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    Fire Sa fet y Journal, 7 (1984 ) 145 - 153 145

    T h e D e v e l o p m e n t o f a P o i n t s S c h e m e t o A s s es s F ir e S a f e t y i n H o s p it a ls

    PAUL ST OL L ARD

    De par tme nt o f F ire Saf e ty Engineering, Univers i ty o f Edinburgh , The K ing s Buildings , Edinbu rgh EH 9 3JL

    (U.K.)

    SUMMARY

    The improvement of fire safety standards

    m existing buildings requires a systematic

    evaluation of both the present deficiencies

    and the options for improvement. A points

    scheme offered a simple and repeatable

    method of performing such an analysis of the

    patient areas within hospitals, and the Depart-

    ment of Fire Safety Engineering at the Uni-

    versity of Edinburgh was sponsored by the

    Department of Health and Social Security

    (DHSS) to produce such a scheme. The

    authority of a points scheme derives from the

    experience of those producing it and the use

    of the Delphi technique to produce this

    scheme is described.

    INTRODUCTION

    Fire safety in hospitals is a very sensitive

    topic; sensitive both morally and politically,

    as the very existence of hospitals controlled

    by a national system suggests tha t the nation,

    through government, has taken the respon-

    sibility to care for people who are ill in some

    way. If patients or st aff are to be injured by

    some exte rnal agency, such as fire, then this

    is a direct reflection on the quality of the

    managem ent of the total health care system.

    The need to develop an evaluation scheme

    came after attempts to apply to hospitals the

    relevant parts of the Fire Precautions Act

    (1971). A trial survey of 365 hospitals was

    carried out around 1976 and 45 were selected

    for a detailed fire safety appraisal by the fire

    prevention officers of the local authorities'

    fire services. These detai led surveys include d

    recommendations for improving the hospitals

    to some acceptable standard and they were

    costed for the DHSS by in depe ndent consul-

    tants. As a result of these surveys, it was con-

    sidered that the costs would be prohibitive if

    improvements were to be made throughout

    the National Health Service, and as hospitals

    have a good record with respect to fire loss, it

    was decided to develop an evaluation scheme

    which would identi fy those areas of greatest

    risk. This would enable the available money

    to be spent to the best advantage.

    An evaluation scheme for he alth buildings

    was already being developed in the U.S.A.

    [1] and it was hoped that this might serve as

    the basis for the DHSS evaluation scheme.

    Tests of the U.S. system, conducted in the

    Edinburgh hospitals, revealed that none of

    these hospitals would comply with U.S.

    standards. The reasons behind these poor

    results related to the differences in the spatial

    design of hospitals in the U.S.A. and U.K.,

    and the unsuitabil i ty of many of the detailed

    definitions in the American evaluation system

    for British buildings. However, it was obvious

    that there was some virtue in the concepts

    of a flexible rating system which compares

    existing buildings in a consistent manner

    against an accepted standard.

    Having accepted th e need for an evaluation

    scheme designed to assess the patient areas

    within hospitals, five developmental problems

    were identified.

    (A) The selection of a 'norm' against which

    assessment can be made.

    (B) The identification of the safety factors

    contributing to the norm.

    (C) The calculation of the relative values of

    the sa fety factors.

    (D) The development of a method of sur-

    veying the patient areas to provide factual in-

    formation.

    (E) The form ulati on of a succinct way to

    present the results and make comparisons.

    To solve these five problems, a group of

    specialists was invited by the DHSS to assist

    in the prepa ration o f a scheme which would

    0379-7112/ 84/$3.00 © Elsevmr Sequoia/Pr inted in The Nether lands

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    146

    simplify the implementation of the Fire

    Precautions Act (1971) and facilitate the

    evaluation of relative levels of fire safety in

    existing hospitals.

    The group was led by members of the De-

    partment of Fire Safety Engineering at

    Edinburgh University and used the Delp hi

    technique to achieve an agreed system. In this

    technique, experts from a variety of related

    fields are assembled and their opinions to

    various questions recorded. The divergences in

    opinion are then repeatedly discussed until

    common agreement is reached as to the solu-

    tion. In determining the basis for the evalua-

    tion scheme and th e details of its application,

    the Delp hi met hod was used and the valid-

    ity of the scheme lies in the membership of

    the Delp hi group. The ironical name

    Delp hi is taken from the ancient Greek

    oracle at Delphi which was famous for the

    ambig uity of its answers.

    (A) THE SELECTION OF A 'NORM' AGAINST

    WHICH ASSESSMENT CAN BE MADE

    The American evaluation scheme took the

    NFPA Life Safety Code [2] as the standard

    against which fire saf ety was to be assessed.

    Unfor tunat ely, in the U.K. there is no docu-

    ment whose provisions can be expected to

    apply equally to all geographical locations and

    to all types of hospitals. The application of

    the standards contained in the Building Regu-

    lations may be possible, but those for England

    and Wales contained no requirements relating

    to escape routes in hospitals. The only docu-

    men t in existence was the draft of The Fire

    Precautions Act 1971 -- A Guide to Fire Pre-

    cautions in Hospitals (1976 /79) , and it was

    agreed that this should serve as the norm, for

    if hospitals were to be designated under the

    Act, then this, or a similar docum ent, would

    form the basis of all advice on the upgrading

    of existing buildings. This doc ume nt has now

    been published by the Home Office in a

    slightly revised for m [3].

    (B) THE IDENTIFICATION OF SAFETY FACTORS

    CONTRIBUTING TO THE NORM

    Having accepted the Draft Guide as the

    standard for assessment, seventeen factors

    within it were identified. These covered the

    principal areas of fire safety in hospitals, and

    the Delphi group were asked to grade each of

    these between 0 and 5 on the basis of impor-

    tance, and to list any they felt had been

    excluded. Against each factor were listed the

    elements within the Draft Guide which collec-

    tively described the 'perfect' attainment of

    the factor. For example, detection/warning

    systems is described in terms of call poin ts

    and powe r supplies ; while comp artm enta -

    ti on is described in terms of fire resistance ,

    prot ect ed areas and self-closing doors .

    The seventeen factors were:

    fire resistance of floors

    fire resistance o f walls

    compartmentat ion

    surface flame spread

    travel distance

    corridors

    staircases

    inter-room access

    lifts

    direct external access

    fire/smoke spread

    signs

    emergency lighting

    detection/warning systems

    firefighting equipment

    staff training

    evacuat ion drills.

    To these the Delphi group added an addi-

    tional three, and regrouped others. The three

    new ones (staff; patients and visitors; fire

    brigade) were only implicit in the Draft Guide

    but were felt to be significant enough to be

    made explicit in the revised list.

    Having identified twenty components of

    fire safety, it was essential to determine their

    relative importance, but before this could be

    done it was necessary to determine impor-

    tance for what? . To this end the Delphi

    group was next asked to consider a hierarchy

    of fire safety:

    Level 1 • Fire Safety Policy

    Course or general plan of action adopted by a

    government, party or person, to achieve

    security against fire and its effects.

    Level 2: Fire Safety Objectives

    Specific goals to be achieved.

    Level 3: Fire Safety Tactics

    Independent fire safety alternatives, each of

    which contributes wholly or partly to the

    fulfilmen t of the fire safety objectives.

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    L e v e l 4 . F i re S a f e t y C o m p o n e n t s

    M a j o r p a r t s o f f i r e s a f e t y a s d e f i n e d i n c o n -

    v e n t i o n a l f ir e c o d e s a n d s t a n d a r d s . T h e t w e n t y

    c o m p o n e n t s a l re a d y a g re e d b y t h e D e lp h i

    g r o u p .

    L e v el 5 S u b c o m p o n e n t s

    E s s en t ia l p a rt s o f c o m p o n e n t s w h i c h c a n b e

    r e a d il y i d e n t i f ie d . S o m e o f t h e s e h a d a l r e a d y

    b e e n i d e n t i f i e d i n t h e D e l p h i g r o u p ' s l i s t o f

    a d d i t i o n a l f a c t o r s .

    M u c h d i sc u s si o n t o o k p l a ce o n t h e m e a n i n g

    o f t h e o b j e c t i v e s , an d o n t h e d i v is i o n a n d

    d e f i n i t i o n s o f t h e t a c t i c s . T h i s r e s u l t e d i n

    a g r e e m e n t o n t h e f o l l o w i n g f o u r o b j e c t i v e s

    a n d f i v e t a c t i c s i n t h e h i e r a r c h y :

    F i r e S a f e t y O b j e c t w e s ( L e v e l 2 ):

    ( 1 ) L i fe s a fe t y . P r es e r v a t io n a n d p r o t e c t i o n o f

    l if e f r o m t h e h a z a r d s o f f la m e , h e a t a n d

    s m o k e .

    ( 2 ) M i s s io n c o n t i n u i t y . M a i n t e n a n c e o f t h e

    s u p p l y o f h e a l t h c a r e w i t h m i n i m a l d i s r u p t i o n .

    ( 3 ) P r o p e r t y p r o t e c t i o n . A v o i d a n c e o f th e

    d i v e r s i o n o f f u n d s t o r e p l a c e e s s e n t ia l e q u i p -

    m e n t a n d / o r f a c i l i t i e s .

    ( 4 ) O t h e r c o n s e q u e n c e s . A v o i d a n c e o f m e n t a l

    a n g u i s h , u n n e c e s s a r y t i m e - c o n s u m i n g i n -

    q u i r i e s , a n d p o s t - f i r e p u b l i c a n x i e t y .

    F i re S a f e t y T a c t i c s (L eve l 3 )

    ( 1 ) I g n i t i o n p r e v e n t i o n . P r e v e n t i n g t h e i n i t i a -

    t i o n o f d e s t r u c t i v e a n d u n c o n t r o l l e d b u r n i n g .

    ( 2 ) F i re c o n t r o l . R e t a r d i n g t h e d e v e l o p m e n t

    a n d / o r m o v e m e n t o f fi re a n d f ir e p r o d u c t s .

    ( 3 ) R e f u g e . A n y p o r t i o n o f a b u i l d i n g r e l a -

    t i v e ly s a f e f r o m f i re d a n g e r i n t o w h i c h p e o p l e

    c a n m o v e . A s p a c e n o t i n v o l v e d i n f i r e a n d

    n o t a f f e c t e d b y s m o k e , t o x i c g a s e s , o r o t h e r -

    w i s e h a z a r d o u s t o h u m a n l if e a n d s a f e t y .

    ( 4 ) E g r es s . C o n t i n u o u s p a t h o f tr a v e l f r o m

    a n y p o i n t i n a b u i l d i n g t o t h e o u t s i d e a t

    g r o u n d l e v e l .

    TABLE 2

    Contributory values of tactics to objectives

    147

    ( 5 ) R e s c u e . S a v i n g o f p e r s o n s i n d a n g e r d u e t o

    f i r e o r a c c i d e n t . A s s i s t a n c e g i v e n t o p e r s o n s i n

    d a n g e r w h o c a n n o t h e l p t h e m s e l v e s .

    T h e t w e n t y c o m p o n e n t s a l r e a d y i d e n t i f i e d

    f o r m t h e n e x t l e v e l ( L e v e l 4 ) a n d a r e t h e

    m a j o r i n d e p e n d e n t p a r t s o f f ir e s a f e t y . E a c h

    c o n t r i b u t e s t o a d i f f e r e n t d e g r e e t o e a c h o f

    t h e f i v e t a c ti c s , an d t h r o u g h t h e m t o t h e

    o b j e c t i v e s a n d t h e o v e r a l l p o l i c y . I n d i v i d u a l

    e le m e n t s o f ea ch o f t h e t w e n t y c o m p o n e n t s

    c a n b e i d e n ti f ie d a s s u b c o m p o n e n t s a n d t h e s e

    f o r m a f i f t h le v e l o f t h e h i e r a r c h y . I n t h e

    a s s es s m e n t o f e a c h c o m p o n e n t t h e s e s u b c o m -

    p o n e n t s f o r m e d a c h e c k l i s t a n d a r e i n c l u d e d

    o n t h e w o r k s h e e t s .

    (C) THE CALCULATION OF THE RELAT IVE

    VALUES OF THE SAFETY FACTORS

    F o l l o w i n g a g r e e m e n t o n t h e t w e n t y c o m -

    p o n e n t s a n d o n t h e ir r e l a ti o n s h i p t o t h e h ie r-

    a r c h y o f f i r e s a f e t y , i t w a s a g r e e d t o u s e

    m a t r i c e s t o e s ta b l is h t h e c o n t r i b u t i o n o f e ac h

    c o m p o n e n t t o o v e r a ll f ir e s a f e t y p o l ic y . T h e

    D e l p h i g r o u p w a s t h e r e f o r e a s k e d t o g i v e

    v a l u e s t o a n o b j e c t i v e s - t o - p o l i c y v e c t o r , a

    t a c ti c s - to - o b j e c t i v e s m a t r i x a n d a c o m p o -

    n e n t s - t o - t a c t i c s m a t r i x . T h e m a t r i c e s a g r e e d

    b y t h e D e l p h i g r o u p a r e s h o w n i n T a b l e s 1 - 3

    a n d , b y t h e m u l t i p l ic a t i o n o f t h e s e m a t r i c es , a

    v e c t o r f o r th e c o n t r i b u t i o n o f c o m p o n e n t s t o

    o v e ra l l p o l i c y w a s p r o d u c e d . E a c h n u m b e r i n

    TABLE 1

    Contribut ory values of objective to policy

    Life safety 0.94

    Mission contin uity 0.78

    Property protec tion 0.50

    Other consequences 0.44

    Igniti on preve ntio n 0.96 0.84 0.84 0.54

    Fire cont rol 0.82 0.78 0 88 0.58

    Refuge 0.74 0.46 0.14 0.54

    Egress 0.74 0.26 0.04 0.54

    Rescue 0 56 0.26 0.06 0.50

    Life Mission Proper ty Other

    safety continuity protection consequences

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    1 4 8

    T A B L E 3

    C o n t r i b u t o r y v a lu e s o f c o m p o n e n t s t o t a c t i c s

    I g m t l o n F i r e R e f u g e E g r e ss R e s c u e

    p r e v e n t i o n c o n t r o l

    1 S t a f f 0 . 9 8

    2 P a t i e n t s a n d v i s i to r s 0 . 8 8

    3 F a c t o r s a f f e c t in g s m o k e m o v e m e n t 0 0 4

    4 P r o t e c t e d a r e a s 0 . 1 2

    5 D u c t s , s h a f t s a n d c a v i t i es 0 3 4

    6 H a z a r d p r o t e c t i o n 0 . 6 6

    7 I n t e r i o r f i n i s h 0 5 0

    8 F u r n i s h i n g s 0 . 9 6

    9 A c c e s s t o p r o t e c t e d a r e a s 0 0 4

    1 0 D i r e c t e x t e r n a l e g re s s 0 . 0 0

    1 1 T r a v e l d i s t a n c e 0 . 0 2

    1 2 S t a i r c a s e s 0 . 1 4

    1 3 C o r r i d o r s 0 . 1 2

    1 4 L i f t s 0 . 1 4

    1 5 C o m m u n i c a t i o n s y s te m s 0 . 12

    1 6 S i g n s a n d f i r e n o t i c e s 0 . 2 4

    1 7 M a n u a l f i r ef i g h ti n g e q u i p m e n t 0 . 0 4

    1 8 E s c a p e l i g h t i n g 0 . 0 2

    1 9 A u t o m a t i c s u p p r e s s i o n 0 . 0 8

    2 0 F i r e b r i g a d e 0 0 4

    0 . 9 0 0 7 2 0 8 6 0 8 6

    0 . 3 0 0 7 0 0 8 0 0 6 8

    0 . 8 2 0 8 0 0 8 6 0 7 8

    0 . 6 6 0 9 6 0 . 6 8 0 7 6

    0 7 2 0 . 5 0 0 . 3 8 0 1 4

    0 . 8 8 0 5 6 0 6 0 0 6 2

    0 7 2 0 . 4 2 0 4 4 0 . 2 8

    0 . 8 6 0 2 4 0 . 2 2 0 2 0

    0 . 4 8 0 . 8 2 0 . 7 2 0 5 2

    0 4 4 0 . 5 0 0 . 8 8 0 . 8 6

    0 . 4 2 0 . 7 8 0 9 2 0 . 7 6

    0 5 8 0 . 5 8 0 8 8 0 . 7 2

    0 . 5 8 0 . 6 8 0 8 2 0 . 7 2

    0 . 4 8 0 3 8 0 5 2 0 4 0

    0 . 9 2 0 5 2 0 5 2 0 . 3 8

    0 . 2 2 0 6 0 0 . 7 8 0 4 2

    0 9 0 0 2 8 0 1 4 0 1 0

    0 . 4 0 0 6 2 0 8 2 0 6 0

    0 . 8 2 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 1 0

    0 . 9 0 0 3 0 0 . 3 4 0 7 8

    T A B L E 4

    V a l u e s o f c o m p o n e n t s . C o l u m n 1 : r e la t iv e v a lu e s b y m a t r i x m u l t i p l i c a t i o n

    C o l u m n 2 r e vi s ed v al u es o f c o m p o n e n t s a f t e r c o n s i d e r i n g i n t e r a c t io n s .

    1 2

    1 S t a f f 0 . 0 8 6 6 0 . 0 8 8 9

    2 P a t i e n t s a n d v i s it o r s 0 . 0 6 4 6 0 . 0 6 4 3

    3 F a c t o r s a f f e c t in g s m o k e m o v e m e n t 0 . 0 5 8 6 0 . 0 6 5 6

    4 P r o t e c t e d a r e as 0 . 0 5 6 5 0 . 0 5 5 5

    5 D u c t s , s h a f t s a n d c a v i t ie s 0 0 4 4 3 0 . 0 4 0 0

    6 H a z a r d p r o t e c t i o n 0 . 0 6 7 6 0 . 0 6 4 9

    7 I n t e r i o r f i n i s h 0 . 0 5 0 0 0 . 0 4 9 7

    8 F u r n i s h i n g s 0 . 0 5 9 2 0 . 0 6 2 5

    9 A c c e ss t o p r o t e c t e d a r ea s 0 . 0 4 4 8 0 . 0 4 0 7

    1 0 D i r e c t e x t e r n a l e g r es s 0 0 4 3 6 0 . 0 4 1 2

    1 1 T r a v e l d i s t a n c e 0 . 0 4 7 8 0 0 4 8 8

    1 2 S t a i r c a se s 0 . 0 5 0 9 0 . 0 4 8 8

    1 3 C o r r i d o r s 0 . 0 5 1 1 0 0 5 0 9

    1 4 L i f ts 0 . 0 3 5 6 0 . 0 3 4 2

    1 5 C o m m u n i c a t i o n s s y s t e m s 0 . 0 4 8 7 0 0 5 0 6

    1 6 S i g n s a n d f i re n o t i c e s 0 0 4 0 1 0 . 0 4 0 6

    1 7 M a n u a l f i r ef i g h ti n g e q u i p m e n t 0 . 0 3 2 8 0 . 0 3 0 2

    1 8 E s c a p e l i g h t i n g 0 . 0 4 1 1 0 0 4 6 2

    1 9 A u t o m a t i c s u p p r e s s i o n 0 . 0 3 1 6 0 . 0 3 2 9

    2 0 F i r e b r i g a d e 0 . 0 4 4 5 0 0 4 3 5

    1 . 0 0 0 0 1 . 0 0 0 0

    t h i s v e c t o r w a s t h e n c o n s i d e r e d a s a d e c i m a l

    f r a c t i o n o f t h e w h o l e , t o g i v e a s e t o f r e l a t i v e

    v a l u e s f o r t h e c o n t r i b u t i o n o f c o m p o n e n t s

    ( s e e T a b l e 4 , c o l u m n 1 ) .

    I n a d d i t i o n , t h e g r o u p w a s a s k e d t o c o n -

    s i d e r i f a n y p a i r o f c o m p o n e n t s i n t e r a c t e d

    a n d i f s u c h i n t e r a c t i o n s w e r e a n e n h a n c e m e n t

    o f t h e p u r p o s e o f t h e tw o c o m p o n e n t s

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    1 5 0

    concern ed. A matri x expressing these interac-

    tions (Table 5) was developed and used to

    modify the com ponent contr ibution vector to

    give a new set of values (see Table 4, column

    2).

    It is imp ort ant to n ote t hat m all calcula-

    tions of interactions, each component was

    assumed to be making the maximum possible

    contribution to fire safety. The assessment of

    how far shor t of tha t maximum contr ibution

    com pon ent s actually fell, required the devel-

    opmen t o f a survey method.

    (D) THE DEVELOPMENT OF A METHOD

    OF SURVEYING THE PATIENT AREAS TO

    PROVIDE FACTUAL INFORMATION

    In parallel with the development of the

    theoretical basis of the evaluation scheme,

    tho ugh t was given to the design of the survey

    docu ment s themselves. To facilitate a survey,

    the patient areas of each hospital must be

    considered as one or mor e survey volumes; an

    individual survey vol ume being a self-contain ed

    and physically defined area which will nor-

    mally comprise a single nursing unit.

    The surveyor is asked to make an assess-

    ment of each survey volume by considering

    the deficiency in each of the tw enty compo-

    nents and selecting the approp riate grade on a

    six-point scale; 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. This grade

    indicates the deficiency of the component

    compared to the ideal outlined in the Draft

    Guide to the Fire Precautions Act (0 repre-

    sents 100% deficiency, 1 --80% deficiency,

    and so on, to 5 which indicates no deficiency).

    This 0 - 5 grading gives a level of accuracy of

    +0.5 on each of twenty components (i.e.

    -+10% on the total score). A 0 - 10 grading

    would obviously give an increase in the level

    of ac curac y to +- 5%, but it assumes th at the

    surv eyor has been able to assess the building

    with this level of precision. It is felt unlikely

    that such a level would always be obta inable

    so a 0 - 10 grading would only introduce a

    false appearance of accuracy. However,

    should a surveyor feel that he can be more

    specific than a 0 - 5 assessment, he is quite at

    liberty to introduce halves into the system

    without affecting the required calculations.

    Field trials of the survey were conducted

    during 1981 on twenty-eight different survey

    volumes from seven Regional Health Aut hor-

    ites in England. The surveys were condu cted

    either by representatives of the Regional

    Works Officers or by t he local Fire Preventi on

    Officers in the hospitals concerned. Survey

    volumes varied from Victorian built Nightin-

    gale wards to hospitals built during the last 15

    years. The results were carefully analysed to

    determine any ambiguities in the worksheets

    and to test that this form of assessment was

    viable.

    Various modifications to the form and lay-

    out of the worksheets were subsequently

    agreed by the Delphi group and this modified

    version was then used in a series of repeatabil-

    ity tests. This was to ensure that different

    people assessing the same survey area would

    award the same values to each component.

    Eight survey volumes taken from three hos-

    pitals in the South Lothian District Health

    Authority (Edinburgh) were used, four being

    evaluated by four pairs of assessors and four

    by two pairs of assessors. The results for each

    survey volume were then carefully compared

    to highlight any problems in the interpreta-

    tion o f the worksheets.

    The worksheets were then modified and

    two of the eight survey volumes were re-

    assessed by four local Fire Prevention Officers

    (three from the three hospitals concerned and

    one from North Lothian District Health

    Authority). Each of these four surveyed the

    same two survey volumes and the results

    obtained showed a marked improvement in

    repeatability.

    The results of the second series of repeat-

    ability tests and the revised draft of the work-

    sheets used, were presented to the final Delphi

    group meeting and as a result of the discus-

    sions at this meeting, a definite set of work-

    sheets were drawn up as part of the proposed

    Health Technical Memorandum.

    Four forms of assessing the components

    had proved satisfactory under trial and are

    used in the final set of worksheets. The first

    form relies on initially assigning an approxi-

    mate grade to the dominant subcomponent

    (e.g. for 'staff', this is the staff-to-patient

    ratio), and then m odif ying this depending up-

    on the assessor's evaluation of t he remaining

    subcomponents. If they are all average then

    the initial approximate grade is unchanged,

    but if the y are bett er than average it might be

    raised by one or two points, while, if the y are

    worse than average, it could fall one or two

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    7/9

    points. Components assessed in this manner

    are 'staff' , 'patients and visitors', 'factors

    affecting smoke movement', 'staircases',

    'escape lighting', 'au tomat ic suppression' and

    'fire brigade',

    The second type of assessment is by simple

    addition of values awarded to relevant sub-

    com pone nts (e.g. for 'pr otect ed areas', values

    are assigned to floors and to walls). Compo-

    nents assessed in this manner are 'protected

    areas', 'ducts', 'shafts and cavities', 'hazard

    protection' and 'interior finish'.

    The third type of assessment is by simple

    comparison of the condition in the survey

    volume with a list on the worksheet from

    which the appropriate grade can be read.

    Components assessed in this fashion are

    'furnishings', 'access to protected areas',

    'direct external egress' and 'travel distance'.

    The final form of assessment used in the

    worksheets is based upon a comparison of

    each subcomponent with an established mea-

    sure of adequacy derived from the Draft

    Guide to the Fire Precautions Act, though it

    is expe cte d t hat the assessor will also be famil-

    iar with the other DHSS recommendations

    and standards relevant to the com ponent. If

    the component is found to be completely

    adequate in every respect, it is rated as grade

    5, but the further it is from the measure of

    adequacy, the lower the grade, until if it is

    totally in adequate then it is rated as grade 0.

    The components which use this form of

    assessment are 'corridors', ' l ifts' , 'commun ica-

    tions systems', signs and fire notices', and

    'manual firefighting equipment'.

    ( E ) T H E F O R M U L A T I O N O F A S U C C I N C T W A Y

    T O P R E S E N T T H E R E S U L T S A N D M A K E C O M -

    P A R I S O N S

    The grades for each of the components in a

    survey volume need to be combined together

    to achieve an overall score which reflects the

    relative importance of each component and

    the interactions between them. The method

    used for making such an overall assessment of

    a survey volume is determ ined by the accuracy

    of the survey data available. The simplest

    method is based on the multiplication of the

    grade for each compo nent by the percentage

    contribution of that comp onen t to the overall

    fire safety policy. This percentage contribu-

    1 5 1

    tion must include some assessment of the

    interactions and so is based on the revised

    values of the components (see Table 4,

    column 2). This method assumes that the

    components with which the comp onent under

    consideration interacts have all been rated as

    grade 5, rather than considering their actual

    grades. The degree of inaccuracy introduced

    by this simplification is fairly small and the

    coarseness of the survey (between 0 and 5 at

    integer intervals) suggests that any more

    intricate or detailed mathemati cal use of the

    survey grades would be inappropriate and

    would o nly give a misleading sense of accura cy.

    By this method, a single score of between 0

    and 500 is calculated for each survey volume

    which measures how far short of the require-

    ments o f the Draft Guide to the Fire Precau-

    tions Act the survey volume falls. It is this

    met hod which is used in the proposed Health

    Technical Memo rand um and Table 6 shows a

    completed example of the summary sheet

    provided using this metho d.

    However, if a finer sys tem o f grading was

    to be developed for the survey volume, it

    would be worthwhile to calculate the score

    for the volume by a direct application of the

    mathem atical manipulation. This is modifie d

    by the grades for every interacting com pon ent

    and gives a score between 0 and 1192. A com-

    parison of the overall scores obtained by these

    two methods (for 32 sets of survey grades)

    from the repeatability tests showed that the

    use of the simpler metho d resulted in only a

    small decrease in accuracy.

    Having determined a figure which measures

    safety against a common standard for an

    individual survey volume, it is possible to

    compare them with each other to determine

    which are most in need of improvement. To

    provide an approximat e indicati on of the level

    that could be termed 'acceptable', the Delphi

    group was asked to place each of the eight

    survey volumes used for the repeatability tests

    into one of the following four categories:

    Good

    Acceptable

    Unacceptable

    Definitely unacceptable.

    Their estimates of 'acceptability' were made

    within the con text of the current state of the

    National Health Service in the United King-

    dom; the term 'acceptable' does not imply

    perfect fire safety.

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    1 5 2

    T A B L E 6

    S a m p l e s u m m a r y s h e e t

    H e a lt h A u t h o r i t y '

    B u i l d i n g : V i c t o r i a H o s p i t a l

    S u r v e y V o l u m e ' W a r d 1

    D a t e o f S u r v e y : 1 / 4 / 8 3

    S u r v e y o r ' A . N . O t h e r

    N u m b e r o f B e d s p a c e s: 3 0

    C o m p o n e n t

    0 1 S t a f f

    0 2 P a t i e n t s a n d v i s i t o r s

    0 3 F a c t o r s a f f e ct i n g s m o k e m o v e m e n t

    0 4 P r o t e c t e d a r e a s

    0 5 D u c t s , s h a f t s a n d c a v i t i e s

    0 6 H a z a r d p r o t e c t i o n

    0 7 I n t e r i o r f i n is h

    0 8 F u r n i s h i n g s

    0 9 A c c e ss to p r o t e c t e d a r e as

    1 0 D i r e c t e x t e r n a l e g r e ss

    1 1 T r a v e l d i s t a n c e

    1 2 S t a i r c a s e s

    1 3 C o r r i d o r s

    1 4 L i f t s

    1 5 C o m m u n m a t i o n s s y s t e m s

    1 6 S i g n s a n d f i r e n o t i c e s

    1 7 M a n u a l f i r e fi g h t i n g e q u i p m e n t

    1 8 E s c a p e l i g h t i n g

    1 9 A u t o m a t m s u p p r e s s i o n

    2 0 F i r e b r i g a d e

    A d d i t i o n a l c o m m e n t s :

    G r a d e * P e r c e n t a g e

    c o n t r i b u t i o n

    0 1 2 @ 4 5 × 9 = 2 7

    0 1 ~ 3 4 5 x 6 = 1 2

    0 1 2 ~ 4 5 X 7 = 21

    0 1 2 3 4 ~ X 6 = 3 0

    0 1 2 3 @ 5 X 4 = 1 6

    0 1 2 3 4 ~ X 7 = 3 5

    0 1 2 ~ 4 5 × 5 = 1 5

    0 1 2 @ 4 5 × 6 = 1 8

    0 1 2 3 @ 5 × 4 = 1 6

    0 1 2 3 ~ 5 X 4 = 1 6

    0 1 2 ~ 4 5 × 5 = 1 5

    0 1 2 3 4 ~ X 5 = 2 5

    0 1 2 3 4 ~ × 5 = 2 5

    0 1 2 3 4 ~ X 3 = 1 5

    0 1 ~ 3 4 5 X 5 = 1 0

    0 1 2 ~ 4 5 X 4 = 1 2

    0 1 2 3 ~ 5 X 3 = 1 2

    0 1 ~ 3 4 5 X 5 = 1 0

    @ 1 2 3 4 5 X 3 = 0

    0 1 2 3 4 ~ X 4 = 2 0

    T o t a l s c o r e ( o u t o f 5 0 0 ) = 3 5 0

    * G r a d e s g i v e n b y a s s e s s o r a r e e n c i r c l e d

    B y c o m p a r i n g t h e i r e s t i m a t e s w i t h t h e

    s c o r e s f r o m t h e r e p e a t a b i l i t y t e s t s , i t w a s p o s -

    s i b l e t o s e t t h e l e v e l o f a c c e p t a b i l i t y a t 7 0 % ,

    w i t h s c o r e s g r e a t e r t h a n t h i s b e i n g c o n s i d e r e d

    a s a c c e p t a b l e . A s c o r e o f 7 0 % o r l e s s w a s c o n -

    s i d e r e d i n d i c a t i v e o f a n u n a c c e p t a b l e l e v e l o f

    f i r e s a f e t y a n d a s c o r e o f 5 6 % o r l e s s w a s

    d e f i n i t e l y u n a c c e p t a b l e . O n l y a s c o r e o f o v e r

    9 0 % c o u l d b e c o n s i d e r e d ' g o o d ' a s o n l y t h i s

    r e p r e s e n t s c o m p l i a n c e w i t h t h e ' n o r m ' ( t h e

    D r a f t G u i d e ) .

    T h r e e o f t h e c o m p o n e n t s ( ' s t a f f ' , ' p a t i e n t s

    a n d v i s i t o r s ' , a n d ' f i re b r i g a d e ' ) w e r e n o t d e a l t

    w i t h e x p l i c i t l y w i t h i n t h e D r a f t G u i d e , a n d a s

    t h e e v a l u a t i o n s c h e m e o n l y c o m p a r e s s u r v e y

    v o l u m e s w i t h t h i s n o r m , i t w a s u n f a i r t o

    p e n a l i s e s u r v e y v o l u m e s w h i c h f a i l i n t h e s e

    c o m p o n e n t s . T h e r e f o r e a s u r v e y v o l u m e h a d

    t o b e g r a d e d a s 5 f o r e a c h o f t h e o t h e r c o m -

    p o n e n t s , b u t n e e d o n l y b e g r a d e d a s 2 . 5 o n

    t h e s e t h r e e . I n t h i s w a y , p a r t i c u l a r l y h i g h

    s c o r e s f o r ' s t a f f ' , ' p a t i e n t s a n d v i s i t o r s ' o r

    ' f i r e b r i g a d e ' c o u l d c o m p e n s a t e i n s o m e m e a -

    s u r e f o r a d e f i c i e n c y i n o t h e r c o m p o n e n t s .

    W h e n d e t e r m i n i n g i n w h i c h c a t e g o r y a s u r -

    v e y v o l u m e s h o u l d b e p l a c e d , i t i s i m p o r t a n t

    t o b e a r i n m i n d t h e c o a r s e n e s s o f t h e g r a d i n g

    s y s t e m w i t h i n w h i c h t h e s u r v e y w i l l h a v e b e e n

    c o n d u c t e d ( t h e 0 - 5 g r a d i n g g i v i n g a n a c c u -

    r a c y o f + 0 . 5 o n e a c h c o m p o n e n t ) . T h e

    r e p e a t a b i l i t y s t u d i e s i n d i c a t e d a m a r g i n o f

    e r r o r o f a b o u t 5 % , a n d s o s c o r e s o f 5 1 - 6 1 % ,

    6 5 - 7 5 % a n d 8 5 - 9 5 % m u s t b e r e g a r d e d a s

    i n d i c a t i v e o f b o r d e r l i n e s i t u a t i o n s . T h e s c a l e

    o f a c c e p t a b i l i t y i s i l l u s t r a t e d i n F i g . 1 .

    W h e n c o n s i d e r i n g t h e i m p r o v e m e n t s n e c e s-

    s a r y t o a s u r v e y v o l u m e w h i c h i s ' d e f i n i t e l y

    u n a c c e p t a b l e ' , i t c a n b e s e e n t h a t i t i s i n s u f -

    f i c i e n t t o s i m p l y r a i s e i t a b o v e 5 6 % a n d s o

    i n t o t h e u n a c c e p t a b l e c a t e g o r y . A n y p l a n n e d

    i m p r o v e m e n t s m u s t e n s u r e t h a t i t w o u l d s c o r e

    a b o v e 7 0 % a n d s o f a ll i n t o t h e ' a c c e p t a b l e '

    z o n e . A f t e r t h e c o m p l e t i o n o f o n e o r al l

    a s s e s s m e n t s o f s u r v e y v o l u m e s , i t w i l l b e p o s -

  • 8/18/2019 Ranking book

    9/9

    4 5 ( ~

    3 5 q

    2 8 0

    0

    Fig.

    . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 0 0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 0 0

    G O O D

    . . . . . . . . . 9 0 . . . . . . . . . . 4 5 0

    A C C E P T A B L E

    70%

    UNACCEPTABLE

    56%

    . . . . . . . . . .

    D E F I N I T E L Y U N A C C E P T A B L E

    . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . O ~ o . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    Scale of acceptability.

    3 5 0

    2 8 0

    0

    s ib le t o i d e n t i f y t h e c o m p o n e n t s w i t h in o n e

    v o l u m e , o r v o l u m e s , w i t h i n a b u i l d i n g w h i c h

    n e e d i m p r o v e m e n t s o t h a t t h e i r s co r e s w i ll

    b e c o m e ' a c c e p t a b l e ' . I t is p o s s i b l e a ls o t o

    i d e n t if y t h o s e c o m p o n e n t s w h o s e im p r o v e -

    m e n t w o u l d g iv e t h e b e s t o v e r a ll i n c re a s e i n

    t h e s u r v e y s c o r e b y c o n s i d e r i n g t h e i r p e r c e n t -

    a g e c o n t r i b u t i o n s t o f i r e s a f e t y . T h e g r a d e s

    o b t a in e d b y t h e t w e n t y c o m p o n e n t s i n d ic a te

    t h o s e w h i c h a r e p a r t i c u l a rl y d e f i c ie n t , a n d t h e

    r e la t i v e v a l u es a t ta c h e d t o e a c h c o m p o n e n t

    s h o w w h i c h w i l l o f f e r t h e g r e a t e s t p o t e n t i a l

    f o r i n c r e a s e i n f i r e s a f e t y . F o r e x a m p l e , a

    o n e - p o i n t i n c r e a s e i n t h e g r a d e f o r ' s t a f f ' i s

    e q u i v a l e n t t o a t h r e e - p o i n t i n c r e a s e i n t h e

    g r a d e f o r ' m a n u a l f i r e f i g h t i n g ' .

    CONCLUSIONS

    T h e p r i m e o b j e c t i v e o f t h is e v a l u a t i o n

    s c h e m e w a s t o g i v e l o c a l as s e s s o r s a s y s t e m a t i c

    t e c h n i q u e w h i c h is s i m p l e to o p e r a t e , s o th a t

    t h e l ev e l o f fi r e s a f e t y e x i s t in g i n a n y s u r v e y

    v o l u m e c a n b e a ss e ss e d a n d c o m p a r e d w i t h a

    l ev e l o f a c c e p t a b i l i t y . T h e h i g h e s t s t a n d a r d o f

    f ir e s a f e ty t h a t c o u l d b e e x p e c t e d w o u l d b e

    c o m p l e t e c o m p l i a n c e w i t h t h e D r a f t G u i d e ,

    t hi s r e p r e se n t in g w h a t c o u l d b e e x p e c t e d b y

    t h e a p p l i c a t i o n o f t h e F i r e P r e c a u t i o n s A c t

    ( 1 9 7 1 ) t o e x i s t in g h o s p i t a l b u i l d in g s . T h e

    153

    e v a l u at io n s c h e m e o f f e r s a u n i f o r m m e t h o d

    o f a s s es s in g f i r e s a f e t y r e l a t iv e t o t h i s s t a n d a r d .

    I f a d o p t e d i t w o u l d e n a b l e H e a l th A u t h o r i t ie s

    t o e a s i ly i d e n t i f y t h o s e h o s p i t a l s w h e r e a lo w

    s t a n d a r d e x i st s , a n d b e r e a s o n a b l y s u r e t h a t

    a n a c c e p t a b l e s t a n d a r d h a s b e e n a c h i e v e d

    a f te r i m p r o v e m e n t s h a v e b e e n c o m p l e t e d .

    T h e a u t h o r i t y o f th e s c h e m e li es i n t h e

    a b i li ty o f t h e m e m b e r s o f th e D e l p h i g r o u p

    w h o b e t w e e n t h e m e v a lu a t ed t h e d i f fe r e n t

    o b j e c t iv e s , t a c t ic s a n d c o m p o n e n t s , a n d

    e s t a b l is h e d w h a t t h e y r e g a r d e d a s t h e ' a c c e p t-

    a b l e ' le v el o f fi re s a f e t y . A n y p o i n t s s c h e m e

    c a n o n l y b e a s g o o d a s t h e m a t e r ia l o n w h i c h

    i t w a s b a s e d , e i t h e r s t a t is t i c a l r e s e a r c h o r , a s

    i n th i s c a s e , t h e e x p e r i e n c e o f t h e s p e c i a l is t s

    i n v o l v e d .

    I t is h o p e d t h a t t h e t w e n t y w o r k s h e e t s

    m e n t i o n e d i n t h i s a r t i c l e , a l o n g w i t h a n

    e x p l a n a t o r y d e s c r i p t i o n o f t h e s c h e m e , w i ll

    b e p u b l i s h e d i n t h e f o r m o f a H e a l t h T e c h -

    n ic al M e m o r a n d u m o n b e h a l f o f t h e D e p a r t -

    m e n t o f H e a l t h a n d S o c i a l S e c u r i t y , b y H e r

    M a j e s t y ' s S t a t i o n e r y O f f i c e , d u r i n g 1 9 8 3 .

    A f u l l r e p o r t o f t h e p r o j e c t , i n c l u d i n g a ll

    s u r v e y d a t a , is a v a i l a b le f o r c i r c u l a t i o n f r o m

    t h e D e p a r t m e n t o f F i re S a f e t y E n g in e e r in g ,

    E d i n b u r g h U n i v e r s i t y .

    ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

    T h e s p o n s o r s h i p a n d f i n a n c i a l s u p p o r t o f

    t h e D e p a r t m e n t o f H e a l t h a n d S o c ia l S e c u r i ty

    h a v e b e e n i n v a lu a b l e . T h a n k s a r e al s o d u e t o

    D r E ri c M a r c h a n t ( H e a d o f th e D e p a r t m e n t

    o f F i r e S a f e t y E n g i n e e r in g a t t h e U n i v e r s i t y

    o f E d i n b u r g h ) w h o d i r e c t e d t h e o v e r a ll p r o -

    j e c t, D r J o h n M W a t ts , J r. , w h o w o r k e d o n

    t h e m a t r i c e s , a n d t o a ll t h e m e m b e r s o f t h e

    D e l p h i g r o u p .

    REFERENCES

    1 Rep ort NBS IR 78-1555-1, National Bureau of

    Standards, 1978.

    2 Code for Saf ety to Life fr om Fire in Buildings

    and Structures, NFPA 101-1973, National Fire

    Protection Association, Batterymarch Park,

    Quincy, MA 02269, 1973.

    3 Draft Guide to Fire Precautions in Hospitals,

    Home Office/Scottish Home and Health Depart-

    ment, 50 Queen Anne's Gate, London SWlN

    9AT, 1982.


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