Date post: | 28-Dec-2015 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | sophie-campbell |
View: | 217 times |
Download: | 1 times |
Promise of Broadband – Pass/Fail
Don Westlight, Ed Parker, Mary Beth Henry, Jon Dolan, Sheldon Renan with assistance from Rob Wilcox
Broadband... So what???apologies to Maslow…
• Jobs• Government• Healthcare• Education• Entertainment
Let’s talk about pastand future
Mass Media Circa 1970
• 4 broadcast TV networks
• Sender-controlled mass media
• No personal computers or smartphones
• modem speed 300 bits per second
• No social media or user participation
• Vision: receiver-controlled mass media
1970 vision of the Internet
• computer information retrieval systems
• SPIRES, Stanford physics pre-print collection on-line
• user terminals combining typewriter & TV functions
• software network functions
• electronic daily newspapers
• world’s libraries of information on demand
• telephone too narrow-band; need broadband cable
Retrospective look: Mission Accomplished, but more needed
1990 Networks
• live and work anywhere with good enough communications
• modem speed 9600
• dial up access (long distance toll calls on Oregon coast)
• Walled gardens: AOL, CompuServe, Dialog
• email systems not interconnected
• first North American web page: Stanford physics pre-print collection
Millennials Not Driving
“Between 2001 and 2009, the average number of miles
driven by 16 to 34 year-olds dropped by 23 percent …”
-U.S. Public Interest Research Group
Game Changer 1 - Aging Population
Percent of Population over 55
2010 29.7
2015 31.2
2020 33.9
2025 32.4
2030 32.72035 33.2
Game Changer 2 - Climate Change
“Climate change is a bigger threat to survival of a species than other species.”
-Charles Darwin
Oregon to be a “life-raft state”.Climate refugees may mob Oregon.
How Oregon is Changing
Increasing numbers creates complexity.As complexity increases…Connectivity must increase to manage it.
How Oregon is Changing
systems & networks —> fabrics & fieldsconnected —> entangledtwo worlds (atoms & bits) become one
the new normal
How Oregon is Changing
Anything that can be connectedwill be connected.
What gets connectedgets optimized.
The more things are connectedthe better things work.
Localism
•Technology moves faster than regulation
• Success depends on where you are on the pyramid
• Local Broadband Strategic Plan
• Encourage broadband deployment,
competition & localism
• Digital Inclusion Strategy
2 communities 2 Stories
SandyNet– Gigabit Fiber to
the Premise
Portland’s IRNE– Gigabit Fiber for
Government
Localism in Action
• Laser-like focus on need for FTTP– (Portlanders believe in a high fiber diet)
• Look at Google, CenturyLink and Comcast as potential partners
• Digital Inclusion – part of civic DNA
Next Century Cities
•High-Speed Internet Is Necessary Infrastructure
•The Internet Is Nonpartisan
•Communities Must Enjoy Self-Determination.
•High-Speed Internet Is a Community-Wide Endeavor
•Meaningful Competition Drives Progress
•Collaboration Benefits All
Localism
•Localism may not mean the same thing in every community.
•We have to create the future.
•Connecting everything … people, places, devices, things…
•What does this mean for your future?
Infrastructure Investment
One WIFI AP every 50’ square (2500 ft2)
OHSU has 6 million square feet = 2400 WIFI has been complete for years (actually 2500 deployed)
Gigabit is OHSU’s new standard connection, 85,000 ports will take awhile...
Gigabit shmigabit… so what?
“In the 13 countries we studied, the Internet has contributed an average of
3.4% to GDP, weighting more than agriculture, energy, and other better established industries… This value
comes primarily from increased productivity.
-McKinsey Global InstituteInternet Matters: The net’s sweeping impact on growth, jobs, and prosperity.
Broadband correlated to burglary in BritainInternet Journal on Criminology 2012 ISSN 2045-6743
Burglarydeclines
Internet use grows
The promise of Broadband:Cure Cancer
Poor Herbie Hart
Poor Herbie Hart
By 2020 we will be able to sequence a person’s genome in one day
((a process involving computation))
Dr. Brian Drucker Knight Cancer InstituteOn pace for the $1B fundraising challenge
The OHSU DatadomeA world class facilityfor big data…
The promise of Broadband:Cure Cancer
Poor Herbie Hart
Poor Herbie Hart
• First read a genetic sample and transcribe the genome (Goal 1 day by 2020 - datacenter intensive)
• Then interpret the genome by correlating to known problems and solutions. (Contests at synapse.org to do this right now. “A set of living research projects enabling contribution to large scale collaborative solutions to scientific problems.”) (crowdsource algorithms against known patient genomes & outcomes)
• Then build a custom cure for each patient. (Think programmable kryptonite virus...)
The promise of Broadband:Pass / Fail
Poor Herbie Hart
Poor Herbie Hart
Pros: Broadband saves distance and time for whatever you want to do… there’s an app for that...
Communication/Collaboartion Tools, Job Engagement, Entertainment & Culture, Medicine & Emergency Response,, Personal/Civic/Global involvement feasible. Meaningfully responding as a species to Global Warming, plus Traffic & Weather alerts
Cons: Broadband saves distance and time for activity you don’t like
Aggressive marketing & profiling, Hackers, Terrorists, Braindamaged Banking Regulation, and Cyberwar: The Internet was not originally designed for security. Some work remains to be done. Yes and we should prepare for earthquakes, and people without drivers licenses could smash up your car… we just have to manage our risks and broadband is no different
Bottom Line: PASS (Thanks for your hard work getting here!)
Safety, Health and your job (the Economy) benefit
and you get to watch Youtube & Netflix...
Broadband Future
• All we need is MORE
• WiFi+ everywhere• Internet of Things: smart roads, smart everything
• high definition holographic image projection
• fast inter-planetary broadbandNext interim goal: 100 gigabits everywhere