Presentation to the

Oslo City Working Group Meeting Session 5: Canada’s Energy Statistics

John Appleby, Natural Resources Canada,

Ottawa, Canada

February 2, 2009

2

Outline

• Background/Context

• RESD and the Sector Models– Transportation– Residential– Commercial Institutional– Industrial

• Data/Products

3

Background/Context

Natural Resources Canada (NRCan)

Office of Energy Efficiency

Demand Policy and Analysis Division

Programs

a federal government department responsible for the sustainable development

and use of natural resources

a branch of NRCan mandated to renew, strengthen and expand Canada's commitment to

energy conservation and energy efficiency

OEE proactively promotes energy conservation and efficiency in all sectors

a division of OEE created toimprove knowledge and understanding of where and how energy is used in all

sectors of the Canadian economy

4

Energy End-Use Models (OEE)

• Each model has the same general methodology• Utilize a variety of data sources and assumptions to provide a

detailed look of their respective sector. • These detailed data sources provide the breakdown of the

sector not provided by the RESD. • Since the RESD is the official energy balance of Canada, the

estimated detailed energy use across sectors are then calibrated to the Report on Energy Supply and Demand.

Five End-Use Models:– Transportation– Industrial– Residential– Commercial– Agriculture (No Break-down)

• Products – Energy Use Data Handbook– Energy Efficiency Trends in Canada

5

Producer ConsumptionTotal Non-Energy Use by Industrial SectorEnergy Use-Final DemandTotal Energy Use by Mining and Oil and Gas ExtractionEnergy Use by Paper ManufacturingEnergy Use by Primary Metal Manufacturing, FerrousEnergy Use by Primary Metal Manufacturing, Non-FerrousEnergy Use by Cement ManufacturingEnergy Use by Petroleum RefiningEnergy Use by Chemical ManufacturingEnergy Use by Other ManufacturingTotal Energy Use by ManufacturingTotal Energy Use by Forestry and Logging, and Support Activities for ForestryTotal Energy Use by ConstructionTotal Energy Use by Industrial SectorRail Transportation and Support Activities for Rail TransportationCanadian Air TransportationForeign Air TransportationTotal Air TransportationCanadian Water TransportationForeign Water TransportationTotal Water TransportationPipeline Transportation and Natural Gas DistributionTruck, Transit and Ground Passenger TransportationGasoline StationsTotal Transportation and WarehousingTotal AgricultureTotal ResidentialPublic AdministrationCommercial and Other Institutional

Statistical Difference

Industrial Sector

Transportation Sector

Agriculture Sector

Residential Sector

Commercial Sector

6

Transportation Sector Overview

Distance StockFuel

Consumption

Estimated Road Energy

Demand

GHG Emissions

STC Road Energy

Demand

STC Non- Road Energy

Demand

Off-Road

GHG Factors

Transportation Energy Demand

7

Energy use for space cooling and space heatingBy province, house type, vintage and heating system

Energy Consumption – Household Services• Energy use by appliancesBy province, energy source and appliance type• Energy use for water heatingBy province, house type and energy source

Residential energy use Calibrated to RESD

By province, end-use and energy source

Energy use for lightingBy province and house type

• GHG emission factorBy energy source

Residential GHG emissionsBy province, end-use and energy source

Residential End-Use Model

8

Industrial Sector Overview

CIEEDAC

RESD

Detailed Industries Energy Use

Aggregate Industries Energy

Use

Energy Use

Scaling and confidentiality

estimations

9

COMMERCIAL/INSTITUTIONAL END-USE DATABASE FLOWCHART

•FLOOR SPACE

•AVERAGE INTENSITY

•FUEL SHARES

•FUEL EFFICIENCY

Non Space conditioning energy use

•WATER HEATING•AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT

•AUXILIARY MOTORS•LIGHTING

•HEATING DEGREE DAY•COOLING DEGREE DAY

Space Conditioning energy use•SPACE COOLING•SPACE HEATING

TOTAL COMMERCIAL/INSTITUTIONAL ESTIMATED ENERGYENERGY DEMAND

EMISSION FACTORS EC

TOTAL COMMERCIAL/INSTITUTIONAL GHG EMISSIONS

TOTAL COMMERCIAL/INSTITUTIONAL ENERGY DEMAND

Calibration TO RESD

Heat Gains•HEATING HEAT GAIN INTENSITY•COOLING HEAT GAIN INTENSITY

10

• By region (7):– 1) Atlantic– 2) Quebec– 3) Ontario– 4) Manitoba– 5) Saskatchewan– 6) Alberta– 7) British Columbia &

Territories

• By end-use (6):– 1) Space heating – 2) Water heating– 3) Auxiliary equipment– 4) Auxiliary motors– 5) Lighting– 6) Space cooling

• By activity types (10):– 1) Wholesale Trade – 2) Retail Trade– 3) Transportation and

Warehousing– 4) Information and Cultural

Industries– 5) Offices– 6) Educational Services– 7) Health Care and Social

Assistance – 8) Arts, Entertainment and

Recreation– 9) Accommodation and Food

Services– 10) Other Services

• By fuel types (5):– 1) Electricity– 2) Natural gas– 3) Light fuel oil & Kerosene– 4) Heavy Fuel Oil– 5) Steam– 6) Other (Steam & Coal)

COMMERCIAL/INSTITUTIONAL SECTORBREAKDOWN

11

1990 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Total Growth 1990–2006

Total Energy Use (PJ)a 867.0 1,072.8 1,060.9 1,131.5 1,166.5 1,172.7 1,158.9 1,092.6 26.0%Energy Use by Energy Source (PJ) a

Electricity 390.1 453.0 445.2 476.8 474.4 483.4 485.9 475.8 22.0%Natural Gas 387.1 503.2 488.4 517.2 525.1 514.1 504.9 468.5 21.0%Light Fuel Oil and Kerosene 62.0 60.4 63.6 73.9 80.1 91.5 83.3 75.7 22.2%Heavy Fuel Oil 11.4 19.8 26.8 27.4 53.5 48.8 55.6 42.5 274.1%Steam 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 2.7 2.6 1175.7%Other1 16.3 36.1 36.6 35.9 32.9 34.5 26.5 27.5 69.1%

Energy Use by End-Use (PJ) b

Space Heating 471.1 579.1 549.7 583.7 617.2 618.1 592.5 537.4 14.1%Water Heating 68.2 89.6 92.2 93.4 98.9 103.0 99.4 95.2 39.7%Auxiliary Equipment 82.4 132.9 140.1 144.6 157.5 169.5 172.7 177.4 115.2%Auxiliary Motors 91.2 96.0 94.2 95.4 94.7 95.6 88.2 89.5 -1.9%Lighting 114.5 120.3 118.0 119.6 118.8 119.4 108.0 107.5 -6.2%Space Cooling 30.6 47.2 59.0 87.1 71.6 59.4 89.9 77.1 152.1%Street Lightingf 8.9 7.7 7.7 7.8 7.8 7.8 8.3 8.4 -6.1%

Energy Use by Activity Type 2 (PJ) b

Wholesale Trade 56.3 64.4 63.3 66.3 68.3 68.5 65.8 61.3 9.0%Retail Trade 143.7 174.5 172.6 184.2 190.1 194.4 191.0 179.2 24.8%Transportation and Warehousing 54.3 55.3 52.8 55.2 55.5 54.4 50.8 46.8 -13.7%Information and Cultural Industries 17.9 25.0 24.9 26.8 27.9 27.9 27.1 25.9 44.5%Offices3 273.1 358.7 356.5 381.9 394.9 395.4 402.4 381.2 39.6%Educational Services 119.3 147.5 146.5 156.2 161.9 162.5 159.2 149.9 25.6%Health Care and Social Assistance 84.9 104.1 103.0 110.5 112.7 113.3 110.0 103.2 21.6%Arts, Entertainment and Recreation 23.6 33.4 33.1 34.9 36.1 35.9 34.9 33.0 39.8%Accommodation and Food Services 66.4 80.9 79.7 85.9 88.8 90.3 88.1 83.9 26.3%Other Services 18.7 21.2 20.9 21.9 22.4 22.3 21.4 19.9 6.3%

Commercial/Institutional Secondary Energy Use by Energy Source,

End-Use and Activity Type

12

Products

• In 1991, Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) launched the National Energy Use Database (NEUD) initiative to help the department improve its knowledge of energy consumption and energy efficiency at the end-use level in Canada and to support NRCan's analytical expertise.

• The NEUD plays a number of crucial roles directly related to NRCan's ecoENERGY Efficiency initiatives; however, its most important role is to secure the development of a reliable, Canada-wide information base on energy consumption for all energy-consuming sectors.

• The new 2006 data are now available in our Comprehensive Energy Use Database, Energy Use Data Handbook Tables and Energy Efficiency Trends Analysis Tables.

14

Energy efficiency gains are significant

Energy use with or without energy efficiency improvement, 1990–2006 (petajoules)

6 000

7 000

8 000

9 000

10 000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Peta

joul

es

Energy use without energy efficiency improvements

Energy use with energy efficiency improvements

EE gains• $21B• 60 Mt

15

Impact of activity, structure, service level, weather and energy efficiency effects on the change in energy use, 1990–2006

-210.8

2,585.4

1,461.2

-84.9

-1,049.5

170.3 50.8

-2000

-1000

0

1000

2000

3000

Totalchange in

energy use

Activityeffect

Structureeffect

Servicelevel effect

Weathereffect

Energyefficiency

effect

Other*

Pet

ajo

ule

s

Decomposition Total Economy

16

Conclusion

• Links to more information:– Comprehensive Energy Use Database -

http://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/home.cfm