POL 168 Chican@/Latin@ Politics

Professor JonesDept. of Political Science

UC-DavisWinter 2008

Images: Tancredo

• http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zng6I74L5QY&feature=related

• http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rBK7bWh1m04&NR=1

• http://www.youtube.com/profile?user=TeamTancredo

Discussion

• Major Themes? • Who is the intended audience? • Would you call that “race-baiting”? • A major issue among voters• …especially Republican voters• http://youtube.com/watch?v=AjVdALIgfBI• Leading issue in South Carolina• South Carolina

Census Data…

• South Carolina

• http://www.censusscope.org/us/s45/chart_race.html

Who are “Latinos”?

• What counts as “Latino”…as “Hispanic”• The problem of “Spanish Origin” • 22 Countries satisfy this condition• Is it fair to say that anyone from one of these 22

countries is “just like” anyone from another of these 22 countries.

• How should we view “Latinos”• A bloc? Monolithic interests? • Pan-ethnicity vs. Groups

How do we know what we know?Census 2000 Question on Hispanic/ Latino Origin

How do we know what we know?

Census 2000 Question on Race

Hispanic Population by Race: 2000

Race Number PercentTotal 35,305,818

One race 33,081,736 93.7White 16,907,852 47.9Black or African

American 710,353 2.0American Indian &

Alaska Native 407,073 1.2Asian 119,829 0.3Native Hawaiian &

Other Pacific Islander 45,326 0.1Some other race 14,891,303 42.2

Two or more races 2,224,082 6.3

U.S. Population Growth: U.S. Population Growth: 19901990-- 20002000

32.7

1312.9

58

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

Growth (in millions) Percent change

U.S. Population U.S.Hispanic Population

Census 2000: Top 10 States By Census 2000: Top 10 States By Percent HispanicPercent Hispanic

12.3

13.3

15.1

16.8

17.1

19.7

25.3

32.0

32.4

42.1

Percent of total population

New MexicoCaliforniaTexasArizonaNevadaColoradoFloridaNew YorkNew JerseyIllinois

Census 2000: Top 10 States By Census 2000: Top 10 States By Hispanic Percent ChangeHispanic Percent Change

155

166

173

208

211

217

278

300

337

394

Percent change

N. CarolinaArkansasGeorgiaTennesseeNevadaS. CarolinaAlabamaKentuckyMinnesotaNebraska

Who are “Latinos”?

• Where are “Latinos” from?

• “Border Invasion”

• Implies the population is largely of Mexican descent.

• In fact, it is…

• However, substantial populations exist from Central and Latin American nations.

• Some Data

Percent Distribution of the Percent Distribution of the Hispanic Population by Type: 2000Hispanic Population by Type: 2000

Puerto Rican

Cuban

Mexican

All OtherHispanicCentral American

Spaniard

South American

Hispanic Population by Hispanic Population by Type: 2000Type: 2000

Central American 1,686,937Costa Rican 68,588

Guatemalan 372,487

Honduran 217,569

Nicaraguan 177,684

Panamanian 91,723

Salvadoran 655,165

Other Central American 103,721

Hispanic Population by Type: 2000Hispanic Population by Type: 2000

South American 1,353,562Argentinean 100,864

Bolivian 42,068

Chilean 68,849

Colombian 470,684

Ecuadorian 260,559

Paraguayan 8,769

Peruvian 233,926

Uruguayan 18,804

Venezuelan 91,507

Other Central American 57,532

Current Estimates and Projections

• U.S. Population will be “majority-minority” by about 2050.

• Largest growth rate among minority populations are “Hispanic origin”

• Remember, we’re tied to Census definitions here.

• What will it mean to be a “minority” in the future? • “Minority” status becoming more and more

awkward in some local settings.

Ten Places with Highest Percent Ten Places with Highest Percent Hispanic: 2000Hispanic: 2000

East Los Angeles, CA 97%Laredo, TX 94%Brownsville, TX 91%Hialeah, FL 90%McAllen, TX 80%El Paso, TX 77%Santa Ana, CA 76%El Monte, CA 72%Oxnard, CA 66%Miami, Fl 66%

Predicted Population of US

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Year

Per

cen

t o

f T

ota

l P

op

.

White Alone Black Alone Asian Alone

Hispanic (of any race) White, non-Hispanic All other races

Population Estimates: US Census Bureau

More Clips for Thought

• Anti-McCain Attack Ad: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vs6wwg_ie6Y

• Anti-McCain Attack Ad Part II: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WmhaypWwFPY

• Ron Paul: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2T-iJKwskH4

• Rudy Giuliani Attack Ad: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XfsHe8zg9o4

• Bi-Partisan Attack Ad: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qiw85f5fYGY

Percent Distribution of HispanicsPercent Distribution of Hispanicsby Type: 2006by Type: 2006

Source: Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement 2006

Puerto Rican8.6% Cuban

3.7%

Central American8.2%

South American6.0%

Other Hispanic8.0%

Mexican65.5%

Hispanic Population by Type: 2006Hispanic Population by Type: 2006

43.2

28.3

3.71.6

3.5 2.6 3.4

Hispanic Mexican PuertoRico

Cuban CentralAmerican

SouthAmerican

OtherHispanic

Mill

ion

s

Source: Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement 2006

Nativity by Type of Hispanic Origin: 2006Nativity by Type of Hispanic Origin: 2006

87.9

60.1

31.3

68.4

0.6

61.868.8

31.238.2

99.4

61.4

31.638.6

68.7

39.9

12.1

Total Hispanic Mexican PuertoRican

Cuban CentralAmerican

SouthAmerican

OtherHispanic

Per

cent

Native Foreign Born

Source: Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement 2006

Percent Hispanic by Region : 2006Percent Hispanic by Region : 2006

Source: Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement 2006

26.6

14.5

5.3

11.3

West

South

Midwest

Northeast

Clips for Thought

• Humorous Clip (not meaning to pick on the President!)

• http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sBskbZ9Pl6A

• Manassas Controversy

• http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_9rnC9UZhV0&feature=related

Some Data

• Let’s take a look at population change:

• http://www.censusscope.org/us/map_hispanicpop.html

• Occupation Characteristics (Pew Report)

• http://pewhispanic.org/files/reports/59.pdf

• Another site (NDN; has a political agenda)

• http://www.ndn.org/hispanic/hispanics-rising.pdf

Subgroups

• Mexican (by far, the dominant Latino group) 65.5 percent of Latino population.

• Geographically settled in California and Southwest but moving upward and eastward.

• Puerto Rican (8.6 percent)• Geographically located primarily in east,

particularly NYC/East Coast cities• Central and South American Origin on the rise.

Settling in the South.

“Factoids” about the Mexican Population

• 70 Percent of Californian Mexican Population are U.S. Citizens

• http://www.mercurynews.com/breakingnews/ci_7371775?nclick_check=1

• Implications? • Mobilization? • Some demographics of the group.• The following is from “Immigration From Mexico:

Assessing the Impact on the United States” by Steven A. Camarota

• Center for Immigration Studies:• http://www.cis.org/articles/2001/mexico/toc.html

Data from Center for Imm. Studies

Data from Center for Imm. Studies: Education

Data from Center for Imm. Studies: Labor

Data from Center for Imm. Studies: SES