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PRE-REQUISITES FOR CLIMATE SERVICES Shamsuddin Ahmed Director Bangladesh Meteorological Department
PRE-REQUISITES FOR CLIMATE SERVICES
Shamsuddin Ahmed Director
Bangladesh Meteorological Department
What is Climate Service?
Climate services offer science-based information and forecasts that empower decision-makers to manage the risks and opportunities of climate variability and climate change. Providers of climate services consult with users to determine what kind of information they need, when and how often, and in what format. They then deliver the information and assist their clients to interpret and apply it.
Seasonal and multi-year climate forecasting has advanced to the point where it can now provide actionable information. Growing confidence in climate forecasts has been made possible by supercomputer-based modeling, improved observations from satellites and other instruments and a greater understanding of large-scale climate patterns.
Sophisticated climate services combine climate forecasts with information from other sectors to inform decisions on public health, agriculture, water management, disaster risk and other priorities.
Agriculture and Forestry
Fishing Mining and Quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, Gas, Water Supply
Construction Hotels & Restaurants Transport, Storage & Communication
Financial Intermediations
Public Administration & Defense
Education Health and Social Works
Community, Social and Personal Services
Disaster Risk Reduction
Tourism
Major Users of Climate Service Information In Bangladesh
Exponential Concerns
Intensity
Frequency
Heatwaves
Heavy rainfall / Flood
Tropical Cyclones
Coastal Marine Hazards
Strong Wind
Water Resource
Management
Health Industry
Food
security Transport
Energy
Urban areas
Hazards’ intensity
and frequency
are increasing
Need for coping
mechanisms
Vulnerability and
exposure on the rise!
Seamless Hydro-Meteorological & Climate Services
Climate Service Dependencies
Major Needs in terms of Climate Services
Capacity Development of professionals and communities on production and effective application of climate services
Improved, Standardized, And Quality Controlled sector monitoring data that is compatible with environmental and climate information;
Monitoring and evaluation of the Appropriate, Effective, And Cost-effective Use Of Climate Information for sector decisions;
Research And Prediction Of Sector Impacts associated with climate variability and climate change, in collaboration with the climate research community;
Development And Deployment Of Early Warning Systems appropriate to the sector and user communities;
Sustainable Financial And Technical support;
Better Collaboration with the climate community for interdisciplinary policy, practice and research.
Potential Societal Benefits Service Area Improvements Potential Benefits
8
Tropical Cyclone, Track,
Intensity, Precip Forecasts
Aviation, Fire, and Marine
Forecasts
Flood and River Predictions
Air Quality Predictions
Space Weather
Seasonal Climate Forecasts for
Energy, Agriculture, Ecosys, etc
Tornado and Flash Flood
Warnings
Reduce $1B/yr in trop
cyclone damage
Reduce $0.1B/yr in
damage from severe wx
Reduce $6 B/yr losses
from air traffic delays
Reduce $0.43B/yr in
flood damage
Reduce mortality from
50,00/yr from poor AQ
Reduce $365M/yr in
losses (power industry)
Reduce $0.7B/yr in
losses (drought)
Pre-requisites of Climate Service Implementation
1. Scientific Measurements of Weather and Climate Parameters.
2. Ensure a Strong Institutional Anchorage for the Climate
Services Framework
3. Meet The Demand For Tailored Climate Service provision in
the priority climate-sensitive sectors of the country (Agriculture
& Food security, Construction/Infrastructure/ Transport sector,
Health, Disaster Risk Management etc.)
4. Build Capacity of National Meteorological and Hydrological
Services (NMHS) and other technical services to jointly
elaborate salient climate products and services, building on
pluri-disciplinary knowledge and expertise from each sector
5. Improve Communication / widespread distribution of Climate
Services
6. Diversify Communication Channels, use innovative channels
to broadcast (aside from TV)
Pre-requisites of Climate Service Implementation
7. Modernize and increase the Density of The National Hydro-
meteorological Observing Network, improving capacity to
meet end-user needs
8. Improve Collaborative Climate Research, towards more
salient end-user driven climate research outputs
9. Develop and strengthen the Capacity of End-users to further
appropriate and utilize climate services
10. Sustain the Newly Defined Framework for Climate Services
at the national level
11. Engage All National Stakeholders involved in the production,
interpretation, communication and utilization of climate services
in a national dialogue around climate service provision, to
identify country needs and charter a course for the provision of
user-tailored climate services at national and sub-national levels.
Observation and Monitoring System of Climat Parameters
Weather Information Database
WIDB Cube
Custom
Graphic
Generators
Governmental Decision Making
Decision
Support
Systems
Custom
Alphanumeric
Generators
Observations
Numerical
Prediction
Systems
Postprocessed
Probabilistic
Output
NWS
Forecaster
Forecasting
Automated Forecast
Systems
Forecast Integration
Radars
Aircraft
Surface
Satellites
Soundings
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Private Sector
Weather
Industry Private
Industry
13
Transform Dissemination/ Communication/Outreach Architectures for NWS Users
Data in OGC Compliant
format
WFS
WCS
WMS
KML
Internet Access
NWS Web Team
GIS Pros at NWS GIO/GPMO GIS Team
Government Agencies
General Public Private Weather
Industry Geospatial Reference
Information
Legacy Apps
Geo-database
Legacy Storage
Offices using AWIPS
work stations
NOAA GIS data
GIS Apps: NWS Support, Admin.
& Mgmt.
Customer Help Desk
Internal Help Desk/
“Tier 1 Support”
IRIS NWS
Shapefiles
WIDB
Geospatial Database
Fire
wa
ll A
WIP
S
Climate Outlook
NDFD
Watches/warnings
Radar
Hurricane Tracks
Etc
Coupled, Integrated Environmental Modeling System
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Atmospheric Model
14
Ocean
Land Surface
Air Quality
Space
Hydrology
Ecosystem
Ensembles
Etc
Resolution Changes, Downscaling Post Processing Bias Correction, Statistical Methods, Ensembles Product Generation Verification
4D Data Assimilation
e.g. 4D Var, EnKF, hybrids WIDB
Multi-component ensemble
+
Stochastic forcing
Components
Physics
Dynamics Chemistry
Couplers
Earth System Models
Weather
Industry
Integrated Observation/Analysis System
Analysis Inventory systems, and metadata standards Assess interdepend-encies, oversampling, gaps, levels of criticality
Current
Individual Systems Public Private Universities
Radar
Satellite In-Situ Upper Air Etc
Strategies
National Mesonet
Network of
Networks
Integrated Radar
(Lidar, gap-fillers,
MPAR)
Global Systems
Multisensor platforms
Optimization with OSEs, OSSEs
Standards, Architectures, Protocols
Maximize value of investment
Future
Weather Information
Database
Open Architecture
System B
System C
System A
MADIS
IOOS
Integrated Radar System
Rawindsones
Satellites
System B
System C
System A
MADIS
IOOS
Integrated Radar System
Rawindsones
Satellites
Components of Climate Services
Climate Service Illustration
Climate Services Information Value Chain
Value Chain Linking Knowledge to Action
Apex Ministry and Executive Agency involved in EWS in Bangladesh
EWS in
Bangladesh
FFWC DDM
BMD
Ministry of Defence
Ministry of Water Resources Ministry of Disaster Management
& Relief
WMO
Forecast
Weather Forecast
Dhaka & N.hood
Divisional Forecast
Marine Forecast
Climate Outlook
Current Weather
Mobile App
Warning
Fog Warning
Marine Warning
Kalbaishakhi Warning
Inland Riverport Warning
Heavy Rainfall Warning
Official Source of Climate Information in Bangladesh is Bangladesh Meteorological Department.
Available Weather and Climate Services in Bangladesh
Agromet
Agromet Forecast
Real time data
Glossary
7 days rainfall
Agromet archive
Aquaculture App
Climate Data
Online Data Purchase
NWP Products
Cyclone Forecast
Monsoon
Rainfall Situation
Official Source of Climate Information in Bangladesh is Bangladesh Meteorological Department.
Available Weather and Climate Services in Bangladesh
Drought Monitoring
SPI for One Month, Three Months
Max. Temperature Deviation
Mean Temperature Deviation
Min. Temperature Deviation
Eclipse
Regional Forecast
Chittagong Region
Cox’s Bazar Region
Sylhet Region
Official Source of Climate Information in Bangladesh is Bangladesh Meteorological Department.
Available Weather and Climate Services in Bangladesh
Hydrology
Rainfall Analysis
Rainfall Deviation Map
Seismology
Latest & Recent Earthquake
Tsunami Warning
Seismic Monitoring
Real time
Aviation Forecast
TAF
METER
SIGMET
AWS
Moon Coordinate
Weather Chart
Official Source of Climate Information in Bangladesh is Bangladesh Meteorological Department.
Available Weather and Climate Services in Bangladesh
Illustrative Services, Service Providers and Users
Roadmap Construct
Research Partners
Service Science Areas
Research Thrusts
ID Next Generation
Enabling Capabilities
Protection of Life and Property
Enhanced National Economy
•Universities •Government Labs •Private Industry
•Observations •Data Assimilation •Forecasting:
•Models •Post Processing •Human Aided
•Dissemination •Decision Support •Verification & Metrics •Customer Outreach, Feedback Technologies •Social Sciences
•Fire Weather •Hydrology •Aviation •Severe Weather •Winter Weather •Marine •Tropical Weather •Climate •Air Quality •Space Weather •Tsunami •Sensible Wx & Health Impacts •Emerging areas (e.g. energy, ecosystems)
S&T Research to Operations
Test Beds /Service Proving Grounds
NWS Strategic
Plan
