Proposition for a FUNCEME’s Participation in Project CLARIS

FUNCEME = Fundação Cearense de Meteorologia e Recursos Hidrícos

Fortaleza, Ceará

Brazilian Semi-Arid = 788.000 Km2 (= 48 % of Nordeste, 9.3 % of Brazil)

Cearense Semi-Arid = 136.000 Km2 = 92 % of Ceará

Ceará

Ceará

Semi-Arid = 17% of the non covered

terrestrial surface by the oceans

50N

00

50S

100S

150S

200S

250S

550W 500W 450W 400W 350W 300W 250W

0

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CLIMATIC REGIME OF NORDESTECLIMATIC REGIME OF NORDESTE

AMJJNDJF

FMAM

(P. Nobre & N. da Silva Melo, 2004, Pers. Com.)

OLR Anomalies

OLR Anomalies

ENSO 1982-83

ENSO 1997-98

Dry

Wet

(Ronchail, 2005, Pers. Comm.)

Pacific Teleconnection

Proposition for a Participationof FUNCEME in Project CLARIS

FUNCEME’s Potential Participation in CLARIS According Five Tasks:

A) Effective Participation in CLARIS 2005-2006:Task 1: CLARIS-WP3.2: A Contribution for Providing Regional Daily Data Base for Climate Trends and Extreme Event Studies (Nordeste)Task 2: CLARIS-WP4.2: Climate and Vector-Borne Epidemics: Action on Dengue in Nordeste

B) Expertise – Processing Collaboration in CLARIS 2005-2006 (Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006)Task 3: CLARIS-WP3.1: Climate Change Downscalling in the Sub- Tropical (and Tropical) South America Task 4: CLARIS-WP4.1: Climatic Regional Impacts in Agriculture: Action in the Nordeste Semi-Arid

C) Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006Task 5: CLARIS-WP4.3: Cloud-Aerosol-Radiation Observation Facility

A) Effective Participation in CLARIS 2005-2006:

Task 1: CLARIS-WP3.2: High-quality regional daily data base for climate trends and extreme event studies

Principal investigator: Meiry Sayuri Sakamoto (FUNCEME)

Proposition for a Participationof FUNCEME in Project CLARIS

Conventional Rain Gauge Network

548 Rain Gauges

Site Map of Conventional Rain Gauges

Fortaleza

Automatic Data Collection Platform (DCP) Network

A total of 76 DCP´s

Meteorological

Hydrometeorological

Agrometeorological

Agroyidrometeorological

Other FUNCEME´s Projects

Meteorological

Hydrometeorological

Agrometeorological

Agroyidrometeorological

Other FUNCEME´s Projects

Fortaleza

Agro-Hydro-Meteorological DCP Sensors

- Air Temperature - Relative Humidity- Pressure - Solar Radiation - Wind Velocity- Wind Direction- Precipitation

- Evapotranspiration (estimate)- Soil Temperature in three levels- Soil Heat Flux- Soil Humidity

Umidade do Solo(Estação de Jaguaribe)

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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1112 1314 1516 1718 1920 21 2223 2425 2627 2829 30

Dias de Abril 2000

Um

idade d

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(%

) Daily Soil Humidity

Jaguaribe Station

Days of April, 2003

Soil

Hum

idit

y

(%)

- Water level (pressure sensor)- Water level (ultrasonic sensor)

Precipitação(Estação de Jaguaribe)

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taçã

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m)

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Jaguaribe Station

Days of April, 2003Pre

cip

itati

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mm

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FUNCEME DATA BANK

- Rain Gauges Network: since 1974

- DCP Network: since 1999

- Meteosat and NOAA Satellites Images: since1990

Data Request:

funceme@funceme.br

(meiry@funceme.br)

www.funceme.br

A) Effective Participation in CLARIS 2005-2006:

Task 2: CLARIS-WP4.2: Climate and Vector-borne Epidemics: A Pilot Action on Dengue in Brazil (Fortaleza, Ceará)

Principal investigators: Jacques Servain (IRD) and Nicolas Degallier (IRD)

= An new IRD-FUNCEME-SESACE-CEVEPI Cooperation including in CATIN (IRD-CNPq)

Proposition for a Participationof FUNCEME in Project CLARIS

Experimentation

Climat Mosquito Dengue

Impact

(hourly/daily)

Main objective: To establish a system of alert for the dengue outbreaks

Dengue em Fortaleza, 1998-2003

Casos e Pluviometria por Mês

Fonte: FUNCEME SMS/ COPS/ Célula de Vigilância Epidemiológica 2003 dados até 20.05.03

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J/98F M A M J J A S O N DJ/99F M A M J J A S O N DJ/00F M A M J J A S O N DJ/01F M A M J J A S O N DJ/02F M A M J J A S O N DJ/03F M A M

Mes

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5Casos X 1.000

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1000Pluviometria mm3

Casos

Chuvas&

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Precipitações diárias (mm)

Casos de dengue diários

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Casos de dengue diários, precipitações diárias e repartição horária da Temperatura de 1999 a 2004

Horas

Statistical analysis of meteo data (hourly) and daily cases of dengue

(1999-present)

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Serrinha

First Experimentation: 18 Feb 2005 – 26 Apr 2005

26 Apr: two surviving mosquitos

B) Expertise – Processing Collaboration in CLARIS 2005-2006 (Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006)

Task 3: CLARIS-WP3.1: Climate Change Downscalling in the Sub- Tropical (and Tropical) South America

Principal investigator: Alexandre Araujo Costa (FUNCEME)

Proposition for a Participationof FUNCEME in Project CLARIS

From now:Strong collaboration with CPTEC/INPE, IRI, ECMWF, Other Nordeste’ States, …

PC Cluster withPC Cluster with30 CPUs30 CPUs(P4 2.8 GHz ; 512 MB RAM)(P4 2.8 GHz ; 512 MB RAM)

Total: 7.2 TBytesTotal: 7.2 TBytes

Computer Facility at FUNCEME for Downscalling Experiments

Regional Climate Forecast by downscalling:

AGCM ECHAM-4.5 (Max Plank Institute) at IRI

RSM-97 (NCEP) at FUNCEME

Forcing:- Predicted SS- Persisted SST

Downscalling:J-F-M-A-M-J

IRI

RSM= 16°N-21°S, 56°W a 2°E

Global CPTEC Global ECHAM 4.5

RAMS

RSM-97

Climatic

Forecast

Perspective:

The “Super-Ensemble”

B) Expertise – Processing Collaboration in CLARIS 2005-2006 (Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006)

Task 4: CLARIS-WP4.1: Climatic Regional Impacts in Agriculture: A Pilot Action in Nordeste Semi-Arid

Principal Investigator: Eduardo Sávio Passos Rodrigues Martins (FUNCEME)

= In Collaboration with an IRD-FUNCEME Cooperation including in CATIN (IRD-CNPq)

Proposition for a Participationof FUNCEME in Project CLARIS

MethodologyMethodology

FUNCEME is working within a research and delivery network (CRAMALA) which fully integrates scientists and stakeholders to address comprehensively the issue of climate related risks in agriculture for improving productivity, profitability and risk management

Sponsor: IAI

Cooperation: IRI

See the note « FUNCEME’s Potential Participation in CLARIS » for details

C) Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006

Task 5: CLARIS-WP4.3: Cloud-Aerosol-Radiation Interaction

Principal investigator: Alexandre Araujo Costa (FUNCEME)

Proposition for a Participationof FUNCEME in Project CLARIS

FUNCEME participates in a scientific program of cloud physics and aerosols observations using the facilities of the State University of Ceará (UECE) that includes an instrumented aircraft

This aircraft participated in different field campaigns over Northeast Brazil (“Ceará Experiment”) and the Amazon (LBA-SMOCC-EMfiN!)

Bandeirante

Parâmetro Medido Sensor(es)

Temperatura Rosemount 102AU1AF

Pressão Estática Rosemount 1201F

Pressão Dinâmica Rosemount 1221F

Latitude e Longitude Trimble GPS

Temperatura do Ponto de Orvalho

EG&G 137-C3-S3

Água Líquida Csiro-King LWC, Johnson Williams CT43

Aerossóis CCNC UW 83-1

Hidrometeoros FSSP-100, OAP-200X, OAP-200Y

Radiação de Onda Curta

EPPLEY PEP

Radiação de Onda Longa

EPPLEY PEP

With that instrumented aircraft, FUNCEME could contribute significantly to better understand the physical processes concerning cloud and precipitation development over distinct places in South America

See the notes « FUNCEME’s Potential Participation in CLARIS » and “avião-escopo.doc” (in portuguese) for details

The Participation of FUNCEME in CLARIS (and Post-CLARIS) Could Bring:

• A Complete Agro-Hydro-Meteorological Data Set (Ceará, Nordeste)

• Extension of the Knowledge in the Climat-DengueRelationship (with different climatic conditions)

• Competence and Cooperation in Downscalling Processes (RSM, RAMS, …)

• Experience in Climate-Agriculture Relationship (in association with other partners: IRI, …)

• Technical and Scientific Contribution in the Cloud-Aerosol-Radiation Studies (different regions, different conditions)

In conclusion …

Furthermore …

FUNCEME proposes to organize,

at Fortaleza, in June 2006,

A Dedicated South America Climate Congress

(including CLARIS-2)

in collaboration with the EGS (European Geophysical Society)

and the CLARIS Community