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Welcome toAccra International Conference

Centre22nd June 2016

The Debut..

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The Debut..

“Look to the past to help us move forward in the future”.

National Development Planning and CitiesProf Peter Head CBE FREng

FRSAChief Executive

Inaugural Cabot Institute FellowUniversity of Bristol

National,city-region scale integrated systems platform

Risk informed PolicyInvestmentPlanningProcurement

CHEER open-source Collaborative Human, Ecological, Economic Resource system platform model to enable “public good”

www.icesfoundation.org

Open access free at source for decision making

March 2015 Bellagio

March 2016Bellagio Roadmap FOR ACTION

Workshops supported by Rockefeller Foundation

“If things are getting easier, maybe you're headed downhill”.

#roadmap2030http://ecosequestrust.org/roadmap-for-habitat-iii/

• Enabling environment to create smart partnerships between national and municipal government, civil society, academia, faiths and the private sector

• How to implement the urban agenda• Addresses 16 cross-cutting themes in an integrated approach

Collaboration for transformation “A successful sustainable development agenda requires partnerships between central and local governments, the private sector, academia and civil society which put people and planet at the centre”

CHEER Collaborative Human, Ecological, Economic ResourcesEnabling system for public goodCommon service infrastructure

• Implementation of the decentralization policies and programmes

• To strengthen leadership and capacity at all levels of the decentralised government machinery

•  Enhance civil society participation

•  Promote a sustainable, spatially integrated and orderly development of human settlements to support socio-economic development

• Regularly improve demographic data base on population and development

Ministry of Local Government and Rural Development Policy Objectives

Communities

Water

Industry

Buildings

Energy

Ecology

Transport

LearningEnablingPlatform

collaborative intelligence

Climate adaptation

Municipalfinance

Trusted collaborative laboratory

Education

Civil society

“The strength of the palm tree is in its branches”

Urban demonstrator in Greater Accra Metropolitan Area, (GAMA) Ghana

Human Capital Development Strategy

National Infrastructure Plan

Economic Growth Strategy

Social, Economic, EnvironmentalAnd Institutional Policies & Strategies

Spatial Development Framework

SDGs, Agenda 2063 and other globaldevelopment frameworks

Plus Expenditure Gap 22% -needs PPP plus Revenue Increase

Ghana GDP 2014 $39bn Infrastructure and Human Settlements Development 5.6% GDP

4 years 2014-2017

#roadmap2030Population growth in Ghana cities 2014 14.6 million 2030 22.1million

Investment in infrastructure and human settlements in cities

Investment in cities to meet SDGs Infrastructure 3.8% GDP

43% Energy 29%Transport 21% Water, sanitation, flood 7% Communications

Affordable housing 2.2% GDP

Total 6.0% GDP With the right urban development policies it is estimated that 30% of this finance could come from Green Bonds and 20% from private sector including Pension Funds. Also use of GCF funding, share of which for Ghana at 0.2% GDP per year is $78m per year, which could be drawn in now.

Key:Proposed plan of urban investment Traditional investment Quality assurance / evidence / technical

support

Collaboratory• Independent • Cross sector• Quality assurance• Transparency• Procurement• Data in/output

UDIF• Investors: private equity,

pensions, impact investors, development banks

• Public, private or mix• Unlimited revolving fund• One major full cost loan

type to keep costs low• Local needs determine

transformational change

Implementing Entity

Projects

Sustained finance for equitable green growth Infrastructure investment

Municipalities

INVESTORS / FUNDERS e.g. GCF, Bonds, Private

LOCAL COLLABOR-

ATORY

Portfolio of projects

UDIF

ROI

Implementing Entity

Reduced project design cost Speeding up delivery

Urban development policy1. Use a participatory, enabling systems tool, like resilience.io

that will build capacity to plan land use, manage revenues and bring forward bankable projects with risk assessments at all scales.

2. Improve municipal finance, including improved revenues, to improve local currency credit ratings

3. Negotiate guarantees from national and international sources like GCF to underpin green and municipal bonds and to build climate finance funds

4. Create pooled finance ‘revolving’ Urban Development Funds UDIF to reduce transaction costs by sharing

5. Create scaling funds RIIF to grant fund new cities to set up operating enabling systems, supported by urban knowledge networks like UCLG, ICLEI, C40, Cities Alliance, 100 Res Cities

National urban transformation

Urban Development

and Investment Fund (UDIF)

Urban Development

and Investment Fund (UDIF)

Urban Development

and Investment Fund (UDIF)

Urban Development

and Investment Fund (UDIF)

Urban Development

and Investment Fund (UDIF)

Urban Development

and Investment Fund (UDIF)

National Resilience

Investment Implementation

Fund (RIIF)

Testing 2018

Scale up2019-2022

FundingTrainingResearchCHEER PlatformDataLand registerKnowledgesharing

Income 2%

Income 2%

Philanthropy Venture funding

“No one tests the depth of the river with both feet”

Ghana-UK Research and Innovation Centre for Inclusive Growth

• Carry out ambitious research agenda • Make significant economic and societal impact• Add value by increasing infrastructure, building capacity,

encouraging interdisciplinary working in social science and beyond

• Enable research collaboration in the UK and across Sub Saharan Africa

Focus Areas:• Migration, mobility and development• Dynamics of inequalities• Innovation and inclusive economic growth• Shocks, security, risks and resilience April 2017-2022 UK Government GCRF contribution £5m

“When you are sitting in your own house, you don’t learn anything. You must get out of your house to learn”.

Ghana Partnership Platform for Philanthropy

• Strategic philanthropists “who seek greater impact by taking an approach that is guided by particular values and aims, clear goals and key performance indicators, direct oversight and governance, and sharing of skills, abilities, and experience, as opposed to monetary gift giving” A ‘strategic philanthropy fund’ SPF could build early stage investment in CHEER tools, demonstrator RIIF’s and UDIF’s.

• Venture philanthropists, who seek social impact and financial return, are ideally suited to invest in national revolving RIIF funds, to provide support for a number of years, typically 10, to scale up of the CHEER approach across each country. Return 2% above Libor.

• Social Impact Investment foundations can use the CHEER platform and be part of UDIF funds to support improved social conditions in urban areas like inclusion and poverty reduction, with evidence of impact coming from the regional CHEER model and monitored over time.

Thank you

“If an opportunity is not taken when it comes, it passes away”

@PeterHeadCBEpeter.head@ecosequestrust.org

Stephen PassmoreAccra International Conference

Centre22nd June 2016

The Debut..

The Debut..

Celebration!!

resilience.io strong foundations

Future Cities Africa Resilient, Inclusive Centres of economic growth

Global search Best modellers, scientists and technology Create open source, integrated city-region

model Demonstrate and scale up

WASH SECTOR

GAMA Technical Group

WASH prototype

● Model development● Set of specifications – http://resilience.io ● 50 Process blocks developed that describe

input output, energy, material and labour● Computer modules built and tested

● ABM & RTN● Three Use cases developed with the GTG

to demonstrate functionality and benefits● Visualisations for decision support and

basic user interface● Package

● Data● 200 plus data sets collected that describe

WASH in GAMA as well as socio-economic, GIS, process and technology.

Debut activitiesMLGRD - Good tool in the development of the urban areas, we need such a model.

UoG - resilience.io prototype gives a faster and more accurate solutions for development (urban) planning

AMA - Is important to help in decision making and inform policy

Training - The model is very good, and can help us to improve and prioritise quality decisions in my Assembly

Next steps

Thank you#GAMAresilience

@ResilienceIOhttp://resilience.io

“It’s a great thing for GAMA… a great thing for Ghana…

and I believe that it will be a great thing for Africa.”

using resilience.io

1.1 Question: How much treatment capacity do we need?

Total GAMA: 6,651 m3/day

Human excreta production (m3/day)

Human excreta

1.1 Question: What technologies and capacity can meet future needs?

Additional treatment needs capacity needs by 2025 : 200,000 m3/day

1.1 Question: How will the proposed system(s) affect other sectors?

New desalination plant substantially increases electricity needs:

350,000 kWh /day

1.1 Question: What will be the cost and is it affordable?

Population and Demands 2015 2025Population 4.39 million 5.68 million

Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day

Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day

1.1 Question: What will be the cost and is it affordable?

Population and Demands 2015 2025Population 4.39 million 5.68 million

Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day

Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day

1.1 Question: What will be the cost for GAMA?

Population and Demands 2015 2025Population 4.39 million 5.68 million

Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day

Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day

Public Decentralised (million USD) 2010-2015 2015-2025Expenditure for treatment capacity 90 260

Expenditure for public toilets 42 192

Total Capital Costs 132 352

1.1 Question: Will it be affordable?

GAMA – 15 MMDA values 2015 (million USD) 2025 (million USD)Total operational costs per year 55.6 80.5

Revenues from public toilet use 33.0 82.0

Costs per Citizen per year (USD) 12.7 11.6

GAMA – 15 MMDA values 2015 2025 Greenhouse emissions in tonnes per year 2011 7516

Total jobs for sewerage system 82 625

Thank you