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8/9/2019 Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian Century
1/12
AsiA PAPer series
Power shift: how the west can adaPt
and thrive in an asian century
ashley J. tellis
Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
8/9/2019 Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian Century
2/12
2010 Te German Marshall Fund of the United States. All rights reserved.
No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without permission in writing
from the German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF). Please direct inquiries to:
Te German Marshall Fund of the United States
1744 R Street, NW
Washington, DC 20009
1 202 683 2650
F 1 202 265 1662
Tis publication can be downloaded for free at http://www.gmfus.org/publications/index.cfm. Limited print
copies are also available. o request a copy, send an e-mail to [email protected].
GMf Paper eries
Te GMF Paper Series presents research on a variety of transatlantic topics by sta, fellows, and partners of the GermanMarshall Fund of the United States. Te views expressed here are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the
view of GMF. Comments from readers are welcome; reply to the mailing address above or by e-mail to [email protected].
bout GMf
Te German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF) is a non-partisan American public policy and grant-making institu-
tion dedicated to promoting greater cooperation and understanding between North America and Europe.
GMF does this by supporting individuals and institutions working on transatlantic issues, by convening leaders to discuss
the most pressing transatlantic themes, and by examining ways in which transatlantic cooperation can address a variety of
global policy challenges. Working in partnership with the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, GMFs work on trade,
agriculture, and development aims to promote greater cooperation between the United States and Europe on trade and
agricultural policies as vital instruments of global prosperity.
Founded in 1972 through a gi from Germany as a permanent memorial to Marshall Plan assistance, GMF maintains astrong presence on both sides of the Atlantic. In addition to its headquarters in Washington, DC, GMF has seven oces in
Europe: Berlin, Bratislava, Paris, Brussels, Belgrade, Ankara, and Bucharest.
bout GMfs sia Program
GMFs Asia Program addresses the implications of Asias rise for the Westin particular, how Asias resurgence will impact
the foreign policy, economic, and domestic challenges and choices facing the transatlantic alliesthrough a combination of
convening, writing, strategic grants, study tours, fellowships, partnerships with other GMF programs, and partnerships with
other institutions. Led by Senior Fellow for Asia Daniel wining and ransatlantic Fellow Andrew Small, the programs ini-
tiatives include the Stockholm China Forum and India Forum, seminars and other activities in Japan, a Japanese fellowship
program, Asia-related panels at GMFs agship events at Brussels and Halifax, and a paper series on transatlantic approaches
to wider Asia and on deepening cooperation between democratic Asia and the West. For more information see http://www.
gmfus.org/asia or contact Asia Program Ocer Dhruva Jaishankar ([email protected]) or Asia Program Assistant
Amy Studdart ([email protected]).
bout the legatum nstitute
Te Legatum Institute is a globally-focused, independent, and nonpartisan organization that researches and promotes eco-
nomic and social prosperity, individual liberty, and security in both advanced and developing countries. Based in London,
the Legatum Institute supports original work in public policy, political economy, democratic governance, political culture,
and national security. It seeks to inuence policymakers, business leaders, the media, philanthropists, scholars, and the
interested public. Te Institute undertakes original and collaborative research, publishes scholarly literature and popular
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and analyses, and to test and implement its ndings, through a variety of vehicles including convening conferences, hosting
guest speakers, developing strategic partnerships, and eldwork.
8/9/2019 Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian Century
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Power Sift: How te WetCan Adapt and Trive in an Aian Century
Aia Paper Serie
January 2010
Ashl J. Tlls
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8/9/2019 Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian Century
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Te Geran Mara Fund of te United State2
American
protection
produced a
stable security
environment that
allowed its allies
to concentrate
on internal
reconstruction,
economic growth,
and technical
innovation.
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8/9/2019 Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian Century
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Power Sift: How te Wet Can Adapt and Trive in an Aian Century 3
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A free trade
system that
promotes high
growth among
states poses
no dangers so
long as all the
participants in
that system are
either allies or
neutrals who pos
no security threa
to one another.
8/9/2019 Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian Century
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Te Geran Mara Fund of te United State4
Because China
is feared both in
Asia and in the
United States as
a potential threat
to the existing
order, Washington
already finds itself
in the awkward
position of having
to sustain an
economic system
that has the
effect of fueling
the growth of
what could be its
most significant
geopolitical rival
over time.
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8/9/2019 Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian Century
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Power Sift: How te Wet Can Adapt and Trive in an Aian Century 5
The United State
should pursue th
twin objectives
of deepening
globalization whi
simultaneously
investing in
preserving its
extant military
superiority.
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Te Geran Mara Fund of te United State6
The economic and
political benefits
that ensue from
expanded mutual
enmeshment
could help to
mitigate the
existing security
dilemmas if all
partners choose
such gains over
the alternative
possibility of
aggressive military
competition.
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Power Sift: How te Wet Can Adapt and Trive in an Aian Century 7
A realistic and
multifaceted
engagement with
China requires
freeing Western
diplomatic
approaches
toward China
from the tyranny
of single-issue
politics.
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8/9/2019 Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian Century
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8/9/2019 Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian Century
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8/9/2019 Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian Century
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