FU Orionis outbursts to constrain self-regulated protostellar disk models.Astrophysical Journal, 427:987–1004.

Benz, W., Ida, S., Alibert, Y., Lin, D., and Mordasini, C. (2014).

Planet Population Synthesis.Protostars and Planets VI, pages 691–713.

Blake, G. A. and Bergin, E. A. (2015).

Planetary science: Prebiotic chemistry on the rocks.Nature, 520:161–162.

ESA (2010).

Planetesimals Forming Around A Star.

Hueso, R. and Guillot, T. (2005).

Evolution of protoplanetary disks: constraints from DM Tauri and GM Aurigae.Astronomy and Astrophysics, 442:703–725.

Inaba, S., Tanaka, H., Nakazawa, K., Wetherill, G. W., and Kokubo, E. (2001).

High-Accuracy Statistical Simulation of Planetary Accretion: II. Comparison with N-Body Simulation.Icarus, 149:235–250.

Mordasini, C., Molliere, P., Dittkrist, K.-M., Jin, S., and Alibert, Y. (2015).

Global models of planet formation and evolution.International Journal of Astrobiology, 14:201–232.

Papaloizou, J. C. B. and Terquem, C. (1999).

Critical Protoplanetary Core Masses in Protoplanetary Disks and the Formation of Short-Period GiantPlanets.Astrophysical Journal, 521:823–838.

References II

Planet Hunters (2014).

What Do We Really Understand About Planetary Formation?