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Securities offered by BOSC, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor, a registered Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC. Insurance offered by BOSC Agency, Inc., an affiliated agency. Investments and insurance are not insured by the FDIC, are not deposits or other obligations of, and are not guaranteed by any bank affiliate. Investments are subject to risks, including possible loss of principal amount invested. Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion Purposes Only
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Page 1: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

Securities offered by BOSC, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor, a registered Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC. Insurance offered by BOSC Agency, Inc., an affiliated agency. Investments and insurance are not insured by the FDIC, are not deposits or other obligations of, and are not guaranteed by any bank affiliate. Investments are subject to risks, including possible loss of principal amount invested.

Preliminary Review ofDistrict’s Bond Capacity

Thursday, March 25, 2010

For Discussion Purposes Only

Page 2: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

1

Review of District’s 2006 Bond Program

On November 7, 2006, the voters of Birdville Independent School District (the “District”) approved the issuance of $128,600,000 of bonds. The actual results from the bond election (the “2006 Bond Program”) are summarized within the table below.

2006 Bond Election Results

Number of Votes FOR the Bond Program: 13,212 Percentage of Votes: 56.03% Number of Votes AGAINST the Bond Program: 10,368 Percentage of Votes: 43.97%

At the time of the 2006 Bond Election, taxpayers were informed the District’s Interest & Sinking

Fund (“I&S”) tax rate (i.e. the tax rate utilized for the repayment of bonds) would increase from 22.6 cents to 38.7 cents, which represented an increase of approximately 16.1 cents.

For year 2009/10, the District’s actual I&S tax rate is 36.5 cents, which is 2.2 cents below the projected rate communicated to taxpayers at the time of the 2006 Bond Election.

Page 3: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

2

Review of District’s 2006 Bond Program (Continued)

22.6

Cen

ts

22.6

Cen

ts

38.7

Cen

ts

36.5

Cen

ts

38.7

Cen

ts

37.0

Cen

ts

38.7

Cen

ts

36.5

Cen

ts

10.0 Cents

15.0 Cents

20.0 Cents

25.0 Cents

30.0 Cents

35.0 Cents

40.0 Cents

I&S

Tax

Rat

e (C

ents

)

Year 2006/07 Year 2007/08 Year 2008/09 Year 2009/10

Projected Versus Actual Interest & Sinking Fund Tax RatesFor 2006 Bond Program

Projected at Time of 2006 Bond Election Actual

Page 4: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

3

Historical Tax Rates

$1.465

$0.152

$1.617

$1.339

$0.226

$1.565

$1.040

$0.365

$1.405

$1.040

$0.370

$1.410

$1.040

$0.365

$1.405

$0.90

$1.00

$1.10

$1.20

$1.30

$1.40

$1.50

$1.60

$1.70

$1.80

Tax

Rat

e

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

District's Historical Tax Rates - Last Five-Years

Maintenance & Operations Tax Rate Interest & Sinking Fund Tax Rate

The District's total tax rate hasdeclined by 21.2 cents or 13.1%

over the last 4-years.

Page 5: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

4

Historical Taxes For Average Homeowner

$1,561.78

$162.04

$1,723.82

$1,427.45

$240.93

$1,668.38

$1,108.70

$389.11

$1,497.81

$1,108.70

$394.44

$1,503.14

$1,108.70

$389.11

$1,497.81

$800

$900

$1,000

$1,100

$1,200

$1,300

$1,400

$1,500

$1,600

$1,700

$1,800

$1,900

$2,000

Tax

Rat

e

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Historical Taxes - Last Five-Years -For $106,606 Average Taxable Home Value(A)

Maintenance & Operations Taxes Interest & Sinking Fund Taxes__________(A) The District's average taxable home value for year 2009/10 is approximately $106,606, which is net of the State mandated $15,000 Residential Homestead Exemption.

Based upon a constant taxable value, theaverage homeowner's school property taxeshas declined by $226.01 over the last 4-years.

Page 6: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

5

Current Market Review – Interest Rates

Based upon a $75.0 million bond sale amortized over 25-years, an interest rate difference of 0.25% changes the District’s interest cost by approximately $3,250,000.

Based upon a $75.0 million bond sale amortized over 25-years, an interest rate difference of 0.25% changes the District’s interest cost by approximately $3,250,000.

The Bond Buyer 20-Bond Index -A Tax-Exempt General Obligation Bond Yield Index

January 1, 1999 To The Present

3.503.754.004.254.504.755.005.255.505.756.006.25

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Yie

ld (

%)

Average = 4.85%

High = 6.09%

Low = 3.94%

Current = 4.34%

Page 7: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

6

Current Market Review – Construction Costs

As evidenced by the U.S. Construction Index graph above, construction costs peaked in mid-year 2008 and have recently declined by 10-20% (depending upon the project) to cost levels experienced in year 2007. Historically, construction costs have correlated with the prevailing economic cycle and construction costs are likely to increase once the economy rebounds, but there remains a current opportunity to save significant dollars on authorized school construction projects.

As evidenced by the U.S. Construction Index graph above, construction costs peaked in mid-year 2008 and have recently declined by 10-20% (depending upon the project) to cost levels experienced in year 2007. Historically, construction costs have correlated with the prevailing economic cycle and construction costs are likely to increase once the economy rebounds, but there remains a current opportunity to save significant dollars on authorized school construction projects.

U.S. Construction Index - As of Jauary 2010

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

135

140

145

150

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Pri

ce I

nd

ex

High = 143.3

Current = 133.9

__________Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Page 8: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

7

Existing Bonds – Debt Service

The District has a total principal amount of existing bonds equal to $255,639,102

Average Annual Debt Service = $20,417,993 Maximum Annual Debt Service = $27,548,628

$0

$2,500,000

$5,000,000

$7,500,000

$10,000,000

$12,500,000

$15,000,000

$17,500,000

$20,000,000

$22,500,000

$25,000,000

$27,500,000

$30,000,000

Ann

ual

Deb

t Se

rvic

e

2009

/10

2010

/11

2011

/12

2012

/13

2013

/14

2014

/15

2015

/16

2016

/17

2017

/18

2018

/19

2019

/20

2020

/21

2021

/22

2022

/23

2023

/24

2024

/25

2025

/26

2026

/27

2027

/28

2028

/29

2029

/30

2030

/31

2031

/32

Unlimited Tax School Building & Refunding Bonds, Series 1994 Unlimited Tax School Building & Refunding Bonds, Series 1997Unlimited Tax School Building Bonds, Series 1998 Unlimited Tax School Building & Refunding Bonds, Series 1999Unlimited Tax School Building Bonds, Series 2000 Unlimited Tax School Building & Refunding Bonds, Series 2002Unlimited Tax Refunding Bonds, Series 2002A Unlimited Tax Refunding Bonds, Series 2003Unlimited Tax Refunding Bonds, Series 2004 Unlimited Tax School Building Bonds, Series 2006Unlimited Tax School Building & Refunding Bonds, Series 2007 Unlimited Tax School Building Bonds, Series 2008-AUnlimited Tax Refunding Bonds, Series 2008-B

__________Note: Debt service payments reflect payments from September 1 through August 31.

Page 9: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

8

Factors Affecting District’s Bond Capacity

I. Debt Limitations – State Law – Overview of “50.0 Cent Bond Test”

“50.0 Cent Bond Test” – The District may only issue new bonds to the degree it can prove, prior to sale, its Interest & Sinking Fund (“I&S”) tax rate (the portion of the District’s tax rate solely used to repay bonds) will not exceed 50.0 cents.

Historical Trend of Interest & Sinking Fund Tax RatesYears 2001/02 - 2009/10

181

37

73

512

1020406080

100120140160180200

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10*

No.

of I

SDs

30.0 Cents or Higher

40.0 Cents or Higher50.0 Cent Maximum Rate

__________* Preliminary, subject to change.Source: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts - Property Tax Division.

Page 10: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

9

Listing of Texas School District’s with an Interest & Sinking Fund Tax Rate of 40.0 Cents or More for Year 2009/10

Allen ISD (50.00 Cents) Dickinson ISD (46.40 Cents) Huffman ISD (43.00 Cents) Anna ISD (50.00 Cents) Jacksboro ISD (46.00 Cents) Rockwall ISD (43.00 Cents) Aubrey ISD (50.00 Cents) Lampasas ISD (46.00 Cents) Grand Prairie ISD (42.50 Cents) Bland ISD (50.00 Cents) Panhandle ISD (46.00 Cents) Judson ISD (42.30 Cents) Burleson ISD (50.00 Cents) Lubbock-Cooper ISD (45.90 Cents) Hays Consolidated ISD (42.13 Cents) Celina ISD (50.00 Cents) Frenship ISD (45.87 Cents) Forney ISD (42.00 Cents) Lake Worth ISD (50.00 Cents) Community ISD (45.50 Cents) Pflugerville ISD (42.00 Cents) Little Elm ISD (50.00 Cents) Denton ISD (45.00 Cents) Spring ISD (42.00 Cents) McKinney ISD (50.00 Cents) DeSoto ISD (45.00 Cents) Wylie ISD (42.00 Cents) Melissa ISD (50.00 Cents) Dripping Springs ISD (45.00 Cents) Tioga ISD (41.92 Cents) Spring Hill ISD (50.00 Cents) Princeton ISD (45.00 Cents) Franklin ISD (41.80 Cents) White Settlement ISD (50.00 Cents) Shepherd ISD (45.00 Cents) Angleton ISD (41.52 Cents) Crowley ISD (49.50 Cents) Taylor ISD (45.00 Cents) Port Neches-Groves ISD (41.50 Cents) Millsap ISD (49.50 Cents) Keller ISD (44.63 Cents) Elgin ISD (41.00 Cents) Prosper ISD (49.00 Cents) Hutto ISD (44.50 Cents) Giddings ISD (41.00 Cents) Bishop Consolidated ISD (48.71 Cents) Needville ISD (44.40 Cents) Mansfield ISD (41.00 Cents) Lake Dallas ISD (48.00 Cents) Bastrop ISD (44.10 Cents) Irving ISD (40.50 Cents) Royal ISD (47.95 Cents) Del Valle ISD (44.00 Cents) Hitchcock ISD (40.01 Cents) Floresville ISD (47.58 Cents) New Caney ISD (44.00 Cents) Katy ISD (40.00 Cents) Bloomington ISD (47.50 Cents) Robert Lee ISD (44.00 Cents) Krum ISD (40.00 Cents) Lovejoy ISD (47.50 Cents) Crandall ISD (43.86 Cents) Overton ISD (40.00 Cents) Manor ISD (47.50 Cents) Canton ISD (43.10 Cents) Sherman ISD (40.00 Cents) Caddo Mills ISD (47.10 Cents) Bullard ISD (43.00 Cents) Van Alstyne ISD (40.00 Cents) Eagle Mountain-Saginaw ISD (47.00 Cents) High Island ISD (43.00 Cents) Waller ISD (40.00 Cents) Ennis ISD (47.00 Cents)

Note: District’s highlighted in “red” represent school districts within the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex. Source: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts - Property Tax Division

Factors Affecting District’s Bond Capacity (Continued)

Page 11: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

10

Summary of Existing Debt Service and Bond Capacity

$0.00

$0.05

$0.10

$0.15

$0.20

$0.25

$0.30

$0.35

$0.40

$0.45

$0.5020

09/1

0

2010

/11

2011

/12

2012

/13

2013

/14

2014

/15

2015

/16

2016

/17

2017

/18

2018

/19

2019

/20

2020

/21

2021

/22

2022

/23

2023

/24

2024

/25

2025

/26

2026

/27

2027

/28

2028

/29

2029

/30

2030

/31

2031

/32

2032

/33

2033

/34

2034

/35

2035

/36

I&S

Tax

Rat

e

Projected Interest & Sinking Fund Tax Rates - Existing Bonds

Additional bond capacity pursuant to State law.

To the degree new bonds are repaid in the next 10 years, the District's ability to issue additional bonds without a tax increase is limited.

Page 12: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

11

II. Taxable Assessed Valuation

The value of the District’s tax base directly impacts the dollar amount of bonds that may be issued for capital improvements, as this determines the annual revenues generated from the District’s I&S tax rate for the repayment of bonds.

The District’s taxable assessed valuation (net of frozen values) is currently $7,394,651,769.

Over the last 5-years, the District’s tax base has increased by an average of $338,226,894 per year.

The District’s tax base increased by $61,304,747, or 18% of the 5-year average, in year 2009/10.

246,785,719 257,820,374

633,431,669

491,791,961

61,304,747

338,226,894

$0

$100,000,000

$200,000,000

$300,000,000

$400,000,000

$500,000,000

$600,000,000

$700,000,000

$800,000,000

Dol

lar

Incr

ease

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 Average

Historical Increases in Taxable Assessed Valuation - Years 2005/06 - 2009/10

Factors Affecting District’s Bond Capacity (Continued)

Page 13: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

12

III. State Funding Received for Payment of Bonds

Pursuant to current State funding regulations, the District is maximizing the dollar amount of State funding assistance it receives for the repayment of its existing bonds.

IV. 40-Year Amortization Limitation

Pursuant to State law, the maximum amortization period of any District bond sale is 40 years.

The District’s outstanding debt is currently repaid over 23-years.

V. Interest Rate on District’s Bonds

Factors Affecting District’s Bond Capacity (Continued)

Page 14: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

13

3.6%58.5%

44.7%

(68.5%)

146.7%

(100%)

(75%)

(50%)

(25%)

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

125%

150%

Per

cen

tag

e C

han

ge

Year 2001/02 Through 2008/09

Birdville Independent School District -Years 2001/02 Through 2008/09 - Percentage Change In Student Enrollment,

Principal Amount Of Debt, Taxable Assessed Valuation, State Funding AssistanceFor Debt And Interest & Sinking Fund Tax Rate

Student Enrollment Principal Amount Of DebtTaxable Assessed Valuation State Funding Assistance For DebtInterest & Sinking Fund Tax Rate

__________(A) In Year 2001/02, the District received $4,248,378 of State funding assistance for the repayment of debt and $1,337,166 in year 2008/09.Source: District's Official Statements and Municipal Advisory Council of Texas.

Percent Change of Factors Affecting Debt Capacity –Years 2001/02 Through 2008/09

Page 15: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

14

Preliminary Bond Capacity Analysis

Scenarios Presented Scenarios Presented

Scenario 1: $75.0 Million Bond Program;

Scenario 2: $100.0 Million Bond Program;

Scenario 3: $125.0 Million Bond Program; and

Scenario 4: $150.0 Million Bond Program

The remainder of this Preliminary Bond Capacity Analysis is based upon the assumptions detailed herein. To the extent the District’s actual results differ from the assumptions herein, the financial impact to the District will correspondingly change.

The remainder of this Preliminary Bond Capacity Analysis is based upon the assumptions detailed herein. To the extent the District’s actual results differ from the assumptions herein, the financial impact to the District will correspondingly change.

Page 16: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

15

Bonds are structured to include $15.0 million for technology related projects to be repaid within 5 years from issuance and to permit (if implemented) an additional $15.0 million of “technology bonds”to be issued every 5 years thereafter with no tax increase.

The bond program is sold at an interest rate of 6.00%. Current market rates of interest rate approximately 4.50%.

Bonds are amortized over a 25-year period and will be structured to allow the District to prepay the bonds prior to scheduled maturity, if appropriate in future years.

Assumptions Assumptions

Preliminary Bond Capacity Analysis (Continued)

Page 17: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

16

Average Annual Increase – Years Fiscal Year 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2005/06 – 2009/10 Taxable Assessed Valuation $5,703,517,299 $5,950,303,018 $6,208,123,392 $6,841,555,061 $7,333,347,022 $7,394,651,769 --- Percentage Change --- 4.33% 4.33% 10.20% 7.19% 0.84% 5.33% Dollar Change --- $246,785,719 $257,820,374 $633,431,669 $491,791,961 $61,304,747 $338,226,894

Average Annual 2015/16 & Increase – Years Fiscal Year 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 Thereafter 2010/11 – 2015/16 Taxable Assessed Valuation $7,394,651,769 $7,505,571,546 $7,730,738,692 $7,962,660,853 $8,201,540,679 $8,447,586,899 Dollar Change 0.00% 1.50% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 2.25% Dollar Change $0 $110,919,777 $225,167,146 $231,922,161 $238,879,826 $246,046,220 $175,489,188

Source: District records.

Preliminary Bond Capacity Analysis (Continued)

$5,9

50,3

03,0

18

$6,2

08,1

23,3

92

$6,8

41,5

55,0

61

$7,3

33,3

47,0

22

$7,3

94,6

51,7

69

$7,3

94,6

51,7

69

$7,5

05,5

71,5

46

$7,7

30,7

38,6

92

$7,9

62,6

60,8

53

$8,2

01,5

40,6

79

$8,4

47,5

86,8

99

$3,000,000,000

$4,000,000,000

$5,000,000,000

$6,000,000,000

$7,000,000,000

$8,000,000,000

$9,000,000,000

Tax

able

Ass

esse

d V

alua

tion

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 &Thereafter

Historical and Assumed Taxable Assessed Valuations(Net of Frozen Levy)

Page 18: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

17

Preliminary Bond Capacity Analysis (Continued)

5.7 Cents

8.1 Cents

10.5 Cents

12.9 Cents

0.0 Cents

1.0 Cents

2.0 Cents

3.0 Cents

4.0 Cents

5.0 Cents

6.0 Cents

7.0 Cents

8.0 Cents

9.0 Cents

10.0 Cents

11.0 Cents

12.0 Cents

13.0 Cents

14.0 Cents

I&S

Tax

Rat

e In

crea

se

Scenario 1 - $75.0Million Bond Program

Scenario 2 - $100.0Million Bond Program

Scenario 3 - $125.0Million Bond Program

Scenario 4 - $150.0Million Bond Program

Projected Interest & Sinking Fund Tax Rate Increase

__________Note: The State Property Tax Code allows for school property taxes on an individual homestead to be “frozen” at the age of 65. If you are 65 years of ageor older, a new bond program will not affect the school property taxes on your residential homestead, if you have filed for the “Over 65 HomesteadExemption” as there is a ceiling on the amount of school taxes to be paid by such taxpayers. The only exception is if improvements are made to a home.

Page 19: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

18

Preliminary Bond Capacity Analysis (Continued)

36.5 Cents

5.7 Cents

42.2 Cents

36.5 Cents

8.1 Cents

44.6 Cents

36.5 Cents

10.5 Cents

47.0 Cents

36.5 Cents

12.9 Cents

49.4 Cents

20.0 Cents

25.0 Cents

30.0 Cents

35.0 Cents

40.0 Cents

45.0 Cents

50.0 Cents

55.0 Cents

I&S

Tax

Rat

e

Scenario 1 - $75.0 MillionBond Program

Scenario 2 - $100.0Million Bond Program

Scenario 3 - $125.0Million Bond Program

Scenario 4 - $150.0Million Bond Program

Maximum Projected Interest & Sinking Fund Tax Rate

Projected I&S Tax Rate - Year 2010/11 Projected I&S Tax Rate Increase - Year 2011/12

Page 20: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

19

Preliminary Bond Capacity Analysis (Continued)

$60.72

$86.40

$111.96

$137.52

$0$10$20$30$40$50$60$70$80$90

$100$110$120$130$140$150

Ann

ual I

&S

Tax

Inc

reas

e

Scenario 1 - $75.0Million Bond Program

Scenario 2 - $100.0Million Bond Program

Scenario 3 - $125.0Million Bond Program

Scenario 4 - $150.0Million Bond Program

Projected Annual Interest & Sinking Fund Tax IncreaseFor $106,606 Average Taxable Home Value(A)

__________(A) The District's average taxable home value for year 2009/10 is approximately $106,606, which is net of the State mandated $15,000 Residential Homestead Exemption.

Note: The State Property Tax Code allows for school property taxes on an individual homestead to be “frozen” at the age of 65. If you are 65 years of age or older, anew bond program will not affect the school property taxes on your residential homestead, if you have filed for the “Over 65 Homestead Exemption” as there is aceiling on the amount of school taxes to be paid by such taxpayers. The only exception is if improvements are made to a home.

Page 21: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

20

Preliminary Bond Capacity Analysis (Continued)

$5.06

$7.20

$9.33

$11.46

$0$1$2$3$4

$5$6$7$8$9

$10$11$12$13

Mon

thly

I&

S T

ax I

ncre

ase

Scenario 1 - $75.0Million Bond Program

Scenario 2 - $100.0Million Bond Program

Scenario 3 - $125.0Million Bond Program

Scenario 4 - $150.0Million Bond Program

Projected Monthly Interest & Sinking Fund Tax IncreaseFor $106,606 Average Taxable Home Value(A)

__________(A) The District's average taxable home value for year 2009/10 is approximately $106,606, which is net of the State mandated $15,000 Residential Homestead Exemption.

Note: The State Property Tax Code allows for school property taxes on an individual homestead to be “frozen” at the age of 65. If you are 65 years of age or older, anew bond program will not affect the school property taxes on your residential homestead, if you have filed for the “Over 65 Homestead Exemption” as there is aceiling on the amount of school taxes to be paid by such taxpayers. The only exception is if improvements are made to a home.

Page 22: Preliminary Review of District’s Bond Capacity Thursday ...w3.birdvilleschools.net/10Bond/StudyCommittee/... · District’s Bond Capacity Thursday, March 25, 2010 For Discussion

21

Preliminary Bond Capacity Analysis (Continued)

Scenario 3 - $125.0 Million Bond Program - Projected Interest & Sinking Fund Tax Rates

$0.00

$0.05

$0.10

$0.15

$0.20

$0.25

$0.30

$0.35

$0.40

$0.45

$0.50

2009

/10

2010

/11

2011

/12

2012

/13

2013

/14

2014

/15

2015

/16

2016

/17

2017

/18

2018

/19

2019

/20

2020

/21

2021

/22

2022

/23

2023

/24

2024

/25

2025

/26

2026

/27

2027

/28

2028

/29

2029

/30

2030

/31

2031

/32

2032

/33

2033

/34

2034

/35

2035

/36

I&S

Tax

Rat

e

Projected I&S Tax Rate - Existing Debt Service Projected I&S Tax Rate - With $125.0 Million Bond Sale

Projected I&SFund Tax Rates -Existing Bonds - Principal Equals

$255,639,102

Future Debt Capacity Without An Interest & Sinking Fund Tax Rate Increase

$125.0 Million Bond Sale

Potential $15.0 Million Sale For Technology 5-Years From Now With No I&S Tax Increase

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22

Preliminary Bond Election Timetable –November 2, 2010

Financing Team Members

BISD --- Birdville Independent School District – Issuer BOSC --- BOSC, Inc. – Financial Advisor MPH --- McCall, Parkhurst & Horton L.L.P. – Bond Counsel

Preliminary Bond Election Timetable – November 2, 2010

Date Action Responsibility

On or Prior to August 17, 2010(A) Board Meeting – Board of Trustees Calls the Bond Election BISD, BOSC, MPH

October 3 – 23, 2010 Publish Notice of Election BISD, MPH

Prior to October 12, 2010 Post Notice of Election BISD, MPH

October 18 – 29, 2010 Early Voting Period BISD

November 2, 2010 Bond Election BISD, BOSC

November 10 – 15, 2010 Board Meeting – Canvass Election Results BISD, BOSC

December 10 – 15, 2010 30-Day Contest Period Ends N/A

January 2011 Bond Sale BISD, BOSC, MPH

February 2011 Bond Closing (District Receives Bond Proceeds) BISD, BOSC, MPH

(A) For bond elections held on the November uniform election date, State law requires a bond election to be called by the Board of Trustees at least 62 days prior to the date of the election and the Department of Justice requires 60 days for approval of election procedures. Should the District desire to receive Department of Justice approval prior to the beginning of “Early Voting,” the District must call the election at least 77 days prior to the election date.

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23

Preliminary Bond Election Timetable – May 14, 2011

Financing Team Members

BISD --- Birdville Independent School District – Issuer BOSC --- BOSC, Inc. – Financial Advisor MPH --- McCall, Parkhurst & Horton L.L.P. – Bond Counsel

Preliminary Bond Election Timetable – May 14, 2011

Date Action Responsibility

On or Prior to March 3, 2011(A) Board Meeting – Board of Trustees Calls the Bond Election BISD, BOSC, BC

April 14 – May 4, 2011 Publish Notice of Election BISD, BC

Prior to April 25, 2011 Post Notice of Election BISD, BC

May 2 – 10, 2011 Early Voting Period BISD

May 14, 2011 Bond Election BISD, BOSC

May 17 – 25, 2011 Board Meeting – Canvass Election Results BISD, BOSC

June 16 – 24, 2011 30-Day Contest Period Ends N/A

July 2011 Bond Sale BISD, BOSC, BC

August 2011 Bond Closing (District Receives Bond Proceeds) BISD, BOSC, BC

(A) For bond elections held on the May uniform election date, State law requires a bond election to be called by the Board of Trustees at least 62 days prior to the date of the election and the Department of Justice requires 60 days for approval of election procedures. Should the District desire to receive Department of Justice approval prior to the beginning of “Early Voting,” the District must call the election at least 72 days prior to the election date.

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24

Historical Texas School District Bond Election Results

Historical Texas School District Bond Election Results – Years 2005 Through 2009

No. Of Dollar Amount Bonds Approved Bonds Failed Year Elections Of Bond Elections Dollar Amount Percentage Dollar Amount Percentage

2005 99 $5,310,162,260 $3,365,402,260 63.4% $1,944,760,000 36.6% 2006 135 $7,711,110,762 $6,164,297,085 79.9% $1,546,813,677 20.1% 2007 165 $12,757,680,479 $11,148,410,479 87.4% $1,609,270,000 12.6% 2008 131 $9,960,307,101 $8,686,683,101 87.2% $1,273,624,000 12.8% 2009 79 $2,447,569,995 $1,601,039,995 65.4% $846,530,000 34.6%

Totals 609 $38,186,830,597 $30,965,832,920 81.1% $7,220,997,677 18.9%

Source: The Municipal Advisory Council of Texas.

63.4%

79.9%87.4% 87.2%

65.4%

81.1%

50.0%

55.0%

60.0%

65.0%

70.0%

75.0%

80.0%

85.0%

90.0%

Ap

pro

val R

ate

Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Year 2009 5-Year Average

Texas School District Bond Elections - Historical Approval Rates

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25

With the economy continuing to sag since the recession started in December 2007 and unemployment above 10%, approval rates for Texas school district bond elections have correspondingly declined as individuals “vote their pocketbooks.”

88.5%

81.0%

70.4%

58.8%50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

App

rova

l Rat

e

May 10, 2008 Election November 4, 2008 Election May 9, 2009 Election November 3, 2009 Election

Recent Texas School District Bond Election Results

Election approval rates have declinedas the economy has slowed.

Recent Texas School District Bond Election Results

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26

Recent D/FW School District Bond Elections

The following table summarizes successful bond elections held by school districts within the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex over the last 2-years.

Recent Successful School District Bond Elections Within Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex

School District Election

Date Dollar Amount

Approved

Allen Independent School District 11/04/08 $219,000,000 Allen Independent School District 05/09/09 119,400,000 Arlington Independent School District 11/03/09 197,500,000 Bridgeport Independent School District 11/03/09 15,000,000 Carroll Independent School District 05/09/09 138,000,000 Celina Independent School District 11/04/08 34,310,000 Coppell Independent School District 05/09/09 55,900,000 Dallas Independent School District 05/10/08 1,350,000,000 Decatur Independent School District 05/10/08 27,900,000 Eagle Mountain-Saginaw Independent School District 05/10/08 394,000,000 Ennis Independent School District 05/10/08 48,985,000 Highland Park Independent School District 05/10/08 75,400,000 Jacksboro Independent School District 11/04/08 21,000,000 Keller Independent School District 11/04/08 142,300,000 Lewisville Independent School District 05/10/08 697,670,000 Northwest Independent School District 05/10/08 260,000,000 Plano Independent School District 05/10/08 490,000,000 Princeton Independent School District 05/10/08 46,000,000 Springtown Independent School District 05/10/08 35,000,000 Wylie Independent School District 11/03/09 24,940,000

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27

Comparison of Selected D/FW School Districts

Comparison Of Outstanding Debt Per Student – Year 2008/09

School District

Principal Amount Of Bonds

Outstanding & Authorized Bonds – As Of August 31, 2009

Year 2008/09 Student

Enrollment

Year 2008/09 Debt Per Student

1.) Eagle Mountain-Saginaw Independent School District $789,227,505 15,292 $51,610 2.) Crowley Independent School District 651,734,531 15,031 43,359 3.) Carroll Independent School District 267,305,512 7,839 34,099 4.) Lewisville Independent School District 1,458,746,982 50,216 29,049 5.) Keller Independent School District 735,369,467 30,299 24,270 6.) Mansfield Independent School District 741,737,835 30,759 24,114 7.) Grapevine-Colleyville Independent School District 279,155,892 13,822 20,196 8.) Coppell Independent School District 193,078,638 9,948 19,409 9.) Irving Independent School District 606,272,217 33,131 18,299 10.) Grand Prairie Independent School District 464,110,913 25,996 17,853 11.) Carrollton-Farmers Branch Independent School District 453,520,000 26,257 17,272 12.) Dallas Independent School District 2,663,735,000 157,352 16,929 13.) Mesquite Independent School District 544,694,767 37,030 14,710 14.) Duncanville Independent School District 166,831,016 12,660 13,178 15.) Richardson Independent School District 444,244,988 34,407 12,911 16.) Birdville Independent School District 255,639,102 22,576 11,323 17.) Fort Worth Independent School District 843,119,995 79,285 10,634 18.) Hurst-Euless-Bedford Independent School District 212,152,032 20,565 10,316 19.) Arlington Independent School District 602,751,261 63,045 9,561 20.) Garland Independent School District 474,379,793 57,510 8,249 Source: Municipal Advisory Council of Texas.

The average “Debt Per Student,” a measure of “debt burden,” among the selected D/FW school districts

is $20,367.

The District’s “Debt Per Student” is $11,323.

The average “Debt Per Student,” a measure of “debt burden,” among the selected D/FW school districts is $20,367.

The District’s “Debt Per Student” is $11,323.

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28

Comparison of Selected D/FW School Districts

The average final bond amortization among the selected D/FW school districts is year 2034 or 25 years.

The District’s current debt portfolio has a final maturity date of 2032 or 23 years.

The average final bond amortization among the selected D/FW school districts is year 2034 or 25 years.

The District’s current debt portfolio has a final maturity date of 2032 or 23 years.

Comparison Of Final Bond Amortizations – Existing Bonds

School District

Final Bond Payment

Due As Of August 31, 2009

1.) Eagle Mountain-Saginaw Independent School District 2048 2.) Grand Prairie Independent School District 2040 3.) Crowley Independent School District 2039 4.) Irving Independent School District 2038 5.) Carroll Independent School District 2035 6.) Keller Independent School District 2035 7.) Coppell Independent School District 2034 8.) Dallas Independent School District 2034 9.) Richardson Independent School District 2034 10.) Carrollton-Farmers Branch Independent School District 2033 11.) Duncanville Independent School District 2033 12.) Mansfield Independent School District 2033 13.) Mesquite Independent School District 2033 14.) Birdville Independent School District 2032 15.) Grapevine-Colleyville Independent School District 2032 16.) Fort Worth Independent School District 2029 17.) Garland Independent School District 2029 18.) Arlington Independent School District 2028 19.) Hurst-Euless-Bedford Independent School District 2028 20.) Lewisville Independent School District 2028 Source: Municipal Advisory Council of Texas.

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29

Comparison of Selected D/FW School Districts

The average year 2009/10 Interest & Sinking Fund tax rate among the selected D/FW school districts was 34.14 cents.

The District’s year 2009/10 Interest & Sinking Fund tax rate was 36.5 cents.

The average year 2009/10 Interest & Sinking Fund tax rate among the selected D/FW school districts was 34.14 cents.

The District’s year 2009/10 Interest & Sinking Fund tax rate was 36.5 cents.

Comparison Of Interest & Sinking Fund Tax Rates

School District

Year 2009/10 Interest &

Sinking Fund Tax Rates

1.) Crowley Independent School District $0.4950 2.) Eagle Mountain-Saginaw Independent School District 0.4700 3.) Keller Independent School District 0.4463 4.) Grand Prairie Independent School District 0.4250 5.) Mansfield Independent School District 0.4100 6.) Irving Independent School District 0.4050 7.) Mesquite Independent School District 0.3800 8.) Duncanville Independent School District 0.3780 9.) Carroll Independent School District 0.3750 10.) Lewisville Independent School District 0.3687 11.) Birdville Independent School District 0.3650 12.) Carrollton-Farmers Branch Independent School District 0.3022 13.) Richardson Independent School District 0.3000 14.) Fort Worth Independent School District 0.2820 15.) Hurst-Euless-Bedford Independent School District 0.2555 16.) Grapevine-Colleyville Independent School District 0.2500 17.) Coppell Independent School District 0.2434 18.) Arlington Independent School District 0.2320 19.) Dallas Independent School District 0.2313 20.) Garland Independent School District 0.2133 Source: Municipal Advisory Council of Texas.

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30

Tax Ratification Elections

78.2%

60.3% 60.0%67.9%

50.0%

55.0%

60.0%

65.0%

70.0%

75.0%

80.0%

85.0%

Ap

prov

al R

ate

Year 2007 Year 2008 Year 2009 3-Year Average

Texas School District Tax Ratification Elections - Historical Approval Rates

Historical Tax Ratification Election Results – Years 2007 Through 2009

Year No. of

Elections Passed Failed Approval

Rate 2007 119 93 26 78.2% 2008 116 70 46 60.3% 2009 45 27 18 60.0%

Totals 280 190 90 67.9% Source: TexasISD.com and Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts.

To date, 190 Tax Ratification Elections (“TRE”) have passed within the State, representing an approval rate of67.9%. It is important to note, the approval rate of TRE’s during years 2008 and 2009 was only 60% which directly correlates with the slowdown of the economy in December 2007.


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