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Chapter
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ContentPages
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1.INTRODUCTION
2.OVERVIEW OF STOCK EXCHANGE
3.TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
5.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
6.DATA ANALYSIS ANDINTERPRETATION
7.FINDING AND CONCLUSION
8.BIBLIOGRAPHY
9.ANNEXURE
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INTRODUCTION
Of all the modern service institutions, stock exchange is perhaps
the most crucial agents ad facilitators of entrepreneurial progress.
After the industrial revolution, the size of business enterprises grew; it
was no longer possible for proprietors or even partnerships to raise
colossal amounts of money required for undertaking large
entrepreneurial ventures. Such huge requirement of capital co uld only
be met by participation of a very large number of investors; their
number running in to hundreds, thousands and even million, dependingon the size of the business venture.
In general, small time proprietors, or partners of a proprietary
partnership firm are likely to find it rather difficult to get out of their
business should they for some reason wish to do so. This is because it
is not always possible to find buyers for an entire businesses or even a
part of business, just when one wishes to sell it. Similarly it is not easy
for some one with savings especially with a small amount of savings,
to readily find an appropriate business opportunity or a part thereof, for
investment. These problems would be even more magnified larger
proprietorships and partnerships. Nobody would like to invest in such
partnership in the first place, since once invested, their saving would
be very difficult to convert in to cash. And most people do have a lot
of reasons, such as better investment opportunity, marriage, education,
death, health and so on, for wanting to convert their savings in to cash.
Clearly then, big enterprises will be able to raise capital form the
public at large, only if there were some mechanism by which the
investors could purchase or sell their share of the businesses and when
they wished to do so. This implies that ownership in business has to be
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broken up in to a large number of small units such that each unit may
be independently and easily bought and sold without hampering the
business activity as such. Also such breaking up of business
ownership would help mobilize small savings in economy in to
entrepreneurial ventures.
This end is achieved in a modern business through the
mechanism of shares. A share represents the smallest recognized
fraction of ownership in a publicly held business. Each such fraction
of ownership is represented in the form of a certificate, known as the
share certificate. The breaking up of the total ownership of a business
into small fragments, each fragment represented by a share certificate,enables them to be easily bought and sold.
The institutions were this buying and selling of shares essentially takes
place in the stock exchange. In the absence of stock exchange, i.e.,
institutions where small chunks of businesses could be traded, there
would be no modern business in the form of publicly held companies.
Today, owing to the stock exchange we do not have to be electronics
wizards to be owners or part owners in an electronics company we can
be part owners of one company today and another company tomorrow
we can be part owners in a company hundreds or thousands of miles
away, we can be all of these things, and none of them, should we for
whatever reason decided to convert all our ownership stake in to cash
at short notice. Thus, by enabling the convertibility of ownership in the
product market in to financial assets, namely shares, stock exchanges
bring together buyers and sellers (or their representatives) of fractional
ownership of companies, much as buyers and sellers of vegetable come
together in a vegetable market. And for that very reason, activities
relating to stock exchange are appropriately enough; know as Stock
market or Security market. Also just as a vegetable market is
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distinguished by a specific locality and characteristics of its own,
mostly a stock exchange is also distinguished by a physical location
and characteristics of its own. In fact, according to H.T Parekh, the
earliest location of the Bombay Stock Exchange, which for a long
period was known as The Native Share and Stock Brokers
Association, was probably under a tree around 1870.
Characteristics of Stock exchanges in India
Traditionally, a stock exchange has been as association ofindividual members called member brokers (or simp ly members or
brokers) formed for the express purpose of regulating and facilitating
the buying and selling of securities by the public and institutions at
large. A stock exchange in India operates with due recognition from
the government under the Securit ies and Contract (Regulation) Act,
1956. The member brokers are essentially the middlemen, who carry
out the desired transactions in securities or on their own behalf. New
membership to a stock exchange is through election by the governing
board of that stock exchange.
At present there are 21 stock exchanges in India (excluding NSE
and OTCEI) the largest among them being the Bombay stock exchange
(BSE). BSE alone accounts for over 80% of the total volume of
transactions in shares. Typically, a stock e=xchange is governed by a
board consisting of directors largely elected by the member brokers,
and a few nominated by the government. Government nominees
include representation of the Ministry of Finance, as well as some
public representatives, who are expected to safeguard the public
interest in the functioning of the exchanges. A president, who is an
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elected member, usually nominated by the government from among the
elected members, heads the board. The Executive Director, who is
usually appointed by the stock exchange with government approval, is
the operational chief of the stock exchange. His duty is to ensure that
the day - to - day operations of the stock exchange are carried out in
accordance with the various rules and regulations governing it are
functioning. The overall development and regulation of the securities
market has been entrusted to the Securities and Exchange Board of
India (SEBI) by an act of parliament in 1992.
All companies wishing to raise capital from the public are
required to list their securities on at least one stock exchange. Thus, allordinary shares, preference shares and debentures of publicly held
companies are listed in stock exchanges.
While in the developed countries, brokers have long since
graduated to rendering a whole range of consulting and advisory
services to their clients based on their own research and analysis,
unfortunately, the profession of brokers in Indian has remained a
closed club, traditional and primitive. Their function has largely
remained limited to carry out the transaction orders on behalf of their
clients (and often at prices far from satisfactory). In their role as sub-
brokers and jobbers (jobber is a brokers, or one who specializes in
specific securities catering to the needs of other brokers), their
activities are even less organized and regulated.
To be fair though, share broking is not only the Indian
Institution in its primitiveness. It has plenty of company. The good
news however is, things are beginning to look up. Measures are a foot
for professionalized the service through various means. For example,
the BSE has set up a full-fledged training college with a view to
developing the professional standards of its members as well as
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investors. Other institution like the various Indian Institutes of
Management (IIMs), Institute of Chartered Financial Analysts of India,
Unit Trust of India etc. are also beginning to play a useful part in
professionalized the discipline of investment analysis. Also there is an
increasing trend to admit qualified professionals as member of the
exchange. Corporate membership to Stock exchanges has already been
introduced. So over a period of time it can reasonably hope that the
service would get increasingly professional.
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA
The Government has setup the Securities and Exchange Board
of India (SEBI) in April 1988. For more than three year it had no
statutory powers. Its interim functions during the period were:
(i) To collect information and advise the government on matters
relating to Stock and Capital Markets.
(ii) Licensing and regulation of merchant banks, mutual funds etc.
(iii) To perform any other functions as may be entrusted to it by the
government and
The malpractices were noticed in the case of companies,
Merchant Bankers in the capital Market. The need to curb the
malpractices and to promote healthy capital market India was felt.
The government issued an ordinance abolishing the capital
issues Control Act, 1947. Accordingly SEBI has been setup under the
SEBI Act, 1992.
POWERS AND FUNCTIONS OF SEBI (Section 11)
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The board is expected to protect the interests of investors in
securities and to promote the development of, and to regulate the
securities market, by such measures as it think fit. To fulfill these
objectives, the following are the powers and functions of the Board,
granted under Section - 11 (3) of the Act: -
1. Regulating the business in Stock exchange and any other
securities markets.
2. Registering and regulating the working of stockbrokers, sub -
brokers, share transfer agents, bankers to an issue, merchant bankers,
underwriters, and portfolio managers etc who may be associated with
securities markets in any manner.3. Registering and regulating the working of collective schemes,
including mutual funds.
4. Promoting and regulating self-regulatory organizations.
5. Prohibiting fraudulent and unfair trade practices relating to
securities market.
6. Promoting investors education and teaching of intermediaries of
securities market.
7. Prohibiting inside trade in securities.
8. Regulating substantial acquisition of share and take -over of
companies.
OTHER MEASURES TAKEN BY SEBI
The Securities and Exchange Board of India, in addition to the
guidelines for disclosure and investor protection has taken a number of
other measures for healthy development and regulation of the capital
markets.
1. Guidelines for Merchant Bankers.
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2. Guidelines for EURO issues.
3. Guidelines for Mutual Funds and Asset Management
Companies.
4. Guidelines for Foreign Institution Investors.
5. Guidelines to development Financial Institutions for
disclosure and investor protection.
SEBIS ROLE IN STOCK EXCHANGE
Every Stock exchange needs recognition from Central
Government. Any stock exchange, which is desirous of being
recognized, may make an application to Central Government. Theapplication should be accompanied by a company of byelaws of the
stock exchange for the regulation and control of contracts and a copy
of the rules regarding in general to the constitution of the s tock
exchange. If the Central Government is satisfied that byelaws of the
exchange ensure fair dealing and protect investors, stock exchange is
willing to comply by other conditions which Central Government my
impose and it is in the interest of trade and of the public to grant
recognitions, it may recognize the stock exchange.
SEBIS POWERS IN RELATION TO STOCK EXCHANGE
The SEBI ordinance has given it the following powers:
1. It may call periodically returns from stock exchange.
2. It has the power to prescribe maintenance of certain documents by
the stock exchange.
3. SEBI may call upon the exchange or any mate to furnish explanation
or information relating to the affairs of the stock exchange or any
member.
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4. It has the power to approve byelaws of t he stock exchange for
regulation and the control of contracts.
5. It can amend byelaws of stock exchange.
6. In certain areas it can license the dealers in securities.
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In general, the financial market divided into two parts, Money
market and capital market. Securities market is an important,
organized capital market where transaction of capital is
facilitated by means of direct financing using securities as a
commodity. Securities market can be
divided into a primary market and secondary market.
PRIMARY MARKET
The primary market is an intermittent and discrete market where
the initially listed shares are traded first time, changing hands
from the listed company to the investors. It refers to the process
through which the companies, the issuers of stocks, acquire
capital by offering their stocks to investors who supply the
capital. In other words primary market is that part of the capital
markets that deals with the issuance of new securities.
Companies, governments or public sector institutions can obtain
funding through the sale of a new stock or bond issue. This is
Financial
Market
Money
Market
Capital
Market
Security
Market
Primary
Market
Secondary
Market
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typically done through a syndicate of securities dealers. The
process of selling new issues to investors is called underwriting.
In the case of a new stock issue, this sale is called an initial
public offering (IPO). Dealers earn a commission that is built into
the price of the security offering, though it can be found in the
prospectus.
SECONDARY MARKET
The secondary market is an on-going market, which is equipped
and organized with a place, facilitie s and other resources required
for trading securities after their initial offering. It refers to a
specific place where securities transaction among many and
unspecified persons is carried out through intermediation of the
securities firms, i.e., a licensed broker, and the exchanges, a
specialized trading organization, in accordance with the rules and
regulations established by the exchanges.
List of Stock Exchanges in India
Bombay Stock Exchange
National Stock Exchange
Regional Stock Exchanges
Ahmedabad
Bangalore
Bhubaneshwar Calcutta
Cochin
Coimbatore
Delhi
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Guwahati
Hyderabad
Jaipur
Ludhiana
Madhya Pradesh
Madras
Magadh
Mangalore
Meerut
OTC Exchange Of India
Pune Saurashtra Kutch
UttarPradesh
Vadodara
onth/Year
No of
co.s
listed
*
No. of co.s
permitted
*
No. of
co.s
available
for
trading*$
No. of
trading
days
No.
of
secur
ities
trade
d #
No. of
trades
(lakh)
Traded
Quantity
(lakh)
Turnover
(Rs.cr)
Average
Daily
Turnove
r (Rs.cr)
Average
Trade
Size
Demat
Securiti
es
Traded
(lakh)
Demat
Turnover
Market
Capitalisation
(Rs.cr)*
Current Month
Mar-2010 1,470 37 1,359 21 1,371 1,235 137,971 286,246 13,631 23,184 137,971 286,246 6,009,173
Feb-2010 1,461 31 1,342 20 1,328 1,133 123,541 245,143 12,257 21,645 123,541 245,143 5,755,305
Jan-2010 1,457 31 1,338 19 1,320 1,403 180,424 338,443 17,813 24,124 180,424 338,443 5,782,965
Dec-2009 1,453 10 1,303 21 1,297 1,256 150,384 292,900 13,948 23,324 150,384 292,900 5,699,637
Nov-2009 1,443 10 1,292 20 1,528 1,317 157,401 324,477 16,224 24,630 157,401 324,477 5,430,088
Oct-2009 1,439 - 1,291 20 1,365 1,347 168,479 362,969 18,148 26,953 168,479 362,969 5,024,830
Sep-2009 1,434 - 1,287 20 1,376 1,387 196,512 365,063 18,253 26,320 196,512 365,063 5,353,880
Aug 2009 1,431 1,288 21 1,608 1,475 194,427 364,969 17,379 24,741 194,427 364,969 4,975,800
July 2009 1,426 - 1,282 23 1,326 1,709 219,356 426,143 18,528 24,929 219,356 426,143 4,816,459
June 2009 1,426 - 1,282 22 1,535 1,800 274,851 482,414 21,928 26,807 274,851 482,414 4,432,596
May 2009 1,425 1,280 20 1,390 1,483 229,028 382,561 19,128 25,791 229,028 382,561 4,564,572
Apr 2009 1,420 - 1,279 17 1,372 1,271 183,156 266,696 15,688 20,980 183,156 266,696 3,375,025
2008-2009
1,432 - 1,291 243 1,327 13,6511,426,35
42,752,023 11,325 20,160 1,426,354 2,752,023 2,896,194
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2007-2008 1,381 - 1,236 251 1,264 11,7271,498,46
93,551,038 14,148 30,281 1,498,469 3,551,038 4,858,122
2006-2007 1,228 - 1,084 249 1,191 7,846 855,456 1,945,285 7,812 24,793 855,456 1,945,285 3,367,350
2005-2006 1,069 - 929 251 956 6,088 844,486 1,569,556 6,253 25,781 844,486 1,569,556 2,813,201
2004-2005 970 1 839 253 870 4,510 797,684 1,140,071 4,506 25,279 797,684 1,140,071 1,585,585
2003-2004 909 18 787 254 804 3,780 713,301 1,099,535 4,328 29,088 713,301 1,099,535 1,120,976
2002-2003 818 107 788 251 899 2,398 364,065 617,989 2,462 25,771 364,049 617,984 537,133
2001-2002 793 197 890 247 1,019 1,753 278,408 513,167 2,078 29,274 277,717 512,866 636,861
2000-2001 785 320 1,029 251 1,201 1,676 329,536 1,339,510 5,337 79,923 307,222 1,264,337 657,847
1999-2000 720 479 1,152 254 -- 984 242,704 839,052 3,303 85,270 153,772 711,706 1,020,426
1998-1999 648 609 1,254 251 -- 546 165,327 414,474 1,651 75,911 8,542 23,818 491,175
1997-1998
612 745 1,357 244 -- 381 135,685 370,193 1,520 97,164 -- -- 481,503
1996-1997
550 934 1,484 250 -- 264 135,561 294,503 1,176 111,895 -- -- 419,367
1995-1996 422 847 1,269 246 -- 66 39,912 67,287 276 101,950 -- -- 401,459
1994
-1995
135 54
3 678 102 -- 3 1,391 1,805 17 60,167 -- -- 363,350
Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE)
The Stock Exchange, Mumbai, popularly known as BSE was
established in 1875 as The Native Share and Stock Brokers
Association. It is the oldest one in Asia, even older than the Tokyo
Stock Exchange, which was established in 1878. It is a voluntary non -
profit making Association of Persons (AOP) and is currently engaged
in the process of converting itself into demutualised and corporate
entity. It has evolved over the years into its present status as the
premier Stock Exchange in the country. It is the first
Stock Exchange in the Country to have obtained perman ent
recognition in 1956 from the Govt. of India under the SecuritiesContracts (Regulation) Act, 1956.
The Exchange, while providing an efficient and transparent market for
trading in securities, debt and derivatives upholds the interests of the
investors and ensures redressal of their grievances whether against the
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companies or its own member-brokers. It also strives to educate and
enlighten the investors by conducting investor education programmes
and making available to them necessary informative inputs.
A Governing Board having 20 directors is the apex body, which
decides the policies and regulates the affairs of the Exchange. The
Governing Board consists of 9 elected directors, who are from the
broking community (one third of them retire ever year by rotation),
three SEBI nominees, six public representatives and an Executive
Director & Chief Executive Officer and a Chief Operating Officer.
The Executive Director as the Chief Executive Officer is responsiblefor the day-to-day administration of the Exchange and he is assisted by
the Chief Operating Officer and other Heads of Departments.
The Exchange has inserted new Rule No.126 A in its Rules, Bye-laws
& Regulations pertaining to constitution of the Executive Committee
of the Exchange. Accordingly, an Executive Committee, consisting of
three elected directors, three SEBI nominees or public representatives,
Executive Director & CEO and Chief Operating Officer has been
constituted. The Committee considers judicial & quasi matters in
which the Governing Board has powers as an Appellate Authority,
matters regarding annulment of transactions, admission, continuance
and suspension of member-brokers, declaration of a member-broker as
defaulter, norms, procedures and other matters relating to arbitration,
fees, deposits, margins and other monies payable by the member -
brokers to the Exchange, etc.
INDEX
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BSE has 5 sectoral indices viz. BSE IT Sector index, BSE FMCG
Sector index, BSE Capital Goods Sector Index, BSE Consumer
Durables Sector Index and BSE Healthcare Sector Index. All these
Sectoral indices are calculated and displayed on the BOLT system on
the real time basis.
Bombay Stock Exchange Limited has constructed a new index,
christened as BSE-500, consisting of 500 scrips .The changing pattern
of the economy and that of the market have been kept in mind while
constructing this index.
August 23, 2004 BSE launched Sector Series (90/FF) indices with
the view to provide the Indian Capital Market with quality sector
benchmarks. The Sector Series (90/FF) Indices are a set of indices
across 9 significant sectors listed on the BSE. They are constructed and
maintained as per the global best practices.
BSE-500 index represents nearly 93% of the total market capitalization
on Bombay Stock Exchange Limited. This means BSE-500 indexideally represents total market. This index represents all 20 major
industries of the economy. The BSE-500 index had been calculating on
a full market capitalization methodology and effective August 16, 2005
calculation methodology was sh ifted to a free-float methodology in
line with Sensex.
Existing BSE sectoral indices
BSE IT.
BSE FMCG.
BSE Capital Goods.
BSE Consumer Durables.
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BSE Healthcare.
BSE BANKEX
BSE Auto.
BSE Metal.
BSE Oil & Gas index.
Scrip selection criteria for BSE Sectoral Indices:
Eligible Universe:
Scrips classified under various sectors that are present constituents of
BSE-500 index would form the eligible universe.
Trading Frequency:
Scrips should have a minimum of 90% trading frequency in preceding
six months.
Market Capitalization:
Scrips with a minimum of 90% market capitalization coverage in each
sector based on free-float final rank will form the index.
Buffers:
A buffer of 2% both for inclusion and exclusion in the index is
considered so that movements in and out of the index are minimized.
E.g. A Company can be included in the index only if it falls within
88% coverage and an existing index constituent cannot be excluded
unless it falls above 92% coverage. However, the above buffer
criterion is applied only after the minimum 90% market coverage is
satisfied.
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How is stock market index computed
The general stock market movement is usually measured by
a stock market index consisting of a sample group of securities that is
supposed to reflect the entire market. The samples of companies are
chosen in such a way that major industries in the economy are
represented. Moreover, these securities must have large capital base so
as to be traded regularly in the stock exchange.
The index is computed as: first of all, a base year is chosen
and the index value is taken to be equal to 100. Then the current price
of each stock in the index is multiplied by their corresponding number
of equity shares outstanding, so as to obtain the Market Capitalization.
Then the index will be calculated as follows :
Total Market capitalization of representative securities at
present values
Total Market capitalization of representative securities values as in
the base year X 100
The index is not an average of share prices but a weighted
average to reflect the price as well as volume of shares. It is assumed
that as this index goes up or down, the market in totality would rise or
fall.
The most popular market index is BSE sensitive index also
called BSE Sensex, which is the weighted average of market
capitalization of 30 well traded securities.
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To broaden the equity base, so as to make representation
of many other industries in a balanced way, another index called
BSE National index was introduced, which never became as
popular as the BSE Sensex. There are other indices developed by
popular business newspapers.
ORIGIN OF INDIAN STOCK MARKET
The origin of the stock market in India goes back to the end of
the eighteenth century when long-term negotiable securities were
first issued. However, for all practical purposes, the real
beginning occurred in the middle of the nineteenth century after
the enactment of the companies Act in 1850, which introduced
the features of limited liability and generated investor interest in
corporate securities.
An important early event in the development of the stock market
in India was the formation of the native share and stock
brokers 'Association at Bombay in 1875, the precursor of thepresent day Bombay Stock Exchange. This was followed by the
formation of associations/exchanges in Ahmedabad (1894),
Calcutta (1908), and Madras (1937). In addition, a large number
of ephemeral exchanges emerged mainly in buoyant periods to
recede into oblivion during depressing times subsequently.
Stock exchanges are intricacy in ter-woven in the fabric of anation's economic life. Without a stock exchange, the saving of
the community- the sinews of economic progress and productive
efficiency- would remain underutilized. The task of mobilization
and allocation of savings could be a ttempted in the old days by a
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much less specialized institution than the stock exchanges. But as
business and industry expanded and the economy assumed more
complex nature, the need for ' permanent finance ' arose.
Entrepreneurs needed money for long term whereas investors
demanded liquidity the facility to convert their investment into
cash at any given time. The answer was a ready market for
investments and this was how the stock exchange came into
being.
Stock exchange means anybody of individuals, wheth er
incorporated or not, constituted for the purpose of regulating or
controlling the business of buying, selling or dealing in securities.
These securities include
(I) Shares, scrip, stocks, bonds, debentures stock or other
marketable securities of a like nature in or of any incorporated
company or other body corporate;
(ii) Government securities; and
(iii) Rights or interest in securities.
The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock
Exchange of India Ltd (NSE) are the two primary exchanges in
India. In addition, there are 22 Regional Stock Exchanges.
However, the BSE and NSE have established themselves as the
two leading exchanges and account for about 80 per cent of the
equity volume traded in India. The NSE and BSE are equal in
size in terms of daily traded volume. The average daily turnover
at the exchanges has increased from Rs 851 crore in 1997-98 to
Rs 1,284 crore in 1998-99 and further to Rs 2,273 crore in 1999-
2000 (April - August 1999). NSE has around 1500 shares listed
with a total market capitalization of around Rs 9, 21,500 crore.
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History of Stock Market of India
The Stock Market of India was set up in 1875. At that time there
were 22 brokers who met and established the Bombay Stock
Exchange. From that time onwards the Indian Stock market has
grown in leaps and bounds, and has become a forceful and
competent stock market in the continent. It is equal to any
international market in the world. It has the same level of
efficiency and organizational ability. The market caters to the
huge population of India and gives them investment
opportunities. It also provides the institutions and organizations
with funds. The unpredictable nature of the Indian stock market
has made it very difficult for the common man to understand it.
So prior to investing in the stock market you have to research it
properly.
When it was started the Bombay Stock Exchange had only a few
hundred people taking membership in Stock Broker Association and
Native Share. In 1965 BSE was recognized permanently by the
Government of India, The BSE and National stock exchange are both
the main stock exchange of Indian stock market. Government of India
gave permanent identification to the BSE. BSE along with National
Stock Exchange both are main part of Indian Share Market and are the
two national stock exchanges of India. BSE has about 5000 listings at
the starting.
The stock and shares are issued to the public for investing in various
companies. The revenue generated from the stocks and shares is used
for business expansion or any government projects. The profit of the
company is then shared by the public, which has invested in the
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company. The share market allows for public trading of companies
and has become an important source of raising fund for the companies.
The government has also formed the Securities and Exchange Board of
India (SEBI) which controls the functioning of stock exchanges,
investment advisors, portfolio managers, brokers and sub-brokers. The
Sensex is made on the basis of the performance of the stocks of 30
sound financial companies.
The Indian stock market is basically divided in two parts; the first
is the primary part and the secondary part. In the primary market
the shares are issued directly by the company are dealt by share
brokers appointed by the companies. In the secondary market the
stocks of various companies are listed in the stock exchange and
are represented by the share brokers, the investors invest in
companies through these share brokers.
Types of Stock Brokers
Stock brokers handle most of the buying and selling activities onthe stock market. An average investor will hire the services of a
broker to handle his trades. A broad range of brokerage services
is available nowadays. Full -service brokers can give advice about
which stocks to buy or which stocks to sell. They often have full
research facilities that they use to analyze market trends and to
predict market movements.
The services provided by full-service brokers do not come in
cheap since they charge the highest commission rates in the
industry. Hiring a full-service broker is optional and it depends
on the number of trades level of confidence, and the knowledge
of stock markets of the investors.
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Some investors, with the hopes of saving on commission fees,
hire discount brokers instead. Although these types of brokers
ask for much lower commissions, they dont offer advice or
analysis like full-service brokers. Discount brokers are ideal for
those investors who like to make their own trading decisions.
Some investors use both types of brokers for strategic purposes.
Some brokers offer better rates by operating exclusively online.
There are even some full-service and discount brokers who offer
discounts for orders which are placed online. Online brokerage is
considered to be the least expensive way of trading stocks.
Investors need to open an account. Every broker sets his own
requirements for the maintenance of an account bal ance. This is
usually between $500 to $1000. Before choosing a broker,
investors have to look at the fine print first in order to know more
about he involved fees because some brokers charge annual
maintenance fees. There are even some brokers who charge f ees
every time the account balance falls below the minimum.
There are two basic types of brokerage accounts: a cash account
and a margin account. In a cash account, an investor has to pay
the full amount of the stock price that he wants to buy. In a
margin account, however, an investor is given the chance to buy
the stock on margin which means that the brokerage will carry
some of the cost of the stock. The amount of the margin, which
varies from broker to broker, has to be protected by the value of
the clients portfolio. Adding more funds or selling some stocks
are the only two options of the investor in case his portfolio falls
below the specified amount. The investors, through the margin
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accounts, are allowed to buy more stocks with less cash thereby
realizing greater gains and losses. Inexperienced traders are not
recommended to opt for margin accounts since they are a lot
riskier than cash accounts.
Choosing a particular broker has to be based on the specific
needs of the investor. If an investor wishes to receive advice
about which stocks to buy or to sell and yet he is uncomfortable
with making trades on the Internet, then he is suggested to hire a
full-service broker. On the other hand, technology savvy
investors with enough confidence and knowledge to make their
own trading decisions are better off with discount brokers.
After deciding on which type of broker to hire, investors are
advised to compare a few competitors in order to find out the
significant differences in the costs. When choosing a bro ker,
investors also have to consider the number of trades to be made,
the amount of cash to be deposited, the type of margin accounts
to be used, or the kind of services to be rendered
The Truth about Stock Splits
The prospect that a certain stock may spli t to give the
stockholders twice as many shares as they had before is one of
the most alluring myths that surround the stock market. Although
investors have more stocks after a split, the value of each sharethey receive is actually reduced. A company that decides to split
its stocks will issue one new share for every single outstanding
and will cut the value of each share in half. Even if the shares of
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the stockholders actually double, the total value of the stocks are
still the same as before.
The reason why companies do stock splits can be explained by
investor psychology. A stock with an excessively high price -per-
share will cause the investors to feel that it is out of their reach.
To make the shares more affordable to smaller investors, the
company will opt for a stock split in order to reduce the price of
the stocks. Small investors can actually buy a smaller number of
pre-split shares for the same price but they sometimes opt to buy
split shares due to the appeal of buying stocks for much lower
prices.
There are a lot of ratios used in splitting stocks but the most
commonly used are 2-for-1, 3-for-2, and 3-for-1. The reduction
of the number of outstanding shares that will cause the
stockholders to have fewer shares than before is called reverse
splitting. Reverse stock splits are less common than stock splits.
There are several reasons why companies do reverse stock splits.
These may be due to an attempt to stave off possible de -listment
on the stock exchange, an effort to push out minority
stockholders from the company, an attempt to shed off possible
consideration as a poor investment, or an effort to push through
ideas of going private.
Advantages
A low price per share can result to greater liquidity since stocks
with lower prices are easier to sell. This is true especially for the
stocks which are priced in hundreds of dollars because small
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investors consider them to be out of their budget. The high
bid/ask spread, which is the difference between the buying and
selling prices, can also put off bigger investors.
A stock split is considered to be an indicator of a bullish market,
which is a market condition wherein the prices of the stocks and
the profits of the companies both increase. Even if there is a
short-term rally around a stock that splits, the market tends to
normalize after a short period of time. The possibility that the
investors will expect the company to perform much better is one
downside of stock splits. If the expectations are not met, the
investors will tend to lose their confidence which will then cause
a drop in the share prices.
The bottom line is that stock splits do not have any effects on the
worth or the performance of a company. Although it may be nice
for the investors to own more shares, they also have to face the
fact that the value of their shares still remains the same.
The Meaning of the Different Stock Trading Signals
Skilled investors sometimes base their decisions by reading the
different signals that are given off by clearly defined market
conditions. Some signals may indicate a favorable time to buy
stocks while some may indicate a favorable time to sell. Because
the value of particular companies can be watched daily, long -term investors do not consider signals to be that crucial. Day -
traders, however, consider these signals to be very important
because they have to act quickly in order to keep up with the
stock market movements.
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Full-time investors have the chance and the time to watch the
stock market movements for some signals. Signals can be
automated and integrated into trading software that allows the
investors to choose which signals to be alerted about. These
signals automatically appear on the screen. A lot of services
charge hundreds of dollars every year for a complete package of
software signal subscriptions. Aside from the trading software,
the package also offers an access to up-to-the-minute charts for
the latest information about the stock market.
A subscription to services that publish signals on either a daily or
an hourly basis is one of the best options for investors who
cannot watch the market movements closely. Market analysts are
employed by these services to follow the indicators in order to
arrive at a particular signal. The systems of these services are
now completely automated. The signals are now being generated
by software that examines the different market conditions. When
relying on a third-party signal provider, investors will do better ifthey know how the signals are being generated. A large number
of market indicators can actually cause a co ntradiction among the
different indicators. There are even some indicators that send out
conflicting signals depending on the time frame.
The accuracy of indicators is also reliant on the market
conditions. An upswing in the market will cause trend indicators
to send out buy signals but it will cause long -term oscillator
indicators to send out sell signals because it will view the market
as being overbought. Trend indicators are most accurate during
trend conditions and oscillators are most accurate during
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transitions. The two types of indicators are almost always in
variance with each other.
One way of overcoming these problems is to find a signal
generator that uses at least three market indicators for verification
purposes. Because they are verified by three different indicators,
the signals are considered to be strong and accurate. Looking at
signals from different time frames is also important. Upswings
may be short-term corrections and they may result to a downward
movement afterwards. A broad view of the different market
conditions allows the investors to see the variations more clearly.
Signals, depending on the type of service subscribed to, can be
delivered via emails, viewed on websites, or integrated into
trading software. The latter causes the appearance of screen pop-
ups for the particular signals being watched out for. These signals
may be delivered either on a daily basis or a monthly basis. Some
companies offer expensive services that charge up to several
hundreds of dollars for every month. The more expensive
services are obviously intended for professional traders and
investors.
Individual investors need to weight the value of the different
signal services. Although they can be great time savers, these
services can also encourage laziness when it comes to market
analysis. Aside from having the necessary tools which are needed
to judge signal system effectiveness, knowledgeable traders also
have the ability to make calculations so that they can stay on the
top of their games
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The Different Types of Trading Strategies
Barrel shooting and trading strategies are the two basic ways of
stock market trading. Stock trading strategies are used by
investors to determine the stocks to buy and the time to sell. It
also helps them protect their investments. Trading strategies
outperform barrel shooting by a large margin. The different types
of trading strategies, which count to over a hundred, are tried and
trued methods that have worked well over many years. Before
exploring new strategies, beginners in the world of investments
are advised to investigate some of the basic trading strategies
first.
Hedging
The way of protecting an investment through the reduction of the
risks that are involved in holding a particular stock is called
hedging. Buying a put option that allows the selling of the stock
at a particular price within a certain period of time can offset therisk of a decrease in the stock prices. There will be an increase in
the value of the put option once the price of the stock falls. The
most expensive hedging strategy is to buy put options against
individual stocks. People with broad portfolios will do better if
they buy a put option on the stock market itself because it will
protect them against general market declines. Selling financial
futures such as the S&P 500 futures is another way of hedging
against market declines.
Dogs of the Dow
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Dogs of the Dow, which gained popularity during the 90s, is a
strategy that involves buying of best -value stocks in the Dow
Industrial Average. These are ten stocks with the lowest P/E
ratios and the highest dividend yields. This strategy presents the
idea that the ten lowest companies on the Dow have the most
potential for growth over the coming year. The companies listed
on the Dow Index are those which offer a reli able investment
performance. Pigs of the Dow is a new twist on the Dogs of the
Dow. In this strategy, five of the worst stocks on the Dow are
selected by looking at the price decline percentage from the
previous year. Like in the Dogs of the Dow, the idea in Pigs ofthe Dow is that the worst five stocks are going to rebound more
than the others.
Buying on Margin
The strategy of buying stocks using borrowed money, which is
usually from the broker, is called buying on margin. Because
they receive more stocks despite the low initial investment, the
investors are given much more return by margin buying than by
full payments. In the event that the stock loses its value, the
losses in margin buying will also be correspondingly greater. In
order to limit the losses in case of market reversal, investors
should have stop-loss orders when they buy on margin. The
margin amount has to be limited to about 10% of the total
account value.
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The Different Types of Stock Trading
The stock market serves as a reliable indicator t he actual value of
the companies that issue stocks. Stock values are based on
verifiable financial data such as growth, assets, and sales figures.
The stock market is considered to be a good choice for long term
investments since this reliability that well-run companies should
continue to grow and provide dividends for their stockholders.
Short-term investors are also given opportunities in the stock
market. Market skittishness, even without a financial basis, can
cause the rapid fluctuation of prices. Investor psychology, on the
other hand, can also cause the prices of the stocks to either fall or
rise.
The suspicions of investors about a companys value increase can
be ignited by news reports, economic conditions, and rumors.
When the price of a stock either rise or fall, some investors will
quickly jump on the bandwagon to cause an even faster priceacceleration. Eventually though, the market will correct itself.
Savvy short-term investors who watch the market closely see
these kinds of situations as great opportunities for profitable
trading.
Short-term trading is divided into 3 categories:
y Position Trading
y Swing Trading
y Day Trading
Position Trading
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The longest term trading style among the three is position
trading. Compared with the other styles, the stocks in position
trading can be held for a relatively longer period of time. Position
traders are expected to hold on to their stocks for anywhere from
5 days to 6 months because they watch out for the fundamental
changes in the value of the stocks. Position trading doesnt
require a great deal of time since the time needed to study the
stock market can be as little as 30 minutes a day and it can be
done after regular work hours. A quick examination of daily
reports is enough to plan trading strategies. This type of trading is
ideal for those who invest in the stock market for the purpose ofsupplementing their income.
Swing Trading
Swing traders, when compared with position traders, hold their
stocks for a shorter period of time that generally lasts only for
about one to five days. In looking for stock market changes, the
swing trader is more driven by the emotion rather than the
fundamental value. This type of trading requires more time in
researching stocks and conceptualizing strategies because the
swing traders need to identify the trends in order to pick out the
best trading opportunities. They tend to rely on daily and intra-
day charts to plot the movements of the stocks. This type of
trading usually generates a greater payback.
Day Traders
Day trading is considered to be the riskiest way to play the stock
market. This may be true for slightly uneducated traders but not
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for well experienced ones. Day trading involves the buying and
selling of stocks in very short periods of time. It generally takes
less than a day but it can be as short as a few minutes. Day
traders need to stay rational and analytical to survive this type of
trading. They create plots of when to get in and out of a position
by relying mostly on the information that can influence the
movement of the stock prices. Day trading has to be a full-time
profession since it requires paying a close attention to the
different
The Different Types of Stock Indexes
The statistical average of a particular stock exchange or sector is
called a stock index. Indexes are composed of stocks that are
either parts of the same exchange, the same industry or the same
companies. The most common stock indexes in the United States
are the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the NYSE Composite
index, and the S&P 500 Composite Stock Price Index. Stock
indexes are used to give an overall perspective of the economic
health of a certain industry or stock exchange.
There are different ways to calculate the indexes of stocks. Price
weighted index, which is based solely on the p rice of stocks, does
not take into consideration the importance of any particular stock
or the size of any company. The index that takes into account the
size of the companies is called market value weighted. The fact
that the price shifts of small companies have less influence than
those of larger companies is considered in this type of index.
Another type of index, which is based on the number of shares
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rather than the total value, is called the market -share weighted
index.
Indexes, aside from giving overall grades to particular
economies, can also be used as investment instruments. Mutual
funds which are based on indexes are called passively managed
mutual funds. Managed funds are shown to be consistently
outperformed by these kinds of funds. A mutual fund that is
based on an index simply duplicated the holdings where the
index is based on. So if there is a 1% rise in Dow Jones, the fund
based on Dow Jones also experiences a 1% rise. This causes a
lower cost advantage for transactions and researches because the
savings can be passed on to the participating investor.
The Differences between Stocks and Bonds
Investors buy stocks to acquire a partial ownership in a particular
company and buy bonds to make a loan to corporations or
governments. While stockholders benefit from the companyprofits, the bondholders receive returns. A fixed rated return is a
percentage of the bonds original offering price. The return is
called a coupon rate. The principal amount of bonds is returned
during the maturity date. Because they can be issued for any
period of time, there are some bonds which take about 30 years to
mature.
The risk of not being paid back with the principal amount is
always carried by bonds. Although companies with higher credit
worthiness are more likely to be safe investments, their coupon
rates will be lower than those companies with lower credit
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ratings. Firms such as Standard and Poor and Moodys Investor
Service provide such credit ratings that range from a high AAA
to a low D.
The safest type of bonds is the US Government bonds. Blue chip
corporations, which are companies with established performance
records for over several decades, are also considered to be safe
bond investments. Although smaller corporations carry greater
risks of defaulting bonds, bondholders of smaller corporations are
considered to be preferential creditors because they will be
compensated before stockholders in case the business goes
bankrupt.
Bonds, just like stocks, can be bought and sold on the open
market. The fluctuation of their values is based on the level of
interest rates in the general economy. For example, an investor
who holds a $1000 bond that pays 5% per year in interest is
capable of selling the bond at a price that is higher than the face
value as long as the interest rates are below 5%. If the interest
rates rise above 5%, the bond can still be sold but it is usuall y at a
price that is less than the face value. Because the potential buyers
are capable of getting a higher interest rate than what the bond
pays, the seller has to sell at a lower cost in order to offset the
difference of the bond.
Most bonds are traded in the Over-the-Counter (OTC) Market
that is composed of banks and security firms. Corporate bonds
which are listed on stock exchanges may be bought through stock
brokers. New bond issues are usually sold in $5000 increments
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while initial bond issues are quoted in $100 increments. A bond
listed at 96 indicates a selling of $96 per $100 face value.
Stocks or Bonds
The risks and the potentials have to be weighed when deciding to
invest either in stocks or bonds. Stocks carry a greater potential
to increase in value but they also hold a greater vulnerability to
market fluctuations. Investment grade bonds, which are rated
BBB or better, carry slightly lower risks but offer relatively low
yields.
A lot of investors agree that bonds offer greater security and
return for short-term situations but when a time span over ten
years is considered, the situation changes. The stock market has
consistently outperformed bond investments by a large factor
since companies tend to increase in value and any short -term
fluctuations in the stock market are smoothed out over time.
Because they provide a stable investment that helps cushion
against stock market fluctuations, bonds still have their place in
most investor portfolios. A mixture of investments that includes
stocks from different industries, bonds from various corporations,
and other fixed-income investments is one strategic way of
providing maximum growth while securing investment funds for
the future.
The Definition of Penny Stocks
A stock which sells for less than one dollar per share (or in some cases,
less than five dollars per share). Most penny stocks have only a few
million dollars in net tangible assets and have a short operating history.
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Penny stocks are almost always small cap stocks, but the reverse isn't
necessarily true.
Search volume for penny stock
A penny stock hopeful doesn't need to fret much over getting startedbecause the requirements that must be followed in good penny stock
trading are just the same with those further stocks in the market. You
will still need to make a brokerage account. However, buying penny
stocks trading may not be easy since the info on the stocks of penny
list is not accessible in the market. It's a prerequisite in the intelligence
market for shareholders to make the correct investment decision and so
the info on stocks of penny has to be personally collated from lots of
sources.
Having a broker may be a good plan since half of your task in
searching for information on good penny stocks can be managed by the
broker. Alternatively, if you're fortunate, the agent could have a good
stocks of penny list accessible to him. Getting information on hot
stocks of penny and trends on the stocks for long-term otherwise
would be helpful in your investments. Brokers have also enough
knowledge to be mostly correct on timing; the buying and selling the
stocks of penny would be good in your goal to make money in your
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outlay. Just be sure that you provide your broker w/ your requirements
so information and ideas can be given to you accordingly.
The stockbrokers regularly charge you with particular commission on
your every business in his account, or even charges on guidance ma y
also be used. However, they'll always be there, willing to offer you
their professional outlook on the information you may need, like the
details on the stocks of penny list he might have supplied you. Yet, if
you think of that, you could explore and dev elop your own in
purchasing the good penny stocks you will invest on, details on the
stocks of penny bid can be seen on the OTCBB every day.
Additionally, important information on the businesses that are traded
can as well be obtained from the Over The Counter Bulletin Board.
Before, this information weren't accessible under the law to be shared.
Nevertheless, subsequent rules framed by the NASB to share the key
details on the penny stocks list. Even the AMEX and NASDAQ now
give info on stocks of penny and so the price movements of the penny
stocks and some stocks may be tracked by investors already.
Even published news sheets by brokers are accessible to provide
information on trading of good stock of penny. Making use of them
would aid investors like you to gather info on stocks of penny where
you could probably invest your funds now. Doing these, no added
money is necessary to be utilized for the collection of the information
you need in your arrangement of buying stocks as investments. With
all the ideas on trading the stock of penny given for you, it is still
essential that you use your analytical thinking in making success with
penny stocks. All said, there is still no one hundred percent sure ways
in acquiring success in hot penny stock trading. Getting enough
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knowledge on the stock of penny trading insight to understand the
difficulty might provide you an edge in the management of such
outlay.
Lack of information about the company
Most companies have very little reportable history and those
which are listed in the Pink Sheets or in the OTCBB arent
required to issue financial statements.
Low liquidity
Finding potential buyers is difficult because penny stocks are
infrequently traded. In order to interest an investor to buy the
stock, the price of the penny stocks need to be lowered
substantially.
Potential fraud.
Penny stocks, as a result of their unregulated nature, are often
sold by con artists through spam emails or off-shore brokers.
Not all penny stocks are issued to gain money by fraud or to deal
with bankruptcy. There are some penny stocks which are used to
represent hard-working businesses that are struggling to meet the
necessary requirements to get listed on NYSE of NASDAQ.
Investing in such companies offers real growth potential because
investors have the opportunity to get in at the ground floor and
ride all the way to the top.
Finding companies with this growth potential is difficult. A lot of
research is needed to get this information. Unless they willingly
take the time to personally investigate a company, investors
could be victimized by fraud. Nowadays, there are some
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list of stock prices in the newspapers. There is a wide
variety of stock prices and there are many people who kept
on wondering why some well-known companies are being
traded for relatively low prices while some lesser known
companies are being traded for excessively high prices.
Stock prices, to a certain extent, are determined by the
confidence of an investor that is based on either a real or a
perceived performance. The financial status of companies are
reported on a quarterly basis when the ir cash flow, sales, and
earnings are disclosed. The worth of a company is based on its
financial status but it can be overrode or undermined by the
speculation of the investors.
Rumors spreading in the stock market usually affects the fate of
the stocks. For example, an ongoing rumor stating that a
particular company is planning to make a strategic move will
cause investors to come flocking just to buy stocks from that
company. The principle of supply and demand applies in the
stock market. A sudden upsurge in the interest of investors will
cause the stock prices to rise while a fear among investors will
cause the prices to plummet. The worth and the performance of a
company are still considered to be the biggest factors in the
determination of stock prices.
Stock prices can be found in the daily market summaries of
newspapers or online sources. They provide information about
the current prices and market movements around the clock. Stock
brokers also provide quotes which can be accessed either via the
Internet or via a telephone.
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A stock quote table, which can be found in a newspaper or an
Internet website, contains useful information that can help
investors to make their decisions regarding the buying or selling
of stocks. Reading a stock table requires a n ecessary skill for
anyone who is interested in the activities of the stock market.
The first column of the stock quote table contains a 3 or 4 -
character long ticker symbol that indicates the name of the
company. For example, BCE stands for Bell Canada Enterprises
while MSFT stands for Microsoft. The list of ticker symbols can
be searched through the Internet.
The latest price indicates the current price at the time the table
was published. The latest price in the tables found in newspapers
describe the closing price for the day. The prices in the Internet,
however, are updated every few minutes.
Change is the difference between the previous day closing price
and the current stock quote. High indicates the highest pricewhile Low indicates the lowest price of the stocks sold as of the
last trading day. Volume describes the number of shares that have
been traded for the day. The 52-week High and Low shows the
highest and lowest prices in the previous year.
Some tables contain additional columns to make room for other
information such as the Bid Price, which is the price a buyer iswilling to pay; the Ask Price, which is the price a seller is willing
to sell; the Price/Earnings Ratio, which is the stock price divided
by the earnings per share; the Market Cap, which is the
outstanding shares multiplied by the current market price; and the
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Dividends Per Share, which is the current annual dividend that
the company pays.
Getting Started on the Stock Market
Stocks can be bought and sold by anybody who has money.
Knowing the basics will help people understand how stock
trading works despite the processs own specialized vocabulary.
People who have knowledge about stock trading are the ones
who are most likely to be successful in the investment industry.
Most stock trading activities are done through an intermediary
called a broker. Brokers, who take and execute orders from the
investors, can also offer investment advices and analyses to their
clients. Such brokers are called full-service brokers and they
charge a relatively high commission. The types of brokers that do
not offer investment advices to their clients are called discount
brokers. Investors who wish to save more money usually hire
discount brokers because they charge less commission.
Online trading and broker-assisted trading are two of the most
commonly offered services by brokers. There are some brokers
who use an Interactive Voice Response System for placing orders
via telephones and a Wireless Trading System for making orders
via web-enabled cellular phones or other handheld devices.
There are some brokers who use their own proprietary software
for placing online orders while some give their website
passwords for
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accessing order departments. Brokers allow their clients to track
the stock market movements by offering a variety of charting
options. The analysis software provided by brokers may be
included in their services either for free or for an extra fee.
Types of Orders
The orders made when buying or selling stocks can be classified
into different types. An instruction to buy or sell a stock at the
current market price is called a market order. This order is
usually executed near the quoted price at the time of the order
was made. There may be a difference between the actual
transaction and the quote if there is some inactive trading of
stocks or rapid fluctuation of prices.
An expectation of stock price movements that leads to the
interest of buying or selling stocks at a certain price above or
below the current price initiates the placing of eith er a stop
order or a limit order. A stop order instructs the broker to
trade at a certain stock price, while a limit order instructs the
broker to trade at a specified stock price or something better.
Stop orders, which help in limiting losses and protecting profits,
become effective when the market hits the stop price. Because
the stocks are traded at market price after they become active,
brokers who are given stop orders are allowed to trade above or
below the stop price. Limit orders, on the other hand, may not be
placed at all even if the market reaches the limit price. The fast
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movement of the market may not provide enough time to execute
the order before the price falls out of the limit price range.
All orders can be placed as either good til canceled (GTC) or
day order. A GTC order will remain in effect until it is
canceled but a day order will remain in effect only until the end
of the current trading day. Stocks are commonly traded in
multiples of 100 that are called round lots. Trading o ther
amounts of stocks, which is called an odd lot, is also possible.
Trading software can handle either type of orders but odd lot
orders are considered to be more difficult to fill than round lot
orders.
Reasons to invest in Indian stock market
The Indian economy is a fast growing economy. The growth rate
of Indian industry is high. If you want to invest in Indian stock
market you can do it without any qualms as there are many
reasons to do so.
The Indian democracy is the largest democr acy in the world and
the rules and policies governing the Indian market as also
stringent. The Indian government is a steady government with
regular governments formed by elected members. The stability
allows for steady growth and development in the countr y.
As India has such huge population there are more consumers in
the country. So the market is also large. The economy is
witnessing a steady growth and the markets are developed. The
GDP has increased; there is larger foreign currency reserve so
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steady development is seen in the market.
The Indian infrastructure has improved vastly. There is
improvement in the field of road network, power,
telecommunications, and transportation. With excellent
infrastructure there is progress in every filed of Indian industry.
The Indian industry is showing good potential in the IT sector
and multinational companies. Many multinationals have invested
in India seeing the trend of growth of Indian Industry.
The Securities and Exchange Board of India look after theoverseas activities of the stock exchanges in India. It does strict
monitoring and has stringent rules so the Indian stock market has
become more transparent, efficient and trustworthy. The facilities
of online trading have also helped in the making stock market of
India more popular.
The easy accessibility and transparency in the market has made itvery popular. Now the younger generation Indian has started
investing in shares and stocks. You will find many people with
many types of portfolios dealing with shares and stocks. The
online index of shares has made it possible to see the up and
down trend of the market. It has evolved into a very stable and
return giving industry.
Golden Rules of investing in Indian Stock market
There are certain golden rules that you have to abide by
to be successful in investing in India stock market. The
experienced traders always talk about the profits made by them
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and not the losses sustained by them. However, you should know
that it is not possible to only have gains and not to have losses in
the stock market. If you want to have steady profit from your
investments, then make no such move that can eat into your
capital. Even if you miss an opportunity, you should know that
you have not lost anything, which is a g ood sign in the stock
market.
Money invested in the stock market is your hard -earned
money. Protect it with all your power of will and wit, as it is a
game of might is right. After that point fully understood, you
should now try to follow a few golden rules of CapitalManagement in stock market.
The first golden rule you should try to follow is that the
capital that you invest in the stock market should be from your
disposable income. You should never take a loan or borrow
money to invest in stock. The second golden rule is that you
never consign 10% of your capital. So even if the share incurs
loss you dont have mush loss. If you invest around 75% of your
capital in one stock only, then the loss will be huge
The third rule is that you should try to take out the profit
you earn from stock market and keep it in separate bank. You
should keep this profit until it reaches the amount equal to your
initial capital invested in stock market. This way you keep your
capital secure and invest further in other shares. When the rules
are followed properly then it will help you gain you in the long
run.
The attraction of Indian stock market
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The undeniable attraction in Indian stock market is like a
lure for many people. You are not able to deny its attraction.
Even if you suffer losses, the next day you are ready with to
invest again in some other shares. It is just like the passion for
gambling. You just cant resist it. Even if you want to get up and
leave you are pulled back again with its att raction.
You are glued to TV sets with the latest stuck new and
trend being televised. You watch the graph like a hawk ready to
pounce on every upward going share. At the end of the day there
is joy for some people and sorrow for the others. Those who have
gained with shares are full of joy while those who have lost wait
for the next day so that they can change their losses to gain.
The thrill of investing is a thrill just like racing or gambling, you
just cant stay away from it. You watch the trend of a particular
share for a week before you try to invest in it. The life of the
stock broker is very thrilling as there are daily ups and downs.
There is a huge data base, stock to be read thoroughly, graphs to
be deciphered and watching people making million and people
losing millions. There is no other excitement, which is so much
full of thrill and enjoyment.
It is like a game which has to be played regardless of
whether you win or lose. You have to play it and you cant resist
it. It needs guts to play this money game, you have to keep your
cool, be calm hold on to your nerves and react very fast to gain
money. All of it is done within second so no late reactions. Once
you get in the excitement of share trading, you wont like to leave
it.
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Stock Market Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis is the study of prices and volume, for forecasting
of future stock price or financial price movements.Technical analysis
can help investors anticipate what is "likely" to happen to prices over
time.
Technical analysis is not an exact science. It's an ar t and takes
considerable experience. But don't worry everyone with each
knowledge can learn it.
Basic Principles
Technical Analysis is based on these three basic principles:
#1 - Price Discounts Everything
Technical analysts believe that the current price fully reflects all
information. Because all information is already reflected in the price, it
represents the fair value, and should form the basis for analysis. After
all, the market price reflects the sum knowledge of all participants,
including traders, and
Stock Market Technical analysis utilizes the information captured by
the price to interpret what the market is saying with the purpose of
forming a view on the future.
#2 - Prices Move in Trends
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Technical analysts or chartists believe that prof its can be made by
following the trends. In other words if the price has risen, they expect
it to continue rising; if the price has fallen, they expect it to continue
falling. However, most technicians also acknowledge that there are
periods when prices do not trend.
#3- History Repeats Itself
Technical analysts believe that investors en masse repeat their behavior
and they assume that there is useful information hidden within price
histories; that it is a way of analyzing the past actions of people in a
particular market as reflected by their actual transactions.
Technical Analysis Tools
Every technical analyst needs charts and indicators to study market.
Three common types of charts are used by investors: Line Chart, Bar
Chart and Candlestick Chart.
Line Chart is formed by plotting one price point, usually the close, of
a security over a period of time. Connecting the dots, or price points,
over a period of time, creates the line.
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Bar Chart is drawn by high, low and closing price. Sometimes, bar
charts are drawn by opening price. In this case, bearish bars are drawn
with another color.
Candlestick Chart A form of Japanese charting that has become
popular in the West. A narrow line (shadow) shows the day's price
range. A wider body marks the area between the open and the close.
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Technical Indicators
Technical indicators are the basis of technical analysis. There are
dozens of technical indicators, how to choose good stock indicators?
Technical indicators are used to know when to enter or exit a trade. If
you know how to enter and exit a trade, you can easily make profits.
That is why choosing good stock indicators are important.
Some of stock indicators are more common and useful than others.
Also you need a few of them to know when to enter or exit a trade not
all off them.
Technical indicators can be divided into four major categorizes:
1- Price Indicators: Oscillators, Bollinger Bands2- Trends
3- Number Theories: Fibonacci numbers, Gann numbers
4- Waves: Elliott's wave theory
Price Indicators are computed by prices data. A subcategory of Price
Indicators are oscillators. Oscillators are indicators that are usually
computed from prices and tend to cycle or oscillate within a fixed or
limited range.
Common oscillators are: Momentum and Rate of Change (ROC),
Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength
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removes some of the trend, highlighting cycles and sometimes moving
in coincidence with the market .
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI measures the relative changes between up-moves or down-moves
and scales its output to a fixed range, 0 to 100. RSI is an oscillator and
Welles Wilder devised it.
The formula for calculating RSI is:
RSI = 100 [100/ (1+RS)]
Where: RS is average of N days up closes, divided by average of N
days down closes and N is predetermined number of days that usually
chosen 14.
RSI can use as an overbought/oversold indicator. A buy signal is when
the RSI moves below a threshold, into oversold territory, and then
crosses back above that threshold, usually 30 is taken for oversold
threshold. A sell is signaled when the RSI moves above another
threshold, into overbought territory, and then crosses below that
threshold, usually 70 is taken for overbought threshold.
Technical Indicators - part 2
Oscillators are technical indicators that tend to cycle or oscillate
within a fixed or limited range, and Momentum in general term means
strongly movement of prices in a given direction.
Stochastic Oscillator
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The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator, it indicates
whether the market is moving to new highs or new lows or is just
meandering in the middle. This indicator is based on George Lane 's
observations.
The Stochastic Oscillator is plotted in two lines Fast %k and Fast %D.
The formula is:
Fast %k = 100 * [( C L (n) ) / ( H (n) L (n) )]
Where:C is the most recent closing price.
L (n) is the low of n previous trading day (or bar).
H (n) is the high price of the same n previous day (or bar ).
Usually n is chosen 14.
A 3-period (day or bar) moving average is taken from Fast %k and
called Fast %D. Fast %D is used as a signal line in the same way that
the moving average of the MACD is used as a signal line for the
MACD.
Stochastic Oscillator is plotted in two lines but, usually these lines
cross each other many times. Now to smooth the chart, a 3 -period
moving average is taken from Fast %D and called Slow %D (Also,
Fast %D is called Slow %K), so the smoothed chart is plotted with
Slow %K and Slow %D.
Using of Stochastic Oscillator
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1- Oscillators are used as an overbought/oversold indicator. A buy is
signaled when the oscillator moves below 20, and then crosses back
above 20. A sell is signaled when the oscillator moves above 80, and
then crosses below 80.
2- Also, when %K crosses above or below %D, Buy and sell signals
can be given. But, may be crossover occurs frequently in short periods
and causes bad results. This using isn't very common.
Bollinger Bands
John Bollinger created Bollinger Bands in the 1960s; Bollinger Bands
are used to determine support and resistance levels. This indicator
consists of three lines; the middle line is an exponential moving
average of price data and the two outside bands are equal to the
moving average plus or minus standard deviation.
Standard Deviation is a statistical measure that indicates volatility of
price. The bands will expand when price becomes volatile and they
will contract during less volatile periods.
Using of Bollinger Bands
1- Bollinger Bands are used to determine the boundaries of market
movements. If a market moved to the upper band or lower band, then
there was a good chance that the market would move back to its
average. In the other words, when price closes to upper band, ma rket is
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overbought and when price closes to lower band, market is oversold.
2- Another using of Bollinger bands is that to indicate up-trends and
down-trends. If price deflects off the lower band and crosses above
moving average then price fluctuate between upper band and moving
average, it comes to indicate upper price target. It is visa versa to
indicate lower price.
Fundamental Analysis
The definition of Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis is a stock valuation method that uses financial
and economic analysis to predict the movement of stock prices.
The fundamental information that is analyzed can include a company's
financial reports, and non-finanical information such as estimates of
the growth of demand for competing products, industry co mparisons,
and economy-wide changes.
Main Strategy
To a fundamentalist, the market price of a stock tends to move towards
its intrinsic value. If the intrinsic value of a stock is above the current
market price, the investor would purchase the stock, and i f the intrinsic
value of a stock was below the market price, the investor would sell the
stock.
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To start a fundamentalist makes an examination of the current and
future overall health of the economy as a whole. In this step you should
attempt to determine the direction and level of interest rates.
After you analyzed the overall economy then analyze firms
individually. You should analyze factors that give the firm a
competitive advantage in its sector such as management experience,
history of performance, growth potential, low cost producer, and etc.
Some expressions of Stock Fundamental Analysis
For beginning I describe some stock fundamental analysis expressions
that are more important:
#1- EPS: (Earnings Per Share)
The portion of a company's profit allocated to each outstanding share
of common stock. The amount is computed by dividing net earnings by
the number of outstanding shares of common stock. For example, a
corporation that earned $10 million last year and has 10 million shares
outstanding would report earnings per share of $1.
#2- P/E Ratio: (Price/ EPS)
Also called its "earnings multiple", Price of a stock divided by itsearnings per share. The P/E ratio may either use the reported earnings
from the latest year or employ an analyst's forecast of next year's
earnings. P/E gives investors an idea of how much they are paying for
a company's earning power.
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An important notice here is that the P/E ratio is ultimately not an
objective measure; a high P/E ratio might show an overvalued stock, or
it might reflect a company with high potential for growth.
#3- Dividend
Dividend is an amount of the profits that a company pays to people
who own shares in the company. When a company earns a profit, some
of this money is typically reinvested in the business and called retained
earnings, and some of it can be paid to its shareholders as a dividend.
#4- Book Value
The book value of an asset or group of assets is sometimes the price at
which they were originally acquired ( historic cost ), in many cases
equal to purchase price.
#5- Growth Stocks
Growth Stocks in finance , are stocks that appreciate in value and yield
a high return on equity (ROE). Analysts compute ROE by taking the
company's net income and dividing it by the company's equity. To b e
classified as a growth stock, analysts expect to see at least 15 percent
ROE.
Ratios, Financial Statement Analysis & Capital Structure
Return on Investment:
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ROI = Operating Income / Investment Required
Project A = 200000 / 500000 = 40%
Project B = 150000 / 250000 = 60%
Residual Income:
RI = Net operating Income - Imputed Interest
Imputed Interest refers to the cost of capital.
RI tells you how much your company's operating income exceeds what
it is paying for capital.
Economic Value Added:
EVA = (I - C) * (L + S)
Where I = Income
C = After Tax cost of capital
L = Long-term Liabilities
S = Stockholder's Equity
ROI or Residual Income
Under ROI, the message is go forth and maximize your rate of return, a
percentage.
Under RI, the message is go forth and maximize residual income, an
absolute amount.
Invested Capital:
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To apply either ROI or residual income, both income and invested
capital must be measured and defined.
Total Assets
Total assets employed
Total assets less current liabilities
Stockholders' equity
EBIT &am