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Profiling peopleProfiling people
Results for the first half 2002Results for the first half 2002
How Ipsos makes progress How Ipsos makes progress
Financial results Financial results
Outlook Outlook
The market The market
Key figures: growth and profitabilityKey figures: growth and profitability
Revenues 244.5+13% Revenues 244.5+13%
Operating income 17.8 +27% Operating income 17.8 +27%
Net income, shareholders’ part* 9.5 +29% Net income, shareholders’ part* 9.5 +29%
* Before amortization of goodwill* Before amortization of goodwill
in millions of euros
The marketThe market
A non-cyclical market…A non-cyclical market…
The research market*: a market that keeps on growing
2001 vs. 2000 +4%
H1 2002 vs. H1 2001 +3 to 4%
The research market*: a market that keeps on growing
2001 vs. 2000 +4%
H1 2002 vs. H1 2001 +3 to 4%
“[…] Market information remains valuable to clients even in a time of economic downturn.”
Mike Kirkham, CEO Taylor Nelson Sofres
“[…] Market information remains valuable to clients even in a time of economic downturn.”
Mike Kirkham, CEO Taylor Nelson Sofres
*Source: Esomar
“[…] Fear and uncertainty rule a lot of client thinking today […]” Sir Martin Sorrell, CEO WPP
“[…] Fear and uncertainty rule a lot of client thinking today […]” Sir Martin Sorrell, CEO WPP
… unlike the advertising market… unlike the advertising market
“This has been a longer and deeper advertising recession than anyone predicted. The US advertising market beganto show some tentative signs of recovery in the first halfof the year, however the European market was down."
Doug Flynn, CEO Aegis Group plc
“This has been a longer and deeper advertising recession than anyone predicted. The US advertising market beganto show some tentative signs of recovery in the first halfof the year, however the European market was down."
Doug Flynn, CEO Aegis Group plc
The advertising market*: a shrinking market
2001 vs. 2000 -4%
H1 2002 vs. H1 2001 -2%
The advertising market*: a shrinking market
2001 vs. 2000 -4%
H1 2002 vs. H1 2001 -2%
*Source: Zenith Media
Ipsos is outgrowing its competitorsIpsos is outgrowing its competitors
H1 2002 vs. H1 20012001 vs. 2000
N/a+5.9%N/a+15.3%Kantar (WPP)
+3.6%+17.7%+6.6%+11.0%GfK*
+1.4%+9.1%+6.1%+21.6%TNS
+7.3%+13.0%+8.0%+46.0%Ipsos
Organic growth
Overall growth
Organic growth
Overall growth
* Overall growth H1 02 / H1 01: + 4.4 % according to 2001 published data
Source: competitors
Change in operating margins
Ipsos’ profitability is improvingIpsos’ profitability is improving
0.4%1.3%2.5%Ipsos vs. competitors (average)
7.6%9.5%9.4%Kantar (WPP)
8.3%8.5%8.0%TNS
7.2%7.4%7.0%GfK
7.3%6.4%5.6%Ipsos
H1 02H1 01H1 00
Source: competitors
How Ipsos makes progressHow Ipsos makes progress
Our objectiveOur objective
To become the world leader insurvey-based research
To become the world leader insurvey-based research
Our business: survey-based researchOur business: survey-based research
Continuous services & one off projects Continuous services & one off projects
Mono & multi-clients services Mono & multi-clients services
Branded products & custom research Branded products & custom research
International & local operations International & local operations
Qualitative & quantitative research Qualitative & quantitative research
Consultancy & fab & tabs works Consultancy & fab & tabs works
Off & on line data collection systems Off & on line data collection systems
Four rules for success Four rules for success
2. Reinforce our leadership in key countries2. Reinforce our leadership in key countries
4. Steer transition toward on-line data collection systems
4. Steer transition toward on-line data collection systems
3. Develop our expertise in our areas of specialization
3. Develop our expertise in our areas of specialization
1. Build long-term relations with major international clients
1. Build long-term relations with major international clients
1. Build long-term relations with major international clients
1. Build long-term relations with major international clients
Our business with these 10 major clients grew30% in 2001 / 2000 and 32% in H1 2002 / H1 2001of pure organic growth
Our business with these 10 major clients grew30% in 2001 / 2000 and 32% in H1 2002 / H1 2001of pure organic growth
Some 50 corporations spend over 75 million eurosper annum on consumer research
Ipsos works with the majority of them
A special program (KAM) for 10 of them
Some 50 corporations spend over 75 million eurosper annum on consumer research
Ipsos works with the majority of them
A special program (KAM) for 10 of them
These 10 major clients will contribute around 20% of Ipsos revenues in 2002 (16% in 2001) and account for 2/3 of its total organic growth
These 10 major clients will contribute around 20% of Ipsos revenues in 2002 (16% in 2001) and account for 2/3 of its total organic growth
Major international clients in 2003-2005Major international clients in 2003-2005
The KAM programme expanded to 5 extra clients in 2003
International clients
Ipsos has worked with them for several years
A large growth potential
Ready to contract global commitments
The KAM programme expanded to 5 extra clients in 2003
International clients
Ipsos has worked with them for several years
A large growth potential
Ready to contract global commitments
Market share gains will continue
Objective: to lead at least 15% of the survey-based contracts of the 15 key accounts
Potential: 100 million additional euros
Market share gains will continue
Objective: to lead at least 15% of the survey-based contracts of the 15 key accounts
Potential: 100 million additional euros
Four rules for success Four rules for success
2. Reinforce our leadership in key countries2. Reinforce our leadership in key countries
4. Steer transition toward on-line data collection systems
4. Steer transition toward on-line data collection systems
3. Develop our expertise in our areas of specialization
3. Develop our expertise in our areas of specialization
1. Build long-term relations with major international clients
1. Build long-term relations with major international clients
2. Reinforce our leadership in key countries
2. Reinforce our leadership in key countries
In 10 of them
Ipsos is in the top five
Ipsos utilizes at least three of its five specializations
In 10 of them
Ipsos is in the top five
Ipsos utilizes at least three of its five specializations
Ipsos is established in 14 of these 15 main countries Ipsos is established in 14 of these 15 main countries
15 countries spend over 100 million euros on researcheach year; between them they account for 87% ofthe world market
15 countries spend over 100 million euros on researcheach year; between them they account for 87% ofthe world market
In 2002, Ipsos strengthened its position in the following countries:
USA 1st market (Ipsos-Vantis)Germany 3rd market (Sample-INRA)Japan 5th market (Lyncs)Sweden 13th market (Ipsos-Imri, Ipsos-Eureka)China 14th market (Fams)
In 2002, Ipsos strengthened its position in the following countries:
USA 1st market (Ipsos-Vantis)Germany 3rd market (Sample-INRA)Japan 5th market (Lyncs)Sweden 13th market (Ipsos-Imri, Ipsos-Eureka)China 14th market (Fams)
Ipsos in the 15 key countries in 2002Ipsos in the 15 key countries in 2002
Belgium
China
Sweden
Holland
Mexico
Australia
Brazil
Spain
Canada
Italy
Japan
France
Germany
UK
USA
Rateof development
Ipsos position
Profitability
Four rules for success Four rules for success
2. Reinforce our leadership in key countries2. Reinforce our leadership in key countries
4. Steer transition toward on-line data collection systems
4. Steer transition toward on-line data collection systems
3. Develop our expertise in our areas of specialization
3. Develop our expertise in our areas of specialization
1. Build long-term relations with major international clients
1. Build long-term relations with major international clients
3. Develop our expertisein our areas of specialization
3. Develop our expertisein our areas of specialization
Ipsos has a unique position: a single business, survey-based research,with five specializations
Advertising Research
Marketing Research
Media Research
Opinion and Social Research
Quality and Customer Satisfaction
Ipsos has a unique position: a single business, survey-based research,with five specializations
Advertising Research
Marketing Research
Media Research
Opinion and Social Research
Quality and Customer Satisfaction
Ipsos-ASI: a modelIpsos-ASI: a model
July 1, 1999: Ipsos-ASI founded, an integrated global organization
July 1, 1999: Ipsos-ASI founded, an integrated global organization
A comprehensive range
Pre-tests (with the Next range)
Advertising and brand tracking (Equity Builder and Ad*Graph)
Post-tests
A comprehensive range
Pre-tests (with the Next range)
Advertising and brand tracking (Equity Builder and Ad*Graph)
Post-tests
15% average organic growth per annum 15% average organic growth per annum
Ipsos-ASI is present in 15 countries, and is setting upin Japan, China, Russia, Poland and Sweden
Ipsos-ASI is present in 15 countries, and is setting upin Japan, China, Russia, Poland and Sweden
Advertising research:to measure the foreseeable and evidential effectsof advertising expenditure on brand positions
Advertising research:to measure the foreseeable and evidential effectsof advertising expenditure on brand positions
Ipsos Marketing todayIpsos Marketing today
Ipsos’ current position
No.4 in the world / 300 million euros
7% organic growth (12% for KAM)
Separate businesses (Ipsos-NPD, Ipsos-Novaction, Ipsos-Focus, Ipsos-Explorer…)
Ipsos’ current position
No.4 in the world / 300 million euros
7% organic growth (12% for KAM)
Separate businesses (Ipsos-NPD, Ipsos-Novaction, Ipsos-Focus, Ipsos-Explorer…)
Marketing Research: to know and understand markets and consumers’ relations with products and brands in order to evaluate and optimize options
Marketing Research: to know and understand markets and consumers’ relations with products and brands in order to evaluate and optimize options
Ipsos Marketing in 2003Ipsos Marketing in 2003
Three main sectorsManufactured products / Services / Pharmaceuticals
Three main sectorsManufactured products / Services / Pharmaceuticals
Global servicesBrand Equity / Concept Forecaster / STM
Global servicesBrand Equity / Concept Forecaster / STM
Specific areas of expertiseQualitative research / Modeling and sales forecasting International research
Specific areas of expertiseQualitative research / Modeling and sales forecasting International research
Major clientsP&G / General Mills / Kraft / Unilever / L’Oréal / Mars …Visa / ATT / Microsoft ...Pfizer / GSK / J&J ...
Major clientsP&G / General Mills / Kraft / Unilever / L’Oréal / Mars …Visa / ATT / Microsoft ...Pfizer / GSK / J&J ...
A single brand and a global leader Jean-Michel Carlo (Ipsos Europe)
A single brand and a global leader Jean-Michel Carlo (Ipsos Europe)
Four rules for success Four rules for success
2. Reinforce our leadership in key countries2. Reinforce our leadership in key countries
4. Steer transition toward on-line data collection systems
4. Steer transition toward on-line data collection systems
3. Develop our expertise in our areas of specialization
3. Develop our expertise in our areas of specialization
1. Build long-term relations with major international clients
1. Build long-term relations with major international clients
4. Steer transition toward on-line data collection systems
4. Steer transition toward on-line data collection systems
Source: Inside Research
13.6%9.6%6.6%% of overall spending
578392258On-line expenditurein millions of USD
200220012000
Change is gathering pace in the USA Change is gathering pace in the USA
Significant benefits
Speed: from week to day
Reliability: easier access to interviewees
Global perspective: a unique platform
Innovation: new protocols due to high-speed data processing
Significant benefits
Speed: from week to day
Reliability: easier access to interviewees
Global perspective: a unique platform
Innovation: new protocols due to high-speed data processing
Ipsos and on-line datacollection systemsIpsos and on-line datacollection systems
In the USA, 30% of Ipsos Marketing revenuesare generated on-line
The Ipsos-NPD group panel is the most used
A profitable business
Ipsos has been selected by oneof our big accounts as “preferred worldwide supplier”for the changeover to on-line copy-testing(due in 2004)
In the USA, 30% of Ipsos Marketing revenuesare generated on-line
The Ipsos-NPD group panel is the most used
A profitable business
Ipsos has been selected by oneof our big accounts as “preferred worldwide supplier”for the changeover to on-line copy-testing(due in 2004)
Financial resultsfor the first half of 2002Financial resultsfor the first half of 2002
244.5217.0
132.498.988.7
H1 1998 H1 1999 H1 2000 H1 2001 H1 2002
Sharp growthin first-half revenuesSharp growthin first-half revenues
in millions of euros
+34%+34%
+64%+64%
+12%+12%
+13%+13%
244.5217.0
H1 2001 H1 2002
1st half 2002: a steady organic growth 1st half 2002: a steady organic growth
Organic growth rate*
* On a comparable basis
+9.9 % +7.3 %
In millions of euros
Sharper increase in organic growth in 2nd quarterSharper increase in organic growth in 2nd quarter
Organic growth rate
108.4 136.1
T1 2002 T2 2002
+7.0 % +7.7 %
In millions of euros
FY 2002 organic growth estimated at least at 8%FY 2002 organic growth estimated at least at 8%
+8.0 %*+8.0 %480.2Year
+7.7 %147.34th quarter
+5.0 %115.93rd quarter
+7.7 %136.1+10.1 %122.02nd quarter
+7.0 %108.4+9.7%95.01st quarter
Organic growth
RevenuesOrganic growth
Revenues
2001 2002
* estimated
In millions of euros
Growth varies according to region...Growth varies according to region...
+8.0%+7.3 %244.5Total
+10 %+10 %6.8Asia-Pacific and Middle East
+6 %+11 %23.9Latin America
+10 %+15 %106.5North America
+7 % 0 %107.3Europe
Reminderorganic growth
2001
Organic growth H1 2002
Revenues H1 2002
In millions of euros
… and to business lines… and to business lines
Organic growth
H1 2002
Reminder organic growth
2001
RevenuesH1 2002
Advertising research +15% +14.0%55.1
Marketing research +7% +7.0%129.5
Media research -1% +3.5%24.1
Customer satisfaction research +6% +7.5%18.6
Total +7.3% +8.0%244.5
Other N/S N/S3.1
Opinion and social research +9% +15.0%14.1
in millions of euros
Improved profitabilityImproved profitability
Strong improvement in resultsStrong improvement in results
H1 2001
H102 /H101
* after employees’ share in profits** before goodwill* after employees’ share in profits** before goodwill
H1 2002 2001
Revenues 217.0244.5 480.2 +13%
Gross margin 272.0144.3 126.0 +15%
Operating profit * 36.917.8 13.9 +27%
Financial results -8.8-3.3 -3.7 -9%
Exceptional items -1.1-0.1 -0.3 -
Companies at equity -1.00 0 -
Net income, shareholders’ part** 17.39.5 7.4 +29%
EBITDA 51.025.9 19.8 +31%
Minority interests 2.20.9 0.9 -
in millions of euros
H1 1997 H1 1998 H1 1999 H1 2000 H1 2001 H1 2002
2.7%
4.3%5.0%
5.5%
6.4%7.3%
Continued improvement in first half operating marginContinued improvement in first half operating margin
First-half operating profit / Revenues
Breakdown of operating margin increaseBreakdown of operating margin increase
H1 2001 Increasedmargin
on existingperimeter
Companiesconsolidated
aft. H1 01
Regionalmanagemt
structuresEurope
and Asia
Worldwideproducts
offer
Economiesof scale
parent co.management
expenses
H1 2002Currencyeffects
+0.1+0.1
7.3%7.3%
6.4%6.4%
+1.0+1.0
-0.2 -0.2 -0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.1
Results show seasonal trendResults show seasonal trend
6.4%5.5%
8.5% 8.8%
7.3%
Operating margin increase
Cash flow statementCash flow statement
H1 2001
H102/ H101
H1 2002 2001
Change in working capital requirements + 5.9- 5.7 -10.5
Investments in tangible and intangible fixed assets -14.5-5.9 -9.5
Acquisitions and impact of changes in consolidated scope
-196.7-4.9 -155.6
Cash used in investing activities -207.2-10.8 -165.1
Share issue 20.3- -
Net change in debt / marketable securities +171.2+0.5 +175.1
in millions of euros
Cash provided by operating activities 37.211.3 1.3 X 9
Dividends -2.8-3.2 -2.8
Cash provided by financing activities 188.7-2.7 172.3
Net change in cash +20.8-2.2 +8.5
Operating cash flow before working capital items 11.817.0 31.3 +44%
A sound financial positionA sound financial position
Shareholders’ equity 186 184 200
Net debt 147 169 153
Gearing 79% 92% 76%
Net debt / EBITDA pro forma 2.6 3.5 2.99
Coverage of financial charges x 5.4 x 3.8 x 4.4
June 30, 2001
June 30, 2002
Dec. 31,2001
in millions of euros
Commitments arising from acquisitionsCommitments arising from acquisitions
From July 1st, 2002 to December 31, 2003 A maximum total of 40 million euros
Of which 10 to 12 million in 2nd half 2002
For payment of acquisitions already announced but not consolidated in 1st half 2002 plus all earn outs
From July 1st, 2002 to December 31, 2003 A maximum total of 40 million euros
Of which 10 to 12 million in 2nd half 2002
For payment of acquisitions already announced but not consolidated in 1st half 2002 plus all earn outs
After December 31, 2003 4 million euros in earn outs between 2004 and 2006
After December 31, 2003 4 million euros in earn outs between 2004 and 2006
Ipsos holds the financial resources to pursue its plan
Payment in cash and/or securities
Financing by free cash flow
Flexibility to recourse to borrowing
Ipsos holds the financial resources to pursue its plan
Payment in cash and/or securities
Financing by free cash flow
Flexibility to recourse to borrowing
OutlookOutlook
Second half 2002: Ipsos confirms its commitmentsSecond half 2002: Ipsos confirms its commitments
Continuing strong growth in North andLatin America
Growth above 10%
Slow turnaround in Europe
Moderate growth below 5%
Continuing strong growth in North andLatin America
Growth above 10%
Slow turnaround in Europe
Moderate growth below 5%
Establishment of network in Asia-Pacific region Establishment of network in Asia-Pacific region
Improvement in profitability Improvement in profitability
2003 and beyond:leadership2003 and beyond:leadership
Continuing development of Ipsos-ASI
New countries
New accounts
On-line offering
Continuing development of Ipsos-ASI
New countries
New accounts
On-line offering
A more specialized and global Ipsos Marketing organization
A more specialized and global Ipsos Marketing organization
Rapid expansion of major accounts strategy Rapid expansion of major accounts strategy
CSM / CRM, Medias, and Opinion new offerings CSM / CRM, Medias, and Opinion new offerings
Ipsos: 2005 - 2006Ipsos: 2005 - 2006
An increasingly specialized world leader
Revenues of 1 billion euros
Operating margin equal or superior to 10%
A sound financial position
An increasingly specialized world leader
Revenues of 1 billion euros
Operating margin equal or superior to 10%
A sound financial position
Profiling peopleProfiling people