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Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative Youth Master Plan Data: 2014 Update
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Page 1: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015

Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors

Data Prepared by Wilder Research

St. Paul Children’s Collaborative

Youth Master Plan Data: 2014 Update

Page 2: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Learn:• Children are ready for Kindergarten• Children are reading by third grade

Grow:• Children have health care coverage• Children are connected to one or more caring adults

Thrive:• Children are safe and free from child abuse and neglect• Children graduate from high school

SIX GOALS

Page 3: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Goal #2:

Children are reading by third grade

Page 4: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

• 39% of third graders in public schools in St. Paul meet or exceed state reading standards (2014)

• 3 percentage point improvement in third grade reading proficiency over 2013

• Persistent and large gaps by race and income

Children are reading by third grade

Page 5: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

2 of every 5 third grade students in St. Paul are proficient in reading

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

57% 57%62%

36% 39%

3rd grade students achieving reading standards All public schools in the city of St. Paul, 2010-2014

Note: Third grade students took the MCA-II reading assessment until 2012, and the MCA-III reading assessment beginning in 2013. Trends leading up to 2012 should not be compared to trends beginning in 2013 because reading MCA-II and MCA-III test specifications are different.

Page 6: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Gap narrowed between St. Paul Public Schools and Minnesota (2013 to 2014)

St. Paul Public School district Charter schools in St. Paul Ramsey county Minnesota

37%31%

44%

57%

41%

32%

48%

58%

3rd grade students achieving reading standardsPublic schools in St. Paul, Ramsey County, and Minnesota, 2013 and

2014

2013 2013 20132014 2014 2014 20142013

Page 7: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Gender gap in reading proficiency narrowed between 2013 and 2014

Male Female

33%

39%38% 40%

3rd grade students achieving reading standards All public schools in the city of St. Paul, by gender, 2013 and 2014

2013 20132014 2014

Page 8: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Gaps in reading proficiency by racial and ethnic group and income

American Indian Asian Black Hispanic White

35%

23%28%

24%

44%

57% 55% 57% 60%

88%

3rd grade students achieving reading standards Students in St. Paul Public Schools only, by race/ethnicity and income,

2014Lower-income Higher-income

Page 9: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Gaps in reading proficiency by racial and ethnic group and English language skills

American Indian Asian Black Hispanic WhiteN/A

22%

35%

21%18%

38%

63%

30%

45%

77%

3rd grade students achieving reading standards Students in St. Paul Public Schools only, by race/ethnicity and English

ability, 2014English learners Not English learners

Page 10: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Goal #3:

Children have health care coverage

Page 11: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

• 7% of St. Paul children are uninsured (2010-2012)

• No change in the share of St. Paul children who are uninsured since 2009

• Children are half as likely to be uninsured as all residents of St. Paul (2010-2012)

Children have health care coverage

Note: Unless otherwise noted, estimates refer to years before implementation of specific provisions of the Affordable Care Act (ACA)

Page 12: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

No change in the share of St. Paul children who are uninsured since 2009

2009 2010 2011 2012

7%8%

7%8%

Children without health care coverageCity of St. Paul, 2009-2012

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey

Page 13: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Greater share of children of Color are without health care coverage

All children Under 6 Ages 6 to 17 White (non-Hispanic) Of Color

0.074296435272045 0.06529378424334

03

0.0795339635084634

0.0358832642465352

0.0933807621900482

Children without health care coverageCity of St. Paul, 2010-2012 aggregate 3-year estimate

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey

Page 14: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Goal #4:

Children are connected to one

or more caring adults

Page 15: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

• 53% of children enrolled in St. Paul Public Schools are connected to at least one caring adult in the community (2013)

• Similar shares of students are connected to a caring adult by race and ethnicity, income, and gender

• Notable drop in the share of students connected to a caring adult at higher grade levels

Children are connected to one or more caring adults

Page 16: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Share of St. Paul Public School students connected to a caring adult is similar to state

average

53%connected to a caring

nonfamily adult

57%connected to a caring

nonfamily adult

St. Paul Public Schools Minnesota

Page 17: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Similar shares of students connected to a caring adult by race and ethnicity

American Indian Asian Black Hispanic Two or more races

White

49% 50%54% 52% 49%

54%

Students connected to one or more caring adults in the communitySt. Paul Public Schools, by race/ethnicity, 2013

Page 18: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Similar shares of students connected to a caring adult by income

Lower-income students Higher-income students

50%connected to a caring

nonfamily adult56%

connected to a caring nonfamily adult

Page 19: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Notable drop in the share of students connected to a caring adult at higher grades

Grade 5 Grade 9 Grade 11

73%

44% 43%

Students connected to a caring adult in the communitySt. Paul Public Schools, by grade, 2013

Page 20: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Goal #5:

Children are free from

abuse and neglect

Page 21: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

4% increase in number of reports of child maltreatment between 2010 and 2013

Confirmed neglect occurs at a rate three times higher than physical or sexual abuse

However, neglect cases, as a share of all confirmed cases of maltreatment are declining, and sexual abuse cases are increasing

Children are free from abuse and neglect

Page 22: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Rates of reporting are up and confirmed maltreatment cases down slightly

All reports Family assessment Traditional investigation Maltreatment confirmed

35.5

24.3

14.6

4.2

29.3

21.2

9.6

4.7

35.9

27.4

9.3

4.2

Child maltreatment reports and outcomes per 1,000 childrenSt. Paul, 2010, 2012, and 2013

2010 2010 2010 20102013 2013 2013 20132012 2012 2012 2012

Source: Ramsey County Community Human Service and U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Decennial Census

Page 23: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Rates of confirmed abuse vary by race/ethnicity

American Indian

Asian

Black

Hispanic

Multiracial/Other race

White

27.7

2.0

8.0

2.9

2.6

3.3

21.8

3.3

8.6

3.7

4.2

3.1

28.1

2.5

6.8

5.3

3.7

3.1

Confirmed maltreatment cases per 1,000 childrenSt. Paul, by race/ethnicity, 2010, 2012, and 2013

201320122010

Source: Ramsey County Community Human Service and U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Decennial Census

Page 24: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Variation in type of abuse by race/ethnicity

Source: Ramsey County Community Human Service and U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Decennial Census

American Indian Asian Black Hispanic Multiracial/Other race

White

25 26

72

34

28

60

-

20 23

9 9

15

8 4

27 30

10

32

Number of confirmed child maltreatment casesSt. Paul, by type and race/ethnicity, 2013

NeglectPhysical abuseSexual abuse

Page 25: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Compared to the baseline…

Greater shares of confirmed cases are sexual and physical abuse

2010

2012

2013

67%

60%

59%

15%

20%

19%

18%

20%

23%

Confirmed cases of child maltreatment by typeSt. Paul children, as a share of total confirmed cases, 2010, 2012, and

2013

NeglectPhysical abuseSexual abuse

Page 26: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Goal #6:

Children graduate from high school

Page 27: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

• 73% of students enrolled in St. Paul Public Schools graduate within four years (2013)

• 10 percentage point increase in on-time graduation from St. Paul Public schools since 2010

• Rates of on-time graduation below average for students of Color, lower-income students, and males

Children graduate from high school

Page 28: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

In St. Paul Public Schools…

On-time graduation is up,share of students dropping out is down

Graduates

Continuing high school

Dropouts/Unknown

63%

23%

14%

66%

20%

14%

68%

19%

13%

73%

16%

11%

Student outcomes after four years of high school St. Paul Public School district, 2010-2013

2013201220112010

2011

Page 29: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

American Indian

Asian

Black

Hispanic

White

Students of Color

Higher-income

Lower-income

Male

Female

51%

76%

65%

67%

83%

71%

85%

70%

69%

78%

Students graduating high school on timeSt. Paul Public School district, by subgroup, 2010-2013

73%of all SPPS students graduated on time in 2013

Page 30: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

4 public schools in St. Paul with on-time graduation rates higher than state average

High School for Recording Arts

Avalon School

City Academy

Higher Ground Academy

Hmong College Prep Academy

St. Paul Public Schools

Great River School

St. Paul Conservatory for Performing Arts

Community of Peace Academy

Twin Cities Academy High School

Nova Classical Academy

19%

45%

59%

60%

71%

73%

76%

86%

87%

93%

94%

Students graduating high school on timeSt. Paul Public Schools and St. Paul charter schools, 2013

80%of Minnesota students graduate on time

Page 31: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Learn:• Children are ready for Kindergarten• Children are reading by third grade *

Grow:• Children have health care coverage• Children are connected to one or more caring adults

Thrive:• Children are safe and free from child abuse and neglect• Children graduate from high school

SIX GOALS

* Since 2013

Page 32: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

2016/17 Learn, Grow, Thrive Grant RFP

• Total Funding = $900,000• Maximum Grant = $150,000 (2 year total)• Grant Period = 24 Months (Jan 2016 – Dec 2017)• Due Date = August 28 at 5pm• Proposal Components:

– Online Application (web)– Project Budget Form (email)– Logic Model (email)

• Q&A until August 21 at 5pm

Page 33: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Grant Focus

• Learn, Grow, Thrive Goals (one or more)• Children and Youth (birth to 18 years)• African American• American Indian• City of Saint Paul

Page 34: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Funding Restrictions (LCTS)

• Direct Service to Children/Families• LCTS Funding Use Policy• May NOT Include:

– Administrative expenses– Staff/volunteer training– Supervision– Evaluation

Page 35: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Logic Model/Theory of Change

Good resources (suggestions from Minnesota Council of Nonprofits)• W.K. Kellogg Foundation’s Logic Model Develo

pment Guide• University of Wisconsin - Extension's Logic Mo

del Resource Pages

Page 36: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

A Few More Things That Matter…

• Sprockets Network• Evidence-based and promising

approaches• Family engagement• Organizational capacity• Diverse funding base

Page 37: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Learn, Grow, Thrive RFP Timeline

• July 24 – RFP Released• July 28 – Community of Care Meeting• August 21 – Q&A Closes at 5pm• August 28 – Proposals due by 5pm (online

application, email budget and logic model)• October – Site visits• November 11 – SPCC Board meeting• January 1, 2016 – Grant period begins

Page 38: Presentation to Community of Care July 28, 2015 Christa Anders & Laurie Davis, SPCC Co-Directors Data Prepared by Wilder Research St. Paul Children’s Collaborative.

Thank you for your work on behalf of Saint Paul’s children and youth!

More Information: • www.stpaulkids.org Laurie Davis • [email protected] Christa Anders • [email protected]


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